colorado energy office · colorado electric vehicle plan “increase adoption of evs in the light...
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Will Toor
Executive Director
Colorado Energy Office
Colorado Energy OfficeOverview
Our MissionTo deliver cost-effective energy services and advance
innovative energy solutions for the benefit of all Coloradans.
Low Income &
Residential Energy
Services
Commercial &
Industrial Energy
Services
Transportation
Fuels &
Technology
Public Affairs
Confronting the challenge of climate change
100% renewable electricity by 2040
Widespread electrification of cars, trucks, and buses
Creating good paying green jobs
Polis Administration Priorities
State Rankings
5th Crude oil production (2018)
6th Natural gas production (2018)
6th Electric vehicle market share (2018)
9th Wind capacity (2017)
12th Solar capacity (2018)
10th Coal production (2018)
14th Energy efficiency (2018)
Energy Consumption by Sector (2016)
23%Residential
20%Commercial
29%Industrial
28%Transportation
Source: Energy Information Administration
Jobs in Energy Colorado Cleantech Jobs Snapshot
Source: E2 Clean Jobs Report 2018
OIL & GAS JOBS 38,650 direct jobs in the oil and
gas industry in Colorado
Source: Oil and Gas Industry Economic and Fiscal Contributions in Colorado by County, 2014
Colorado Energy OfficeEnergy Economic Overview
Source: Resource Rich Colorado, 2018
Colorado Greenhouse Gas Inventory2014
Source: CDPHE 2014
Colorado greenhouse Gas
Inventory Update
Electric Utilities and
Generation
Colorado Electric Utilities
Investor
Owned Utility
Cooperative
Utility
Municipal
Utility
• Xcel Energy, Black
Hills
• 22 cooperative
utilities in Colorado
• 29 municipal utilities
in Colorado
Colorado Electric Utilities Ranked by
Customers Served (2017)
1. Xcel Energy: 1,459,117
2. City of Colorado Springs: 227,402
3. Intermountain Rural electric Assn.: 154,542
4. Black Hills: 95,951
5. United Power: 83,323
6. City of Ft. Collins: 72,523
7. Holy Cross: 56,709
8. Mountain View Elect Assn.: 51,497
9. La Plata Electric Assn.: 42,653
10. Poudre Valley REA: 40,598
Colorado Electric Utilities Service
Territories
2016
Colorado Electricity Generation2017
Colorado New Generation by Fuel Source1905-2016: Trend to renewables in last decade
82%Natural
Gas
2%Other
16%Wind
Black Hills Energy
28%Natural
Gas
44%Coal
3%Solar
2%Other
23%Wind
Xcel Energy
Colorado Electricity Generation2018 Generation by Utility
22%Natural Gas/Oil
11%Contracts
26%Renewables
41%Coal
Tri-State G&T
Recent Commitments by Xcel Energy
Colorado Energy Plan & Zero-Carbon Electricity by 2050
Credit: Xcel Energy
• Platte River Power Authority (PRPA) is a non-profit wholesale
electricity generation and transmission provider for the four
communities of Estes Park, Fort Collins, Longmont and Loveland.
• Dec 6: The PRPA Board of Directors passed a Resource
Diversification Policy which calls for a 100 percent carbon-free goal by
2030.
• Currently, 32% of their energy supply comes from carbon free
resources which that will increase to 50% by 2020.
PRPA 100% Non Carbon Energy Mix
Aspen
Boulder
Denver
Ft. Collins
Lafayette
Longmont
Nederland
Pueblo
Summit County
Colorado Communities Committed to
100% Renewable Electricity
Customer Savings from Carbon Reduction
Vibrant Clean Energy analysis findings:
Replacing all of Colorado’s aging coal plants with a mix of wind,
solar, natural gas and storage could save the state’s electric
customers in excess of $250 million per year.
Resulting in a cumulative saving of over $2.5 billion in through 2040,
while reducing emissions by 510 million metric tons and increasing
electric sector jobs.
The $2.5 billion savings is in addition to all the coal-fired power
plants having their debt repaid.
Xcel Energy
Utility Load Trends:
Flattening of Demand in IOU Territories
Tri-State
Black Hills
• Xcel Energy's energy savings
account for approximately 1.6% of
electric sales under newly
approved targets. Previously
energy savings investments
accounted for 1.3% of electric
sales.
• Black Hills energy savings
account for approximately
1.23% of electric sales under newly
approved targets. Previously
energy savings investments
accounted for 1% of electric sales.
Energy Efficiency Savings
CEO Efficiency Programs
• Access to financing: C-PACE, RENU, CO Clean Energy Fund
• Updating Energy Codes
• Weatherization
• Agricultural Efficiency
• Industrial Efficiency (SEM)
• Energy Performance Contracting
Energy Efficiency in Buildings
Colorado Gas Utilities Ranked by
Customers Served (2017)
1. Xcel Energy: 1,378,528
2. Colorado Springs Utilities: 202,514
3. Black Hills: 178,893
4. Atmos Energy: 119,146
5. Colorado Natural Gas: 21,391
6. City of Ft. Morgan: 4,678
7. City of Trinidad.: 4,134
8. City of Walsenberg: 1,651
9. Town of Rangley: 996
10.City of Center: 806
11.Ignacio Municipal Gas: 484
12.Town of Aguilar: 263
13.Clean Energy, LLC: 148
Oil & Gas Production
Mountain States Natural Gas Production (1989-2016)
Mountain States Crude Oil Production(2000-2017)
Colorado Methane Emissions2014
Source: CDPHE 2014
Colorado greenhouse Gas
Inventory Update
.
Zero-Out ScenariosO&G Contribution Mobile Contribution
Industrial Contribution CEM Contribution
FRAPPÉAverage
Source: Front Range Air Pollution and Phtotochemistry Experiment results, Pfister and Flocke, NCAR,, 2017
FRAPPE Study – Metro Area Ozone Dominated by Oil & Gas Vehicles
2014: Colorado’s Air Quality Control Commission adopted first
methane rules for oil and gas upstream and midstream sector
Estimated to reduce VOC emissions by approximately 93,500 tons per
year and methane/ethane emissions by approximately 65,000 tons
per year, at a cost of approximately $42.5 million per year.
Creation of the Statewide Hydrocarbon Emissions Team
• Evaluate the cost-effective hydrocarbon emissions reductions from
statewide oil and natural gas sector
• Recommend new proposals for emission reduction by Jan. 2020
Colorado Methane Reduction Efforts
Electrification of
Transportation
Vehicles are now the Largest Source of
Carbon Pollution
Two types of EVs:
1. Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV): electric motor
2. Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV): electric motor + gasoline engine
2018 Nissan LEAF (BEV)
151 miles electric range
$29,990 MSRP
2018 Toyota Prius Prime (PHEV)
25 miles electric range, then 54 mpg gasoline
$27,300 MSRP33
EV 101
Automaker Investment in Electric Vehicle
Development
● Ford will invest $4.5 billion in electrified vehicles by 2020: including a
300 mile range fully electric SUV and a F-150 hybrid
● GM recently laid out a bold vision for a “zero crashes, zero emissions,
and zero congestion” future, announced plans for 20 new electric
vehicles by 2023 – including two by 2019, and rolled out the acclaimed
Chevy Bolt across the U.S.
● Toyota committed to having at least 10 new models of all-electric
vehicles by the early 2020’s
● Daimler AG announced a billion dollar investment to build electric
vehicles in the U.S. with production starting in the early 2020’s
● BMW reached 100,000 in global electric vehicle sales while promising a
dozen new models of electric vehicles by 2025
● Fiat-Chrysler to electrify portfolio (Wards Auto, July 2017)
● Volvo announced that “all the models it introduces starting in 2019 will
be either hybrids or powered solely by batteries” (New York Times, July
2017) 34
35
Nearly 100 Electrified Models by 2022
36
EV Battery Prices are Falling
Benefits of Electric Vehicles
Source: M.J. Bradley & Associates, Electric Vehicle Cost-Benefit Analysis
• Enough spare capacity to power all cars off-peak.
• Charging is flexible and can be managed to absorb variable renewable generation.
• Greater grid efficiency puts downward pressure on electric rates for all electricity
customers.38
EV Adoption Benefits Utility Customers
Source: MJ Bradley cost benefit study, 2017
39
Cost Benefit Analysis of EVs to Colorado’s
Grid
Colorado’s EV MarketAugust 2018
Source: autoalliance.org
Colorado Compared to Other States
Source: evadoption.com
Source: autoalliance.org
• Build out key charging corridors
that facilitate economic
development, boost tourism,
and reduce harmful air
pollution.
• Accelerate adoption of EVs and
ensure Colorado remains a
leader in the EV market.
• Serve as a living document.
Colorado Electric Vehicle Plan
Colorado Electric Vehicle Plan
“Increase adoption of EVs in the light duty sector by taking
steps to achieve the high growth scenario of approximately
940,000 EVs in Colorado by 2030, as projected in the Colorado
EV Market Implementation Study.”
• Accelerate adoption of EVs and ensure Colorado remains a
leader in the EV market.
Electrifying Our CorridorsProposed locations for fast-charging infrastructure
LEV: On November 16, 2018, the Air Quality Control Commission approved new low
emission vehicle (LEV) standards for new light-duty and medium-duty motor vehicles sold
in Colorado beginning in the 2022 model year. The new standards are estimated to reduce
carbon dioxide emissions by nearly 2 million tons annually by 2030.
ZEV: Adopting a requirement for manufacturers with sales in a state to delivery for sale a
minimum number of Zero Emission Vehicles. AQCC hearings will be held until May 2019 to
Consider adopting a ZEV mandate proposal.
Utility investment: utilities can play a key role in investing in EV infrastructure and
programs; may require legislation and/or PUC action
Financial incentives: state and federal tax credits play a key role in the early market
Maintaining Progress on Clean Vehicles
Transition to near zero carbon electricity
Transition transportation to widespread electrification
Increase energy efficiency across the state
Electrify buildings
Dramatically reduce methane emissions
Steps Towards Deep Carbon Reduction
Thank You