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June 9, 2017 City of Los Angeles 2017 General Obligation Bonds Investor Presentation

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Page 1: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

June 9, 2017

City of Los Angeles 2017 General Obligation Bonds

Investor Presentation

Page 2: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

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The Investor Presentation you are about to view is provided as of June 9, 2017 for a proposed offering of the City of Los Angeles (the “Issuer”) General Obligation Bonds, Series 2017-A (Taxable) and General Obligation Refunding Bonds, Series 2017-B (Tax-Exempt) (collectively, the “Bonds”). If you are viewing this presentation after June 9, 2017, events may have occurred that have a material adverse effect on the financial information presented. Neither the Municipal Advisors mentioned in this presentation (the “Municipal Advisors”), nor the Issuer have undertaken any obligation to update this presentation. The information presented is not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and is subject to change without notice. You agree not to duplicate, copy, download, screen capture, electronically store, or record this presentation, nor to produce, publish or distribute this presentation in any form whatsoever.

This Investor Presentation is provided for your information and convenience only. Any investment decisions regarding the Bonds should be made only after a careful review of the complete Preliminary Official Statement relating to the Bonds. This Investor Presentation does not constitute a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other financial instrument or to adopt any investment strategy. Any offer or solicitation with respect to the Bonds will be made by means of a Preliminary Official Statement or Official Statement that will describe the actual terms of the Bonds. In no event shall the Issuer or Municipal Advisors be liable for any use by any party of, any decision made or action taken by any party in reliance on, any inaccuracies or errors in, or any omissions from, the information contained herein and such information may not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of participating in any transaction mentioned herein. Nothing in these materials constitutes a commitment by the Issuer to enter into any transaction.

Neither the Issuer or Municipal Advisors provide tax advice. Any statements contained herein as to tax matters were neither written nor intended to be used and cannot be used by any taxpayer for the purpose of avoiding tax penalties that may be imposed on such taxpayer.

Disclaimer

Page 3: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

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Transaction Summary

____________________ *Preliminary; subject to change

Issuer City of Los Angeles

Bonds General Obligation Bonds, Series 2017-A (Taxable)

General Obligation Refunding Bonds, Series 2017-B (Tax-Exempt)

Par Size $86,585,000* $82,815,000*

Ratings (Moody’s/S&P/Fitch/Kroll) Aa2/AA/AA-/AA Aa2/AA/AA-/AA

Use of Proceeds

(i) Finance projects for providing housing for the homeless and for those in danger of becoming homeless; (ii) Provide facilities to increase access to mental health care, drug and alcohol treatment, and other services pursuant to the Proposition HHH Authorization, and (iii) Pay costs of issuance

Full refunding of Series 2005-B, Series 2006-A and Series 2008-A

Security Ad valorem taxes that may be levied, without limitation as to rate or amount (subject to certain exceptions), upon property subject to taxation by the City

Tax Status Federally taxable; California state tax-exempt

Federally tax-exempt; California state tax-exempt

Amortization September 1, 2018-2037* September 1, 2018-2027*

Call Provisions 10-year par call* Non-callable*

Sale Method Competitive

Sale Date Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Closing Date Thursday, July 13, 2017

Page 4: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

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Economic Highlights

12.1% 10.9%

8.7%

7.0% 5.6%

5.0%

7.0%

9.0%

11.0%

13.0%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Une

mpl

oym

ent R

ate

Source: California Employment Development Department

City of Los Angeles Unemployment Rate

• Continued job growth and wage gains have increased personal income for residents and boosted taxable sales

• Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015

• Unemployment rate continues to decline in Los Angeles

• Wages and private employment continue to rise

• Significant employment gains in high-wage jobs (e.g., higher education and information sectors)

• Property values continue to rise in Los Angeles

• Fueled by strong homebuyer demand 2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

$300

$400

$500

$600

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Perc

enta

ge C

hage

Asse

ssed

Val

ue (i

n bi

llion

s)

Source: County of Los Angeles, Office of the Assessor, Annual Reports

City of Los Angeles Assessed Valuation (Net Total Revenue-Producing Valuations)

Assessed Value YOY Change

$8,500$9,000$9,500

$10,000$10,500$11,000$11,500

Q1'12

Q2'12

Q3'12

Q4'12

Q1'13

Q2'13

Q3'13

Q4'13

Q1'14

Q2'14

Q3'14

Q4'14

Q1'15

Q2'15

Q3'15

Q4'15

Q1'16

Taxa

ble

Sale

s in

$ M

illio

ns

City of Los Angeles Quarterly Taxable Sales

Source: California State Board of Equalization

Page 5: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

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Fiscal Year 2016-17 Budget Highlights

• Strong reserve balances Began Fiscal Year 2016-17 with Reserve Fund of 5.99% and total reserves of 7.94% After addressing unanticipated liability expenditures and other shortfalls, Reserve

Fund continues to be strong, estimated in the Adopted Budget to be at 6.70% at year-end

Including the Budget Stabilization Fund, total reserves are estimated at 8.40% at year-end

• Managed budget challenges through Financial Status Reports

At mid-year, budget shortfall projected at $57 million At year-end, managed budget shortfalls by identifying surpluses within budgeted

funds and additional revenue Revenues slightly trail revised budget; any shortfall to be addressed primarily from

reversions Reserve Fund was used to pay unexpected liability claims

o City considering issuance of Judgment Obligation Bonds o Bonds currently in validation process

Page 6: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

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Fiscal Year 2017-18 Adopted Budget

• Budget projects meeting the City’s major policy targets Appropriated 1.28% of General Fund to capital

improvements, exceeding target of at least 1%

Reserve Fund at 5.12% of General Fund revenues, above the 5% policy level

Nominal deposits to the Budget Stabilization Fund, but $75 million of growth in economically sensitive tax revenues are budgeted for capital improvements

Applied all one-time revenues ($65 million) for one-time expenditures ($108 million)

Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer

Budget ($ Millions)

Budget Component Adopted 2016-17

Adopted 2017-18

Percent Change

General Fund $ 5,576.4 $ 5,826.5 4.5%

Special Funds $ 3,200.6 $ 3,465.6 8.3%

Total $ 8,777.0 $ 9,292.1 5.9%

*Actuals as of July 1st for each year except 2017-18

3.64% 3.49% 4.23% 4.52%

6.83%

8.57% 9.10% 10.47%

7.94% 7.09%

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

$0.0

$100.0

$200.0

$300.0

$400.0

$500.0

$600.0

2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18(Adopted)

Mill

ions

BUDGET RESERVES (Reserve Fund, Budget Stabilization Fund, and Unappropriated Balance Reserves)

Emergency Reserve Contingency Reserve Budget Stabilization Fund UB Reserves Total Percentage of General Fund

Page 7: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

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General Fund Revenues

0.0

1,000.0

2,000.0

3,000.0

4,000.0

5,000.0

6,000.0

7,000.0

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

$ M

illio

ns

GENERAL FUND REVENUE (2001-2016 Actual, 2017 Estimated, 2018 Adopted Budget, 2019-2022 Projected)

Other Revenues (-6.3%)Parking Users' Tax (2.6%)Documentary Transfer Tax (3.5%)Transient Occupancy Tax (6.9%)Sales Tax (1.9%)Business Tax (0.4%)Utility Users' Tax (4.7%)License, Permit, Fees, and Fines (16.5%)Property Tax (includes VLF) (2.2%)

Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer

• “Other Revenues” include power revenue transfer, parking fines, Reserve Fund transfer, ex-CRA tax increment, franchise income, Special Parking Revenue Fund transfer, interest, grants, tobacco settlement, Telecommunications Development Account transfer, and residential development tax.

Note: % indicates change from Fiscal Year 2016-17 to Fiscal Year 2017-18

Fiscal Year

Page 8: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

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City Pension Systems

Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer

• LAFPP reduced its investment rate of return from 7.50% to 7.25% and adopted new demographic assumptions, which will impact City contributions beginning in 2018-19. LACERS will consider reduction of its investment rate of return later in the year. Impact to the General Fund will be based on the Contribution Rates that include the investment rate as well as other factors such as economic and demographic assumptions.

25.3% 26.6%

28.8% 28.2% 27.1% 27.4% 27.9% 28.1% 28.4%

44.4%

47.9% 46.5%

44.5% 44.3% 43.1%

44.5% 43.8% 41.5%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

50.00%

2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19(Projected)

2019-20(Projected)

2020-21(Projected)

2021-22(Projected)

LACERS and LAFPP Contribution Rates**

LACERS* LAFPP____________ * LACERS rates are Tier 1 only through 2016-17 ** Projections are based on an analysis by an actuary commissioned by the CAO, based on 7.5% investment rate

72.6% 73.0% 73.4% 73.9% 74.6%

87.4% 88.0% 88.7% 89.3% 89.9%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22

Projected Funded Ratio for LACERS and LAFPP Pension and Health**

LACERS LAFPP

Page 9: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

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2017 General Obligation Bonds

____________________ *Preliminary; subject to change

• On November 8, 2016, voters approved the Homelessness Reduction and Prevention, Housing and Facilities Bonds – Proposition HHH

• The Series 2017-A Bonds will be the inaugural series of bonds issued under this $1.2 billion bond authorization:

Expect to issue once per year over 10 years

Level principal amortization similar to City’s other GOs

• Bond proceeds will be used for the City’s:

Permanent Supportive Housing Loan Program for the homeless and those in danger of becoming homeless

Facilities Program to increase access to mental healthcare, drug and alcohol treatment and other services

2017-A (Taxable) Issue Details*

Proceeds: $86,585,000 Sale Method: Competitive Sale - Issue Date: 6/27/2017 - 7/13/2017

Purpose: Proposition HHH

Final Maturity: 2037

2017-B (Tax-Exempt) Refunding Summary*

Par Amount: $82,815,000 Par Refunded: $114,440,000

Present Value Savings: $11,593,156

Present Value Savings (%): 10.13%

Purpose: Full refunding of 2005-B, 2006-A and 2008-A

Page 10: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

Financing Schedule

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June July S M T W T F S S M T W T F S 1 2 3 1 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 25 26 27 28 29 30 23 24 25 26 27 28 29

30 31

Key Dates*

POS Available Friday, June 9, 2017

Sale Date Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Closing Thursday, July 13, 2017

____________________ *Preliminary; subject to change.

Page 11: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

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Finance Team Contact Information

Municipal Advisors

Michelle Issa Public Resources Advisory Group (310) 477-2786 [email protected]

Eddie McRoberts Omnicap Group LLC (310) 318-3094 [email protected]

Issuer and Obligor: City of Los Angeles

Natalie R. Brill Chief of Debt Management Office of the City Administrative Officer

(213) 473-7500 [email protected]

Ha To Finance Specialist Office of the City Administrative Officer

(213) 473-7500 [email protected]

Page 12: City of Los Angelescao.lacity.org/debt/City of LA 2017AB GO Roadshow.pdf · • Q1 2016 saw an improvement of 2.2% over the same period in 2015 • Unemployment rate continues to

http://cao.lacity.org/Debt/

City’s Investor Relations Website

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