climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Bienvenido ldquoNonoyrdquo Oplas Jr
Minimal Government Thinkers
South East Asia Network for Devt (SEANET)
Climate Change and the Need for Cheap
and Stable Energy Sources
EPDP Conference 2016
Parallel session B3 Day 1
New World Hotel Makati
January 12-13 2016
Outline
I Climate change as natural and cyclical events not
anthropogenic
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and less rains
more flood and less floodhellip
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany and UK cases
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables Philippine
case
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
VI Summary and recommendations
I Climate change as natural cyclical
events not anthropogenic
Weather climate and natural events are all
about natural cycles
1 Day-night cycle every 24 hours
2 Wet-dry cycle in the tropics winter-spring-
summer-fall cycle in temperate areas yearly
3 Hydrologic cycle water evaporation-
condensation-precipitation
4 Carbon cycle from the atmosphere to
plantstrees to animalshumans to atmosphere
or via the ground to fossil fuels to the
atmospherehellip
More El Nino ndash La Nina southern oscillation (ENSO) data at
httpwattsupwiththatcomreference-pagesclimatic-phenomena-pagesenso
5 El Nino ndash La Nina cycle 1950s-70s cooling
more big La Nina
1980s-2000 warming
big El Nino
2000s-present if
trend line is
made generally
flat
Big El Nino often
followed by big La
Nina
6 Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) cycle Light gray is yearly values dark line is 4-yr trailing averages
7 Climate cycle Climate change (CC) is cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-coolinghellip) not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo
CC is natural (nature-made) not man-made CC happened in the past when there
was not even a single SUV or bicycle or coal power plant
Temperature
reconstruction
for N
Hemisphere
1-2000 AD
Modern warm
period not
exceptional or
scary
Source Dr Roy Spencer Senate EPW Hearing ldquoClimate Change Itrsquos Happened Beforerdquo
July 19th 2013
7 Climate cycle
Source Craig Idso Roman and Medieval Warm Periods vs the Current Warm
Period icecapus 19 January 2015
RWP ndash
Roman
Warm Period
MCA ndash
Medieval
Climate
Anomaly
CWP -
Current
Warm Period
7 Climate cycle
Source Euan Mearns Vostok and the 8000 year time lag WUWT Dec 27 2014
8 Long-term climate cycle
Source Hockey Schtick New paper suggests removing the Holocene Epoch from the
geologic timescale September 15 2014
Temps last
interglacial
period
~120000
years ago
[and several
other
interglacials]
were higher
than during
the present
interglacial
period
8 Long-term climate cycle
9 Solar cycles
Source Archibald David
First Estimate of Solar
Cycle 25 Amplitude ndash
may be the smallest in
over 300 years WUWT
25 Jan 2012
Source Archibald David A
Dalton-like Amplitude for Solar
Cycle 25 WUWT 19 Nov
2015
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 2: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Outline
I Climate change as natural and cyclical events not
anthropogenic
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and less rains
more flood and less floodhellip
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany and UK cases
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables Philippine
case
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
VI Summary and recommendations
I Climate change as natural cyclical
events not anthropogenic
Weather climate and natural events are all
about natural cycles
1 Day-night cycle every 24 hours
2 Wet-dry cycle in the tropics winter-spring-
summer-fall cycle in temperate areas yearly
3 Hydrologic cycle water evaporation-
condensation-precipitation
4 Carbon cycle from the atmosphere to
plantstrees to animalshumans to atmosphere
or via the ground to fossil fuels to the
atmospherehellip
More El Nino ndash La Nina southern oscillation (ENSO) data at
httpwattsupwiththatcomreference-pagesclimatic-phenomena-pagesenso
5 El Nino ndash La Nina cycle 1950s-70s cooling
more big La Nina
1980s-2000 warming
big El Nino
2000s-present if
trend line is
made generally
flat
Big El Nino often
followed by big La
Nina
6 Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) cycle Light gray is yearly values dark line is 4-yr trailing averages
7 Climate cycle Climate change (CC) is cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-coolinghellip) not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo
CC is natural (nature-made) not man-made CC happened in the past when there
was not even a single SUV or bicycle or coal power plant
Temperature
reconstruction
for N
Hemisphere
1-2000 AD
Modern warm
period not
exceptional or
scary
Source Dr Roy Spencer Senate EPW Hearing ldquoClimate Change Itrsquos Happened Beforerdquo
July 19th 2013
7 Climate cycle
Source Craig Idso Roman and Medieval Warm Periods vs the Current Warm
Period icecapus 19 January 2015
RWP ndash
Roman
Warm Period
MCA ndash
Medieval
Climate
Anomaly
CWP -
Current
Warm Period
7 Climate cycle
Source Euan Mearns Vostok and the 8000 year time lag WUWT Dec 27 2014
8 Long-term climate cycle
Source Hockey Schtick New paper suggests removing the Holocene Epoch from the
geologic timescale September 15 2014
Temps last
interglacial
period
~120000
years ago
[and several
other
interglacials]
were higher
than during
the present
interglacial
period
8 Long-term climate cycle
9 Solar cycles
Source Archibald David
First Estimate of Solar
Cycle 25 Amplitude ndash
may be the smallest in
over 300 years WUWT
25 Jan 2012
Source Archibald David A
Dalton-like Amplitude for Solar
Cycle 25 WUWT 19 Nov
2015
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 3: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
I Climate change as natural cyclical
events not anthropogenic
Weather climate and natural events are all
about natural cycles
1 Day-night cycle every 24 hours
2 Wet-dry cycle in the tropics winter-spring-
summer-fall cycle in temperate areas yearly
3 Hydrologic cycle water evaporation-
condensation-precipitation
4 Carbon cycle from the atmosphere to
plantstrees to animalshumans to atmosphere
or via the ground to fossil fuels to the
atmospherehellip
More El Nino ndash La Nina southern oscillation (ENSO) data at
httpwattsupwiththatcomreference-pagesclimatic-phenomena-pagesenso
5 El Nino ndash La Nina cycle 1950s-70s cooling
more big La Nina
1980s-2000 warming
big El Nino
2000s-present if
trend line is
made generally
flat
Big El Nino often
followed by big La
Nina
6 Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) cycle Light gray is yearly values dark line is 4-yr trailing averages
7 Climate cycle Climate change (CC) is cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-coolinghellip) not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo
CC is natural (nature-made) not man-made CC happened in the past when there
was not even a single SUV or bicycle or coal power plant
Temperature
reconstruction
for N
Hemisphere
1-2000 AD
Modern warm
period not
exceptional or
scary
Source Dr Roy Spencer Senate EPW Hearing ldquoClimate Change Itrsquos Happened Beforerdquo
July 19th 2013
7 Climate cycle
Source Craig Idso Roman and Medieval Warm Periods vs the Current Warm
Period icecapus 19 January 2015
RWP ndash
Roman
Warm Period
MCA ndash
Medieval
Climate
Anomaly
CWP -
Current
Warm Period
7 Climate cycle
Source Euan Mearns Vostok and the 8000 year time lag WUWT Dec 27 2014
8 Long-term climate cycle
Source Hockey Schtick New paper suggests removing the Holocene Epoch from the
geologic timescale September 15 2014
Temps last
interglacial
period
~120000
years ago
[and several
other
interglacials]
were higher
than during
the present
interglacial
period
8 Long-term climate cycle
9 Solar cycles
Source Archibald David
First Estimate of Solar
Cycle 25 Amplitude ndash
may be the smallest in
over 300 years WUWT
25 Jan 2012
Source Archibald David A
Dalton-like Amplitude for Solar
Cycle 25 WUWT 19 Nov
2015
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 4: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
More El Nino ndash La Nina southern oscillation (ENSO) data at
httpwattsupwiththatcomreference-pagesclimatic-phenomena-pagesenso
5 El Nino ndash La Nina cycle 1950s-70s cooling
more big La Nina
1980s-2000 warming
big El Nino
2000s-present if
trend line is
made generally
flat
Big El Nino often
followed by big La
Nina
6 Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) cycle Light gray is yearly values dark line is 4-yr trailing averages
7 Climate cycle Climate change (CC) is cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-coolinghellip) not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo
CC is natural (nature-made) not man-made CC happened in the past when there
was not even a single SUV or bicycle or coal power plant
Temperature
reconstruction
for N
Hemisphere
1-2000 AD
Modern warm
period not
exceptional or
scary
Source Dr Roy Spencer Senate EPW Hearing ldquoClimate Change Itrsquos Happened Beforerdquo
July 19th 2013
7 Climate cycle
Source Craig Idso Roman and Medieval Warm Periods vs the Current Warm
Period icecapus 19 January 2015
RWP ndash
Roman
Warm Period
MCA ndash
Medieval
Climate
Anomaly
CWP -
Current
Warm Period
7 Climate cycle
Source Euan Mearns Vostok and the 8000 year time lag WUWT Dec 27 2014
8 Long-term climate cycle
Source Hockey Schtick New paper suggests removing the Holocene Epoch from the
geologic timescale September 15 2014
Temps last
interglacial
period
~120000
years ago
[and several
other
interglacials]
were higher
than during
the present
interglacial
period
8 Long-term climate cycle
9 Solar cycles
Source Archibald David
First Estimate of Solar
Cycle 25 Amplitude ndash
may be the smallest in
over 300 years WUWT
25 Jan 2012
Source Archibald David A
Dalton-like Amplitude for Solar
Cycle 25 WUWT 19 Nov
2015
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 5: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
6 Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) cycle Light gray is yearly values dark line is 4-yr trailing averages
7 Climate cycle Climate change (CC) is cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-coolinghellip) not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo
CC is natural (nature-made) not man-made CC happened in the past when there
was not even a single SUV or bicycle or coal power plant
Temperature
reconstruction
for N
Hemisphere
1-2000 AD
Modern warm
period not
exceptional or
scary
Source Dr Roy Spencer Senate EPW Hearing ldquoClimate Change Itrsquos Happened Beforerdquo
July 19th 2013
7 Climate cycle
Source Craig Idso Roman and Medieval Warm Periods vs the Current Warm
Period icecapus 19 January 2015
RWP ndash
Roman
Warm Period
MCA ndash
Medieval
Climate
Anomaly
CWP -
Current
Warm Period
7 Climate cycle
Source Euan Mearns Vostok and the 8000 year time lag WUWT Dec 27 2014
8 Long-term climate cycle
Source Hockey Schtick New paper suggests removing the Holocene Epoch from the
geologic timescale September 15 2014
Temps last
interglacial
period
~120000
years ago
[and several
other
interglacials]
were higher
than during
the present
interglacial
period
8 Long-term climate cycle
9 Solar cycles
Source Archibald David
First Estimate of Solar
Cycle 25 Amplitude ndash
may be the smallest in
over 300 years WUWT
25 Jan 2012
Source Archibald David A
Dalton-like Amplitude for Solar
Cycle 25 WUWT 19 Nov
2015
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 6: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
7 Climate cycle Climate change (CC) is cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-coolinghellip) not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo
CC is natural (nature-made) not man-made CC happened in the past when there
was not even a single SUV or bicycle or coal power plant
Temperature
reconstruction
for N
Hemisphere
1-2000 AD
Modern warm
period not
exceptional or
scary
Source Dr Roy Spencer Senate EPW Hearing ldquoClimate Change Itrsquos Happened Beforerdquo
July 19th 2013
7 Climate cycle
Source Craig Idso Roman and Medieval Warm Periods vs the Current Warm
Period icecapus 19 January 2015
RWP ndash
Roman
Warm Period
MCA ndash
Medieval
Climate
Anomaly
CWP -
Current
Warm Period
7 Climate cycle
Source Euan Mearns Vostok and the 8000 year time lag WUWT Dec 27 2014
8 Long-term climate cycle
Source Hockey Schtick New paper suggests removing the Holocene Epoch from the
geologic timescale September 15 2014
Temps last
interglacial
period
~120000
years ago
[and several
other
interglacials]
were higher
than during
the present
interglacial
period
8 Long-term climate cycle
9 Solar cycles
Source Archibald David
First Estimate of Solar
Cycle 25 Amplitude ndash
may be the smallest in
over 300 years WUWT
25 Jan 2012
Source Archibald David A
Dalton-like Amplitude for Solar
Cycle 25 WUWT 19 Nov
2015
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 7: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
7 Climate cycle
Source Craig Idso Roman and Medieval Warm Periods vs the Current Warm
Period icecapus 19 January 2015
RWP ndash
Roman
Warm Period
MCA ndash
Medieval
Climate
Anomaly
CWP -
Current
Warm Period
7 Climate cycle
Source Euan Mearns Vostok and the 8000 year time lag WUWT Dec 27 2014
8 Long-term climate cycle
Source Hockey Schtick New paper suggests removing the Holocene Epoch from the
geologic timescale September 15 2014
Temps last
interglacial
period
~120000
years ago
[and several
other
interglacials]
were higher
than during
the present
interglacial
period
8 Long-term climate cycle
9 Solar cycles
Source Archibald David
First Estimate of Solar
Cycle 25 Amplitude ndash
may be the smallest in
over 300 years WUWT
25 Jan 2012
Source Archibald David A
Dalton-like Amplitude for Solar
Cycle 25 WUWT 19 Nov
2015
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 8: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Source Craig Idso Roman and Medieval Warm Periods vs the Current Warm
Period icecapus 19 January 2015
RWP ndash
Roman
Warm Period
MCA ndash
Medieval
Climate
Anomaly
CWP -
Current
Warm Period
7 Climate cycle
Source Euan Mearns Vostok and the 8000 year time lag WUWT Dec 27 2014
8 Long-term climate cycle
Source Hockey Schtick New paper suggests removing the Holocene Epoch from the
geologic timescale September 15 2014
Temps last
interglacial
period
~120000
years ago
[and several
other
interglacials]
were higher
than during
the present
interglacial
period
8 Long-term climate cycle
9 Solar cycles
Source Archibald David
First Estimate of Solar
Cycle 25 Amplitude ndash
may be the smallest in
over 300 years WUWT
25 Jan 2012
Source Archibald David A
Dalton-like Amplitude for Solar
Cycle 25 WUWT 19 Nov
2015
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 9: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Source Euan Mearns Vostok and the 8000 year time lag WUWT Dec 27 2014
8 Long-term climate cycle
Source Hockey Schtick New paper suggests removing the Holocene Epoch from the
geologic timescale September 15 2014
Temps last
interglacial
period
~120000
years ago
[and several
other
interglacials]
were higher
than during
the present
interglacial
period
8 Long-term climate cycle
9 Solar cycles
Source Archibald David
First Estimate of Solar
Cycle 25 Amplitude ndash
may be the smallest in
over 300 years WUWT
25 Jan 2012
Source Archibald David A
Dalton-like Amplitude for Solar
Cycle 25 WUWT 19 Nov
2015
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 10: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Source Hockey Schtick New paper suggests removing the Holocene Epoch from the
geologic timescale September 15 2014
Temps last
interglacial
period
~120000
years ago
[and several
other
interglacials]
were higher
than during
the present
interglacial
period
8 Long-term climate cycle
9 Solar cycles
Source Archibald David
First Estimate of Solar
Cycle 25 Amplitude ndash
may be the smallest in
over 300 years WUWT
25 Jan 2012
Source Archibald David A
Dalton-like Amplitude for Solar
Cycle 25 WUWT 19 Nov
2015
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 11: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
9 Solar cycles
Source Archibald David
First Estimate of Solar
Cycle 25 Amplitude ndash
may be the smallest in
over 300 years WUWT
25 Jan 2012
Source Archibald David A
Dalton-like Amplitude for Solar
Cycle 25 WUWT 19 Nov
2015
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 12: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Sources httpwwweoearthorgviewarticle154612
Dr Tim Ball Climate Cycles Climate Mechanisms and Determining Accurate
Dates (WUWT) August 31 2014
10 Milankovitch cycles
L-T variations in
the Earthrsquos orbit
that result in
climate changes
over periods
hundred of
thousands of
years related to
ice age cycles
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 13: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Source Dr Roy Spencer httpwwwdrroyspencercom201306still-epic-fail-73-
climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means
IPCC ProjectionsForecast vs Actual
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 14: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Source httpfriendsofscienceorg
Global lower troposphere temps and CO2 concentration
Non-causality bet
global temp and
CO2 concentration
CO2 is not an evil
or pollutant gas It
is a useful gas
The gas that
humans amp animals
exhale the gas
that plants amp
crops use in
photosynthesis
No CO2 no
current life is
possible
Best fit line Jan 2002 to Nov 2015 shows small cooling trend of -001 Cdecade
Temp spikes in 1998 2010 were El Nino events
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 15: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Source Ira Glickstein Putting Human-Caused Warming in Proper Perspective
April 7 2014
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 16: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
The UN Al Gore Greenpeace WWF CCChellip mean that before humanity
learned to have cars and SUVs before we have malls and tall buildings powered
by coal plants things were so ldquonormalrdquo no extreme rains and extreme drought
no severe flooding and massive deathshellip Really
Recall the Little Ice Age (1200s to 1700s) in (7) Climate cycle above bet the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP1) and Modern warm period (MWP2)
In 1219 flood in Europe drowned 36000 people the 1362 flood killed at
minimum 25000 people
II But ldquoman-maderdquo CC means more rains and
less rains more flood and less floodhellip
More archive stories at httpsstevengoddardwordpresscombelow350-org
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 17: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
In 1709 all rivers and lakes of Europe
were frozen men perished by thousands
In 1716 winter nearly as severe
In 1718 weather extremely hot amp dry
Source The Mercury (Hobart Tas 1860 -
1954) 23 June 1866 httptrovenlagovaundpdelarticle8840044
19 Sept 1892
httptrovenlagovaundpd
elarticle8445064
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 18: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
News from Glasgow Herald in 1971
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
55000 dead in Pak News in 1970
httpnewsgooglecomnewspapers
2500 dead in Japan 1959
httpquerynytimescom
Extreme weather only recent bec of ldquoman-maderdquo CC Really
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 19: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
30 Nov 1912 ndash DEADLY TYPHOON
HOLOCAUST IN PHILIPPINES
WASHINGhellip
httptroven
lagovau
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 20: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
BusinessWorld Solar power and supply instability 17 Dec 2015
III Renewables to ldquosave the planetrdquo Germany
and UK cases
Megawatts 2004 2014 2014
China 769 114609 307
US 6750 66146 177
Germany 16623 40500 109
Spain 8462 22987 62
India 3000 22465 60
UK 889 12809 34
Canada 444 9684 26
France 386 9143 25
Italy 1261 8556 23
Brazil 29 6228 17
Sweden 478 5524 15
Denmark 3083 4778 13
Portugal 585 4683 13
Australia 421 4056 11
Poland 55 3885 10
Turkey 20 3762 10
Total World 47935 372961 1000
Cumulative installed wind
turbine capacity MW
BP Stat review world energy 2015
workbook
As of 2014 world solar installed capacity Germany
was 1 UK in 8 Expansion from 2010-2014
Germany 21x UK 55x
Wind capacity Germany was 3 and UK was 6
Expansion fr 2004-2014 Germany 24xm UK 144x
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 21: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015
Feed in act rising as
more wind and solar
were added yearly to
the energy mix and
electricity distributors
are forced to buy them
even when cheaper
electricity from coal
natural gas nuclear
and hydro are
available
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 22: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
source NTZ Germanyrsquos Renewable Energy Efficiency Falls To Just Over
20 ndash Threatening To Ruin Countryrsquos Competitiveness February 24 2013
From1990 to 2011 capacity
utilization (a) wind about
15 (b) solar about 10
The other renewables have
higher utilization rate
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 23: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
httpwwwagora-energiewendededethemen-agothem-Produktprodukt76Agorameter
During winter when demand for heating is very high
solar output is close to zero
bull Dark blue - konv Kraftwerke or conventional power plants (coal gas nuke)
bull light blue - laufwasser or hydro power yellow - solar green - wind
bull Red - Stromverbrauch or electricity consumption Data as of Jan 2016
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 24: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Sunday Express
The Telegraph 5 Oct 2014
Intl Business Times
21 Nov 2014
(b) UK case
The Telegraph British energy firms charge most
for electricity in Europe - why 24 Oct 2015
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 25: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
IV Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables
Philippine case
of popn using biomass for cooking 2012
BWorld DoErsquos new circular will raise not
lower electricity prices Oct 21 2015
PH has 2nd highest electricity price
in Asia next to Japan
Least priority shd be to invent new
schemes to further raise the price
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 26: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Selected indicators for South East Asian economies 2013
ASEAN + HK
Population (million)
GDP PPP ($ billion)
TPESPopn (toecapita)
Electr Consump (kWhcapita)
Indonesia 2500 205878 085 792
Philippines 984 55420 045 686
Vietnam 897 40930 067 1306
Thailand 670 83120 200 2487
Myanmar 533 9603 031 164
Malaysia 297 59767 299 4474
Cambodia 151 3967 039 220
Singapore 54 36648 483 8840
Brunei 04 2584 728 9553
Hong Kong 72 32962 194 5933
Source Intl Energy Agency (IEA) Key World Energy Statistics 2015
TPES ndash total primary energy supply
Not ASEAN member Laos not included in KWES annual reports
The Philippines still has ldquoenergy povertyrdquo compared to many of its neighbors in the
region even socialist VN has electricity consumption per capita 2x that of PH
Many reasons for (a) energy poverty amp (b) expensive electricity Among themhellip
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 27: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
(1) Low use of fossil fuels (ff) TH MY SG HK are 90+ dependent on ff ID
nearly 90 VN 44 dep on hydro SK and TW highmodest use of nuke
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 28: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
(2) Government bureaucracies both national and local
Among the nearly 200 permits required to put up a base-load plant
Slide from a presentation by Romy Bernardo EPDP forum July 2015
A disease No one movesstarts anything unless he gets the bureaucratsrsquo signatures
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 29: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
(3) Then PH invented new schemes for more expensive electricity via RA
9513 (RE Act of 2008)
Feed in tariff (FIT) means guaranteed higher price and renewable portfolio
standards (RPS) means guaranteed min of renewables that the grid must getbuy
Plus other privileges hardly given to conventional sources
(1) Income tax holiday for 7 years (2) special realty tax rates
(3) duty-free importation of RE machinery eqpt amp materials within the first 10 years
(4) net operating loss carry over to be carried for the next seven years
(5) 10 corporate tax rate (not 30)
(6)tax exemption of carbon credits and
(7) tax credit on domestic capital equipment and services
(BusinessWorld Feed-in tariff means more expensive electricity 13 Nov 2015)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 30: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Renewables cronyism highlighted in a presentation by former DOE Sec Vince Perez
at an ADB climate and energy conference in June 2009
PHrsquos RE law has more favoritism than RE laws of other Asian countries
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 31: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Ave capacity factor Solar around 18 wind bet 8-17 biomass around 15
Solar output is zero from 6pm to 6am produce electricity only from 6+am to 6 pm
Max of 65 (never reaching 100) in a cloudless noon
And these expensive subsidized and favored new renewables give
little or zero electricity on certain hours daily 365 days a year
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 32: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
V Towards cheaper reliable energy sources
BusinessWorld Paris COP Emission cut commitment
vs energy needs Nov 26 2015
httpoil-pricenet
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 33: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
The Times (UK) 2500 new coal plants will thwart any Paris pledges 02 Dec 2015
Cheaper coal means more coal power plants worldwide including
ldquogreenrdquo EU
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 34: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Global cooling frequent heavy rains and
flooding means more farmers must raise
crops indoors need more electricity
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 35: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Intensive indoor animal farming
needs more electricity
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 36: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
1 Climate change (CC) is natural (nature-made not ldquoman-maderdquo) it is
cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling) and has precedents (not
ldquounprecedentedrdquo) CC happened in the past happening now will happen in
the future CC is as natural as day-night or wet-dry seasonal cycle
2 Extreme weather severe flooding and drought have precedents It is
dishonest to say they are only ldquorecent due to more use of fossil fuelsrdquo
3 New renewables ldquoto save the planetrdquo cases in Germany and UK cause
new problems like expensive electricity some investments running away
4 Renewables are fine provided there should be NO subsidies People
put up solar panels in their houses or buildings fine they use their own
money It is different when people put up huge wind farms or solar farms
then charge expensive electricity to consumers
5 There is zero climate basis for renewables cronyism energy rationing
and favoritism
VI Summary and recommendations
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 37: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Recommendations
1 Take advantage of low prices of fossil fuels
like oil natural gas and coal to expand power
generation
2 Reduce government bureaucracies both
national and local in the energy sector
Abolish certain energy taxes like royalties on
(Malampaya) natural gas geothermal power
3 RE Act of 2008 (RA 9513) should be drastically revised Feed in tariff
(FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) should be removed and
discontinued
4 Preparing for global cooling government should build more dams
impound more flood water or allow private sector ownership of dams via
PPP More people die because of too much water and flooding
5 Do large-scale and continuing dredging of lakes rivers and creeks
Spend public money here than in useless climate junkets and meetings
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom
![Page 38: Climate change and the need for cheaper and stable energy](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022042908/58ed0b761a28ab12248b45d7/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
Thank you
httpfunwithgovernmentblogspotcom
httpselectricityasiawordpresscom
bworldonlinecomOpinionMy cup of liberty
minimalgovernmentgmailcom