city of novato 2014 greenhouse gas emissions...
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City of Novato2014 GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS INVENTORY
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Marin Climate & Energy Partnership
Partnership of all Marin jurisdictions, MCE, TAM and
MMWD
Working together since 2007
Develop greenhouse gas inventories, climate action
plans, model ordinances and policies
Implement mutual climate
action programs like
Resilient Neighborhoods
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Marin Sustainability Tracker
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State of the Climate 2016
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400+ ppm
Carbon Dioxide Levels Are Rising
For millennia, atmospheric carbon dioxide had never been above this liner
Source: NASA
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Global Surface Temperatures Are Rising
2016
Source: NASA
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Melting ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica
Sea levels have already risen 8”
Projected to rise 3 feet by 2100 -- and maybe more
Consequences of Climate Change
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Warming oceans
Coral reef bleaching
Ocean acidification
Consequences of Climate Change
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Changing and migrating flora and fauna
Consequences of Climate Change
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More wildfires
Heat waves, droughts, desertification and climate refugees
More intense storms
Consequences of Climate Change
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On a path to increase temperatures 4o C
by 2100
Need to limit warming to 2o C to avoid
catastrophic impacts of climate change
We’re already halfway there!
Where We’re Headed
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Good News
The Paris Agreement was ratified and went into force on November 4.
International Civil Aviation Organization plan to offset airplane emissions.
Cost of wind and solar keep falling -- and utility scale plants can be cheaper to build than new coal and natural gas power plants even without government subsidies.
Governor Brown: “California will launch its own damn satellite.”
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Greenhouse Gas Reduction Goals
AB 32 (2006)
1990 levels by 2020
AB 32 Scoping Plan 15% below “current” (2008) levels by 2020
SB 32 (2016)
40% below 1990 by 2030
Executive Order S-3-05
80% below 1990 by 2050
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Novato Addresses GHG Emissions
Greenhouse gas inventories since 2005
Climate Action Plan adopted in 2009 and is being
incorporated into General Plan 2035
Goal to reduce emissions 15% below 2005
baseline emissions by 2020 and 40% by 2035
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Sector Share of Emissions 2014
Residential24%
Transportation
48%
Waste3%
Water & Wastewater
<1%
Off-Road1%
Commercial20%
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Annual Inventories
Annual inventories for years 2005-2014
Updated historical energy use data
Updated historical transportation emission factors
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Trend in Community Emissions
-11%Baseline
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
MTC
O2e
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Sector Reductions
Change from
2005
% Change
from 2005
Residential Energy -20,297 -24%
Commercial Energy -5,179 -9%
Transportation -1,358 -1%
Waste -3,642 -32%
Water -289 -13%
Wastewater 435 +6%
Off-Road -540 -13%
TOTAL -30,870 -11%
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Sector Share of Reductions
Residential65%
Transportation4%
Waste12%
Water 1%
Off-Road2%
Commercial16%
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Electricity Use
Electricity use declined 2% between 2013 and 2014 and less
than 1% since 2005.
Residential electricity use accounts for about 44% of electricity
use.
Residential electricity use
declined 5% but
commercial electricity use
went up 3%.
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
kW
hs
(Tho
usa
nd
s)
Commercial Residential
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Solar is Making Gains
175 solar energy systems
installed in the Novato
area (including
unincorporated areas) in
2014.
1,148 systems as of
September 2016.
96% are residential.0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
Solar PV Systems Installed in Novato Area
Annual Installed Solar Capacity
Previous Years' Installed Solar Capacity
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Electricity Emissions
Electricity emissions declined 5% between 2013 and 2014
and 25% since 2005.
Mostly due to lower carbon intensity.
PG&E electricity 11% less carbon intensive over 2005.
MCE electricity 23% less carbon intensive than PG&E in 2014.
MCE carries 61% of the load.
About 0.4% of MCE customers
are Deep Green.
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
MTC
O2e
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Natural Gas Use
Natural gas use and emissions declined 12% since
2005.
Natural gas use is
highly correlated
with outdoor
temperatures.
Source (heating degree days): U.S. Department of Commerce, National Climatic Data Center
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Heating D
egre
e D
ays
Natu
ral G
as
Use
(th
erm
s)
Natural Gas Use, 2005-2014
Natural Gas Use Heating Degree Days
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Transportation
Vehicle Miles Travelled has increased 2% since 2005, but
transportation emissions have declined 1%.
Due to improved vehicle fuel efficiency (and low-carbon fuels).
Source: Caltrans Highway Performance Monitoring System Public Roads Data
0
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
250,000,000
300,000,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Vehicle Miles Travelled
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Waste Disposal
Source (unemployment rates): California Employment Development Department
Landfilled waste has declined 27% since 2005.
Waste disposal has
maintained declines
despite improved
economy.
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Landfilled Waste
Waste (tons) Marin County Unemployment Rate
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Community Emissions Recap
2005 Baseline
2020 Target
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2005 2010 2015 2020
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Compared to Future Targets
2020 Goal
2030 State Goal
2050 State Goal
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
2030 Local Goal
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Questions?
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Implementation of Novato CAP
Conversion of 4,500+ street lights to LEDs
Solar panels at 5 City facilities
New Administrative Offices building built to LEED Silver stds.
Cal Green Building code with Tier 1 for new construction and
15% more energy efficient
Approval of 5 PACE loan providers for energy/water
efficiency upgrades
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Climate Action Coordinator
Coordinating City facility & fleet efficiency measures
Staffing internal Green Team to promote resource reduction in
city operations
Promoting: waste reduction, energy efficiency, Resilient
Neighborhoods program
Coordinating Transportation Demand Management programs
at major employers
Coordinating City response to Sea Level Rise Vulnerability
report
Seeking grants
Monitoring and updating CAP and GHG inventory
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Climate Action Coordinator
Salary + benefits: $100,000 annually
Operating/marketing expenses: $20,000 annually