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Click to edit Master subtitle style 10/26/09 Briefing for the Portfolio Committee on Mineral Resources 21 October 2009

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Page 1: Click to edit Master subtitle style 10/26/09 Briefing for the Portfolio Committee on Mineral Resources 21 October 2009

Click to edit Master subtitle style

10/26/09

Briefing for the Portfolio Committee on Mineral Resources

21 October 2009

Page 2: Click to edit Master subtitle style 10/26/09 Briefing for the Portfolio Committee on Mineral Resources 21 October 2009

Agenda

1. Introduction to Xstrata

2. Xstrata’s position on transformation

2. State Owned Mining Company

2. Electricity considerations

2. Displacement of Ferrochrome market share to China

2

Page 3: Click to edit Master subtitle style 10/26/09 Briefing for the Portfolio Committee on Mineral Resources 21 October 2009

Introduction to Xstrata

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Xstrata plc head office Zug, Switzerland

(Corporate office in London)

Xstrata Nickel head office Toronto, Canada

Xstrata Copper head office

Brisbane, Australia

Xstrata Zinc head office Madrid, Spain

Xstrata Alloys head office Rustenberg, South Africa Xstrata Coal head office

Sydney, Australia

Xstrata plc head office Zug, Switzerland

(Corporate office in London)

Xstrata Nickel head office Toronto, Canada

Xstrata Copper head office

Brisbane, Australia

Xstrata Zinc head office Madrid, Spain

Xstrata Alloys head office Rustenberg, South Africa Xstrata Coal head office

Sydney, Australia

4

Rapidly growing into a major global diversified

Listed on the London Stock Exchange since 2002

Over 68,000 employees in 19

countries

Included in FTSE-100 and S&P

Global 100 indices

Market capitalisation of US$48bn

Major producer of

- Base metals: copper, lead,

nickel and zinc

- Bulks: coking coal, thermal

coal, ferrochrome and

vanadium

- Precious metals: silver and gold

(by-products) and growing

platinum business

Significant and long-standing

presence in South Africa for over a

decade

Corporate Social Responsibility

Annual profits*, US$ million

Note: *Earnings before income tax and depreciation

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5

Annual profits* by geography

Annual profits* by commodity

Global industry positions

Note: *Earnings before income tax

#1

#1

#1

#4 #

5

#3

Leading positions in attractive commodities

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Award-winning sustainability performance

Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI) awarded Xstrata plc as Global Super Sector Leader for Basic Resources for the second consecutive year

Business in the Community Corporate

Social Responsibility Index – Sector Leader

Business Excellence Award by the Global

Business Coalition on HIV/AIDS, TB and

Malaria

PWC Building Public Trust Awards 2008

Sustainability Reporting Category – Highly

Commended

Shortlisted for 2008 Association of

Chartered Certified Accountants (ACCA)

Annual UK Sustainability Reporting Awards

COMPANY OVERVIEW

Xstrata Alloys (South Africa)

Xstrata Coal South AfricaXstrata South African operations total

Xstrata plc

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009(MAY)

Xstrata plcXstrata South African operations

Xstrata safety performance Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate (TRIFR)

(per million hours worked)

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7

Long-standing and ongoing commitment to South Africa

- Ferrochrome, vanadium, platinum and coal

25,000 South African employees with Chrome head

quarters in Rustenburg and coal office in

Johannesburg

Over R45bn invested in SA since 2002, including:

- R8.7bn in coal

- R1.67bn in ferrochrome

- R21.6bn in platinum

4,400 new permanent jobs created since 2002

Over R300m invested in skills, training and

development programmes since 2002

R32m invested in employee, community health and

wellness in 2008 alone

World-class safety record in local operations

Leading HIV/AIDS programme

Xstrata’s South African operations

Xstrata in South Africa

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8

Growing commitment to South Africa

Xstrata continues to increase its exposure and investment in South Africa

- Significant investments coming on stream – R3.1bn Goedgevonden Mine

- New investments recently announced – R3.2bn ATCOM East operation

- Possible Project Lion Phase II with additional 360kt of ferrochrome per annum

(expected to cost more than Phase I - c.R1.67bn)

- Eland Platinum Mine underground expansion (expected to cost more than R2bn)

- The proposed merger with Anglo American would have increased Xstrata’s presence in

South Africa

Xstrata owns 24.9% of Lonmin plc, which is a significant investor in the South African

platinum industry

Continuing investments in employee and community health and wellness

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Xstrata’s position on transformation

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Xstrata’s commitment to transformation

10

Xstrata views the Mining Charter review as an opportunity to participate in shaping the next chapter of transformation

Xstrata understands the importance of transformation in South Africa and is committed to embracing the spirit of empowerment

- Good progress made against the Mining Charter, with all measurable targets

achieved

- Ownership targets achieved across all operations

- Employment Equity in line with targets, however recognising that further progress

can be achieved

Recent promulgation of legislation has necessitated Xstrata to clarify and communicate

its position on transformation to key stakeholders

- The Codes of Good Practice for the Minerals Industry were recently gazetted and the

Mining Charter review process has commenced

Furthermore, government has outlined its key strategic priorities, the basis of which can

be traced to the ANC Polokwane conference in December 2007

- Strategic priorities will guide policy decision (e.g. empowerment legislation)

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Xstrata’s approach to the next chapter in transformation

Constructively engage government and other stakeholders in respect of current and proposed mining empowerment legislation

- A recommended integrated approach to the Mining Charter review process and the

assessment of the Codes of Good Practice for the Minerals Industry

Propose that current and future mining empowerment legislation is broad based and

takes cognisance of

- Current national imperatives

- Increased focus on job creation, training, skills development, development of

black enterprises, social-economic development and poverty alleviation

- Increased emphasis on broad based and community beneficiaries across all

pillars

- The industry’s progress to date against the Mining Charter

- Current and proposed mining empowerment legislation and the Codes of Good

Practice issued by the Department of Trade and Industry

11

Industry and government to collaborate in driving sustainable transformation as a strategic national imperative

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Xstrata’s key overarching principles

Substance should take precedence over legal form

- Moving beyond a tick-box exercise

Transformation legislation to be aligned to national imperatives

- Bias towards broad based and community beneficiaries across all pillars

- Propose the introduction of Enterprise Development as a new pillar

A transparent, fair and measureable balanced scorecard to be adopted

- Weighting of key elements to be in line with national imperatives

- Targets need to be stretched but achievable

Appropriate measures to ensure enforceability of existing and proposed legislation in a

transparent and fair manner

- Provide a reasonable opportunity to remedy non-compliance

- Ensure entrenchment of desired behaviour

12

A balanced scorecard approach, with stretched but achievable targets, aligned to the national imperatives

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Xstrata’s key principles

Ownership requirements

- Ownership target to be a minimum requirement for all participants in the mining

industry

- 26% Ownership target by 2014 is agreed and accepted

- Therefore, Ownership should be a prerequisite, over and above a Balanced

Scorecard

- Measurement methodology to be applicable to the mining industry

- Units of Production to be retained

- Leveraged transactions to be recognised

- Historical Ownership transactions and pending mining right applications should be

recognised under applicable legislation at the time they were completed / submitted

- New legislation should be applied prospectively

- No obligation on mining houses to re-empower operations when empowerment

partners divest with the approval of the DMR in terms of section 11 of the MPRDA

13

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A Balanced Scorecard

14

Skills Development

Greater weighting in a Balanced Scorecard Viewed as an important enabler to improve Employment Equity and

Management and Control Measured as a percentage of payroll Specific measures for women beneficiaries, particularly black women to be

included

Mine Community and Rural Development

Greater weighting in a Balanced Scorecard Limited meaningful and sustainable benefits have flowed to

communities impacted by mining operations Measured as a percentage of profit after tax, recognising contributions

towards Enterprise Development and Royalties Design a Housing Standard that is practical and feasible

Preferential Procurement

Realistic and pragmatic measures given mining industry requirements

Define “local” for capital, services and consumables procurement Broad based beneficiaries, with a focus on surrounding communities

Xstrata’s key principles

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A Balanced Scorecard

15

Beneficiation

Baseline for Beneficiation to be adopted under government’s Beneficiation Strategy

- Targets set to grow the levels of Beneficiation beyond the baseline Beneficiation should be seen as a contributor to Enterprise

Development, a national imperative Offsetting of excess Beneficiation against commitments of the other pillars

Enterprise Development

New pillar in line with national imperative Measured as a percentage of profit after tax, recognising contributions

towards Mine Community and Rural Development and Royalties Expenditure to broaden beneficiaries and lessen dependence on the

mining industry

Management and Control

Appropriate / stretched targets that are achievable Specific measures for gender representation, particularly black women

Employment Equity Appropriate / stretched targets that are achievable Specific measures for gender representation, particularly black women

Xstrata’s key principles

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State Owned Mining Company

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Government’s involvement in the mining industry

Xstrata acknowledges government’s intention to be more actively involved in the mining industry

- State Owned Mining Company (SOMC) to focus primarily on creating jobs and

increasing benefits to the economy from South Africa’s mineral wealth

Xstrata’s understanding of the role of the SOMC is that it will

- Compete with other companies in the industry fairly

- Not be given preferential treatment in applying for prospecting rights

- Consider acquisitive growth when it has sufficient capital, on a “willing buyer -

willing seller” principle

17

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Matters which require clarity from government

Government’s strategy for state owned enterprises

- Unclear which department will be responsible for the functioning of the SOMC

- Currently housed within the Central Energy Fund, and hence the Department of

Energy

- Potential for conflict of interest if it were to be housed under the Department of

Mineral Resources, who will then have regulatory oversight and operational

involvement

Measures to alleviate concerns surrounding governance issues such as granting the

AEMFC exemptions from the MPRDA application criteria

- Transparent mineral rights application and granting process must be maintained

- Industry regulations should apply equally to the SOMC

18

Industry requires clarity on the role and function of the SOMC

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Electricity considerations

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Impact of power supply constraints

20

Eskom is both a key supplier and customer of Xstrata

- Xstrata Alloys is a top four key industrial customer with an instantaneous collective

demand of c. 1,000MW

- Xstrata Coal is a key supplier of coal to Eskom

The progressive deterioration of Eskom’s supply capabilities, combined with an increasing

tariff price path, has adversely impacted Xstrata’s operations and the growth options of

its empowerment JV partners

Xstrata’s growth plans in South Africa are dependent on an internationally competitive

supply of electricity in terms of quality, reliability and pricing

- New generation capacity development lead time far outweighs that of mining

expansion projects

- The cost of production of ferrochrome is highly geared towards tariffs

- Future tariff uncertainty is hampering the development of accurate growth plans

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Key considerations

21

Xstrata accepts the need for tariff escalations to support a sustainable funding model subject to

- A transparent, cost reflective and progressive tariff plan

- Eskom maintaining its competitive edge over emerging mineral beneficiating

economies

Viability of non-Eskom generation is dependent on enabling legislation that ensures

transparent and fair treatment

- Lack of clarity regarding the implementation of recently gazetted non-Eskom

generation regulations

- Inherent conflict of interest with the Single Buyer Office currently housed within

Eskom

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Displacement of Ferrochrome market share to China

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Overview

South Africa enjoys a leading ferrochrome industry

- c. 65% of global chrome ore resources and

reserves and the number one supplier of

ferrochrome globally

- Capacity has grown by 7.5% p.a since 2004

- Local and offshore investments of c. R10bn in

local beneficiation capacity

- Employs c. 27,000 persons directly

- In 2008, South African ferrochrome total

revenue earned is c.US6.1bn

- Chrome is South Africa’s most beneficiated

mineral

- 2.3x higher margins on ore beneficiated into

ferrochrome than unbeneficiated ore exports

23

0.0

0.51.0

1.5

2.02.5

3.0

3.54.0

4.5

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

SA Ferrochrome Capacity (Mt)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Xstrata-Merafe SamancorIFM Tata Steel

Hernic ASA

Capital Invested (Rbn)

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`

Independent Ore Producers (Turkey, SA and India)

Independent Smelters (China, India) Stainless Steel

Producers (Over 90% of Ferrochrome Demand)

Integrated Stainless Steel Plants (Finland)

Source: CRU, XTA Analyses

SA Industry dominates Integrated ProducersBut sector fundamentals compromised as SA Industry market share is lost in favour of Chinese non-integrated production

86% 83%78% 76% 75%

51%44%

9%18%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Inte grate d P roduc e rs N on-Inte grate d P roduc e rs S A m arke t S hare C hina m arke t s hare

Chrome Industry Structure

Share of Production for Integrated and Non-Integrated (Independent Smelter) Production, and Market share

24

Integrated Producers (dominated by SA Producers)

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

'75 '77 '79 '81 '83 '85 '87 '89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09e '11e '13e

U S A W . E uro pe J apan O the r C hina

World Stainless Steel Melt Production 1975-2013, (Million tons)

Ferrochrome demand is driven by China stainless steelIn 2008 China produced 25% of global Stainless Steel and this is expected to increase to 38% by 2013

Source: CRU, XTA Analyses 25

Subsequently, China’s 2008 FeCr demand of 1.8 million tonnes is expected to increase to 4.3 million tonnes by 2013

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China ferrochrome production has respondedReducing the opportunity for South African Producers of ferrochrome to supply into China

26

Chinese Ferrochrome Consumption and Production Volume, ‘000 Tons

Source: CRU, XTA Analyses

Only 1% of global chrome resources are in China, with ferrochrome production being reliant on imported ore

SA Production response to Chinese demand is reduced by the increase in Chinese domestic production

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0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

Jan-04

Apr-04

Jul-04

Oct-04

Jan-05

Apr-05

Jul-05

Oct-05

Jan-06

Apr-06

Jul-06

Oct-06

Jan-07

Apr-07

Jul-07

Oct-07

Jan-08

Apr-08

Jul-08

Oct-08

Jan-09

Apr-09

E quivale nt F e C r e xports to C hina (from S A C hrom e ore e xports )

S A F e C r E xports to C hina

South African ore exports outperform ferrochrome South African ore export (equivalent chrome) growth to China has outperformed ferrochrome export growth by 2.5x

Source: Chinese Customs, XTA Analyses

China Monthly Import Volumes of Chrome Ore (Equivalent Ferrochrome) and Ferrochrome (‘000 Tons)

27

CAGR = 93%

CAGR = 37%

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C hina P roduction

S A Revenue Loss to Idle capacity

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 20080

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000S A Idle capacity

Source: CRU, XTA Analyses

28% SA capacity idle and displaced to ChinaSA estimated to have lost some US$2.5bn in revenue from displaced capacity in 2008

Ferrochrome Production ‘000 Tons (LHS), Revenue Loss from SA Industry Idle Capacity, Million Dollars (RHS)

28

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0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

2007 2009e

F e C r c ons um ption C hina produc tionR O W produc tion S A produc tion

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

1,750

2,000

2,250

2,500

2007 2009e

South African Ore Exports to China, ‘000 Tons FeCr Production & Consumption , ‘000 Tons

Source: Chinese Customs, XTA Analyses 29

FeCr Demand cut by 1.4 million tonsSA Industry cuts of 1.2 million tons FeCrChina growth in FeCr of 409kT

South Africa is now a ‘Swing Producer’Since 2007, South African industry has cut production to balance demand while

China ferrochrome has grown on the back of South African exports

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Indian Govt policy guides industry proposalLevies introduced on ore exports has curbed ore exports and increased domestic ferrochrome production

0

250

500

750

1,000

2006 2007 2008

FeCr product ion

O re (equiva lent FeCr) Exports to China

Source: CRU, XTA Analyses

Indian Ferrochrome Production and Ore (equivalent ferrochrome) exports to China, ‘000 Tons

30

Levy set at $50/t

Levy at $75/t

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Source: XTA Analyses

Return on capital (after tax) per ton of input ore, $/ton ore versus ROC (before tax)

31

IF M

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22%

IFM Smelting Capacity 265,000tIFM Capital Smelter ZAR3,000 millionIFM ROCE (15% after tax) $262/ ton alloy

$105/ ton ore

ROCE should inform quantum of levyA 15% ROCE on a typical smelting investment equates to some $105 per ton of ore beneficiated

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32

South African industry proposal is 3-foldObjective is to curb ore exports and preserve value addition in South Africa

1. Only Integrated Producers permitted to export chrome

2. Quota on ore equivalent to 30% of Integrated Producers’ ‘ore-equivalent’ ferrochrome

production

3. Industry recommends Levy of $100 per ton of ore

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Annexure A – Government’s national imperatives

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Government’s national imperatives

34

Strategic priorities for government

1Speeding up growth and transforming the economy to create decent work and sustainable livelihoods

2 Massive programme to build economic and social infrastructure

3Comprehensive rural development strategy linked to land and agrarian reform and food security

4 Strengthen the skills and human resource base

5 Improve the health profile of all South Africans

6 Intensify the fight against crime and corruption

7 Build cohesive, caring and sustainable communities

8 Pursuing African advancement and enhanced international cooperation

9 Sustainable Resource Management and use

10Building a developmental state including improvement of public services and strengthening democratic institutions

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Annexure B – Xstrata’s historical performance on transformation

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Xstrata’s historical performance on transformation

First major diversified miner to achieve ownership compliance under the Mining Charter

- Transactions concluded at an operational asset level

- Proactive approach to empowerment

- Competitive funding arrangements (acquisition, working capital and guarantees)

- Active participation in management and at board level

- Immediate access to cash flows

- Benefit from future expansions and marketing arrangements

- Community and broad-based involvement

36

Operation Date Interest BEE partner (s)

Alloys

Merafe (Chrome) July 200451% of equity in Merafe, which holds a 20.5% of a PSV with Xstrata

Royal Bafokeng, IDC

Mototolo (Platinum) July 2006 26% of JV Kagiso

Eland (Platinum) December 2007 26% of JV Ngazana

Bakwena (Vanadium) July 2007 26% of JV Bakwena-Ba-Mogopa

Coal July 2006 30% of equity (51% Goedgevonden) ARM (incl. ARM Coal)

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37

Employment Equity progress in line with the Mining Charter

- Management level

- c.41% HDSAs in Alloys (c.29% Black people)

- c.39% HDSAs in Coal (c.30% Black people)

- Women in mining

- c.14% HDSA women employees (c.9% Black women)

Alloys0%50%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 YTD

Total HDSAs Total Black people

Xstrata’s historical performance on transformation

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38

Progressive growth in BEE procurement - R9.1bn in 2008 from BEE suppliers (c.52% of total procurement)1

Effective procurement policy- Preference to HDSA-owned or controlled businesses in all discretionary

procurement- Support HDSA suppliers through management training and by sharing

technology and expertise- Encourage mainstream suppliers to partner with HDSA companies

Total

Notes:1. Excluding Xstrata Coal procurement for 2004 and 2005

Xstrata’s historical performance on transformation

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Annexure C – Comparison of applicable empowerment legislation

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40

Comparison of applicable empowerment legislation

DTI Codes Charter Mining Code

20% weighting

Exercisable voting rights in 6-10 years

– 25%+1 in hands of black persons

– 10% in hands of black women

Economic interest in 6-10 years

– 25% (of black people)

– 10% (of women)

Various others, e.g. broad-based, ESOPS

Realisation points depending on how much progress achieved over time

15% HDSAs in 5 years and 26% in 10 years

No weighting

Refers to HDSAs

Target for 2014

– 26% voting rights – 26% economic interest – 26% Net value

Net value only applicable after 2 years (from date of agreement)

– Net value measured as assets less acquisition debt

Flow through and modified flow through principles are introduced

10% weighting

Black persons on Board: 50% in years 6-10

50% Black executive directors

40% Black senior and other top management

Not directly in Charter, but refers to HDSA management control under ownership

Refers to black people and black women

Target of 40% on Executive Committee (by 2009)

Demonstrable HDSA fiduciary participation

15% weighting

Black persons not HDSA

Targets of 43-68% in 0-5 years, and 60-80% in 6-10 years for various levels of management (all adjusted for women)

Can only earn points after 40% exceeded

Adjustment for women: 50% of all targets

Refers to HDSAs

40% HDSAs

10% women

Refers to Black people and Black women

40% Black people in each of the following (by 2009)

– Top management, Senior management, Middle management, Junior management

10% Black women in management

Management control

Ownership

Employment equity

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41

DTI Codes Charter Mining Code

15% weighting

Black persons not HDSAs

3% of turnover spent on training of Black persons in 6-10 years (adjusted for women)

Adjustment for women: 50% of all targets

Refers to HDSAs

Career paths

Opportunity to become literate and numerate

Refers to HDSAs

100% of employees offered the opportunity (by 2005?)

– For skills development

– For learning programmes

– To be functionally literate and numerate

5% weighting

Focus on “Black” communities

1% of net profit after tax in years 6-10

Consultations in drawing up IDP and SLP

1% of net profit after tax

Not in DTI Codes Upgrading and conversions - SLP

100% of hostels upgraded into single accommodation apartments and/or converted into housing units (by 2014)

Mine community and rural development

Housing and living conditions

Human resource development

Comparison of applicable empowerment legislation

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42

DTI Codes Charter Mining Code

20% weighting

BEE procurement of 50% in 0-5 years and 70% in 6-10 years

Various others, e.g. SMME’s, black-owned and women-owned suppliers

Concept of discretionary spend

HDSAs given preferred supplier status

20% from local suppliers of capital goods in 0-5 years (30% in 6-10 years)

50% from local suppliers of services in 0-5 years (70% in 6-10 years)

15% from local suppliers of consumables in 0-5 years (30% in 6-10 years)

10% from Local BEE SMMEs in 0-5 years (and 20% in 6-10years)

15% from either 50% black owned or 30% black women owned in 0-5 years (and 20% in 10 years)

15% weighting

3% of net profit after tax in years 6-10

Not in Charter Not in Mining Code

Not in DTI Codes Identify levels and grow baseline

42% of annual production volume in percentage measured from the refined stage

Enterprise

development

Procurement

Beneficiation

Comparison of applicable empowerment legislation