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TRANSCRIPT
COMPANY PRESENTATION
SEPTEMBER 2019
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
2
Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides safe harbor protections for forward-looking statements, which include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. Words such as "believe," "anticipate," "intends," "estimate," "forecast," "project," "plan," "potential," "may," "should," "expect," "pending" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statementsin this presentation are based upon various assumptions. Although we believe that these assumptions were reasonable when made, because these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond our control, we cannot assure you that we will achieve or accomplish these expectations,beliefs or projections. The information set forth herein speaks only as of the date hereof, and we disclaim any intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of developments occurring after the date of this communication.
In addition to these important factors and matters discussed elsewhere herein, important factors that, in our view, could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements include the strength of world economies, fluctuations in currencies and interest rates, general market conditions, including fluctuations in charter hire rates and vessel values, changes in demand in the dry bulk market, changes in our operating expenses, including bunker prices, drydocking and insurance costs, the market for our vessels, availability of financing and refinancing, changes in governmental rules and regulations or actions taken by regulatory authorities, potential liability from pending or future litigation, general domestic and international political conditions, potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents, political events or acts by terrorists, and other important factors described from time to time in the reports filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Certain shipping, steel, Chinese and global industry information, statistics and charts contained herein have been derived from several sources. You are hereby advised that such industry data, charts and statistics have not been prepared specifically for inclusion in these materials and Golden Ocean has not undertaken any independent investigation to confirm the accuracy or completeness of such information
COMPANY OVERVIEW
4SOURCE: CLARKSONS, PUBLIC FILINGS AND OTHER DISCLOSURES
NOTE: RATES DISPLAYED ARE WEEKLY AVERAGES FOR CAPESIZE AND PANAMAX VESSELS
Positioned to capture market strength and generate significant cash flow with modern,
fuel-efficient fleet, large commercial scale and highly competitive cash costs
KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
700%
Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19
Cum
ula
tive c
hange
Capesize Panamax Supramax Handysize
• FOCUS ON LARGER VESSELS TO
CAPTURE MARKET UPSIDE AND
VOLATILITY
Capesize and Panamax vessels significantly outperform in stronger markets
1
-
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
1
10
19
28
37
46
55
64
73
82
91
10
0
10
9
11
8
12
7
13
6Weekly Capesize Rates Weekly Panamax Rates
-
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
Capesize Panamax
OPEX G&A Interest Leases Repayment• COMPETITIVE CASH COSTS DRIVE
EARNINGS AND PROTECT DOWNSIDE
Fully-burdened daily costs of $13,800 and $9,600 for Capesize and Panamax, respectively
3
2017
9,4 9,3 8,98,58
7,8 7,7
3,2
5,8
-
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
9,0
10,0
Diana Shipping Genco Shipping Eagle Bulk Safe Bulkers Star Bulk Carriers Navios Maritime Scorpio Bulkers Golden Ocean
Years
• MODERN, FUEL-EFFICIENT FLEET
COMMANDS A PREMIUM
Fleet performance is increasingly important as new sulphur emissions regulations approach
2
FLEET DEPLOYMENT
NOTE: CHARTERING PROFILE AS OF AUGUST 2019; EIGHT PANAMAX CHARTERS EXPIRE BETWEEN END OF 2019 AND END OF 2021.
*IN ADDITION SIX CAPESIZE VESSELS HAVE FLOOR / CEILING CONTRACTS FOR 2019 AND TWO VESSELS FOR 2020 5
CONTRACTED EARNINGS
Opportunistic chartering strategy with significant operating leverage
Age 5.0 years
Age 7.4 years
Age 4.3 years
2019
8 fixed at $20,440/day*
38 trading spot
8 fixed at $18,960/day
20 trading spot
3 trading spot
1 fixed at $20,500/day*
2020
45 trading spot
8 fixed at $18,960/day
20 trading spot
3 trading spot
2021
46 trading spot
See note
28 trading spot*
3 trading spot
Capesize Panamax Ultramax
25,636
days
Capesize
Panamax
Ultramax
2020 OPERATING LEVERAGE
$63
$126
$190
$253
$316
$0,44
$0,88
$1,31
$1,75
$2,19
$-
$0,5
$1,0
$1,5
$2,0
$2,5
$-
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$2 500 $5 000 $7 500 $10 000 $12 500
Cash f
low
per
share
Cash f
low
($ m
illio
ns)
Incremental daily TCE above breakeven levels
Cash flow Cash flow per share
6
JOINT VENTURE WITH TRAFIGURA CREATES COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
NOTE: COMPLIANT FUEL PRICE ESTIMATED 1:2 FO:GASOIL BLEND; ASSUMES MODERN AND 10 YR OLD VESSELS CONSUME 9,500
AND 11,750 MT, RESPECTIVELY, OF FUEL ANNUALLY
MAXIMIZING FLEET EFFICIENCY IN A HIGH FUEL PRICE ENVIRONMENT
WELL POSITIONED AS IMO 2020 APPROACHES
Modern, fuel-efficient fleet with average age of less than 6
years comprised primary of “ECO” vessels
Thus far installing scrubbers on 50% of the Capesize fleet,
or the equivalent of 2/3 of the Capesize fleet with
economic exposure to fuel prices in the next years
Scrubber present attractive investment decision that we
believe will result in increased earnings
-
2 500
5 000
7 500
10 000
-100 -75 -50 -25 Fwd. curve +25 +50 +75 +100
Scru
bber
savin
gs (
$/d
ay)
Fuel spread ($/t)
Modern 10 yr old
80.5mmt
Total fuel oil and gasoil traded by Trafigura in
2018
Joint venture with Trafigura Group and Frontline
ensures availability of competitively priced fuel from a
trusted supplier with a global network
Golden Ocean to own 10% and Frontline 15%,
respectively and Trafigura to contribute its existing
bunkering operations into the JV
JV expected to launch in the third quarter of 2019
MODERN, EFFICIENT FLEET
7
$3
$6 $6
$4 $4
-
5
10
15
20
25
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Expecte
d c
ost by y
ear
($ m
illio
ns)
# o
f vessels
# of vessels Expected cost
BWTS INSTALLATION SCHEDULEOPERATING EXPENSES (YTD 2019)
Fully-burdened Opex includes dry docking and management fees
Eight vessels completed dry-dock in first half of 2019, which included installation of BWTS
Additional 11 Capesize vessels are scheduled for drydock in 2019
Average fleet age of less than six years and majority of the fleet designed with fuel-efficient engines and ballast water treatment systems
Additional advantage to be gained through scrubber installations
SCRUBBER INSTALLATION SCHEDULE
0
3 3
9
8
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20
5 2505 600
450
700
-
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
Supramax &Panamax
Capesize
OPEX Drydock & Surveys
STRONG BALANCE SHEET WITH LIMITED CAPEX
8
DEBT MATURITIES
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
Three non-recourse facilities, financing 14 vessels, have been
replaced by two new facilities with more favourable terms
All loans are asset-backed with well-known shipping banks
and fully guaranteed by GOGL
An undrawn separate loan tranche of up to $33 million,
financing up to 11 scrubber installations, is in place
Total amortization of $21.2 million per quarter
Average margin above LIBOR on bank financing is
competitive at 2.25%
(in thousands of $) 06/30/2019
ASSETS
Short term
Cash and cash equivalents (incl. restricted cash) 117,549
Other current assets 148,061
Long term
Restricted cash 45,708
Vessels (incl. newbuildings and held-for-sale) 2,365,773
Other long term assets 226,496
Total assets 2,903,587
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Short term
Current portion of long term debt and capital lease 238,355
Other current liabilities 112,919
Long term
Long term debt and capital lease 914,012
Other long term liabilities 165,084
Equity 1,473,217
Total liabilities and equity 2,903,587
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
DRY BULK MARKET UPDATE
10SOURCE: CLARKSONS
NOTE: RATES DISPLAYED ARE WEEKLY AVERAGES FOR CAPESIZE AND PANAMAX VESSELS
Rates have rebounded sharply as iron ore volumes begin to return to the
market and other trades remain supportive
FREIGHT MARKET UPDATE
WEEKLY PANAMAX RATESWEEKLY CAPESIZE RATES
-
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2017 2018 2019 5Yr. Average
-
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
18 000
20 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2017 2018 2019 5Yr. Average
11SOURCE: BALTIC EXCHANGE
Expectations recovering following steep declines driven by trade tensions
and disruptions in iron ore production
FORWARD FREIGHT AGREEMENTS
PANAMAX FFAsCAPESIZE FFAs
10 000
12 500
15 000
17 500
20 000
22 500
J-1
8
F-1
8
M-1
8
A-1
8
M-1
8
J-1
8
J-1
8
A-1
8
S-1
8
O-1
8
N-1
8
D-1
8
J-1
9
F-1
9
M-1
9
A-1
9
M-1
9
J-1
9
J-1
9
A-1
9
CS5TC, Cal-20, NOS Closing CS5TC, Cal-21, NOS Closing
7 500
10 000
12 500
J-1
8
F-1
8
M-1
8
A-1
8
M-1
8
J-1
8
J-1
8
A-1
8
S-1
8
O-1
8
N-1
8
D-1
8
J-1
9
F-1
9
M-1
9
A-1
9
M-1
9
J-1
9
J-1
9
A-1
9
PM4TC, Cal-20, NOS Closing PM4TC, Cal-21, NOS Closing
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
90 000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Fle
et
utiliz
atio
n
Tonne m
iles (
bill
ions)
Demand Supply Utilization Rate
DRY BULK SUPPLY / DEMAND & UTILIZATION
12
SUPPLY, DEMAND AND UTILIZATION RATE - DRY BULK SHIPS 10,000 DWT +
SOURCE: MARITIME ANALYTICS
Utilization increased to ~83.5% in the second quarter, rebounding from the
pullback in the first quarter caused by iron ore export disruptions in Brazil
700
800
900
1 000
1 100
1 200
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Metr
ic t
onnes (
bill
ions)
Metr
ic t
onnes (
mill
ions)
Total Iron Ore Coal Other Bulks Agribulks
GROWTH IN VOLUMES DESPITE IRON ORE DISRUPTIONS
13
SEABORNE TRADE OF DRY BULK COMMODITIES (MAJOR IMPORTERS)
Volumes grew slightly year-over-year despite ~20mn metric tonne
decrease in iron ore volumes
SOURCE: MARITIME ANALYTICS
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Australia Brazil South Africa India Other
DECLINE IN BRAZIL IRON ORE PRODUCTION ARE REFLECTED IN Q2 2019 EXPORT FIGURES
14SOURCE: MARITIME ANALYTICS; DISPLAYS VOLUMES BY QUARTER
QUARTERLY EXPORTED IRON ORE VOLUMES PER COUNTRY
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
jan
.12
ma
r.1
2
ma
i.12
jul.1
2
sep
.12
nov.1
2
jan
.13
ma
r.1
3
ma
i.13
jul.1
3
sep
.13
nov.1
3
jan
.14
ma
r.1
4
ma
i.14
jul.1
4
sep
.14
nov.1
4
jan
.15
ma
r.1
5
ma
i.15
jul.1
5
sep
.15
nov.1
5
jan
.16
ma
r.1
6
ma
i.16
jul.1
6
sep
.16
nov.1
6
jan
.17
ma
r.1
7
ma
i.17
jul.1
7
sep
.17
nov.1
7
jan
.18
ma
r.1
8
ma
i.18
jul.1
8
sep
.18
nov.1
8
jan
.19
ma
r.1
9
ma
i.19
China Rest of World
WORLD STEEL PRODUCTION TRENDS
ANNUAL CHANGE IN STEEL PRODUCTION
Chinese steel production growth remained strong, while the rest of the
world was unchanged year over year
SOURCE: SSY 15
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Metr
ic t
onnes
(mill
ions)
China Japan S. Korea India Other Asia Europe
INDIAN AND CHINA COAL IMPORTS UP SIGNIFCANTLY YEAR-OVER-YEAR
16
CHINA AND INDIA COAL INVENTORIESCOAL IMPORTS BY MAJOR IMPORTERS
SOURCE: MARITIME ANALYTICS, COMMODORE RESEARCH
81 82
95
74
66 65
83
88
11
1614
31
21
1317
25
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Jul-19
China India
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
ma
r.1
0
jun
.10
sep
.10
des.1
0
ma
r.1
1
jun
.11
sep
.11
des.1
1
ma
r.1
2
jun
.12
sep
.12
des.1
2
ma
r.1
3
jun
.13
sep
.13
des.1
3
ma
r.1
4
jun
.14
sep
.14
des.1
4
ma
r.1
5
jun
.15
sep
.15
des.1
5
ma
r.1
6
jun
.16
sep
.16
des.1
6
ma
r.1
7
jun
.17
sep
.17
des.1
7
ma
r.1
8
jun
.18
sep
.18
des.1
8
ma
r.1
9
jun
.19
Kilo
watt h
ours
(bill
ions)
0 %
10 %
20 %
30 %
40 %
50 %
60 %
70 %
80 %
90 %
100 %
ma
r.1
0
jun
.10
sep
.10
des.1
0
ma
r.1
1
jun
.11
sep
.11
des.1
1
ma
r.1
2
jun
.12
sep
.12
des.1
2
ma
r.1
3
jun
.13
sep
.13
des.1
3
ma
r.1
4
jun
.14
sep
.14
des.1
4
ma
r.1
5
jun
.15
sep
.15
des.1
5
ma
r.1
6
jun
.16
sep
.16
des.1
6
ma
r.1
7
jun
.17
sep
.17
des.1
7
ma
r.1
8
jun
.18
sep
.18
des.1
8
ma
r.1
9
jun
.19
Coal-derived electricity output Hydropower output Other output sources
CONTINUED YEAR OVER YEAR GROWTH IN ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION SUPPORTS COAL DEMAND IN CHINA
17
CHINESE ELECTRICITY OUTPUT BY SOURCE
SOURCE: COMMODORE RESEARCH / NARIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS OF CHINA
CHINESE ELECTRICITY OUTPUT
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
De
c-1
0
Ma
r-1
1
Jun
-11
Se
p-1
1
Dec-1
1
Ma
r-1
2
Jun
-12
Se
p-1
2
Dec-1
2
Ma
r-1
3
Jun
-13
Se
p-1
3
Dec-1
3
Ma
r-1
4
Jun
-14
Se
p-1
4
Dec-1
4
Ma
r-1
5
Jun
-15
Se
p-1
5
Dec-1
5
Ma
r-1
6
Jun
-16
Se
p-1
6
Dec-1
6
Ma
r-1
7
Jun
-17
Se
p-1
7
Dec-1
7
Ma
r-1
8
Jun
-18
Se
p-1
8
Dec-1
8
Ma
r-1
9
Jun
-19
USA Aust. Wheat Only Argentina EU to 3rd c. Canada
- 2 4 6 8
10 12 14 16 18 20
Dec-1
0
Ma
r-1
1
Jun
-11
Se
p-1
1
Dec-1
1
Ma
r-1
2
Jun
-12
Se
p-1
2
Dec-1
2
Ma
r-1
3
Jun
-13
Se
p-1
3
Dec-1
3
Ma
r-1
4
Jun
-14
Se
p-1
4
Dec-1
4
Ma
r-1
5
Jun
-15
Se
p-1
5
Dec-1
5
Ma
r-1
6
Jun
-16
Se
p-1
6
Dec-1
6
Ma
r-1
7
Jun
-17
Se
p-1
7
Dec-1
7
Ma
r-1
8
Jun
-18
Se
p-1
8
Dec-1
8
Ma
r-1
9
Jun
-19
USA Brazil Argentina
U.S. GRAIN EXPORTS CONTINUE TO BE DISRUPTED BY TRADE TENSIONS
18
SOYBEAN AND SOYBEAN MEAL EXPORTS BY SOURCE
SOURCE: FEARNRESEARCH
GRAIN EXPORTS BY SOURCE
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
Q2
2010
Q3
2010
Q4
2010
Q1
2011
Q2
2011
Q3
2011
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Q1
2014
Q2
2014
Q3
2014
Q4
2014
Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
Q4
2016
Q1
2017
Q2
2017
Q3
2017
Q4
2017
Q1
2018
Q2
2018
Q3
2018
Q4
2018
Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Mill
dw
t
-4,0
-2,0
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
Q2
2010
Q3
2010
Q4
2010
Q1
2011
Q2
2011
Q3
2011
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Q1
2014
Q2
2014
Q3
2014
Q4
2014
Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
Q4
2016
Q1
2017
Q2
2017
Q3
2017
Q4
2017
Q1
2018
Q2
2018
Q3
2018
Q4
2018
Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Mill
dw
t
-2,0
-1,0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
Q2
2010
Q3
2010
Q4
2010
Q1
2011
Q2
2011
Q3
2011
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Q1
2014
Q2
2014
Q3
2014
Q4
2014
Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
Q4
2016
Q1
2017
Q2
2017
Q3
2017
Q4
2017
Q1
2018
Q2
2018
Q3
2018
Q4
2018
Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Mill
dw
t
-0,5
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
Q2
2010
Q3
2010
Q4
2010
Q1
2011
Q2
2011
Q3
2011
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Q1
2014
Q2
2014
Q3
2014
Q4
2014
Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
Q4
2016
Q1
2017
Q2
2017
Q3
2017
Q4
2017
Q1
2018
Q2
2018
Q3
2018
Q4
2018
Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Mill
dw
t
CAPESIZE FLEET GROWTH SLOWING ON HIGHER SCRAPPING
19
PANAMAX / POST-PANAMAXCAPESIZE
LTM Delivered: 13.6m dwt
LTM Scrapped: 5.4m dwt
LTM Delivered: 4.9m dwt
LTM Scrapped: 0.5m dwt
LTM Delivered: 7.3m dwt
LTM Scrapped: 0.1m dwt
LTM Delivered: 2.9m dwt
LTM Scrapped: 0.5m dwt
HANDYSIZEHANDYMAX / SUPRAMAX
SOURCE: CLARKSONS PLATOU
5,9% 5,6%
1,5%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
30,0%
35,0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019f 2020f 2121f+
Annual fleet gro
wth
Fle
et
(MdW
T)
Fleet size Deliveries Scheduled deliveries Fleet growth
PROJECTED FLEET GROWTH IS MODERATE VERSUS HISTORICAL LEVELS
FLEET GROWTH (ASSUMES NO SCRAPPING OR NEW ORDERING)
High likelihood that some 2019 deliveries are cancelled or pushed out to 2020;
limited ordering and scrapping ahead of regulations is expected
SOURCE: SSY 20
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
jan
-201
1
apr-
20
11
jul-
201
1
okt-
201
1
jan
-201
2
apr-
20
12
jul-
201
2
okt-
201
2
jan
-201
3
apr-
20
13
jul-
201
3
okt-
201
3
jan
-201
4
apr-
20
14
jul-
201
4
okt-
201
4
jan
-201
5
apr-
20
15
jul-
201
5
okt-
201
5
jan
-201
6
apr-
20
16
jul-
201
6
okt-
201
6
jan
-201
7
apr-
20
17
jul-
201
7
okt-
201
7
jan
-201
8
apr-
20
18
jul-
201
8
okt-
201
8
jan
-201
9
apr-
20
19
jul-
201
9
Dem
olit
ion (
mill
ion D
WT
)
Vessel valu
es (
mm
US
D)
Capesize Bulkcarrier Demolition Capesize 176k dwt 15 Year Old Secondhand Prices Capesize Scrap Value
DEMOLITION ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED
CAPESIZE DEMOLITION AND VESSEL VALUES
21
(7.3m dwt)(0.8m dwt)
Demolition has increased in first half of 2019 driven by weaker of freight
rates and reduced differential between resale prices and scrap value
SOURCE: CLARKSONS
-
10
20
30
40
50
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
Jun
-09
Se
p-0
9
Dec-0
9
Ma
r-1
0
Jun
-10
Se
p-1
0
Dec-1
0
Ma
r-1
1
Jun
-11
Se
p-1
1
Dec-1
1
Ma
r-1
2
Jun
-12
Se
p-1
2
Dec-1
2
Ma
r-1
3
Jun
-13
Se
p-1
3
Dec-1
3
Ma
r-1
4
Jun
-14
Se
p-1
4
Dec-1
4
Ma
r-1
5
Jun
-15
Se
p-1
5
Dec-1
5
Ma
r-1
6
Jun
-16
Se
p-1
6
Dec-1
6
Ma
r-1
7
Jun
-17
Se
p-1
7
Dec-1
7
Ma
r-1
8
Jun
-18
Se
p-1
8
Dec-1
8
Ma
r-1
9
Jun
-19
Asset
valu
es (
mm
US
D)
1 y
r-T
C (
US
D/d
ay)
1 yr-TC 5 yr SH Panamax 10 yr SH Panamax
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
-
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
Jun
-09
Se
p-0
9
Dec-0
9
Ma
r-1
0
Jun
-10
Se
p-1
0
Dec-1
0
Ma
r-1
1
Jun
-11
Se
p-1
1
Dec-1
1
Ma
r-1
2
Jun
-12
Se
p-1
2
Dec-1
2
Ma
r-1
3
Jun
-13
Se
p-1
3
Dec-1
3
Ma
r-1
4
Jun
-14
Se
p-1
4
Dec-1
4
Ma
r-1
5
Jun
-15
Se
p-1
5
De
c-1
5
Ma
r-1
6
Jun
-16
Se
p-1
6
Dec-1
6
Ma
r-1
7
Jun
-17
Se
p-1
7
Dec-1
7
Ma
r-1
8
Jun
-18
Se
p-1
8
Dec-1
8
Ma
r-1
9
Jun
-19
Asset
valu
es (
mm
US
D)
1 y
r-T
C (
US
D/d
ay)
1 yr-TC 5 yr SH Capesize 10 yr SH Capesize
22
PANAMAX VALUES AND EARNINGS
SOURCE: CLARKSONS
CAPESIZE VALUES AND EARNINGS
S&P PRICES STABLE; ACTIVITY PICKING UP FOCUSED ON OLDER, SMALLER TONNAGE
0,00
1,00
2,00
3,00
4,00
5,00
6,00
7,00
8,00
9,00
28,00
30,00
32,00
34,00
36,00
38,00
40,00
42,00
44,00
"EC
O"
pre
miu
m (
mm
US
D)
Vessel price (
mm
US
D)
5 Year Old "ECO" Capesize Secondhand Price 5 Year Old Capesize Secondhand Price "ECO" Price Premium"
CONSISTENT PREMIUM FOR MODERN VESSELS
CAPESIZE DEMOLITION AND VESSEL VALUES
SOURCE: CLARKSONS 23
(0.8m dwt)
“ECO” vessel premium has remained consistent as fuel price is set to
become an even more important factor in 2020
OUTLOOK AND STRATEGY
25
POTENTIAL RISKSPOSITIVE FACTORS
HIGH FLEET UTILIZATION ON SUPPLY CONTSRAINTS; POSITIVE OUTLOOK BUT VOLATILITY EXPECTED
• China implements additional stimulus
measures to support growth and/or offset
potential impact of tariffs
• Effective capacity is constrained ahead of
IMO 2020 due to cleaning of fuel tanks,
availability of fuel and offhire for scrubber
installations
• Older vessels are scrapped ahead of
investments required to meet BWTS or
remain economical following sulphur
emissions regulations
• Unresolved trade tensions and global
recession cause global trade to slow
• Reduced amount of coal in the energy mix
in China and other countries
• Slippage removed from the orderbook and
fleet size grows materially as well as
Valemax share of order book increases
market volatility
1 6
11
16
21
26
31
36
41
46
51
56
61
66
71
76
81
86
91
96
10
1
10
6
11
1
11
6
12
1
12
6
13
1
13
6
Weekly Capesize Rates Weekly Panamax Rates
-
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
Capesize Panamax
OPEX G&A Interest Leases Repayment
COMPETITIVE CASH COST DRIVE EARNINGS AND PROTECTS DOWNSIDE
26
CASH BREAKEVEN LEVELS VS. INDEXES(1)
$13,800
$9,600
(1) ESTIMATED CASH BREAKEVEN LEVELS AT TODAYS INTEREST LEVEL, EXCLUDING PROFITABLE CHARTERS WHICH WILL
REDUCE THE CASH BREAKEVEN FROM THESE LEVELS
SOURCE: CLARKSONS; RATES DISPLAYED ARE WEEKLY AVERAGES FOR CAPESIZE AND PANAMAX VESSELS
Fully-burdened Opex includes dry docking and management fees
G&A net of management fees are estimated to be approximately $450 per day on a fleet of 77 vessels
Average margin on bank financing is competitive at LIBOR + 2.25% and the majority of bank debt has 19 years profile (adjusted for year of age)
Jan 2017
APPENDIX
(in thousands of $) Q2 2019 Q1 2019Quarterly
Variance
Operating revenues 117,653 126,956 (9,303)
Voyage expenses (32,905) (34,199) 1,294
Net revenues 84,748 92,757 (8,009)
Ship operating expenses (48,707) (42,111) (6,596)
Administrative expenses (3,276) (3,530) 254
Charter hire expenses (15,828) (15,788) (40)
Depreciation / impairment (23,978) (22,875) (1,103)
Net operating expenses (91,789) (84,304) (7,485)
Net operating income (loss) (7,041) 8,453 (15,494)
Net financial expenses (14,214) (15,320) 1,106
Derivatives and other financial income (loss) (11,793) (560) (11,233)
Net income before taxation (loss) (33,048) (7,427) (25,621)
Income Tax expense 38 38 -
Net income (loss) (33,086) (7,465) (25,621)
Earnings (loss) per share: basic and diluted ($0.23) ($0.05) ($0.18)
Adjusted EBITDA 21,507 36,021 (14,514)
TCE per day 11,629 13,131 (1,502)
PROFIT & LOSS
28
BALANCE SHEET
(in thousands of $) Q2 2019 Q1 2019Quarterly
Variance
ASSETS
Short term
Cash and cash equivalents (incl. restricted cash) 117,549 153,036 (35,487)
Other current assets 148,061 132,252 15,809
Long term
Restricted cash 45,708 46,115 (407)
Vessels (incl. newbuildings and held-for-sale) 2,365,773 2,384,506 (18,733)
Operating leases, right of use assets, net 196,827 201,124 (4,297)
Other long term assets 29,669 19,992 9,677
Total assets 2,903,587 2,937,025 (33,438)
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Short term
Current portion of long term debt and capital lease 238,355 311,379 (73,024)
Current portion of operating leases 22,585 22,072 513
Other current liabilities 90,334 64,616 25,718
Long term
Long term debt and capital lease 914,012 857,287 56,725
Non-current portion of operating lease obligations 165,084 170,976 (5,892)
Equity 1,473,217 1,510,695 (37,478)
Total liabilities and equity 2,903,587 2,937,025 (33,438)
29
30
ADJUSTED EBITDAAVERAGE DAILY TCE
DIVIDENDS PER SHAREOPERATING REVENUE
SUMMARY FINANCIAL RESULTS
12 237 12 958
16 444 15 593 15 215
17 730 17 524
13 131 11 629
-
2 500
5 000
7 500
10 000
12 500
15 000
17 500
20 000
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
30
40
65
53 54
7970
36
22
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
100
127
151 150141
189176
126116
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
- -
0,10 0,10 0,10
0,15
0,05
0,025
0,10
-
0,05
0,10
0,15
0,20
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
LOWER FUEL CONSUMPTION LEADS TO REDUCED COST
31
SPEED VS. CONSUMPTION (BALLAST)SPEED VS. CONSUMPTION (LADEN)
-
10,00
20,00
30,00
40,00
50,00
60,00
70,00
80,00
9,0 9,5 10,0 10,5 11,0 11,5 12,0 12,5 13,0 13,5 14,0
-
5,00
10,00
15,00
20,00
25,00
30,00
35,00
40,00
45,00
50,00
9,0 9,5 10,0 10,5 11,0 11,5 12,0 12,5 13,0
Modern vessel Vessel 10+ years
NOTE: THESE ARE EXAMPLE NUMBERS BASED ON ACTUAL CONSUMPTION FOR A SPECIFIC VESSEL: EACH VESSELS CONSUMPTION VARY, AND IN ADDITION WEATHER CONDITIONS, TIME IN PORT, TRADE PATTERNS ETC WILL IMPACT THE TOTAL CONSUMPTION OVER A YEAR:
Modern vessels have significant competitive advantages
6 438 5 205
16 096 13 014
25 753
20 822
10 yr old Modern
Daily cost at 200 $/t Daily cost at 500 $/t Daily cost at 800 $/t
DAILY AVERAGE FUEL COSTS (USD/DAY)
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!