cibc institutional conference, january 2012...copler 6 m oz vasilkovskoe 11 m oz bakyrchik 13 m oz...
TRANSCRIPT
CIBC Institutional Conference, January 2012
Steve Lang, President and CEO
Caution Regarding Forward-Looking Information
This presentation and the documents referred to herein contain statements which are not statements of current or historical facts and are “forward-looking information” within the meaning ofapplicable Canadian securities laws. Such forward-looking information involves risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results, performance, prospects and opportunities todiffer materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information. Wherever possible, words such as “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “contemplate”, “target”, “plan”,“intends”, “continue”, “budget”, “forecast”, “projections”, “estimate”, “may”, “will”, “schedule”, “potential”, “strategy” and other similar expressions have been used to identify forward-lookinginformation. These forward-looking statements relate to, among other things, the discussion under the heading “2012 Outlook” in the most recent news release, including the forecasted goldproduction and cash costs, exploration expenditures and exploration plans, capital expenditures, community investments and corporate administration, Centerra’s expectations regarding theimpact of the Water and Forest Law on the Company’s Mongolian operations, business and political environment and business prospects including the timing and development of new deposits(including the ATO (Altan Tsagaan Ovoo) deposit) and the success of exploration activities.
Although the forward-looking information in this presentation reflects Centerra’s current beliefs as of the date of this presentation based on information currently available to management andbased upon what management believes to be reasonable assumptions, Centerra cannot be certain that actual results, performance, achievements, prospects and opportunities, either expressedor implied will be consistent with such forward-looking information. Forward-looking information is necessarily based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that, while consideredreasonable by Centerra, are inherently subject to significant political, business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies. Known and unknown factors could cause actualresults to differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking information.
Material assumptions used to forecast production and costs include those described under the heading “Material Assumptions” in the most recent news release. Other factors that could causeactual results or events to differ materially from current expectations include, among other things: the sensitivity of the Company’s business to the volatility of gold prices; the political risksassociated with the Company’s operations in the Kyrgyz Republic and Mongolia; the impact of changes in, or more oppressive enforcement of, laws, regulations and government practices in thejurisdictions in which the Company operates; the effect of the November 2010 amendments to the 2006 Mongolian Minerals Law on the royalty payments payable in connection with theCompany’s Mongolian operations; the effect of the Water and Forest Law on the Company’s operations in Mongolia; the impact of continued scrutiny from Mongolian regulatory authorities; in theKyrgyz Republic, the impact of changes to, or the increased enforcement of, environmental laws and regulations relating to the Company’s operations; the Company’s ability to replace itsreserves; ground movements at the Kumtor Mine; waste and ice movement at the Kumtor Mine; litigation; the accuracy of the Company’s reserves and resources estimate; the accuracy of theCompany’s production and cost estimates; the success of the Company’s future exploration and development activities; competition for mineral acquisition opportunities; the adequacy of theCompany’s insurance; environmental, health and safety risks; defects in title in connection with the Company’s properties; the impact of restrictive covenants in the Company’s revolving creditfacility; the Company’s ability to successfully negotiate an investment agreement for the Gatsuurt development property to complete the development of the mine and the Company’s ability toobtain all necessary permits and commissions needed to commence mining activity at the Gatsuurt development property; seismic activity in the vicinity of the Company’s operations in theKyrgyz Republic and Mongolia; long lead times required for equipment and supplies given the remote location of the Company’s properties; illegal mining on the Company’s Mongolian properties;the Company’s ability to enforce its legal rights; the Company’s ability to accurately predict decommissioning and reclamation costs; the Company’s ability to obtain future financing; the impactof current global financial conditions; the impact of currency fluctuations; the effect of recent market conditions on the Company’s short-term investments; the Company’s ability to attract andretain qualified personnel; the Company’s ability to make payments including payments of principal and interest on the Company’s debt facilities; risks associated with the conduct of jointventures; risks associated with the Company’s largest shareholder, Kyrgyzaltyn JSC; and possible director conflicts of interest. There may be other factors that cause results, assumptions,performance, achievements, prospects or opportunities in future periods not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. See “Risk Factors” in the Company’s most recently filed AnnualInformation Form available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
There can be no assurances that forward-looking information and statements will prove to be accurate, as many factors and future events, both known and unknown could cause actual results,performance or achievements to vary or differ materially from the results, performance or achievements that are or may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements contained inthis presentation. Accordingly, all such factors should be considered carefully when making decisions with respect to Centerra, and prospective investors should not place undue reliance onforward-looking information. Forward-looking information is as of January 17, 2012. Centerra assumes no obligation to update or revise forward-looking information to reflect changes inassumptions, changes in circumstances or any other events affecting such forward-looking information, except as required by applicable law.All figures are in United States dollars unless otherwise stated.
January 2012 2
Kyrgyz Republic Mongolia
● 2011 gold production 642,380 oz● 2012 expected gold production of 635,000 to 685,000 oz
@ cash costs of $465 to $500/oz
Russian Federation
China
Kazakhstan Mongolia
BorooGatsuurt
Ulaanbaatar
Russian Federation
Mongolia
China
Kazakhstan
Kumtor
Kyrgyz Republic
Two Solid Growth Platforms
ATO
January 2012 3
Share and Ownership Profile
● Symbol CG on the TSX, 236,307,533 common shares issued
● Market capitalization approximately CDN$4.4 Billion
● Strong financial position, no debt
● Annual dividend CDN$0.10 + 2011 special dividend CDN$0.30
Share Ownership
Kyrgyzaltyn JSC
33%
Retail shareholders
19%
Institutional shareholders
48%
January 2012 4
Strong Operating Performance
679642
635-685
Kumtor
Boroo
2010 2011 2012E
2011 Production:– Kumtor – 583,156 oz– Boroo – 59,224 oz
2012 Estimated Production:– Kumtor 575,000 – 625,000 oz– Boroo 60,000 oz
Gold Production(‘000 oz)
January 2012 5
-7,500
-6,500
-5,500
-4,500
-3,500
-2,500
-1,500
-500
500
1,500
2,500
3,500
4,500
5,500
6,500
7,500
8,500
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Boroo Ounces MinedKumtor Ounces MinedGatsuurt ReservesBoroo ReservesKumtor Reserves
Centerra – Reserves and Ounces MinedA
u O
un
ces
( ‘0
00
’s )
Reserves
7.1 million Cumulative
Ounces Mined Since
2003
8.2 millionounces
Ian Atkinson is the Qualified Person for purposes of NI 43-101 please see Centerra’s AIF and technical reports filed on SEDAR.January 2012 6
Expand Our Exploration
$25
$31
$40
$45
2009 2010 2011 2012E
● Over 50% of 2012 exploration budget on our land holdings
– Kumtor: $15M– Mongolia: $8M– JV’s in Russia, Turkey, China
Nevada: +$12M
● Kumtor focus– SB and Stockwork Zones– Regional drilling
● Mongolia focus– ATO and other land holdings
ExplorationExpenditures
$M
January 2012 7
Expand Exploration; Significant Potential in Asia
Peschanka-Chukotskiy2.7 M oz
Chang Shan Hao 217 8.0 M oz
Oyu Tolgoi26.4 M oz
Ereen2.6 M oz
Olon Ovoot1.9 M oz
Sukoi Log44.8 M oz
Lugokanskoye5.3 M oz
Brystrinskoye8.9 M oz
Chertovo Koryto5.6 M oz
Kuranakh6.8 M oz
Golets Visochaishiy2.6 M oz
Baleyskoe5.1 M oz
Taseyevskoe4.6 M oz
Itakinskoye3.2 M oz
Copler6 M oz
Vasilkovskoe11 M oz
Bakyrchik13 M oz
Muruntau180 M oz
Amantaytau3.5 M oz
Kuru-Tegerek3.1 M oz
Jerooy3.3 M oz
Arxi5.6 M oz
Taldybulak L.1.0 M oz
Varvarinskoye5 M oz
Taldybulak6.2 M oz
Charaat4 M oz
Maoling7.6 M oz
Golden Hills1.1 M oz
Olympiada13 M oz
Titimukhta2.6 M oz
Bobolyubovo2.2 M oz
Vorontosovskoe2.6 M oz
Blagodatnoe8.4 M oz
Svetlinskoye1.5 M oz
Yubileyniy-Bashkortostan
5.1 M oz
Efemcukuru2 M oz
Daugyztau6 M oz
Kochbulak3 M oz
Jilau3 M oz
Zarmitan8 M oz
Unkurtask5 M oz
Kisladag8 M oz
Ovacik1 M oz
Jinfeng8.2 M oz
Laizhou10.7 M oz
Yingezhuang5.2 M oz
Zenyuan5.2 M oz
Anba2.9 M oz
Dachang2.9 M oz
Baguamiao2.8 M oz
Zijinshan2.8 M oz
Jinling2.7 M oz
Chongli Zijin2.3 M oz
Natalka68.6 M oz
Nezdaninskoye13.8 M oz
Kupol4.3 M oz
Kubaka2.6 M oz
Malomyr5.3 M oz
Pioneer5.3 M oz
Bamskoe (Chulbango)
3.1 M oz
Makmal1.7 M oz
Mnogovershinnoe2.3 M oz
Overnovskoe3.3 M oz
Veduga4.8 M oz
Centerra brings unique expertise
OksutSTI JV
ElmaliEMX JV
AkarcaEMX JV
Kara BeldyrCAG JV
ATO
Boroo2.5 M oz
Gatsuurt2 M oz
Kumtor19 M oz
Centerra Property
Centerra JV
Gold Deposit > 2M oz
Known Gold Deposit
AltunhisarSTI JV
LaogouxiHDS JV
DvoinoyeJV
January 2012 8
1
2
3
Our Focus is on Growth
Maximize existing operations
Expand our exploration
Acquisitions or JV’s
Growth
January 2012 9
Appendix
Kyrgyz Republic MongoliaRussian Federation
China
Kazakhstan Mongolia
BorooGatsuurt
Ulaanbaatar
Russian Federation
Mongolia
China
Kazakhstan
Kumtor
Kyrgyz Republic
Two Solid Growth Platforms
Kumtor Reserves and ResourcesDec. 31, 2010
● P & P – open pit 6.3 m oz● M & I – open pit 4.1 m oz● Inferred – open pit 0.8 m oz
● Inferred – underground2.0 m oz
Ian Atkinson is the Qualified Person for purposes of NI 43-101 please see Centerra’s AIF and technical reports filed on SEDAR.
● 2011 gold production 642,380 oz● 2012 expected gold production of 575,000 to 625,000 oz
@ cash costs of $430 to $465/ozJanuary 2012 12
K U M T O R
Concession Area
● Area of 26,300 hectares
● Concession expires 2042
● 14% revenue-based tax
● 2 portals in place
● Declines advancing
1st Decline Portal2nd Decline Portal
January 2012 13
December 31st 2009
K U M T O R
Central Pit - Longitudinal Section
Ian Atkinson is the Qualified Person for purposes of NI 43-101 please see Centerra’s AIF and technical reports filed on SEDAR.January 2012
September 30th 2011
No Data
No Data
KS11 Pit Design
KS10 Pit Design
Decline PositionSept. 30, 2011
Decline PositionsSept. 30, 2011
14
1st
Portal
2nd
Portal
North
KS11 Final Pit
560m435m max
strike length beneath pit
width up to 50m, average approx. 20m
width up to 50m, average approx. 20m
390m max strike length beneath pit
SB Underground High-Grade Zone
1.4M oz Inferred @ 15.3 g/t
Stockwork Underground Zone
0.6M oz Inferred @ 12.1 g/t
K U M T O R
Underground Development
Decline1 PositionSept. 30, 2011
Stockwork Decline Position
Sept. 30, 2011
Decline2 PositionSept 30, 2011
January 2012 15Ian Atkinson is the Qualified Person for purposes of NI 43-101 please see Centerra’s AIF and technical reports filed on SEDAR.
K U M T O R
New Exploration Areas
Kumtor Concession 263 km2
Karasay License 139 km2
Koendy License 134 km2
Kumtor Central Pit
SouthwestDesign Pit
Sarytor Design Pit
0 5 10
kilometres
January 2012 16
25 26 km242320 21 2218 1915 16 1711 12 14138 9 104 5 6 71 2 30
3800
3400
SSEBESHMOYNOK
RIDGE
KARASAYVALLEY
KARASAYPROSPECT
TARGET
SCHEMATIC GEOLOGICAL CROSS-SECTION - LINE A-A'(vertical exaggeration 1:2)
AKSHYRAKRIDGE
KARASAYGLACIER
KUMTORDEPOSIT
4600NNW
KUMTORVALLEY
4200
NIK
OLA
EVLI
NE
ATB
ASH
I-IN
ILC
HEK
FAU
LT
S2-D1C2
S1?C3S2-D1Pg-N
D2-3S1?
VPR1?sr
C1-2 V R3-VPR1?sr
Pg-N C1
5.000
kilometers
0
Known mineralization zone
Other major Paleozoic faults
Supposed mineralization zone
Major Alpine steep faults
Recent sediments (QIII-QIV)
Major Alpine thrust
Major Paleozoic thrust
Glacier
Ophiolitic melange (O?)
Sericitic shale (S2-D1); hornfels
Basalt (S2-D1); hornfels
Specled shale (O3-S1?)
Quartz-biotite schist, metabasalt (O-S1?)
Limestone (C1-2); sandstone (C1)
Red clay, conglomerate-breccia (Pg-N) Red-brown conglomerate (C2)
Marblized limestone with gypsum (D2-3)
Arkoses, tuffs, basalts, rhyolites (R3-V) Granite, granodiorite (C3)
Middle Tien-Shan South Tien-Shan
Gneiss, marble, schists (PR1)
Alpine tectonic melange
Ore-bearing rocks - phyllites (Cm-V)
Black cherty, limestone (Cm2-O1)
Granite, diorite (PR?sr)
Aulerolite (O1-2)
Sandstone (O2-3)
Legend:
5SCHEMATIC GEOLOGICAL CROSS-SECTION, LINE A-A’
KUMTORDEPOSIT
KARASAYPROSPECT
TARGET
K U M T O R
Karasay Prospect
January 2012 17
Kyrgyz Republic MongoliaRussian Federation
China
Kazakhstan Mongolia
BorooGatsuurt
Ulaanbaatar
Russian Federation
Mongolia
China
Kazakhstan
Kumtor
Kyrgyz Republic
Two Solid Growth Platforms
Mongolian Reserves and ResourcesDec.31, 2010
● Proven & Probable Reserves– Boroo 0.4 m oz– Gatsuurt 1.5 m oz
● Measured & Indicated Resources– Boroo 0.24 m oz– Gatsuurt 0.43 m oz
● Inferred Resources– Boroo 0.23 m oz– Gatsuurt 0.49 m oz
Ian Atkinson is the Qualified Person for purposes of NI 43-101 please see Centerra’s AIF and technical reports filed on SEDAR.
● 2011 gold production 59,224 oz
● 2012 expected gold production of 60,000 oz @ cash costs of $810/oz
ATO
January 2012 18
M O N G O L I A
Gatsuurt Deposit
Dulaahhaan
Suhbaatar
BatsumberBornuur
Mandal
Dzuunharaa
Sharingol
Dzuunmod
Nalayh
ULAANBAATAR
Bayanchandmani
Darhan
Yoroo
ShaamarDzuunburen
Jargalant
Barunnharaa
Orhon
Sant
AltanbulagArhust
Bayandelger
SonginoLun
BayantsogtDumdaUrtaiin
Bayshing
Ugtaaltsaydam
GATSUURTDEPOSIT
BOROO MINE
ULAAN BULAGDEPOSIT
RUSSIA
MONGOLIA
50°N
50°N
49 °N
49°N
48°N
48°N
108°E
108°E
107°E
107°E
106°E
106°E
Drawing modified after Strathcona 2004.
Lambert Conformal Conic ProjectionDatum: Pulkovo 1942, Russia
0 50
kilometres
MONGOLIA
Detailed Map Area
January 2012 19
M O N G O L I A
Mongolia Update
● Boroo Heap Leach permit pending – Potential to add about 2,000 oz per month
● Gatsuurt road construction and site prep complete
● Gatsuurt approvals pending– Ready to begin production of oxide ore on receipt of final approvals
● Expand processing options, add bio-oxidation facility
January 2012 20
Prov ince boundary
Mining license
Exploration license
Railway
Main road
LEGEND
20 0 20 40
Kilometers
ULAANBULAG PROJECT
DARKHAN PROJECT
BOROO PROJECT
GATSUURT PROJECT
YALBAG PROJECT
KHUDER PROJECT
TOLGOIT PROJECT
MUNKH KHAAN PROJECT
UUL BAYAN PROJECT
46.5
°
106 °
48 °
49.5
°
109 °107.5 °
106 ° 107.5 ° 109 °
110.5 ° 112 ° 113.5 °
113.5 °110.5 ° 112 °
48 °49.5 °
46.5 °
0 50kilometres
100
Darkhan-Uul
Selenge
Sukhbaatar
Tuv
Khentii
Dornod
Darkhan-Uul
Selenge
Sukhbaatar
Tuv
Khentii
Dornod
Microsoft Bing © 2010 Microsoft CorporationMicrosoft Bing © 2010 Microsoft CorporationMicrosoft Bing © 2010 Microsoft CorporationMicrosoft Bing © 2010 Microsoft CorporationMicrosoft Bing © 2010 Microsoft CorporationMicrosoft Bing © 2010 Microsoft CorporationMicrosoft Bing © 2010 Microsoft CorporationMicrosoft Bing © 2010 Microsoft CorporationMicrosoft Bing © 2010 Microsoft Corporation
Province boundary
Mining license
Exploration license
Railway
Main road
LEGEND
M O N G O L I A
ATO Location and Land Holdings in Mongolia
YeroogolAu Trend
Onon Au–AgBase metal Trend
UlaanbaatarChoibalsan
Russia
ATO Project
January 2012 21
M O N G O L I A
ATO District Targets
ATO
DavkharTolgoi
BayanMunkh
HighLand
BayanGol
DuutNuur
5 kilometres22January 2012
Pipe 4
Pipe 1
Pipe 2Pipe 3
M O N G O L I A
Altan Tsagaan Ovoo (ATO)
January 2012 23
M O N G O L I A
ATO Prospect, Drillhole Location Plan Map
January 2012 24Ian Atkinson is the Qualified Person for purposes of NI 43-101 please see Centerra’s AIF and technical reports filed on SEDAR.
M O N G O L I A – Q3 2011
ATO Prospect, Section 11 SE
January 2012 25Ian Atkinson is the Qualified Person for purposes of NI 43-101 please see Centerra’s AIF and technical reports filed on SEDAR.