confidential: for review only - bmj · 2019-02-27 · confidential: for review only 2 steady in...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
Universal antenatal screening for carriage of group B
Streptococcus (GBS): State of the evidence
Journal: BMJ
Manuscript ID BMJ.2018.045010
Article Type: Analysis
BMJ Journal: BMJ
Date Submitted by the Author: 10-May-2018
Complete List of Authors: Seedat, Farah; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School Geppert, Julia; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School Stinton, Chris; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School Patterson, Jacoby; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School Freeman, Karoline; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School
Johnson, Samantha; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School Fraser, Hannah; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School Brown, Colin; Public Health England Colindale, Bacteria Reference Department, National Infection Service Uthman, Olalekan; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School Tan, Bee; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School Robinson, Esther; Public Health England, Field Service, National Infection Service McCarthy, Noel; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School Clarke, Aileen; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School Marshall, John; UK National Screening Committee Visintin, Cristina; UK National Screening Committee
Mackie, Anne; UK National Screening Committee Taylor-Phillips, Sian; University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School
Keywords: Screening, Pregnancy, Policymaking, Evidence review, Infectious diseases, Fetal, maternal, and child health, Group B <i>Streptococcus</i>, <i>Streptococcus agalactiae</i>
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
![Page 2: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only1
Universal antenatal screening for carriage of group B Streptococcus (GBS): State of the evidence
Responses to editor and reviewer comments from previous version of manuscript
Comment Response
Editorial team
1 Lacks international perspective. What happens in other countries,
particularly those that have elected for screening.
Each section of the analysis piece was informed by referenced papers from
international literature with any focus on the UK contextualised by these
papers. In response to this comment, we have added the following (bold
text) in the introduction about different countries adopting screening and
risk-based prevention (pages 2 and 3) to increase international focus:
“In the Netherlands, the incidence of EOGBS has increased under
risk-based prevention from 0.11 to 0.19 per 1,000 live births
(p<0.001).13 By contrast, under risk-based prevention the incidence of
EOGBS in New Zealand has decreased from 0.5 to 0.26 per 1,000 live
births, from 0.4 to 0.3 per 1,000 live births in Sweden, and from 0.6 to
0.2 per 1,000 live births in Denmark (from 1995 to 2002).14-16
”
“Screening was first recommended in the US in 1996, when either risk-
based prevention or universal screening were recommended.17 This was
followed by a revision in 2002 recommending universal screening.18 19 The
incidence of EOGBS decreased in the US from 1.7 per 1,000 live births
to 0.6 in the 1990s, to 0.3 in 2004 after the introduction of universal
screening,20 21
and was most recently estimated at 0.22 in 2016.22 The
largest decline occurred when either risk-based or screening
prevention were recommended,21 making it unclear how much of the
decrease was a result of screening itself. After the US guidelines were
published, universal GBS screening guidelines were developed in many
countries,1 23
including Australia,24 Canada,
25-27 Belgium,
28 29 France,
30
Germany,31 32 Italy,
33 34 Spain,
35 and Switzerland.
36 After the introduction
of universal screening, the incidence of EOGBS was reported as
Page 1 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 3: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only2
steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births
from 2003 to 2008.37 The rate decreased from 1.1 to 0.7 per 1,000 live
births in Spain,38 but more than doubled in Alberta in Canada from
0.15 per 1,000 live births in 2003 to 0.34 in 2013.39”
2 Insufficient context about what happens in practice (e.g. what options are
available to people, women requesting private tests, the values and
priorities that inform decision making).
These issues were not the focus of our work although they are clearly of
vital importance in the interpretation of our work. We have referred to
them as follows on page 12 and stated that further work should be
undertaken in this area:
“There is also a lack of evidence about what currently happens in
practice. Little is known about the impact of private GBS carriage
testing or the values and priorities informing women’s decision-
making. Further work should be undertaken to understand this.”
3 We felt it did not spell out the relative weight of benefits and harms
clearly enough or in sufficient detail.
A major point of our analysis was to highlight that, internationally,
screening has been implemented without sufficient consideration of the
harms that may be a consequence of the overdiagnosis from screening for
GBS. The relative weight of benefits and harms of screening is
tremendously important but there is very little discussion of these issues in
the literature. Our analysis here is based on a systematic review of the
available literature, which shows that the harms are not yet fully
understood. However, to clarify the relative weight of the benefits and
harms, we have restructured the section on GBS screening into sub-
sections on the benefits of screening and the harms of screening (see pages
7 to 11) where we have expanded on the IAP harms, providing more
details on the findings of the systematic review.
Please also see the answer to the first reviewer 1 comment in the next line
of the table, which says: ‘in the section on the benefits and harms of
screening on page 7, we have stated that “in the absence of RCTs, it is
difficult to quantify the potential impact of adding universal screening to
risk-based practice.” while on page 11 we conclude that “The current
evidence on the benefits and harms of universal GBS screening is based
Page 2 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 4: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only3
mainly on observational studies that are small, subject to bias, and/or
have applicability concerns. Therefore, the balance of benefits and harms
from GBS screening and IAP cannot be quantified, especially as the long-
term impact of EOGBS and of IAP is poorly understood.”
Reviewer 1
General comments
1 Prenatal screening for GBS is an important topic affecting maternity and
neonatal practice and a substantial minority of pregnant women. It is
relevant to the BMJ readership as an analysis piece. However, to appeal to
and be understood by a general audience, the arguments need to
simplified, with less detailed quoting of figures and more clarity about the
strength of evidence.
We thank the reviewer for his/her positive comments. We agree that the
argument needs to be simplified and to do this we have restructured the
paper as mentioned above, whereby the section on universal screening is
split into the evidence on the benefits followed by the evidence of the
harms (pages 7 to 11).
We also agree that the strength of evidence is an important piece of this
analysis and we have discussed the strength of evidence in every section of
paper and the conclusion. For example, in the section on IAP on page 7,
we have mentioned that “Due to the high risk of bias identified in the
three included small randomised controlled trials (RCTs) which were
conducted more than 20 years ago, the authors concluded that there is
no valid information to inform clinical practice.76 Although IAP may
be effective in reducing EOGBS infections, the poor evidence base
makes it uncertain how effective it is.” Similarly, in the section on the
benefits and harms of screening on page 7, we have stated that “in the
absence of RCTs, it is difficult to quantify the potential impact of
adding universal screening to risk-based practice” while on page 11 we
conclude that “The current evidence on the benefits and harms of
universal GBS screening is based mainly on observational studies that
are small, subject to bias, and/or have applicability concerns.
Therefore, the balance of benefits and harms from GBS screening and
IAP cannot be quantified, especially as the long-term impact of
EOGBS and of IAP is poorly understood.” Finally, in the conclusion on
page 12 we state that “The harm from widespread IAP to thousands of
Page 3 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 5: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only4
pregnant women and their babies is unknown while the evidence on
the benefit from a screening programme is uncertain due to lower
quality studies with serious limitations. The long-term morbidity of
EOGBS is also largely unknown as is the impact of screening upon it.”
We have removed quoting of figures where possible. We feel that the
remaining figures (along with their limitations/strength of evidence) are
important to gauge the flow of people in the population in a screening
programme. These figures show the numbers/proportions of people who
suffer morbidity and mortality from EOGBS, the number of pregnant
women that need to be treated, and the number of babies who would be
saved by screening. These figures could help readers to understand the
magnitude of the potential overdiagnosis more readily and so have been
retained.
2 The conclusion about introduction of prenatal screening for GBS
colonisation, pending a better test for mothers who transmit to their baby,
is appropriately cautious but the reasoning, that we do not fully understand
the natural history of GBS to be able to screen and treat, is weak. The
volume of high quality research into GBS since the early 1980s, including
trials and before vs after studies, far exceeds the research base for many
infections in early childhood.
Our point here is that because we do not understand the natural history of
why some mothers transmit GBS and have a baby with EOGBS, while
others do not, we cannot better identify and treat only those mothers who
would be at highest risk of GBS. This lack of natural history information
means that with the current test there would be a substantial potential for
overdiagnosis and overtreatment; the harms of which are unknown. If we
had this information, overdiagnosis and overtreatment could be reduced.
We have clarified our statement on page 12 as follows (bold text):
“Selective maternal culture is not an accurate predictor of EOGBS disease
in neonates, and a lack of understanding about why some colonised
mothers have a neonate with EOGBS limits the ability to identify an
approach that reduces the rate of overdiagnosis. At present, if a GBS
screening programme is implemented, it would offer all term
pregnant women the antenatal GBS culture test, but over 99% of
screen-positive mothers (and their babies) would be overdiagnosed
and unnecessarily receive IAP, as they would not have a neonate with
Page 4 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 6: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only5
EOGBS even without intervention. The harm from widespread IAP to
thousands of pregnant women and their babies is unknown while the
evidence on the benefit from a screening programme is uncertain due
to lower quality studies with serious limitations.”
Specific comments
3 The introduction helpfully cites the criteria for assessing a screening
programme. The 4 concepts (1 prevalence and seriousness; 2 accurate test;
3 effective treatment; and 4 effective programme) are useful and could be
followed through in the assessment of evidence and conclusions. I suggest
deleting the more detailed sections in para 1 p 3, which has different
numbering and is unnecessary.
Thank you for this helpful comment. We have gone through and reworded
headings to make the links to the criteria more explicit and have
restructured the section on GBS screening into sub-sections on the benefits
of screening and the harms of screening to ensure that the readers can see
it is followed through to the conclusions.
We have also deleted the more detailed sections from paragraph 1 on page
3 and re-written the paragraph as follows:
“Here, we summarise the best available evidence on universal GBS
screening from two comprehensive evidence reviews undertaken for
the UK National Screening Committee (NSC) and have also included
key papers published since the conclusions of those reviews.43 44
The
reviews address UK NSC screening criteria, examining 1) the natural
history (asymptomatic stage to illness) and epidemiology (severity,
incidence) of EOGBS; 2) the accuracy of the GBS culture screening
test (is it able to separate women at high risk of having a neonate with
EOGBS from those at low risk?); 3) the effectiveness of IAP
treatment; and 4) whether a universal GBS screening programme
delivers more benefit than harm (at a reasonable cost).”
4 There should be more discussion of the context of EOGBS, which
accounts for around half of early onset bacteraemia. Risk-based treatment
addresses infection due to GBS and to some extent, depending on
spectrum of effect, other organisms. GBS screening might reduce needed
treatment in GBS negative women with risk factors at term. This argument
strengthens the authors’ focus on screening or not for low risk women at
term.
We have added more context about EOGBS in the introduction section as
well as more information on the current approach of risk-based prevention
in the UK on page 2 as follows (bold text):
“Group B Streptococcus (Streptococcus agalactiae, GBS) is a Gram-
positive bacterium that colonises the gastrointestinal and genitourinary
tract in approximately 30% of healthy adults.1-3 It usually causes no harm.1
However, GBS is the commonest cause of neonatal sepsis and
Page 5 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 7: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only6
meningitis in many developed countries.4 In the UK, GBS causes
invasive disease in the first six days of life (early onset GBS or
EOGBS) in around 1 of every 2,000 live births.55 Neonates with
EOGBS can develop sepsis, pneumonia, and meningitis, and around
5% to 10% of these babies can die as a result.5-7
To prevent EOGBS, a risk-based strategy has been recommended in
the UK since 2003.8-11
Pregnant women presenting with GBS risk
factors are offered intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis (IAP), usually
intravenous penicillin, during labour.8-11
The incidence of EOGBS has
increased over this period in the UK by around 0.09 per 1,000 live
births,5 6 however, as the strategy has been imperfectly implemented,
6
12 it is difficult to identify its impact. In the Netherlands, the incidence
of EOGBS has increased under risk-based prevention from 0.11 to
0.19 per 1,000 live births (p<0.001).13 By contrast, under risk-based
prevention the incidence of EOGBS in New Zealand has decreased
from 0.5 to 0.26 per 1,000 live births, from 0.4 to 0.3 per 1,000 live
births in Sweden, and from 0.6 to 0.2 per 1,000 live births in Denmark
(from 1995 to 2002).14-16
A criticism of the risk-based strategy is that risk factors are absent in
30% to 60% of pregnancies that result in EOGBS who would be
excluded from prophylactic prevention, although of course we have no
way of telling in advance who these cases are.”
In the epidemiology section on page 4, we have also added the long-term
morbidity of EOGBS:
“The long-term outcomes in EOGBS survivors are not well
researched. Neurological impairment at hospital discharge or last
paediatric review has been reported in up to 15.8% of EOGBS
survivors.55-57
GBS meningitis survivors have a higher risk of long-
term neurodevelopmental disability.56 58 59
”
Page 6 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 8: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only7
After careful consideration we do not think that introducing GBS
screening would reduce needed treatment in GBS negative women with
risk factors as the introduction of GBS screening would be in addition to
risk-based prevention as opposed to replacing it. Indeed, the modelling
project conducted by the UK National Screening Committee found that a
strategy of screening and risk-based prevention would not reduce needed
treatment.
5 The figure is helpful but number dense: proportionate symbols (using data
visualisation techniques) could be helpful and could bring more clarity
about the proportion at term who might benefit from screening.
We thank you for your suggestion. We have changed the figure and added
data visualisation tools to improve it. We have focused only the outcomes
of most interest and re-calculated the proportion of women at term that
might benefit. We have added a few sentences in the natural history and
test accuracy section:
Natural history section, page 5: “Figure 1 summarises the natural
history and epidemiology of GBS for a hypothetical cohort of term
pregnant women in 2000 (no prevention guideline) and 2014 (risk-
based prevention guideline). It is clear that EOGBS is an important
health problem, yet there is a poor understanding about the natural
history of GBS from maternal GBS colonisation to the long-term
outcomes of EOGBS.”
Test accuracy section, page 6: “Based on the UK surveillance data
shown in Figure 1, we estimate that the positive predictive value
(PPV) of antenatal culture predicting EOGBS may be around 2/1,000
(0.2%). The 2000-01 UK surveillance study shows that there were
around 205 term neonates affected by EOGBS per year in the UK at a
time with no national prevention guideline.7 There were 679,029
babies born in the UK in 2000,64 of whom approximately 573,448
reached full term (37 weeks onwards) and were not born by elective
caesarean section.65 If around 22% of women were colonised with
GBS,47 that would equate to approximately 126,159 GBS carriers at 35
to 37 weeks gestation. Therefore, if there was 100% test uptake and no
Page 7 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 9: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only8
change in GBS colonisation status from screening until labour, the
PPV of a screening test performed at 35 to 37 weeks for detecting
EOGBS in the neonate would be 0.16% (205/126,159). Performing the
same calculations using 2014 surveillance figures gives a PPV value of
0.25% (350/138,933),6 64 66
which would deliver an unacceptably high
level of false positive results.”
6 The authors could draw more on a previous, detailed cost effective
modelling study, albeit 10 years ago, which paid close attention to the
timing of screening and processing of culture results. The change in the
estimated proportion of women treated (increasing from 11% to
27%; http://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/335/7621/655.full.pdf see table 4)
is proportionately similar to the figures quoted on p9 para 1, though the
authors do not report the over proportion treated. The authors could also
reference that the estimated NNT from this study is consistent with the
figure of more than 99% of women being over treated (see table 55 p76,
strategy
99 file:///S:/ICH/PPP_CENB_CEBCHAdmin/RUTH%20ADMIN%20FO
LDER/Ruth's%20reviews/3001483fullhta%20gbs.pdf)
Thank you for this suggestion. We have added in the study on page 9 as
follows (bold text):
“An examination of the potential harms is a standard part of the
assessment of any screening proposal. Based on the estimated PPVs of
culture testing indicated above (0.2%), approximately 138,933 term
pregnant women per year would be eligible for IAP. Approximately 99.8%
(138,655 pregnant women and babies) would be overdiagnosed and
overtreated as they would have never had a neonate with EOGBS even
without IAP. This makes assessing the harms of treatment particularly
important. A cost-effectiveness model published in the UK also
estimated that adding screening to risk-based prevention would result
in 99.8% overtreatment (increasing antibiotic use in the pregnant
population from 11% to 27%).77”
7 The call for RCTs with mortality due to EOGBS as an outcome (p6
section 4) is unrealistic. Such trials would have to involve several
countries. Bacteraemia or sepsis are sufficiently serious outcomes and
should remain the focus of feasible clinical studies.
We agree that the focus of an RCT should be on bacteraemia and sepsis as
they are more feasible. However, for screening programmes, EOGBS
mortality it is an outcome of major importance. We have edited the
sentence on page 7 as follows (bold text) to reflect the feasibility
problems:
“There have been no RCTs assessing the effects of antenatal screening on
the reduction of morbidity, clinical outcomes, and mortality from EOGBS.
RCTs on the effects of screening on the clinical outcomes and
mortality from EOGBS would be challenging due to immense sample
size requirements.”
8 A minor, but important point is that the Cochrane trial estimate of We have added the estimate from the NIHR study on page 7 as follows
Page 8 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 10: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only9
treatment effectiveness for neonatal colonisation (given a colonised
mother) is contentious and highly susceptible to variation in the statistical
methods for handling zero cell sizes. The aforementioned NIHR cost
effectiveness study used an alternative Bayesian method and produced a
more extreme treatment
effect file:///S:/ICH/PPP_CENB_CEBCHAdmin/RUTH%20ADMIN%20
FOLDER/Ruth's%20reviews/3001483fullhta%20gbs.pdf table 33.
(bold text):
“Although IAP may be effective in reducing EOGBS infections, the poor
evidence base makes it uncertain how effective it is. Echoing the
uncertainty, a meta-analysis in 2007 using different statistical methods
produced a more extreme treatment effect of IAP, estimating a risk
reduction in EOGBS of 97%.77”
9 Recommendation 1 in box p 11, for a RCT of risk based versus culture
screening, is contentious and not sufficiently justified. The argument
made in this review focusses on uncertainty about screening versus no
treatment for term pregnancies without risk factors. However,
recommendation 1, does not restrict the trial question to this group. Why
not? Culture-based screening instead of risk based screening for preterm
and high risk groups could be harmful by delaying treatment for GBS and
other early onset causes of infection.
Please see answers to questions 10 and 11.
10 The authors should refer to the earlier ‘value of information’ study based
on the NIHR HTA cost effectiveness modelling study, which addressed
the same question about a trial
(file:///S:/ICH/PPP_CENB_CEBCHAdmin/RUTH%20ADMIN%20FOL
DER/Ruth's%20reviews/3001483fullhta%20gbs.pdf ). The NIHR study
concluded that investment in research into prenatal vaccination for GBS
was worthwhile, and if effective, vaccination combined with risk based
screening would be expected to be more cost effective than culture based
screening (negating the need for a trial) and would limit the proportion of
women treated to around 11% (see also
BMJ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1995477/).
We thank the reviewer for this suggestion and have included this in the
debate on page 11:
“In 2007, a cost-effectiveness model concluded that investments in
prenatal vaccination research should be prioritised over screening
research.77 However, interest has remained to evaluate the impact of
universal GBS screening. In 2017, the Health Technology Assessment
launched an expression of interest for a cluster randomised trial
assessing whether screening women for carriage of GBS in late
pregnancy reduces the occurrence of early-onset sepsis, whether the
benefits outweigh the harms, and whether it would be cost-effective.”
11 The authors have omitted to refer to the fact that the NIHR HTA
programme is currently commissioning a RCT on culture-based screening
versus risk based screening (https://www.nihr.ac.uk/funding-and-
support/funding-opportunities/1786-the-clinical-and-cost-effectiveness-of-
At the time that this paper was initially submitted to the BMJ, the call for
the RCT was not yet advertised. As suggested, we have removed the
recommendation from Box 1 and added a paragraph to discuss the NIHR
call and stimulate the discussion on this:
Page 9 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 11: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only10
screening-for-group-b-streptococcus-gbs-in-pregnancy/6627). This call is
surprising, given that the HTA commissioning board rejected such a
proposal based on the previous cost effectiveness analysis in 2007. What
has changed in the epidemiology of the condition or evidence for test
accuracy or treatment effectiveness to justify the very substantial costs of
such a large trial? Furthermore, the HTA recommends a cluster RCT,
which would not allow the detailed analysis of ‘who’ (i.e. risk groups) is
susceptible to mother to child transmission and disease, as raised by the
authors in this piece. One change since the HTA last decided on this
matter is progress in developing a vaccine. However, this would argue
against a RCT at this time. This analysis piece is not sufficiently up to
date and explicit about the scientific evidence, and other influences, on the
recommendation for a RCT. I suggest they delete this recommendation
and discuss the evidence to support (or not) the NIHR HTA call for a
RCT.
“In 2007, a cost-effectiveness model concluded that investments in
prenatal vaccination research should be prioritised over screening
research.77 However, interest has remained to evaluate the impact of
universal GBS screening. In 2017, the Health Technology Assessment
launched an expression of interest for a cluster randomised trial
assessing whether screening women for carriage of GBS in late
pregnancy reduces the occurrence of early-onset sepsis, whether the
benefits outweigh the harms, and whether it would be cost-effective.”
12 The authors could be clearer about whether there is a statistically
significant increase in the rate of EOGBS, and whether this is mirrored in
other countries, with and without screening. Point prevalence comparisons
are less relevant than comparisons of trends as maternal GBS colonisation
and the incidence of EOGBS is expected to vary between populations.
Thank you for this helpful comment. Yes, this was a statistically
significant increase, which we have added in on page 4 (bold text):
“This was statistically different to the earlier enhanced surveillance
conducted in 2000-01 (before national prevention guidelines), which found
a rate of 0.48 per 1,000 live births.7”
Minor comments
13 P3 line 26 – ‘thought to be passed’ – I think there is enough evidence to
indicate that this is how infection is transmitted to the neonate. Possibly
add ‘colonise vagina or rectum’.
Changed to “is passed” on page 3.
14 References 14 and 15 are not obtainable. Links should be given. Links added.
Reviewer 2
Summary
This article is based on a review commissioned by the UK National screening
committee (NSC), that evaluates the proposal that the UK should introduce a
universal screening programme to detect GBS carriage in late pregnancy. The
We thank the reviewer for his/her positive comments. We agree, although
screening may be effective (how effective we do not know), the
programme would generate substantial overtreatment from IAP, which
Page 10 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 12: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only11
review concludes that universal GBS screening does not meet the UK NSC
criteria for introducing a screening programme.
This is probably a reasonable argument but it should be acknowledged that it is
a difficult area, as even based on the authors’ conservative estimates,
introduction of a universal GBS screening programme and IAP (to replace ‘risk
based’ IAP) might potentially prevent ~212 additional EOGBS sepsis episodes
and 5-6 neonatal deaths per year. Given the morbidity and mortality potentially
averted by a universal screening approach, I think the authors need to be very
clear that the argument they are making is that the programme is not cost-
effective and/or that universal screening programmes and IAP have potential
unquantified harms (due to lack of RCT evidence) e.g. antibiotic
resistance/changes in neonatal gut flora etc. If the major emphasis is on
unintended harms of a screening programme, then more attention should be
given to describing recent studies quantifying known harms (at present, many of
the possible ‘harms’ are not referenced) e.g. disruption of neonatal flora (Azad
et al BJOG 2016). Most recent studies have not shown an impact of IAP on
antimicrobial resistance.
may have potential unquantified harms.
To make this argument clear, we have stated the following in the stand-
first on page 1:
“In this paper, Seedat and colleagues review the evidence
underpinning this decision, addressing key issues yet to be considered
before introducing a screening programme, including the possibility of
harm from the high levels of unnecessary treatment with antibiotic
prophylaxis due to a poor test and the uncertainty of screening
effectiveness.”
In the conclusion on page 12, we have acknowledged that this is a difficult
area and that screening should not be offered as there is a huge amount of
overtreatment and that IAP has potential unquantified harms, as follows
(bold text):
“Universal antenatal GBS culture screening is a complex area and a
poor evidence base means that, so far, it does not meet UK NSC criteria
needed to introduce screening programmes. Selective maternal culture is
not an accurate predictor of EOGBS disease in neonates, and a lack of
understanding about why some colonised mothers have a neonate with
EOGBS limits the ability to identify an approach that reduces the rate
of overdiagnosis. At present, if a GBS screening programme is
implemented, it would offer all term pregnant women the antenatal
GBS culture test, but over 99% of screen-positive mothers (and their
babies) would be overdiagnosed and unnecessarily receive IAP, as
they would not have a neonate with EOGBS even without
intervention. The harm from widespread IAP to thousands of
pregnant women and their babies is unknown while the evidence on
the benefit from a screening programme is uncertain due to lower
quality studies with serious limitations.”
We have also expanded on the review of the harms from IAP describing
the studies on pages 9 to 11, including the consistent evidence on gut
Page 11 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 13: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only12
microbiota and the inconsistent evidence on antibiotic resistance.
Given that this journal is intended for a general audience, the article makes
several assumptions about prior knowledge of neonatal EOGBS disease
prevention approaches and does not really explain why there have been repeated
calls ‘in the media’ to change from a risk-based to a universal screening
approach. I think it would be fair to acknowledge in the introduction that many
countries (e.g. US after 2002 CDC guidelines, and many European countries)
have adopted a universal GBS screening programme and have seen significant
reductions in EOGBS rates. Most studies have also shown lower rates of
EOGBS disease in neonates with universal screening rather than a risk based
approach (see ref 46), acknowledging that no RCTs have been done.
As mentioned above, we have added the following information in the
introduction on pages 2 to 3:
“A criticism of the risk-based strategy is that risk factors are absent in
30% to 60% of pregnancies that result in EOGBS who would be
excluded from prophylactic prevention, although of course we have no
way of telling in advance who these cases are. There are regular media
and political calls to introduce a universal antenatal GBS screening
programme in addition to the current risk-based strategy. Universal
screening would involve the collection of specimens using rectovaginal
swabs at 35 to 37 weeks gestation, which are processed using selective
culture media, to identify women colonised with GBS so that IAP can be
offered to all women testing positive. Screening was first recommended in
the US in 1996, when either risk-based prevention or universal screening
were recommended.17 This was followed by a revision in 2002
recommending universal screening.18 19 The incidence of EOGBS
decreased in the US from 1.7 per 1,000 live births to 0.6 in the 1990s,
to 0.3 in 2004 after the introduction of universal screening,20 21
and
was most recently estimated at 0.22 in 2016.22 The largest decline
occurred when either risk-based or screening prevention were
recommended,21 making it unclear how much of the decrease was a
result of screening itself. After the US guidelines were published,
universal GBS screening guidelines were developed in many countries,1 23
including Australia,24 Canada,25-27 Belgium,28 29 France,30 Germany,31 32
Italy,33 34
Spain,35 and Switzerland.
36 After the introduction of universal
screening, the incidence of EOGBS was reported as steady in Emilia-
Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to
2008.37 The rate decreased from 1.1 to 0.7 per 1,000 live births in
Spain,38 but more than doubled in Alberta in Canada from 0.15 per
1,000 live births in 2003 to 0.34 in 2013.39”
Page 12 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 14: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only13
We have, however, made a decision to keep the discussion of the studies
comparing screening to risk-based prevention in the section on the
effectiveness of screening where they can be described in more detail
along with the strength of evidence, rather than include them in the
introduction.
Finally, we have replaced ref 46 with a more recent and better conducted
systematic review of studies between 2000 and 2013 (Kurz and Davis,
2015).
I think there are some small issues not sufficiently covered:
-more attention to the state of the evidence for alternative screening approaches
eg GBS detection in labour? (given that the authors feel that screening at 35-37
weeks is not accurate)
Although we have focussed on culture based testing, as this is the
recommended test in the UK while rapid testing is not currently
recommended (as referenced in the test accuracy section), we have now
added information about PCR testing in the test section on pages 6 to 7 as
follows (bold text) in order to provide some discussion about this:
“A better test is required; however, a poor understanding of the natural
history of GBS limits the ability to identify such an approach. Rapid in-
labour tests have been developed. The most promising is real-time
polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing. However, there are some
practical limitations that require further development before such
rapid tests can be recommended. These include cost, the length and
complexity of processing, inability to determine antibiotic sensitivity,
and/or they have lower sensitivity compared to culture.73-75
Furthermore, this approach to testing may not increase the PPV for
EOGBS compared to antenatal culture screening as only a small
proportion of colonised mothers in labour would have a neonate with
EOGBS.”
-Are there any established maternal harms/benefits from universal screening and
treatment? E.g. reduction in chorioamnionitis?
As far as we are aware, there is no information on the maternal benefits of
GBS screening. Most of the data on the maternal impact of IAP are for
Page 13 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 15: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only14
other purposes such as preterm labour and post-partum infection. We have
added the following information (bold text) on maternal harms into the
section on the harms of screening on pages 10 to 11:
“Maternal anaphylaxis is another important harm to consider as it
has potentially fatal consequences. However, as it is rare, it is difficult
to explore in well-designed studies other than very large RCTs. In the
US, four anaphylactic cases associated with GBS prophylaxis were
reported since the introduction of guidelines in 1996 up to 2010.19
Another study in Texas reported 19 cases of all-cause maternal
anaphylaxis (2.7 cases per 100,000 deliveries) in 2004-05.111 Eleven
cases were due to penicillin and cephalosporin and the authors
speculated that it was likely that these antibiotics were used for GBS
prevention. In the UK, the rate of all-cause maternal anaphylaxis has
been reported at 1.6 per 100,000 maternities (37 cases in three years,
11 due to penicillin) and one was a result of GBS prophylaxis. Two
mothers (5%) died and 14 (38%) mothers and 7 (41%) neonates
required intensive care admission.112 113 Other reported harms in small
observational studies at risk of bias, included neonatal respiratory
distress,114 maternal thrush,
115 and childhood atopic dermatitis.
116
- it should probably be acknowledged that ‘risk based’ strategies to identify
women for IAP are imperfectly applied, as demonstrated in the UK 2016 Audit
of current practice in preventing early-onset neonatal group B streptococcal
disease.
We agree that risk-based prevention may not have been perfectly applied
to assess its impact and we have added this in on page 2:
“The incidence of EOGBS has increased over this period in the UK by
around 0.09 per 1,000 live births,5 6 however, as the strategy has been
imperfectly implemented,6 12
it is difficult to identify its impact.”
Specific comments
1
Stand-first
I think this short summary could be re-phrased to provide more rationale as to
what questions are still to be decided in implementing a screening program e.g.
relatively few deaths averted versus unknown harms of universal screening and
We have changed the stand-first as follows (bold text) to provide questions
still to be decided in implementing a programme:
“Based on research evidence, the UK National Screening Committee
recommended that routine screening for group B Streptococcus carriage in
late pregnancy should not be introduced into the UK. In this paper, Seedat
Page 14 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 16: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only15
IAP. I am not sure about the claim that GBS is currently the most common
cause of neonatal infectious disease mortality, although it remains the most
common cause of neonatal sepsis (see below).
and colleagues review the evidence underpinning this decision,
addressing key issues yet to be considered before introducing a
screening programme, including the possibility of harm from the high
levels of unnecessary treatment with antibiotic prophylaxis due to a
poor test and the uncertainty of screening effectiveness.”
Introduction
1 P2, line 1 first sentence claim that GBS is most common infectious cause
of death. This should be referenced as recent studies have reported GBS is
most common cause of neonatal sepsis BUT E. coli may be the most
common cause of sepsis-related death (Simonsen et al, Clinical
Microbiology Reviews 2014). See also ‘Stand-first’ claim.
Thank you for pointing this out. We have changed the sentence on page 2
to:
“GBS is the commonest cause of neonatal sepsis and meningitis in
many developed countries.4”
2 P2, line 15 ‘pregnant women reporting with GBS risk factors’ might be
‘presenting with’?
Changed to “presenting”.
3 In the first paragraph it would be reasonable to mention that several other
high-resource countries have adopted the universal screening practice,
particularly after the US CDC guidelines were issued.
We have added the following sentence to the first paragraph on page 3 as
the introduction has been restructured according the comments above:
“After the US guidelines were published, universal GBS screening
guidelines were developed in many countries,1 23
including Australia,24
Canada,25-27
Belgium,28 29
France,30 Germany,
31 32 Italy,
33 34 Spain,
35 and
Switzerland.36”
4 It would be fair to quote reported rates of neonatal GBS sepsis in countries
that have adopted universal screening.
As mentioned above, we have added the following (bold text) on pages 2
to 3:
“Screening was first recommended in the US in 1996, when either risk-
based prevention or universal screening were recommended.17 This was
followed by a revision in 2002 recommending universal screening.18 19 The
incidence of EOGBS decreased in the US from 1.7 per 1,000 live births
to 0.6 in the 1990s, to 0.3 in 2004 after the introduction of universal
screening,20 21
and was most recently estimated at 0.22 in 2016.22 The
largest decline occurred when either risk-based or screening
prevention were recommended,21 making it unclear how much of the
decrease was a result of screening itself. After the US guidelines were
Page 15 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 17: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only16
published, universal GBS screening guidelines were developed in many
countries,1 23
including Australia,24 Canada,
25-27 Belgium,
28 29 France,
30
Germany,31 32 Italy,33 34 Spain,35 and Switzerland.36 After the introduction
of universal screening, the incidence of EOGBS was reported as
steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births
from 2003 to 2008.37 The rate decreased from 1.1 to 0.7 per 1,000 live
births in Spain,38 but more than doubled in Alberta in Canada from
0.15 per 1,000 live births in 2003 to 0.34 in 2013.39”
Epidemiology and natural history of a condition
1 Could the title be re-phrased to ‘Epidemiology and natural history of
GBS’?
Changed to “Natural history and epidemiology of EOGBS” on page 3
as natural history is presented first.
2 P3, line 57 reference for GBS as most common causes of neonatal death is
quite old (?2001 edition of Remington and Klein)- see above, could these
figures be updated? For example, the authors quote recent figures showing
a decline in GBS related mortality in the UK in recent years in the
subsequent paragraph.
Thank you for pointing this out. Changed to “EOGBS causes
considerable morbidity and mortality” on page 4.
3 P4, para 1: several figures from the UK enhanced surveillance programme
are quoted but the implications of the numbers are not really spelt out.
This would be helpful for the general reader. Are rates of EOGBS
incidence higher or lower than other countries with universal GBS
screening? If these are not comparable, then why not?
As mention in question 1 from the Editorial Team and question 4 from
Reviewer 2 three rows above, we have added the incidence of EOGBS in
other countries in the introduction: ‘The incidence of EOGBS decreased in
the US from 1.7 per 1,000 live births to 0.6 in the 1990s, to 0.3 in 2004
after the introduction of universal screening,20 21 and was most recently
estimated at 0.22 in 2016.22 The largest decline occurred when either risk-
based or screening prevention were recommended,21 making it unclear
how much of the decrease was a result of screening itself. After the
introduction of universal screening, the incidence of EOGBS was reported
as steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births
from 2003 to 2008.37 The rate decreased from 1.1 to 0.7 per 1,000 live
births in Spain,38 but more than doubled in Alberta in Canada from 0.15
per 1,000 live births in 2003 to 0.34 in 2013.39’
Page 16 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 18: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only17
We have also added the following sentence in this paragraph on page 4:
“The incidence of EOGBS in developed countries was recently
estimated at 0.37 per 1,000 live births.53”
4 p4, line 24-25: ‘Rates of GBS in term women’ should read ‘rate of
EOGBS in infants born to women at term’. This should be changes
throughout the paragraph to be accurate.
Changed accordingly on page 5.
5 P4, para 2: It should be clarified that women in pre-term labour would
usually receive antibiotics whether a risk-based approach or universal
screening based approach is used.
At the time that we submitted this review, this was not the case.
The RCOG only recommended GBS IAP for preterm births in Sept 2017.
We have added the following on page 5:
“Given this burden in preterm neonates, guidelines in the UK were
updated in September 2017 to recommend offering IAP to all women
in preterm labour.11
Most countries with risk-based or universal
screening prevention also offer IAP for preterm labour.”
Clinical effectiveness of IAP treatment
1 ?leave off the word ‘treatment’ in title, as IAP is by definition
‘prophylaxis’
Removed on page 7.
2 P6, line 47 ‘of whom approximately 99.8%’ (do you mean infants, rather
than pregnant women?).
It would be both pregnant women and their babies as pregnant women
would be treated but it is to prevent disease in the infant, therefore the
infant would also be affected. Changed as follows (bold text) on page 9:
“Approximately 99.8% (138,655 pregnant women and babies) would be
overdiagnosed and overtreated as they would have never had a neonate
with EOGBS even without IAP.”
3 P6 final para: I think the potential harms should be spelt out separately for
mothers and infants.
We have expanded this section and stated the harms to infants followed by
mothers. We have focused on the key findings of the report instead of
stating all of the investigated harms in infants and mothers as the evidence
on many of the harms was inconclusive (see pages 9 to 11).
4 P7, para 1: no references for studies that found an increase in AMR,
childhood atopic disease etc? It is difficult to refute the claims in the text
as the studies are not referenced.
We have now included the references for the studies in this section (pages
9 to 11).
Page 17 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 19: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only18
5 P7, line 22: should this read: ‘the UK Department of health’s
antimicrobial resistance strategy’?
Agree, rephrased on page 11.
Clinical effectiveness of GBS screening
1 The recent UK study observational study published in BMJ (reference 23)
did report a reduction in EOGBS disease with a screening programme
when only women who were actually screened were included in the
analysis; perhaps this should be acknowledged.
We have added this as suggested and stated the limitations of such an
analysis. We have also included the follow up study from this centre. On
page 8, we state the following:
“Additional analysis of mothers who were actually screened compared
to the pre-screening period was reported as statistically significant
(0.16 versus 0.99 per 1,000 live births, RR 0.16, p<0.05). However, the
mothers who accepted screening may have been systematically
different. The authors acknowledged that there were statistically
significant differences in several maternal characteristics between the
screening and risk-based periods. In addition, there was a low rate of
IAP in the carrier population and the authors suggested that factors
beyond the screening programme may have influenced the reduction
in EOGBS. The authors published a second study after the cessation
of their GBS programme finding that EOGBS incidence had increased
from 0.33 to 1.79 per 1,000 live births, which was statistically different
when adjusting for ethnicity (RR 5.67, p=0.009).82 Again, this study
may be biased due to the inclusion of differing populations across
differing time periods.”
Conclusion and future research
1 It is probably a bit dogmatic to sat that selective culture at 35-37 weeks is
not an accurate predictor of colonisation status in labour, although it is fair
to say that it may not be an accurate indicator of EOGBS disease in
neonates. Figures that the authors quote for PPV are 60-80% for
colonisation at time of labour.
We have changed the sentence as follows on page 12:
“Selective maternal culture is not an accurate predictor of EOGBS
disease in neonates, and a lack of understanding about why some
colonised mothers have a neonate with EOGBS limits the ability to
identify an approach that reduces the rate of overdiagnosis.”
Box 1
I think the authors should consider revising the order of their recommendations,
and making them more succinct. In particular, the authors clearly feel that an
As per the recommendations of reviewer 1, we have removed the
recommendation of an RCT and moved it into the main text on page 11.
Page 18 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 20: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only19
RCT of risk-based versus universal screening approach will still not yield a test
with a high positive predictive value and therefore an RCT might not alter their
assessment that a screening based approach is not indicated. Maybe they should
emphasise other approaches that should be addressed in research e.g. rapid GBS
detection in labour, predictive tests for neonatal EOGBS etc
We have also moved the other research recommendations into the text on
pages 11 to 12 (as follows) and removed the extra details in each
recommendation to make them succinct. These recommendations do
address research to find a better approach to identify high risk women,
including development of rapid tests and predicting neonatal EOGBS:
“In addition to trial evidence, research to understand the natural
history of GBS could help to improve the balance of benefits and
harms for future proposed screening programmes. Better
identification of the women at most risk of having a neonate with
EOGBS could reduce the amount of overtreatment to thousands of
women and their babies. To this end, research is needed to better
predict which mothers with GBS carriage will transmit GBS to the
neonate, which mothers will have a neonate that develops EOGBS,
and which neonates with GBS colonisation will progress to EOGBS
disease. Similarly, test accuracy research is needed to reliably detect
GBS colonisation and bacterial load during labour, including
development of the latest in-labour tests and accurate measurement of
who is colonised in labour and how heavily. Finally, research is
required on the long-term follow up of neonates who are diagnosed
with EOGBS to understand the clinical morbidity experienced.”
If this response does not meet the reviewer’s suggestion, please expand
and we will be happy to adjust.
Key messages
I don’t think it is fair to say the screening rectovaginal culture is not an accurate
predictor of colonisation status in labour, although it may not be an accurate
indicator of EOGBS disease in neonates. Figures the authors quote for PPV are
60-80% for colonisation at time of labour.
We have changed the sentence as follows (bold text) on page 13:
“The natural history, particularly, the development from maternal GBS
carriage to EOGBS disease is poorly understood and maternal carriage
is a poor predictor of EOGBS.”
Page 19 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 21: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
1
Universal antenatal screening for carriage of group B Streptococcus (GBS): State of the
evidence
Farah Seedat PhD,1
Julia Geppert PhD,1 Chris Stinton PhD,
1 Jacoby Patterson MD,
1 Karoline
Freeman MSc,1
Samantha Ann Johnson MA,1
Hannah Fraser BSc,1 Colin Stewart Brown
FRCPath,2
Olalekan A Uthman PhD,1
Bee Tan FRCS,1
Esther R Robinson BMBCh DPhil,3 Noel
Denis McCarthy MB Dphil,1
Aileen Clarke MD,1 John Marshall MA,
4 Cristina Visintin PhD,
4
Anne Mackie FFPH,4 Sian Taylor-Phillips PhD
1
1. Division of Health Sciences, University of Warwick Medical School, Gibbet Hill
Campus, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK.
2. Bacteria Reference Department, National Infection Service, Public Health England,
61 Colindale Ave, London, NW9 5EQ, England.
3. Field Service, National Infection Service, Public Health England, Seaton House
Nottingham, NG2 4LA.
4. UK National Screening Committee, Floor 5, Wellington House, 133-155 Waterloo
Road, London, SE1 8UG.
Corresponding author: Dr Sian Taylor-Phillips, Division of Health Sciences, University of
Warwick Medical School, Gibbet Hill Campus, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK, E) S.Taylor-
[email protected] , T) +44(0) 2476 575882
Stand-first:
Based on research evidence, the UK National Screening Committee recommended that
routine screening for group B Streptococcus carriage in late pregnancy should not be
introduced into the UK. In this paper, Seedat and colleagues review the evidence
underpinning this decision, addressing key issues yet to be considered before introducing a
screening programme, including the possibility of harm from the high levels of unnecessary
treatment with antibiotic prophylaxis due to a poor test and the uncertainty of screening
effectiveness.
Page 20 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 22: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
2
Introduction
Group B Streptococcus (Streptococcus agalactiae, GBS) is a Gram-positive bacterium that
colonises the gastrointestinal and genitourinary tract in approximately 30% of healthy
adults.1-3
It usually causes no harm.1 However, GBS is the commonest cause of neonatal
sepsis and meningitis in many developed countries.4 In the UK, GBS causes invasive disease
in the first six days of life (early onset GBS or EOGBS) in around 1 of every 2,000 live births.55
Neonates with EOGBS can develop sepsis, pneumonia, and meningitis, and around 5% to
10% of these babies can die as a result.5-7
To prevent EOGBS, a risk-based strategy has been recommended in the UK since 2003.8-11
Pregnant women presenting with GBS risk factors are offered intrapartum antibiotic
prophylaxis (IAP), usually intravenous penicillin, during labour.8-11
The incidence of EOGBS
has increased over this period in the UK by around 0.09 per 1,000 live births,5 6
however, as
the strategy has been imperfectly implemented,6 12
it is difficult to identify its impact. In the
Netherlands, the incidence of EOGBS has increased under risk-based prevention from 0.11
to 0.19 per 1,000 live births (p<0.001).13
By contrast, under risk-based prevention the
incidence of EOGBS in New Zealand has decreased from 0.5 to 0.26 per 1,000 live births,
from 0.4 to 0.3 per 1,000 live births in Sweden, and from 0.6 to 0.2 per 1,000 live births in
Denmark (from 1995 to 2002).14-16
A criticism of the risk-based strategy is that risk factors are absent in 30% to 60% of
pregnancies that result in EOGBS who would be excluded from prophylactic prevention,
although of course we have no way of telling in advance who these cases are. There are
regular media and political calls to introduce a universal antenatal GBS screening
programme in addition to the current risk-based strategy. Universal screening would involve
the collection of specimens using rectovaginal swabs at 35 to 37 weeks gestation, which are
processed using selective culture media, to identify women colonised with GBS so that IAP
can be offered to all women testing positive. Screening was first recommended in the US in
1996, when either risk-based prevention or universal screening were recommended.17
This
was followed by a revision in 2002 recommending universal screening.18 19
The incidence of
EOGBS decreased in the US from 1.7 per 1,000 live births to 0.6 in the 1990s, to 0.3 in 2004
after the introduction of universal screening,20 21
and was most recently estimated at 0.22 in
Page 21 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 23: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
3
2016.22
The largest decline occurred when either risk-based or screening prevention were
recommended,21
making it unclear how much of the decrease was a result of screening
itself. After the US guidelines were published, universal GBS screening guidelines were
developed in many countries,1 23
including Australia,24
Canada,25-27
Belgium,28 29
France,30
Germany,31 32
Italy,33 34
Spain,35
and Switzerland.36
After the introduction of universal
screening, the incidence of EOGBS was reported as steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at
around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37
The rate decreased from 1.1 to 0.7
per 1,000 live births in Spain,38
but more than doubled in Alberta in Canada from 0.15 per
1,000 live births in 2003 to 0.34 in 2013.39
Most screening recommendations have been made by clinical organisations.24 31 32 34-36 40 41
Crucially, however, screening recommendations should be assessed against screening
criteria,42
which require that the harms as well as benefits of a programme, are examined.
Here, we summarise the best available evidence on universal GBS screening from two
comprehensive evidence reviews undertaken for the UK National Screening Committee
(NSC) and have also included key papers published since the conclusions of those reviews.43
44 The reviews address UK NSC screening criteria, examining 1) the natural history
(asymptomatic stage to illness) and epidemiology (severity, incidence) of EOGBS; 2) the
accuracy of the GBS culture screening test (is it able to separate women at high risk of
having a neonate with EOGBS from those at low risk?); 3) the effectiveness of IAP
treatment; and 4) whether a universal GBS screening programme delivers more benefit than
harm (at a reasonable cost).
1) Natural history and epidemiology of EOGBS
GBS is passed from mother to neonate if the bacteria colonise the vagina around the time of
labour. The GBS carriage rate in pregnant women varies, and a recent meta-analysis
estimated that in developed countries GBS is found in around 19% of tested women.45
In
the UK, it is estimated to be around 21% to 22%,46 47
although a small recent study in a
London centre reported rates as high as 29%.48
Crucially, not all neonates born to GBS-
colonised mothers will be colonised, and not all colonised neonates will go on to develop
EOGBS. Of the women testing GBS-positive during pregnancy, a systematic review
estimated that around 31% are estimated to test culture negative in labour.49
In women
Page 22 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 24: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
4
testing positive during labour, there is a 36% (95% confidence interval [CI] 28.1% to 45.0%)
chance that they will transmit GBS to their neonates.50
The majority of neonates colonised
with GBS will remain asymptomatic; however, about 3% (95% CI 1.6% to 4.7%) will develop
EOGBS disease.50
Internationally, the risk of EOGBS in GBS colonised mothers (in settings
without an IAP policy) was recently estimated at around 1%.51
This means that in the
proposed screening programme a large number of women who carry GBS would be eligible
for antibiotics during labour when there is no risk of EOGBS to their neonates. The
mechanisms by which this common commensal infects and subsequently harms a small
proportion of neonates remain unclear.52
The incidence of EOGBS in developed countries was recently estimated at 0.37 per 1,000
live births.53
In the UK and the Republic of Ireland, enhanced national surveillance during
2014-15 recorded an EOGBS incidence rate of 0.57 per 1,000 live births (518 cases).5 6
This
was statistically different to the earlier enhanced surveillance conducted in 2000-01 (before
national prevention guidelines), which found a rate of 0.48 per 1,000 live births.7 While this
is the best available data in the UK, the studies have only been conducted at two points in
time (14 years apart) making it unclear how figures might fluctuate annually. The authors
also mention that the observed increase might be at least in part due to technical
improvements in bacterial culture practices, increased awareness of neonatal GBS, or
increased case ascertainment. Finally, only culture-proven EOGBS cases were included, and
although this is the standard outcome reported in GBS studies internationally, it is likely to
underestimate the true burden of the disease due to IAP given to women with risk factors.
EOGBS causes considerable morbidity and mortality. Neonates rapidly develop sepsis in 63%
of EOGBS cases, pneumonia in around 24%, and meningitis in around 13%.6 Around 5% of
EOGBS cases died in the UK in 2014-15; this was statistically different from 10.6% reported
in 2000-01.6 Of all early neonatal deaths (within seven days) in the UK, it was estimated that
1.7% were related to GBS in 2014.54
The long-term outcomes in EOGBS survivors are not
well researched. Neurological impairment at hospital discharge or last paediatric review has
been reported in up to 15.8% of EOGBS survivors.55-57
GBS meningitis survivors have a
higher risk of long-term neurodevelopmental disability.56 58 59
Page 23 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 25: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
5
Preterm birth is an important risk factor for EOGBS, and both incidence and case fatality
have been inversely associated with gestational age at birth.6 The rate and outcomes of
EOGBS in infants born to women at term is the important issue for screening because the
proposed screening test is at 35 to 37 weeks gestation and would only identify neonates
born after this time. However, the rate of EOGBS is rarely reported in this way. In the UK,
the rate of EOGBS in infants born to women at term has not changed much since earlier
estimates of 0.38 per 1,000 live births in 2007.60
Indeed, comparing the incidence rate of
EOGBS in infants born to women at term only (instead of all women) between the UK and
countries that have universal screening guidelines reduces the gap in incidence (US: 0.22 per
1,000 live births,61
Italy: 0.24 per 1,00037
). Given this burden in preterm neonates,
guidelines in the UK were updated in September 2017 to recommend offering IAP to all
women in preterm labour.11
Most countries with risk-based or universal screening
prevention also offer IAP for preterm labour.
Aside from preterm labour, a number of maternal factors have been associated with EOGBS,
including incidental GBS colonisation, a previous infant with GBS disease, GBS bacteriuria,
intrapartum fever, and suspected chorioamnionitis.11 62
If a woman presents with these risk
factors in labour, the UK guidelines recommend that IAP is offered.8-11
However, in 2014-15,
the percentage of EOGBS neonates born at term without these maternal risk factors
(therefore not eligible for IAP) was around 65%.6 The percentage of term EOGBS deaths
without maternal risk factors was around 56% to 67% (n=5-6/9) depending on the risk
factors included in the analysis.6 It is this group of term neonates with no preceding risk
factors which a screening programme could impact.
Figure 1 summarises the natural history and epidemiology of GBS for a hypothetical cohort
of term pregnant women in 2000 (no prevention guideline) and 2014 (risk-based prevention
guideline). It is clear that EOGBS is an important health problem, yet there is a poor
understanding about the natural history of GBS from maternal GBS colonisation to the long-
term outcomes of EOGBS.
2) Accuracy of selective rectovaginal culture at 35 to 37 weeks
Page 24 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 26: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
6
The suggested screening test for detecting GBS in the UK is selective enriched culture of
rectovaginal swabs taken at 35 to 37 weeks gestation.63
Studies tend to use detection of
GBS carriage at birth as the measure of test accuracy for culture of swabs at 35 to 37 weeks.
However, the outcome of interest should be EOGBS disease in the neonates. Based on the
UK surveillance data shown in Figure 1, we estimate that the positive predictive value (PPV)
of antenatal culture predicting EOGBS may be around 2/1,000 (0.2%). The 2000-01 UK
surveillance study shows that there were around 205 term neonates affected by EOGBS per
year in the UK at a time with no national prevention guideline.7 There were 679,029 babies
born in the UK in 2000,64
of whom approximately 573,448 reached full term (37 weeks
onwards) and were not born by elective caesarean section.65
If around 22% of women were
colonised with GBS,47
that would equate to approximately 126,159 GBS carriers at 35 to 37
weeks gestation. Therefore, if there was 100% test uptake and no change in GBS
colonisation status from screening until labour, the PPV of a screening test performed at 35
to 37 weeks for detecting EOGBS in the neonate would be 0.16% (205/126,159). Performing
the same calculations using 2014 surveillance figures gives a PPV value of 0.25%
(350/138,933),6 64 66
which would deliver an unacceptably high level of false positive results.
Two prospective studies67 68
included in a systematic review found that the PPV of selective
rectovaginal culture at 35 to 37 weeks gestation to predict GBS carriage at birth was 67.4%
and 78.6%.49 67 68
The reported negative predictive values were 96.7% and 93.5%.67 68
Small
recent studies identified in the 2016 UK NSC review showed similar values.69-72
Overall,
approximately 20% to 30% of pregnant women who test positive for GBS at 35 to 37 weeks
gestation, test negative in labour. It is unclear whether the reported changes in colonisation
status are a result of false test results at the point of screening or if they reflect natural
fluctuations in GBS colonisation during late pregnancy.
A better test is required; however, a poor understanding of the natural history of GBS limits
the ability to identify such an approach. Rapid in-labour tests have been developed. The
most promising is real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing. However, there are
some practical limitations that require further development before such rapid tests can be
recommended. These include cost, the length and complexity of processing, inability to
determine antibiotic sensitivity, and/or they have lower sensitivity compared to culture.73-75
Page 25 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 27: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
7
Furthermore, this approach to testing may not increase the PPV for EOGBS compared to
antenatal culture screening as only a small proportion of colonised mothers in labour would
have a neonate with EOGBS.
3) Effectiveness of intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis
Intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis is currently the recommended mainstay of EOGBS
prevention. A Cochrane meta-analysis published in 2014 estimated that the use of IAP
reduced the risk of culture-proven and probable EOGBS compared with no treatment by
83%.76
However, IAP did not reduce the incidence of all-cause mortality, mortality from GBS,
or mortality from other infections. Due to the high risk of bias identified in the three
included small randomised controlled trials (RCTs) which were conducted more than 20
years ago, the authors concluded that there is no valid information to inform clinical
practice.76
Although IAP may be effective in reducing EOGBS infections, the poor evidence
base makes it uncertain how effective it is. Echoing the uncertainty, a meta-analysis in 2007
using different statistical methods produced a more extreme treatment effect of IAP,
estimating a risk reduction in EOGBS of 97%.77
4) Benefits and harms of a universal GBS screening programme
Benefits
The evidence on the clinical effectiveness of universal GBS screening is limited and focusses
on incidence rather than clinical outcomes. There have been no RCTs assessing the effects
of antenatal screening on the reduction of morbidity, clinical outcomes, and mortality from
EOGBS. RCTs on the effects of screening on the clinical outcomes and mortality from EOGBS
would be challenging due to immense sample size requirements. However, in the absence
of RCTs, it is difficult to quantify the potential impact of adding universal screening to risk-
based practice. The risk of bias from observational study designs is well-documented, in
particular, due to the risk of confounding factors contributing to results. The majority of
studies on GBS screening use historical controls and compare the rates of EOGBS during
different periods of time in which different GBS prevention guidelines were introduced. The
control periods (no screening and/or risk-based prevention) precede the universal screening
Page 26 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 28: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
8
periods. Risk of bias is higher in these studies as participants in the study and control period
are not contemporaneous so other changes occurring between these periods may
contribute to the results. Even in the few observational studies that compare screening to
concurrent controls, these studies often retrospectively compare women with a culture
result to all other women; this may be biased as people who accept screening are
systematically different to those who do not.78
Another limitation, as mentioned above, is
that many studies do not report the findings in term pregnant women alone, which is the
eligible population that screening could impact. Finally, many studies only include culture-
proven EOGBS, thus changes may reflect a decreased likelihood of neonatal cultures being
positive due to IAP use, with culture negative cases of EOGBS being undetected. This may
distort the impact of screening.
A systematic review published in 2015 of nine observational studies from Turkey, Australia
and the US found that the odds of EOGBS under universal screening were 55% lower than
under risk-based prevention for all neonates and for term neonates only (three studies).79
There were limitations which may affect the internal and external validity of the studies.
Risk-based guidelines were not always clear and may have differed between studies, there
was a risk of misclassification bias, and the majority of the studies were based in the US.79
Findings from two more recent US studies also consistently report a decreased EOGBS
incidence with universal screening compared to the era without any screening, however,
reported benefits compared to the era with a risk-based approach are inconsistent.80 81
A
similar recent study in a UK maternity unit found that the rate of EOGBS fell from 0.99 per
1,000 live births in the risk-based period to 0.33 per 1,000 live births during the screening
period; however, this did not reach statistical significance (risk ratio [RR] 0.33, p=0.08).48
Additional analysis of mothers who were actually screened compared to the pre-screening
period was reported as statistically significant (0.16 versus 0.99 per 1,000 live births, RR
0.16, p<0.05). However, the mothers who accepted screening may have been systematically
different. The authors acknowledged that there were statistically significant differences in
several maternal characteristics between the screening and risk-based periods. In addition,
there was a low rate of IAP in the carrier population and the authors suggested that factors
beyond the screening programme may have influenced the reduction in EOGBS. The authors
Page 27 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 29: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
9
published a second study after the cessation of their GBS programme finding that EOGBS
incidence had increased from 0.33 to 1.79 per 1,000 live births, which was statistically
different when adjusting for ethnicity (RR 5.67, p=0.009).82
Again, this study may be biased
due to the inclusion of differing populations across differing time periods.
Internationally there has been a suggestion for studies to explore all-cause early-onset
sepsis, however, these findings have been contradictory.61 83 84
The impact of universal GBS screening on clinical outcomes of EOGBS is unclear. In relation
to mortality, results are inconsistent. Two studies conducted in the US did not find a change
in the mortality rate between periods with and without universal screening.80 81
On the
other hand, a Hungarian study reported decreased EOGBS mortality rates from 19.5%
(29/149) to 1.6% (1/63) after the introduction of screening compared with no prevention.85
Harms
An examination of the potential harms is a standard part of the assessment of any screening
proposal. Based on the estimated PPVs of culture testing indicated above (0.2%),
approximately 138,933 term pregnant women per year would be eligible for IAP.
Approximately 99.8% (138,655 pregnant women and babies) would be overdiagnosed and
overtreated as they would have never had a neonate with EOGBS even without IAP. This
makes assessing the harms of treatment particularly important. A cost-effectiveness model
published in the UK also estimated that adding screening to risk-based prevention would
result in 99.8% overtreatment (increasing antibiotic use in the pregnant population from
11% to 27%).77
Recently, an expert group convened by the UK NSC completed a modelling
exercise concluding that adding screening to a risk-based strategy in the UK would result in
an additional 1,675 to 1,854 women receiving IAP to prevent one EOGBS case and 24,065 to
32,087 to prevent one EOGBS death.47
This is similar to another study where the authors
found that 1,191 women would need to be treated with IAP to prevent one EOGBS case.86
Although the models contain a level of uncertainty because of the limitations and gaps in
the evidence, the estimates all support the high levels of overtreatment that would occur
when adding screening to risk-based prevention.
Page 28 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 30: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
10
A systematic review of 30 studies found little evidence to quantify the potential harms of
IAP to mothers and babies.87
Although a range of adverse effects were investigated, studies
specifically on GBS prophylaxis were observational and at high or unclear risk of bias while
13 RCTs at lower risk of bias investigated different drugs and regimens to GBS prophylaxis.
Key findings from the review were around changes in gut microbiota, long term outcomes,
and antibiotic resistance.
There was consistent evidence that IAP for GBS prophylaxis alters neonatal gut microbiota
up to 90 days of age.88-94
These findings have been mirrored in similar studies,95 96
however,
it is unknown whether microbiota alterations specifically from GBS prophylaxis are
associated with long-term clinical outcomes. Early infant exposure to antibiotics and gut
microbiota changes have been implicated in autism, metabolic problems such as obesity
and diabetes, and atopic, inflammatory, and autoimmune problems such as asthma,
allergies, necrotising enterocolitis, and Crohn’s disease.97-100
The impact of IAP on antibiotic
resistance was inconsistent in the literature, with some evidence of an increase in the
resistance of some antibiotics for some pathogens, with others showing no increase.93 101-105
Globally, most GBS isolates are susceptible to penicillin,106
however, in the US in 2005, 0.2%
of GBS isolates were reaching the upper level of susceptibility for one or more beta-
lactams.107
Finally, there was a particular lack of information on the long-term outcomes of
IAP. There was evidence from only one RCT using different IAP to GBS prophylaxis which
showed that IAP was moderately associated with serious consequences of functional
impairment and cerebral palsy at seven years of age.108
However, the biological plausibility
of IAP causing cerebral palsy is unknown and another trial on IAP for preterm rupture of
membranes found no evidence that IAP was associated with cerebral palsy.108-110
Maternal anaphylaxis is another important harm to consider as it has potentially fatal
consequences. However, as it is rare, it is difficult to explore in well-designed studies other
than very large RCTs. In the US, four anaphylactic cases associated with GBS prophylaxis
were reported since the introduction of guidelines in 1996 up to 2010.19
Another study in
Texas reported 19 cases of all-cause maternal anaphylaxis (2.7 cases per 100,000 deliveries)
in 2004-05.111
Eleven cases were due to penicillin and cephalosporin and the authors
speculated that it was likely that these antibiotics were used for GBS prevention. In the UK,
Page 29 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 31: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
11
the rate of all-cause maternal anaphylaxis has been reported at 1.6 per 100,000 maternities
(37 cases in three years, 11 due to penicillin) and one was a result of GBS prophylaxis. Two
mothers (5%) died and 14 (38%) mothers and 7 (41%) neonates required intensive care
admission.112 113
Other reported harms in small observational studies at risk of bias, included
neonatal respiratory distress,114
maternal thrush,115
and childhood atopic dermatitis.116
The current evidence on the benefits and harms of universal GBS screening is based mainly
on observational studies that are small, subject to bias, and/or have applicability concerns.
Therefore, the balance of benefits and harms from GBS screening and IAP cannot be
quantified, especially as the long-term impact of EOGBS and of IAP is poorly understood.
The scale of overtreatment and range of plausible harms require a better understanding
before we can be confident that IAP at this scale is a safe undertaking. In the era of
antimicrobial resistance, such a widespread IAP strategy may also be challenging in relation
to the UK Department of Health and Social Care’s antimicrobial resistance strategy to
reduce unnecessary use of antibiotics.117
Research agenda for EOGBS prevention
In 2007, a cost-effectiveness model concluded that investments in prenatal vaccination
research should be prioritised over screening research.77
However, interest has remained to
evaluate the impact of universal GBS screening. In 2017, the Health Technology Assessment
launched an expression of interest for a cluster randomised trial assessing whether
screening women for carriage of GBS in late pregnancy reduces the occurrence of early-
onset sepsis, whether the benefits outweigh the harms, and whether it would be cost-
effective.
In addition to trial evidence, research to understand the natural history of GBS could help to
improve the balance of benefits and harms for future proposed screening programmes.
Better identification of the women at most risk of having a neonate with EOGBS could
reduce the amount of overtreatment to thousands of women and their babies. To this end,
research is needed to better predict which mothers with GBS carriage will transmit GBS to
their neonate, which mothers with GBS carriage will have a neonate that develops EOGBS,
and which neonates with GBS colonisation will progress to EOGBS disease. Similarly, test
Page 30 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 32: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
12
accuracy research is needed to reliably detect GBS colonisation and bacterial load during
labour, including development of the latest in-labour tests and accurate measurement of
who is colonised in labour and how heavily. Finally, research is required on the long-term
follow up of neonates who are diagnosed with EOGBS to understand the clinical morbidity
experienced.
There is also a lack of evidence about what currently happens in practice. Little is known
about the impact of private GBS carriage testing or the values and priorities informing
women’s decision-making. Further work should be undertaken to understand this.
Conclusions
GBS infection is an important health problem and more work to understand and prevent
neonatal invasive disease is required. Universal antenatal GBS culture screening is a
complex area and a poor evidence base means that, so far, it does not meet UK NSC criteria
needed to introduce screening programmes. Selective maternal culture is not an accurate
predictor of EOGBS disease in neonates, and a lack of understanding about why some
colonised mothers have a neonate with EOGBS limits the ability to identify an approach that
reduces the rate of overdiagnosis. At present, if a GBS screening programme is
implemented, it would offer all term pregnant women the antenatal GBS culture test, but
over 99% of screen-positive mothers (and their babies) would be overdiagnosed and
unnecessarily receive IAP, as they would not have a neonate with EOGBS even without
intervention. The harm from widespread IAP to thousands of pregnant women and their
babies is unknown while the evidence on the benefit from a screening programme is
uncertain due to lower quality studies with serious limitations. The long-term morbidity of
EOGBS is also largely unknown as is the impact of screening upon it. Given the state of the
evidence base, the balance of the benefits and harms from introducing universal GBS
screening cannot be quantified.
Page 31 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 33: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
13
Boxes
Figure caption / legend:
Figure 1. Natural history of GBS in a hypothetical cohort of term pregnant women in year
2000 (no prevention guideline) and 2014 (risk-based guideline)
Abbreviations: GBS Group B Streptococcus, EOGBS early-onset group B Streptococcus, NPV Negative predictive value, PPV
Positive predictive value
Notes: Due to the uncertainties of the data, the numbers should be treated cautiously for a sense of scale but not as exact
estimates. Data estimates and sources:
a. Pregnant women available for screening in 2000 and 2014: All livebirths taken from the Office for National
Statistics,64
then elective caesarean sections and preterm births (<37 weeks) were removed from the cohort
using HES estimates,65 66
as elective caesarean sections are not at risk of EOGBS and preterm births are not
eligible for screening. Note: Rate for pre-term births in 2000 is taken from 2004-05.
b. Maternal GBS carriage: 22%.47
c. Number of EOGBS disease cases and mortality taken from British Paediatric Surveillance Unit study.5-7
d. Long-term disability: 8.7-15.8% of surviving EOGBS cases.55-57
e. Short-term EOGBS morbidity: Meningitis 13.2%; Sepsis 63.1%; Pneumonia 23.7%.6
f. EOGBS cases with maternal risk factors: 33-37% of EOGBS cases will have at least one risk factor for intrapartum
antibiotic prophylaxis.6
Key messages
1. Early-onset group B Streptococcus disease (< 7 days of life, EOGBS) is an
important health problem and efforts should continue to better understand
and prevent it. However, a screening programme is not currently
appropriate as internationally agreed screening criteria are not met.
2. The natural history, particularly, the development from maternal GBS
carriage to EOGBS disease is poorly understood and maternal carriage is a
poor predictor of EOGBS.
3. This could lead to over 99% of screen-positive women and their babies
receiving unnecessary intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis (IAP).
4. The addition of universal screening to risk-based prevention appears to
reduce the incidence of EOGBS. However, a lack of high quality evidence on
the harms and benefits of GBS screening and widespread IAP means that
quantifying the impact of universal screening in addition to risk-based
prevention is not possible.
Page 32 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 34: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
14
References
1. Rodriguez-Granger J, Alvargonzalez JC, Berardi A, et al. Prevention of group B
streptococcal neonatal disease revisited. The DEVANI European project. Eur J Clin
Microbiol Infect Dis 2012;31(9):2097-104. doi: 10.1007/s10096-012-1559-0
[published Online First: 2012/02/09]
2. Edwards M, Baker C. Streptococcus agalactiae (group B streptococcus). In: Mandell G,
Bennett J, Dolin R, eds. Principles and practice of infectious diseases. 7 ed.
Philadelphia: Elsevier 2010.
3. Edwards M, Nizet V. Group B streptococcal infections. In: Remington J, Klein J, Wilson C,
et al., eds. Diseases of the fetus and newborn infant. 7 ed. Philadelphia: Elsevier
2011:419–69.
4. Le Doare K, Heath PT. An overview of global GBS epidemiology. Vaccine 2013;31 Suppl
4:D7-12. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2013.01.009 [published Online First: 2013/08/30]
5. O'Sullivan C, Lamagni T, Efstratiou A, et al. P3 Group B Streptococcal (GBS) disease in UK
and Irish infants younger than 90 days, 2014–2015. Archives of disease in childhood
2016;101(Suppl 1):A2-A2. doi: 10.1136/archdischild-2016-310863.3
6. O’Sullivan C, Heath PT, on behalf of the British Pediatric Surveilance Unit. Group B
Streptococcal (GBS) disease in UK and Irish infants younger than 90 days, 2014-2015,
2016.
7. Heath PT, Balfour G, Weisner AM, et al. Group B streptococcal disease in UK and Irish
infants younger than 90 days. Lancet 2004;363(9405):292-4. doi: 10.1016/S0140-
6736(03)15389-5 [published Online First: 2004/01/31]
8. National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence. Antibiotics for early-onset neonatal
infection: antibiotics for the prevention and treatment of early-onset neonatal
infection. United Kingdom: National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence,
2012.
9. Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists. Prevention of Early Onset Neonatal
Group B Streptococcal Disease. Guideline No 36: RCOG, 2003.
10. Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists. Prevention of Early Onset Neonatal
Group B Streptococcal Disease. Green-top Guideline No. 36. 2 ed: Royal College of
Obstetricians and Gynaecologists, 2012.
Page 33 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 35: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
15
11. Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists. Prevention of Early Onset Neonatal
Group B Streptococcal Disease. Green-top Guideline No. 36. 3 ed: RCOG, 2017.
12. Royal College of Obstetricians & Gynaecologists (RCOG). Audit of current practice in
preventing early-onset neonatal group B streptococcal disease in the UK. First
report., 2015.
13. Bekker V, Bijlsma MW, van de Beek D, et al. Incidence of invasive group B streptococcal
disease and pathogen genotype distribution in newborn babies in the Netherlands
over 25 years: a nationwide surveillance study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases
2014;14(11):1083-89. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(14)70919-3
14. Darlow BA, Voss L, Lennon DR, et al. Early-onset neonatal group B streptococcus sepsis
following national risk-based prevention guidelines. The Australian & New Zealand
journal of obstetrics & gynaecology 2016;56(1):69-74. doi: 10.1111/ajo.12378
[published Online First: 2015/07/15]
15. Hakansson S, Lilja M, Jacobsson B, et al. Reduced incidence of neonatal early onset
group B streptococcal infection after promulgation of guidelines for risk-based
intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis in Sweden: analysis of a national population-
based cohort. Acta obstetricia et gynecologica Scandinavica 2017 doi:
10.1111/aogs.13211 [published Online First: 2017/08/24]
16. Ekelund K, Konradsen HB. Invasive group B streptococcal disease in infants: a 19-year
nationwide study. Serotype distribution, incidence and recurrent infection.
Epidemiology and infection 2004;132(6):1083-90. [published Online First:
2005/01/08]
17. Schuchat A, Whitney CG, Zangwill K. Prevention of perinatal group B streptococcal
disease: a public health perspective. 1996
18. Schrag S, Gorwitz R, Fultz-Butts K, et al. Prevention of perinatal group B streptococcal
disease. Revised guidelines from CDC. MMWR Recomm Rep 2002;51(RR-11):1-22.
[published Online First: 2002/09/05]
19. Verani JR, McGee L, Schrag SJ. Prevention of perinatal group B streptococcal disease--
revised guidelines from CDC, 2010. MMWR Recomm Rep 2010;59(RR-10):1-36.
[published Online First: 2010/11/23]
Page 34 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 36: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
16
20. Schrag SJ, Zywicki S, Farley MM, et al. Group B streptococcal disease in the era of
intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis. N Engl J Med 2000;342(1):15-20. doi:
10.1056/NEJM200001063420103 [published Online First: 2000/01/06]
21. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Early-onset and late-onset neonatal group B
Streptococcal disease – United States, 1996–2004. MMWR CDC Surveill Summ
2005;54:1205–8.
22. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Active Bacterial Core Surveillance Report,
Emerging Infections Program Network, Group B Streptococcus, 2016, 2018.
23. Homer CS, Scarf V, Catling C, et al. Culture-based versus risk-based screening for the
prevention of group B streptococcal disease in newborns: a review of national
guidelines. Women and birth : journal of the Australian College of Midwives
2014;27(1):46-51. doi: 10.1016/j.wombi.2013.09.006 [published Online First:
2013/11/19]
24. Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists. Maternal
Group B Streptococcus in pregnancy: screening and management, C-Obs 19.
Melbourne: RANZCOG, 2016.
25. Money D, Allen VM. The prevention of early-onset neonatal group B streptococcal
disease. Journal of obstetrics and gynaecology Canada : JOGC = Journal d'obstetrique
et gynecologie du Canada : JOGC 2013;35(10):939-48. doi: 10.1016/s1701-
2163(15)30818-5 [published Online First: 2013/10/30]
26. Money DM, Dobson S. The prevention of early-onset neonatal group B streptococcal
disease. Journal of obstetrics and gynaecology Canada: JOGC = Journal d'obstetrique
et gynecologie du Canada: JOGC 2004;26(9):826-40.
27. Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care. Prevention of group B streptococcal
infection in newborns: Recommendation statement from the Canadian Task Force
on Preventive Health Care. CMAJ 2002;166(7):928-30.
28. Melin P. Prevention of perinatal group B streptococcal diseases: Belgian guidelines.
Round Table Series - Royal Society of Medicine 2007(85):29-41.
29. Melin P, Verschraegen G, Mahieu L, et al. Towards a Belgian consensus for prevention of
perinatal group B streptococcal disease. Indian Journal of Medical Research,
Supplement 2004;119:197-200.
Page 35 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 37: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
17
30. Agence Nationale d’Accreditation et d’Evaluation en Sante. Antenatal prevention of
early neonatal bacterial infection - Clinical Practice Guidelines. France: ANAES, 2001.
31. Leitlinien der Gesellschaft für Neonatologie und Pädiatrische Intensivmedizin (GNPI),
Deutschen Gesellschaft für Gynäkologie und Geburtshilfe, Deutschen Gesellschaft
für Pädiatrische Infektiologie (DGPI), et al. Prophylaxe der Neugeborenensepsis
(frühe Form) durch Streptokokken der Gruppe B: AWMF, 2008.
32. Berufsverband der Frauenärzte e.V. (BVF) BDfKeVB, Deutsche Gesellschaft für
Gynäkologie und Geburtshilfe (DGGG), Deutsche Gesellschaft für Hygiene und
Mikrobiologie (DGHM) DGfPID, et al. Prophylaxe der Neugeborenensepsis - frühe
Form - durch Streptokokken der Gruppe B: AWMF, 2016.
33. Società Italiana di Medicina Perinatale. Proposta: lineeguida per la prevenzione delle
infezioni perinatali da streptococcoβ-emolitico di gruppo B. Boll Soc Ital Med
Perinatale 1996;1:21–24.
34. Berardi A, Lugli L, Baronciani D, et al. Group B streptococcal infections in a northern
region of Italy. Pediatrics 2007;120(3):e487-93. doi:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1542/peds.2006-3246
35. Sociedad Espanola de Ginecologıa y Obstetricia (SEGO), Sociedad Espanola de
Neonatologıa (SEN), Sociedad Espanola de Enfermedades Infecciosas y Microbiologıa
Clı´nica (SEIMC), et al. Prevention of perinatal group B streptococcal infections:
revised Spanish recommendations 2012. Prog Obstet Ginecol 2012;55(7):337—46.
36. Kind C. Betreuung der Neugeborenen von Müttern, die mit Streptokokken der Gruppe B
kolonisiert sind. Swtizerland: Swiss Society of Neonatology, Undated.
37. Berardi A, Lugli L, Baronciani D, et al. Group B Streptococcus early-onset disease in
Emilia-romagna: review after introduction of a screening-based approach. Pediatr
Infect Dis J 2010;29(2):115-21. doi: 10.1097/INF.0b013e3181b83cd9 [published
Online First: 2009/11/17]
38. Lopez Sastre JB, Fernandez Colomer B, Coto Cotallo GD, et al. Trends in the
epidemiology of neonatal sepsis of vertical transmission in the era of group B
streptococcal prevention. Acta paediatrica (Oslo, Norway : 1992) 2005;94(4):451-7.
[published Online First: 2005/08/12]
Page 36 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 38: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
18
39. Alhhazmi A, Hurteau D, Tyrrell GJ. Epidemiology of Invasive Group B Streptococcal
Disease in Alberta, Canada, from 2003 to 2013. Journal of Clinical Microbiology
2016;54(7):1774-81. doi: 10.1128/jcm.00355-16
40. Hisanori M, Hiramatsu Y, Mitsuhiko K, et al. Guidelines for obstetrical practce in Japan:
Japan Society of Obstetrics and Gynecology, 2011.
41. Mechurova A. Group B Streptococcus infection, screening, treatment -
Recommendation. [Czech] Infekce streptokoky skupiny B, screening, lecba v
tehotenstvi - Doporucene postupy. Prakticky Lekar 2006;86(2):92-94.
42. Wilson JMG, Jungner G. Principles and practice of screening for disease. Geneva,: World
Health Organization 1968.
43. Seedat F, Taylor-Phillips S, Geppert J, et al. Universal antenatal culture-based screening
for maternal Group B Streptococcus (GBS) carriage to prevent early-onset GBS
disease United Kingdom: UK National Screening Committee, Public Health England;
2016 [Available from: https://legacyscreening.phe.org.uk/groupbstreptococcus.
44. Bazian Ltd. Screening for Group B Streptococcal infection in pregnancy: External review
against programme appraisal criteria for the UK National Screening Committee (UK
NSC): UK National Screening Committee; 2012 [Available from:
https://legacyscreening.phe.org.uk/groupbstreptococcus.
45. Russell NJ, Seale AC, O'Driscoll M, et al. Maternal Colonization With Group B
Streptococcus and Serotype Distribution Worldwide: Systematic Review and Meta-
analyses. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases
Society of America 2017;65(suppl_2):S100-s11. doi: 10.1093/cid/cix658 [published
Online First: 2017/11/09]
46. Jones N, Oliver K, Jones Y, et al. Carriage of group B streptococcus in pregnant women
from Oxford, UK. J Clin Pathol 2006;59(4):363–66.
47. UK National Screening Committee. Early onset streptococcal (EOGBS) disease: a report
of a modelling exercise: UK NSC, 2016.
48. Gopal Rao G, Nartey G, McAree T, et al. Outcome of a screening programme for the
prevention of neonatal invasive early-onset group B Streptococcus infection in a UK
maternity unit: an observational study. BMJ Open 2017;7(4):e014634. doi:
10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014634
Page 37 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 39: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
19
49. Valkenburg-van den Berg AW, Houtman-Roelofsen RL, Oostvogel PM, et al. Timing of
group B streptococcus screening in pregnancy: a systematic review. Gynecologic and
obstetric investigation 2010;69(3):174-83. doi: 10.1159/000265942 [published
Online First: 2009/12/18]
50. Colbourn T, Gilbert R. An overview of the natural history of early onset group B
streptococcal disease in the UK Early Hum Dev 2007;83:149–56.
51. Russell NJ, Seale AC, O'Sullivan C, et al. Risk of Early-Onset Neonatal Group B
Streptococcal Disease With Maternal Colonization Worldwide: Systematic Review
and Meta-analyses. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the
Infectious Diseases Society of America 2017;65(suppl_2):S152-s59. doi:
10.1093/cid/cix655 [published Online First: 2017/11/09]
52. Seedat F, Brown C, Stinton C, et al. Bacterial load and molecular markers associated with
early-onset Group B Streptococcus. A systematic review and meta-analysis. Pediatr
Infect Dis J In press,
53. Madrid L, Seale AC, Kohli-Lynch M, et al. Infant Group B Streptococcal Disease Incidence
and Serotypes Worldwide: Systematic Review and Meta-analyses. Clinical infectious
diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
2017;65(suppl_2):S160-s72. doi: 10.1093/cid/cix656 [published Online First:
2017/11/09]
54. Manktelow B, on behalf of the MBRRACE-UK collaboration. Preliminary data on deaths
with Group B Streptococcal as a reported cause of death as reported to MBRRACE-
UK for births in 2014.: MBRRACE-UK, 2016.
55. Eastwood KA, Craig S, Sidhu H, et al. Prevention of early-onset Group B Streptococcal
disease - The Northern Ireland experience. BJOG: An International Journal of
Obstetrics and Gynaecology 2015;122(3):361-67. doi:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1471-0528.12841
56. Matsubara K, Hoshina K, Kondo M, et al. Group B streptococcal disease in infants in the
first year of life: a nationwide surveillance study in Japan, 2011-2015. Infection
2017;45(4):449-58. doi: 10.1007/s15010-017-0995-2 [published Online First:
2017/02/27]
57. Matsubara K, Hoshina K, Suzuki Y. Early-onset and late-onset group B streptococcal
disease in Japan: A nationwide surveillance study, 2004-2010. International Journal
Page 38 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 40: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
20
of Infectious Diseases 2013;17(6):e379-e84. doi:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2012.11.027
58. Bedford H, de Louvois J, Halket S, et al. Meningitis in infancy in England and Wales:
follow up at age 5 years. Bmj 2001;323(7312):533. doi: 10.1136/bmj.323.7312.533
59. Kohli-Lynch M, Russell NJ, Seale AC, et al. Neurodevelopmental Impairment in Children
After Group B Streptococcal Disease Worldwide: Systematic Review and Meta-
analyses. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases
Society of America 2017;65(suppl_2):S190-s99. doi: 10.1093/cid/cix663 [published
Online First: 2017/11/09]
60. Colbourn TE, Asseburg C, Bojke L, et al. Preventive strategies for group B streptococcal
and other bacterial infections in early infancy: cost effectiveness and value of
information analyses. Bmj 2007;335(7621):655. doi: 10.1136/bmj.39325.681806.AD
[published Online First: 2007/09/13]
61. Weston EJ, Pondo T, Lewis MM, et al. The burden of invasive early-onset neonatal sepsis
in the United States, 2005-2008. The Pediatric infectious disease journal
2011;30(11):937-41. doi: 10.1097/INF.0b013e318223bad2 [published Online First:
2011/06/10]
62. Heath PT, Balfour GF, Tighe H, et al. Group B streptococcal disease in infants: a case
control study. Archives of disease in childhood 2009;94(9):674-80. doi:
10.1136/adc.2008.148874 [published Online First: 2009/05/22]
63. Public Health England. UK Standards for Microbiology Investigations: Detection of
Carriage of Group B Streptococci. London: PHE, 2015.
64. Office for National Statistics. Dataset: Vital Statistics: Population and Health Reference
Tables United kingdom: ONS; 2016 [Available from:
http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/p
opulationestimates/datasets/vitalstatisticspopulationandhealthreferencetables
accessed 29 April 2018.
65. Hospital Episodes Statistics. NHS Maternity Statistics - England, 2004-2005 England: NHS
Digital; 2006 [Available from: https://digital.nhs.uk/catalogue/PUB01674 accessed
23 March 2018.
Page 39 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 41: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
21
66. Hospital Episodes Statistics. NHS Maternity Statistics - England, 2014-2015 England: NHS
Digital; 2015 [Available from: https://digital.nhs.uk/catalogue/PUB19127 accessed
23 March 2018.
67. Easmon CS, Hastings MJ, Neill J, et al. Is group B streptococcal screening during
pregnancy justified? Br J Obstet Gynaecol 1985;92(3):197-201.
68. Valkenburg-van den Berg AW, Sprij AJ, Oostvogel PM, et al. Prevalence of colonisation
with group B Streptococci in pregnant women of a multi-ethnic population in The
Netherlands. Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol 2006;124(2):178-83. doi:
10.1016/j.ejogrb.2005.06.007
69. Scasso S, Laufer J, Rodriguez G, et al. Vaginal group B streptococcus status during
intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis. International Journal of Gynecology and
Obstetrics 2015;129(1):9-12. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijgo.2014.10.018
70. Szymusik I, Kosinska-Kaczynska K, Krolik A, et al. The usefulness of the universal culture-
based screening and the efficacy of intrapartum prophylaxis of group B
Streptococcus infection. Journal of Maternal-Fetal and Neonatal Medicine
2014;27(9):968-70. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.3109/14767058.2013.845659
71. MacKay G, House MD, Bloch E, et al. A GBS culture collected shortly after GBS
prophylaxis may be inaccurate. Journal of Maternal-Fetal and Neonatal Medicine
2012;25(6):736-38. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.3109/14767058.2011.596961
72. Kunze M, Zumstein K, Markfeld-Erol F, et al. Comparison of pre- and intrapartum
screening of group B streptococci and adherence to screening guidelines: a cohort
study. European Journal of Pediatrics 2015;174(6):827-35. doi:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00431-015-2548-y
73. Picard FJ, Bergeron MG. Laboratory detection of group B Streptococcus for prevention
of perinatal disease. Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis 2004;23(9):665-71. doi:
10.1007/s10096-004-1183-8 [published Online First: 2004/07/20]
74. Daniels J, Gray J, Pattison H, et al. Rapid testing for group B streptococcus during labour:
a test accuracy study with evaluation of acceptability and cost-effectiveness. Health
technology assessment (Winchester, England), 2009.
75. Honest H, Sharma S, Khan KS. Rapid tests for group B Streptococcus colonization in
laboring women: a systematic review. Pediatrics 2006;117(4):1055-66. doi:
10.1542/peds.2005-1114 [published Online First: 2006/04/06]
Page 40 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 42: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
22
76. Ohlsson A, Shah Vibhuti S. Intrapartum antibiotics for known maternal Group B
streptococcal colonization. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2014(6) doi:
10.1002/14651858.CD007467.pub4
77. Colbourn T, Asseburg C, Bojke L, et al. Prenatal screening and treatment strategies to
prevent group B streptococcal and other bacterial infections in early infancy: cost-
effectiveness and expected value of information analyses. Health technology
assessment (Winchester, England) 2007;11(29):1-226, iii. [published Online First:
2007/07/27]
78. Raffle A, Gray M. Screening: Evidence and Practice. Oxford: Oxford University Press 2007
79. Kurz E, Davis D. Routine culture-based screening versus risk-based management for the
prevention of early-onset group B streptococcus disease in the neonate: a systematic
review. JBI database of systematic reviews and implementation reports
2015;13(3):206-46. doi: 10.11124/jbisrir-2015-1876 [published Online First:
2015/10/09]
80. Bauserman MS, Laughon MM, Hornik CP, et al. Group B Streptococcus and Escherichia
coli infections in the intensive care nursery in the era of intrapartum antibiotic
prophylaxis. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2013;32(3):208-12. doi:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/INF.0b013e318275058a
81. Ecker KL, Donohue PK, Kim KS, et al. The impact of group B Streptococcus prophylaxis on
early onset neonatal infections. Journal of Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine
2013;6(1):37-44. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/NPM-1363312
82. Gopal Rao G, Townsend J, Stevenson D, et al. Early-onset group B
<em>Streptococcus</em> (EOGBS) infection subsequent to cessation of screening-
based intrapartum prophylaxis: findings of an observational study in West London,
UK. BMJ Open 2017;7(11) doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-018795
83. Lukacs SL, Schrag SJ. Clinical sepsis in neonates and young infants, United States, 1988-
2006. J Pediatr 2012;160(6):960-5 e1. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2011.12.023 [published
Online First: 2012/01/21]
84. Schrag SJ, Farley MM, Petit S, et al. Epidemiology of Invasive Early-Onset Neonatal
Sepsis, 2005 to 2014. Pediatrics 2016;138(6) doi: 10.1542/peds.2016-2013
[published Online First: 2016/12/13]
Page 41 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 43: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
23
85. Horvath B, Grasselly M, Bodecs T, et al. Screening pregnant women for group B
streptococcus infection between 30 and 32 weeks of pregnancy in a population at
high risk for premature birth. International Journal of Gynecology and Obstetrics
2013;122(1):9-12. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijgo.2013.01.027
86. Angstetra D, Ferguson J, Giles WB. Institution of universal screening for Group B
streptococcus (GBS) from a risk management protocol results in reduction of early-
onset GBS disease in a tertiary obstetric unit. The Australian & New Zealand journal
of obstetrics & gynaecology 2007;47(5):378-82. doi: 10.1111/j.1479-
828X.2007.00760.x [published Online First: 2007/09/20]
87. Seedat F, Stinton C, Patterson J, et al. Adverse events in women and children who have
received intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis treatment: a systematic review. BMC
Pregnancy and Childbirth 2017;17 doi: 10.1186/s12884-017-1432-3
88. Aloisio I, Mazzola G, Corvaglia LT, et al. Influence of intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis
against group B Streptococcus on the early newborn gut composition and evaluation
of the anti-Streptococcus activity of Bifidobacterium strains. Applied Microbiology
and Biotechnology 2014;98(13):6051-60.
89. Aloisio I, Quagliariello A, De Fanti S, et al. Evaluation of the effects of intrapartum
antibiotic prophylaxis on newborn intestinal microbiota using a sequencing approach
targeted to multi hypervariable 16S rDNA regions. Applied Microbiology and
Biotechnology 2016;100(12):5537-46. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00253-016-
7410-2
90. Arboleya S, Sanchez B, Milani C, et al. Intestinal Microbiota Development in Preterm
Neonates and Effect of Perinatal Antibiotics. J Pediatr 2015;166(3):538-44.
91. Arboleya S, Sanchez B, Solis G, et al. Impact of Prematurity and Perinatal Antibiotics on
the Developing Intestinal Microbiota: A Functional Inference Study. Int 2016;17(5)
doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijms17050649
92. Corvaglia L, Tonti G, Martini S, et al. Influence of Intrapartum Antibiotic Prophylaxis for
Group B Streptococcus on Gut Microbiota in the First Month of Life. J Pediatr
Gastroenterol Nutr 2016;62(2):304-08.
93. Jaureguy F, Carton M, Panel P, et al. Effects of intrapartum penicillin prophylaxis on
intestinal bacterial colonization in infants. Journal of Clinical Microbiology
2004;42(11):5184-88.
Page 42 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 44: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
24
94. Mazzola G, Murphy K, Ross RP, et al. Early gut microbiota perturbations following
intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis to prevent group B streptococcal disease. PLoS
ONE 2016;11 (6) (no pagination)(e0157527) doi:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0157527
95. Azad MB, Konya T, Persaud RR, et al. Impact of maternal intrapartum antibiotics,
method of birth and breastfeeding on gut microbiota during the first year of life: a
prospective cohort study. Bjog 2015 doi: 10.1111/1471-0528.13601
96. Keski-Nisula L, Kyynarainen HR, Karkkainen U, et al. Maternal intrapartum antibiotics
and decreased vertical transmission of Lactobacillus to neonates during birth. Acta
Paediatr 2013;102(5):480-85.
97. Cox LM, Yamanishi S, Sohn J, et al. Altering the intestinal microbiota during a critical
developmental window has lasting metabolic consequences. Cell 2014;158:705–21.
98. Francino MP. Antibiotics and the Human Gut Microbiome: Dysbioses and Accumulation
of Resistances. Frontiers in Microbiology 2015;6 doi: 10.3389/fmicb.2015.01543
99. Saari A, Virta LJ, Sankilampi U, et al. Antibiotic exposure in infancy and risk of being
overweight in the first 24 months of life. Pediatrics 2015;135(4):617-26. doi:
10.1542/peds.2014-3407
100. Li Q, Han Y, Dy ABC, et al. The Gut Microbiota and Autism Spectrum Disorders.
Frontiers in Cellular Neuroscience 2017;11 doi: 10.3389/fncel.2017.00120
101. Ashkenazi-Hoffnung L, Melamed N, Ben-Haroush A, et al. The Association of
Intrapartum Antibiotic Exposure With the Incidence and Antibiotic Resistance of
Infantile Late-Onset Serious Bacterial Infections. Clin Pediatr 2011;50(9):827-33.
102. Glasgow TS, Young PC, Wallin J, et al. Association of intrapartum antibiotic exposure
and late-onset serious bacterial infections in infants. Pediatrics 2005;116(3):696-702.
103. Gordon M, Samuels P, Shubert P, et al. A randomized, prospective study of adjunctive
ceftizoxime in preterm labor. American journal of obstetrics and gynecology
1995;172(5):1546-52. [published Online First: 1995/05/01]
104. Roca A, Oluwalana C, Bojang A, et al. Oral azithromycin given during labour decreases
bacterial carriage in the mothers and their offspring: a double-blind randomized
trial. Clin Microbiol Infect 2016;22(6) doi: 10.1016/j.cmi.2016.03.005
Page 43 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 45: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
25
105. Stoll BJ, Hansen N, Fanaroff AA, et al. Changes in pathogens causing early-onset sepsis
in very-low-birth-weight infants. New England Journal of Medicine 2002;347(4):240-
47. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa012657
106. Huang J, Li S, Li L, et al. Alarming regional differences in prevalence and antimicrobial
susceptibility of group B streptococci in pregnant women: A systematic review and
meta-analysis. Journal of global antimicrobial resistance 2016;7:169-77. doi:
10.1016/j.jgar.2016.08.010 [published Online First: 2016/11/13]
107. Phares CR, Lynfield R, Farley MM, et al. Epidemiology of invasive group B streptococcal
disease in the United States, 1999-2005. Jama 2008;299(17):2056-65. doi:
10.1001/jama.299.17.2056 [published Online First: 2008/05/08]
108. Kenyon S, Pike K, Jones DR, et al. Childhood outcomes after prescription of antibiotics
to pregnant women with spontaneous preterm labour: 7-year follow-up of the
ORACLE II trial. Lancet 2008;372(9646):1319-27. doi:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(08)61203-9
109. Kenyon S, Hagberg H, Norman JE. Preterm Labour, Antibiotics, and Cerebral Palsy.
United Kingdom: RCOG, 2013.
110. Kenyon S, Pike K, Jones DR, et al. Childhood outcomes after prescription of antibiotics
to pregnant women with preterm rupture of the membranes: 7-year follow-up of
the ORACLE I trial. The Lancet 2008;372(9646):1310-18. doi: 10.1016/S0140-
6736(08)61202-7
111. Mulla ZD, Ebrahim MS, Gonzalez JL. Anaphylaxis in the obstetric patient: analysis of a
statewide hospital discharge database. Annals of allergy, asthma & immunology :
official publication of the American College of Allergy, Asthma, & Immunology
2010;104(1):55-9. doi: 10.1016/j.anai.2009.11.005 [published Online First:
2010/02/11]
112. O’Connor M, Nair M, Kurinczuk J, et al. UKOSS Annual Report 2016. Oxford: National
Perinatal Epidemiology Unit, 2016.
113. McCall SJ, Bunch KJ, Brocklehurst P, et al. The incidence, characteristics, management
and outcomes of anaphylaxis in pregnancy: a population-based descriptive study.
Bjog 2017 doi: 10.1111/1471-0528.15041 [published Online First: 2017/12/02]
Page 44 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 46: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
26
114. Lin FY, Troendle JF. Hypothesis: Neonatal respiratory distress may be related to
asymptomatic colonization with group B streptococci. Pediatr Infect Dis J
2006;25(10):884-8.
115. Dinsmoor MJ, Viloria R, Lief L, et al. Use of intrapartum antibiotics and the incidence of
postnatal maternal and neonatal yeast infections. Obstetrics & Gynecology
2005;106(1):19-22.
116. Wohl DL, Curry WJ, Mauger D, et al. Intrapartum antibiotics and childhood atopic
dermatitis. J Am Board Fam Med 2015;28(1):82-9. doi:
http://dx.doi.org/10.3122/jabfm.2015.01.140017
117. Department of Health. UK Five Year Antimicrobial Resistance Strategy 2013 to 2018,
2013.
Page 45 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 47: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
27
Conflict of interest declarations:
This research was commissioned by the UK National Screening Committee (NSC). Sian
Taylor-Phillips, Chris Stinton, Hannah Fraser and Aileen Clarke are supported by the National
Institute for Health Research CLAHRC West Midlands initiative. Anne Mackie is the Director
of the UK NSC, John Marshall is the Evidence Lead and Cristina Visintin is an Evidence
Review Manager for the UK NSC. The views expressed in this publication are those of the
authors and not necessarily those of the NHS, the National Institute for Health Research,
Public Health England, or the Department of Health. Any errors are the responsibility of the
authors.
Data sources and contributors:
The sources of information used to prepare this manuscript are from the NSC policy reviews
of 2012 and 2016, in addition to the GBS model that was developed by the UK NSC, and
studies on GBS epidemiology and screening published after the 2016 NSC review.
This piece of research and the completion of this manuscript involved a multi-disciplinary
team of information specialists, epidemiologists, infectious disease, microbiology, and
obstetrics and gynaecology consultants, screening and public health specialists, statisticians,
and reviewers. AM, the Director of the UK NSC, JM, the Evidence Lead for the UK NSC, and
CV, an Evidence Review Manager contributed to the writing of this manuscript but did not
conduct any of the review processes or the synthesis and interpretation of the original
reviews. The research team below conducted the 2016 NSC review for GBS.
FS has completed a PhD specialising in GBS screening and has previously conducted
systematic reviews, including NSC reviews; FS secured funding, co-ordinated the review
process, developed the protocol, created and applied the search strategy to collect the data,
sifted, extracted, and quality assessed 20% of the articles, and synthesised the data for the
2016 review. FS also combined the evidence from the 2012 and 2016 NSC evidence reviews
selecting the best available evidence for the purpose of this article and led the writing of
Page 46 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 48: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
28
this manuscript. JG is an expert systematic reviewer specialising in screening and test
accuracy and has previously conducted NSC reviews; JG carried out data sifting, extraction,
quality assessment, and synthesis for all of the data for the 2016 review, reviewed the
merging of data between the 2012 and 2016 evidence reviews, and reviewed the
manuscript for redrafting. OU, CS and KF are also expert systematic reviewers who have
conducted previous reviews for the NSC and health technology assessments for NICE; they
contributed to protocol development for the 2016 review and reviewed this manuscript for
redrafting. JP is a medical doctor with expertise in evidence-based medicine and systematic
reviews who has conducted NSC reviews; JP reviewed this manuscript for redrafting. NM is
an academic public health physician and epidemiologist with expertise in infectious disease
control, ER is the lead public health microbiologist for East Midlands Pubic Health England,
and CB is a consultant in infectious diseases and medical microbiology at Public Health
England; they contributed to protocol development for the 2016 review and reviewed this
manuscript for redrafting, providing expertise on infection and microbiology. BT is a clinician
scientist, consultant obstetrician & gynaecologist and RCOG accredited subspecialist in
reproductive medicine who has managed numerous patients with GBS in pregnancy; BT
contributed to protocol development for the 2016 review and reviewed this manuscript for
redrafting, providing obstetrics and gynaecology expertise. SJ is an academic support
librarian and HF has studied the Masters in Screening course; they contributed to protocol
development, search strategy development, and data collection of the 2016 review, and
reviewed this manuscript for redrafting. AC is a clinical public health academic who heads
the Division of Health Sciences at the Warwick Medical School and leads one of nine
technology assessment review teams providing systematic reviews to NICE; AC contributed
to protocol development for the 2016 review, and reviewed this manuscript for redrafting.
STP is an associate professor of screening and test evaluation with wide experience in
systematic reviews specialising in screening, including NSC reviews; STP secured the
funding, co-ordinated the review process and developed the protocol for the 2016 review,
and reviewed this manuscript for redrafting.
Acknowledgements
Page 47 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 49: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
29
We would like to thank Dr Michael Millar, Dr Arlene Reynolds, and Dr Magdalena Skrybant
for providing advice and input into this research. We would also like to thank Nick
Johnstone-Waddell for providing graphical input for the report.
Licence
“The Corresponding Author has the right to grant on behalf of all authors and does grant on
behalf of all authors, an exclusive licence (or non exclusive for government employees) on a
worldwide basis to the BMJ Publishing Group Ltd ("BMJ"), and its Licensees to permit this
article (if accepted) to be published in The BMJ's editions and any other BMJ products and
to exploit all subsidiary rights, as set out in our licence.”
Page 48 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960
![Page 50: Confidential: For Review Only - BMJ · 2019-02-27 · Confidential: For Review Only 2 steady in Emilia-Romagna in Italy at around 0.28 per 1,000 live births from 2003 to 2008.37 The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022041715/5e4aae824c5f7b7224038e4b/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
Confidential: For Review Only
631,512 term pregnant women in UK
138,933 GBS positive 492,579 GBS negative
some will change GBS status during pregnancy
350 term neonates with EOGBS
deaths10
treated and recover286-310
long term disability30-54
573,448 term pregnant women in UKYear 2000
126,159 GBS positive 447,289 GBS negative
some will change GBS status during pregnancy
205 term neonates with EOGBS
deaths13
treated and recover162-175
long term disability17-30
represents 4,000 women
represents 50 neonates
represents 4,000 women
represents 50 neonates
Year 2014
Page 49 of 49
https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj
BMJ
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960