climate-smart conservation: putting adaptation principles into practice naomi edelson director,...
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Climate-Smart Conservation: Putting Adaptation Principles into Practice
Naomi EdelsonDirector, State and Federal Wildlife PartnershipsNational Wildlife Federation
March 2015
What Does Climate Change Mean for the Practice of Conservation?
Climate Adaptation• The process of adjustment to actual
or expected climate and its effects
– In human systems, adaptation seeks to moderate harm or exploit beneficial opportunities
– In natural systems, human intervention may facilitate adjustment to expected climate and its effects
In other words:• Prepare for …• Cope with …• Adjust to …
--- IPCC AR5 (2014)
What Constitutes Good Adaptation?
• Adaptation still an emerging field• Still poor understanding of what climate
adaptation means
• Most guidance still at very high level; little operational advice
• Danger of existing work simply being relabeled
• Strong interest in understanding what truly constitutes climate adaptation and how to put principles into practice
Guidance Development Approach
• Expert workgroup convened to develop adaptation guidance – Federal, state, and NGO participants– Builds on previous guidance for vulnerability
• Designed to demystify process – Breaks down into manageable steps
• Non-prescriptive– Focus on understanding principles and use of a
general framework– Encourages innovation and context-specific
application
• Assumes use of existing best practices
Climate-Smart Conservation Expert Workgroup
• NGOs– National Wildlife Federation– Wildlife Conservation Society– EcoAdapt– Nature Conservancy– Geos Institute– Point Blue Conservation Science
• State Agencies– Florida– Maryland
• Federal Agencies– Fish and Wildlife Service– National Park Service– US Geological Survey
– Environmental Protection Agency
– NOAA– US Forest Service– Army Corps of Engineers
Overarching ThemesClimate-Smart Conservation in a Nutshell
• Act with intentionality
• Manage for change, not just persistence
• Reconsider goals, not just strategies
• Integrate adaptation into existing work
1. Acting with Intentionality
• Link Actions to Climate Impacts– How will actions address key
vulnerabilities?– What is the logic model/scientific
rationale for actions?
• Show your work!– Transparency/traceability important – Whether novel approaches are
indicated – Or existing approaches and actions
validated
2. Manage for Change Not Just Persistence
• Stationarity is dead!
• Adaptation will largely be about preparing for and managing change
• Adaptation is a process, not an end point
A Continuum of ChangeFrom Resistance to Transformation
• Resistance– Focus on maintaining status quo– May be appropriate for high-value assets
• Resilience– Current usage mostly focus on rebound to
status quo conditions
• Realignment– Facilitate/manage for inevitable shifts to help
achieve acceptable outcomes
3. Reconsider Conservation GoalsNot Just Strategies
• Goals are the ends; strategies the means
• Goals are a reflection of human values and can evolve– Many goals and objectives may no longer
be feasible with rapid changes
• Need for forward-looking rather than retrospective goals
•Traditional goals
•Revised strategies*
Climate Retrofit
Aligning Goals and Strategies in Climate Adaptation
•Traditional goals
•Traditional strategies
Business as Usual
Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3
•Revised goals*
•Revised strategies*
Climate-Aligned
* Review and revised as needed, based on climate change assessments.
4. Integrate with Existing WorkNot Just Stand-Alone Adaptation Plans
Climate-Smart Conservation CycleA Generalized Framework for Adaptation Planning and Implementation
Guidance Document Built Around Cycle
Setting the Stage
Assess Vulnerability
and Risk
ReconsiderGoals
Define purpose/
scope
Assessing Vulnerability
Understanding what’s at risk and why is key to designing effective adaptation strategiesComponents of vulnerability• Sensitivity• Exposure• Adaptive Capacity
Crafting Climate-Informed GoalsAre Changes Needed In?
• What– Conservation targets/focus
• Why– Intended outcome or desired condition
• Where– Relevant geographic scope
• When– Relevant timeframe
Generating and Evaluating Strategies and Actions
Be creative!Be realistic!
Identifying Adaptation Options
• At this stage be creative!– Constraints come in next step
• Several ways to generate options:– Components of vulnerability– General adaptation strategies– Intervention points
Need here is to Identify an array of possible adaptation options for reducing key vulnerabilities
Vulnerabilities Key Vulnerabilities
General Strategies
Possible Options
SpecificActions
Identify broad range of options
Evaluate, compare, and select actions
Which best achieve
conservation goals?
Which are climate-smart?
How practicable/ feasible are
they?
Identify what’s of
concern and why?
Connecting Vulnerability to Adaptation ActionsSusan/Jordan’s Brain
Connecting Vulnerability to Adaptation Actions
Which achieve other
(social/econ)goals?
From Adaptation Strategy to Adaptation Action
General Adaptation Strategies• Reduce Non-Climate Stresses • Protect Key Ecosystem Features• Ensure Connectivity• Restore Structure and Function• Support Evolutionary Potential • Protect Refugia• Relocate Organisms
General Strategies
Possible Options
SpecificActions
New York and NH approachTypes of Adaptation Strategies
Long-termFeasibility
Near-term Feasibility
General Specific
1.Identify adaptation planning targets2.Summarize the vulnerability of the targets3.Develop full range of adaptation options4.Prioritize adaptation options5.Identify potential implementation partners6.Group, Filter, and Highlight
Using vulnerability data to identify adaptation strategies
Stages 1 & 2 (Identify adaptation planning targets/Summarize vulnerability of targets)
Morning presentations summarizing all statewide species & habitat vulnerability work to date and identifying specific vulnerable habitats and/or species from the work upon which to focus adaptation planning efforts
Afternoon working groups by system, formation etc
•Working group participants are given:• (a) projected climate change assumptions summary (b) vulnerability summaries for each target
• (c) a summary list of current state-driven efforts to manage the target
Stages 1 & 2 (Identify adaptation planning targets/Summarize vulnerability of targets) continued:
•Working group participants are given:
• (a) projected climate change assumptions summary
•(b) vulnerability summaries for each target
•(c) a summary list of current state-driven efforts to manage the target
Stage 3Develop Full Range of Options
•Names of the adaptation targets are on poster sheets around the room
•Participants are given sticky notes. Group spends XX amount of time writing down as many strategies for a specific target.
•No talking – this is all about quantity, not quality.
•After the time is up, participants place their strategies on the target poster
Actions
• Need to think BIG• Brainstorm wildly• Old options that seemed impossible may be
viewed differently now• Existing practices and approaches might need
to be adapted for place, time and technique• Or Novel approach might be best
Components of Vulnerability
• Reduce exposure: Increase riparian vegetation that provides shading over open water to moderate exposure to warmer air temperatures.
• Reduce sensitivity: Reduce water use that depletes groundwater recharge to decrease sensitivity of streams to changes in precipitation.
• Increase adaptive capacity: Create adjacent cool, deep pools to provide refugia.
Intervention Points
• Using the Adaptation for Conservation Targets (ACT) Framework (Cross et al. 2012), adaptation options such as the following can be identified for managing stream flows for native cold water fish as temperatures warm and flows decline:
Intervention points Potential adaptation options Withdrawals -----------------------> Reduce withdrawals by leasing in-stream water
rights Snowpack management ---------> Build snow fences to retain snow in key areas for
longer High elevation stream flow -----> Slow spring flows with check dams or beaver dams Impervious surfaces --------------> Reduce/remove roads to reduce sediment runoff Grazing practices ------------------> Reduce riparian impacts by fencing or reduced
density Riparian vegetation ---------------> Restore riparian areas that provide shading to
streams
Evaluating Possible Projects and Actions
Emphasis on identifying a set of actions that collectively would achieve conservation goals
Suggested evaluation framework:• Conservation goals
– Effectiveness meeting stated goals/objectives• Other goals/values
– Co-benefits for other societal values• Feasibility
– Cost, technical feasibility, social acceptance, etc.• Climate-smart considerations
– Based on key characteristics
Key Characteristics of Climate-Smart Conservation
• Actions linked to climate impacts
• Forward looking goals• Broader landscape
context• Robust in an uncertain
future• Agile and informed
management
• Minimizes carbon footprint
• Climate influence on project success
• Safeguards people and nature
• Avoids maladaptation
Actions Linked to Climate Impacts
• Does the project “connect the dots” between climate impacts and proposed action?– What’s the theory of change?– Does it demonstrate
“intentionality”?
• How is project/action intended to reduce key vulnerabilities or address specific impacts?
Forward-Looking Goals
• Is the project explicit about its goals?
• Are goals climate-informed?– Have they been reviewed for
feasibility in light of climate change?– Have they been validated and/or
modified as a result? – Is time horizon for
benefits/performance explicit (e.g., short, medium, long)
• Where does the project fall on the continuum of change?– Is focus on resistance or
realignment?
Broader Landscape Context
• Does project/action take into account broader landscape and projected climatic shifts?– How does local action
contribute to broader landscape conservation needs?
• Are there landscape factors that could limit/enhance effectiveness of effort?
• If proposes to enhance “connectivity”, does it define for what and consider climatic/ecological factors?
Housing Density 2010Source: D. Theobald, CSU
Robust in an Uncertain Future
• Is project/action “robust” across multiple possible scenarios, or optimized for one future?
• How sensitive is action to particular scenarios of change in: – Climate– Ecological Response– Human response
Agile and Informed Management
• Does the project/action allow for course corrections, or commit to an irreversible course of action?
• Can clear indicators or thresholds be identified that would trigger adjustment or go/no go decisions?
• Are adequate monitoring and evaluation approaches in place/ proposed to support informed management?
FWS Strategic Habitat Conservation framework
Minimizes Carbon Footprint
• What direct or indirect greenhouse gas emissions are associated with project/action?
• Does the project contribute to (or undermine) carbon sequestration and storage?
Considers Climate Influence on Project Success
• Is the project designed for climate adaptation, or an existing project in need of a “climate-retrofit”?
• How will climate changes (direct and indirect) affect likely performance for project?
• Does the project/action avoid clearly compromised investments, or if not, have an intentional transition plan?
Degrading wetlands, coastal LA
Safeguards People and Nature
• To what extent does the project/action provide benefits (or “co-benefits”) to people and other societal sectors?– Natural hazard reduction– Water quantity/quality
protection– Climate risk reduction
Avoids Maladaptation
• Would the project/action increase the vulnerability to other important resources (ecological or human)?
• Are there possible unintended consequences or unacceptable trade-offs?
• One person’s adaptation may be another’s maladaptative response!
What do These Characteristics Look Like in Practice?
Linking Actions to ImpactsUpslope restoration to provide disease- free habitat for Hawaiian forest birds
Minimizes Carbon FootprintRestoring hydrology to keep carbon in the Great Dismal Swamp
What do These Characteristics Look Like in Practice?
Strategies Robust to UncertaintyConstruction of fish shelves at varying levels in stream restoration to account for increased variability in water levels
Putting Plans into Action
Rely on existing best
practices
Professional Training in Climate-Smart Conservation
• Accompanying training course offered through FWS/NCTC
• Guide highlighted in President’s “Priority Agenda” for Resilience
• Three-day course offered to date: – Sheperdstown WV (2x), Sacramento CA,
Tucson AZ, Fort Collins, CO, Olympia WA
• Additional courses scheduled:– New Mexico (Jan ‘15), Hawaii (Mar ‘15),
Navajo Nation (Fall ’15)
NWF resources
• Vulnerability Assessment Guide• New Climate Smart Guide• Associated Trainings• State based reports (VA, NY and WA)• Webinar series with FWS (monthly)• www.nwf.org/climate-smart• [email protected]