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StealthGas Inc.
Q3 2016Financial & Operating Results
November 29th 2016
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable federal securities laws. Such statements are based upon current expectations that involve risks and uncertainties. Any statements contained herein that are not statements of historical fact may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. For example, words such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “estimates,” “intends,” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Actual results and the timing of certain events may differ significantly from the results discussed or implied in the forward-looking statements. Among the factors that might cause or contribute to such a discrepancy include, but are not limited to the risk factors described in the Company’s Registration Statement filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, particularly those describing variations on charter rates and their effect on the Company’s revenues, net income and profitability as well as the value of the Company’s fleet
2
StealthGas Key Highlights
❶ Highlights
• 12.4% increase in vessel calendar days in 9M 2016 compared to 9M 2015, surpassing 15,000 days.
• Operational utilization of 88.2% in Q3 2016 (94.4% in Q3 2015).
• 87% of fleet days secured on period charters for the remainder of 2016, with a total of c. $ 175 mm in contracted revenues.
• Market leading position in the coastal LPG segment, with approximately 20% market share.
• Average fleet age of 9.4 years (12 years market average), with 72% of our fleet below 15 years of age.
• Deferral of the deliveries for our four 22K semi ref newbuildings.
Fleet & Operations
Financial• Revenues in Q3 2016 of $ 34.4 mm, decreased by 4% compared to Q3 2015- in a challenging market environment.
• EBITDA in Q3 2016 of $ 11.2 mm ($ 13.4 mm in Q3 2016).
• Moderate gearing as debt to assets stands at c. 40%, while net debt to assets is as low as 34%.
• Cash at hand about $ 61 mm with operating cashflow of c. $ 25.2 mm.
• Release of $ 10 million guarantee for SPIKE, our Aframax tanker, in November 2016, enhancing our unrestricted cash base by the corresponding amount.
• Fully funded order book, following the finalization of credit terms for our last four newbuild deliveries in 2017.
3
Fleet Employment Analytics (as of November 2016)
4
❶ Highlights
Indicative Clients
• Long term relationships with reputable energy companies.
• Successful chartering policy, given the soft market environment, with 49 out of 56 operating vessels on period charters.
• Close to USD 175 mm in secured revenues up to 2022 with an average charter duration of about 1 year.
• Efficient in securing fleet employment as:
- All of our vessels delivered in 2015 and 2016 are on period charters.
- 13 out of 16 of our vessels above 15 years old are also employed on a period contract basis.
Vessel Charter End Date Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
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13
25
21
Gas Esco1 B/B June 2018
Dec 2017
Eco Invictus T/C Sep 2017
Gas Emperor T/C Jan 2018
T/C Dec 2017
Gas Icon T/C Jul 2017
Eco Lucidity
29
28
Gas Ethereal T/C
20
Gas Cathar T/C Nov 2017
Eco Corsair T/C June 2017
22
Nov 2016
Eco Galaxy T/C Jan 2017
Gas Spirit T/C Mar 201731
Gas Inspiration T/C
Gas Monarch TC49
46
48
33
39
26
Gas Moxie T/C Dec 2016
Mar 201732
56 Gas Evoluzione
Gas Sikousis
55
10
45
19
Gas Premiership
1 Gas Exelero B/B
Spot
Spot
24
53
Gas Legacy Spot
54 Gas Pasha
Gas Prodigy T/C Sep 2017
T/C Dec 2016
Spot
52 Gas Ice Spot
50 Gas Haralambos Spot
51 Gas Alice Spot
44 Eco Enigma T/C Dec 2016
43 Fidelity N B/B Dec 2016
42 Gas Imperiale T/C Dec 2016
41 Gas Myth T/C Dec 2016
38 Gas Flawless T/C Jan 2017
37 Eco Nemesis T/C Jan 2017
36 Gas Husky B/B Jan 2017
35 Eco Nical T/C Jan 2017
34 Gas Texiana T/C Jan 2017
Gas Elixir T/C Feb 2017
30 Gas Cerberus T/C June 2017
27 Stealth Balha B/B Jul 2017
Eco Czar T/C Aug 2017
23 Gas Shuriken T/C Oct 2017
Eco Dominator T/C Dec 2017
17 Gas Galaxy T/C Jan 2018
16 Gas Defiance T/C Jan 2018
15 Stealth Berana B/B Feb 2018
14 Gas Zael B/B Feb 2018
12 Gas Sincerity B/B Aug 2018
11 Navig8 Faith B/B Feb 2019
Eco Universe T/C Aug 2019
9 Eco Dream T/C Sep 2020
8 Eco Green T/C Nov 2020
7 Eco Elysium B/B Sep 2021
6 Eco Stream B/B Mar 2022
5 Gas Astrid B/B Apr 2022
4 Eco Royalty B/B Apr2022
3 Eco Loyalty B/B Jun 2022
2 Eco Chios B/B Jun 2022
Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Jun 2022
EARNINGS VISIBILITY2016 2017
Q1 2017 Q2 2017
Jan 2017
47 Gas Nirvana T/C Dec 2016
18
40
Gas Enchanted T/C Dec 2016
Gas Marathon T/C
2017
58%2016
87%Note1. Gas Esco is currently on TC and will commence its bareboat charter in January 2017.
Fleet Trading Profile
5
❶ Highlights
• StealthGas focuses on regional trade and local distribution of gas.
• Company trading pattern is geographically diversified and is continuously adjusted to market needs.
• Currently 50% of the fleet trades in the Middle- Far East , 30% in Europe, 11% in South America, 4% in Australia and 5% in Africa.
• Compared to Q2 16’, in Q3 16’ we had one vessel relocating from Far East to Africa and three vessels commencing trade in the USA.
Trading Areas
Middle- Far East ~ 50%
EU~ 30%
America ~ 11%
Australia~ 4%
Note: Rounding discrepancy of +/- 1%
Africa~ 5%
UK13%
France10%
Netherlands16%
Finland10%Norway
13%
Sweden10%
Italy10%
Rest18%
Brazil25%
Carib (Panama)
25%
USA25%
Rest25%
Singapore20%
China14%
South Korea14%India
10%
Japan6%
Oman5%
Indonesia8%
Rest23%
Capex Program Analysis
6
❶ Highlights
STEALTHGAS New buildings
• Remaining investment program, excluding advances paid, of about 156 USD mm up to end of 2017.
• 4 remaining LPG orders of 88,000 cbm aggregate capacity, under construction in Korea.
• Deferral of deliveries:
- One quarter forward for each of the first three vessels, initially scheduled to be delivered within the 1H’ of 2017.
- Eight months for the final vessel, initially scheduled to be delivered in August 2017.
Capital Expenditure Analysis
• *Committed bank debt refers to debt for the 2017 22K semi-ref vessels in the order of $ 140 mm that has been agreed and a portion of which is subject to the drafting of definitive documentation.
• As per our investment plan, required equity stands in the order of $ 16.2 mm while our current cash is about $ 61 mm.
2017 2018 Total
No of Vessels (LPG) 3semi refrigerated
1semi refrigerated
4semi refrigerated
Capacity (cbm) (3x 22,000 cbm) (1x 22,000 cbm) 88,000 cbm
Remaining Capex as per vessel
$109.37 $46.87 $156.24
RemainingCapexSchedule
Committed bank debt
ContractValues
200
100
Advances paid
208.3
52.1
140.0*
16.2
Remaining equity from cash and future
cash flows
(Amounts in USD mm)
Note: 1. Excludes advances paid.
Q4 16' Q1 17' Q2 17' Q3 17' Q4 17' Q1 18' Q2 18' Q3 18' Q4 18' Total
Advances 5,208 10,416 5,208 10,416 31,248
Final Payments 31,248 31,248 31,248 31,248 124,992
Total 5,208 10,416 31,248 36,456 31,248 156,240
Financials – Income Statement Q3 2016 & Q3 2015
7
- Revenue decreased by c. 4% in spite of the net addition of one vessel. Decrease in
revenues is attributed to poor freight rates, weak seasonal demand and one of our
product tankers switching to bareboat from time in the second half of Q3 16’.
- 22% decrease in Voyage Costs mainly driven by higher time charter days and lower
utilization in the spot market.
- Running costs up by 9%, primarily as a result of :
- net addition of one vessel
- two vessels coming off bareboat
- EBITDA in the order of $ 11.2 mm mainly as a result of:
- Low market rates that led to lower than anticipated revenues
- Weak spot market mostly due to seasonal factors.
- High drydocking costs as three vessels were drydocked during this quarter.
Comparing Q3 2016 to Q3 2015
Note: Any difference in totals is attributed to rounding
❷ Financials
Incom e Statem ent
( Am ounts in USD' 000s )
Q3
2015
Q3
20169M
2015
9M
2016
Voyage revenues 35,793 34,440 103,906 106,659
Voyage costs (5,210) (4,046) (13,351) (11,683)Net revenues 30,584 30,394 90,555 94,976
Running costs (13,382) (14,558) (36,504) (44,319)
Charter hire expenses (1,031) (1,031) (3,087) (3,086)
Drydocking costs (528) (996) (961) (3,168)
Management fees (1,658) (1,879) (4,676) (5,495)
G&A (1,032) (751) (2,872) (2,296)
Depreciation (9,166) (9,881) (26,153) (29,215)
Impraiment Loss (3,567)
Net gain on sale of vessels 33 294
Income from operations 3,786 1,297.634 12,769 7,690
Interest and finance costs (2,754) (3,687) (7,309) (10,537)
Other income/(expenses) 15 (112) 158 (568)
Net income 1,046 (2,501) 5,618 (3,416)
Net income Adjusted 932 (2,415) 9,149 (3,760)
EBITDA 13,365 11,159 39,934 36,840
EBITDA Adjusted 13,251 11,245 43,464 36,550
EPS (0.03) (0.06) 0.13 (0.09)
EPS Adjusted 0.02 (0.06) 0.22 (0.09)
Number of Shares 41,160,920 39,745,207 41,578,036 39,841,876
Number of Vessels 53 54 53 54
Fleet Data Q3 2015 Q3 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016
Average number of owned vessels in fleet 50.0 54.0 47.0 53.0
Period number of owned vessels in fleet 53.0 54.0 53.0 54.0
Total calendar days for fleet 4,800 5,152 13,481 15,152
Total voyage days for fleet 4,765 5,093 13,429 14,921
Fleet utilization 99.3% 98.9% 99.6% 98.5%
Total charter days for fleet 3,624 3,877 10,574 11,524
Total spot market days for fleet 1,141 1,216 2,855 3,397
Fleet operational utilization 94.4% 88.1% 93.1% 90.1%
Average Daily Results (in $) Q3 2015 Q3 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016
Adjusted Time Charter Equivalent - TCE 7,847 7,260 8,170 7,568
Vessel Operating Expenses- Adjusted 4,157 4,092 4,147 4,183
Management Fees 346 365 347 363
General and Administrative Expenses 215 146 213 152
Total Vessel Operating Expenses- Adjusted 4,372 4,238 4,370 4,334
Financials -Performance Highlights Q3 2016 & Q3 2015
8
❷ Financials
Key Comments
(Note: * Assuming no BB charters)
*
*
*
- Operational utilization at 88.1% an outcome of the weak
seasonal demand and increased idle time for our spot fleet.
- Adjusted Time charter equivalent is lower by c. 7.5% in Q3 16’
compared to Q3 15’, reflecting the declining trend of market
rates.
- Daily operational expenses marked a decrease of 2%
- Almost 32% decrease in Daily G&A as a result of cost
management and lower equity stock compensation costs
Financials – Balance Sheet 9M 2016
9
❷ Financials
Assets 9M 2016
• Vessels net value up by c. $ 25 mm mainly as a result of the delivery of 2
new eco LPG vessel- one in Q1 16’ and one at the end of Q2 16’.
• Strong liquidity continues as cash amounts to c. $ 61 mm.
Key Remarks
Equity & Liabilities 9M 2016
Low gearing as total debt corresponds to about 40% of total assets, while
net debt ratio is as low as 34%.
• Company leverage reduced by $ 12 mm, as:
• No drawdown for vessel delivery was realized in the third quarter of
2016
• $ 43.4 million of loans were repaid in the first nine months of 2016.
(Note: 1. Debt Balances are net of capitalized Arrangement Fees)
Balance Sheet
(Amounts in $'000s) 12M 2015 9M 2016
AssetsCash & cash equivalents 100,063 60,715
Current assets excl. cash 23,309 22,771
Advances for vessels under construction 44,032 49,718
Vessel, net 864,690 879,898
Other assets 5,780 5,716
Total Assets 1 ,037,874 1,018,819
Liabilities & Stockholders Equity
Current portion of long term debt1 74,928 43,441
Current liabilities 28,786 27,458
Long term debt1 347,234 366,529
Other liabilities 3,875 4,447
Stockholders' equity 583,051 576,944
Total Liabilities & Stockholders Equity 1,037,874 1,018,819
Financials – Break Even and Fleet Analysis
10
❷ Financials
• Average TCE follows the trend of the market. As evident from
the table below that presents the average TCE decline of our
segment against rates in the beginning of 2015, rates are lower
by approximately 13.0%.
• As a general trend, our breakeven has more or less stabilized in
the past quarters at satisfactory levels.
• However the soft market has considerably reduced our average
TCE.
Daily Breakeven Analysis ($)
Fleet Contribution Analysis
• Indeed period charter contracts remain our strongest revenue
stream even during poor market conditions.
• The weak spot market is reflected in the low contribution to
our net revenues.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016Daily Average TCE Daily Breakeven
Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016
Average Decline
of Market TCE(5.0%) (10.1%) (10.9%) (9.6%) (8.9%) (9.6%) (13.3%)
Bareboat Spot Time Charter
% Voyage Days 25% 23% 52%
Bareboat Spot Time Charter
% of Net Revenues 22% 11% 66%
LPG Sector Highlights & Trends
11
❸Market Update
Source: GRIEG Shipbrokers, EIA, Banchero Costa
US Net LPG Exports (mil mt) China LPG Imports (mil tonnes)
• In terms of LPG supply, US LPG production is anticipated to follow an upward trend. US LPG net exports may close to 26 m mt in 2016 and around 30 m mtin 2017.
• In terms of LPG demand, petchem demand and economics in Asia and Europe are expected to be largely the balancing mechanism of the LPG market.
• China is estimated to be the major demand pull of the LPG market toward 2020, followed by India’s retail demand growth as well as the rapid growth ofsmaller markets such as Bangladesh.
Global Propane Price Differentials
-
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
Jan-
14
Mar
-14
May
-14
Jul-1
4
Sep-
14
Nov
-14
Jan-
15
Mar
-15
May
-15
Jul-1
5
Sep-
15
Nov
-15
Jan-
16
Mar
-16
May
-16
Jul-1
6
Sep-
16
Nov
-16
Jan-
17
Mar
-17
May
-17
Jul-1
7
Sep-
17
Nov
-17
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M
• LPG price arbitrage that mostly affects long-haul voyages did notshow’ any signs of improvement in Q3 16’.
• We noticed a small widening of price differentials in October,attributed to a combination of factors such as oil price increase,seasonal factors and increase in US exports.
• The widening of price differentials, will intensify LPG seaborne trade.
0.56
0.3
0.23
0.1 0.090.08
0.11
0.72
0.53
0.46
0.25
0.160.12
0.16
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Oct-16
North America to Western Europe North America to NorthEast Asia
28%
25%
9%
17%
15%
5%
0%0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0-4 yrs 5-9 yrs 10-14 yrs 15-19 yrs 20-24 yrs 25-30 yrs 30+ yrs
12
❸Market Update
Source: GRIEG Shipbrokers, Clarksons
Historical Charter Rates
• Rates seem to be at the bottom of the cycle.Small LPG Daily Charter Rates Evolution ($)
Coastal LPG (3,000-8,000 cbm) Fleet Age & Scrapping
• Although the age distribution in our segment favors morescrapping, in 2016 we have seen the demolition of only 4 vessels.
Coastal LPG Orderbook
• Our segment’s orderbook continues to be very low as we have only11 vessels- around 3% of total fleet- to be delivered up to the endof 2018.
• In addition to this, 43% of total orders fall under the 7,500 cbmsegment.
20% of the market fleet is above 20 years of age.
Note: Based on an estimated fleet for the above categories of approximately 350 vessels.
2016 2017 2018Press 7,000- 7,500 cbm 1 4 3
Press 5,000- 5,500 cbm
Press 3,000- 5,000 cbm 1 1 1
Total 2 5 4% of fleet (3,000 to 7,500 cbm) 0.6% 1.4% 1.1%
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 20167,500 PR 5,000 PR 3,500 PR (West) 3,500 PR (East)
% Change
2 Years
% Change
1 Year
% Change
Last Quarter7,500 PR (14.3%) (8.3%) (5.6%)
5,000 PR (23.5%) 0.9% (1.4%)
3,500 PR (West) (21.9%) 3.1% (5.0%)
3,500 PR (East) (24.3%) (2.0%) (3.6%)
GASS Share Performance vs Peers (July– November, 2016)
13
❹ Share Performance
• Oil price movement continues to affect energy related stocks.
• Our Company’s stock broadly follows the oil price trend.
• Immediate post election period in the US gave shipping stock a boost.
% c
ha
ng
e o
f pri
ce
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
7/1/2016 8/1/2016 9/1/2016 10/1/2016 11/1/2016
Crude Oil GASS Dorian LPG Navigator Holdings
Time Charter Equivalent – Sensitivity Analysis
14
❺ Outlook
• Numbers based on pre-contracted revenues plus open vessels with sensitivity at the spot rates.
E: Expected
• Forecast excludes the four larger semi-ref newbuildings.
(Amounts in $ '000s)
TCE/EBITDA Q1 2017E Q2 2017E Q3 2017E Q4 2017E Total 2017E
Number of Operating Vessels 56 56 56 56 56
Operational Utilization 91.8% 91.1% 91.2% 90.6% 91.2%
Fixed Income plus spot rates
12,167 14,296 13,701 13,136 53,300
Fixed Income plus spot rates up by $ 500
12,977 15,346 14,867 14,454 57,645
Fixed Income plus spot rates up by $ 1,000
13,788 16,395 16,033 15,773 61,990
Fixed Income plus spot rates up by $ 1,500
14,599 17,445 17,199 17,091 66,334
Fixed Income plus spot rates up by $ 2,000
15,410 18,495 18,365 18,409 70,679
Valuation – Listed Companies Comparables
15
❺ Outlook
P/NAV Total Debt/ Assets EV/EBITDA (16E)
Navigator Gas 0.84 0.43 5.80
Dorian LPG 0.40 0.45 11.50
Epic Gas 0.38 0.47 7.80
Average 0.54 0.45 8.40
StealthGas 0.26 0.40 6.70
StealthGas deviation to comps (52%) (11%) (20%)
Source: Seaborne Capital Advisors, September 2016, GASS financials
• All peer group companies trade at a discount to their Net Asset Value.• It is GASS’s low share price that affects the P/NAV ratio and our Enterprise Value.• On the other hand our Company has lower percentage leverage compared to the peer average.• Low share price, combined with solid company fundamentals makes a good investment opportunity.
Why StealthGas?
16
❺Outlook
Positive Market DriversStealthGas Strengths
Market Factors that will positively affect our segment and consequently our Company:
Stabilization and increase of oil prices.
Intensification of scrapping in our segment.
Currently our segment has a very small orderbook.
Widening of price arbitrage in order to assist LPG seaborne trade.
Our Company’s core value lies on the following:
Conservative chartering policy and capital structure management with a significant measure of secured future revenues, close to $ 170 million on an ongoing basis, and a sensible plan of continuous deleveraging.
Healthy capital structure in spite of rigorous capital expansion plan, with a leverage ratio of close to 40%.
Successful implementation of stated fleet expansion which was realized in spite of poor market conditions; all new vessels are on period charters.
Market leading position in our market segment, and very well positioned in terms of fleet management and chartering strategy to take full advantage of even the slightest improvement in market conditions.
Low daily operational expenses, management fees and G&A compared to other companies in our peer group- an outcome of more than a decade of experience in our segment.
Attractive share price for investors in a Company that is capable to achieve solid profitability when market conditions permit so.
Company’s asset base surpasses $ 1 billion.