clico (climate change, hydro-conflict and human security) jakob rhyner unu institute for environment...

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CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA | GWP-SA Symposium 26 Oct 2011, Maputo, Mozambique

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Page 1: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security)

Jakob Rhyner

UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn

12th WaterNet | WARFSA | GWP-SA Symposium

26 Oct 2011, Maputo, Mozambique

Page 2: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

UNU Facts and Figures

Founded in 1973

At present 14 Institutes in 12 countries

20 Associated institutions(e.g. University of Bonn)

Staff: around 600

Page 3: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

United Nations University

The Campus

Page 4: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

United Nations University

The Twinning Concept

UNU-FLORES

Institute for Integrated Management of Material Fluxes and of Resources

TU Dresden – Maputo

2nd Scoping Workshop Maputo, 24-25 Oct 2011

Page 5: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS)

EMSVA: Environmental Migration, Social Vulnerability & Adaptation Koko Warner

VARMAP: Vulnerability Assessment, Risk Management & Adaptive PlanningJoern Birkmann

EVES: Environmental Vulnerability & Ecosystem Services Fabrice Renaud

EGECHS: Enhancing Graduate Educational Capacities for Human SecurityJörg Szarzynski (since 1 Oct 2011)

Organized in 4 Sections:

Page 6: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

Water related EHS projects in Africa

WASCAL – West African Science Service Center onClimate Change and Adapted Land Use

(Benin, Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire,

Ghana, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Gambia, Togo, Senegal). BMBF

GermanyCLICO – Climate Change Hydro-Conflict and Human Security (UNU-EHS: Case study Niger). European Commission FP7

Page 7: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

Water related EHS projects in Africa

WASCAL – West African Science Service Center onClimate Change and Adapted Land Use

(Benin, Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire,

Ghana, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Gambia, Togo, Senegal). BMBF

GermanyCLICO – Climate Change Hydro-Conflict and Human Security (UNU-EHS: Case study Niger). European Commission FP7

Page 8: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

A three year project (2010 - 2012) financed by the European Commission which mobilizes 14 research teams from Europe, North Africa, Sahel and the Middle East.

It aims to fill this gap in knowledge over the social dimensions of climate change.

It examines whether hydro-climatic hazards such as droughts and floods intensify social conflicts or whether they catalyse cooperation in the Mediterranean, Middle East and Sahel,.

Eleven cases of hydro-conflicts will be studied ranging from Niger, Sudan, the Jordan and Nile basins to Cyprus, Italy and the Sinai desert. A large dataset of hydro-conflicts in the Mediterranean, Middle East and Sahel will be regressed against climatic, hydrological and socio-economic variables

The CLICO project

Page 9: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

Much of debate on climate change and hydrological impact focuses on national security and potential for armed conflict

In CLICO we complement this with attention to the regional and local scales and with a concern for the impacts of climate change on vulnerable livelihoods.

CLICO takes a critical look at the sources of vulnerabilities that undermine human security and the governance arrangements necessary to enhance adaptation.

Focus of CLICO

Page 10: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

CLICO Case Studies

Mediterranean, Middle East and Sahel

The island of Cyprus

The Andalusia-Morocco biosphere

Sarno basin, Italy

Lower Ebro Basin, Spain

Niger

Alexandria, Egypt

Sudan

Seyhan Basin, Turkey

Jordan Basin

Sinai Desert, Egypt

Nile Basin, Ethiopia

Page 11: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

Niger Case Study

Analyzes the human security through the lens of ecosystem services Divergent rural constituents: farmers and herders Focus on the local and regional scale Incorporate multi-level institutions

Page 12: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |
Page 13: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

Q1: How have changes in ecosystem services, social vulnerability, and governance factors contributed to human insecurity amongst herders and farmers in Niger?

Q2: How are conflicting adaptation mechanisms enhancing conflict or cooperation relative to the institutional, environmental and social dynamics?

Main Research Questions

Page 14: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

Methodology

Page 15: CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA |

UNITED NATIONS UNIVERSITY

Institute for Environmentand Human Security (UNU-EHS)

Hermann-Ehlers-Str. 1053113 Bonn, Germany

Tel.: + 49-228-815-0200Fax: + 49-228-815-0299

e-mail: [email protected]

THANK YOU

FOR YOUR ATTENTION!