climate change adaptation and the mta · • ingress of runoff • flooding sea level rise extreme...
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Climate Change Adaptation and the MTA
FTA Climate Change Adaptation Webinar
August 8, 2011
Projjal K. Dutta, AIA, LEED AP Director, Sustainability Initiatives [email protected] (212) 878 1065 www.mta.info/sustainability
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Climate Impacts & Adaptive Needs
Increased Precipitation / Extreme Storms • Ingress of runoff • Flooding
Sea Level Rise
Extreme Temps • Health & Comfort
concerns • Power supply &
Equipment
Climate Impact Storm water
solutions • Physical
Modifications • Pumping
infrastructure
Alteration of infrastructure
Updated Standards • Cooling Solutions • Infrastructure/
Equipment
Adaptation
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100-year flood with
4ft sea level rise
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Lowest critical elevations
• The lowest points of entry to tunnels, subways or ventilation shafts.
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Range of projected local sea level rise (SLR) for New York City as optional input for precautionary planning purposes. The different lines represent projections for various atmospheric greenhouse gas scenarios and climate models. The orange band depicts a range of optional SLR planning scenarios during this century, implying 2ft SLR as a minimum scenario, and 3 ft by the end of this century as precautionary target planning scenario. (Source: Modified from Jacob et al, 2007).
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Extreme Temperatures
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Anatomy of a Storm
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Case Study: Lessons from August 8, 2007
• 1.4 to 3.5 inches of rainfall in two-hour period
• Pockets of intense, sustained rain overwhelms regional drainage systems
• First tornados to hit Brooklyn in over 100 years
• Storm coincides with morning rush hour
• Reports of flooding throughout system begin just before 6am
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Progression of the Worst Flooding
6:31 am
7:11 am
6:46 am
6:10 am
7:20 am
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116th Street
86th Street
79th Street
145th Street
125th Street
86th Street Times Sq. Shuttle
47-50th Sts. 34th St. & 8th
Ave.
34th St. & 6th
Ave.
28th Street **
Canal St.
North of Chambers
North of Cortlandt
23rd Street
Broadway
36th Street
Chambers St. at Nassau Nevins St.
Borough Hall
Jefferson St.
Court Square
Flushing Ave
Hoyt-Schermerhorn
Utica Ave
Myrtle Ave.
65th Street
Parsons Blvd
Sutphin Blvd
Most Flood-prone Subway locations
Pacific St. **
Union Street
Queens Plaza
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.. ,'
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Storms on the Railroad
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Most Flood-prone Railroad locations
Jamaica
Far Rockaway Oceanside
Babylon
Mineola Great Neck
Riverhead
Mott Haven Yard
Fordham
Spuyten Duyvil
Riverdale
Ludlow
Yonkers Glenwood
Ossining
Claremont Pkwy Montauk
New Hyde Park
Bayside Woodside
Forest Hills
Mets-Willets Pt
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• Impacts resulting from flooding adjacent to B&T property
• i.e. Flooding on local roads and approaches
Henry Hudson Pkwy
Whitestone Exwy
Cross Island Pkwy
Grand Central Pkwy
FDR Drive
50th Avenue ramp
Belt Pkwy
Lily Pond ramp Breezy Point exit ramp
Beach Channel Dr. approach
Hamilton Ave. / Clinton St.
Bridge and Tunnel Flooding
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Adaptation Responses
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Subway Drainage System
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Mitigation
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Energy Use: High-Rise vs. Low-Rise Development
High-Rise Low-Rise
Number of buildings 1 10
Average floor size 30,612 sf 36,000 sf
Area of roof 88,000 sf 375,000 sf
Area of ext wall 343,000 sf 385,000 sf
Area of parking 0 sf 1,837,500 sf
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Energy Consumption: Low-Rise Office Park vs. Tall Urban Building
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Commute:
Development
BTU
s (1
,000
,000
)
41,000 BTU/sqft-yr• 30 mi. round trip • Diesel Bus, 4 mpg, 20 passengers • 300 sq.ft. per person, 252 days per
year
Commute: 210,000 BTU/sqft-yr
• 30 mi. round trip • Private Car, 15 mpg, 1 passenger • 300 sq.ft. per person, 252 days per
year
Energy Use: high-Rise vs. Low-Rise
High-rise Urban Low-rise Suburban
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2.3 million metric tons
Revenue Fleet Fuel -Traction Heating - Non-traction
Electricity - Non-traction
Non-Revenue Fleet Traction Electricity-Traction
2%
11%
7% 31%
49%
Transit Effect Multiplier = 8.24
For every unit of GHG that the MTA emits
It helps avoid 8.24 units
In the net it helps avoid about 17million metric tons
@ $30 / ton ~ 500 million
Currently un-recognized and un-compensated
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Climate Adaptation Matrix
Identify options for protection vulnerable rapid transit infrastructure, considering both the level of risk and the value of facilities/components. i.e. Elevated subway station vs. Train yard/Maintenance Shop in low-lying area near the coast.
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Recommendations
• Implement Operational Climate Change Database
• Complete Quantitative Vulnerability and Risk Assessment
• Develop Climate Change Adaptation Master Plan
• Climate Adaptation Resilience Evaluation Procedure
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