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A strategic market outlook for global steel oCTG, line pipe, mechanical and structural tube and pipe
17 - 18 May 2010Ceylan Inter-Continental, Istanbul
key ToPICS To Be dISCuSSed, INClude: OCTGmarketsasglobaleconomiesrecover SurveyingChinesedemandandsupplyoverthenext12months Thechallengesandbenefitsofverticalintegrationacrossslab,plateandpipemills GlobalHSSandstructuralmarkets:Wherearethesignsforoptimismfor
structuralproductsproducers? Mechanicalandprecisionpipe:areturnofdemandintheautomotivesector? Majoropportunitiesinlargediameterlinepipe Recentdevelopmentsinhigh-endHfIpipes
key SPeAkeRS INClude:
Prof. dr William H. Q. Zhang, VicePresidentofStrategicPlanningandBusiness
Development,WSP Holdings,China
Antonio Marcegaglia,ChiefExecutiveOfficer,Marcegaglia, Italy
Francois Michalet, Director,eSTA,france
oliver ellermann, GeneralDirector,BdS - Bundesverband deutscher Stahlhandel, Germany
Vijesh Chawla, AssociateVicePresidentMarketing,Jindal Saw ltd, India
Costas danilatos, CommercialManager,Corinth Pipeworks, Greece
Pete kelly, SeniorDirector,Europe,J.d. Power Automotive Forecasting, UK
dr. Bhaskar dutta,CEO,Al Jazeera Steel Products Co., SAoG, SultanateofOman
duncan Pell, CommercialDirector,Interpipe, Ukraine
James ley, SeniorAnalyst,Hatch Iron & Steel Consulting, UK
Gnter luxenburger, DirectorSales&Marketing,dillinger Hutte, Germany
Steel Tube&PipeCOnfEREnCE
OVER 200 dELEGATES ATTENdEd IN 2009
OfficialPublication
Mediapartners
Sponsor
5th
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day one: Monday, May 17th08:15 Registration desk opens
09:05 Welcoming remarksBorusan Mannesmann Boru, Turkey
Session 1: Market overview as the world emerges from recession
09:15 outlook for market in 2010: Reasons for optimism? Currentmarkettrends Dumpingorlegitimatecompetition:thethreatofChina MiddleEastOCTGandconstructionmarkets Improvingautomotiveoutlook Whatarethechallengestobewaryofaswelookto
improvingmarketconditions?Antonio Marcegaglia, ChiefExecutiveOfficer,Marcegaglia, Italy
09:45 What now for the future of european tube and pipe production? HowhastherecessionhitEuropeanweldedand
seamlessmills? Whatsectorshavebeenparticularlyhardhit? Thenewsteellandscape:HaveEuropeanmanufacturerslost
groundtoemergingmarketrivals?Francois Michalet, Director,eSTA, france
10:15 How has the downturn affected distribution? Whatissueshavebeencreatedpost-downturn? CompetitionforoutsidetheEU HowcanEuropeandistributorsremaincompetitivein
majormarkets? Outlookforthenext12monthsoliver ellermann, GeneralDirector,BdS - Bundesverband deutscher Stahlhandel, Germany
10:45 Surveying Chinese demand and supply over the next 12 months Chinesetubulargoods:priceofcoilvs.priceoftubeandpipe Chineseseamlessexportpricing HowareAmericanandEuropeanprotectionistmovesviewed
byChineseproducers?Prof. dr William H. Q. Zhang, VicePresidentofStrategicPlanningandBusinessDevelopment,WSP Holdings,China
11:15 Morning refreshments and networking break
Session 2: oCTG markets
12:00 oCTG markets post-downturn Howhavemediumandlong-termdemandforandsupplyof
seamlessandweldedOCTGbeenaffectedbytheglobalrecession? CanChinacontinuetobethemotorofglobalsteelmarkets? WhataretheconsequencesoftheslumpinRussiandemand? Demandforhigh-gradeOCTGovernext10years LookingtoIranandIraq:challengesandpotentialbenefitsof
thesehugemarkets Advancementinpremiumconnectionsandcouplings
technology Theincreasedimportanceofcorrosion-resistantalloys End-userviewsofthecurrentmarketplace Q&Aduncan Pell, CommercialDirector,Interpipe,Ukraineoliver Stephenson, LeadMarketAnalyst,odS-Petrodata,Singapore
13:00 Networking lunch
Session 3: Welded and large diameter line pipe
14:30 large diameter line pipe market overview Effectsofthedownturnonsupplyanddemand Currentandfuturetradeflows DevelopingmarketsofpromiseJames ley, SeniorAnalyst,Hatch Iron & Steel Consulting,UK
15:00 Recent developments in high-end HFI pipes for critical line pipe applications ThechallengingoffshoreandonshoreHfIlinepipeprojects RecentadvancementsonHfIpipeproductionlimits(26OD
and25mmWT) Advancedcontrolstrategytomeetstrictqualityspecification
requirementsAthanasios Tazedakis, HfIMillDirector,Corinth Pipeworks, GreeceCostas danilatos, CommercialManager,Corinth Pipeworks, Greece
15:30 How will lSAW-pipe market emerge from the downturn? LSAW-pipemarket Linepipeplatemarket Actualsituationvs.expectationsGnter luxenburger, DirectorSales&Marketing,dillinger Hutte,Germany
16:00 Afternoon refreshments and networking break
Session 4: Welded and large diameter line pipe continued
16:30 developing large diameter line pipe production capacity in the Middle east and Asia CurrentregionalLSAWcapacity newmarketsandgrowingopportunitiesintheregion:Iran
andIraqVijesh Chawla, AssociateVicePresidentMarketing,Jindal Saw ltd, India
17:00 Panel discussion: Major opportunities in large diameter line pipe Overviewofmajorplannedprojects Tradersperspectiveonthemarketandtradeflows newproposedprojectsthroughTurkey:nabaco,nordStream
andSouthStream Strategiesforcompetingformega-projectsCostas danilatos, CommercialManager,Corinth Pipeworks, GreeceSeniorrepresentative, Borusan Mannesmann Boru,TurkeyGnter luxenburger, DirectorSales&Marketing,dillinger Hutte, GermanyVijesh Chawla, AssociateVicePresidentMarketing,Jindal Saw ltd, IndiaJames ley, SeniorAnalyst,Hatch Iron & Steel Consulting, UK(moderator)
18:00 Chairpersons closing remarks and end of day one
19:00 Complimentary Bosphorus Cruise
Note: This programme is provisional only and both timings and content may be subject to change. Metal Bulletin, part of Euromoney Institutional Investor PLC group.
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Take a FREE 2 WEEK TRIAL to the latest independent Tube and Pipe analysis and price forecasts atwww.metalbulletinresearch.com/MBRtrial
Seamless Steel Tube and Pipe Market TrackerAnalysis of seamless global tube and pipe markets
Issue 53February 201017 February 2010www.metalbulletinresearch.com
ContentsNorth America 3Europe, Middle East and Africa 6Asia 9Energy Markets 11Seamless Capacity Developments 12
l Outlook improves in the USA: page 3l European demand still in a rut: page 6l Chinese mills unable to raise prices: page 9
Anti-dumping measures have prepared the way for recovery in US pipe prices
l The road to recovery is proving to be a long one for seamless pipe markets. End-use demand indicators have not improved much in most regions, and were it not for the fact that anti-dumping measures have been widely adopted, MBR believes that Chinese exports would have driven prices down below where they are today. l Ironically, the best prospects for an improvement in seamless pricing and end-use demand is in the USA, the market that was holding probably the largest excess stocks of OCTG when the economic crisis broke in late 2008. Anti-dumping action aimed at Chinese producers has drastically cut the amount of Chinese material that has found its way into the US market. Meanwhile, the onshore drilling of shale gas fieldswhich tends to be pipe intensivehas picked up more strongly than was expected six months ago. OCTG stocks have been run down, and provided that energy prices remain firm, which we believe they will, US pipe mills are in a good position to start increasing their capacity utilisation rates and raising their prices. MBR believes that there could be as much as a $250/tonne increase in US OCTG prices within the next six months. The rate of price increases for European mills will be slowerdemand fundamentals are simply not firming as fast as in the USA.
Source: Metal Bulletin Research
Global seamless tube and pipe prices forecast The North American seamless pipe market is still fragile, but the outlook is more positive
than in other regions
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US OCTG API J55 - casingUS API 5L B
W.Europe Linepipe API 5L BChina OCTG API J55 - casing
$/to
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Forecast
Welded Steel Tube and Pipe Market TrackerAnalysis of welded tube and pipe markets across the globe
Issue 72January 201021 January 2010www.metalbulletinresearch.com
ContentsMarket prices 2Americas 3Asia 6Europe and Middle East 9Stainless 12
Energy tubulars seeing gains, but demand from other end-use sectors still soft
l In the USA, HR coil list prices have increased about $120/ton in the past six weeks on the back of rising raw materials costs. In response, pipe and tube producers, which have seen tubular inventories decline to historically-low levels, are attempting to push through higher prices. Both welded OCTG and linepipe prices are now on the rebound and with demand coming back as well, we believe these higher prices will stick. We have been told that the overhang in OCTG supplies is finally winding down and the rumored holes in inventories are growing larger. MBR has been told that a portion of what is out there in inventories is more appropriate for the scrap yards. While energy tubular prices have been displaying strength, HSS and standard pipe destined for construction applications will struggle to even maintain margins in the short term.
l Chinese tubular producers are already feeling a margin squeeze as coil prices rise at a faster rate than tube and pipe prices. Producers have been reluctant to pass on their increased costs owing to poor demand, even for export, but the situation leaves them not choice. Average increases for tube and pipe export prices are in the neighborhood of $30/tonne this month, but we expect to see further hikes in coming weeks. Prudent output control in Japan will likely see Japanese export prices rise with confidence over the next two months.
l Rising rig counts/falling stocks boost US prices: page 3l Supply controls in Japan will support H1 prices: page 6l Support for coil prices will push up EU tube in Q1: page 9
Global historic large-diameter longitudinal DSAW pipe prices (grade API 5L X65) Production discipline in ERW linepipe is expected to help support pricing this year
Source: Metal Bulletin Research
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European ERW linepipe (API 5L X42)
US ERW linepipe (X42)
Japanese ERW linepipe (X42)
Forecast
Titles include Seamless Steel Tube and Pipe Market Tracker
Welded Steel Tube and Pipe Market Tracker
Five Year Outlook for the Global OCTG Market
Five Year Outlook for the Large-diameter Linepipe Market
Online Tube and Pipe IntelligenceForecasts Analysis Price Movements Breaking Views Production & consumption data 60 day archive
day Two: Tuesday, May 18th08:45 Morning refreshments
09:20 Chairpersons opening remarksJames ley, SeniorAnalyst,Hatch Iron & Steel Consulting, UK
Session 5: Automotive, construction & mechanical sectors
09:30 A return of demand in the automotive sector? Signsforoptimisminglobalautomotive Automotivecarbonandstainlesssteeltube Willemergingmarketmanufacturersbemoreprominentin
thesectorpost-recession?Pete kelly, SeniorDirector,Europe,J.d. Power Automotive Forecasting, UK
10:00 Mechanical and precision pipe Howencouragingsignsinglobalautomotivetranslatesinto
goodnewsforprecisionpipeproducers Dodevelopedcountryproducersstillhaveacompetitive
advantageintheprecisionsector?
10:30 Global HSS and structural markets: Where are the signs for optimism for structural products producers? Producerssurvivalstrategiesduringrecession EUhollowconstructionmarkets Therealityofdemand:howhasthedownturnreallyaffected
steeldemandforconstructionintheGCCandnorthAfrica Wherearetheglobalconstructionmarket-driven
opportunitiesnow?Seniorrepresentative,Borusan Mannesmann Boru, Turkey
11:00 Morning refreshments and networking break
Session 6: eRW pipe, HRC and plate markets
11:30 eRW pipe production and market in GCC ProductioncapacityandmarketinGCC Historyanddevelopmentofsalesinthismarketandexports
outsideGCC APIgradeproductionandmarket Policyforsurvivaldr. Bhaskar dutta, CEO,Al Jazeera Steel Products Co., SAoG, SultanateofOman
12:00 The challenges and benefits of vertical integration across slab, plate and pipe mills Costcompetitivenessofbackwardsverticalintegration Casestudy:implementingthestrategy CurrentchallengesoffinancingM&Aandverticalintegration
12:30 HRC and Plate markets Developingplatemillcapability Themarketsforplateasweemergefromthedownturn Howcoilpricesareaffectingcostcompetivenessof
emergingmarkets
13:00 Chairpersons closing remarks and end of conference
13:35 Networking lunch
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ShowcaseyourcompanyattheSteelTubeandPipeConference.Sponsoringanelementoftheeventensuresyourcompanyfeaturesattheforefrontoftheconference.JoinusandillustrateyourcompanysexpertiseandcompetitiveedgetothekeydecisionmakersintheSteelTubeandPipeindustry.
Raiseyourcompanyprofilebefore,duringandaftertheeventusingouruniquesponsorshipoptions.Sponsorshipofferslongevityandpackagesaretailoredsothatyourcompanycangainexposurefromthetimeofinceptiontotheeventitself.Bytakingasponsorshipoptionattheevent,youwillhaveyourlogodisplayedonthemainconferencestageandcreateanopportunityforpotentialclientstocontactyoubyshowcasingyourcompanydetailsinthedelegatedocumentationandontheconferencewebsitewithahyperlinktoyourcorporatehomepage.
Wecancustomiseavarietyofoptionstosuityourbudget,objectivesandaspirations,examplesinclude: Welcome Reception networkandwelcomepotential
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TheSteelTubeandPipeexhibitionareaactsastheheartofthenetworkingactivityandprovidestheperfectopportunitytoshowcaseyourcompany,servicesandachievementswhilstestablishingbusinesscontactsandensuringyourclientsknowwheretofindyou.
ExhibitingattheSteelTubeandPipeConferenceisaninvestmentintoyourcompanysfuturesuccess;itwillprovideyouwiththeultimatetooltoachieveyourgoalsbydeliveringatargetedaudience.
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Tofindoutmoreaboutsponsorshiporexhibitionpackagestailoredtosuityourcompanysrequirements,contactdmitri Volodko on+44 (0) 20 7779 8439 [email protected]
FoRTHCoMING eVeNTSChina Iron ore Conference29 - 31 March 2010 - Beijing
16th International Iron ore Conference4 - 6 May 2010 - Prague
5th Asian Stainless Steel Conference31 May - 2 June 2010 - Tianjin
3rd North African Steel Conference8 - 10 June 2010 - Cairo
9th International Stainless and Special Steel Summit 7 - 9 September 2010 - Rome
For more information about those events please visit www.metalbulletin.com/events
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Reasons to attend:
Analysetheoutlookfornewprojectshowmanyplannedpipemillswillbecompleted?
KeepabreastofproducerstrategieswhatisthesupplyoutlookforOCTG,linepipe,hollowstructuralsections,andprecisionseamlessandprecisionweldedpipe?
UpdateontradefocuswhatistheoutlookforChineseandRussiantubeandpipeproduction,howmuchoversupplywilltherebeandwhichproductswillbemostaffected?
Understandtheramificationsofthecurrentmarketfortubeandpipedistributorswhatarethelatestdevelopmentsinendusermarkets?
MetalBulletinEventsispleasedtoannounceits5th Steel Tube and Pipe Conference.Withdetailedanalysisofthecarbonandstainlessweldedandseamlesstubeandpipemarket,theeventprovidesanexcellentannualforumforproducers,tradersandprocurementmanagersintheoil,gas,construction,automotiveandmechanicalengineeringmarkets.
Meetyourpurchasingandsalescounterparts,donewbusinessandbenefitfromthelatestmarketinformation.
It is an excellent platform for knowledge sharing
and networking. Apart from providing good
market insight, some of the presentations were
hugely informative specifically on technological
developments
Very useful to understand what is happening
worldwide in the OCTG market
Unique event for pipe manufacturers and technical
service providers to network and exchange views.
Very professional with excellent focused content
For more information and to register please visit www.metalbulletin.com/events/stp
Steel Tube & Pipe COnfEREnCE17 - 18 May 2010 Ceylan Inter-Continental, Istanbul
5th
Complimentary Bosphorus Cruise17th May 2010 Time: 19:00 - 20:30
AllconferencedelegateswillbeabletotakeacomplimentaryBosphorustourontheeveningof17May.
CapturetheexcitementoftheBosphorus,thebusywaterwaythatlinkstheBlackSeawiththeMediterraneanandthehistoricmeetingpointofEuropeandAsia.EncompassingIstanbulsbestlovedsights,thisBosphorussight-seeingcruisewillprovideinsightintothemanylayersofhistorythathavebuiltupalongtheriver.
EnjoythetimelesslymajesticandelegantdomeoftheHaghiaSophia,therococofaadeoftheDolambahcePalaceandtheelegantCirganPalace,oncehometoSultanAbdulazizandnowagrandhotel.PassbeneaththeBosphorusBridge,oneofthelargestsuspensionbridgesintheworld.
Watchthesunsetbehindthedomesandminaretsofthishistoriccity.
Thisisyourperfectopportunitytorelaxandescapethecityschaoticstreets.
31%CEO/Chairman/ManagingDirector/ExecutiveDirector/Director
25% GeneralManager/DepartmentalManager
32% SalesDirector/SalesManager/MarketingDirector/MarketingManager
4% Trader/Broker
8% Other
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5th Steel Tube & Pipe Conference Before 2 April Thereafter
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Steel Tube & Pipe COnfEREnCE17 - 18 May 2010 Ceylan Inter-Continental, Istanbul
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