complex gis modeling and analysis to support energy policy · complex gis modeling and analysis...

29
Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation Act Reauthorization) C d tdi t f Conducted in support of: U.S. Departments of Interior, Agriculture, and Energy Presented by: Michael Marquis 1 VLG0134_CPPT.

Upload: others

Post on 27-Sep-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy

(Energy Policy and Conservation Act Reauthorization)

C d t d i t f

( gy y )

Conducted in support of: U.S. Departments of Interior, Agriculture, and

Energy

Presented by:Michael Marquis

1VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 2: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Energy Policy and Conservation Act

SEC. 604. SCIENTIFIC INVENTORY OF OIL AND GAS RESERVES.

(a) IN GENERAL- The Secretary of the Interior, in consultation with the Secretaries of Agriculture and Energy, shall conduct an inventory of all onshore Federal lands. The inventory shall identify--

(1) the United States Geological Survey reserve estimates of the oil and gas resources underlying these lands;

andand

(2) the extent and nature of any restrictions or impediments to the development of such resources.

2VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 3: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Three Main Parameters for the Inventory

Federal Land Status

- Surface Ownership

Oil d G Mi l O hi- Oil and Gas Mineral Ownership

QuantitativeGIS Model

Land Use Plans

- Leasing Stipulations

- Environmental USGS Resources

S R

GIS Model

3VLG0134_CPPT.

consideration - Seven Resource

Species

Page 4: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

EPCA Study Areas-11 Oil and Gas Basins

-99 Million Federal Acres-299 Million total Acres

-11 Million GIS Polygons

4VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 5: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Schematic of BLM’s Primary Land Records Databases

5VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 6: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Federal Land CategorizationFederal Land CategorizationFederal Land Management Categorization LevelBureau of Land Management BLM Subject to stipulationsBureau of Reclamation BOR Subject to stipulationsBureau of Reclamation BOR Subject to stipulationsDepartment of Agriculture* USDA No Leasing (Administrative), general category (NLA)* 2Department of Defense** DOD No Leasing (Administrative), general category (NLA)** 2Federal Split Estate SPLIT Subject to stipulationsFish and Wildlife Service FWS No Leasing (Administrative), general category (NLA) 2United States Forest Service UFS Subject to stipulationsMiscellaneous Federal Land Managers (DOE DOJ DHS etc ) On Advisement from OfficeMiscellaneous Federal Land Managers (DOE, DOJ, DHS, etc.) On Advisement from OfficeNational Park Service NPS No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order), (NLS) 1Federal Land Use DesignationsInventoried Roadless Areas IRA Subject to stipulationsNational Conservation Areas NCA No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order), (NLS) 1National Monuments NM No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order), (NLS) 1National Recreation Areas NRA No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order) (NLS) 1National Recreation Areas NRA No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order), (NLS) 1National Wildlife Refuges NWR No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order), (NLS) 1Special Designated Areas SDA No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order), (NLS) 1Wilderness Areas WILD No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order), (NLS) 1Wilderness Reinventory Areas WRA Subject to stipulationsIncorporated Towns and Cities ITC No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order), (NLS) 1Wilderness Study Areas WSA No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order) (NLS) 1Wilderness Study Areas WSA No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order), (NLS) 1

* Ft. Keo Agricultural Experimental Station, MT, only** Except for the Naval Petroleum Reserve, Casper Field Office, which is subject to stipulations

6VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 7: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

EPCA Phase II Federal Land Status Map

Paradox/San Juan Study AreaParadox/San Juan Study Area

Uinta/Piceance Basin Greater Green River Basin

Powder River Basin Montana Thrust Belt

7VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 8: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Conventional vs. Continuous Resource Accumulations

8VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 9: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

EPCA Phase II Total Gas Map

Paradox/San Juan Study Area

9VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 10: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

EPCA Phase II Total Liquids Map

Paradox/San Juan Study Area

10VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 11: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Land Use PlansThe Land Access Categorization HierarchyThe Land Access Categorization Hierarchy

1. No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order) (NLS)

2. No Leasing (Administrative) (NLA)

Land Access Categorization- Incorporates the cumulative effect of overlapping stipulations

3. No Leasing (Administrative) Pending Land Use Planning or NEPA Compliance (NLA/LUP)

4. Leasing, No Surface Occupancy (NSO) (Net NSO for O&G Resources)

5 L i C l ti Ti i Li it ti5. Leasing, Cumulative Timing Limitations (TLs) of >9 Months

6. Leasing, Cumulative Timing Limitations (TLs) of >6 to ≤ 9 Months

7. Leasing, Cumulative Timing Limitations (TLs) of >3 to ≤ 6 Months(TLs) of >3 to ≤ 6 Months

8. Leasing, Controlled Surface Use (CSU)*

9. Leasing, Standard Lease Terms (SLTs)

* Includes Cumulative Timing Limitations of ≤3 Months

11VLG0134_CPPT.

* Includes Cumulative Timing Limitations of ≤3 Months

Page 12: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Application of the Categorization Hierarchyy

12VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 13: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Land Access Categorization:P d /S J B iParadox/San Juan Basins

Uinta/Piceance Basin Greater Green River Basin

Powder River Basin Montana Thrust Belt

13VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 14: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

P ti l I l t ti f th Sti l tiPractical Implementation of the Stipulations

• Practical implementation of the stipulations will include – Consideration of the top three stipulations for which

exceptions/waivers/modifications are granted, e.g., • Years in which no raptor nests are found and exceptions are

granted for APDs

• Exceptions to steep slopes

– Consideration of directional drillingCo s de at o o d ect o a d g

– Review surface use COAs that are attached to randomly sampled APDs

14VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 15: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Stipulation Exception Factors List by USDA-FS and BLM Field OfficeUSDA-FS and BLM Field Office

15VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 16: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

NSO Extended Drilling Zone• To account for industry’s ability to reach subsurface targets by

directional drilling, use of an “extended drilling zone” of ¼ mile (or other appropriate distance) ( pp p )

With extended drilling zone:

• Location of reachable• Location of reachable subsurface target defaults to co-located stipulation (if any)

StreamStream

• Unreachable subsurface target is under NSO

• Narrow, linear features willDrilling

Location

UnreachableSubsurface

Target

DrillingLocation

UnreachableSubsurface

Target

Narrow, linear features will be transparent to the analysis

• Land surface is categorized

EDZ

ReachableSubsurface

Target

Not to Scale

EDZ

ReachableSubsurface

Target

Not to Scale

16VLG0134_CPPT.

a d su ace s catego eddifferently than subsurface O&G resources

NSO

JAF01027B.PPT

NSO

JAF01027B.PPT

Page 17: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Extended Drilling Zones by JurisdictionJurisdiction Study Area EDZ (miles) Jurisdiction Study Area EDZ (miles)y ( ) y ( )Alabama NF BWB 0.25 Manti La Sal NF UP 0.50Albuquerque, NM, BLM Field Office PDX/SJ 0.25 Manti La Sal NF PDX/SJ 0.25Allegheny NF APB 0.13 Medicine Bow-Routt NF Thunder Basin NG UP, PRB, GGRB 0.25Arapaho Roosevelt NF DEN 0.25 Miles City, MT, BLM Field Office PRB 0.25Ashley NF UP, GGRB 0.25 Milwaukee, WI, BLM Field Office APB N/A (NLA/LUP)Beaverhead-Deerlodge NF MTB 0.50 Mississippi NF BWB 0.13 Big Cypress FLP 0.25 Missoula, MT, BLM Field Office MTB 0.50Black Hills NF PRB DEN 0 25 Moab UT BLM Field Office UP PDX/SJ 0 25Black Hills NF PRB, DEN 0.25 Moab, UT, BLM Field Office UP, PDX/SJ 0.25Bridger-Teton NF WTB, GGRB 0.50 Monongahela NF APB 0.25 Buffalo, WY, BLM Field Office PRB 0.25 Monticello, UT, BLM Field Office PDX/SJ 0.25Butte, MT, BLM Field Office MTB 0.25 Nebraska, Oglala, Buffalo Gap NF PRB 0.13Caribou-Targhee NF WTB 0.50 Nebraska, Oglala, Buffalo Gap NF DEN 0.00Carson NF PDX/SJ 0.25 Newcastle, WY, BLM Field Office PRB 0.00Casper, WY, BLM Field Office PRB, DEN 0.25 Newcastle, WY, BLM Field Office DEN 0.25Cedar City, UT, BLM Field Office PDX/SJ 0.00 Pike-San Isabel NF DEN 0.25 Cibola NF PDX/SJ 0 25 Pinedale WY BLM Field Office GGRB 0 25Cibola NF PDX/SJ 0.25 Pinedale, WY, BLM Field Office GGRB 0.25Daniel Boone NF APB 0.00 Pinedale, WY, BLM Field Office WTB N/A (NLA/LUP)Fairbanks, AK, BLM Field Office--AK NPR-A NE NA 1.00 Pocatello, ID, BLM Field Office WTB 0.50Fairbanks, AK, BLM Field Office--AK NPR-A NW NA 1.00 Price, UT, BLM Field Office UP 0.25Fairbanks, AK, BLM Field Office--AK NPR-A W NA N/A (NLA/LUP) Price, UT, BLM Field Office PDX/SJ 0.00Fairbanks, AK, BLM Field Office--ANWR NA N/A (NLA/LUP) Rawlins, WY, BLM Field Office GGRB, DEN 0.25Farmington, NM, BLM Field Office PDX/SJ 0.25 Richfield, UT, BLM Field Office UP 0.25Finger Lakes NF APB 0.25 Richfield, UT, BLM Field Office PDX/SJ 0.00George Washinton NF APB 0 25 Rock Springs WY BLM Field Office GGRB 0 25George Washinton NF APB 0.25 Rock Springs, WY, BLM Field Office GGRB 0.25Glenwood Springs, CO, BLM Field Office UP, GGRB 0.25 Royal Gorge, CO, BLM Field Office DEN 0.25Grand Junction, CO, BLM Field Office UP, PDX/SJ 0.25 Salt Lake, UT, BLM Field Office UP 0.25Grand Mesa Uncompahgre/Gunnison NF UP 0.25 Salt Lake, UT, BLM Field Office WTB 0.50Grand Mesa Uncompahgre/Gunnison NF PDX/SJ 0.00 San Juan, CO, BLM Field Office SJ portion 0.00Gunnison, CO, BLM Field Office UP 0.25 San Juan, CO, BLM Field Office PDX portion 0.50Helena NF MTB 0.25 Santa Fe NF PDX/SJ 0.25Idaho Falls, ID, BLM Field Office WTB 0.50 South Dakota BLM Field Office PRB, DEN 0.25Jackson MS BLM Field Office FLP BWB 0 50 St George UT BLM Field Office PDX/SJ 0 00Jackson, MS, BLM Field Office FLP, BWB 0.50 St. George, UT, BLM Field Office PDX/SJ 0.00Jackson, MS, BLM Field Office APB 0.00 Tennessee Valley Authority BWB 0.50Jefferson NF APB 0.25 Tennessee Valley Authority APB 0.00Kanab, UT, BLM Field Office PDX/SJ 0.00 Uinta NF UP 0.25Kemmerer, WY, BLM Field Office WTB 0.50 Uncompahgre, CO, BLM Field Office UP 0.25Kemmerer, WY, BLM Field Office GGRB 0.25 Uncompahgre, CO, BLM Field Office PDX/SJ 0.50Lander, WY, BLM Field Office GGRB 0.25 Vernal, UT, BLM Field Office UP 0.00Lewis and Clark NF MTB, eastern portions only 0.25 Wasatch-Cache NF WTB 0.50L i t MT BLM Fi ld Offi MTB 0 25 W NF APB 0 13

17VLG0134_CPPT.

EDZ typically allows access to resources with ¼ mile of NSO boundary

Lewistown, MT, BLM Field Office MTB 0.25 Wayne NF APB 0.13 Little Snake, CO, BLM Field Office UP, GGRB 0.25 White River, CO, BLM Field Office UP 0.25

White River NF UP, GGRB 0.25* Where NSO areas occur within these jurisdictions within the study areas

Page 18: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Display of Land Access Categorization (WTB St d A )(WTB Study Area)

18VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 19: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Display of O&G Resources Access Categorization (WTB Study Area)g ( y )

19VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 20: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Example of Removal of the EDZ from NSO Areas to Derive Net NSO for O&G Resources

20VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 21: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Example Results for a Study AreaExample Results for a Study Area

21VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 22: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

EPCA Phase IIFederal Land Status Map

Paradox/San Juan Study Area

22VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 23: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

EPCA Phase II Land Access Categorization

P d /S J S d AParadox/San Juan Study Area

23VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 24: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

EPCA Phase II Total Gas Map

Paradox/San Juan Study Area

24VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 25: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

EPCA Phase II Total Liquids Map

Paradox/San Juan Study Area

25VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 26: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

Chart of Results—Land and Resources Categorization, Paradox/San Juan Study Areay

1. No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order) (NLS)

2. No Leasing (Administrative) (NLA)

Land Access CategorizationAcreage (18 Million Acres)*

3. No Leasing (Administrative) Pending Land Use Planning or NEPA Compliance (NLA/LUP)

4. Leasing, No Surface Occupancy (NSO) (Net NSO for O&G Resources)

5. Leasing, Cumulative Timing Limitations (TLs) of >9 Months

6. Leasing, Cumulative Timing Limitations (TLs) of >6 to ≤ 9 Months

39%

3%

31%

7. Leasing, Cumulative Timing Limitations (TLs) of >3 to ≤ 6 Months

8. Leasing, Controlled Surface Use (CSU)*

9. Leasing, Standard Lease Terms (SLTs)

* Includes Cumulative Timing Limitations of ≤3 Months

4% 4%1%6%

3%

12%

*Federal land and lands overlying Federal mineral estate

Oil (411 MMbbls)*

17%

Gas (27 TCF)*

2% 3%

17%

2%

11%

2%1%

1%3%39% 39%

26VLG0134_CPPT.

26%

*Federal liquids (oil and NGLs) and non-Federal liquids underlying Federal land

37%

*Federal natural gas and non-Federal natural gas underlying Federal land

Page 27: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

The EPCA InventoryResults

1. No Leasing (Statutory/Executive Order) (NLS)

2. No Leasing (Administrative) (NLA)

Land Access CategorizationAcreage (99 Million Acres)*

25%

13%

3. No Leasing (Administrative) Pending Land Use Planning or NEPA Compliance (NLA/LUP)

4. Leasing, No Surface Occupancy (NSO) (Net NSO for O&G Resources)

5. Leasing, Cumulative Timing Limitations (TLs) of >9 Months

6. Leasing, Cumulative Timing Limitations (TLs) of >6 to ≤ 9 Months

8%

4%

20%

7. Leasing, Cumulative Timing Limitations (TLs) of >3 to ≤ 6 Months

8. Leasing, Controlled Surface Use (CSU)*

9. Leasing, Standard Lease Terms (SLTs)

* Includes Cumulative Timing Limitations of ≤3 Months

9%12%

9%

*Federal land and lands overlying Federal mineral estate

Oil (21 BBbl)*

7%

6%

4%

Gas (187 TCF)*

8%13% 4%

33%

34%

2%22%

14%

27VLG0134_CPPT.

7%

8%

1%

*Federal liquids (oil and NGLs) and non-Federal liquids underlying Federal land

20%

17%

*Federal natural gas and non-Federal natural gas underlying Federal land

Page 28: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

EPCA Phase III-18 Oil and Gas Basins

291 Million Federal Acres-291 Million Federal Acres-477 Million total Acres

-13 Million GIS Polygons

28VLG0134_CPPT.

Page 29: Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy · Complex GIS Modeling and Analysis toComplex GIS Modeling and Analysis to Support Energy Policy (Energy Policy and Conservation

12301 D ld C t F i f VA 2203312301 Donaldson Court, Fairfax, VA 22033

phone: (703) 861.4189

fax: (703) 738.7022

Jeffrey Eppink

President

Michael Marquis

Senior GIS Consultant

29VLG0134_CPPT.

email: [email protected] email: [email protected]