co-sen lcv for ppp (may 2014)

Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected]

From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling

Subject: Gardner Negatives Spike, Udall moving closer to 50%

Date: May 12, 2014

A new PPP survey in Colorado finds that Cory Gardner’s negatives have spiked

following an early advertising campaign focusing on his record of voting to provide

subsidies to oil companies.

Key findings from the survey include:

-Gardner’s name recognition has increased from 48% on a PPP poll in mid-March to now

77%. But his negatives are rising a lot faster than his positives- only 35% of voters have a

favorable opinion of him now to 42% with a negative one. Previously voters were pretty

evenly divided on him at 23/25. For a majority of the voters who’ve gotten to know Cory

Gardner for the first time over the last month, the first impression has been a negative

one.

-Mark Udall leads Gardner 47/43 in a head to head match up for this fall’s election.

Previously Udall’s lead was only 42/40, but as the race has gotten more defined in the

last month he’s pushed up much closer to the critical 50% mark.

-By a 56/19 spread voters see Gardner as more likely than Udall to do the bidding of big

oil companies in Washington, and that perception is likely to hurt him even more

between now and the fall. 56% of voters say they’re less likely to vote for a candidate

who voted to provide billions of dollars in tax breaks to oil companies, compared to only

11% who consider that to be a positive.

LCV’s early ad campaign has weakened Gardner as voters have gotten to know him, and

put Udall in a stronger position now than he was when Gardner first made his entry into

the race.

PPP interviewed 526 Colorado voters on May 7th

and 8th. The margin of error for the poll

is +/-4.3%. This survey was conducted on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters.

May 7-8, 2014Survey of 526 Colorado votersMay 7-8, 2014Survey of 526 Colorado voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Colorado Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?

42% Approve ..........................................................

45% Disapprove......................................................

13% Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?

35% Favorable........................................................

42% Unfavorable ....................................................

23% Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 If the candidates for U.S. Senate this fall were Democrat Mark Udall and Republican Cory Gardner, who would you vote for?

47% Mark Udall.......................................................

43% Cory Gardner ..................................................

10% Undecided.......................................................

Q4 If a candidate for office voted to provide billions of dollars in tax breaks to oil companies, would that make you more or less likely to vote for them in an election, or would it not make a difference?

11% More likely.......................................................

56% Less likely .......................................................

30% Wouldn't make a difference.............................

3% Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Which candidate for U.S. Senate do you think would be more likely to do the bidding of big oil companies: Mark Udall or Cory Gardner?

19% Mark Udall.......................................................

56% Cory Gardner ..................................................

25% Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 Which candidate for U.S. Senate do you trust more to protect the environment: Mark Udall or Cory Gardner?

46% Mark Udall.......................................................

38% Cory Gardner ..................................................

17% Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

53% Woman ...........................................................

47% Man.................................................................

Q8 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.

36% Democrat ........................................................

31% Republican......................................................

33% Independent / Other ........................................

Q9 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If other, press 3.

14% Hispanic ..........................................................

74% White ..............................................................

12% Other...............................................................

Q10 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to 65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.

32% 18 to 45...........................................................

45% 46 to 65...........................................................

23% Older than 65 ..................................................

Q11 Media Market

1% Albuquerque ...................................................

13% Colorado Springs ............................................

79% Denver ............................................................

6% Grand Junction ...............................................

May 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado votersMay 7-8, 2014survey of 526 Colorado voters





Base

Gender

Woman Man

Udall Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 44% 40%

45% 42% 49%

13% 14% 11%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gardner Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 27% 44%

42% 45% 39%

23% 27% 17%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Udall/Gardner

Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Undecided

47% 51% 43%

43% 39% 48%

10% 10% 9%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

More/Less Likely toSupport Pro-TaxBreaks for Oil Co'sCandidate

More likely

Less likely

Wouldn't make adifference

Not sure

11% 10% 12%

56% 60% 51%

30% 28% 32%

3% 2% 4%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

More Likely to DoBig Oil's Bidding

Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Not sure

19% 17% 21%

56% 58% 53%

25% 25% 26%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Most Trusted onEnviro

Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Not sure

46% 49% 42%

38% 32% 44%

17% 19% 14%






Base

Party

Democrat RepublicanIndependent

/ Other

Udall Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 67% 18% 37%

45% 18% 74% 49%

13% 15% 8% 14%

Base

Party


/ Other


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 10% 59% 41%

42% 69% 18% 35%

23% 21% 23% 24%

Base

Party


/ Other

Udall/Gardner

Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Undecided

47% 76% 17% 43%

43% 11% 78% 45%

10% 13% 5% 11%

Base

Party


/ Other


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

11% 2% 27% 5%

56% 79% 32% 53%

30% 17% 39% 36%

3% 2% 2% 5%

Base

Party


/ Other


Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Not sure

19% 9% 29% 20%

56% 75% 41% 48%

25% 16% 29% 32%

Base

Party


/ Other


Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Not sure

46% 77% 17% 38%

38% 12% 70% 37%

17% 11% 13% 26%






Base

Race

Hispanic White Other

Udall Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 41% 44% 33%

45% 54% 42% 54%

13% 5% 14% 13%

Base

Race



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 35% 35% 36%

42% 47% 43% 33%

23% 19% 22% 31%

Base

Race


Udall/Gardner

Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Undecided

47% 52% 47% 43%

43% 41% 43% 45%

10% 8% 10% 12%

Base

Race



More likely

Less likely


Not sure

11% 18% 10% 11%

56% 58% 57% 45%

30% 23% 30% 39%

3% 1% 3% 5%

Base

Race



Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Not sure

19% 27% 16% 24%

56% 54% 57% 50%

25% 18% 27% 26%

Base

Race



Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Not sure

46% 49% 46% 37%

38% 43% 35% 47%

17% 8% 18% 16%






Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Udall Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 36% 47% 40%

45% 53% 40% 45%

13% 11% 12% 16%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 41% 31% 36%

42% 39% 48% 35%

23% 21% 21% 30%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Udall/Gardner

Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Undecided

47% 46% 50% 43%

43% 46% 39% 46%

10% 7% 11% 11%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

11% 13% 10% 10%

56% 45% 63% 57%

30% 38% 26% 28%

3% 4% 1% 5%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Not sure

19% 24% 13% 23%

56% 51% 62% 51%

25% 26% 25% 26%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Not sure

46% 40% 50% 44%

38% 43% 34% 37%

17% 17% 16% 18%






Base

Media Market

AlbuquerqueColorado

Springs DenverGrand

Junction

Udall Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 42% 33% 45% 24%

45% 34% 52% 43% 61%

13% 25% 15% 12% 15%

Base

Media Market

AlbuquerqueColorado

Springs DenverGrand

Junction


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 26% 33% 37% 20%

42% 31% 29% 46% 26%

23% 43% 38% 17% 54%

Base

Media Market

AlbuquerqueColorado

Springs DenverGrand

Junction

Udall/Gardner

Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Undecided

47% 59% 41% 50% 26%

43% 34% 45% 41% 62%

10% 7% 13% 9% 12%

Base

Media Market

AlbuquerqueColorado

Springs DenverGrand

Junction


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

11% - 6% 11% 24%

56% 66% 68% 56% 33%

30% 34% 24% 31% 32%

3% - 3% 3% 12%

Base

Media Market

AlbuquerqueColorado

Springs DenverGrand

Junction


Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Not sure

19% 26% 24% 17% 27%

56% 66% 44% 59% 36%

25% 7% 32% 24% 37%

Base

Media Market

AlbuquerqueColorado

Springs DenverGrand

Junction


Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Not sure

46% 59% 35% 48% 28%

38% 34% 33% 38% 52%

17% 7% 32% 14% 21%

co-sen lcv for ppp (may 2014)

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