commodity derivative market in india_raghav
TRANSCRIPT
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RAGHAV
CHHAB
RA
A3906407273/G
29
2010
COM
MODITYDER
IVATIVE
MARKET
ININDIA
This document deals with thedetails about the commodity
derivative market in India.
Amity school of business
Amity University
Submitted to: -
Mrs. Kavitha Menon
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AcknowledgementI hereby wish to acknowledge Mrs. Kavitha menon forher valuable guidance, mellow criticism and above allunflinching moral support throughout the work.I must also thank the library and other technical stafffor their assistance during the project.I must also not forget to thank my family and friendsfor their constant support during the work.Raghav ChhabraA3906407273A3906407G29Amity school of Business
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CERTIFICATEThis is to certify that Raghav Chhabra, Amity School of Business,Amity University has completed his Dissertation on the topicCOMMODITY DERIVATIVE MARKETS IN INDIA underthe Valuable Guidance of Mrs. Kavitha Menon, Faculty Guide,Amity School of Business, Amity University.
Signature SignatureRaghav Chhabra Kavitha MenonA3906407273 Faculty GuideA3906407G29 Amity School of BusinessAmity School of Business Amity University
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ABSTRACT
Derivative refers to the financial Instruments that take its price from its
underlying assets.
Underlying refers to various assets and securities like the foreign currency, equity,
government bonds, short term negotiable debt instruments like the treasury bills
commercial papers, money market indices, indexes and credit default swaps.
The derivatives include the instruments like the future contracts, forwardcontracts, options, swaps, warrants.
Future contracts include the contract to buy or sell a commodity at a future date
and a future price. This future price is known as the strike price of the contract.
Forward contract is also a contract to buy or sell an assets or a security at a future
date and a future price. The difference between future and forward lies in the
way they are traded. Forwards are the private agreements between two parties
whereas a future contract is an exchange traded contracts.
Option is a derivative contract which gives buyers/seller the right but not the
obligation to buy/sell the commodity at the certain price with respect to a certain
option premium.
A Swap is a derivative contract in which two counterparties exchange certain
benefits in order to hedge the risk against a certain transaction.
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Warrants refers to the derivative contract in which the company attaches
warrants as a sweetener with the security giving the buyer of the security a right
to buy securities of issuing company at a certain price.
There are many derivative instruments for the currency, stocks, debt instruments,
money market indexes, other indexes and the commodity derivatives.
Commodity derivatives include the derivatives instruments which take its price
from the underlying assets as the various commodities like gold, silver, crude oil.
Commodity derivative markets include the commodity markets like the Multi
commodity exchange (MCX) and National commodity derivative exchange of India
(NCDEX).
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Introduction1.1 Background of the research1.2 Objectives of the research1.3 Limitations of the Project
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10
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2. Research Methodology 113. What Are Derivatives
Types of Derivatives
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13
4. Risk in derivatives 155. Hedging 166. Market participants 197. Derivatives with different
UNDERYING ASSETS
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8. Commodity DerivativesTypes of Commodity Derivatives
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31&30
9. Comparative analysis betweencommodity and equity markets
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10.Commodity Derivative Markets In 34
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India
11.History Of Commodity Derivativesmarkets
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12.Top 4 Commodity DerivativeMarkets
12.1 MCX12.2 NSDEX12.3 NMCE12.4 ICEX
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13.Reasons for Success of CommodityDerivatives in India
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14.Problem with commodityexchanges
15.Risks associated with commodityexchange
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16.Conclusions17.Suggestion18.Future Prospects19.Bibliography
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INTRODUCTION
Background of the Project: -
This project deals with the commodity derivatives market in India. This will cover
the topics like derivatives, types of Derivatives, types of risks involved, the
concept of hedging, market participants in derivatives, the commodity derivative
markets, the type of commodity derivatives, difference between commodity andequity derivatives, history of commodity derivative markets, risk and problems
associated with the commodity exchange, the Regulatory framework of
commodity derivatives in India and functions of the regulatory authorities, the
developments in the commodity exchanges of India, the suggestions and the
future prospects of the project.
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Objectives of the Project: -
1. To inquire about derivatives and the types of derivatives2. To develop deep Insights about commodity Derivatives and types of
commodity Derivatives.
3. To make a comparative analysis between the commodity and equityderivatives.
4. To develop an understanding about the market participants in the commodityderivatives market.
5. To develop insights about the risks in the derivative contracts.6. To Gather Information about the commodity derivative market in India7. To acquire information about the history of commodity derivatives in India
about how do they originated.
8. To acquire knowledge about the top 3 commodity derivatives market in India.9. To know the reasons for the success of the commodity derivatives in India.10.To get information about the various risks and problems associated with the
commodity exchanges
11.To gather information about the regulatory authorities for commodityexchanges and the regulatory framework laid down by them.
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Limitations of the Project
The information is acquired from the secondary data which narrows down the
scope of this project as the practical details about the commodity derivatives
could not be obtained.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The information in this report was acquired through the secondary data though
the use of Internet and Text Books.
There is no use of primary data in this project.
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Derivatives: -
A security whose price is dependent upon or derived from one or more
underlying assets is known as a Derivative. The derivative itself is merely a
contract between two or more parties. Its value is determined by fluctuations in
the underlying asset. The most common underlying assets include stocks, bonds,
commodities, currencies, interest rates and market indexes. Most derivatives are
characterized by high leverage.
Futures contracts, forward contracts, options and swaps are the most common
types of derivatives. Derivatives are contracts and can be used as an underlying
asset. There are even derivatives based on weather data, such as the amount of
rain or the number of sunny days in a particular region.
Derivatives are generally used as an instrument to hedge risk, but can also be
used for speculative purposes. For example, a European investor purchasing
shares of an American company off of an American exchange (using U.S. dollars to
do so) would be exposed to exchange-rate risk while holding that stock. To hedge
this risk, the investor could purchase currency futures to lock in a specified
exchange rate for the future stock sale and currency conversion back into Euros.
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Types of Derivative Instruments Include: -
Forwards: A forward contract is a customized contract between two entities,
where settlement takes place on a specific date in the future at today's pre-
agreed price.
Futures: A futures contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell an
asset at a certain time in the future at a certain price. Futures contracts are
special types of forward contracts in the sense that the former are standardized
exchange-traded contracts. The difference between the forward and the future
contracts lies in the way they are traded. The forward contracts are a private
agreement between two parties whereas the future contract involves an
exchange between them.
Basis of The difference Forward Future
1. Agreement Private agreementbetween two parties
They are exchange traded
contracts
2. Delivery of theassets
The delivery of the asset
usually takes place
Instead the reverse
trading takes place
3. Settlement The settlement takesplace at the maturity
period of the contact
The settlement takes
place daily that is the
marked to market
4. Settlement dates There is only onesettlement date for a
forward contract
There are a range of
dates available in a
settlement dates
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Options: Options refers to the derivative contracts in which the buyer/seller has
the right but not the obligation to buy/ sell. Options are of two types - calls and
puts. Calls give the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy a given quantity
of the underlying asset, at a given price on or before a given future date. Puts give
the buyer the right, but not the obligation to sell a given quantity of the
underlying asset at a given price on or before a given date.
Swaps: Swaps are private agreements between two parties to exchange cash
flows in the future according to a prearranged formula. They can be regarded as
portfolios of forward contracts. The two commonly used swaps are:
Interest rate swaps: These entail swapping only the interest related cash flows
between the parties in the same currency.
Currency swaps: These entail swapping both principal and interest between the
parties, with the cash flows in one direction being in a different currency thanthose in the opposite direction.
Warrants: warrants are a derivative contracts in which the buyer of stocks of a
company is given the rights to buy the stocks of the holding company at a certain
future date
Leaps: The acronym LEAPS means Long-Term Equity Anticipation Securities. These
are options having a maturity of up to three years longer than a general option is
available.
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Baskets: Basket options are options on portfolios of underlying assets. The
underlying asset is usually a moving average or a basket of assets. Equity index
options are a form of basket options.
Swaptions: Swaptions are options to buy or sell a swap that will become
operative at the expiry of the options. Thus a swaption is an option on a forward
swap. Rather than have calls and puts, the Swaptions market has receiver
Swaptions and payer Swaptions. A receiver swaption is an option to receive fixed
and pay floating. A payer swaption is an option to pay fixed and receive floating.
Risk
Risk is that phenomenon that forces a trader to use the derivatives. It refers to a
situation or an unseen event that causes a certain loss to a person. There are two
kinds of risks that an investor could face.
1. Systematic Risk: - systematic risk refers to a portion of risk that is accordingto a specific system and cannot be controlled. This is also known as non-diversifiable risk.
2. Unsystematic risk: - Unsystematic risk refers to that portion of risk that isnot according to any system and can be controlled. Unsystematic risk is that
company or industry specific risk that is inherent in each investment one
makes.
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HEDGING
Hedging means reducing or controlling risk. This is done by taking a position in the
futures market that is opposite to the one in the physical market with theobjective of reducing or limiting risks associated with price changes.
Hedging is a two-step process. A gain or loss in the cash position due to changes
in price levels will be countered by changes in the value of a futures position. For
instance, a wheat farmer can sell wheat futures to protect the value of his crop
prior to harvest. If there is a fall in price, the loss in the cash market position willbe countered by a gain in futures position.
How hedging is done
In this type of transaction, the hedger tries to fix the price at a certain level with
the objective of ensuring certainty in the cost of production or revenue of sale.
The futures market also has substantial participation by speculators who take
positions based on the price movement and bet upon it. Also, there are
arbitrageurs who use this market to pocket profits whenever there are
inefficiencies in the prices. However, they ensure that the prices of spot and
futures remain correlated.
By hedging, in the general sense, we can imagine the company entering into a
transaction whose sensitivity to movements in financial prices offsets the
sensitivity of their core business to such changes. As we shall see in this article
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and the ones that follow, hedging is not a simple exercise nor is it a concept that
is easy to pin down. Hedging objectives vary widely from firm to firm, even
though it appears to be a fairly standard problem, on the face of it. And the
spectrum of hedging instruments available to the corporate Treasurer is
becoming more complex every day.
Another reason for hedging the exposure of the firm to its financial price risk is to
improve or maintain the competitiveness of the firm. Companies do not exist in
isolation. They compete with other domestic companies in their sector and with
companies located in other countries that produce similar goods for sale in theglobal marketplace. Again, a pulp-and-paper company based in Canada has
competitors located across the country and in any other country with significant
pulp-and-paper industries, such as the Scandinavian countries.
Companies that are the most sophisticated in this field recognize that the
financial risks that are produced by their businesses present a powerful
opportunity to add to their bottom line while prudently positioning the firm so
that it is not pejoratively affected by movements in these prices. This level of
sophistication depends on the firm's experience, personnel and management
approach. It will also depend on their competitors. If there are five companies in a
particular sector and three of them engage in a comprehensive financial risk
management program, then that places substantial pressure on the more passive
companies to become more advanced in risk management or face the possibility
of being priced out of some important markets. Firms that have good risk
management programs can use this stability to reduce their cost of funding or to
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lower their prices in markets that are deemed to be strategic and essential to the
future progress of their companies.
There are two types of hedge: -
1. Long Hedge/Buying: - A buying hedge is also called a long hedge. Buying hedgemeans buying a futures contract to hedge a cash position. Dealers, consumers,
fabricators, etc, who have taken or intend to take an exposure in the physical
market and want to lock- in prices, use the buying hedge strategy.
Benefits of buying hedge strategy:
To replace inventory at a lower prevailing cost. To protect uncovered forward sale of finished products.
The purpose of entering into a buying hedge is to protect the buyer against price
increase of a commodity in the spot market that has already been sold at a
specific price but not purchased as yet. It is very common among exporters and
importers to sell commodities at an agreed-upon price for forward delivery. If the
commodity is not yet in possession, the forward delivery is considered
uncovered.
2. Short Hedge/Selling: - A selling hedge is also called a short hedge. Selling
hedge means selling a futures contract to hedge.
Uses of selling hedge strategy.
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To cover the price of finished products. To protect inventory not covered by forward sales. To cover the prices of estimated production of finished products.
Short hedgers are merchants and processors who acquire inventories of the
commodity in the spot market and who simultaneously sell an equivalent amount
or less in the futures market. The hedgers in this case are said to be long in their
spot transactions and short in the futures transactions.
MARKET PARTICIPANTS
The Market participants in a derivative contract includes: -
1.Hedgers: - Hedgers are the people who use strategies in order to minimize therisk associated with the derivative contracts. The hedgers buy and sell in orderto protect themselves from a certain risk.
Example of a hedge include: -
A stock trader believes that the stock price of Company A will rise over the next
month, due to the company's new and efficient method of producing widgets. He
wants to buy Company A shares to profit from their expected price increase. But
Company A is part of the highly volatile widget industry. If the trader simply
bought the shares based on his belief that the Company A shares were
underpriced, the trade would be a speculation.
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Since the trader is interested in the company, rather than the industry, he wants
to hedge out the industry risk by short selling an equal value (number of shares
price) of the shares of Company A's direct competitor, Company B. If the trader
was able to short sell an asset whose price had a mathematically defined relation
with Company A's stock price (for example a call option on Company A shares) the
trade might be essentially riskless. But in this case, the risk is lessened but not
removed.
The first day the trader's portfolio is:
Long 1000 shares of Company A at $1 each Short 500 shares of Company B at $2 each
(Notice that the trader has sold short the same value of shares.)
On the second day, a favorable news story about the widgets industry is
published and the value of all widgets stock goes up. Company A, however,
because it is a stronger company, goes up by 10%, while Company B goes up by
just 5%:
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Long 1000 shares of Company A at $1.10 each: $100 gain Short 500 shares of Company B at $2.10 each: $50 loss
(In a short position, the investor loses money when the price goes up.)
The trader might regret the hedge on day two, since it reduced the profits on the
Company A position. But on the third day, an unfavorable news story is published
about the health effects of widgets, and all widgets stocks crash: 50% is wiped off
the value of the widgets industry in the course of a few hours. Nevertheless, since
Company A is the better company, it suffers less than Company B:
Value of long position (Company A):
Day 1: $1000 Day 2: $1100 Day 3: $550 => ($1000 $550) = $450 loss
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Value of short position (Company B):
Day 1: -$1000 Day 2: -$1050 Day 3: -$525 => ($1000 $525) = $475 profit
Without the hedge, the trader would have lost $450 (or $900 if the trader took
the $1000 he has used in short selling Company B's shares to buy Company A's
shares as well). But the hedge - the short sale of Company B - gives a profit of
$475, for a net profit of $25 during a dramatic market collapse.
2.Speculators: - The process of selecting investments with higher risk in order toprofit from an anticipated price movement. Whereas hedgers want to avoid
exposure to adverse movements in the price of an asset, speculators wish to
take a risky position in the market. The speculators bet that the price of the
asset will go up or will go down.
3.Arbitrageurs: - Arbitrageurs involves people who indulge in locking in a risklessprofit by simultaneous buying and selling of securities.
For example: -
Suppose that the exchange rates in London are 5 = $10 = 1000 and the
exchange rates in Tokyo are 1000 = $12 = 6. Converting 1000 to $12 in
Tokyo and converting that $12 into 1200 in London, for a profit of 200,
would be arbitrage
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Derivatives with different underlying assets
Equity Derivative: - An equity derivative is a class of financial instruments whose
value is at least partly derived from one or more underlying equity securities.
Market participants trade equity derivatives in order to transfer or transform
certain risks associated with the underlying security. Options are by far the most
common equity derivative; however there are many other types of equity
derivatives that are actively traded. A derivative instrument with underlying
assets based on equity securities. An equity derivative's value will fluctuate with
changes in its underlying asset's equity, which is usually measured by share price.
Investors can use equity derivatives to hedge the risk associated with taking a
position in stock by setting limits to the losses incurred by either a short or long
position in a company's shares. The investor receives this insurance by paying
the cost of the derivative contract, which is referred to as a premium. If an
investor purchases a stock, he or she can protect against a loss in share value by
purchasing a put option. On the other hand, if the investor has shorted shares, he
or she can hedge against a gain in share price by purchasing a call option.
Most Common Examples of Equity Derivatives include: -
1. Equity Options: - this gives the holder right but not the obligation to buy orsell.
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2. Warrants: - Warrants are attached to securities as a sweetener giving theright to pay lower dividends making the bonds give more yields and making
it attractive for potential buyers.
3. Convertible Bonds: - These Bonds are convertible after a certain period oftime in equity
4. Equity Futures and Swaps
Credit Derivatives: -
Privately held negotiable bilateral contracts that allow users to manage their
exposure to credit risk are known as Credit Derivatives. Credit derivatives are
financial assets like forward contracts, swaps, and options for which the price is
driven by the credit risk of economic agents (private investors or governments).
Types of Credit Derivatives
Credit Derivatives includes: -
1. Credit Default Swap: - Credit default swaps allow one party to "buy"protection from another party for losses that might be incurred as a result
of default by a specified reference credit. He may need to pay a premium in
consideration to buy the protection.
2. Credit Spread Option: -A credit spread option grants the buyer the right,but not the obligation, to purchase a bond during a specified future
exercise period at the contemporaneous market price and to receive an
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amount equal to the price implied by a strike spread stated in the
contract.
3. Credit Linked Note: -A credit-linked note (CLN) is essentially a funded CDS,which transfers credit risk from the note issuer to the investor. The issuer
receives the issue price for each Credit Linked Note from the investor and
invests this in low-risk collateral.
Foreign Exchange Derivatives: -
Foreign Exchange Derivatives include derivatives whose underlying asset is the
foreign currency or its exchange rate. Foreign Exchange Derivatives are also
known as currency derivatives which are basically used for hedging International
transactions of a company in its transactions against another country.
Foreign Exchange Derivatives Include: -
1. Foreign Exchange Option: - a foreign exchange option (commonlyshortened to just FX option or currency option) is a derivative financial
instrument where the owner has the right but not the obligation to
exchange money denominated in one currency into another currency at a
pre-agreed exchange rate on a specified date. The FX options market is the
deepest, largest and most liquid market for options of any kind in the
world.
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2. Currency Swap: - A currency swap (or cross currency swap) is a foreign-exchange agreement between two parties to exchange principal and fixed-
rate interest payments on a loan in one currency for principal and fixed-
rate interest payments on an equal in net present value loan in another
currency. Currency swaps are motivated by comparative advantage. A
currency swap should be distinguished from a central bank liquidity swap.
For example, suppose a U.S.-based company needs to acquire Swiss francs
and a Swiss-based company needs to acquire U.S. dollars. These two
companies could arrange to swap currencies by establishing an interest
rate, an agreed upon amount and a common maturity date for the
exchange. Currency swap maturities are negotiable for at least 10 years,
making them a very flexible method of foreign exchange.
3. Currency Future: - Currency futures are futures markets where theunderlying commodity is a currency exchange rate, such as the Euro to US
Dollar exchange rate, or the British Pound to US Dollar exchange rate.
Currency futures are essentially the same as all other futures markets
(index and commodity futures markets), and are traded in exactly the same
way. Futures based upon currencies are similar to the actual currency
markets (often known as Forex), but there are some significant differences.
For example, currency futures are traded via exchanges, such as the CME
(Chicago Mercantile Exchange), but the currency markets are traded via
currency brokers, and are therefore not as controlled as the currency
futures.
4. Foreign Exchange Hedge: - This involves the concept of using hedging as atool to stay protected from the risk of foreign exchange fluctuations.
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Several Hedging techniques are available to hedge foreign exchange risk
like money market hedge, forward market hedge, currency risk sharing,
currency options, currency collar etc.
INTEREST RATE DERIVATIVES
An interest rate derivative is a derivative where the underlying asset is the right to
pay or receive a (usually notional) amount of money at a given interest rate. Theinterest rate derivatives market is the largest derivatives market in the world.
Types of Interest Rate Derivatives
1. Interest rate swap: - An agreement between two parties (known ascounterparties) where one stream of future interest payments is exchanged
for another based on a specified principal amount. Interest rate swaps
often exchange a fixed payment for a floating payment that is linked to an
interest rate (most often the LIBOR). A company will typically use interest
rate swaps to limit or manage exposure to fluctuations in interest rates, or
to obtain a marginally lower interest rate than it would have been able to
get without the swap. An interest rate swap is a derivative in which one
party exchanges a stream of interest payments for another party's stream
of cash flows. Interest rate swaps can be used by hedgers to manage their
fixed or floating assets and liabilities. They can also be used by speculators
to replicate unfunded bond exposures to profit from changes in interest
rates
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2. Interest rate cap: - An interest-rate cap is an OTC derivative that protectsthe holder from rises in short-term interest rates by making a payment to
the holder when an underlying interest rate (the "index" or "reference"
interest rate) exceeds a specified strike rate (the "cap rate"). Caps are
purchased for a premium and typically have expirations between 1 and 7
years. They may make payments to the holder on a monthly, quarterly or
semiannual basis, with the period generally set equal to the maturity of the
index interest rate.
3. Interest rate swaption4. Bond option5. Forward rate agreement6. Interest rate future7. Money Market Instruments
PROPERTY DERIVATIVES
A property derivative is a financial derivative whose value is derived from the
value of an underlying real estate asset. In practice, because real estate assets fall
victim to market inefficiencies and are hard to accurately price, property
derivative contracts are typically written based on a real estate property index. In
turn, the real estate property index attempts to aggregate real estate market
information to provide a more accurate representation of underlying real estate
asset performance
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Examples of Property Derivatives: -
Property Index Notes
The PINs are essentially bonds. The cash flows of these bonds are structured in a
way that is meant to be similar to a transaction in the physical property. This
means that the PIN pays the capital return on redemption of the bond and it pays
a quarterly coupon to investors.
Total Return Swaps
A property total return swap is simply an exchange of cash flows. Here, the total
return on property, as measured by the change in the relevant IPD or FTSE UK
Commercial Property Index, is exchanged for the return on cash.
Forwards/Futures
A property forward contract is based upon the property returns in any annual
period - the expected total return for example is agreed at trade, and on maturity
the difference between the realized total return and the traded price is
exchanged.
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FREIGHT DERIVATIVES
A financial instrument's value that is derived on the future levels of freight rates,
such as "dry bulk" carrying rates and oil tanker rates is a freight derivative. Freight
derivatives are used most often by end users (such as ship owners and grain-
houses) and by suppliers (such as integrated oil companies and international
trading corporations) to mitigate risk and hedge against price spikes in the supply
chain.
Forward freight agreements are the most common freight derivative present in
todays scenario.
INSURANCE DERIVATIVES
A financial instrument that derives its value from an underlying insurance index or
the characteristics of an event related to insurance. Insurance derivatives are
useful for insurance companies that want to hedge their exposure to catastrophic
losses due to exceptional events, such as earthquakes or hurricanes.
INFLATION DERIVATIVES
A subclass of derivative that is used by individuals to mitigate the effects of
potentially large levels of inflation IS known as inflation derivatives. The most
common type of inflation derivatives are swaps, in which counterpartys cash
flows are linked to a price index and the other counterparty is linked to a
conventional fixed or floating cash flow.
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COMMODITY DERIVATIVES
Commodity derivatives include derivatives for the underlying assets i.e. the
commodities.
Commodity derivatives include the general commodity options, futures, swaps in
order to hedge the risks associated with fluctuating prices of the commodities
traded on the commodity exchange.
Commodity derivatives include the derivative instruments with commodities like:
-
1. WTI crude oil futures2. Commodity swaps3. Iron ore forward contract4. Gold option5. Weather Derivatives
The main Commodity derivatives comprise of the basic derivatives contracts: -
1. Commodity future: - an agreement to buy/sell a certain commodity at acertain date and at a certain price.
2. Commodity option: - an agreement which entitles the buyer/seller of theright but not the obligation to buy/ sell a certain commodity at a future
price in consideration for a certain premium.
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3. Commodity Swaps: - these are the types of derivative contracts in whichtwo parties agree to swaps their beneficial positions in order to save
themselves from risk.
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Comparative Analysis of Commodity And Equity Markets
Factors Commodity Markets Equity Markets
Percentage
Returns
Gold gives 10-15 % returns
on the conservative basis.
Returns in the range of 15-
20 % on annual basis.
Initial MarginsLower in the range of 4-5-
6%
Higher in the range of 25-
40%
Arbitrage
Opportunities
Exists on 1-2 monthcontracts. There is a small
difference in prices, but in
case of commodities, which
it is in large tonnage makes
a huge difference.
Significant Arbitrage
Opportunities exists.
Price
Movements
Price movements are
purely based on the supply
and demand.
Prices movements based on
the expectation of future
performance.
Price Changes
Price changes are due to
policy changes, changes in
tariff and duties.
Price changes can also be
due to Corporate actions,
Dividend announcements,
Bonus shares / Stock splits.
Future
Predictability
Predictability of future
prices is not in the control
due to factors like Failure of
Predictability of futures
performance is reasonably
high, which is
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Monsoon and Formation of
El-ninos at Pacific.
supplemented by the
History of management
performance.
Volatility Lower Volatility Higher Volatility
Securities
Transaction Act
Application
Securities Transaction Act is
not applicable to
commodity futures trading.
Securities Transaction Act is
applicable to equity
markets trading.
Commodity derivatives markets
There are 3 top commodity derivatives market: -
1. Multi Commodity exchange (MCX)2. National commodity derivatives exchange of India3. National multi commodity exchange (NMCE)
Top 5 commodity derivatives exchanges include: -
NYME (New York Mercantile Exchange) TCE (Tokyo Commodity Exchange) NYSE Euronext DCE (Dalian Commodity Exchange) MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange)
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History of Derivatives Markets in India
Historically, dating from ancient Sumerian use of sheep or goats, or other peoples
using pigs, rare seashells, or other items as commodity money, people have
sought ways to standardize and trade contracts in the delivery of such items, to
render trade itself more smooth and predictable.
Commodity money and commodity markets in a crude early form are believed tohave originated in Sumer where small baked clay tokens in the shape of sheep or
goats were used in trade. Sealed in clay vessels with a certain number of such
tokens, with that number written on the outside, they represented a promise to
deliver that number. This made them a form of commodity money - more than an
"I.O.U." but less than a guarantee by a nation-state or bank. However, they were
also known to contain promises of time and date of delivery - this made them likea modern futures contract. Regardless of the details, it was only possible to verify
the number of tokens inside by shaking the vessel or by breaking it, at which point
the number or terms written on the outside became subject to doubt. Eventually
the tokens disappeared, but the contracts remained on flat tablets. This
represented the first system of commodity accounting.
However, the Commodity status of living things is always subject to doubt - it was
hard to validate the health or existence of sheep or goats. Excuses for non-
delivery were not unknown, and there are recovered Sumerian letters that
complain of sickly goats, sheep that had already been fleeced, etc.
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If a seller's reputation was good, individual "backers" or "bankers" could decide to
take the risk of "clearing" a trade. The observation that trust is always required
between market participants later led to credit money. But until relatively
modern times, communication and credit were primitive.
Classical civilizations built complex global markets trading gold or silver for spices,
cloth, wood and weapons, most of which had standards of quality and timeliness.
Considering the many hazards of climate, piracy, theft and abuse of military fiat
by rulers of kingdoms along the trade routes, it was a major focus of these
civilizations to keep markets open and trading in these scarce commodities.
Reputation and clearing became central concerns, and the states which could
handle them most effectively became very powerful empires, trusted by many
peoples to manage and mediate trade and commerce.
The modern commodity markets have their roots in the trading of agricultural
products. While wheat and corn, cattle and pigs, were widely traded using
standard instruments in the 19th century in the United States, other basic
foodstuffs such as soybeans were only added quite recently in most markets. For
a commodity market to be established there must be very broad consensus on
the variations in the product that make it acceptable for one purpose or another.
The economic impact of the development of commodity markets is hard to
overestimate. Through the 19th century "the exchanges became effective
spokesmen for, and innovators of, improvements in transportation, warehousing,
and financing, which paved the way to expanded interstate and international
trade."
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Need For Futures Trading In Commodities
Commodity Futures, which forms an essential component of Commodity
Exchange, can be broadly classified into precious metals, agriculture, energy andother metals. Current futures volumes are miniscule compared to underlying spot
market volumes and thus have a tremendous potential in the near future.
Futures trading in commodities results in transparent and fair price discovery on
account of large-scale participations of entities associated with different value
chains. It reflects views and expectations of a wider section of people related to a
particular commodity. It also provides effective platform for price risk
management for all segments of players ranging from producers, traders and
processors to exporters/importers and end-users of a commodity.
It also helps in improving the cropping pattern for the farmers, thus minimizing
the losses to the farmers. It acts as a smart investment choice by providing
hedging, trading and arbitrage opportunities to market players. Historically,
pricing in commodities futures has been less volatile compared with equity and
bonds, thus providing an efficient portfolio diversification option.
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Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX)
Multi Commodity Exchange is among the top 5 largest commodity exchanges of
World.
Headquartered in the financial capital of India, Mumbai, Multi Commodity
Exchange of India Ltd (www.mcxindia.com) is a demutualised nationwide
electronic commodity futures exchange set up by Financial Technologies (India)
Ltd. with permanent recognition from Government of India for facilitating online
trading, clearing & settlement operations for futures market across the country.
The exchange started operations in November 2003.
MCX has achieved three ISO certifications including ISO 9001:2000 for quality
management, ISO 27001:2005 - for information security management systems
and ISO 14001:2004 for environment management systems. MCX offers futures
trading in more than 40 commodities from various market segments including
bullion, energy, ferrous and non-ferrous metals, oil and oil seeds, cereal, pulses,
plantation, spices, plastic and fiber. The exchange strives to be at the forefront of
developments in the commodities futures industry and has forged strategic
alliances with various leading International Exchanges, including Tokyo
Commodity Exchange, Chicago Climate Exchange, London Metal Exchange, New
York Mercantile Exchange, Bursa Malaysia Derivatives, Berhad and others.
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National Commodity Derivatives Exchange of India (NCDEX)
India's largest and most recognized commodities exchange, which was
established in 2003. The exchange was founded by some of India's leading
financial institutions such as ICICI Bank Limited, the National Stock Exchange of
India and the National Bank for Agricultural and Rural Development, among
others.
The exchange is located in Mumbai, but has offices across the country to facilitate
trade. Trading is done on 45 commodities that are integral to India's economy.
These include gold, silver, Brent Crude oil, and rice, along with other agricultural
products and base metals.
National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) is a professionally
managed on-line multi commodity exchange. The shareholders of NCDEX
comprises of large national level institutions, large public sector bank and
companies.
Promoter shareholders: ICICI Bank Limited (ICICI)*, Life Insurance Corporation of
India (LIC), National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD) and
National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSE).
Other shareholders: Canara Bank, Punjab National Bank (PNB), CRISIL Limited,
Indian Farmers Fertilizer Cooperative Limited (IFFCO), Goldman Sachs,
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and Shree Renuka Sugars Limited
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NCDEX is the only commodity exchange in the country promoted by national level
institutions. This unique parentage enables it to offer a bouquet of benefits,
which are currently in short supply in the commodity markets. The institutional
promoters and shareholders of NCDEX are prominent players in their respective
fields and bring with them institutional building experience, trust, nationwide
reach, technology and risk management skills.
NCDEX is a public limited company incorporated on April 23, 2003 under the
Companies Act, 1956. It obtained its Certificate for Commencement of Business
on May 9, 2003. It commenced its operations on December 15, 2003.
NCDEX is a nation-level, technology driven de-mutualised on-line commodity
exchange with an independent Board of Directors and professional management -
both not having any vested interest in commodity markets. It is committed to
provide a world-class commodity exchange platform for market participants to
trade in a wide spectrum of commodity derivatives driven by best global
practices, professionalism and transparency.
NCDEX is regulated by Forward Markets Commission. NCDEX is subjected to
various laws of the land like the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, Companies
Act, Stamp Act, Contract Act and various other legislations.
NCDEX headquarters are located in Mumbai and offers facilities to its members
from the centers located throughout India.
The Exchange, as on May 21, 2009 when Wheat Contracts were re-launched on
the Exchange platform, offered contracts in 59 commodities - comprising 39
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agricultural commodities, 5 base metals, 6 precious metals, 4 energy, 3 polymers,
1 ferrous metal, and CER. The top 5 commodities, in terms of volume traded at
the Exchange, were Rape/Mustard Seed, Gaur Seed, Soya bean Seeds, Turmeric
and Jeera.
National Multi Commodity Exchange of India (NMCE)
The Indian experience in commodity futures market dates back to thousands of
years. References to such markets in India appear in Kautialyas Arthasastra. The
words, Teji, Mandi, Gali, and Phatak have been commonly heard in Indian
markets for centuries.
The first organized futures market was however established in 1875 under the
aegis of the Bombay Cotton Trade Association to trade in cotton contracts.
Derivatives trading were then spread to oilseeds, jute and food grains. The
derivatives trading in India however did not have uninterrupted legal approval. By
the Second World War, i.e., between the 1920s &1940s, futures trading in
organized form had commenced in a number of commodities such as cotton,
groundnut, groundnut oil, raw jute, jute goods, castor seed, wheat, rice, sugar,
precious metals like gold and silver. During the Second World War futures trading
was prohibited under Defense of India Rules.
After independence, the subject of futures trading was placed in the Union list,
and Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952 was enacted. Futures trading in
commodities particularly, cotton, oilseeds and bullion, was at its peak during this
period. However following the scarcity in various commodities, futures trading in
most commodities were prohibited in mid-sixties. There was a time when trading
was permitted only two minor commodities, viz., pepper and turmeric.
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Deregulation and liberalization following the Forex crisis in early 1990s, also
triggered policy changes leading to re-introduction of futures trading in
commodities in India. The growing realization of imminent globalization under the
WTO regime and non-sustainability of the Government support to commodity
sector led the Government to explore the alternative of market-based
mechanism, viz., futures markets, to protect the commodity sector from price-
volatility. In April, 1999 the Government took a landmark decision to remove all
the commodities from the restrictive list. Food-grains, pulses and bullion were not
exceptions.
The long spell of prohibition had stunted growth and modernization of the
surviving traditional commodity exchanges. Therefore, along with liberalization of
commodity futures, the Government initiated steps to cajole and incentives the
existing Exchanges to modernize their systems and structures. Faced with the
grudging reluctance to modernize and slow pace of introduction of fair and
transparent structures by the existing Exchanges, Government allowed setting up
of new modern, demutualised Nation-wide Multi-commodity Exchanges with
investment support by public and private institutions. National Multi Commodity
Exchange of India Ltd. (NMCE) was the first such exchange to be granted
permanent recognition by the Government.
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ICEX (Indian Commodity Exchange Ltd.)
Indian Commodity Exchange Limited is a screen based on-line derivatives
exchange for commodities and has established a reliable, time tested, and a
transparent trading platform. It is also in the process of putting in place robust
assaying and warehousing facilities in order to facilitate deliveries. ICEX is latest
commodity exchange of India Started Function from 27 Nov, 09. It is jointly
promote by Indiabulls Financial Services Ltd. and MMTC Ltd. and has Indian
Potash Ltd. KRIBHCO and IFC among others, as its partners having its head office
located at Gurgaon (Haryana). BSE is also planning to set up a Commodity
exchange.
Why Commodities Market?
India has very large agriculture production in number of agri-commodities,which needs use of futures and derivatives as price-risk management
system.
Fundamentally price you pay for goods and services depend greatly on howwell business handle risk. By using effectively futures and derivatives,
businesses can minimize risks, thus lowering cost of doing business.
Commodity players use it as a hedge mechanism as well as a means ofmaking money. For e.g. in the bullion markets, players hedge their risks by
using futures Euro-Dollar fluctuations and the international prices affecting
it.
For an agricultural country like India, with plethora of mandis, trading inover 100 crops, the issues in price dissemination, standards, certification
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and warehousing are bound to occur. Commodity Market will serve as a
suitable alternative to tackle all these problems efficiently.
Reasons for the success of commodity derivatives in India
Strategy, method of execution, background of promoters, credibility of the
Institution, transparency of platforms, scalable technology, robustness of
Settlement structure wider participation of Hedgers; speculators and arbitragers,
acceptable clearing mechanism, financial soundness and capability, covering a
wide range of commodity, reach of the organization and adding value on the
ground.
In addition to his, if the Indian Commodity exchanges need to be competitive in
the Global Market, then it should be backed with proper capital account
convertibility.
The performance of the commodity derivatives exchange has been significantly
growing. The rising affection for gold and silver has led to a 3 times increase of
the use of commodity derivatives in India.
The Volume traded today is 3 times what was used during the past years.
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Key Expectations from Commodities Exchanges
The following are some of the key expectations of the investor's from any
commodity exchange: -
To get in place the right regulatory structure to even out the differencesthat may exist in various fields.
Proper Product Conceptualization and Design. Fair and Transparent Price Discovery & Dissemination. Robust Trading & Settlement systems. Effective Management of Counter party Credit Risk.
Regulatory body of Commodity exchanges:-
FMCL forward Market commission headquarter in Mumbai, is regulation authority
which is overseen by the minister of consumer affairs, food and publicdistribution Govt. of India, It is station body set up in 1953 under the forward
contract (Regulation) Act 1952.
The functions of the Forward Markets Commission are as follows:
(a) To advise the Central Government in respect of the recognition or the
withdrawal of recognition from any association or in respect of any other matter
arising out of the administration of the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act 1952.
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(b) To keep forward markets under observation and to take such action in relation
to them, as it may consider necessary, in exercise of the powers assigned to it by
or under the Act.
(c) To collect and whenever the Commission thinks it necessary, to publish
information regarding the trading conditions in respect of goods to which any of
the provisions of the act is made applicable, including information regarding
supply, demand and prices, and to submit to the Central Government, periodical
reports on the working of forward markets relating to such goods;
(d) To make recommendations generally with a view to improving the
organization and working of forward markets;
(e) To undertake the inspection of the accounts and other documents of any
recognized association or registered association or any member of such
association whenever it considerers it necessary.
Problems faced by Commodities Markets in India
Institutional issues have resulted in very few deliveries so far. Currently, there are
a lot of hassles such as octroi duty, logistics. If there is a broker in Mumbai and a
broker in Kolkata, transportation costs, octroi duty, logistical problems prevent
trading to take place. Exchanges are used only to hedge price risk on spot
transactions carried out in the local markets. Also multiple restrictions exist on
inter-state movement and warehousing of commodities.
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Risks associated with Commodities Markets
No risk can be eliminated, but the same can be transferred to someone who can
handle it better or to someone who has the appetite for risk. Commodityenterprises primarily face the following classes of risks, namely: the price risk, the
quantity risk, the yield/output risk and the political risk. Talking about the
nationwide commodity exchanges, the risk of the counter party (trading member,
client, vendors etc) not fulfilling his obligations on due date or at any time
thereafter is the most common risk.
This risk is mitigated by collection of the following margins: -
Initial Margins Exposure margins Market to market of positions on a daily basis Position Limits and Intraday price limits Surveillance
Commodity price risks include: -
Increase in purchase cost vis--vis commitment on sales price Change in value of inventory Counter party risk translating into commodity price risk
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Some Interesting Facts about commodity exchanges
Commodities in which future contracts are successful are commodities
those are not protected through government policies; (Example: Gold/Silver/ Cotton/ Jute) and trade constituents of these commodities are not
complaining too. This should act as an eye-opener to the policy makers to
leave pricing and price risk management to the market forces rather than
to administered mechanisms alone. Any economy grows when the
constituents willingly accept the risk for better returns; if risks are not
compensated with adequate or more returns, economic activity will comeinto a standstill.
Worldwide, Derivatives volumes of non-US exchanges in the last decade,has been increasing as compared to the US Exchanges.
Commodities are less volatile compared to equity market, but more volatileas compared to G-Sec's.
The basic idea of Commodity markets is to encourage farmers to choosecropping pattern based on future and not past prices.
Industry in India runs the raw material price risk, going forward they canhedge this risk.
Commodities Exchanges are working with banks to provide liquidity toretail investors against holdings such as bullion, cotton or any edible oil,
much like loan against shares.
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CONCLUSIONS and SUGGESTIONS
Conclusions
A derivative contract refers to a contract which takes its price from the underlying
asset. Underlying assets could be equity, debt, short term negotiable debt
instruments, spot foreign exchange, money market indices, credit risk and other
indices. A derivative contract are of different types like future contract, forward
contract, options contract, swaps, basket, warrants, LEAPS, Swaptions. The
derivative contract covers the systematic i.e. non-diversifiable risk and the non
systematic i.e. diversifiable risk.
Hedging refers to buying and selling in order to protect him/her from the
different risk attached to a buying contract. Hedging is of two types long Hedge
and a Short Hedge.
The main Participants in derivatives contract include: -
1. Hedgers2. Speculators3. Arbitrageurs
Commodity derivatives refers to the derivative contracts with the underlying
assets as different commodities like gold, silver, chana, brass. The commodities in
the commodity are of different types that include 39 agricultural commodities, 5
base metals, 6 precious metals, 4 energy, 3 polymers, 1 ferrous metal, and CER.
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Commodity derivatives include commodity futures, commodity options,
commodity forwards, commodity swaps, and commodity Swaptions.
The top 3 commodity derivative exchanges of India are the Multi commodityexchange (MCX), National Commodity and Derivatives exchange of India (NCDEX)
and National Multi Commodity exchange (NMCE).
There is one commodity exchange which has recently come into force i.e. The
Indian Commodity exchange ltd (ICEX) which is currently on the no.4 spot.
These Commodity exchange are regulated by the FMC i.e. the Forwards Market
Commission which has laid down certain rules and regulations for the operations
of Commodity exchanges in India.
The risks associated with commodity exchanges include the price risk, quantity
risk, yield/output risk and the political risk.
Finally there are a lot of problems faced by the different commodity exchanges
like the octroi duty, logistics etc.
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Suggestions
The following steps need to be taken by the exchanges, regulator and the
government in order that this market develops in a robust manner and thebenefits flow to the ultimate beneficiaries like the consumers, processors,
exporters and farmers etc. -
To mount a massive awareness programme among the potentialbeneficiaries about the benefits and risks of futures trading.
Disseminate futures prices widely so that stakeholders can take informeddecisions.
Develop other allied activities such as warehousing, standardization andgradation; collateral financing linked to futures markets.
Reforms in physical market to develop efficient and integrated nationalmarket.
Make necessary amendments in the FC(R) Act for permitting futures inintangible commodities and options trading, which are at present
prohibited.
Allow participation of mutual funds and financial institutions in thecommodity market.
Coordination with other segments of the financial market such as banking,debt and capital market.
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Future Prospects
With the gradual withdrawal of the Govt. from various sectors in the post
liberalization era, the need has been left that various operators in thecommodities market be provided with a mechanism to hedge and transfer their
risk. Indias obligation under WTO to open agriculture sector to world trade
require future trade in a wide variety of primary commodities and their product
to enable diverse market functionaries to cope with the price volatility prevailing
n the world markets.
Following are some of applications, which can utilize the power of the commodity
market and create a win-win situation for all the involved parties:-
Commodity Market in India:
Regulatory approval/permission to FIIS to trading in the commodity market.
Active Involvement of mutual fund industry of India. Permission to Banks for acting as Aggregators and traders. Active involvement of small Regional stock exchanges. Newer Avenues for trading in Foreign Derivatives Exchanges. Convergence of variance market. Amendment of the commodities Act and Implementers of VAT.
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Bibliography
1. Internet: -www.wikipedia.org
www.Investopedia.com
www.investorwords.com
www.ncdex.comwww.mcxindia.com
www.nmce.co.in
www.Fmc.gov.in
www.icexindia.com
2. Books: -Hull, John C Options, Futures, and Other derivative sixth edition, 2007
3. Online Journals: -www.eurojournals.com