Slide 1: Where are the jobs?

www.employment.gov.au

Where are the jobs?

Better Practice in Supporting Migrant and Refugee Clients into Work20 June 2017

Chris SainsburyDirector

Recruitment and Employer Needs Analysis

Slide 2: Balga-Mirrabooka and Girrawheen resident profile.

Balga-Mirrabooka and Girrawheen resident profile

Western AustraliaBalga-Mirrabooka

& Girrawheen

Unemployment rate 5.9% 21.5%

Born in ‘OTMESC’ (2011) 15% 37%

Population growth last 5 years 11% 10%

Source: ABS Census of population and housing, 2011; Department of Employment, Small Area Labour Markets, March Quarter 2017; ABS Labour Force, April 2017 (Seasonally adjusted data); ABS Regional Population Growth, Australia; ABS Australian Demographic Statistics.

Unemployment rate Western Australia: 5.9%.

Unemployment rate Balga-Mirrabooka & Girrawheen: 21.5%.

Born in ‘OTMESC’ (2011), Western Australia: 15%.

Born in ‘OTMESC’ (2011), Balga-Mirrabooka & Girrawheen: 37%.

Population growth last 5 years, Western Australia: 11%.

Population growth last 5 years, Balga-Mirrabooka &Girrawheen: 10%.

Sources: ABS Census of population and housing, 2011; Department of Employment, Small Area Labour

markets, March quarter 2017; ABS Labour Force, April 2017 (Seasonally adjusted data); ABS Regional

Population Growth, Australia; ABS Demographic Statistics.

Slide 3: Overseas arrivals over the last 5 years.

Overseas arrivals over the last 5 years

26,800 migrantsWanneroo & Stirling

LGAs

Source: Department of Immigration, Settlement reporting, 2017

*Department of Immigration reports include ‘Unknown’ with ‘Skilled’ visas category, as some skilled visa subclasses, introduced in 2012, are not being categorised correctly.

43% of WA Humanitarian migrants settle in Wanneroo

and Stirling LGAs

Family

Humanitarian

Skilled*

24%

8%68%

26,800 migrants arrived in Wanneroo and Stirling LGAs over the last 5 years.

Of those 26,800 migrants, 25% had family visas, 8% had humanitarian visas, and 68% had skilled migrant

visas.

43% of WA Humanitarian migrants settle in Wanneroo and Stirling LGAs.

Source: Department of Immigration, Settlement reporting, 2017.

Slide 4: Sustained humanitarian inflows.

Sustained humanitarian inflowsStirling and Wanneroo LGAs

Year Humanitarian Family Skilled Total

2012 546 1,485 5,819 7,859

2013 368 1,636 4,637 6,650

2014 333 1,325 3,873 5,552

2015 316 1,163 2,684 4,187

2016 566 673 1,304 2,575

Source: Department of Immigration, Settlement reporting, 2017

Humanitarian visa migrant inflows to Stirling and Wanneroo LGAs have remained steady, with 546 in

2012 and 566 in 2016.

Source: Department of Immigration, Settlement reporting, 2017.

Slide 5: Many migrants are on the caseload.

Many migrants are on the caseload

Western AustraliaBalga-Mirrabooka

& Girrawheen

Born in ‘OTMESC’ (2011) 15% 37%

% jobactive caseload CALD* 16% 44%

% jobactive caseload refugees* 7% 19%

Department of Immigration, Settlement Reporting January 2016; jobactive administration data, 2017* Data is for Mirrabooka SA2 only

Proportion of the jobactive caseload in Western Australia classified as CALD: 16%.

Proportion of the jobactive caseload in Mirrabooka classified as CALD: 44%.

Proportion of the jobactive caseload in Western Australia classified as refugees: 7%.

Proportion of the jobactive caseload in Mirrabooka classified as refugees: 19%.

Source: Department of Immigration, Settlement Reporting January 2016; jobactive administration data, 2017.

Slide 6: English proficiency and labour market outcomes.

Source: ABS Census of population and housing, 2011

English proficiency

Un

em

plo

ymen

t ra

te Particip

ation

rate

9% 9%

12%

20%

71%

63%

43%

20%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Very well Well Not well Not at all

English proficiency and labour market outcomesBalga – Mirrabooka and Girrawheen

English proficiency and labour market outcomes for Balga-Mirrabooka and Girrawheen are related.

For those with high English proficiency, unemployment is 9%. For those with no English proficiency, the

unemployment rate is 20%.

Source: ABS Census of population and housing, 2011.

Slide 7: jobactive caseload by country of birth.

jobactive caseload by country of birthBalga-Mirrabooka and Girrawheen, 2016

7.8%

6.2%

4.7%

3.8%

3.1%

1.8% 1.8%

0%

4%

8%

Source: jobactive administration data, 2017

7.8%

6.2%

4.7%

3.8%

3.1%

1.8% 1.8%

0%

4%

8%

Highest number of humanitarian arrivals in past five years

jobactive caseload by country of birth:

Myanmar – 7.8%.

Vietnam – 6.2%.

Sudan – 4.7%.

Iraq – 3.8%.

Afghanistan – 3.1%.

Ethiopia – 1.8%.

Iran – 1.8%.

Source: jobactive administration data, 2017.

Slide 8: The employment outcomes of migrants improve over time.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Beenhereoneyear

Beenhere 5years

Beenhere 15

years

Beenhere

over 15years

5 years10 years 15 years

Years of residence in Australia

1 year after arrival

Un

emp

loym

ent

rate

Source: ABS Labour Force Survey, 2013

The employment outcomes of migrants improve over time

The employment outcomes of migrants improve over time:

1 year after arrival to Australia, unemployment rate for migrants is 24%.

5 years after arrival to Australia, unemployment rate for migrants is as low as 5%.

Source: ABS Labour Force Survey, 2013.

Slide 9: OTMESC migrants fare worse during downturns.

OTMESC migrants fare worse during downturnsUnemployment rate, OTMESC Migrants by years since arrival

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Born in Australia

Less than 5 years

5 to 10 years

10 years or more

Source: ABS Labour Force Survey, 2015

Source: ABS Labour Force Survey, 2015.

Slide 10: The jobs market has been getting more competiticve.

Source: Department of Employment, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences,

All regions surveyed in the 12 months to December 2016

The jobs market has been getting more competitiveAve. applicants per advertised internet or newspaper vacancy, Perth

2012 11

2013 13

2011 8

2016 25

2015 20

2014 16

Source: Department of Employment, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences, All regions surveyed in

the 12 months to December 2016.

Slide 11: Where are the jobs?

Where are the jobs?

Slide 12: Where do residents of Balga-Mirrabooka & Girrawheen

work?

Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2011

Where do residents of Balga-Mirrabooka & Girrawheen work?

3%

12%

5%

13%

6%

11%

10%

2%

7%

7%

8%

9%

14%

18%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Mining

Construction

Transport, Postal and Warehousing

Retail Trade

Accommodation and Food Services

Health Care and Social Assistance

Manufacturing

OTMESC MESC

Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2011.

Slide 13: Continued growth in Services sector.

Continued growth in Services sectorProjected employment change for selected industries, five years to November 2020,

Perth – North West

Source: Department of Employment, Industry Employment Projections, five years to November 2020

-2300

180

380

2400

3400

4000

7300

-4000 -2000 0 2000 4000 6000 8000

Mining

Manufacturing

Transport, Postal and Warehousing

Accommodation and Food Services

Retail Trade

Construction

Health Care and Social Assistance

Source: Department of Employment, Industry Employment Projections, five years to November 2020.

Slide 14: Most job openings arise due to staff turnover.

Most job openings arise due to staff turnoverProjected growth to 2020, and turnover, Australia

Source: Calculated from Department of Employment, 2016 Employment Projections five years to November 2020 and ABS Participation, Job Search and Mobility, Australia, February 2015, Cat. No. 6226.0, custom data request, Department of Employment Gross Replacement Rates

-10 90 190 290 390 490 590 690

Welfare Support Workers

Building and Plumbing Labourers

Carpenters and Joiners

Chefs

Commercial Cleaners

Truck Drivers

Storepersons

Bar Attendants and Baristas

Kitchenhands

Receptionists

Aged and Disabled Carers

Registered Nurses

Retail Managers

Waiters

Child Carers

General Clerks

Sales Assistants (General)

('000) jobs

Projected Employment growth

Accumulated turnover

Source: Calculated from Department of Employment, 2016 Employment Projections five years to 2020 and ABS

Participation, Job Search and Mobility, Australia, February 2015, Catalogue number 6226.0, custom data

request, Department of Employment Gross Replacement Rates.

Slide 15: The jobs market can be highly competitive.

Applicant numbers vary across regions:

Greater Perth: 25 applicants per vacancy

Remote areas: 8 applicants per vacancy

Source: Department of Employment, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences, 2016

Advertised Vacancy

25 applicants per advertised vacancy

3 applicants interviewed

Reasons applicants don’t get an interview

• Lack of Aust. workplace experience• Insufficient qualifications/training• Poorly written application• Basic employability skills• English proficiency

The jobs market can be highly competitive

Bypass the competition:

• Approaching employers directly• Networking• Work experience• Jobactive

Source: Department of Employment, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences, 2016.

Slide 16: Employability skills are essential.

Employability skills are

ESSENTIAL

Willingness to learn

Reliability

TeamworkEnthusiasm /

positive attitude

English communication

Social skills

Slide 17: Western Australian economy performing well above

forecasts.

Source: WA Treasury economic forecasts from the 2016-17 Mid Year Review, released in December 2016; Year to May 2017 ABS Labour Force Survey Western Australia

WA economy performing well above forecastsWA Treasury economic forecasts and actual WA ABS Labour Force Survey results

0.9%

-1.5%

0.3%

1.5%2.3%

5.5%

6.5% 6.5% 6.3%

6.0%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

Year to May2017 actual

2016-17forecast

2017-18forecast

2018-19forecast

2019-20forecast

Employment growth Unemployment Rate

Source: Western Australia Treasury, economic forecasts from the 2016-17 Mid-Year Review, released in

December 2016; Year to May 2017 ABS Labour Force Survey Western Australia.

Slide 18: Conclusions.

Conclusions• Region has a high proportion of OTMESC

– Significant numbers of humanitarian arrivals

• Many migrants having difficulty transitioning into employment– Barriers to employment (inc. English proficiency, lack of

Australian workplace experience)– Competitive jobs market

• Signs that the downturn may have bottomed out– Growth and high turnover sectors – Tap into informal jobs markets (approach employers, use

and build networks, work experience)– Employability skills are essential– Use relationships with employers to promote job seeker

strengths

Slide 19: End.