co-sen lcv for ppp (may 2014)
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: CO-Sen LCV for PPP (May 2014)](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022081900/577ccd0d1a28ab9e788b5d24/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected]
From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling
Subject: Gardner Negatives Spike, Udall moving closer to 50%
Date: May 12, 2014
A new PPP survey in Colorado finds that Cory Gardner’s negatives have spiked
following an early advertising campaign focusing on his record of voting to provide
subsidies to oil companies.
Key findings from the survey include:
-Gardner’s name recognition has increased from 48% on a PPP poll in mid-March to now
77%. But his negatives are rising a lot faster than his positives- only 35% of voters have a
favorable opinion of him now to 42% with a negative one. Previously voters were pretty
evenly divided on him at 23/25. For a majority of the voters who’ve gotten to know Cory
Gardner for the first time over the last month, the first impression has been a negative
one.
-Mark Udall leads Gardner 47/43 in a head to head match up for this fall’s election.
Previously Udall’s lead was only 42/40, but as the race has gotten more defined in the
last month he’s pushed up much closer to the critical 50% mark.
-By a 56/19 spread voters see Gardner as more likely than Udall to do the bidding of big
oil companies in Washington, and that perception is likely to hurt him even more
between now and the fall. 56% of voters say they’re less likely to vote for a candidate
who voted to provide billions of dollars in tax breaks to oil companies, compared to only
11% who consider that to be a positive.
LCV’s early ad campaign has weakened Gardner as voters have gotten to know him, and
put Udall in a stronger position now than he was when Gardner first made his entry into
the race.
PPP interviewed 526 Colorado voters on May 7th
and 8th. The margin of error for the poll
is +/-4.3%. This survey was conducted on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters.
![Page 2: CO-Sen LCV for PPP (May 2014)](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022081900/577ccd0d1a28ab9e788b5d24/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
May 7-8, 2014Survey of 526 Colorado votersMay 7-8, 2014Survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Colorado Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?
42% Approve ..........................................................
45% Disapprove......................................................
13% Not sure ..........................................................
Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?
35% Favorable........................................................
42% Unfavorable ....................................................
23% Not sure ..........................................................
Q3 If the candidates for U.S. Senate this fall were Democrat Mark Udall and Republican Cory Gardner, who would you vote for?
47% Mark Udall.......................................................
43% Cory Gardner ..................................................
10% Undecided.......................................................
Q4 If a candidate for office voted to provide billions of dollars in tax breaks to oil companies, would that make you more or less likely to vote for them in an election, or would it not make a difference?
11% More likely.......................................................
56% Less likely .......................................................
30% Wouldn't make a difference.............................
3% Not sure ..........................................................
Q5 Which candidate for U.S. Senate do you think would be more likely to do the bidding of big oil companies: Mark Udall or Cory Gardner?
19% Mark Udall.......................................................
56% Cory Gardner ..................................................
25% Not sure ..........................................................
Q6 Which candidate for U.S. Senate do you trust more to protect the environment: Mark Udall or Cory Gardner?
46% Mark Udall.......................................................
38% Cory Gardner ..................................................
17% Not sure ..........................................................
Q7 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
53% Woman ...........................................................
47% Man.................................................................
Q8 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.
36% Democrat ........................................................
31% Republican......................................................
33% Independent / Other ........................................
Q9 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If other, press 3.
14% Hispanic ..........................................................
74% White ..............................................................
12% Other...............................................................
Q10 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to 65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
32% 18 to 45...........................................................
45% 46 to 65...........................................................
23% Older than 65 ..................................................
Q11 Media Market
1% Albuquerque ...................................................
13% Colorado Springs ............................................
79% Denver ............................................................
6% Grand Junction ...............................................
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May 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado votersMay 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Udall Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
42% 44% 40%
45% 42% 49%
13% 14% 11%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Gardner Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
35% 27% 44%
42% 45% 39%
23% 27% 17%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Udall/Gardner
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Undecided
47% 51% 43%
43% 39% 48%
10% 10% 9%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
More/Less Likely toSupport Pro-TaxBreaks for Oil Co'sCandidate
More likely
Less likely
Wouldn't make adifference
Not sure
11% 10% 12%
56% 60% 51%
30% 28% 32%
3% 2% 4%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
More Likely to DoBig Oil's Bidding
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Not sure
19% 17% 21%
56% 58% 53%
25% 25% 26%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Most Trusted onEnviro
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Not sure
46% 49% 42%
38% 32% 44%
17% 19% 14%
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May 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado votersMay 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Base
Party
Democrat RepublicanIndependent
/ Other
Udall Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
42% 67% 18% 37%
45% 18% 74% 49%
13% 15% 8% 14%
Base
Party
Democrat RepublicanIndependent
/ Other
Gardner Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
35% 10% 59% 41%
42% 69% 18% 35%
23% 21% 23% 24%
Base
Party
Democrat RepublicanIndependent
/ Other
Udall/Gardner
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Undecided
47% 76% 17% 43%
43% 11% 78% 45%
10% 13% 5% 11%
Base
Party
Democrat RepublicanIndependent
/ Other
More/Less Likely toSupport Pro-TaxBreaks for Oil Co'sCandidate
More likely
Less likely
Wouldn't make adifference
Not sure
11% 2% 27% 5%
56% 79% 32% 53%
30% 17% 39% 36%
3% 2% 2% 5%
Base
Party
Democrat RepublicanIndependent
/ Other
More Likely to DoBig Oil's Bidding
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Not sure
19% 9% 29% 20%
56% 75% 41% 48%
25% 16% 29% 32%
Base
Party
Democrat RepublicanIndependent
/ Other
Most Trusted onEnviro
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Not sure
46% 77% 17% 38%
38% 12% 70% 37%
17% 11% 13% 26%
![Page 5: CO-Sen LCV for PPP (May 2014)](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022081900/577ccd0d1a28ab9e788b5d24/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
May 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado votersMay 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Base
Race
Hispanic White Other
Udall Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
42% 41% 44% 33%
45% 54% 42% 54%
13% 5% 14% 13%
Base
Race
Hispanic White Other
Gardner Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
35% 35% 35% 36%
42% 47% 43% 33%
23% 19% 22% 31%
Base
Race
Hispanic White Other
Udall/Gardner
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Undecided
47% 52% 47% 43%
43% 41% 43% 45%
10% 8% 10% 12%
Base
Race
Hispanic White Other
More/Less Likely toSupport Pro-TaxBreaks for Oil Co'sCandidate
More likely
Less likely
Wouldn't make adifference
Not sure
11% 18% 10% 11%
56% 58% 57% 45%
30% 23% 30% 39%
3% 1% 3% 5%
Base
Race
Hispanic White Other
More Likely to DoBig Oil's Bidding
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Not sure
19% 27% 16% 24%
56% 54% 57% 50%
25% 18% 27% 26%
Base
Race
Hispanic White Other
Most Trusted onEnviro
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Not sure
46% 49% 46% 37%
38% 43% 35% 47%
17% 8% 18% 16%
![Page 6: CO-Sen LCV for PPP (May 2014)](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022081900/577ccd0d1a28ab9e788b5d24/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
May 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado votersMay 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Base
Age
18 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Udall Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
42% 36% 47% 40%
45% 53% 40% 45%
13% 11% 12% 16%
Base
Age
18 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Gardner Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
35% 41% 31% 36%
42% 39% 48% 35%
23% 21% 21% 30%
Base
Age
18 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Udall/Gardner
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Undecided
47% 46% 50% 43%
43% 46% 39% 46%
10% 7% 11% 11%
Base
Age
18 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
More/Less Likely toSupport Pro-TaxBreaks for Oil Co'sCandidate
More likely
Less likely
Wouldn't make adifference
Not sure
11% 13% 10% 10%
56% 45% 63% 57%
30% 38% 26% 28%
3% 4% 1% 5%
Base
Age
18 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
More Likely to DoBig Oil's Bidding
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Not sure
19% 24% 13% 23%
56% 51% 62% 51%
25% 26% 25% 26%
Base
Age
18 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Most Trusted onEnviro
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Not sure
46% 40% 50% 44%
38% 43% 34% 37%
17% 17% 16% 18%
![Page 7: CO-Sen LCV for PPP (May 2014)](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022081900/577ccd0d1a28ab9e788b5d24/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
May 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado votersMay 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Base
Media Market
AlbuquerqueColorado
Springs DenverGrand
Junction
Udall Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
42% 42% 33% 45% 24%
45% 34% 52% 43% 61%
13% 25% 15% 12% 15%
Base
Media Market
AlbuquerqueColorado
Springs DenverGrand
Junction
Gardner Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
35% 26% 33% 37% 20%
42% 31% 29% 46% 26%
23% 43% 38% 17% 54%
Base
Media Market
AlbuquerqueColorado
Springs DenverGrand
Junction
Udall/Gardner
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Undecided
47% 59% 41% 50% 26%
43% 34% 45% 41% 62%
10% 7% 13% 9% 12%
Base
Media Market
AlbuquerqueColorado
Springs DenverGrand
Junction
More/Less Likely toSupport Pro-TaxBreaks for Oil Co'sCandidate
More likely
Less likely
Wouldn't make adifference
Not sure
11% - 6% 11% 24%
56% 66% 68% 56% 33%
30% 34% 24% 31% 32%
3% - 3% 3% 12%
Base
Media Market
AlbuquerqueColorado
Springs DenverGrand
Junction
More Likely to DoBig Oil's Bidding
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Not sure
19% 26% 24% 17% 27%
56% 66% 44% 59% 36%
25% 7% 32% 24% 37%
Base
Media Market
AlbuquerqueColorado
Springs DenverGrand
Junction
Most Trusted onEnviro
Mark Udall
Cory Gardner
Not sure
46% 59% 35% 48% 28%
38% 34% 33% 38% 52%
17% 7% 32% 14% 21%