Consultation on

Emerging DRR Needs in Changing Context of Myanmar: Global and Regional Context

Source: AHTF

Sudhir Kumarsudhir@adpc.net

Asian Disaster Preparedness Center

Yangon, Myanmar, 2nd April 2012

Outline of today’s talk

• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN

region and linkages with Myanmar

• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at

Global level

• Increased economic activity vis-à-vis

disaster risks

• Climate Change: re-configuring

disaster risks

Outline of today’s talk

• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN

region and linkages with Myanmar

• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at

Global level

• Increased economic activity vis-à-vis

disaster risks

• Climate Change: re-configuring

disaster risks

Key recent DRR developments in ASEAN Region •AADMER (ASEAN Agreement on Disaster Management and Emergency Response) has been ratified and enforced since 2009• SASOP (SOP for Regional Standby

Arrangements and Coordination of Joint Disaster Relief and Emergency Response Operations) a Guide for regional disaster response

• ADDMER Work Program 2010-2015 – Regional Framework on Disaster Managements, which outlines prioritized actions & interventions

• Establishment of the the ASEAN Humanitarian Assistance [AHA] Center in Jakarta to function as regional hub to facilitate coordination and cooperation on disaster management among among ASEAN members

DRR Landscape in ASEAN Region

• Increased regional cooperation on Disaster Risk Management especially on disaster response among ASEAN members

• Myanmar (& other members) to fulfill its commitments and support operationalizing of AADMER• Policy and administrative procedures realigned

Ex Deployment of resources and assistance such as ex. Response team, relief items, equipment, etc.

• Institutional Strengthening Ex Setting up National Focal Point

• Capacity Building of officials and others

• APG (ASEAN Partnership Group) of NGOs formed to supplement country’s effort for implementation of AADMER

Likely implications

Outline of today’s talk

• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN

region and linkages with Myanmar

• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at

Global level

• Increased economy activity vis-à-vis

disaster risks

• Climate Change: re-configuring

disaster risks

• Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) 2005- 2015: the Framework for DRR has been endorsed by 168 countries including Myanmar

• Myanmar Action Plan on DRR’s Priorities (Components) also linked with the HFA Priorities and AADMDER Articles

• Post-2015 Framework discussion initiated

2005-2015 DRR Framework

Five HFA Priorities:1.Making disaster risk reduction a priority.2.Improving risk information and early warning.3.Building a culture of safety and resilience.4.Reducing the risks in key sectors.5.Strengthening preparedness for response.

• Key trends are as follows:

Implication: Towards Post-2015 DRR Framework (draft)

• Exposure to disaster risk is increasing & rapid urbanization a key driver

• All countries are vulnerable• Risk is accumulating as economies grow. • Few countries systematically account for

disaster losses• Disaster risk management in development

planning• Growing recognition about government’s

responsibility for effective DRR policy planning and implementation through a transparent and multi-stakeholder approach

• Culture of DRR based on joint ownership between local and central government and risk-prone communities

• Develop tools on how good practice is achieved

• Future DRR interventions including in

Myanmar is likely to be informed of these trends

Outline of today’s talk

• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN

region and linkages with Myanmar

• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at

Global level

• Increased economic activity vis-à-vis

disaster risks

• Climate Change: re-configuring

disaster risks

• New openings, Inflow of Investment & economic aid

• Mega-projects including infrastructure projects

• GDP focused growth• Windfall incomes may be used financing

investment in infrastructure development, social and productive sectors

• Rich natural resource can lead to ‘resource curse’

• Implication : DRR inclusive development planning and implementation in all sectors

Increased economic activities

Dominican RepublicHaiti

Outline of today’s talk

• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN

region and linkages with Myanmar

• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at

Global level

• Increased economic activity vis-à-vis

disaster risks

• Climate Change: re-configuring

disaster risks

y = -0.5905x + 145.55

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Dur

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n(da

ys)

Nothern to Southen Mean Linear (Nothern to Southen)

Duration of Monsoon since Onset in Northern till Withdrawl from Southern Myanmar Areas(1955-2008)

1977

(1977)113

(1979)102

130

(2004)100

• Climate change is re-configuring the disaster risks and manifest as extremes event. Ex The 2010 Floods of Pakistan

• The hazards are viewed beyond ‘natural’ as processes climate change and other factors shape and configure hazards, which mean it is becoming increasingly difficult to disentangle their natural and human attributes.

• In Myanmar, the rainfall duration has significantly reduced in over last 5 decades

• It is also posing sever threat to to sectors such as agricultural, health, etc

Climate change and disaster risks

Implication : Climate inclusive Disaster risk reduction

Today’s talk Covered

• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN

region and linkages with Myanmar

• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at

Global level

• Increased economic activity vis-à-vis

disaster risks

• Climate Change: re-configuring

disaster risks

Thank you