comparison of primary care models in ontario
TRANSCRIPT
Comparison of
PRIMARY CARE MODELS IN ONTARIOby Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
ICES Investigative Report
Authors Richard H. Glazier Brandon M. Zagorski Jennifer Rayner
March 2012
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
PUBLICATION INFORMATION ©2012InstituteforClinicalEvaluativeSciences
Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystemortransmittedinanyformatorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recordingorotherwise,withouttheproperpermissionofthepublisher.
Theopinions,resultsandconclusionsincludedinthisreportarethoseoftheauthorsandareindependentfromthefundingsources.NoendorsementbytheInstituteforClinicalEvaluativeSciences(ICES),theOntarioMinistryofHealthandLong-TermCare(MOHLTC)ortheAssociationofOntarioHealthCentres(AOHC)isintendedorshouldbeinferred.TheAOHChadnoinvolvementinorcontroloverthedesignandconductofthestudy;theanalysisandinterpretationofthedata;thedecisiontopublish;orthepreparation,reviewandapprovalofthemanuscript.
Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES)G106,2075BayviewAvenueToronto,ONM4N3M5Telephone:416-480-4055www.ices.on.ca
Canadian Cataloguing in Publication Data ComparisonofPrimaryCareModelsinOntarioby
Demographics,CaseMixandEmergencyDepartmentUse,2008/09to2009/10.ICESInvestigativeReport.
Includesbibliographicalreferences.
ISBN978-1-926850-30-6(PDF)
How to Cite This Publication GlazierRH,ZagorskiBM,RaynerJ.Comparisonof
PrimaryCareModelsinOntariobyDemographics,CaseMixandEmergencyDepartmentUse,2008/09to2009/10.ICESInvestigativeReport.Toronto:InstituteforClinicalEvaluativeSciences;2012.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
TABLE OF CONTENTS I Authors’Affiliations
I Acknowledgements
II AboutOurOrganization
III ExecutiveSummary
V ListofExhibits
1 BACKGROUND
3 OBJECTIVE
4 METHODS
4 Participants 4 DataSources 6 CaseMix 7 Analyses
8 FINDINGS
23 DISCUSSION
24 Limitations 26 PolicyImplications 27 ImplicationsforEvaluationandResearch
28 CONCLUSIONS
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
AUTHORS’ AFFILIATIONS Richard H. Glazier, MD, MPH, CCFP, FCFP, ABMP
SeniorScientist,InstituteforClinicalEvaluativeSciences/Scientist,CentreforResearchonInnerCityHealth,TheKeenanResearchCentreintheLiKaShingKnowledgeInstituteofSt.Michael’sHospital/Professor,DepartmentofFamilyandCommunityMedicine,UniversityofToronto/FamilyPhysician,St.Michael’sHospital
Brandon M. Zagorski, MSAnalyst,InstituteforClinicalEvaluativeSciences/AdjunctProfessor,InstituteofHealthPolicy,ManagementandEvaluation,UniversityofToronto
Jennifer Rayner, MScRegionalDecisionSupportSpecialist,LondonInterCommunityHealthCentre
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ThestudywassponsoredbytheAssociationof
OntarioHealthCentresandwearegratefulfortheirassistancewithcollectionofdatafromtheparticipatingCommunityHealthCentres.
WearealsogratefultoThérèseStukelandMichaelSchullfortheirinsightfulcommentsonthestudyresults,andtoBrianHutchison,MichaelRachlis,LiisaJaakkimainen,MaryFleming,LauraMuldoonandJanHuxwhoprovidedhelpfulfeedbackonearlierversionsofthisreport.
IICES
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
ABOUT OUR ORGANIZATION TheInstituteforClinicalEvaluativeSciences(ICES)
isanindependent,non-profitorganizationthatproducesknowledgetoenhancetheeffectivenessofhealthcareforOntarians.Internationallyrecognizedforitsinnovativeuseofpopulation-basedhealthinformation,ICESevidencesupportshealthpolicydevelopmentandguideschangestotheorganizationanddeliveryofhealthcareservices.
Keytoourworkisourabilitytolinkpopulation-basedhealthinformation,atthepatientlevel,inawaythatensurestheprivacyandconfidentialityofpersonalhealthinformation.Linkeddatabasesreflecting13millionof33millionCanadiansallowustofollowpatientpopulationsthroughdiagnosisandtreatmentandtoevaluateoutcomes.
ICESbringstogetherthebestandthebrightesttalentacrossOntario.Manyofourscientistsarenotonlyinternationallyrecognizedleadersintheirfieldsbutarealsopracticingclinicianswhounderstandthegrassrootsofhealthcaredelivery,makingtheknowledgeproducedatICESclinicallyfocusedandusefulinchangingpractice.Otherteammembershavestatisticaltraining,epidemiologicalbackgrounds,projectmanagementorcommunicationsexpertise.Thevarietyofskillsetsandeducationalbackgroundsensuresamulti-disciplinaryapproachtoissuesandcreatesareal-worldmosaicofperspectivesthatisvitaltoshapingOntario’sfuturehealthcaresystem.
ICESreceivescorefundingfromtheOntarioMinistryofHealthandLong-TermCare.Inaddition,ourfacultyandstaffcompeteforpeer-reviewedgrantsfromfederalfundingagencies,suchastheCanadianInstitutesofHealthResearch,andreceiveproject-specificfundsfromprovincialandnationalorganizations.ThesecombinedsourcesenableICEStohavealargenumberofprojectsunderway,coveringabroadrangeoftopics.Theknowledgethatarisesfromtheseeffortsisalwaysproducedindependentofourfundingbodies,whichiscriticaltooursuccessasOntario’sobjective,crediblesourceofevidenceguidinghealthcare.
“ICES brings together the best and
the brightest talent across Ontario.
Many of our scientists are not only
internationally recognized leaders
in their fields but are also practicing
clinicians who understand the
grassroots of health care delivery.”
IIICES
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Executive SummaryISSUE
AretheredifferencesbetweenOntario’sprimarycaremodelsinwhotheyserveandhowoftentheirpatients/clientsgototheemergencydepartment(ED)?
STUDY
Thisstudyexaminedpatients/clientsenrolledin:CommunityHealthCentres(CHCs,asalariedmodel),FamilyHealthGroups(FHGs,ablendedfee-for-servicemodel),FamilyHealthNetworks(FHNs,ablendedcapitationmodel),FamilyHealthOrganizations(FHOs,ablendedcapitationmodel),FamilyHealthTeams(FHTs,aninterprofessionalteammodelcomposedofFHNsandFHOs),‘Other’smallermodelscombined,aswellasthosewhodidnotbelongtoamodel.Electronicrecordencounterdata(forCHCs)androutinelycollectedhealthcareadministrativedatawereusedtoexaminesociodemographiccomposition,patternsofmorbidityandcomorbidity(casemix)andEDuse.EDvisitsrateswereadjustedtoaccountfordifferencesinlocationandpatient/clientcharacteristics.
IIIICES
KEY FINDINGS
•ComparedwiththeOntariopopulation,CHCsservedpopulationsthatwerefromlowerincomeneighbourhoods,hadhigherproportionsofnewcomersandthoseonsocialassistance,hadmoreseverementalillnessandchronichealthconditions,andhadhighermorbidityandcomorbidity.Inbothurbanandruralareas,CHCshadEDvisitratesthatwereconsiderablylowerthanexpected.
•FHGsand‘Other’modelshadsociodemographicandmorbidityprofilesverysimilartothoseofOntarioasawhole,butFHGshadahigherproportionofnewcomers,likelyreflectingtheirmoreurbanlocation.BothurbanandruralFHGsand‘Other’modelshadlowerthanexpectedEDvisits.
•FHNsandFHTshadalargeruralprofile,whileFHOsweresimilartoOntariooverall.ComparedwiththeOntariopopulation,patientsinallthreemodelswerefromhigherincomeneighbourhoods,weremuchlesslikelytobenewcomers,andlesslikelytousethehealthsystemorhavehighcomorbidity.EDvisitswerehigherthanexpectedinallthreemodels.
•Thosewhodidnotbelongtooneofthemodelsofcarestudiedweremorelikelytobemale,younger,makelessuseofthehealthsystemandhavelowermorbidityandcomorbiditythanthoseenrolledinamodelofcare.TheyhadmoreEDvisitsthanexpected.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
IMPLICATIONS
Differentmodelsofprimarycareservedifferentpatientpopulationsandareassociatedwithdifferentoutcomes.CHCsstoodoutintheircareofdisadvantagedandsickerpopulationsandhadsubstantiallylowerEDvisitratesthanexpected.Thereasonsforthesebetteroutcomesarenotknownandrequirefurtherinvestigation.Ontario’scapitationmodelsservedmoreadvantagedpopulationsandhadhigherthanexpectedEDrates.Thedetailsofphysicianreimbursementmechanismsincapitationareimportantforachievingdesiredresults.Therefore,thepaymentandincentivestructuresunderlyingthesemodelsrequirere-examination.OntariansnotbelongingtoamodelofcareexaminedherehadhigherthanexpectedEDuse,suggestingthattheyexperiencedbarriersinaccessingprimarycare.FurtherevaluationoftheperformanceofOntario’sprimarycaremodelsinrelationtocosts,andcomparisonswithmodelselsewhere,isneeded.
IVICES
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
List of Exhibits
VICES
Exhibit 1/SelectedcharacteristicsofprimarycarefundingmodelsinOntario
Exhibit 2/NumberofrosteredpatientsindifferentprimarycarepaymentmodelsinOntario(excludingCommunityHealthCentres),2004to2010
Exhibit 3/NumberandsociodemographiccharacteristicsofOntariansbyprimarycaremodel,forall,urbanandruralresidents,2008/09to2009/10
Exhibit 4/MorbidityandcomorbidityofOntariansbyprimarycaremodel,forall,urbanandruralresidents,2008/09to2009/10
Exhibit 5/StandardizedACGMorbidityIndex(SAMI)ofOntarioresidentsbyprimarycaremodel,forall,urbanandruralresidents,2008/09to2009/10
Exhibit 6/Observedandexpectedmeanemergencydepartment(ED)visitsperpersonforOntarioresidentsbyprimarycaremodel,forall,urbanandruralresidents,2008/09to2009/10
Exhibit 7/Ratioofobserved/expectedmeanemergencydepartment(ED)visitsperpersonforOntarioresidentsbyprimarycaremodel,forall,urbanandruralresidents,2008/09to2009/10
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Background Thedominantmodelofprimarycareacross
Canadahastraditionallyrestedonphysicianspractisingsolooringroupsandbeingreimbursedlargelythroughfee-for-servicebillingclaimstoprovincialhealthplansforeligibleservices.Overthepastdecade,manyprovinceshavesoughttoexpandandimproveaccesstoprimarycare,whileatthesametimeenhancingthequalityofcareprovided.1Insomeprovincesthefocushasbeenonstructuralchanges(i.e.,newpaymentsystemsandinterdisciplinaryteams),whileinotherprovincesthechangeshaveleftexistingpractitionerarrangementsintactbutsoughttoenhancetheiraccessandcapacitythroughfeeenhancementsandothersupports,suchascarecoordinators.2Atthesametime,manyprovinceshavehadCommunityHealthCentres(CHCs)existingalongsidethereformstakingplaceintherestofprimarycaredelivery.CHCsareusuallycharacterizedbycommunitygovernance;afocusonparticularpopulationneedsandsocialdeterminantsofhealth;anexpandedscopeofhealthpromotion,outreachandcommunitydevelopmentservices;andsalariedinterprofessionalteams.
1ICES
CHCshaveexistedinOntarioforover40years.Atotalof73CHCsserveapproximately357,000peoplein110communitiesthrough-outOntario.3LikemanyotherCHCsinCanada,Ontario’sCHChealthprofessionalsarereimbursedthroughsalariedarrange-mentsandareconsideredemployees.In2001,theFamilyHealthNetwork(FHN)wasintroducedinOntario.Thisnewmodelofcarewasbasedoncapitationreimbursementforphysicians,blendedwithlimitedfee-for-servicepaymentsandincentives.Itrequiredformalrostering(enrolment)ofpatientswithlossofaccessbonuspaymentsifpatientsreceivedprimarycareoutsideoftherosteringgroup;eveningandweekendclinics;andaphysicianoncall‘24/7’withteletriagenursesupport.Incentiveswereprovidedforpatientsseenafterhours,forchronicdiseasemanagementandforachievingcumulativepracticethresholdsforcertainpreventivehealthcaremanoeuvres.Capitationpaymentswerebasedontheexpectedfrequencyofofficevisitsineachfive-yearage-sexgroupbutwerenotadjustedforhealthcareneedsorsocialdisparities.Anadditionalmonthlypaymentcalledthecomprehensivecarefee
waspaidperrosteredpatient,andmostofficevisitswerepaidat10%ofthefullfee-for-servicevalue.TheFHNmodelthereforerepresentedablendedreimbursementmodelwiththemajorityofpaymentsbasedoncapitation.Anothernewmodel,theFamilyHealthGroup(FHG),wasintroducedin2003.ItcontainedmostofthesameprovisionsastheFHNmodelbutretainedfullfee-for-servicepayments,aswellasthemonthlycomprehensivecarefeeperrosteredpatient.Itthereforerepresentedablendedreimbursementmodelwiththemajorityofpaymentsbasedonfeeforservice.WhereastheFHGmodelrequiredaminimumofthreephysicians,theComprehensiveCareModel(CCM)hadsimilarprovisionsastheFHGbutwasdesignedforsolophysicians.In2005,twooldercapitationmodels,theHealthServiceOrganizationandthePrimaryCareNetwork,wererolledintoanothernewprimarycaremodel,theFamilyHealthOrganization(FHO).Botholdercapitationmodelswerebasedonage-sexpaymentsandwerenotadjustedforhealthcareneedsorsocialdisparities.ShortlyafterestablishmentoftheFHOmodel,itwasopeneduptoallprimarycarephysician
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
groupsinOntario.TheFHOhadalargerbasketofservicesandalargercapitationpaymentthantheFHN,butotherwisethetwomodelssharedmanyofthesameprovisions.AnothersetofprimarycaremodelswasdevelopedinOntariotomeetspecificcommunityneeds.Thesetendedtoberela-tivelysmalllocalmodelsthathadalternatepaymentplans.By2010,overninemillionOntarianshadrosteredwithoneoftheprimarycaremodels—FHOandFHGwerethetwolargestmodels,eachwithapproximatelyfourmillionpeople.Ontario’sprimarycaremodelsaredescribedinmoredetailbyHealthForceOntario,4andselectedfeaturesofthemajorfundingmodelsarepresentedinExhibit 1.
In2006,FamilyHealthTeams(FHTs)wereintroduced.FHTswerenotfundingmodelsbuttheyrequiredthatphysiciansbepaidthrougheitheroneoftheblendedcapitationmodels(FHNsorFHOs)orablendedsalarymodel.Fee-for-servicephysiciansandthoseinFHGswerenoteligibletobelongtoaFHT.FHTsincludedaninterdisciplinaryteam,fundingforanexecutivedirectorandelectronicmedicalrecords.By2010,150FHTswereservingovertwomillionOntariansand50moreteamsarecurrentlybeingimplemented.5
2ICES
Therehavebeeneffortstocharacterizethedimensionsofprimarycareandhowwelleachmodelofcaredeliveryperformsacrossthem.6TherehavealsobeeneffortstocompareprimarycaremodelsinOntario.7–12Differencesinage-sexcomposition,urban-rurallocationandhealthneedsmakethesecomparisonschallenging.Forexample,patientsinaprimarycaremodelthatispredominantlyruralwouldbeexpectedtomakegreateruseofemergencydepartment(ED)servicesthanpatientsinapredominantlyurbanmodel,astherearefewalternativesforafter-hourscare(e.g.,walk-inclinicsorurgentcarecentres)inaruralsetting.Amodelthathasgenerallyolderand/orsickerpatientswouldalsobeexpectedtomakemoreuseofservices.
Thefocusofthisreportisonthefollowingdimensionsofprimarycareandhowwelleachfundingmodelperformsacrossthesedimensions:
•Sociodemographiccharacteristics
•Patternsofmorbidityandcomorbidity(casemix)
•EDuse
EDvisitsarefrequentlyusedasanindicatorofaccesstoprimarycareservicesinthecommunity.13,14Whereprimarycareisreadilyavailableonanurgentbasisandafter-hours,EDvisitsshouldbelowerthaninareaswheretheseservicesarenotasaccessible.Timelyandafter-hoursaccesstoprimarycareisamajorchallengeforCanadianjurisdictions.Onpatientsurveysconductedin11developedcountries,CanadahadthehighestEDuse,thesecondhighestinabilitytogetsame-dayornext-dayappointmentswithadoctorornurseandthethirdhighestdifficultyaccessingcareafterhours.15Thissuggeststhattimelyandafter-hoursaccesstoprimaryhealthcareoughttobeamajorpolicyfocusforOntarioand,furthermore,raisesquestionsabouthowwelldifferentmodelsofcareaddressthischallenge.Sincedataonpatient-reportedaccesstocarearenotavailablebymodel,EDvisitsareusedasaproxymeasurefortimelyandafter-hoursaccesstocareinthisreport.UseoftheEDisalsoanimportantmeasureinitsownright,givenhighratesofEDuseinCanada,frequentEDovercrowding,andthedemonstratedrisksassociatedwithEDovercrowding.16
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Objective
3ICES
OurobjectivewastocharacterizeprimarycaremodelsinOntariobydemographics,practicelocationandcasemixandtoexamineEDusebypatients/clientsineachmodelbeforeandaftercontrollingfortheircharacteristics.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Methods
4ICES
PARTICIPANTS AllresidentsofOntarioeligibleforhealth
carein2008/09to2009/10,withaphysicianvisitduringthistimeperiodandaliveonMarch31,2010wereincluded.ThemodelscomparedincludedCHCs,FHNs,FHGs,FHOs,othersmallermodelsgroupedtogether,andFHTs.TheFHNsandFHOsthatwerepartofaFHTwereincludedintheFHTgroupandnotincludedintheFHNandFHOgroups.WealsoexaminedOntariansnotbelongingtoanyofthesegroups(noothergroup—NON).TheNONgroupwascomposedofthosebeingseeninstraightfee-for-serviceprimarycare,thoseseeingspecialistphysiciansbutnotprimarycarephysicians,andthosebeingseenbyphysiciansinaprimarycaremodelwhowerenotformallyenrolled.
ThestudytimeperiodwasApril1,2008toMarch31,2010.CHCdatawerenotroutinelyavailableatthetimeofthestudy,andforthatreasonCHCswereapproachedtoparticipate.CHCswererequiredtohaveclientencounterdataduringthestudytimeperiodtobeeligible,andCHCclientswhohadaface-to-faceencounterwithaphysicianduringthestudytimeperiodwereincluded.PatientsrosteredtoaphysicianintheothermodelsasofMarch31,2010wereincludediftheyhadaphysicianvisitduringthestudytimeperiod.
DATA SOURCES Datawereutilizedfromavarietyofsources.
CHCdatawereextractedfromelectronicrecordsandlinkedwithdataholdingsattheInstituteforClinicalEvaluativeSciences(ICES)thatwereaccessedthroughacomprehensiveresearchagreementbetweenICESandOntario’sMinistryofHealthandLong-TermCare.Theseincluded:CHCdata,theRegisteredPersonsDatabase;physicianbillingsfromtheOntarioHealthInsurancePlan;hospitalDischargeAbstractDatabase;EDvisitsfromtheNationalAmbulatoryCareReportingSystem;theOntarioDrugBenefitProgram;ClientAgencyProgramEnrolmenttables,theRuralityIndexofOntarioforurban-ruralresidence,and2006CensusofCanadadataforsociodemographicvariables.Abriefexplanationofeachisprovidedbelow.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
CHC DataTheelectronicrecordsystemsusedattheparticipatingCHCsincludedPurkinje,P&PDataSystemsandHealthScreenSolutions.Datacleaningandvalidationwasconductedbyoneoftheauthors(JR)priortosubmittingthedataforlinkagetoICES.LinkagewasperformedusingthehealthcardnumberforeachclientontheCHCfiles.Followinglinkage,onlytheuniqueICESencryptedidentifierremainedonthefilesusedforanalysis.TheCHCdataconsistedofauniquesiteID,physicianandnursepractitionerencounters(dateofencounter,issuesaddressed/reasonforvisit[usingICD-9]andprovidertype).Clientdemographicswerealsocollected(uniqueclientid,sex,age,healthcardnumberifapplicableandpostalcode).Intotal,71CHCsandtheirsatellitesparticipatedinthisstudy,comprising97.3%ofthoseeligibletoparticipate.AmongCHCclients,11.5%didnothaveahealthcardnumberandcouldnotbelinkedtoadministrativedata.
5ICES
Registered Persons Database (RPDB)TheRPDBincludestheresidentpopulationofOntarioeligibleforhealthcoveragebyage,sexandresidentialaddress.ResidentsareeligibleforhealthcoverageiftheyareCanadiancitizens,landedimmigrantsorconventionrefugees,maketheirpermanentandprincipalhomeinOntario,andarephysicallypresentinOntario153daysinany12-monthperiod.TheRPDBalsocontainsdatesofeligibilityforhealthcarecoveragewhichwereusedtoidentifythoseovertheageoftenyearswhowerefirsteligibleforOntariohealthcarecoverageduringorafter1998.ThesenewcomersareexpectedtobecomprisedlargelyofrecentimmigrantstoCanada,withtheremainderbeinginter-provincialmigrants(someofwhomwouldalsoberecentimmigrantstoCanada).InthisreportweusednewcomerstatustoserveasaproxyfornewimmigrantstoOntario.
Ontario Health Insurance Plan (OHIP)ThisdatabasecontainsclaimspaidforbytheOntarioHealthInsurancePlan.ThedatacoverallhealthcareproviderswhocanclaimunderOHIP,includingphysicians,groups,laboratoriesandout-of-provinceproviders.Out-of-provinceclaimswerenotincludedinthisstudy.
Discharge Abstract Database (DAD)HospitaldischargeabstractsfortheprovincearecompiledbytheCanadianInstituteforHealthInformation.Eachrecordinthisdatasetcorrespondstoonehospitalstay,andavailablevariablesincludepatientsex,dateofbirth,postalcode,diagnoses,procedures,attendingphysician,admissioncategoryandlengthofstay.
National Ambulatory Care Reporting System (NACRS)NACRScontainsinformationonoutpatientvisitstohospitalandcommunity-basedambulatorycare,suchasEDs,cancerclinics,renaldialysisclinicsandothers.NACRSwasusedinthisreporttoidentifyallvisitstoEDs.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Ontario Drug Benefit Program (ODB)TheODBprogramprovidesdrugbenefitsforalladultsaged65andolderandthosereceivingsocialassistanceinOntario.TheODBwasusedtodeterminetheproportionofpatientsonsocialassistance—welfare(OntarioWorks)anddisability(OntarioDisabilitySupportProgram)—whohadreceivedaprescriptionundertheplanwithinthestudyperiod.Low-incomeseniorsaged65andolderwereidentifiedintheODBusingameanstest.Theproportionoflow-incomeseniorswasidentifiedasthenumberoflow-incomeseniorswhofilledaprescriptiondividedbythetotalnumberofseniors.Peopleonsocialassistanceandlow-incomeseniorswouldbeundercountedinthesedatabasesastheyonlyincludethosewhofilledaprescription.
Client Agency Program Enrolment (CAPE) TablesThisinformationsourcewasusedtoidentifywhichpatientshadenrolledinwhichmodelwithwhichphysiciansovertime.AseparatefileprovidedbytheMinistryofHealthandLong-TermCareidentifiedthephysiciansthatwerepartofaFHT.
6ICES
Rurality Index of Ontario (RIO) Urban-ruralresidentiallocationwasassessedusingtheRIO.Thisindexiswidelyusedasanaidtodefineruralareas.Itwasrecentlyupdatedwith2006Canadiancensusinformation.TheseupdateshavealsoincludedchangestothemethodologytoincreasethestabilityoftheRIO.17ThosewithaRIOscoreof0–39wereconsideredurbanandthosewithaRIOof40andabovewereconsideredrural.Thesemeasureswereusedtostratifytheresults,asdemographics,patternsofmorbidityandEDuseareknowntovarybyurban-rurallocation.
Census of CanadaDatafromthemostrecentCensusofCanada(May2006)wereprovidedbyStatisticsCanada.ThecensustakesplaceeveryfiveyearsinCanadaandisareliablesourceofinformationforpopulationanddwellingcounts,aswellasdemographicandothersocioeconomiccharacteristics.Forthisstudy,themaindataelementusedwasincomequintile,ameasureofrelativehouseholdincomeadjustedforhouseholdsizeandcommunity.Roughly20%ofOntariansfallintoeachincomequintile,withquintile1havingthelowestincomeandquintile5thehighest.Incomequintilewasderivedbylinkingthesix-digitpostalcodeofresidencetocensusdataatthesmallestpossiblelevel(disseminationarea),usingthePostalCodeConversionFilePlus(PCCF+).18
CASE MIX BoththeJohnsHopkinsAdjustedClinical
Group(ACG)methodology,aswellasdiseasecohorts,wereusedasmeasuresofcasemix.ACGsareusedtomeasurepatientillnessburden.19Thesystemestimatestheillnessburdenofindividualpatientsand,whenaggregatedacrossindividuals,ofpopulations.TheACGmethodologyisoneofseveraldiagnosis-basedriskadjustmentsystemsdevelopedtopredictutilizationofmedicalresources,andisbasedonthefactthatpatientswhohavecertaingroupsofdiagnosestendtohavesimilarhealthcareutilizationpatterns.Patientsusingthemosthealthcareresourcesarenottypicallythosewithsinglediseasesbutratherthosewithmultipleandsometimesunrelatedconditions.Thisclusteringofmorbidityisabetterpredictorofhealthcareutilizationthanthepresenceofspecificdiseases.20IntheUnitedStates,ACGsareabletoexplainmorethan50%ofsame-yearresourceusebyindividuals.SimilarpredictiveabilityhasbeenreportedinCanada.21Incontrast,ageandsexonlyexplainapproximately10%ofthevariationinresourceuseandcost.21,22
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
TheACGsystemassignsallICD-9andICD-10codestooneof32diagnosisclustersknownasAdjustedDiagnosisGroups(ADGs).IndividualdiseasesorconditionsareplacedintoasingleADGclusterbasedonfiveclinicaldimensions:durationofthecondition,severityofthecondition,diagnosticcertainty,etiologyoftheconditionandspecialtycareinvolvement.InadditiontoADGs,theACGsoftwarewasusedtogenerateResourceUtilizationBands(RUBs)whichinvolveaggregationsofACGswithsimilarexpectedutilization(1=low,5=high)andtheStandardizedACGMorbidityIndex(SAMI).TheSAMIwasdevelopedattheManitobaCentreforHealthPolicy.23ThisindexisasetofillnessweightsfortheACGsusingaverageprovincialhealthcarecosts,andcanbeusedforexaminingdifferentialmorbidityatapracticelevelandexplainingvariationbetweenpractices.SAMIhasbeenadaptedbyICESforuseinOntarioandhasusedthefullvalueofin-basketFHOprimarycareservicestoweighttheACGs.24TheseweightsareameasureofexpectedworkloadinaFHOpractice.
7ICES
Allphysiciandiagnoses,includingthosemadebyprimarycarephysiciansandspecialists,andallhospitaldischargeabstractswereusedtoruntheJohnsHopkinsACGs.CHCproviderscanrecordmorethanonediagnosisateachvisit,butOHIPallowsonlyasinglediagnosispervisit.Inordertoallowfaircomparisonsacrossmodels,arandomdiagnosiswaschosenforeachCHCvisit.Inaddition,analyseswerelimitedtophysiciansbecausenursepractitionerdatawereavailableattheencounterlevelinCHCsbutnotinFHTs.
Diseasecohortswereusedasasecondarymeasureofcasemix.Inthisstudythefollowingcohortswereincluded:diabetes,asthma,chronicobstructivepulmonarydisease,andmentalillness(psychoticandnon-psychotic).25–28Mostofthesecohortsderivefromvalidateddiseasealgorithmswhichincludehospitaladmissiondata,requiremorethanonephysicianvisitandarecumulativeovertime.OurapproachtoproducingdiseasecohortsthatwerecomparableacrossmodelswastolinkCHCdatawithphysicianvisitsandhospitaladmissions.AstherewereonlytwoyearsofCHCdataavailable,weadaptedthesealgorithmstouseasinglephysicianvisitorhospitaladmissionwithadisease-specificdiagnosiswithinatwo-yearperiod.Thisapproachissimilartothevalidationusedformentalhealth29butwouldresultinslightlyhighersensitivityandlowerspecificityfortheothervalidatedalgorithms.
ANALYSES Descriptiveanalyseswereconductedto
determinethenumberandproportionofpeopleineachdemographic,urban-rurallocationandcasemixgroup.ThenumberofEDvisitsandaveragenumberofEDvisitswerecalculatedforcomparisonsacrossmodels.Poissonmultipleregressionwasconductedtoproducearisk-adjustedrateofEDutilizationperperson(i.e.,expectedEDvisits)controllingforage,sex,SAMI,incomequintileandrurality.Theobservedutilization(unadjusted)istheactualnumberofEDvisits.ThesedatawereusedtoproducetheratioofobservedtoexpectedEDvisitsand95%confidenceintervals.
ThisstudywasapprovedbySunnybrookHealthSciencesCentreResearchEthicsBoard.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Findings
8ICES
Exhibit 2 •Exhibit2illustratestheuptakeofvarious
physicianpaymentmodelsovertime.In2008,theFHGmodelhadthelargestnumberofrosteredpatients,butby2010,thenumberofpatientsrosteredintheFHOmodelexceededthatintheFHG.
Exhibit 3•AcrossOntario,11,896,508residentswere
includedinthestudy,with10,759,566(90.4%)residinginurbanareasand1,136,942(9.6%)inruralareas.CHCshadcloseto110,000clients(0.9%ofthetotal),FGHsclosetofourmillionpatients(33.3%),FHNscloseto100,000(0.8%),FHOsovertwomillion(18.9%),FHTscloseto1.9million(15.7%),‘Other’modelsabouthalfamillion(4.5%)andthosenotinagroup(NON)justoverthreemillion(25.8%).FHNsandFHOsthatwerepartofaFHTwereincludedasFHTandnotincludedintheFHNorFHOcategories.Theproportionofeachgroupthatwasruralvariedwidely,from3.4%inFHGsto36.0%inFHNs.
•ThepercentfemalewaslargerthanmaleforallmodelsexceptthosewhowerenotinaCHCandnotrostered(NON),wheretherewereslightlymoremales.
•Theproportionofchildrenaged18yearsandyoungerwaslargerinruralthanurbanareasforallmodelsandwashighestintheNONgroupinbothurbanandruralareas.TheproportionofseniorswaslowestintheNONgroupandhighestintheFHNgroupinurbanareasandin‘Other’modelsinruralareas.
•Bydefinition,thelowestincomequintilerepresentscloseto20%ofresidentsineachcommunity.Thoselivinginthelowestincomeneighbourhoodswereover-representedinCHCsinbothurbanandruralareas,reaching34.5%inurbanareas.Thoselivinginlow-incomeneighbourhoodsweremostunder-representedintheFHN,FHOandFHTmodelsinurbanareasandintheFHGandFHNmodelsinruralareas.
•Newcomers,aproxyfornewimmigrantstoOntario,werefarmoreprevalentinurbanthanruralareasandweremostover-representedinCHCsandintheNONgroup,inbothurbanandruralareas.Newcomerswereunder-representedinFHN,FHOandFHTmodelsinurbanareas,withroughlyhalforlessoftheproportionforOntario.
•Thosereceivingprescriptionsthroughwelfare(OntarioWorks)ordisability(OntarioDisabilitySupportProgram)andseniorswithlow-incomewereover-representedinCHCsinbothurbanandruralareas.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Exhibit 4•Seriousmentalillnesswasmuchmore
commoninCHCsinurbanandruralareasthaninothermodels,reaching6.0%inurbanCHCsbutlessthan2%inanyothermodel.Othermentalillnesswasslightlylowerinruralthanurbanareasandsimilaracrossmodels.
•TheproportionwithasthmawasslightlyhigherinurbanthanruralareasandhighestinurbanandruralCHCs.Diabeteswashighestin‘Other’modelsandlowestintheNONgroupinbothurbanandruralareas.Chronicobstructivepulmonarydiseasewashigherinruralthanurbanareas,whileacrossmodelsitwashighestinCHCsandlowestintheNONgroupinbothurbanandruralareas.
•Resourceutilizationbands(RUBs)representquintilesofexpectedresourceuse.ThosewithnoutilizationandthoseinthelowesttwoRUBshadthegreatestrepresentationintheNONgroupinbothurbanandruralareas.CHCshadthelargestrepresentationofthosewiththehighestexpectedresourceuse(RUB4and5)inbothurbanandruralareas.AsimilarpatternwasfoundforAdjustedDiagnosisGroups,ameasureofcomorbidity.
9ICES
Exhibit 5•TheStandardizedACGMorbidityIndex(SAMI)
representsthemeanACGweightofexpectedresourceuse.Forexample,aSAMIof1.85(e.g.,urbanCHCs)canbeinterpretedasanexpectedneedforhealthcarethatis85%higherthaninthegeneralOntariopopulation,andaSAMIof0.88(e.g.,ruralNONgroup)canbeinterpretedasa12%lowerexpectedneedforhealthcarethaninthegeneralOntariopopulation.
•TheSAMIwashighestinCHCsandlowestintheNONgroupinbothurbanandruralareas.Amongtheremaininggroups,theSAMIwashighestforFHGand‘Other’modelsforbothurbanandruralareas.
Exhibit 6•ObservedmeanEDvisitswerecomparedto
expectedEDvisits(adjustedforage,sex,SAMI,incomequintileandrurality).EDvisitsinruralareaswereconsiderablyhigherthaninurbanareasforallgroups.
•ObservedratesofEDvisitswerehighestinurbanareasforCHCs,FHNsandFHTs;andinruralareasfor‘Other’modelsandFHNs.ExpectedratesfollowedasimilarpatternexceptforruralCHCswhichhadveryhighexpectedrates.
Exhibit 7•Theratioofobserved/expectedEDvisits
variedacrosslocationandprimarycaremodel.Anobserved/expectedratioof1.19(e.g.,urbanFHNs)canbeinterpretedasEDvisitsthatare19%abovethelevelexpectedwhilearatioof0.50(e.g.,ruralCHCs)canbeinterpretedas50%lowerthanthatexpected,giventhelocationandcharacteristicsofthepopulation.
•Forurbanareas,CHCs(ratio0.88),FHGs(ratio0.87)andothermodels(ratio0.99)hadratioslessthan1.0,meaningthattheirEDvisitswerelowerthanexpected.OthermodelsandtheNONgrouphadratiosabove1.0,meaningthattheirEDvisitswerehigherthanexpected.Inruralareas,CHCshadaverylowratio(0.50)andFHG,FHOand‘Other’werebelow1.0.Theremainingmodelswereabove1.0.
•Theseresultscanbeinterpretedtomeanthatafteradjustment,CHCs,FHGsand‘Other’modelswereassociatedwithlowerEDvisits,whileFHN,FHO,FHTandNONmodelswereassociatedwithhigherEDvisitsthaninthegeneralpopulation.Giventhelargepopulationsexamined,the95%confidenceintervalsforalloftheseratioswerenarrowandnonecrossed1.0,meaningthatalloftheseresultswerestatisticallysignificantatap-valueof‹0.05.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Primary Care Model Profiles Theprimarycaremodelsinvestigatedinthis
reporthadsociodemographic,morbidityandcomorbidityandEDuseprofilesthatwerequitedifferentfromeachother.Basedonthestudyfindings,abriefprofileofeachmodelcanbesummarizedasfollows:
•Community Health Centres (CHCs)aredistinctfromotherprimarycaremodelsinOntariointheirfocusontheneedsofspecificpopulations,salariedemploymentarrangements,orientationtooutreachandhealthpromotionandgovernancebycommunityboards.AlthoughafewFHTshavecommunitygovernance,thosecommunity-governedFHTscouldnotbeincludedinthisreportandarethefocusofongoinginvestigation.CHCshadpopulationsthatwereslightlyyoungerthanothermodelsandtheyweremorelikelytoberuralthanthepopulationofOntario.TheremainderofthesociodemographicprofileofCHCswasstrikinganddistinctfromtheothermodels.CHCsservedpopulationsthatwerefromlowerincomeneighbourhoods.TheyalsohadahigherproportionofnewcomerstoOntarioandahigherproportiononsocialassistance.CHCshadthehighestproportionofpeoplewithseverementalillness,asthmaandchronicobstructivepulmonarydisease,aswellasahighlevelofmorbidityandcomorbidity.Inbothurbanandruralareas,theyhadEDvisitratesthatwereconsiderablylowerthanexpected.
10ICES
•Family Health Groups (FHGs)constitutetheonlyformalprimarycaremodelthathasthemajorityofphysicianreimbursementthroughfeeforservice.Theyincludesmallcapitationpaymentsandmanyofthesamecommit-mentsandincentivesastheotherprimarycareenrolmentmodels.FHGswerealmostall(97%)urbanandhadasociodemographicprofileverysimilartothatofOntarioasawholebutwithahigherproportionofnewcomers—likelyreflectingtheirurbanlocation.ThemorbidityandcomorbidityprofileofFHGswasalsosimilartothatofOntarioasawhole.BothurbanandruralFHGshadlowerthanexpectedEDvisits.
•Family Health Networks (FHNs)werethefirstgenerallyavailableprimarycareenrolmentmodel.Theyhaveblendedreimbursementwithalargecapitationcomponent,alongwithpartialfee-for-servicepayments(10%duringthestudytimeperiod)andavarietyofobligationsandincentivesthataresimilartootherpatientenrolmentmodels.FHNwasthesmallestmodelexaminedandhadalargeruralrepresentation(36%ofFHNpatients).FHNshadahighproportionofhighincomepatients,especiallyinruralareas,andarelativelylowproportionoflow-incomepatients.FHNslookedafterfewnewcomers.FHNshadthelowestproportionofpatientswithseriousmentalillnessandrelativelylowproportionswithchronicconditions,morbidityandcomorbidity.EDvisitsinFHNswerehigherthanexpectedinbothurbanandruralareas.
•Family Health Organizations (FHOs)wereinitiallyintroducedasawaytoharmonizethePrimaryCareNetworksandHealthServiceOrganizationswithotherpatientenrolmentmodels;andtheFHOmodelalsobecameavailabletoallprimarycarephysiciansinOntario.FHOwasverysimilartotheFHNbuthadalargerbasketofservicesandahighercapitationpaymentrate.Itrapidlygainedpopularityandby2010hadbecomethemostcommonpatientenrolmentmodel.ManyFHTsarealsoFHOsbutthosepracticesaregroupedwithFHTsinthisreport.FHOshadalowproportionofpatientsfromlow-incomeneighbourhoodsandinurbanareastheyhadthehighestproportionofanymodelofpatientsfromhighincomeneighbourhoods.Theyalsolookedafterfewnewcomers.FHOwassimilartoFHNinitschroniccondition,morbidityandcomorbidityprofileandhadhigherthanexpectedEDvisitsinurbanareasbutlowerthanexpectedinruralareas.
•Family Health Team (FHT)isaninter-professionalteammodelandnotafundingmodel.TheFHTsexaminedinthisreportwereeitherFHNsorFHOsbutwereconsideredonlyasFHTsinthisreport.Intermsofsociodemographics,FHTshadahighruralrepresentation(17%).TheywereverysimilartoFHNsandFHOsinsocio-demographiccharacteristicsandtheywerealsosimilarintheprevalenceofchronicconditionsandinmorbidityandcomorbidity.TheyhadhigherthanexpectedEDvisitsinurbanandruralareas.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
•Othermodelsincludedseveralsmallermodelsthatwereresponsibleforavarietyofspecificpopulations.Thisgrouphadhighruralrepresentation(21%),morelowerincomepatientsandahighproportionofnewcomers.ItalsohadslightlyhighermorbidityandcomorbiditythanforOntarioingeneralandEDvisitsthatwereslightlylowerthanexpected.
•NONpatientsthatwerenotseenatCHCsandwerenotrosteredinapatientenrolmentmodelformedthethird-largestgroupexamined(afterFHGsandFHOs).Unliketheothergroups,ithadahigherproportionofmalesthanfemalesanditalsohadamuchlargerproportionofchildren,especiallyinruralareas.Itssociodemographicprofilewassimilartothatoftheprovinceasawholebutithadamanymorehealthcarenon-usersthananyothergroupandapatternoflowerchronicdisease,morbidityandcomorbidity.IthadslightlyhigherthanexpectedEDvisitsinurbanandruralareas.
11ICES
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
EXHIBIT 1 Selected characteristics of primary care funding models in Ontario
PRIMARY CARE FUNDING MODEL*
Community Health Centre (CHC)
Family Health Group (FHG)
Family Health Network (FHN)
Family Health Organization (FHO)
PHYSICIAN REIMBURSEMENT Salary Blended fee for service Blended capitation Blended capitation
GOVERNANCE Community board Physician-led Physician-led Physician-led
AFTER-HOURS REQUIREMENTS Yes Yes Yes Yes
ACCOUNTABILITY AGREEMENT WITH LOCAL HEALTH INTEGRATION NETWORK Yes No No No
FORMAL ENROLMENT No Yes Yes Yes
COMMUNITY OUTREACH AND HEALTH PROMOTION SERVICES Yes No No No
LOSS OF BONUS PAYMENT FOR OUTSIDE PRIMARY CARE USE No No Yes Yes
12ICES
*FamilyHealthTeamsareexcludedsincetheyarenotfundingmodels
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
EXHIBIT 2 Number of rostered patients in different primary care payment models in Ontario* (excluding Community Health Centres), 2004 to 2010
Dec
Nov
Oct
Sep
Au
gJu
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Jan
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Mar
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NUMBER OF ROSTERED PATIENTS
FHN FHO OtherFHG
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
9,000,000
10,000,000
13ICES
FHG=FamilyHealthGroup,agroupblendedfee-for-servicemodel FHN=FamilyHealthNetwork,agroupblendedcapitationmodelFHO=FamilyHealthOrganization,agroupblendedcapitationmodel Other=Othersmallalternatepaymentmodels,mostlyblendedcapitationmodels*FamilyHealthTeamsareexcludedsincetheyarenotfundingmodels
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
EXHIBIT 3 Number and sociodemographic characteristics of Ontarians by primary care model, for all, urban and rural residents, 2008/09 to 2009/10
ALL RESIDENTS
CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT OTHER NON ONTARIO
Number 109,689 3,967,171 97,790 2,253,234 1,871,124 531,712 3,065,788 11,896,508
FEMALE (%) 57.9 54.5 53.5 53.7 54.5 52.9 46.9 52.3
AGE IN YEARS (%)
≤18 20.2 19.8 20.6 19.9 20.5 17.9 29.8 22.4
19–44 35.8 35.3 27.5 31.9 31.2 32.0 37.4 34.4
45–64 28.4 29.9 31.5 30.7 30.3 32.3 23.0 28.4
≥65 14.0 15.0 20.4 17.5 18.0 17.8 9.9 14.8
INCOME QUINTILE (%)
1 (low) 34.5 19.1 13.6 15.2 17.1 22.1 21.8 19.0
2 19.6 19.9 17.9 17.6 19.1 22.3 19.5 19.3
3 16.9 20.6 20.7 19.4 20.0 20.1 18.7 19.7
4 14.5 20.8 20.8 22.1 21.5 17.9 18.4 20.4
5 (high) 12.5 18.6 25.6 24.5 21.0 16.5 17.9 19.8
NEWCOMER** (%) 16.4 13.6 2.6 5.9 4.7 11.6 14.6 10.9
WELFARE (ONTARIO WORKS) (%) 9.2 2.9 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.9 3.8 2.9
DISABILITY (ONTARIO DISABILITY SUPPORT PROGRAM) (%) 11.0 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.8 4.0 3.1 2.7
LOW-INCOME SENIOR (%) 3.6 3.2 2.9 2.4 2.4 3.8 2.1 2.9
14ICES
CHC=CommunityHealthCentre,anemployeesalarymodel FHG=FamilyHealthGroup,agroupblendedfee-for-servicemodelFHN=FamilyHealthNetwork,agroupblendedcapitationmodel FHO=FamilyHealthOrganization,agroupblendedcapitationmodel(notpartofaFHT)FHT=FamilyHealthTeam,aninterdisciplinaryteammodelconsistingofFHNsandFHOs Other=Othersmallalternatepaymentmodels,mostlyblendedcapitationmodels NON=NotaCHCclientandnotrosteredtoaprimarycaregroup**UsedasaproxyfornewimmigrantstoOntario continuedonnextpage…
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
EXHIBIT3CONTINUED…
15ICES
URBAN RESIDENTS
CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT OTHER NON ONTARIO
Number 93,695 3,830,931 62,567 2,068,252 1,558,589 422,423 2,723,109 10,759,566
FEMALE (%) 58.8 54.5 54.3 53.8 54.7 53.1 46.8 52.4
AGE IN YEARS (%)
≤18 20.1 19.2 20.2 19.1 19.8 17.5 28.5 21.6
19–44 38.0 35.8 29.3 32.6 32.5 34.1 38.5 35.3
45–64 27.7 30.0 30.4 30.8 30.3 31.7 23.2 28.5
≥65 12.8 15.0 20.2 17.4 17.4 16.8 9.9 14.6
INCOME QUINTILE (%)
1 (low) 36.1 19.2 15.1 14.9 16.5 21.4 22.3 19.0
2 19.6 20.1 18.8 17.4 18.6 22.0 20.1 19.4
3 16.2 20.7 24.0 19.7 20.0 20.3 19.4 20.0
4 14.9 21.0 20.7 22.5 22.4 19.1 19.2 20.9
5 (high) 12.9 18.9 21.2 25.5 22.3 17.0 18.8 20.5
NEWCOMER** (%) 18.4 14.0 2.9 6.2 5.2 14.0 15.7 11.6
WELFARE (ONTARIO WORKS) (%) 10.1 2.9 2.0 2.0 2.2 3.1 3.9 2.9
DISABILITY (ONTARIO DISABILITY SUPPORT PROGRAM) (%) 11.9 2.6 2.8 2.4 2.8 3.9 3.1 2.8
LOW-INCOME SENIOR (%) 3.3 3.2 2.8 2.3 2.2 3.7 2.2 2.8
CHC=CommunityHealthCentre,anemployeesalarymodel FHG=FamilyHealthGroup,agroupblendedfee-for-servicemodelFHN=FamilyHealthNetwork,agroupblendedcapitationmodel FHO=FamilyHealthOrganization,agroupblendedcapitationmodel(notpartofaFHT)FHT=FamilyHealthTeam,aninterdisciplinaryteammodelconsistingofFHNsandFHOs Other=Othersmallalternatepaymentmodels,mostlyblendedcapitationmodels NON=NotaCHCclientandnotrosteredtoaprimarycaregroup**UsedasaproxyfornewimmigrantstoOntario continuedonnextpage…
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
EXHIBIT3CONTINUED…
16ICES
RURAL RESIDENTS
CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT OTHER NON ONTARIO
Number 15,994 136,240 35,223 184,982 312,535 109,289 342,679 1,136,942
FEMALE (%) 52.2 52.5 52.2 52.6 53.1 52.0 47.7 51.2
AGE IN YEARS (%)
≤18 21.1 36.6 21.3 28.6 24.2 19.8 39.9 30.6
19–44 22.6 22.5 24.4 24.5 24.9 24.0 28.6 25.5
45–64 32.1 25.9 33.6 29.3 30.2 34.6 21.2 27.4
≥65 21.5 15.0 20.7 17.7 20.6 21.6 10.3 16.5
INCOME QUINTILE (%)
1 (low) 24.8 16.5 10.9 18.7 20.1 24.7 17.4 18.9
2 19.5 15.2 16.3 20.6 21.4 23.7 14.4 18.5
3 21.4 16.8 14.9 16.9 19.5 19.3 13.3 16.7
4 12.2 15.1 20.9 17.9 17.4 13.3 11.9 15.2
5 (high) 9.8 10.1 33.5 13.6 14.4 14.6 10.6 13.1
NEWCOMER** (%) 4.3 3.0 2.2 3.2 2.2 2.7 5.7 3.6
WELFARE (ONTARIO WORKS) (%) 3.8 2.9 1.3 2.1 2.0 2.3 3.4 2.6
DISABILITY (ONTARIO DISABILITY SUPPORT PROGRAM) (%) 5.7 3.1 2.1 3.3 3.0 4.7 3.2 3.3
LOW-INCOME SENIOR (%) 5.0 2.6 3.1 3.1 3.2 4.0 1.9 2.8
CHC=CommunityHealthCentre,anemployeesalarymodel FHG=FamilyHealthGroup,agroupblendedfee-for-servicemodelFHN=FamilyHealthNetwork,agroupblendedcapitationmodel FHO=FamilyHealthOrganization,agroupblendedcapitationmodel(notpartofaFHT)FHT=FamilyHealthTeam,aninterdisciplinaryteammodelconsistingofFHNsandFHOs Other=Othersmallalternatepaymentmodels,mostlyblendedcapitationmodels NON=NotaCHCclientandnotrosteredtoaprimarycaregroup**UsedasaproxyfornewimmigrantstoOntario
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
EXHIBIT 4 Morbidity and comorbidity of Ontarians by primary care model, for all, urban and rural residents, 2008/09 to 2009/10
ALL RESIDENTS
CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT OTHER NON ONTARIO
Number 109,689 3,967,171 97,790 2,253,234 1,871,124 531,712 3,065,788 11,896,508
MENTAL HEALTH STATUS (%)
Serious mental illness 5.6 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.5
Mental illness 22.0 25.7 19.8 22.9 19.7 24.4 18.6 22.2
No mental illness 72.0 72.3 75.7 74.5 76.5 72.3 76.8 74.6
ASTHMA (%) 8.2 7.7 5.1 6.2 5.4 6.6 6.9 6.8
DIABETES (%) 9.5 9.8 9.0 8.6 8.0 10.4 5.7 8.3
CHRONIC OBSTRUCTIVE PULMONARY DISEASE (%) 4.3 2.3 2.9 2.6 2.7 2.9 1.7 2.3
RESOURCE UTILIZATION BANDS (RUBS) (%)
No utilization 1.7 11.2 11.6 11.3 11.7 10.2 15.9 12.4
RUB 1 (low morbidity) 7.1 4.3 5.8 5.7 6.2 4.6 8.7 6.1
RUB 2 18.6 15.1 18.3 17.9 19.2 16.0 22.4 18.3
RUB 3 49.2 50.4 46.5 47.8 45.9 49.8 40.4 46.6
RUB 4 17.3 14.6 12.7 12.9 12.5 14.3 9.5 12.6
RUB 5 (high morbidity) 6.1 4.4 5.1 4.4 4.5 5.1 3.1 4.1
ADJUSTED DIAGNOSTIC GROUPS (ADGS) (%)
No utilization 1.7 11.2 11.6 11.3 11.7 10.2 15.9 12.4
1–3 ADGs (low comorbidity) 28.8 24.0 32.7 30.5 33.9 27.8 38.5 30.8
4–7 ADGs 42.2 40.5 38.2 39.1 37.7 39.6 32.1 37.6
8–10 ADGs 17.3 16.4 12.2 13.3 11.7 15.1 9.4 13.2
11+ ADGs (high comorbidity) 6.1 7.9 5.3 5.9 5.0 7.3 4.1 6.1
CHC=CommunityHealthCentre,anemployeesalarymodel FHG=FamilyHealthGroup,agroupblendedfee-for-servicemodelFHN=FamilyHealthNetwork,agroupblendedcapitationmodel FHO=FamilyHealthOrganization,agroupblendedcapitationmodel(notpartofaFHT)FHT=FamilyHealthTeam,aninterdisciplinaryteammodelconsistingofFHNsandFHOs Other=Othersmallalternatepaymentmodels,mostlyblendedcapitationmodels NON=NotaCHCclientandnotrosteredtoaprimarycaregroup continuedonnextpage…
17ICES
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
EXHIBIT4CONTINUED…
URBAN RESIDENTS
CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT OTHER NON ONTARIO
Number 93,695 3,830,931 62,567 2,068,252 1,558,589 422,423 2,723,109 10,759,566
MENTAL HEALTH STATUS (%)
Serious mental illness 6.0 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.6
Mental illness 22.9 25.8 21.3 23.2 20.3 25.5 19.1 22.8
No mental illness 70.8 72.2 75.1 74.3 76.4 71.9 76.9 74.4
ASTHMA (%) 8.6 7.8 5.4 6.3 5.5 6.8 7.2 7.0
DIABETES (%) 9.3 9.9 9.1 8.7 7.9 10.2 5.8 8.4
CHRONIC OBSTRUCTIVE PULMONARY DISEASE (%) 4.2 2.3 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.6 1.6 2.2
RESOURCE UTILIZATION BANDS (RUBS) (%)
No utilization 1.5 10.9 11.5 10.9 11.4 9.9 15.2 12.0
RUB 1 (low morbidity) 7.1 4.4 5.8 5.8 6.3 4.6 8.9 6.1
RUB 2 18.6 15.2 18.0 18.0 19.3 15.9 22.7 18.3
RUB 3 48.8 50.6 46.6 48.0 46.1 50.3 40.7 46.9
RUB 4 17.8 14.6 13.0 13.0 12.5 14.4 9.5 12.7
RUB 5 (high morbidity) 6.1 4.3 5.2 4.4 4.4 4.9 3.0 4.0
ADJUSTED DIAGNOSTIC GROUPS (ADGS) (%)
No utilization 1.5 10.9 11.5 10.9 11.4 9.9 15.2 12.0
1–3 ADGs (low comorbidity) 27.9 23.9 32.0 30.3 33.7 26.7 38.2 30.4
4–7 ADGs 42.4 40.6 38.4 39.3 38.0 40.2 32.6 37.9
8–10 ADGs 17.8 16.5 12.5 13.5 11.8 15.6 9.7 13.5
11+ ADGs (high comorbidity) 6.1 8.0 5.6 6.0 5.1 7.6 4.2 6.2
18ICES
CHC=CommunityHealthCentre,anemployeesalarymodel FHG=FamilyHealthGroup,agroupblendedfee-for-servicemodelFHN=FamilyHealthNetwork,agroupblendedcapitationmodel FHO=FamilyHealthOrganization,agroupblendedcapitationmodel(notpartofaFHT)FHT=FamilyHealthTeam,aninterdisciplinaryteammodelconsistingofFHNsandFHOs Other=Othersmallalternatepaymentmodels,mostlyblendedcapitationmodels NON=NotaCHCclientandnotrosteredtoaprimarycaregroup continuedonnextpage…
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
EXHIBIT4CONTINUED…
RURAL RESIDENTS
CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT OTHER NON ONTARIO
Number 15,994 136,240 35,223 184,982 312,535 109,289 342,679 1,136,942
MENTAL HEALTH STATUS (%)
Serious mental illness 2.8 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.0 1.2
Mental illness 16.7 20.3 17.3 19.2 17.0 20.2 13.8 17.1
No mental illness 79.4 76.1 76.9 76.8 77.0 74.2 75.6 76.2
ASTHMA (%) 5.5 6.2 4.7 5.3 4.8 6.1 4.9 5.2
DIABETES (%) 10.8 7.5 9.0 8.3 8.3 11.2 5.0 7.6
CHRONIC OBSTRUCTIVE PULMONARY DISEASE (%) 4.6 3.4 3.0 3.6 3.4 4.1 2.3 3.2
RESOURCE UTILIZATION BANDS (RUBS) (%)
No utilization 2.8 19.3 11.9 15.5 13.3 11.1 20.8 16.2
RUB 1 (low morbidity) 6.6 3.6 5.7 5.2 6.1 4.5 7.4 5.9
RUB 2 18.5 13.4 18.8 17.2 18.7 16.6 20.1 18.0
RUB 3 51.5 46.2 46.5 45.5 44.9 48.1 38.5 43.7
RUB 4 14.5 12.3 12.1 11.9 12.0 13.7 9.3 11.4
RUB 5 (high morbidity) 6.1 5.2 4.9 4.7 4.9 6.0 4.0 4.7
ADJUSTED DIAGNOSTIC GROUPS (ADGS) (%)
No utilization 2.8 19.3 11.9 15.5 13.3 11.1 20.8 16.2
1–3 ADGs (low comorbidity) 33.8 26.6 33.8 32.8 34.9 32.3 40.5 35.0
4–7 ADGs 41.3 36.5 37.9 36.0 36.2 37.2 28.4 34.1
8–10 ADGs 14.8 12.2 11.8 11.1 10.9 13.0 7.2 10.2
11+ ADGs (high comorbidity) 7.3 5.4 4.6 4.7 4.6 6.3 3.1 4.5
19ICES
CHC=CommunityHealthCentre,anemployeesalarymodel FHG=FamilyHealthGroup,agroupblendedfee-for-servicemodelFHN=FamilyHealthNetwork,agroupblendedcapitationmodel FHO=FamilyHealthOrganization,agroupblendedcapitationmodel(notpartofaFHT)FHT=FamilyHealthTeam,aninterdisciplinaryteammodelconsistingofFHNsandFHOs Other=Othersmallalternatepaymentmodels,mostlyblendedcapitationmodels NON=NotaCHCclientandnotrosteredtoaprimarycaregroup
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
EXHIBIT 5 Standardized ACG Morbidity Index (SAMI) of Ontario residents by primary care model, for all, urban and rural residents, 2008/09 to 2009/10
1.84
1.26
1.071.11
1.04
1.22
0.95
1.85
1.26
1.08 1.111.05
1.23
0.96
1.77
1.20
1.04 1.071.03
1.15
0.88
PRIMARY CARE MODELS
AVERAGE SAMI
CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT Other NON CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT Other NON CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT Other NON
All Urban Rural
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
ACG=JohnsHopkinsAdjustedClinicalGroups(ACG)Case-MixSystem SAMI=StandardizedACGMorbidityIndex,withACGweightsstandardizedtotheOntariopopulation(1.0=averageOntarioresident) CHC=CommunityHealthCentre,anemployeesalarymodel FHG=FamilyHealthGroup,agroupblendedfee-for-servicemodel FHN=FamilyHealthNetwork,agroupblendedcapitationmodel FHO=FamilyHealthOrganization,agroupblendedcapitationmodel(notpartofaFHT) FHT=FamilyHealthTeam,aninterdisciplinaryteammodelconsistingofFHNsandFHOs Other=othersmallalternatepaymentmodels,mostlyblendedcapitationmodels NON=notaCHCclientandnotrosteredtoaprimarycaregroup
20ICES
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
EXHIBIT 6 Observed and expected mean emergency department (ED) visits per person for Ontario residents by primary care model, for all, urban and rural residents, 2008/09 to 2009/10
PRIMARY CARE MODELS
ED VISITS PER PERSON
CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT Other NON CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT Other NON CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT Other NON
All Urban Rural
ExpectedObserved
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
21ICES
Expected=afteradjustmentforage,sex,rurality(forallandurban)andJohnsHopkinsAdjustedClinicalGroups(ACGs) CHC=CommunityHealthCentre,anemployeesalarymodel FHG=FamilyHealthGroup,agroupblendedfee-for-servicemodel FHN=FamilyHealthNetwork,agroupblendedcapitationmodel FHO=FamilyHealthOrganization,agroupblendedcapitationmodel(notpartofaFHT) FHT=FamilyHealthTeam,aninterdisciplinaryteammodelconsistingofFHNsandFHOs Other=othersmallalternatepaymentmodels,mostlyblendedcapitationmodels NON=notaCHCclientandnotrosteredtoaprimarycaregroup
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
EXHIBIT 7 Ratio of observed/expected mean emergency department (ED) visits per person for Ontario residents by primary care model, for all, urban and rural residents, 2008/09 to 2009/10
0.790.86
1.25
1.061.12
0.94
1.07
0.88 0.87
1.19
1.05
1.14
0.99
1.08
0.50
0.90
1.15
0.91
1.010.96
1.14
PRIMARY CARE MODELS
OBSERVED/EXPECTED ED VISITS PER PERSON
CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT Other NON CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT Other NON CHC FHG FHN FHO FHT Other NON
All Urban Rural
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
22ICES
Expected=afteradjustmentforage,sex,rurality(forallandurban)andJohnsHopkinsAdjustedClinicalGroups(ACGs) CHC=CommunityHealthCentre,anemployeesalarymodel FHG=FamilyHealthGroup,agroupblendedfee-for-servicemodel FHN=FamilyHealthNetwork,agroupblendedcapitationmodel FHO=FamilyHealthOrganization,agroupblendedcapitationmodel(notpartofaFHT) FHT=FamilyHealthTeam,aninterdisciplinaryteammodelconsistingofFHNsandFHOs Other=othersmallalternatepaymentmodels,mostlyblendedcapitationmodels NON=notaCHCclientandnotrosteredtoaprimarycaregroup
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Discussion
23ICES
TheseanalyseshavedemonstrateddistinctlydifferentpatternsforOntario’svariousprimarycaremodels.CHCsservedhigh-needsclientsandhadlowerthanexpectedEDvisits.FHGsandanumberof‘Other’modelsservedpatientsthatwererepresentativeofthepopulationandhadlowerthanexpectedEDvisits.FHNs,FHOsandFHTs—Ontario’scapitationmodels—servedhigherincomepopulationsandhadfewnewcomers.Theyalsohadsomewhatlowerpatternsofchronicdisease,morbidityandcomorbidityandhadhigherthanexpectedEDvisits.Manyofthosenotinanyofthemodelsexaminedappearedtobeyounger,maleandhavefewerhealthcareneeds.
Inthepastfewyears,majornewinvestmentshavebeenmadeinprimarycaremodelsinOntario,especiallyteamandcapitationmodels.Ontario’sAuditorGeneralreportedthat$1.6billionwasspentonnon-fee-for-servicepaymentstofamilyphysiciansin2009/10,amountingto43%oftotalpaymentstofamilyphysicians.29ThemajorityofthesepaymentswouldhavegonetophysiciansinFHNsandFHOs,includingthosethatwereinFHTs.By2009/10,meangovernment
paymentsperphysicianwerehigherintheFHNandFHOmodelsthaninothermodelsofcare.30AdditionalfundingforFHTsbeyondphysicianpaymentwas$244millionin2010/11.29Themodelsofcaremostbenefitingfromthesesubstantialinvestments(FHNs,FHOsandFHTs)allappeartoproportionallyservemoresociallyadvantagedpopulationsandthosewithfewerhealthcareneedsthanotherOntariomodels.Thesefindingslikelyreflectpre-existingpatternsamongthephysiciansandgroupsthatchosetojointhesemodels.31Capitationschemesinmanyotherjurisdictionsadjustpaymentsforpatienthealthcareneeds,socioeconomicdisparitiesorboth.Lackofsuchadjustmentmayhavecreatedbarrierstoentryforphysicianswithsickerpractices24,32andprovidedanincentiveforthosewithhealthierpracticestochooseacapitationpaymentmodel.Aspatientswithhighsocioeconomicstatustendtobehealthier,thesehealthierpracticeswouldalsobeexpectedtobewealthier.HigherthanexpectedEDvisitsincapitationpracticesarealsolikelytohavebeenfeaturesofthesepracticesbeforetheyconvertedfromfeeforservice.31Ontario’scapitationmodelshaveamajordisincentiveforoutsideuseoffamily
physiciansorwalk-inclinics(theycanloseapotentialaccessbonusofupto18.6%ofcapitationpayments),butthereisnopenaltyforEDuse.Therefore,practicesincommunitieswithfewwalk-inclinics,urgentcarecentresorphysiciansoutsideoftheirgroupmayreceiveaccessbonuspaymentseveniftheyprovideinadequateaccess.Physiciansinthesetypesofcommunitiesmayhavebeenattractedtoalargerincomeboostfromswitchingtocapitation.Untilrecently,physicianswereabletomakedecisionsaboutswitchingmodelsbasedonMinistry-providedincomeprojections.Thelackofadjustmentforhealthcareneedsandthestructureoftheaccessbonusmayhavecontributedtothepatternsfoundinthisstudy.However,theexactmechanismsremaintobeelucidatedandrequirefurtherstudyandpolicyanalysis.
BothFHTsandCHCsaredesignedtomeetlocalcommunityneeds,butCHCsaredistinctfromothermodelsinhavingabroadergroupofservicesthatincludehealthpromotionandthataddresssocialdeterminantsofhealth.TheyalsohavegovernancethroughacommunityboardandaccountabilityagreementswithLocalHealthIntegration
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Networks.CHCsservedisadvantagedpopulationsasaconsequenceoftheircommunitymandate,butthereasonswhytheyareassociatedwithlowerthanexpectedEDvisitsisnotknown.Possiblefactorsincludehealthpromotingservices,communityengagement,longerappointmentduration,thepresenceoflong-establishedinterdisciplinaryteams,extendedhours,clientpreferences,providerpracticestyles,practicelocationinrelationtoexistingservicesandthenatureofappointmentscheduling.ThemechanismsresponsibleforlowerthanexpectedEDvisitsareimportantforhealthpolicydecisionsandrequirefurtherinvestigation,asdoestheefficiencyofCHCsinrelationtooutcomes.12
24ICES
LIMITATIONS Thisreporthasanumberoflimitationsthat
shouldbeconsideredwheninterpretingitsfindings.
•AmongCHCclients,11.5%didnothaveahealthcardnumberandcouldnotbelinkedtoOntariodatabases.TheCHCprofileisthereforenotrepresentativeofallCHCclients,butitdoesincludecloseto90%ofclientsseenintheprevioustwoyears.ThecharacteristicsandpatternsofEDuseofthoselackinghealthcoveragerequiresfurtherinvestigation.
•Nursepractitionersoftenseepatientswhodonotseephysicians.NursepractitionerencounterdatawereavailableforCHCsbutnotFHTsandforthatreason,nursepractitionerencounters(representing22%ofclientsinCHCs)wereexcluded.InclusionofnursepractitionerdatamayhaveresultedinlowerlevelsofmorbidityandcomorbidityforCHCsandFHTsifnursepractitionershadpracticesthatwerelesscomplexthanthoseofphysicians.Inkeepingwiththatassumption,inclusionofnursepractitionerdataforCHCsresultedinaSAMIvalueof1.67,lowerthanthatforphysicianvisitsonly(1.84)butstillconsiderablyhigherthanthatinothermodels(datanotshown).
•PatientsandclientswhodiedbeforeApril1,2010wereexcludedfromtheanalysis.Thismayhaveunderestimatedthecomplexitywithinallofthemodelsbecausethosewhodiedmayhavehadcomplexproblemsandhighresourceutilizationneedsduringtheperiodpriortodeath.
• Incomequintilesrepresentarea-levelincomeandmaynotaccuratelyreflectincomelevelsofindividuals.Theyareverycommonlyusedinhealthservicesresearch,however,anddocorrelatewithindividual-levelincome.
•ThecompletenessofdatamayhavebeenanissueatCHCs,especiallythosethatmorerecentlybegantouseelectronicrecords,anditmayalsohavebeenanissueincapitationmodels(FHN,FHO,FHT)thatshadowbill,asthecompletenessofshadowbillingisnotknown.
•Theseanalysesarecross-sectionalanddonothelptodistinguishwhetherphysiciansalteredtheirpracticesormixofpatientsasaresultofjoiningamodelofcareorwhetherthepatternsseenherewerepre-existing.AnearliercomparisonofEDvisitsinFHNsandFHGsfoundthathigherratesofEDvisitswerepre-existinginFHNs31andwerenotlikelytheresultofchangingpractice.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
•Therearesomesubtledifferencesbetweenmodelsthatcouldhaveaffectedresults.Visitfrequencyincapitation-basedpaymentpracticesmaybelowerthaninfee-for-service,33resultinginfewerdiagnosesandthereforelowerlevelsofmorbidityandcomorbidityonthemeasuresusedinthisstudy.VisitfrequencyinCHCscouldalsohaveaffectedthesemeasures,butthedirectionoftheeffectisnotknown,noristheeffectofusingasinglerandomdiagnosisforCHCvisits.BothCHCsandFHTshaveinterdisciplinaryteamsbutthoseteamsandtheirroleswereataformativestageinFHTsandwell-establishedinCHCsduringthetimeframeofthisstudy.
•EncounterdataforCHCswerederivedfromlocalelectronicrecordswhileforothergroupsphysicianbillingclaimswereused.Thesedifferencesindatasourcesmayhaveintroduceddifferencesinmeasuredpatternsofmorbidityandcomorbiditybutthenatureanddirectionofsucheffectsarenotknown.ItwaspossibleforanindividualtoappearinbothCHCdataandamongpatientsrosteredinaprimarycaremodel,althoughthathappenedrarely.Inthosecases,theindividualwasassignedtotheCHC.
25ICES
•ThelinkbetweenEDvisitsandaccesstoprimarycareismediatedbyanumberoffactorsthatwewereunabletomeasure.Theseincludetheavailabilityandappropriatenessoflocalresources,suchaswalk-inclinicsandurgentcarecentres,patientpreferencesforplaceofcare,physicianpracticestyles,distancestofacilities,availabilityofparkingorpublictransitandhoursofoperation.ItislikelythattheseunmeasuredfactorswereresponsibleforsomeofthevariationinEDvisitswefoundacrossgroups.
•Finally,manyEDvisitsarenotavoidable,evenwiththebestprimarycare.TheexistingconsensusonavoidableEDvisitshasidentifiedaverysmallproportion,34consistingofminoracuteinfections,buttheactualproportionthatisavoidableisnotknown.TriagelevelhasbeenusedasaproxyforavoidableEDvisits.31Itwasnotusedinthisreportbecausecodingwassubstantiallyrevisedduringthestudyperiod,35,36andhowcodingchangedacrossurbanandruralareasisnotknown.Nonetheless,asubstantialproportionofEDvisitsappeartobelinkedtolackofaccesstotimelyprimarycare.37,38
Thisworkalsohelpedtoidentifyseveralprovincialdatalimitations.
•ForemostamongtheseistheabsenceofCHCencounterdatainOntario’shealthdatabases.ThismadeitchallengingtocomparemodelsasCHCdatahadtobecollectedmanuallyfromelectronicrecords,whilerecordsforencountersinothermodelsarecollectedroutinelyaspartofphysicianbillingclaims.
•Asecondmajorissuewasthelackofencounterdatafornursepractitionersandothernon-physicianprovidersinallmodels.Itwillbeverydifficulttodeterminethecontributionoftheseproviders,especiallynursepractitioners,withoutsystematicallycollectingdataabouttheiractivitiesatthelevelofpatientsandclients.
•Althoughcapitationmodelsshadowbill,thecompletenessofshadowbillingisunknownandrequiresstudyandvalidation.Finally,manyhealthnumbersintheRPDBhaveoutdatedaddresses,makinggeographicinferences(suchasurban-ruralorincomequintiles)subjecttomisclassification.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
POLICY IMPLICATIONS Thesefindingsprovideseveralimplications
forpolicy.
1 / CHC Model:TheCHCmodelappearstoplayanespeciallyimportantroleinOntariofordisadvantagedpopulations.AcontinuinginfluxofimmigrantstoOntarioandgrowingincomeinequalitiessuggestanincreasinglyimportantneedforcareinthesepopulations.OtherresearchhasfoundthathealthcareatCHCsisassociatedwithbetterchronicdiseasemanagementandgeriatriccare,morecomprehensivecareandgreatercommunityorientation.7–11ThecurrentanalysesfindthatCHCcareisalsoassociatedwithlowerthanexpectedEDvisits.
2 / Capitation Rates:FHGsand‘Other’modelscareforaprofileofaverageOntariansandalsohavelowerthanexpectedEDvisits.Thecapitationmodels(FHN,FHO,FHT)servemoreadvantagedOntarianswithalowerillnessprofileandhavehigherthanexpectedEDuse.Adjustingcapitationratestoaccountforhealthcareneedscouldhelptobringmorehighneedspatientsandmorehighneedspracticesintothesemodels.Currently,FHGsthatswitchtocapitationcanexpecttoloseincome32inlargepartduetohavingsickerthanaveragepractices.ThisbarriertojoiningcapitationmodelsisalsoabarriertojoiningFHTsbecauseonlycapitationmodelsareallowed.Thissituationwouldlikelychangewithappropriatecapitationadjustment.
26ICES
3 / Payment Incentives:ThecurrentaccessbonuspaymentforavoidingoutsideprimarycareuseappearstobethewrongincentivetoremedyOntario’sveryhighuseofhospitalEDs16asitdoesnothingtodiscourageEDuse.Aswell,manypracticesreceivelittleornoaccessbonusandthisoftenoccursinsettingswithmanyalternatesourcesofcare,suchasmajorurbancentres.Practicesinthosesettingsthatprovideexcellentaccessreceivethesametreatment(nobonus)asthosethatfailtoprovideaccess.Theaccessbonusmayalsoactasadeterrentforprovidersindifferentgroupsandmodelstoworktogethertoprovidetimelyandafter-hoursaccesstomembersoftheircommunity.Anotherreasontore-examinetheaccessbonusisthataccesstotimelycareandafter-hourscarehasnotimprovedinrecentyearsdespiteanincreasingnumberofOntarianshavingafamilydoctor.39Ifpaymentincentivesforaccessremainedadesirablefeatureofprimarycaremodels,thecurrentaccessbonuscouldberedesignedtoincorporateEDvisits,toreflectobservedversusexpectedoutsideuse,ortobebasedontheavailabilityofsame-dayandafter-hoursappointments.Amoreperson-centredapproachwouldbetobaseincentivesorotherformsofexpectationsoraccountabilitiesonpatient-reportedaccesstocare.Forexample,accessquestionsontheEnglishGeneralPracticeSurveyareusedforpractice-basedpay-for-performance,withadjustmentforpatientcharacteristics.40Inthatsetting,practicesarerewardedfor
offeringbothtimelyappointmentsandforofferingtheabilitytobookaheadoftime.Surveyresultsarepubliclyavailableatthepracticeandregionallevel.40
4 / ED Use: Ontario’shighrateofEDuseisalsoanimportantpolicytarget.Enforcementofexistingafter-hourscommitmentshasbeenproblematicbutisnowreceivinggreaterMinistryattention.29Furtherexpansionofhours,poolingofresourcesacrossgroupsandmodelsofcaretomeetcommunityneeds,41incentivizingofhomevisits,andofficeredesigntoensuretimelyaccesstoappointments42,43couldallplayimportantrolesinreducingEDuse.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
IMPLICATIONS FOR EVALUATION AND RESEARCH
Thesefindingsalsoprovideimplicationsforevaluationandresearch.TheDecember2011reportfromtheOntarioAuditorGeneralnotedthattheMinistryofHealthandLong-TermCare“…hadnotyetconductedanyformalanalysisofwhethertheexpectedbenefitsofthesemorecostlyalternativefundingarrangementshavematerialized.”29Inthesamereport,thechallengesofdoingthattypeofanalysis,aswellasthecomplexityofprimarycaremodelsandpaymentsinOntario,wereacknowledged.Therearenotrueexperimentsandfewlongitudinalanalysesavailabletounderstandtheimpactofnewprimarycaremodels33andthesearemuchneededtohelpseparatecausesfromeffects.Investmentsmayhavepositiveeffectsthatarenoteasilydiscernedinprovince-widetrends,suchasthereversaloftheshrinkingprimarycarephysicianworkforceafter2000/01,withoutwhichaccesstocaremayhaveworsenedratherthanremainedthesame.30ComparisonswithotherCanadianjurisdictionswouldbevaluable,aswouldcomparisonswithprimarycarereformsinotherdevelopedcountries.Strongprimarycareisthefoundationofhigh-performinghealthsystems44–46buthowbesttoorganizeprimarycareisnotaswellunderstood.Eachmodelofprimarycareappearstohaveboth
strengthsandweaknesses.6Thedetailsofcapitationpaymentschemesmaybeespeciallyimportantforensuringtimelyaccesstocareandtheinclusionofdisadvantagedandsickerpopulations.Itisextremelychallengingtounderstandwhatmixofmodelsisbestinordertomeetpopulationandhealthsystemneeds.VerylittleworkhasbeendonetounderstandvalueformoneyinOntario’sprimarycaremodels12,33,47,48andsuchstudiesarelongoverdue.
“Very little work has been done to
understand value for money in
Ontario’s primary care models and
such studies are long overdue.”
27ICES
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
Conclusions
28ICES
Ontario’sprimarycaremodelsservedifferentpopulationsandareassociatedwithdifferentoutcomes.Amoveawayfromfee-for-servicereimbursementmaybedesirableforahighfunctioninghealthcaresystem,buthowalternatepaymentmechanismsarestructuredappearstomatteragreatdeal.Thelargestcurrentmodelsofcarehavebeencostlybuthavehadlimitedimpactonpopulationaccesstocare,whichwasakeyaim.ThecapitationandteammodelsthathavereceivedthemostnewresourcesarelookingafterrelativelyadvantagedgroupsandareassociatedwithhigherthanexpectedEDvisits.Thepaymentandincentivestructuresunderlyingthesemodelsthereforerequirere-examination.TheCHCmodeloffersanattractivealternativeinmanyrespects,butCHCsserveadifferentrolethantheotherprimarycaremodelsandareresourcedandgovernedquitedifferently.WheretheyfitwithinprimarycareinOntarioshouldalsobethesubjectoffurtherpolicyconsideration.
Sofar,littleworkhasbeendonetounderstandvalueformoneyinOntario’sprimarycaremodelsandsuchanalysesarelongoverdue.Ontario’sdiversityofprimarycaremodels,ifproperlyevaluated,canprovideawealthofinformationforpolicymakers.Decision-makersinOntarioandotherprovincesandcountriesaregrapplingwithhowtomakehealthsystemsmoreeffectiveandefficient.Ontariohasauniqueopportunitytoredesignprimarycarebyunderstandingandapplyingevidenceaboutitsmanymodelsofcare.ItishopedthatthisreportmayhelppolicymakerstounderstandhowOntario’sprimarycaremodelsrelatetothetypesofpatientsservedandtheoutcomeofEDvisits,withaviewtowardsre-orientingexistingresourcesandfutureinvestments.
Comparison of Primary Care Models in Ontario by Demographics, Case Mix and Emergency Department Use, 2008/09 to 2009/10
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