connecting the dots for urban revitalization: lessons from dortmund, germany
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URBAN PAPER SERIES 2014
CONNECTING THE DOTS FOR URBAN REVITALIZATION
LESSONS FROM DORTMUND, GERMANY
ALAN MALLACH
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2014 Te German Marshall Fund o the United States. All rights reserved.
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On the cover: Dortmund, Germany, skyline. Alissa Akins
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C D U R
L D, G
U P P S
J
Alan Mallach1
1 Alan Mallach is a senior non-resident fellow for the German Marshall Fund of the United States. In that role, he supportsGMFs Cities in Transition Initiative. This publication is part of the Cities in Transition Initiative, a three-year projectdesigned to build a sustained network of leading policymakers and practitioners in five older industrial U.S. cities: Detroitand Flint, Michigan; Cleveland and Youngstown, Ohio; and the greater Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania region. The initiative isgenerously supported by the Surdna Foundation and the Kresge Foundation.
Connecting the Dots: Defining Urban Regeneration. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Economic Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Physical Transformation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Dortmund Today: How Extensive has the Transformation Been? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Future Challenges: Implications for U.S. Cities in Transition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
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C D U R 1
C D:
D U R1
This case study grows out of the Cities in Tran-sition initiative of the German Marshall Fund
of the United States, through which close to
50 key planners, policymakers, and practitioners in
five United States older industrial cities Cleve-
land, OH; Detroit, MI; Flint, MI; Pittsburgh, PA;
and Youngstown, OH participated in a sustained
knowledge transfer effort from 2010 through 2012
through site visits and conversations with coun-
terparts in a number of European cities, including
Manchester, U.K.; Barcelona, Spain; and Leipzig
and Dortmund, Germany. The focus of the CIT
initiative was not only to provide the U.S. practi-tioners with the opportunity to learn about and
share specific projects and strategies, but to begin
thinking more holistically about the larger issues
associated with urban regeneration that they were
confronting in their cities.
Each of the three years of the CIT initiative focused
on a different part of the urban puzzle: the first
year on land use and redevelopment, the second
on economic development, and the third on the
alignment between workforce development and
economic development. The phrase connecting
the dots was used as a shorthand for the process of
integrating the learning from the three years, which
was the focus of the concluding workshop of the
CIT initiative held in May 2013 in Detroit. Roughly
two-thirds of the U.S. practitioners who had been
involved in some part of the initiative were present
at that workshop.
The threshold issue in the workshop and for
thinking about regeneration in general is to
adequately define urban regeneration. In the next
few pages, I will offer a framework for an integrated
way of thinking about urban regeneration. I willthen explain why a case study of Dortmund offers
both a useful way of applying that framework and
valuable lessons for the many United States cities
that it so closely resembles in important respects.
What Urban Regeneration is Not
Before discussing what urban regeneration is, it
is useful to address briefly what it is not. It is not
megaprojects, the so-called Bilbao effect notwith-
standing; it is not catalytic events and it is not the
statistical change reflected in a reversal of a popula-
tion decline trend.
Some facilities and events mayfurtherregeneration,
and a reversal of population loss may be evidence
of regeneration, but it also may not. One of the
United States most distressed smaller industrial
cities, Reading, Pennsylvania, has seen its long-
term population decline dramatically reversed since
the 1990s, and yet is poorer and struggling harder
than ever (Mallach 2012). A recent study found no
clear relationship at the metropolitan level between
population growth and GDP growth (Martin Pros-
perity Institute 2013).
An oft-cited example of an event heralded as a cata-
lyst of change was the IRA bombing of downtown
Manchester in northern England in June 1996. The
bomb, which destroyed or severely damaged over
1 million square feet of retail and office space, trig-
gered a rapid response from the citys political andcivic leadership. Planning for reconstruction was
underway before the end of the year, and by 2000,
the entire area had been rebuilt, in turn spurring
extensive redevelopment in surrounding areas.
While Manchester was already showing important
signs of change, there is little doubt that the recon-
struction helped spark additional regeneration.
Manchesters effective response to the bombing was
no accident. For more than a decade, city govern-
ment had been building its capacity and its part-
nerships with non-governmental entities, withoutwhich they could not have responded as effectively
to the challenge of reconstruction. That sustained
process, and not the bombing, was the essential
precondition for change, which gives the lie to
Chicago Mayor Rahm Emmanuels famous but
erroneous dictum, you never want a crisis to go to
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T G M F U S2
waste. Unless the capacity to respond effectively tothe crisis is already present, the crisis will inevitably
go to waste in whole or large part. Youngstowns
black Monday was as dramatic a crisis as the
Manchester bombing, yet prompted no meaningful
change.1While factors outside the citys control
were also involved, Youngstown lacked the leader-
ship, partnerships, resources, or technical sophisti-
cation to translate the crisis into change.
It is not the catalytic event that triggers change. The
ability to capitalize on a crisis or a catalytic event
is a function of the capacity and leadership already
in place. The same is true of major facilities such ascasinos, convention centers, and arenas, or for that
matter, the Guggenheim Museum in Bilbao.2Only
to the extent that they are integrated into a larger
strategy, which leverages whatever effects they may
bring to bear, can they contribute meaningfully to a
citys regeneration.
Defining Urban Regeneration
What, then, is urban regeneration? There is no
generally accepted definition. The term is used in
the literature in ways that vary from narrowly phys-
ical definitions such as slum clearance, to broader
holistic ones that embrace societal indicators. Simi-
larly, it is sometimes used to describe a process, as
in one paper that defines urban regeneration as a
process to improve the economical, physical, social,
and environmental condition of an area (Mehta
2008), or as outcomes. While the process by which
change takes place is of critical importance, the
1 On Monday, September 19, 1977, the Youngstown Sheet &Tube Company announced that it would be closing two of itsarea locations, the beginning of a decades-long out-migration of
steel jobs and resulting economic crisis.2 Writers who claim that the Guggenheim Museum turnedaround Bilbao fail to recognize the extent to which thatmuseum was only one part of a much larger integrated revital-ization strategy; an example appears in an otherwise thoughtfulbook by Bell and de-Shalit (2011, p3), who write Frank Gehrysspectacular museum in Bilbao almost single-handedly changedthe Spanish city from a declining industrial center into a meccafor tourism. For a more nuanced perspective, see Plger (2012).
outcomes ultimately determine whether the processhas been productive and whether the community
(however defined) is better off for it. As an over-
arching definition, I would therefore propose that
urban regeneration be defined as change to a citys
social, economic, and physical conditions in a way
that is both equitable and sustainable. That, in turn,
suggests that regeneration should encompass three
distinct pillars:
Building a new export-oriented economic
base in the city to replace the lost historic
manufacturing economy;
Changing the quality of life and the physical
environment of the city and its neighborhoods
to make them desirable to potential users, and
competitive in the regional marketplace; and
Improving the social and economic conditions
of the people who live in the city, ensuring that
they benefit from changes to the citys economic
and physical environment and compete
effectively in the regional marketplace.
These three pillars should be seen not as separate
goals, but as a package in which all three are needed
to bring about sustainable urban vitality. Moreover,
for a city to succeed in any or all of them it must
recognize the extent to which it is integrated into
the regional economy and the labor and housing
markets, and focus on competing successfully
within that regional market by identifying sectors
where the city has an identifiable comparative
advantage.
This last point is worth stressing. Autarchy is
not a recipe for economic success in todays
world, particularly when applied to cities that aredisproportionately poor and lacking in resources
compared to their region or the nation as a whole.
While import substitution activities, such as efforts
to retain resident purchasing power by creating
local retail hubs, mayhave some value, in the
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C D U R 3
final analysis they are likely, even if successful, to
have more impact on residents quality of life than
on the citys economic strength. As an unnamed
pundit has been quoted as saying, You cant have
an economy by taking in each others laundry.
(Browne, 1986; Chicago Tribune, 2010)
Returning to GMFs Cities in Transition initia-tive, the three elements that formed that initiative
can been seen as three ways for operationalizing
an integrated approach to urban regeneration; as
Figure 1 shows, those three elements cut across
the three pillars. While each contributes toward
the overall goal of sustainable regeneration, that
contribution is not automatic. It is easy enough for
land use planners, economic developers, or work-
force specialists to work in silos. Ensuring that they
further an integrated body of goals, and that success
in one area does not lead to unanticipated negative
outcomes in another, happens only through inten-
tional and integrated strategies.
Implicit in improving the social and economic
conditions of the citys residents is the larger ques-
tion of social inclusion and equity. Any effort to
formulate a strategy for success needs to explicitly
address the complex issue of justice as it cuts across
all of the citys dimensions. The concept of the just
city can be encapsulated in a triple proposition:
that the city furthers democracy, diversity, and
equity (Fainstein, 2010). As will be discussed at the
end of this paper, this remains perhaps the single
greatest challenge facing cities in transition.
Why Dortmund?
Although these issues can be explored further as
general propositions, it is also useful to look at
how they play out in a real-life context through a
case study. In that respect, and in the context of the
CIT initiative, Dortmund offers some significant
advantages.3Dortmunds historic dependence on
heavy industry resembles many of the U.S. cities
that participated in the initiative more than most
of the other European cities that were the subject
of site visits, and shares more of their challenges.Moreover, one can point to and evaluate system-
3 See GMF website for further information on the third-yearCIT study tour to Dortmund, particularly the framing paper byLinda Fowler, available at http://gmfus.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/Linda_Fowler_Framing_Paper.pdf.
Improving Social and
Economic Conditions
Competitive Local
Neighborhoods
Export-Oriented
Economic Base
Land Use Improving the quality of lifefor the people who live in thecity by addressing physical
environment and problemproperties
Making neighborhoods compet-itive by addressing physicalenvironment, problem proper-ties and quality of life
Making city a successfuleconomic center and destina-tion through property reuseand building on physical andhistoric assets
Economic
Development
Building job and businessopportunities in a strongerlocal economy based onregional strengths
A stronger local and regionaleconomy increases the marketbase and level of investment incity neighborhoods
An effective economic devel-opment strategy is neededto build new and sustainableeconomic engines
Workforce
Development
Providing city residents withthe job skills and educationalattainment they need in orderto compete effectively in theregional economy
Greater resident income andassets foster increased demandfor and investment in cityneighborhoods
More skilled workforcebecomes major assets increating new economicengines
Figure 1: Cross-Cutting Relationships Between City Initiatives and Urban Regeneration Pillars
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T G M F U S4
atic strategies that were pursued over an extendedperiod of time in all of the areas that were high-
lighted above in the discussion of urban regenera-
tion. Thus, it is possible to offer some assessment
of the outcomes of those strategies and identify key
remaining challenges. As will be seen, its achieve-
ments and challenges offer meaningful lessons for
similar U.S. cities.
The case study presented here should be seen as a
sketch, rather than a full-dress study, of Dortmund
and its strategies for change. It does not claim to
be an in-depth analysis, but reflects insights and
impressions from meetings with key participants andobservers of Dortmunds revitalization and devel-
opment activities and review of English-language
papers and articles.4Rather than provide detailed
4 To my regret, my command of German is not adequate toallow me to access the considerable body of relevant litera-ture in German, including by way of example a recent volumeedited by Hermann Bmer and his colleages at the DortmundTechnical University, Stadtentwicklung in Dortmund seit 1945[Urban Development in Dortmund since 1945] published by TUDortmund in 2010.
descriptions of those activities, it sketches thembriefly in order to offer a framework for the discus-
sion of issues and challenges and identify experi-
ences and lessons that can be useful for U.S. cities.5
5 As a result, it is likely to be subject to both errors of fact anderrors of interpretation, for both of which I take full respon-sibility. A number of errors of fact and interpretation thatappeared in the initial draft of this paper have been correctedthanks to the gracious assistance of Prof. Thorsten Wiechmannof TU Dortmund, who read and reviewed the initial draft.
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C D U R 5
Dortmund is located in the southeastern partof Germanys Ruhr Valley, historically one
of the most heavily industrialized regions
in the world. An important city during the Middle
Ages, Dortmunds modern history begins with
Germanys industrialization during the second half
of the 19thcentury. During that period, Dort-
mund became a major center for coal-mining and
steel-making.6Between 1850 and 1900, its popula-
tion increased 11 times, to over 150,000 (Jackson
1997); by 1930, the citys population had risen to
over 500,000. Today, Dortmunds population totals
almost 600,000.Dortmund was badly damaged by Allied bombing
during World War II; as Crouch and Herson (2010)
point out, [British] observers can find it difficult
to comprehend the full extent of destruction and
disruption that afflicted Dortmund and other
German cities at the end of World War II. Most
of the inner part of the city was reduced to rubble,
while the citys population dropped to 300,000.
Dortmunds recovery from the destruction of World
War II was unusually rapid, even by comparison
to other German cities. The demands of German
reconstruction, coupled with the rapid growth of the
German economy during the 1960s, fueled demand
for Dortmunds principal products, and coal and
steel production were both ramped up substantially
during the 1950s and 1960s. Population and employ-
ment both grew back rapidly; coal-mining employ-
6 As well as beer-making, which although far less significant as asource of employment or income, was an important part of thecitys image in the rest of Germany. In contrast to coal, which hascompletely disappeared, and steel, which is limited to small-scale processing facilities, one major brewery still operates inDortmund today.
ment peaked in 1956 at 40,000, while steel employ-ment peaked in 1961 at 38,000. During this period,
the citys population exceeded 600,000 for the first
time (Crouch and Herson 2010). The city center was
rapidly rebuilt, but as Kunzmann and his colleagues
point out, The speedy reconstruction of the inner
city in the 1950s is a heavy legacy and to a great
extent it is responsible for the poor aesthetical quality
of the city, a fact that contributes to the mediocre
urban image of Dortmund and to its low profile as
a target for urban tourism (Kunzmann, Tata and
Buchholtz 2003).
The combination of rapid physical reconstructioncoupled with renewed post-war dependence on
coal and steel as the economic base put off serious
consideration of structural change for a number of
decades; as late as 1976, manufacturing jobs still
represented one-third of the citys employment
base. By the 1980s, structural change was evident.
Coal mining had been declining since the 1970s,
and the last mine in the city closed in 1987. Steel
production peaked in 1974, and by the 1980s,
the industry was in crisis. Dortmunds popula-
tion slowly tailed off after 1981, and it has since
remained below 600,000. The citys population
appears stable today; 2011 data indicates that while
deaths exceeded births, in-migration exceeded
out-migration, resulting in a net positive balance of
roughly 500 people.7
7 This may be misleading; the just-released results of the 2011German census, the first in many decades, showed that thenational population tracking system had over-estimated thenations population by 1.5 million, largely, it appears, because ofsystemic under-reporting of out-migration by foreign nationals.
B
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T G M F U S6
Although it would be unfair to suggest that noplanning for a different economic future for
the city took place until the 1980s, the strat-
egies for economic development in place today did
not emerge until the 1980s and 1990s. The Technol-
ogie Zentrum Dortmund [TZDO], or Dortmund
Technology Center, was established in 1985, and
the Dortmund-Project was established in 2000.8
These two closely linked entities have driven the
citys economic development strategy for the past
decade, and are likely to continue doing so in the
future. This section will provide short descriptions
of the activities of these two entities and brieflydiscuss the citys use of culture as an economic
development strategy.
The Dortmund-Project
The Dortmund-Project is responsible for designing
and implementing economic development strate-
gies for the city.9Though it operates within the
citys economic development department, it is
accountable to the mayor and to a public-private
advisory board. It was established in 1999, when
the initial strategy was designed under the aegis
of a partnership between the steel conglomerateThyssenKrupp AG, the metalworkers union IG
Metall, and the city of Dortmund. This partnership
emerged from the negotiations that took place as a
result of ThyssenKrupps decision to close the West-
fallenhtte, the last steel mill in Dortmund (Muhge
et al 2006).10The strategy was put in place for an
initial ten-year period through 2010, and in the last
few years it has been restructured to some extent.
8 This followed the expansion and conversion of the citys
economic development office into an independent public corpo-ration in 1997.
9 According to one informant, the Dortmund economic develop-ment department is the largest municipal economic develop-ment office in Germany.
10 ThyssenKrupp paid to hire McKinsey & Company as theprincipal consultants charged with designing the strategy, withsupport from staff seconded from ThyssenKrupp.
The Dortmund-Project is designed to be a compre-hensive model of economic development, orga-
nized around a series of key technology clusters
integrated around four central elements:
Area and infrastructure: creating the physical
as well as organizational infrastructure to
accommodate new industry in the key clusters;
Innovative environment: fostering
entrepreneurship and innovation through
business start-ups;
People and skills: increasing the pool ofworkers with the skills to participate in the
emerging technology centers and reducing
unemployment; and
Capital: increasing access to both debt and
venture capital.
Four key clusters were identified as the focus of the
Dortmund-Project:11
Information technology
Micro- or nanotechnology
Logistics
Biotechnology
In partnership with TZDO and TU Dortmund,
the Dortmund-Project attempts to create distinct
comprehensive support systems for both start-ups
and existing businesses in these four sectors. This
system is based principally on the competence
centers comparable to U.S. incubators admin-
istered by TZDO and cluster staff within Dortmund-
Project. Cluster staff are recruited from the industrysector itself, rather than being economic develop-
ment or training generalists assigned to that sector.
11 Dortmund-Project provides support services in a numberof areas that are not formally designated as clusters, but thatare integrated into their strategy, including the creative sector,broadly defined, and health care. One such area, productiontechnology, also has a competence center in TZDO.
E S
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C D U R 7
In addition to direct support facilities and infra-structure, and its role as the developer of the
Phoenix Project and other major projects, the
Dortmund-Project sees two of its key tasks as
building a climate of entrepreneurship and linking
the workforce to emerging business and job oppor-
tunities. The principal vehicle for the former is the
Start2Grow competition, a high-profile business
plan competition, which draws between 200 and
300 competitors each year. With respect to work-
force development, since Germany already has a
highly developed system for vocational training,12
the principal role that the Dortmund-Project playsis to provide information, making students in the
local schools aware of the technology sectors and
the opportunities they offer, connecting students
and companies through internships, and encour-
aging training providers to orient their activities
more closely with emerging industry needs.
Since 2009, the Dortmund-Project has modified
their strategy to focus more on what they call cross-
clustering; that is, identifying emerging markets
where clusters can be linked to respond to the
needs of those markets. Examples of sectors include
simulation, mobility, or energy efficiency. Specific
product-oriented targets are shown in Figure 2. It
may be more accurate to think of the cross-clustering
approach as a refinement of the initial cluster
strategy, rather than a departure from it.
TechnologieZentrum Dortmund
The TZDO is the principal vehicle through which
facilities and infrastructure for the target clusters
12 The system, which is based on a combination of apprentice-ships and in-school education related to the field of the appren-ticeship and which is administered by the two principal businesschambers (Kammers), is generally held to be effective andwidely admired elsewhere. One informant suggested, however,that it is not as responsive to the needs of emerging technolo-gies as it should be. The two chambers are the Industrie- undHandelskammer (Chamber of Business and Industry) and theHandwerkskammer (Chamber of Crafts). While the former isoften translated as Chamber of Commerce their activities andtheir role in German society are substantially different fromthose of U.S. Chambers of Commerce.
are provided. It was established in 1985, on landowned by the city and TU Dortmund immediately
to the west of the university, reflecting its goal of
leveraging the growing talent pool represented
by the university.13The TZDO is a public-private
venture, led by the city of Dortmund (the largest
shareholder), the two Chambers, a consortium of
local lenders, and the citys two principal institu-
tions of higher education, TU Dortmund and the
Fachhochschule [University of Applied Sciences].14
The TZDO offers 10 different competence centers.
They are mostly located at the main facility near
the university, but the logistics center is located atthe port, while the micro-technology and produc-
tion technology centers are located in the flagship
Phoenix West development in the southern part of
the city. The facilities range from providing basic
start-up office space and services, such as the B1st
Software-Factory for start-up software designers, to
facilities with extensive lab equipment for biotech-
nology, and even prototype manufacturing capa-
bility for micro-technology. Altogether, TZDOs
facilities contain roughly 1.3 million square feet
(120,000 square meters) of space.15
In order to encourage growing firms to stay in
Dortmund after they have outgrown the compe-
tence centers, TZDO created a development arm,
TZ Investment Co., to build facilities for such
firms, formerly on land near the university and
increasingly on the TZDO land in the Phoenix
development. All in all, the TZDO estimates that
it has spun off some 520 firms, of which 280 are
still located in Dortmund. Those 280 firms employ
8,500 workers.
13 TU Dortmund was only established in 1968.
14 The Fachhochschule principally offers degrees in engineeringfields and computer science, although it also has programs ineconomics, social sciences, architecture, and design. Its enroll-ment is approximately 11,000, or somewhat less than half thesize of TU Dortmund.
15 The TZDO is also one of the three partners in the Kitz.DOproject, a hands-on technology learning center for children.
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T G M F U S8
The Regional Connection: A Short Note
While the greater part of Dortmunds economic
strategy appears to be driven by the local actors andis designed to focus specifically on the city as such,
it would be misleading to suggest that it is not part
of a larger regional strategy to which it contributes
and from which it benefits. Although the breadth
of the citys regional relationships and the extent
of regional activity in the Ruhr Valley is a major
subject well beyond the scope of this case study, it is
too important not to address at all.
Under the rubric of Metropoleruhr, a networkof regional organizations and agencies exists to
further regional strategies throughout the Ruhr
Valley. The Regionalverband Ruhr [Ruhr Regional
AssociationRVR] provides overall coordination
of municipal and regional planning, and manages
important regional assets such as the Industrial
Figure 2: Cross Clustering Around Markets
None Proposed Potential Actual
SOURCE: Adapted by author from presentation by Dr. Claudia Keides, Dortmund-Project
Market
Simulation Mobility Energy Resources
Cluster
BiotechnologyPharmacy studies Lab on a chip Biogass/mass
Industrial biotech-nology
Business servicesBusiness models
Business models fore-mobility
Energy contracting Efficiency contracting
CreativeSerious games Mobile apps Sustainabilityawareness-raising Green marketing
Health careMedical imaging
Ambient assistedliving
Hospital engi-neering
Hospital engineering
Information
technology CAD Mobile apps Smart grids Rapid prototyping
Logistics Supply chain simu-lation
e-mobility Green logistics RFID control
Micro-technologyMicro-sensors RFID transponders Energy harvesting New surfaces
Production
technology Production processsimulation
Mobile maintenanceIntelligent produc-
tion buildingsNew materials
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C D U R 9
Heritage and the Emscher Landscape Park. Withrespect to economic development, a regional quasi-
governmental corporation, the Wirtschaftsfrde-
rung [economic development] metropole Ruhr
GmbH, supports local efforts through a wide range
of planning, service provision, and promotion
activities. Regional transportation systems are coor-
dinated through the Verkehrsverbund Rhein-Ruhr,
while scientific and research coordination is
furthered through the Universittsallianz [Alliance
of Universities] Metropole Ruhr, an alliance of the
regions three major universities, including TU
Dortmund, established in 2007.At the state level, the Land of North Rhine-
Westphalia has adopted a strong cluster-oriented
economic development policy under the title of
ExcellenceNRW, grounded in a strategy of targeted
support to industrial clusters. The states efforts are
designed to support and foster public, privat,e and
institutional co-operation within 16 industries and
technology fields selected on the basis of growth
potential and state-level competitive advantage. The
presence of this policy, which is highly congruent
with the Dortmund-Project, and the level of state-
level support that it provides have both enhanced
the ability of Dortmund to pursue its local cluster-
based economic development strategy.
While it is hard to quantify, the value of being part
of an extensive and highly sophisticated network
of regional entities is likely to be considerable. The
Ruhr Valley was designated the European City of
Culture for 2010, and a regional strategy for maxi-
mizing the cultural assets of the entire region was
developed, in which Dortmund actively partici-
pated and from which it benefited. Conversely, the
Start2Grow competitions initiated in Dortmund,while initially limited to Dortmund-based entities,
have since taken on a regional focus, while still
being administered locally.
Other regional dimensions are even harder to
quantify but are just as important. The regional
focus on industrial heritage [industriekultur] hasbecome a major element of tourist and visitor
promotion, and is a culturally unifying theme for
people and projects in the entire region. This can
be seen in the extent to which the visual symbol of
the regions industrial heritage, the distinctively-
shaped mineshaft tower of the Zollverein colliery
in Essen (Figure 3), sometimes referred to as the
Eiffel Tower of the Ruhr, has started to be absorbed
into the regions popular visual vocabulary in such
areas as store signs, company logos, and refrigerator
magnets.
While Dortmunders have a strong sense of localidentity, their sense of being part of the Ruhr
region and sharing in the elusive quality referred
to as Ruhrpott may be even stronger. While their
continued economic rivalry with Essen is very real,
it is the rivalry of competitive colleagues.
Cultural and Creative Strategy
Although the technology-driven model of the
Dortmund-Project and TZDO represents the domi-
nant economic development model in Dortmund,
Figure 3: The Zollverein Tower In Essen
Source: Thomas Wolf (Wikimedia Commons)
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T G M F U S10
ment of the Rheinischestrasse Quarter south of the
Dortmunder U as an arts district. Given that no
development of this type exists in Dortmund, the
citys goal is not only to accommodate artists desire
for a distinctive environment, but, as the director
of the Kulturbro commented, to make the city
interesting.
Dortmund cultural authorities see a strong recip-
rocal relationship between the citys push for a
high-technology economy and the arts. A key part
of the theory underlying the citys support for the
arts is that in so doing, they can create the type of
environment that will enable the city to retain a
healthy percentage of the large pool of arts-relatedgraduates from the citys universities, and make the
city attractive to the creative class as Florida broadly
defines it, thus serving the larger goal of retaining
and increasing the technology sector.
Figure 4: The Dortmunder U
Source: Mathias Bigge (Wikimedia Commons)
the city is also strongly focused on cultural andartistic development, and has recently pursued a
Richard Florida-esque approach to identifying and
promoting what can loosely be characterized as the
creative sectors of the local economy.16
The Kulturbetreib (department of cultural services)
is organized as an Eigenbetreib, or semi-autono-
mous agency of the city of Dortmund. The depart-
ment includes the bureau of culture (Kulturbro) as
well as a number of facilities and programs. These
include the Dortmunder U, described below, and
the Jedem Kind ein Instrument [Every child an
instrument] music school, which enrolls roughly8,000 children in its programs. The bureau of
culture tries to develop facilities and venues for
artists and to integrate culture and the arts into the
citys life. Bureau staff are proud of the fact that
they support a wide range of cultural and artistic
activities, including popular arts and new media,
in contrast to the high art focus that still remains
strong in much of German official cultural life.
The citys cultural flagship project is the Dort-
munder U, the conversion of a historic brewery at
the edge of the city center into an arts and mediacomplex (Figure 4). The project, which was the
citys principal contribution to the designation of
the Ruhr as the European Capital of Culture in
2010, contains a wide range of facilities to support
artists, including museums and gallery space,
hands-on workshops focusing on film and new
media, classrooms, and performance spaces. Films
are projected on its windows and the illuminated
U atop the tower a local landmark since initially
built in 1927 is visible from much of the city. The
Dortmunder U is only one of many arts-related
facilities that have been developed by or with theassistance of the city, including jazz clubs, media
centers, cultural centers, and artists residence/work
spaces. The city is currently exploring the develop-
16 Richard Florida identified that a key pillar of a citys economicgrowth is the ability to attract the creative class and success-fully integrate them into a local knowledge economy.
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C D U R 11
While such a strategy may show results as long aspublic money is available to support it, it may have
difficulty becoming self-sustaining. Dortmund
suffers from some important constraints in that
respect; as the same individual noted, it is still
a relatively low-income city, with relatively few
affluent, educated households, yielding only a small
pool of serious arts consumers. As a result, artists
who stay in Dortmund have much more difficulty
making a living from their art than they might in a
city with a stronger, better-established art market.
Dortmund may be a good place for an artist to startout, but may not be a good place for an artist to
become establish.
The city has also begun to promote the creative
sector more broadly under the rubric of Dortmund.
Kreativ, including within not only traditional arts,
but sectors such as advertising, software design, and
media. It is not clear, however, to what extent this
has been integrated with other parts of the citys
economic development strategy.
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T G M F U S12
character. Most residential areas are made up ofmodest and generally well-maintained small multi-
family buildings, as shown in Figure 5.
The Nordstadt, the neighborhood immediately
north of the city center generally considered the
most distressed neighborhood in Dortmund, looks
little different from other parts of the city except in
subtle signs of graffiti and litter. The city is under-
taking revitalization projects in a number of areas,
including the Nordstadt, Hrde, and the Rheinisch-
estrasse quarter.
A drawback of the city from the standpoint ofeconomic development is the reality that while
not unattractive, Dortmund lacks variety. While
the overall standard of housing is adequate, little
Figure 5: Typical Housing Types In Dortmund
Near the city center
A more outlying neighborhood
SOURCE: Google Earth
In the course of recognizing the need foreconomic transformation beginning in the 1980s,
city officials also recognized the need for physical
transformation, particularly of the city center,
which had been rebuilt largely from scratch after
World War II. Although the buildings built during
the 1950s and 1960s are at best undistinguished,
they have two virtues. For the most part, the build-
ings form continuous street walls, and few of them
are more than five or six stories high. As a result,
the city was able to extensively reconfigure the city
center through urban design strategies. Since the
adoption of the City-Konzept 2000 plan in 1988,the city center has seen a profound transformation,
most visible in the network of interlocking attrac-
tive public squares and pedestrian ways that has
been created. A signature project to develop the
main train station into a nearly 1 million square
foot retail, entertainment, and services center was
first proposed in 1997 but was abandoned in 2007
when adequate financing did not materialize.
For all its attractive public spaces, the city center
continues to lack a distinctive character or a
coherent hub, while the city as a whole has few
notable buildings or monuments. Arguably the
single most prominent building in the city, one that
is well-known throughout Europe, is the Westfalen-
stadion, the 80,000 seat stadium built in 1974 where
Dortmunds famous Borussia football club plays.
Two notable downtown development projects are
the Philharmonic Hall and the glass atrium created
to link the old and new city government offices.
While both play a part in enhancing the quality of
life in the city center, neither functions as a central
organizing space.
Dortmund is a spread out city by German standards,reflecting its origins in a process by which a large
number of small, distinct villages and towns were
consolidated into a single city. Much of the area
between these former villages has been preserved
in open space, and the city takes pride in its green
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C D U R 13
is distinctive, and few neighborhoods can be saidto have a distinctive urban character of their own.
Only a handful of the citys neighborhoods, such
as the Gartenstadt Sd [Southern Garden City]
roughly 2 kilometers east of the city center (Figure
6), offer the larger flats or detached single-family
houses (villas) that might draw or retain more
affluent professionals or business people. Diversi-
fying the housing stock to that end was an impor-
tant driving force behind the residential dimension
of the Phoenix project.
The Phoenix project is the citys flagship redevelop-
ment project (Figure 7). The project is actually twosites linked by a green corridor containing a total
of 530 acres (214 hectares), divided by the center
of Hrde, a town roughly 4 kilometers southeast of
the city center, which was absorbed into the city of
Dortmund early in the 20thcentury. The two sites
were previously devoted to a single steel mill that
closed in 2001.
Site remediation and development has moved
ahead steadily, and a great deal of redevelopment
has taken place on both sites. Although much more
remains to be done, what remains now is almost
entirely a matter of building out development-ready
parcels. Reflecting this, the interdepartmental
Phoenix working group, which met almost weekly
for the past decade as the project gradually moved
forward, was dissolved in spring 2013.
Figure 7: The Phoenix Project
SOURCE: Stadt Dortmund / stegepartner
Figure 6: The Gartenstadt Sd
SOURCE: Google Earth
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T G M F U S14
Phoenix East has undergone the most dramatic
change. In place of the steel mill, a 60 acre (24
hectare) lake nearly 4,500 feet (1,370 meters) long
has been created, surrounded by public open space
and terraced banks, on which expensive single
family houses are being constructed.17In the part
of the site closest to the center of Hrde, higher
density development is under way, principally
apartments with ground floor retail and services,
designed to connect with and reinforce the oldercenter. Ultimately, some 2,000 housing units are
planned for the site. As of spring 2013, develop-
ment of the areas along the northern and western
banks of the lake was more than halfway to comple-
17 According to one informant, prices for the houses run from700,000 and up.
tion, while development of the southern bank wasslated to begin that year.
In contrast to the area around the lake, Phoenix
West is being developed to support the continuing
growth of the citys technology sector, with a
combination of TZDO facilities, including the
micro-technology competence center, and sites
marketed to or developed for technology-oriented
firms, particularly those that have outgrown their
space in the competence centers. In addition to new
buildings, the western site contains a substantial
number of historic industrial buildings that were
preserved in the course of development, includingthe principal blast furnace of the old steel mill.
Maintaining and finding appropriate reuses for
these buildings, however, has become a difficult
challenge for the city, which continues to hold them
despite its desire to find private users for them.
The Phoenix project is well on a path to success,
and represents a significant achievement. Nonethe-
less, the city still contains large numbers of vacant
or underutilized brownfields sites, as well as rail-
road yards, which await redevelopment.18Whether
Dortmund will be able to mount future redevelop-ment initiatives on a comparable scale remains to
be seen.
18 According to Dortmund-Project staff, the city contains some1,500 acres (600 hectares), or over 2 square miles, of brownfieldssites.
Figure 8: New Development on Phoenixsee
SOURCE: Pelz (Wikimedia Commons)
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C D U R 15
In many respects, Dortmund can be seen as amodel for other cities from an economic devel-
opment perspective. While they have pursued
economic development goals since the 1980s, since
the founding of the Dortmund-Project in 2000, the
city has organized its economic development efforts
around a coherent, well-defined strategic agenda
with consistency and focus that are rare in the
field of urban economic development, whether in
Germany, the United States, or elsewhere. During
these years, the city and its partners have made
major investments in physical facilities such as the
TZDO19
and the Phoenix project, while buildinghuman capital and fostering start-up businesses and
entrepreneurs.
Dortmund has also shown a highly networked
approach to its economic development strategy,
with strong cooperation and integration between
public and private entities. As one informant
commented, in the 1990s, we were so far down,
everybody agreed we had to work together. The
networks include not only governmental partner-
ships between the city and the land (state) of North
Rhine-Westphalia, and between the city and the
two Chambers, but also between those entities, the
two principal universities, the citys financial insti-
tutions, and others.
The role of the universities, particularly TU Dort-
mund, in the citys economic growth is a significant
one. They represent a principal means by which
the city gains a highly skilled workforce and a body
of emerging innovators and entrepreneurs. This is
very notable in the field of information technology,
where the relationship between TU Dortmund
and the TZDO is particularly close, and where the
strength of that program was a major element inthe Dortmund-Project decision to make IT one
of its major cluster targets. While no single strong
leader from among the many institutions involved
19 According to an informant, total public investment in theTZDO since its inception has been 160 million.
was identified by informants, decisions appear to bemade and effective and strategic actions are taken
with a strong level of consensus.
It is important to note, however, that this is very
much an elitenetwork. There appears to be little
systematic effort at broader public participa-
tion, while few non-governmental organizations
(NGOs) appear to play a substantial role in the
economic or physical planning process in the city.
This appears to be true in many other German
cities as well, although there are indications that it
may be changing.20Without suggesting that such
activities or organizations are a panacea, theirabsence may contribute to the difficulty the city
is finding in addressing some of its more complex
and, it appears, increasingly entrenched social and
economic problems.
With respect to employment, Dortmund has
made a significant, but arguably still incomplete
transition to a post-industrial economy. In 1976,
Dortmund had 227,000 jobs eligible for social
insurance,21of which approximately 75,000 were in
the manufacturing sector; this number, however,
already represents a decline from peak manufac-turing employment of the 1950s and 1960s. By
2006, the total number of jobs had dropped to
185,000, of which 25,000 were in the manufacturing
sector. Thus, during that 30-year period, growth in
other sectors replaced only a small percentage of
the jobs lost in manufacturing.
20 This also appears to be the case in Leipzig, as it appeared fromthe meetings and presentations during the first CIT study tour.While mechanisms for public participation exist in German lawand practice (Friesecke 2011), they do not appear to play a majorrole in decision-making in Dortmund, judging from informantsresponses to my questions. To be fair, it should be noted that
the scope of the case study did not al low for examination of thecitys neighborhood-scale planning and redevelopment efforts. Itis also worth noting that in recent years, both national and stategovernments have placed greater emphasis on civic participa-tion, although the NGO infrastructure remains limited bycomparison to the United States.
21 This figure, which reflects full-time wage employment, isthe most commonly used employment statistic in Germany. Itappears to represent about 70 percent of all workers.
D T: H E
T B5
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T G M F U S16
total job growth inrecent years. Even so,
the total number of
jobs in 2012 was still 10
percent below the 1976
level.
While Figure 9 suggests
that the growth in jobs
has had some effect
on the unemployment
rate, unemployment in
Dortmund has remained
stubbornly high. At13.3 percent, it is nearly
double the national
unemployment rate,
while the actual number
of unemployed has
remained unchanged
from 2007 through the
spring of 2013. Nearly
half of the unemployed
have been so for the
long term,24continuously for one year or longer.
While this is a very high percentage by United
States standards,25it is close to the German nationa
average, and does not appear to reflect any specific
local conditions.
The persistence of high unemployment in Dort-
mund appears to be closely associated with the
growing problem of concentrated poverty, which
is in turn disproportionately associated with
non-ethnic German and immigrant populations.
This reflects the problems of social exclusion, and
the potential for increasing ethnic and economic
divergence in the city, something which may beexacerbated rather than reduced by the focus
24 While high, this is well below the estimates made by someinformants.
25 The percentage of long-term unemployed in the United Statesusing a much broader def inition namely, those unemployed27 weeks or longer was 37.6 percent in May 2013.
Figure 9: Jobs in Dortmund 2000-2011
SOURCE: Schulze and Ellwein (2012)
This trend appears to have reversed significantly in
recent years. While the target of 70,000 new jobs in
ten years set by the Dortmund-Project in 2000 waspatently unrealistic and not achieved, some prog-
ress has been made. Figure 9 shows the number of
jobs eligible for social insurance in Dortmund, an
increase of 18,500 jobs, or 10 percent, between 2006
and 2011.22Technology-related23jobs, although
making up only 9 percent of the citys total job base,
represented 27 percent of the increase between
2008 and 2012. Since these are heavily export-
oriented jobs, their multiplier is likely to account
for a significant percentage of the increase in other
sectors. It appears not unreasonable to suggest that
technology has driven half or more of the citys
22 The curve of job decline and growth shown in Figure 9 closelyparallels national trends during this period.
23 The category freiberufliche, wissenschaftliche, und tech-nische Dienstleistungen [free-lance, scientific, and technicalservices].
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C D U R 17
on technology-driven economic development,
particularly if as appears to be the case the
local labor market is not able to provide the special-
ized workforce that this sector needs to sustain its
growth.26The percentage of jobs in Dortmund held
by commuters from outside the city has increasedfrom 38 percent in 2000 to nearly 44 percent in
2012.27
A similar issue is posed by the development of
the Phoenix project and its potential impact on
the social and demographic character of Hrde,
one of the citys lowest income neighborhoods.
Gentrification and the potential displacement of
lower income Hrde residents would appear to be
a highly probable outcome of the success of the
26
One informant reported that many of Dortmunds technologyfirms are importing workers with specialized skills from over-seas, particularly India and China.
27 This is a considerably smaller commuter share than incomparable cities in the United States, and reflects both the lesspronounced long-distance commuting patterns of the Germanworkforce as well as the very large geographic area covered bythe city of Dortmund (280.4 square kilometers or 108.3 squaremiles.)
Phoenix project. Indeed,it is hard to imagine
circumstances under
which significant
change is notlikely to
happen. The center of
Hrde, in addition to
providing the nearest
shopping district, is
the hub of the public
transportation services
that will be used by
the residents of thePhoenix development,
and, moreover, is an
area that retains rather
more of its Wilhelmine
charm and walkability
than most other parts of
Dortmund (Figure 11).
While significant evidence of gentrification has yet
to emerge, the city has yet to respond to its poten-
tial in the near future. As is true in many similar
United States cities where overall property values
and housing costs are low by national standards,
the tension between addressing gentrification and
the compelling goal of fostering stronger property
values and a more diverse housing market remains
unresolved.
Figure 10: Unemployment In Dortmund 2000-2012
SOURCE: Schulze and Ellwein (2012)
Figure 11: Downtown Hrde
SOURCE: Google Earth
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T G M F U S18
Dortmund today is a very different city than itwas 50 or 100 years ago, although it is a city that
continues to be in transition rather than one that
has clearly established its 21stcentury role. It is a
far cleaner and greener city, it offers a better quality
of life to its residents, and can boast a potentially
strong emerging technologically-driven economy
than before. At the same time, as Couch (2010)
writes, Dortmund has made considerable progresstoward competitiveness. [] The problem is that it
started from a position of disadvantage compared
with other regional cities such as Dusseldorf, Kln,
or Frankfurt, and these cities have not stood still
either, so there has been little change in the relative
position of Dortmund. That leads to Dortmunds
ongoing challenges.
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C D U R 19
The Central Economic Challenge
Couchs observation exemplifies the central
challenge to Dortmunds economic devel-
opment. Dortmund has demonstrated
that it can go a considerable way to building a
technology sector in the local economy, creating
in the process a fairly substantial number of jobs
through a massive and focused investment of
public resources. It should also be emphasized
that public resources are not limited to financial
resources. One of the great strengths of the way in
which Dortmund has executed its strategy is in the
manner in which it has mobilized highly skilledand often specialized human capital to further the
growth of its target clusters.
Notwithstanding continuing challenges, the inten-
tionality and focus of Dortmunds determined effort
to build a new technologically driven local economy
are impressive, and many features of this effort are
worth serious consideration by economic develop-
ment planners in the United States, independent of
the level of public resources available. While there
is undoubtedly some difference between the level
of public resources devoted to economic develop-ment in Germany compared to the United States,
that difference should not be exaggerated or seen
as making the Dortmund experience less relevant.
Cities in the United States spend substantial sums on
economic development, both with respect to staffing
public and quasi-public development entities, and
in the form of often highly generous incentives for
development projects.
The central lesson of Dortmunds experience is the
extent to which it is afocusedstrategy focused
not only in the decision to prioritize a limited
number of technology clusters, but even more in
the many decisions about howto most effectively
use available resources to maximize outcomes in
those clusters. This focus is readily apparent in even
the small details of the staffing and operation of the
TZDO and its facilities.
At the same time, the question remains whetherDortmunds technology sector is either self-
sustaining or capable of further growth without
continued substantial public investment. Can
Dortmund hold its high-tech innovators and their
firms, or is the city incubating talent that will then
migrate to Dusseldorf, Munich, or Silicon Valley?
This issue is a critical one to older industrial cities
in the United States as well; while Pittsburgh, with
its massive eds and meds sector and exceptional
quality of life, may be on track to create a self-
sustaining critical mass of technology-oriented
growth, the same does not yet appear to be true ofthe other cities in the CIT initiative.28
Moretti (2012) has pointed out the many ways in
which a city, once behind in the skills and innova-
tion race, is likely to find it harder and harder to
catch up. Low housing prices and cost of living,
as well as a generically good quality of life both
of which Dortmund offers may not draw or
hold the technological innovators, or the pool of
highly skilled workforce that they need to succeed.
Morettis analysis is even more relevant to the
United States; as he writes:
There are three Americas. At one extreme
are the brain hubs cities with a well-
educated labor force and a strong innova-
tion sector. They are growing, adding good
jobs, and attracting even more skilled
workers. At the other extreme are cities once
dominated by traditional manufacturing,
which are declining rapidly, losing jobs and
residents. In the middle are a number of
cities that could go either way.
The question is whether history is destiny, and
whether a city can make the transition from one of
28 Although, among the four other cities, it is clear that Cleve-land and Detroit, for all their difficulties, have a significantedge in this respect over Flint and Youngstown. This highlightsthe additional extent to which small older industrial cities arearguably doubly disadvantaged in the competition for talent andsustainable growth.
F C: I
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T G M F U S20
the Americas to another. Figure 12 shows recent job
trends for the five cities that were part of the GMF
initiative. As the figure shows, only one of the five
cities, Pittsburgh, showed overall job growth during
the last decade, although Clevelands job losseswere markedly less than those of the other three
cities, supported by growth of over 50 percent in
the education and health care sectors. Of the cities
shown, it is possible that Pittsburgh may be making
that transition; although it has only three-quarters
of the population of Cleveland and less than half
that of Detroit, it has more jobs than either. Pitts-
burghs growth is also heavily dependent on the
health care and education sectors; between 2002
and 2011, those sectors added over 30,000 jobs in
the city, offsetting a loss of 9,000 jobs in other parts
of the local economy. Pittsburgh also stands out
from the other cities in transition in terms of the
educational attainment of its workforce, as shown
in Figure 13.29This factor has been singled out
by Moretti (2012) and many others as a powerful
determinant of a city or regions growth potential.
The competitiveness challenge may become even
greater in coming years. Dortmund and those other
cities playing catch-up are likely to be affected
by the macroeconomic policies arising from the
continuing eurozone fiscal crisis, and this will likely
have an impact on social supports or discretionary
funds for continued investment in technology
sectors or large-scale redevelopment (Bmer 2005).
Not surprisingly, uncertainty over the sustain-
ability of their efforts was a recurrent theme in my
interviews with both practitioners and observers of
Dortmunds economic development efforts.
While U.S. cities in transition may have been ableto mobilize less public sector support for economic
development than German cities, the degree to
which both economic development and physical
29 The percentage of adults in Pittsburgh with a bachelors orhigher degree (34.4 percent) is significantly higher than thenational percentage (28.2 percent).
Figure 12: Job Trends in Five Cities 2002-20111
SOURCE: Bureau of the Census On-The-Map (city data); Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics program
(national data)
1 These are the earliest and most recent years available from the Bureau of the Census On The Map site, the only data source to providejobs data that allows comparisons between municipalities.
2 The national data provided by the BLS uses somewhat different ways of categorizing jobs by sector, as a result of which there may besome inconsistency between the national and local data presented in Figure 7.
Jobs 2002 Jobs 2011 %
2002-
2011
Eds/Meds
share
2002
Eds/Meds
share
2011
% Eds/
Meds share
2002-2011
Cleveland 262,586 256,480 - 2.3% 22.6% 36.5% + 61.5%
Detroit 276,083 231,805 - 16.0 29.1 33.4 + 14.8
Flint 60,222 40,373 - 33.0 25.1 37.4 + 49.0
Pittsburgh 245,284 266,933 + 8.8 27.6 36.8 + 33.3
Youngstown 34,947 29,218 - 16.4 42.4 38.4 - 9.4United
States
127,523,760 128,278,550 + 0.6 13.42 15.5 + 15.7
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C D U R 21
redevelopment in U.S. cities over the past decades
has been fueled by public sector resources should
not be underestimated. To the extent that those
resources are diminishing, it will also mean that
future growth will be largely limited to those
economic sectors and geographic areas, if any, that
have achieved economic take-off and no longer
require public sector support.
In many cities, that is likely to constrain development
of new economic engines and limit the ability of the
city to foster neighborhood revitalization or physical
redevelopment outside areas already seen as prime
locations, such as University Circle in Cleveland.
The Challenge of Physical Redevelopment
and Revitalization
While the Phoenix project, particularly Phoenix
East with its new lake, has been admirably
conceived and executed, one cannot say that itis unique or fundamentally different from many
successful brownfields redevelopment projects
in the United States. Steel industry sites have
been successfully redeveloped in Pittsburgh and
Youngstown, with Pittsburghs Washingtons
Landing or Summerset especially worthy of note.
Similarly, many olderindustrial cities in the
United States have seen
significant redevelop-
ment take place in their
downtowns and in areas
surrounding major
universities and medical
centers. Although
such development is
particularly notable in
Pittsburgh and Cleve-
land, cities such asYoungstown and Flint
have seen life begin to
return to their down-
towns in recent years
despite the persistence
of pressing problems.
As cities in transition redevelop downtowns and
other central core areas, they can learn a useful
lesson from Dortmund and other European cities
in their treatment of the public realm.
While U.S. downtowns have attractive public openspaces, such as Campus Martius in Detroit or Mellon
Square Park in Pittsburgh, they are relatively few
and rarely linked to a network of open spaces and
pedestrian connections. Such a network has enabled
Dortmund to create a city center that in many
respects is more appealing and livable than most
U.S. downtowns, despite the fact that its buildings
are far less distinguished than those found in most
downtowns of older cities in the United States. While
one can argue that this is another manifestation of
the greater level of public sector resources available
for that purpose in Germany, we would suggest thatit has more to do with a lack of serious attention to
the quality of the public realm in U.S. cities outside
signature projects like Campus Martius.
Certainly, cities like Cleveland, where billions of
dollars are being invested in mixed-use develop-
Figure 13: Percentage of Adults 25+ with a Bachelors or Higher Degree
SOURCE: Five-Year American Community Survey 2007-2011
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T G M F U S22
ments in downtown and University Circle, and in
major medical and entertainment facilities,
could work with those developers to create a far
more vibrant public realm in those parts of the city.
The larger challenge facing cities in transition is
how to extend redevelopment and revitalization
beyond the central core the downtown and the
areas around major university and medical facili-
ties and a handful of closely linked residential
areas to the rest of the city in order to foster both
a better quality of life and greater market vitality
in the neighborhoods that represent both the lions
share of each citys land area and where the greatmajority of each citys population lives. Gentrifica-
tion is a far less important issue in cities in transi-
tion than is the spread of neighborhood decline and
abandonment. Using median house sales prices as a
proxy for market strength, Figure 14 illustrates the
Figure 14: Median Sales Price by Census Block Group in Cleveland 2012
SOURCE: The Reinvestment Fund/PolicyMap
Downtown,
Warehouse District,
Ohio City, and Tremont
University Circle
and Little Italy
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C D U R 23
pattern in Cleveland. All of the areas in the city thatcontain any significant market strength are in two
small clusters, one near downtown and the other
around the University Circle area. The vast majority
of the citys land area either has weak market condi-
tions, reflected in house prices that are often under
$30,000, or effectively no market, where there were
too few sales transactions in the course of the year
to enable the median to be calculated.
This pattern of small clusters of vitality surrounded
by large areas of weakness is typical of cities in
transition. In the case of Youngstown and Flint,
it is hard to characterize any of the citys residen-tial areas as truly strong market areas, although
some retain functional levels of market activity.30
A map of population growth would look very
similar; a few pockets of growth in many cases
from the in-migration of young single people
and couples (so-called millennials) and large
areas where population continues to decline. The
evidence strongly suggests that growth in eds and
meds employment and downtown revival does
not lead to broader neighborhood revival, as the
new in-migrants tend to cluster in high-density
mixed-use areas, and the new jobs created are filled
overwhelmingly by suburban commuters. As Aaron
Renn has aptly written, the creative class doesnt
have much in the way of coattails. (2013)
The question of these cities neighborhoods is inti-
mately linked to larger issues of poverty and race,
with substantial and in many cases growing
racial disparities of income, employment, and
educational attainment in cities in transition. The
importance of neighborhood effects in perpetu-
ating intergenerational poverty and unemploy-
ment has been well documented by recent research(Sampson 2012, Sharkey 2013). Unless this issue is
30 We would argue that at a minimum, a strong market areamust have house prices at or above replacement cost, and thus beadequate to motivate buyers to fix up vacant houses and devel-opers to utilize vacant lots for infill development. By this stan-dard, no part of either Flint or Youngstown even comes close.
confronted, and successfully addressed, a future inwhich these cities are made up of enclaves of pros-
perity surrounded by a sea of poverty and disinvest-
ment is not unrealistic.
The Challenge of Social Inclusion
The third challenge facing Dortmund and U.S.
cities in transition is the extent to which they are
divided by social, ethnic, and economic fault lines,
which may be growing rather than diminishing.
While poverty and unemployment in Dortmund
are far from exclusively the problem of ethnic
minorities, minorities are significantly over-represented in the ranks of the poor and unem-
ployed. Twenty-six percent of the unemployed in
Dortmund in 2013 were foreign nationals, roughly
double their population share. This includes many
of the children and grandchildren of the gstarbe-
iter, so-called guest workers who were recruited
to work in the mines and the steel mills during the
post-war ramping up of coal and steel production,
as well as more recent immigrants from the poorer
countries in the EU.
Although mitigated in its effects by a stronger
social safety net, the social profile visible in Dort-
mund is similar in many respects to that of U.S.
older industrial cities. The German educational
system, according to one informant, while highly
effective at teaching children from middle-class
households, or from households with supportive
and engaged parents, is far less effective with the
children of low-income households, particularly
those from dysfunctional households or non-
ethnic German backgrounds. Many students drop
out before receiving a vocational qualification,
sharply increasing the likelihood of their expe-riencing sustained unemployment and poverty
as adults. With the ethnic German population
aging, a growing percentage of the young people
in Dortmund are from other ethnic backgrounds,
and increasingly likely to be poor. According to the
same informant, roughly one-third of the children
http://www.censusscope.org/us/s26/rank_dissimilarity_white_black.htmlhttp://www.censusscope.org/us/s26/rank_dissimilarity_white_black.htmlhttp://www.censusscope.org/us/s26/rank_dissimilarity_white_black.htmlhttp://www.censusscope.org/us/s26/rank_dissimilarity_white_black.htmlhttp://www.censusscope.org/us/s26/rank_dissimilarity_white_black.html -
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T G M F U S24
in the city live in familiesbelow the poverty level,
compared to 14 percent for
the state of North Rhine-
Westphalia.
Dortmunds social divide
translates into a spatial
divide, in which the
northern part of the city is
more a lower income area,
and the south more affluent.
Hrde, a lower income
area in the southern part ofthe city, is an exception to
this pattern, but it appears
to be at significant risk of
gentrification as a result of
the impacts of the Phoenix
development. While it is far
from a foregone conclusion, there is a significant
risk that the Dortmund of tomorrow will be a more
segregated city, socially, ethnically and spatially,
than the Dortmund of today. While similar cities
in the United States are already highly segregated
by race and economic status, it is likely that current
trends will tend to increase rather than mitigate
existing patterns of segregation.31
This challenge is two-fold. For any city to be able
to mount a sustained effort to tackle the issues of
economic and racial inequality and foster greater
social and economic inclusion, it will need to
maintain a steady level of economic growth. Their
ability to sustain economic growth, however, will
be affected by larger macroeconomic trends and
national (and in Europe, EU) policies. These trends
and policies will define overall levels of national andregional economic growth as well as the availability
31 Dissimilarity indices, a widely used measure of racial segrega-tion, are high in all five cities in the GMF initiative, ranging from79.4 in Cleveland and 76.8 in Flint to 64.2 in Youngstown and63.3 in Detroit. See http://www.censusscope.org/us/s26/rank_dissimilarity_white_black.html, accessed September 5, 2013.
of funds for continued investment at the local level,
and largely determine the extent to which older
industrial cities will be able to compete with other
economically more powerful cities throughout the
world. At the same time, as Dortmund has shown,
strong local strategies and sustained focus onwell-defined economic targets can influence a citys
outcome, albeit within the parameters established by
larger forces around them.
To varying degrees, U.S. cities in transition have
demonstrated the ability to foster both economic
and physical transformation. Pittsburghs reuse
of brownfields sites for mixed-use development,
Youngstowns industrial redevelopment, and the
development of University Circle and the Euclid
Avenue corridor in Cleveland, are all significant
achievements. At the same time, all of these cities
continue to demonstrate significant and growingdisparities in economic and social condition,
disparities that are considerably exacerbated by
race, as illustrated in Figure 15.
The central challenge for all of these cities and
their European counterparts is to find the key to
Figure 15: Percentage of Adults 25+ with a Bachelors or Higher Degree
SOURCE: Five-Year American Community Survey 2007-2011
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C D U R 25
leveraging their successful efforts at economic andphysical revitalization in order to reduce, rather
than exacerbate, racial and economic disparities,
and better link the citys population to emerging
opportunities. Although not entirely a function
of workforce and human capital development
strategies, such strategies are a critical element in
the picture. They must be multifaceted, and may
include any and all of the following:
Expanding early childhood education;
Improving K-12 schools, and providing better
links between public education and the workworld;
Better mobilizing the resources of training
programs and community colleges to
improve the workforce skills in lower income
communities;
Better linking economic development activities
with workforce development programs;
Working with major area employers to hire
more city residents, including development of
career ladders to offer opportunities for upward
mobility in areas such as the health care sector;
Enacting local hire or first source ordinances
requiring firms receiving discretionary benefits
from local government to hire locally;32and
Improving transportation access for urban
workers to major suburban job centers.
32 A number of cities have also enacted living wage ordinances,which mandate that firms receiving some form of discretionaryassistance from the city pay their workers a living wage, which,although varying from city to city, is significantly higher thanthe statutory minimum wage. There is considerable disagree-ment over whether such ordinances provide greater benefitby increasing the earnings of low-wage workers, or harm bydiscouraging firms from locating in cities with such ordinances.In the final analysis, it is likely that the greater a citys competi-tive advantage, the more likely that the effects of the ordinancewill be positive. There is an extensive, but largely inconclusiveliterature of this subject.
Economic growth may be a necessary conditionfor addressing poverty, unemployment, and social
exclusion, but abundant evidence has shown that it is
not a sufficient condition. As Dortmunds experience
shows, but the experience of U.S. cities shows even
more powerfully, economic growth and selective
spatial revitalization do not solve these problems; a
rising tide does not lift all boats. Only by connecting
the dots in ways that explicitly confront these issues
is there any realistic hope of gaining ground. This
demands that a citys leaders engage with the wider
community, explicitly confront these issues, work to
foster inclusion in planning and decision-making,and muster the political will to implement inten-
tional strategies to overcome the widening economic
and social gaps affecting their cities.
Cities in the United States and Europe are facing
challenges that, however different they may look
on the surface, are actually closely related. Not
only Germany, but many other countries including
France and the U.K., are all facing the challenge of
integrating immigrant populations. As such, U.S.
and European cities have a great deal to learn from
one another by sharing information and by collabo-
rating with one another on projects that integrate
transatlantic knowledge-sharing into their design
and execution, focused on the central question of
connecting the dots, both in the narrower sense
of connecting working development, economic
development, and physical change, and in the larger
sense of fostering equity and inclusion in the cities of
tomorrow. We are hopeful that the German Marshall
Funds Cities in Transition initiative will be the
beginning of a sustained effort in this direction.
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