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Page 1: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Climate Change & India

Centre for Science and Environment

Centre for Science and Environment

New Delhi

Page 2: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

•How has India warmed over the past 117 years?

•How the temperatures have increased seasonally?

•How far away we are from 1.5 degree C target?

Centre for Science and Environment

•How far away we are from 1.5 degree C target?

Page 3: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Methodology

•117 years (1901-1916) data on annual and seasonal mean, maximum & minimum temperature from IMD

Centre for Science and Environment

•1901-1930 average temperature considered as baseline

•Temperature anomaly calculated as departure from the baseline

Page 4: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Spiraling Temperature

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 5: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Spiraling Temperature

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 6: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Spiraling Temperature

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 7: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Spiraling Temperature -Winters

2.44

2.95

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

Temperature Anomaly in Winter Season (January-February)

from 1901-1930 Baseline

Centre for Science and Environment-2.00

-1.50

-1.00

-0.50

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

1901

1904

1907

1910

1913

1916

1919

1922

1925

1928

1931

1934

1937

1940

1943

1946

1949

1952

1955

1958

1961

1964

1967

1970

1973

1976

1979

1982

1985

1988

1991

1994

1997

2000

2003

2006

2009

2012

2015

degree Celsius

Page 8: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Spiraling Temperature -Summers

2.05

1.52

1.50

2.00

2.50

Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May)

from 1901-1930 Baseline

Centre for Science and Environment-1.50

-1.00

-0.50

0.00

0.50

1.00

1901

1904

1907

1910

1913

1916

1919

1922

1925

1928

1931

1934

1937

1940

1943

1946

1949

1952

1955

1958

1961

1964

1967

1970

1973

1976

1979

1982

1985

1988

1991

1994

1997

2000

2003

2006

2009

2012

2015

degree Celsius

Page 9: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Spiraling Temperature -Monsoon

1.00

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

Temperature Anomaly in Monsoon Season (June-September)

from 1901-1930 Baseline

Centre for Science and Environment(0.80)

(0.60)

(0.40)

(0.20)

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

1901

1904

1907

1910

1913

1916

1919

1922

1925

1928

1931

1934

1937

1940

1943

1946

1949

1952

1955

1958

1961

1964

1967

1970

1973

1976

1979

1982

1985

1988

1991

1994

1997

2000

2003

2006

2009

2012

2015

degree Celsius

Page 10: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Spiraling Temperature –Post-Monsoon

1.69

1.30

1.5000

2.0000

Temperature anomaly during Post-Monsoon Season

(October-December)

Centre for Science and Environment-1.0000

-0.5000

0.0000

0.5000

1.0000

1901

1904

1907

1910

1913

1916

1919

1922

1925

1928

1931

1934

1937

1940

1943

1946

1949

1952

1955

1958

1961

1964

1967

1970

1973

1976

1979

1982

1985

1988

1991

1994

1997

2000

2003

2006

2009

2012

2015

degree Celsius

Page 11: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Who is emitting how

Centre for Science and Environment

Who is emitting how much? Who is responsible?

Page 12: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Present emissions: 2012

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 13: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Per Capita Emissions: 2012

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 14: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Who has contributed how much to climate change?

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 15: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Coal, USA & India

Centre for Science and Environment

Coal, USA & India

Page 16: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Coal truth: Power sector

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 17: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Coal truth: Consumption

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 18: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Coal truth: In the US

2014 coal use > 1990 coal use

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 19: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Fossil truth: In the US

Shale gas use exploding: US today consumes more fossils than ever in its history

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 20: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Coal power Truth: In the US

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 21: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Coal power: USA in 2030

US coal production in 2030 same as India’s in 2014

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 22: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

US Clean power plan: 2030

No fossil shift. 60% electricity from fossils in 2030 marginally down from 65% in 1990 & 66% in 2005

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 23: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

India will be allowed to emit while the US will have

Centre for Science and Environment

emit while the US will have to stop emitting

Page 24: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

1 American = 4 Indians in 2030

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 25: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

Inconvenient truth: Rich Indians vs. Poor Americans

Centre for Science and Environment

Page 26: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

India needs trillions of dollars to meet its

Centre for Science and Environment

dollars to meet its commitments

Page 27: Climate Change & India - Down to Earth · 2.05 1.52 1.50 2.00 2.50 Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May) from 1901-1930 Baseline-1.50Centre for Science and Environment-1.00-0.50

• False and wrong information• India had put out data of $2.5 trillion as total cost it would incur to meet its INDC.

Centre for Science and Environment

would incur to meet its INDC.• It had never asked for this money from climate funds.

Fact: India receives very little finance from climate funds.


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