conference call conducted by chorus call hellas/media/files/o/opap-ir/...why the gdp in q3 2016...
TRANSCRIPT
112 Leof. Athinon, Athens
Tel.: +30 210 5798800 Fax: +30 210 5798342
“Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call”
November 23rd 2016, 16:00 (GR Time)
Conductors:
Damian Cope, Chief Executive Officer
& Michal Houst, CFO, Executive Director
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OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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OPERATOR: Good afternoon Ladies and Gentlemen, this is the Chorus Call
Conference Operator.
Welcome and thank you for joining OPAP Nine Month 2016
Interim Management Statements Conference Call.
Please note that a PDF presentation for the Results is now
available on OPAP’s website www.opap.gr under the section for
Investor Relations.
At this time I would like to turn the conference over to the
Executive Management of OPAP S.A.
Mr. Cope, you may proceed please
Cope D: Thank you very much, and good morning, good afternoon or
good evening to everyone. I am glad to welcome you to OPAP’s
Q3 2016 Investor Conference Call.
For today’s call, I am joined by our CFO, Michal Houst. And in
terms of the running order, Michal will first take you through
our Q3 results and a summary of the latest economic trends. I
would then provide an update on our progress in the last three
months including the recent developments with VLTs. We will
then be available for any questions you may have. Michal, over
to you.
HOUST M: Thank you Damian, hello, everybody. I apologize I am a bit
sick, so I hope you will be able to understand me. So I guess
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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that you all agree that Q3 was an interesting quarter, when it
comes both to our figures but as well macroeconomic situation.
The reason for that is that in Q3 2015, it was very bad quarter
for Greece which was heavily affected by the uncertainty caused
from the Bank holidays period and the capital controls. That’s
why the GDP in Q3 2016 increased by 1.2% year-on-year,
reversing the negative trend of the previous quarters, and that’s
why retail sales rose sharply in July which was the first months
of capital controls last year, only of course to return to negative
growth territory in August and September.
As for the future, although it’s right to say that most economic
figures are admittedly at very low levels, and the base effect
growth scenario may materialize, we note that the pension cuts
and additional tax contribution from individuals will inevitably
further burden disposable income and private consumption.
Amidst this environment, OPAP reported material revenue
growth of 6%, thus bringing the nine months year-to-date
figures exactly at the same levels as last year. We feel this is
some achievement taking into account that our benchmark
which is private consumption was actually down almost 2% for
the same period.
In contrast to the GGR, EBITDA in the nine months and three
months period decreased by 28% and 19% respectively year-
on-year. This drop is mostly a result of the significant increase
of the GGR contribution from 30% to 35% as of January the 1st
this year.
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As also mentioned in our press release, when adjusting for this
increase, the like-for-like EBITDA in nine months actually
declined only by 3% and that is despite the €6.4 million of one-
off cost mostly related to the VLT arbitration that hits
profitability for the third quarter.
As a side comment, you may have noticed that some of our key
cost items were up in the third quarter. This increase can be in
a nutshell explained by four major reasons. The first one is, the
horse racing which is a loss making business and it’s still at the
very early stage of operation. The second reason is the one-off
costs already mentioned related to the arbitration.
The third reason is marketing cost which in Q3 2015 was very,
very low, due to the effect of the capital control and due to the
fact it didn’t make any sense basically to market in this very
difficult environment last year. And this accounts almost for €4
million, this difference. And then the fourth reason is finally the
increase in payroll which is indicated by us in the previous costs,
is rising due to the continuous enhancements of the Company
workforce and upcoming introduction of the new projects.
Further down the road, net…€9 million net profit declined
by…nine months net profit declined by 40% while after adjusting
for the GGR contribution, net profit would drop by a lower 21%
at €38.7 million.
As for the balance sheet, our cash pile amounted to €187 million
and our net debt position came at €167 million which we find as
satisfying taking into account the distribution of €0.92 per share
which is €293 million in 2016.
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Going forward, we stick to our commitment to distribute the
bulk of the free cash flow back to the shareholders should no
new significant investment opportunities come. Fortunately for
us, there is many investment opportunities that Damian would
mention later in his speech, so there would be definitely some
increase of the CAPEX going forward.
Jumping to a quick review of the Group’s segment, lotteries
growth reached 8% and that is despite the Joker unfavorable
jackpot rollover for the third quarter. However, we were luckier
in October and November, so there was again jackpot reaching
over €13 million and this partially offset this negative
performance year-to-date.
With regard to KINO, KINO was doing fine but we need to note
that basically we launched last year in November we launched
KINO bonus and the initial hype which was there in November,
December 2015 would be hardly reached at the current level of
performance of that game.
Hellenic Lotteries also posted material growth for scratches and
scratches and passive also posted material growth reaching
23% year-over-year, which was actually the highest across all
our segments for the quarter. We reported uplift games as a
result of both the easy comps in 2015 as some of you may
remember scratch tickets were the product which took the
hardest hit during the Bank holiday period, but also it is the
result of improved marketing campaign and improved product
mix and distribution actions that helped the game recover
quickly.
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Finally, sports betting’s stayed down year-on-year declined by
2.6% in terms of GGR, being an exception across our portfolio.
It’s clear that the game remains on a slight downward trend.
The good news is that we are determined to proceed with
product improvements in 2017, that such as SSBTs and other
changes, however, this is something that Damian will focus on
and as such, I pass the ball over to him. Thank you for your
attention.
COPE D: Thank you, Michal. I realized that our Q3 update is typically
more of a trading update only, but I would like to provide you
with a brief summary of our overall strategic progress in the last
three months. On the 31st of August this year, I set up OPAP’s
2020 vision and the eight strategic priorities on which we are
focusing in order to deliver that ambition.
In the short presentation, now available on our site, I provided
updates against each of these priorities. It’s fair to say that
over the eight strategic priorities, the last on our list entitled
building a healthy relationship with states and regulators is
probably the one that the majority of investors, shareholders
and analysts have been most focused on in recent months.
Taking a government to the international court of arbitration is
not a decision to be taken lightly by any organization and clearly
reflected a broken relationship. That is why we are pleased with
the recent approval by the Hellenic Gaming Commission on the
1st of November of a new framework agreement for VLTs. This
allowed our Board to decide to restart the project and to
significantly reduce the size of the arbitration claim. Although I
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believe that we still have a lot of work to do in this area, we are
certainly encouraged by the recent VLTs decision and in
particular by the more pragmatic tone in which our
conversations with the HGC are now taking place. We continue
to maintain an open and regular dialog and are looking forward
to further constructive communications.
As for the VLTs regulation itself, I believe that this new
framework secures public interest in revenues, contributes to
the process of tackling illegal gaming activity, provide a strong
responsible gaming policies while also allowing for the economic
viability of this new business activity.
In relation to policies around player protection, the regulation
remains by international standards amongst one of the strictest,
as it requires the issuance by OPAP of a player card with full
player’s identification without which playing VLTs is simply not
possible. Moreover, a new feature was imposed, whereby
players are being permanently and clearly informed on their
screen of the total time and money spent. Around the world
such measures have only been adopted by a handful of other
countries.
Now, that the regulation has been approved by our team led by
Vaios Karantinos, is very much focused on the prompt
implementation and deployment of the machines. This involves
the rollout of 16,500 VLTs within the next 18 months, or more
specifically the deadline set by the Hellenic Gaming Commission
regulation of the 1st of May, 2018.
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Originally, OPAPs plans were focused very much on deploying
these machines across the network of gaming halls, each of
which are allowed to have a maximum of 25 machines.
However, we have since decided that we will also deploy VLTs
across a large number of shops in our network of OPAP stores
with a maximum of 3 VLTs allowed in each shop. The latter is
clearly similar to the successful UK model where there are
maximum of 4 FOBTs allowed in each license betting shop.
The overall deployment of legally license VLTs is a brand new
development for both OPAP and the Greek market, so we will be
analyzing our performance carefully as we go along, and we will
be fine tuning our rollout strategy based on our learnings.
We are currently finalizing the rollout plans, and so we do not
yet have a confirm split or ratio of machines to be spread
between gaming halls and OPAP stores, but we will be able to
share this with you, when we will announce our full year 2016
results in March.
In terms of timing as you know, we have around 90 gaming
halls that are close to being ready, and already we hold in our
warehouses almost 9,000 machines. We are now in the process
of concluding our mapping, securing new premises and taking
all of the other steps necessary to execute the rollout as
smoothly as possible. For the OPAP stores, we are
identifying the optimum rollout timetable and this will exist in
parallel to our gaming hall rollout, also we will, of course,
maximize any synergies of these similar streams of work.
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There is no question that this deployment is one of the largest
projects in Greece, and as such will command a significant
amount of our management time in 2017. Nonetheless, we are
naturally excited to be finally entering the implementation phase
of this investment, and expect the first pilot locations to go live
in January 2017, with the full rollout timetable to commence by
the end of Q1, 2017. Thereafter, we expect to relatively
straight line deployment rate into Q1/Q2, 2018.
I would also like to briefly touch on our progress in a few other
key areas. Starting with our retail network, under the
leadership of Jan Karas, we’ve made good progress across each
of the three areas of focus; our shops, our products, our
services, and our people.
We are now finalizing our plans for 2017 which will include the
necessary upgrade, of much of our shop technology
infrastructure, for example, as new routers, cables and better
connectivity in order to enable the arrival of VLTs and other
products and services.
We are also in the final stage of the planning with our partners
for the rollouts of self-service betting devices across our
network. This would transform our current sports-betting offer
and provide a much more engaging experience for our
customers. Exact numbers of terminals and a better idea of
phasing will be shared with you once that vendor agreement has
been concluded, and we will certainly be able to provide much
more detail at our full year results in March 2017.
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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My comments to the people, our people in our network, my
team and I have spent considerable time meeting many of our
hardworking agents across Greece and also in discussions with
POEPPP, the union that represents our agents.
Like all small businesses in Greece, our agents are facing tough
times, and OPAP remains focused on providing them with the
best chance of success. This success will come from an
improved relationship between OPAP and our agent, which
ensures our interests are fully aligned. This new relationship
will provide for a more modern dynamic and customer centered
operation which will support and reward by the dedication and
entrepreneurial effort of our agents. We expect to make
progress in the business relationship between OPAP and the
agents in the next few months, and again, I expect to be able to
provide more details of this in March.
Turning to technology, I said back in August, I wanted to
transform the role of technology within the Group, and we
remain very much on track to do so. Our RFI process to identify
the right long term technology solutions and partners is coming
to an end, and we expect to finalize our decisions before the end
of the year. This will provide modern, best-in-class solutions for
all of our existing activities, plus provide the foundation for
future multi-channel or Omni-channel strategies.
With the rollouts of VLTs, SSBTs and key platform upgrades, our
new CTO, Michele Fusella and his team have a busy couple of
years ahead, but we are confident in our ability to deliver this
change between now and the end of 2018 which will provide the
foundation for much of our future growth.
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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Our digital revenues remain at disappointing small part of our
overall operation, and offer still much less competitive than we
would like. As stated in August, we will be transforming our
digital sports by no later than the end of 2107, well ahead of the
busy summer of 2018, which includes the Football World Cup in
Russia. Plans are underway and again we will be able to provide
further details in March.
As for the online licensing regime, we are encouraged to see the
HGC had a significant number of names to the list of blacklisted
websites in the last few months. OPAPs position remains clear,
we have exclusive rights, and as I have stated previously, we
will take any steps we believe to be necessary to protect our
Company and our stakeholders.
On our desire to create a world class portfolio of products and
services we’ve made good progress in addition to the obvious
news of VLTs and our advance planning on SSBTs. In
September, we also announced our agreement with Inspired
Gaming, the leading provider of virtual sports betting to launch
their products across both our shop network and online.
Integration work has already started and we expect the service
to go live across our network of shops, no later than Q2, 2017.
Based on the experience of other markets, notably Italy and the
UK, we expect the introduction of virtual products to contribute
to overall GGR growth in our shops net of any substitution, but
we will not be providing any specific guidance at this stage.
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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Finally, I just like to touch on the Group’s important CSR
activities. Although OPAP before privatization had historically
contributed significant amount for various causes, OPAP is
clearly now a private company and as such we have discussion
over the CSR activities we choose to undertake. 10 days ago
Greece enjoyed the 35th running of Athens Marathon Run on the
original route from Marathon to Athens and this year the total
number of participants across all of the races was over 50,000.
As the official sponsor, we were keen to leverage the huge
awareness of the event and direct this towards one of our major
CSR initiatives, the renovation of the two largest children
hospitals in Greece. By virtue of a comprehensive and truly
innovative digital and social media effort, we created the
engagement of over 200,000 people, and thanks to this network
our ambassadors, partners and other third-parties together with
our people, we successfully raised €3.3 million, which we will
investing in the further renovation of the hospitals. By any
measure, this was a truly impressive achievement and is
testament to the importance we put on our strategic priority of
committing to our communities.
In summary, I believe that we have made good progress with a
number of our key strategic priorities. However, we are
entering a very busy period of change in 2017, and so, we will
be ensuring that we keep our focus very much on day-to-day
operations while successfully delivering the various programs of
work.
I look forward to being able to provide you with more detail
across a number of areas in March next year. With that, I am
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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concluding our opening comments and we are now ready to
address any questions you may have. Thank you for your
patience and your attention.
Q&A
OPERATOR: The first question comes in line of Mr. Draziotis Stamatis of
Eurobank Equities. Please go ahead.
DRAZIOTIS S: Yes, hi there and thank you in advance for taking my questions.
You actually addressed several things with your presentation.
Two main things, I would like to ask if I may please. The first
one has to do with CAPEX, you kind of alluded to higher CAPEX
in the future. Could you please provide some granularity as to
the plans CAPEX spending for 2017 and whether…and…this will
relate to i.e., you know, have you…do you have anything more
concrete you can share with us regarding, for example, the self
service betting terminals? And the second question would be on
cash management. Could you maybe elaborate a bit on this 80
million amount referred to as loan granted to third parties.
What is this instrument and what will be the benefit be or has
been in terms of the income earned.
HOUST M: Thank you for your questions, it is Michal, I am taking this
question because it is financially related.
DRAZIOTIS S: Yes.
HOUST M: So with regard to the CAPEX, unfortunately we cannot be too
much specific because we are now in the phases of the
business…preparing of the business fund for the, let’s say period
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of the next year, and but as well for the period of covering the
whole strategy 2020. But what we can say is that definitely you
could see in the last year there was not so much CAPEX because
we were waiting for the VLTs and we were rather chasing a
court verdict then in the business there, so we were not able to
invest into the projects and now this is changing.
So with regards to the main CAPEX is that it’s ahead of us, we
need to prepare the infrastructure of the shops, improve the
connectivity of the shops, to accept basically all these new
features and products that we plan to launch. Now, it would be
definitely CAPEX in basically across the whole network, and it is
about few of thousands euros per shops, and it would somehow
staged within the next two years. The other major CAPEX would
be, as you mentioned SSBTs deployment, and there we
definitely would go with some, again few thousand machines to
deploy in stages into our shops across…within 2017 and 2018.
And you could probably know that the cost of one machine could
vary between €2000 to €4000, so it would be again significant
investment.
Then the last…the last not least is VLTs, in which basically we
restart the whole project and as Damian said, we need…we
basically refer a bit the deployment model, so we would deploy
not only in the gaming halls, but in the majority of the shops.
This investment and rollout would be again staged within the
next two years. And again, you are talking about few thousands
euros per shop of investment into the project. So I think you
could somehow sum it up to the numbers which would be tens
of millions euros, like.. may be many tens of millions euros in
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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the next two years. But we don’t have a specific number here.
Is it clear?
DRAZIOTIS S: Yes. Can I follow-up a bit on the last point with regard to the
CAPEX required for the VLT deployment in the shops, so you are
talking about the necessary refurbishment in the shops, which
you intend to cover so that these can be adjusted, so that there
is enough space for VLTs?
HOUST M: This investment will be probably born by the agents, but what
we are talking about is the IT technology that need to…
DRAZIOTIS S: The technology okay, okay. That’s clear, okay, thanks.
HOUST M: Yes, so the other question was about a fixed investment, so it
was the short-term instrument for a limited period of time of,
let’s say, four months and it borne better the interest of around
8%, so it was a good investment from our side.
DRAZIOTIS S: That’s great, so a very short last question regarding VLTs. The
subcontracted machines actually, is there a plan as to when you
will proceed with an RFI for these machines.
HOUST M: This question, I will handover to Damian.
COPE D: Are you talking about the sub-concessions?
DRAZIOTIS S: Yes, yes exactly.
COPE D: Yes, I think you are aware under our license we are obliged to
launch. This is a tender, and we are now in the process of
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preparing this, I mean, obviously, there is a quite a lot going on
around VLTs, but we know what our obligations are, and so that
process has started.
DRAZIOTIS S: Sure, and last follow-up. Is it…I mean, should we expect like,
you know, the deployment of the subcontracted machines to
kick off, after you have finished with the entire rollout of your
own operative machines.
COPE D: I think we are expecting parallel, but it very much depends on
the timing of the tender prices itself, but we would expect it to
be around the same time.
DRAZIOTIS S: That’s very clear, thank you very much.
OPERATOR: The next question comes in line of Kourtesis Iakovos of Piraeus
Securities. Please go ahead.
KOURTESIS I: Good afternoon, my first question has to do with the VLTs. I
would like to know how many…what would be the exact number
of the VLTs that you plan to install by the end of 2017 out of the
16,500 that you are going to operate yourself. And taking into
account the fact that you are going to install a large part of
these or part of these machines to your agencies, how you are
going…what are the actions you are going to proceed to avoid
the potential cannibalization of KINO. If I remember correctly a
KINO bonus initiative was launched in late November of 2015,
so what are the actions…what are your plans related to this?
And second question has to do with, if you have any plans to
further leverage your balance sheet in 2017. And despite the
fact that, as far as I understand, you are going to have
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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increased CAPEX due to the investments you refer to, do you
have any possibility for additional capital returns in 2017.
Thank you.
COPE D: Thank you for your questions, its Damian here. I will take the
first one and then Michal can take the second one. On VLTs, I
can’t tell you the exact number at the end of 2017, because we
are still working on the plans. I mean, I am not hiding
anything, and what I try to give is as much guidance as possible
to say, we’ve got a deadline of the 1st of May 2018. We are
clearly not planning to be rolling out right up into that point, so
we will have some kind of safety zone, if you like, towards the
end of the period. We are doing a pilot in January and we will
start sort of the full run rate of the rollout from the end of
March. So, I think you can literally draw a straight line that will
give you a pretty good guess. I think the only thing you are
missing is the split between machines in shops and machines in
gaming halls. And again I am hiding anything, but there is a
number of moving parts there and we are still finalizing the
exact numbers.
Second related question on VLTs around KINO cannibalization. I
mean look, in every other market where VLTs have gone in
there has been a net growth in gross win GGR or whatever is
calculated. We expect the same. Yes, we think some of our
KINO customers will enjoy playing machines, we also think
some of our other customers, sports betting customers and
other products will also play machines. And so, overall net, net,
we expect that to be a significant positive contribution and there
is no specific rate that I would share with you now that we think
of in terms of KINO cannibalization.
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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HOUST M: And the second question with regards to the leverage, as you
pointed out, rightfully pointed out, there is this CAPEX needs,
you know, in the next two years. So basically, we are definitely
thinking that we would cover this CAPEX need by additional
leverage. And as we said, and as I would repeat, the rest and
the bulk of the free cash flow we would distribute to the
shareholders. We cannot now comment whether we would
basically increase the leverage significantly just to distribute, I
don’t have any clear plan like that. But definitely, we would
consider covering the CAPEX at least by the increased leverage.
KOURTESIS I: Thank you very much.
COPE D: Is that okay?
KOURTESIS I: Yes, thank you.
COPE D: Great. Thank you.
OPERATOR: The next question comes from the line of Lewis Vaughan with
Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
LEWIS V: Hi, I have just to two, one on SSBTs, have you selected the
supplier for those and if I understood that correctly, you expect
to rollout all of those by the end of 2017 as well as most of
VLTs. Is that correct? And should that product give a sort of
significance boost to the range of things that you can bet on in
STIHIMA. And then a second one on the negotiations with the
agents; is the discussion now over changing the basis of
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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commissions to a GGR basis or is it something else now?
Thanks.
COPE D: Thanks Vaughn for both of those. I will take them. So SSBTs,
yes, we are still in negotiations with the vendors. So we can’t
share any details of that, but we are a long way down the road.
And in terms of rollout, I think I said on the last call that we
were really looking at the mix of if you like traditional standup
terminals and what I described is compact terminals or tabletop
or laptop terminals. There are no other operators that we have
found anywhere in Europe who have a significant mix of those
because tabletops are relatively new. We think that it will be
particularly popular here but we are still doing some work to
assess what ratio of traditional terminals and tabletops we will
be rolling out. And we are talking to our likely provider about
that.
In terms of the timing of the rollout, I think we see it being a
very positive improvement to our sports betting offer generally,
particularly on live betting but even on pre-game as well. The
bulk of our sports betting, as you are aware, in Greece is
football. And if you look at other markets particularly the UK,
but other countries as well, sports betting terminals drive higher
bets, higher lines, but multiple and higher margins and you
know, significantly more attractive for customers than OTC
activity. And I think that will be the same here.
Whether we will do the whole of the network by the end of
2017, I think that is unlikely. We clearly have a 2018 World
Cup as a target. So, I would like to see that in a large
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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proportion, if not all of the network, had some kind of self
service devices by that time.
On agents, yes, to be honest, there is a long list of things that
we are talking to the agents about, commission is definitely one.
As you know, based on commission as a percentage of turnover
restricts our ability to be a bit more competitive and flexible on
our products, particularly sports betting. But there are a
number of other issues. We’ve got a long list, some are more
contentious than others, but we are very hopeful that we will
get a change in that relationship in the next couple of months
that will be good for OPAP, but also good for the agents.
LEWIS V: Great. Thank you.
COPE D: Is that okay.
LEWIS V: Yes, thank you.
COPE D: Thank you.
OPERATOR: The next question comes from line of Petrova Victoria with
Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.
PETROVA V: Thank you very much and congratulations on VLT agreement.
Just for understanding, could you please explain, do you look at
the VLT machines operating on these VLT halls and VLT
machines operating through agents, those two, three machines.
Would they have different economics, how should we look at it?
Is there any profile in difference, so should it be the same
machine sort of performing the same at the similar commission,
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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what is the difference and why have you made this decision
because that is something you were not considering initially in
the VLT project before.
COPE D: Thank you, Victoria. Thank you for the congratulations, it’s a
long way to go yet. So, you can say the congratulations maybe
for 1st of May, 2018 assuming that we roll out all of our
machines successfully by that date. But, I appreciate the
sentiment nonetheless.
Look, I think there is a…the gaming hall model was certainly the
established view for a long period of time. And I guess it
became apparent partly because we were spending more time
talking to our agents and listening to their requirements. But
again, also myself and others looking at the UK market and
other markets where there is a successful combination of VLTs
with other gaming products. So, we see there are probably
going to be different customer types, some that go to a shop
where they can play maybe multiple products and others that
want to go a gaming hall where with up to 25 machines from a
number of different vendors, it’s more of a broad, but more
focused gaming experience. We think there is good business
opportunities for both the machine mix, the product mix, it’s
something that we are obviously looking at very closely and
again, it’s very much part of our planning, like I said, it’s driven
by very different customer profiles.
In terms of the business model, again, I think that you will
aware it is a significant difference between an agent who
wanted to have OPAP shop license and someone who wants to
be a partner with a gaming hall, so it’s a completely different
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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kind of economic model for them. For us, we think there are
good business opportunities for OPAP at both models. So, we
will be looking for partners for gaming halls and we are also
already in discussions with the number of agents who are keen
to have up to three and most of them would like three VLTs in
their own stores.
PETROVA V: Thank you very much.
COPE D: Thank you.
PETROVA V: It’s very clear.
OPERATOR: We have a follow up question from Mr. Draziotis Stamatis of
Eurobank Equities. Please go ahead.
DRAZIOTIS S: Yes, hi again, just a quick follow-up on this…on the VLTs and the
rollout in the current agent outlet. Just wondering what portion
of the outlets would you say are qualified basically to be
considered for this project given you know, the space
requirements?
COPE D: That’s exactly the kind of question that we are asking ourselves
right now. We’ve got a long way down the road in terms of
looking at the size of the store, the economic opportunity that
we think the store provides for gaming, the quality of the agent,
the desire of the agent. There is a number of different factors,
and you know, if we were having this call in a month time, I
would be able to give you probably a lot more information.
Because as you can probably appreciate although we were
ready…and have been ready for some time for the rollout of
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VLTs, we’ve only had I think just over three weeks since it was
formerly approved. So we are still very much in planning mode,
and I hope you understand that.
DRAZIOTIS S: That’s very clear. Thank you very much.
OPERATOR: We have a follow-up question from Mr. Kourtesis Iakovos of
Piraeus Securities. Please go ahead.
KOURTESIS I: Yes, I would like to ask about the online. That as far as I
understand, you mentioned that from your side you have
monopoly rights on the online gaming. So assuming that, let’s
say, in 2017 the Greek Gaming Committee would proceed with
the issue of more licenses to additional providers, would you
seek to be compensated, if I could say in other way, sort of,
what would be your reaction paging…. especially your reaction
on the VLTs case, if you could clarify, please?
COPE D: Okay, I am not sure how much clarification is needed. So I first
of all, thank you for the question. But I mean, I think I’ve been
pretty clear and I think the Company has been pretty clear for a
number of years now. We are very clear on our position that we
have exclusive rights, and we’ve consistently said we will take
any steps necessary. I don’t think it’s right to speculate now on
what may or may not happen next year, and how our Board
may or may not choose to react, but I am suffice to say that we
are pretty clear in our opinion and that position hasn’t changed
for some time now.
KOURTESIS I: Thank you very much.
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OPERATOR: The next question comes from Clark Michael with Citibank.
Please go ahead.
CLARK M: Hi, good afternoon. Apologies, if these questions were already
been asked. I'm coming late to the call. I just want to know
about how many gaming halls do you have ready to go from day
one, and how many are in the pipeline, that’s my first question.
And also just did you make any comment on the subcontracting
of the additional VLT machines, and if you are done with the
first 16,500? Thank you.
COPE D: Thank you. Better late than never, don’t worry. So we have
about 90 gaming halls that are…if you like almost ready. They
need to be sort of made ready properly to be open to the public.
But certainly in terms of the construction and everything
related…they are ready. And we are again starting the work to
assess exactly how many more gaming halls we hope to have by
the end of the 18 month period. Again, I have mentioned on a
couple of calls now that we are still finalizing what the ratio will
be between gaming halls and shops, in terms of the allocation of
our machines. Sorry, what’s the second question again? I
missed that.
CLARK M: About the subcontracting the…
COPE D: Yes, again I did pick up that up on an earlier question. Just to
say, we are obliged under our license to launch, this is a tender
process, and we are in the process of preparing this now.
CLARK M: Great. Thank you.
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OPERATOR: We have a follow-up question from Lewis Vaughan with Morgan
Stanley. Please go ahead.
LEWIS V: Hi, I have a couple of follow-ups on VLTs again, please. Do you
have any idea what the net win per day is for the black market
machines that are currently operating, please? And then,
secondly just on the accounting, just the full depreciation
amount on the €560 million license kick in straight away when
you kick off the process or is it phased in with the rollout of the
machines? Thanks.
HOUST M: Yes. Thank you. With regards to the illegal markets, you could
imagine we are not in the position of some great that are
moving markets but sort of what we know, from what we know
and from some indications that it could vary between €50 to
€70, €80, it depends really on the shop.
The second question with regard to the depreciation, we have
agreed with our auditors already that the depreciation would not
be the straight line. So it would be the line, which would reflect
the deployment and the economic, let’s say, economic ramp up
of the business. So the depreciation wouldn’t be straight line.
So it should accommodate the business evolution.
LEWIS V: Got it. Thank you.
OPERATOR: The next question comes from the line of O’Neill Kevin from
ICBC Standard Bank. Please go ahead.
O’NEILL K: Great. Thank you. I just had one question in relation to CAPEX,
you mentioned that you might fund the additional CAPEX
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required to rollout the VLT programs in 2017 through additional
leverage. I was just wondering, if you could paint the picture of
what that would look like and had leverage might be layered in
as you roll it out through the beginning of 2018?
HOUST M: Pardon, I think we didn’t fully get the question, what about
2018 or…?
O’NEILL K: Sure. Sorry, let me restate it. You mentioned the additional
CAPEX required for the rollout of the VLT could be funded by the
Company taking on additional leverage. My question is how
much more leverage do you think will be required to fund the
CAPEX spend?
HOUST M: We will definitely try to cover the majority of the CAPEX, if not
all. And about the phasing, I cannot be specific, because I don’t
know, because it depends on the instrument that we would use
for funding. For instance, if you go with some banking
financing, we could have some loan line, let’s say, the debt line
that would allow us to fully reflect the staging of the CAPEX. If
we go for instance the fixed income bond instrument, there is
not this flexibility, and I cannot be more specific because I don’t
know yet, yes.
O’NEILL K: Understood and what is the amount of that additional CAPEX?
HOUST M: I think we answered this question in the beginning of this call.
So it’s not 100% clear, because we are working on the final
business plan, but I gave the indications, let’s say, per CAPEX
category in the beginning. So I think you would need to spend
a bit more time on calculating that, but we cannot be specific
OPAP Nine Month 2016 Financial Results Conference Call
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because we don’t know either…. fully, we don’t know full
information yet.
OPERATOR: Excuse me; there are no more questions registered at this time.
You may now proceed with your closing statements.
COPE D: Okay everybody. Thank you very much for your time. I hope,
we’ve answered your questions. But if not you know where to
find us and look forward to talking to you on the New Year.
Thank you.