christine liddell - what's happening in northern ireland?
TRANSCRIPT
A bit of a reframe
Area-based targeting is now our legislated FP Strategy
Find areas where people are in extreme FP
0-5% 5-10% 10-15% 15-20% 20-25% +25%
Needs to spend on heat and light
10% threshold
Per
cen
tag
e H
H’s
How do we find them?
Northern Ireland 201142% in FP but half near the threshold
How does the FP Targeting Algorithm perform?
If we picked 2000 addresses out of a hat
• 42% would be in fuel poverty• 22% would be in severe fuel poverty
With Council support, we picked 2000 using the targeting algorithm
• 82% were in fuel poverty• 64% were in severe fuel poverty
Home as safe haven
Home as where you arein control
Home as “where you canspend Christmas morning in your
pyjamas”What people perceive
Excess winter deathsImproving international methodology
Average monthly number of deaths in the 4 months of winter (Dec/Jan/Feb/Mar)
compared with
Average months number of deaths in the other 8 months
Y
N
Y
Y
Y
N
Y
Y
N
Y
N
Y
EuropeDo cold days only occur in• December• January• February• March?
NN
Y
YY
N
Y
Source: Liddell, 2014
Y
18%
10%
12%
21%
16%
8%
12%
14%
12%
28%
13%
14%
Officialexcess winter death index 1980-2013
Europe
19%21%
18%
12%12%
12%
13%
Source: Liddell, 2014
12%
18%
+10%
12%
21%
16%
+8%
+12%
14%
+12%
28%
+13%
14%
Officialexcess winter death index 1980-2013
Europe
+19%+21%
18%
12%12%
+12%
13%
Source: Liddell, 2014
+12%
Official excess winter death index 1980-2013
Europe
Probably worse that previously thought in Northern Europe
Respiratory ADRD Circulatory
E S W N E S W N E S W N
%55 50 43 40 27 29 31 31 18 18 13 14
Percentage excess winter deaths by causes of death, 1991/2 to 2012/13, UK regions
Tackling fuel poverty improves most people’s
mental health
It can also improve the physical health of some.
Greatest NPV is you target people in poor health
New messaging around FP and HealthThe emerging consensus