contents · pdf fileencourage a consumer-driven economy ... promote import substitution ......
TRANSCRIPT
Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 4
Encourage a Consumer-Driven Economy ..................................................................................................... 6
Offer Better Public Services: Housing, Medical, Education ...................................................................... 6
Address the High Cost of Housing ............................................................................................................. 6
Focus on Public Service ............................................................................................................................. 7
Promote Import Substitution .................................................................................................................... 8
Innovation and Entrepreneurialism .............................................................................................................. 9
Providing an Environment that Supports and Encourages Entrepreneurialism and Innovation.............. 9
Attract A Skilled Workforce and Investors .............................................................................................. 11
Develop A Regional Culture Of Innovation and Creativity ...................................................................... 12
Black Market Banking ............................................................................................................................. 13
Create And Enforce Stringent Intellectual Capital Protection Policies ................................................... 14
Create Progressive Business Networks Which Encourage Cooperation and Development ................... 14
Monitor the Strength of the Economy .................................................................................................... 16
Consumer Protection and Branding ............................................................................................................ 16
Intellectual property protection ............................................................................................................. 16
Enhance consumers’ confidence in Chinese domestic products ............................................................ 17
Transportation Logistics .............................................................................................................................. 18
Encourage Efficient Product Movement ................................................................................................. 18
Promote Comprehensive Implementation of Efficiency Standards ....................................................... 18
Introduce Special Licensing and Registration to Streamline National Movement ................................. 19
Locate Facilities Within a Close Proximity to Regional Railway .............................................................. 20
Air Quality ................................................................................................................................................... 20
Why the PRD Needs to Focus on Air Quality Locally .............................................................................. 20
Develop an Air Basin and Set Proper Ambient Standards within the Basin ........................................... 21
Define Your Air Basin .............................................................................................................................. 22
Develop PM 2.5 Standards ...................................................................................................................... 23
Establish Cap & Trade Policy, a Trade Market for Air Emissions ............................................................ 23
Instate and Enforce Strong Regulations on Marine Emissions ............................................................... 25
Uniform and Strict Enforcement ............................................................................................................. 26
In order for real progress to be made on air quality the Rule of Law must be enforced as it relates to
standards set. If this piece is not done, failure is inevitable. .................................................................. 27
In addition, the EPA provides “Enforcement Reports” back to 1999 which show what fines were set in
what areas to police air quality by the U.S. government. (EPA, 2011) The websites provide a level of
transparency over what the government officials are working on which helps to build that trust. ...... 27
Hold Regular Air Quality Joint Planning Sessions with Academic Experts and Decision Makers ........... 27
Improve Transparency & Trust ............................................................................................................... 28
Extend the “Car Restriction” policy after the World University Games ................................................. 29
Renewable Energy Opportunities ........................................................................................................... 30
Additional Policy Recommendations ...................................................................................................... 31
Labor Force ................................................................................................................................................. 31
Addressing the Labor Shortage in the Pearl River Delta ......................................................................... 31
Improve Quality of Life in Order to Cultivate Workforce Retention ...................................................... 32
Introduce Automated Assembly Lines to Address Future Workforce Shortages ................................... 33
The Role of Education in Economic Transformation .................................................................................. 35
Develop an Educated Workforce ............................................................................................................ 35
Invest in Teacher Training and Increase Senior High Education Access ................................................. 35
Create Quality Vocational Training Programs that Produce a Capable Workforce ................................ 36
Improve the Capacity of Undergraduate Education ............................................................................... 38
Allow Autonomy for Educational Institutions ......................................................................................... 39
New Talent .................................................................................................................................................. 40
Current Issues With Attracting and Retaining High-skilled Workforce .................................................. 40
Innovate and Improve Transportation Amenities .................................................................................. 41
Create opportunities for affordable housing .......................................................................................... 42
Increase the quality of education at all levels ........................................................................................ 42
Cooperate with Hong Kong ..................................................................................................................... 42
Fund Creativity and Protect Intellectual Property .................................................................................. 43
Regional Focus ............................................................................................................................................ 43
Regional Cooperation in Pearl River Delta- Shenzhen’s Role ................................................................. 43
Strategy Opportunities............................................................................................................................ 44
Shared Regional Interests ....................................................................................................................... 44
Establish Internal Industrial Supply/Value Chain in the PRD Region ...................................................... 45
Establish an efficient and transparent negotiating instrument/authority ............................................. 46
Regional Cooperation in Infrastructure Construction: logistics network inside the PRD ....................... 47
Further Promote Decrease Passage Time of Consumers between Hong Kong and Shenzhen .............. 48
Works Cited ................................................................................................................................................. 49
Introduction
The Region of the Pearl River Delta (PRD) is a fascinating part of the world. We have had the
pleasure of researching and exploring the intricacies of this region for the past five months and
have been awed by its rapid growth, intelligent planning, innovative environmental plans, the
immense cityscape, as well as the industriousness of the people here. The PRD has the potential of
becoming one of the largest, if not THE largest Megaregion in the world in the future. What a
tremendous opportunity!
We have had the distinct opportunity to research this area and make suggestions to our client, The
Public Administration Institute of Shenzhen. You have posed an extremely tough question to us.
How does the Pearl River Delta Increase Economic Development Sustainably for the future while
moving away from an export-driven economy toward one that is focused on selling to the domestic
market? With great care and consideration we have diligently set about answering this question.
We’ve used many different sources starting with your own regional reports like the Guangdong
Hong Kong Framework Agreement and the The Outline of the Plan for the Reform and Development
of the Pearl River Delta (2008-2020).
Los Angeles, California, and the U.S.A. face many of the same issues that the PRD faces including
struggles with air pollution, traffic, social concerns from a large immigrant population, tremendous
growth, managing distribution and ports, as well as attempting to keep the economy growing at a
positive rate. We researched the proposed solutions that the U.S. has attempted as a resource for
recommendations. We referenced many sources such as the Environmental Protection Agency and
RECLAIM, a Southern California committee focused on the marketization of air emission.
In California we have an extreme example of success in the Silicon Valley. We understood from your
inquiries and your desire to grow in the high-tech sector that you are interesting in learning from
the Silicon Valley model. Therefore we dug into what made Silicon Valley successful, dissected the
lessons that could be learned from their success and put together our ideas about how this region
could implement them.
We brought our own unique perspective to the question presented to us, and we feel it is
particularly relevant because we are the type of people you intend to recruit to Shenzhen. We are
young, educated, and many of us were born in the Chinese mainland and are about to graduate from
a Master’s program and looking for jobs in China and elsewhere in the World.
The Pearl River Delta faces many challenges and opportunities that it must tackle as a region.
Regional cooperation is not an easy task. Jurisdictions and various overlapping concerns and
directives prevent easy facilitation. In our document we have highlighted why believe Regional
Coordination is essential to your success and provided ideas on how to facilitate it.
Air Quality is one example which must be addressed by the region as a whole because what
individual cities throughout the delta do greatly impact each other as well as Hong Kong.
We also encourage you to look to your own people for your future prosperity. Chinese ideas and
businesses as well as Chinese consumers will be the ones that will drive your economic growth in
the future. Fostering a spirit of innovation and entrepreneurialism will be the only way to maintain
the unbridled you have seen in the past 30 years.
We respect the complexities of this region and the work you’ve done to grow it into what it is today.
It is with respect that we submit our recommendations on how to capitalize on all your
opportunities and to take your well-designed planning and turn it into reality. The following report
contains a plethora of ideas on how to grow your economy sustainably and to implement your
plans set forth by the NDRC in the The Outline of the Plan for the Reform and Development of the
Pearl River Delta (2008-2020).
Thank you for this opportunity and we hope you find that the ideas within help you in your growth.
We wish you great success in the future to grow economically and sustainably.
Encourage a Consumer-Driven Economy
Offer Better Public Services: Housing, Medical, Education
Shenzhen is a city of immigrants, and Shenzhen has literally been built by the millions of immigrant
workers. We encourage a shift in thinking regarding these migrant workers. We believe that the
immigrants should be treated as an opportunity within the economy and not a burden on the
government. Integrate as many immigrant workers as possible into the existing social welfare system,
provide more public housing to low-income families and enable all the people who developed this city
to enjoy the outcome of this development and Shenzhen will reach the potential to develop into the
largest market in China.
Address the High Cost of Housing
Due to limited land resources in Shenzhen, the housing prices here are incredibly high and even some of
the highest paid residents are unable to afford the purchase of a home. It will not be possible for the
citizens to consume goods if it takes approximately 3 generation’s savings to purchase an apartment.
The situation is similar to Hong Kong, however half of the population in Hong Kong live in properties
provided by the public. Furthermore it is not only for rented dwellings, the percentage of home
ownership in Hong Kong has also reached 53% (HKCSD, 2010). Shenzhen has a long way to go in this
area. Shenzhen has been enjoying “land financing” for the past 20 years and no significant amount of
that income has been dedicated to the public.
Currently Shenzhen does not have much more land to develop. It is the government’s responsibility to
finance public housing with other sources of revenue as well as alleviate the other social problems
generated by the lack of housing.
Another lesson Shenzhen should learn from Hong Kong is the concept of “Space”. (Ling, 2011) With
much less land and a much longer history of development, it is outstanding that Hong Kong has
conserved so much land for potential future development or natural reserves. Shenzhen should emulate
the patterns Hong Kong has applied to its urban growth strategies. For example, instead of expanding
the existing roads to accommodate more vehicles, Shenzhen should intentionally build narrow streets in
certain regions so it will not be practical for individuals to utilize private vehicles and public
transportation can be more easily encouraged. In this case, more land can be used to accommodate a
larger population, which is beneficial to the protection of the environment.
Focus on Public Service
The government should focus more on low income individuals through the provision of more thorough
public services. The government’s job should be to serve the public rather than compete with its
citizens. Public services as well as accessibility to what is provided should be the first priority of the
government. This goal will boost any economy that is focused on the local market economy. This issue
sounds huge, but it can really start from simple beginnings. For example, a small step in the correct
direction would bring large improvements to the social structure such as locating basic public services in
easily accessible locations.
One issue which Shenzhen needs to be aware of is, even though the population of Shenzhen is still very
young, the number of pensions and social service requirements will increase significantly in the future. If
Shenzhen and the PRD fail to deliver these services, including to the poor and less educated majority of
the population, eventually Shenzhen will incur significant costs. This problem will only get worse as the
population ages and settles down in Shenzhen. Improved social welfare systems and a larger middle-
class population that can help fund such programs through taxation is necessary to maintain a
sustainable development pattern. Issues regarding the changing demographic structure in Shenzhen and
its impact on economic sustainability will be discussed later in this work.
Shenzhen was awarded UN-HABITAT Scroll of Honor “For innovative provision of housing for low-income
families” in 1992 (IEAS, 2010). Shenzhen is the only city in Mainland China to be awarded such an honor
since 1990. We strongly hope Shenzhen can maintain this lead and implement more innovative policies.
Promote Import Substitution
Shenzhen needs to promote the building of a self-serving economy in order to reduce its dependence on
the U.S.A. and other Western countries. This concept is called “Import Replacing” (Jacobs, 1984) – which
promotes a complete supply-demand chain of most products or services. Shenzhen has been promoting
some form of import substitution since the reformation in 1979, and has been successful implementing
it. Through the development of economic industries and technological advancement, Shenzhen has
managed to diversify its industries and develop a thriving economy.
Now, Shenzhen has the opportunity to develop this pattern throughout the larger region: the further
implementation of specific areas within the greater PRD which would specialize in different industries
and focus on core competencies. A significant amount of cooperation is necessary to achieve this goal,
but the advantages are that it would develop into a perfect example of “import substitution” and enable
more wealth to be generated within the region.
The map included above (Source: Yuan, 2011) provides a outline of the spatial distribution of the
industries that exist in the PRD. They are (clockwise from top) auto manufacturing, electronic
information, petrochemicals, electronic information, equipment manufacturing, ship manufacturing,
mechanical manufacturing, metal processing, and auto accessory manufacturing. This plan will achieve
better efficiency by avoiding duplication of construction and would make the best use of the integrated
logistic network, leading to a better distribution pattern for people to consume if successfully executed.
We recommend that the endorsement of either the Guangdong Provincial Government or the Central
Government be sought, because this form of integration is unlikely to take place without strong support
from the authorities.
Encouraging private investments within Shenzhen into sectors of business and public service, which
currently lack funding, would be beneficial for the local economy and all of the residents. A potential list
of these sectors includes education, public health, entertainment and affordable housing. These
livelihood industries might be the key to improving residents’ disposable income and would significantly
reduce the government’s burden to deliver all the services.
Innovation and Entrepreneurialism
Providing an Environment that Supports and Encourages Entrepreneurialism
and Innovation
“What gives the region its competitive edge, and its source for broader regional prosperity, goes beyond
the strength of its companies and lies instead in the quality of its innovation habitat: the complex,
dynamic network of interpersonal relationships across people, firms and institutions.” (Silicon Valley
Community Foundation, 2010) No single region is a better example of this than Silicon Valley.
It seems almost every city in the world wants to be the next Silicon Valley. Silicon Valley is seen as the
worldwide example of success, prosperity, and wealth. They’ve achieved this mainly through success in
developing high technology and a nurturing venture capital community. They have shaped their region’s
ability to nurture innovation through four key methods: global connectivity, ability to attract talent,
ongoing advances in technology and innovation, and the role of state and federal government. (Silicon
Valley Community Foundation, 2010)
Innovation and Entrepreneurialism lead to a successful economy. These two components are paramount
to the type of economic reinvention that the Pearl River Delta region is seeking. “An innovative economy
is the engine that produces economic opportunity and community revenues that make possible career
mobility, investment in educational systems, development of community infrastructure and amenities,
investments in environmental preservation, and other critical assets for regional vitality and quality of
life.” (Silicon Valley Community Foundation, 2010) It is this kind of innovation that the PRD needs to
support. As the area evolves away from heavy manufacturing, a process that is already underway,
Shenzhen and its surrounding region needs to embrace a new type of industry: innovative, fast-moving,
Chinese-owned start ups that target the local consumer.
“Developing new ideas opens a new world of opportunity for making profits. In whatever industry the
new idea is used, as long as it is unique and valued, people will pay more for it.” (Collaborative
Economics, 2001) However, harnessing innovation and fostering the environment necessary for it to
grow is not as easy as it sounds. Worldwide, and even here in China, the competition to be the next
Silicon Valley is fierce. Not all can succeed. In the words of Larry Ellison, Cofounder and Chief Executive
Officer of Oracle, “When you innovate, you’ve got to be prepared for everyone telling you you’re nuts”
(Bureau of International Information Programs).
“Not every region can be world-class in biotechnology and information technology. However,
experience suggests that every region, no matter its characteristics, can plan strategically to translate its
assets into greater wealth. Evidence suggests that every industry — whether “new economy” or “old
economy” — can be improved (if not transformed) through technology, innovation and
entrepreneurship. Fundamentally, every regional economy can be reinvented.” (Collaborative
Economics, 2001) The biggest question you need to ask yourself is: does the change you want to make
match your core competencies as a region?
In The Outline of the Plan for the Reform and Development of the Pearl River Delta (2008-2020), the PRD
sets lofty goals for strengthening capabilities for innovation. In order to achieve these goals, the region
must implement policy and create an environment friendly to start-up businesses. In the next few pages
of this report, we are going to suggest some ideas of how to do this, including lessons learned from
Silicon Valley’s own efforts to achieve high-tech greatness.
What strategies exist to create an atmosphere conducive to entrepreneurialism and innovation in high
tech industries? Several theories exist on this oft-researched dilemma but there are several key
components that are universal to them all. The Center for Economic Competitiveness summarizes it
nicely in its 1992 report “The critical elements of economic infrastructure are: Accessible technology,
Skilled work force, Available capital, Advanced physical infrastructure, Pro-competitive regulatory
climate, and High quality of life” (Center for Economic Competitiveness: SRI International, 1992).
Attract A Skilled Workforce and Investors
To start, we need a skilled workforce, or perhaps more specifically a “creative class.” This is an old
theory, dating back to Jane Jacobs in 1984. “Jacobs noted the ability of cities to attract creative people
and thus spur economic growth” (Florida, 2003). The attraction and retention of people with ideas
seems to be the starting point for regional transformation. For the PRD that means providing both
vocational training for the existing workforce as well as attracting fresh talent with unique perspectives
from other parts of China and the world, which we will expound upon later in this report.
According to Paul Graham, businessman and early Silicon Valley entrepreneur, you simply need the right
people and the right atmosphere. To him, the right people are “rich people and nerds.” “If you could
attract a critical mass of nerds and investors to live somewhere, you could reproduce Silicon Valley.”
(Graham, 2006)
In this equation the rich people exist in the form of venture capitalists, an industry which is more
developed in Hong Kong than here in the PRD. Through regional cooperation, this resource can easily be
tapped into. “Venture investors prefer to fund startups within an hour’s drive….They don’t want to have
to travel to attend board meetings, and in any case the odds of succeeding are higher in a startup hub.”
(Graham, 2006) Venture capitalists tend to work in the field in which they invest. Through this, they can
offer business advice and keep an eye on their investments. “Having access to venture capital is critical
for the growth of technology companies. Venture capital firms are private partnerships or closely held
corporations, funded by private and public investors who seek to finance new and rapidly growing
companies.” (Center for Economic Competitiveness: SRI International, 1992)
Develop A Regional Culture Of Innovation and Creativity
“Successful regions develop a vital cycle in which clusters and economic infrastructure are mutually
supportive. When a vital cycle works, competitive enterprises attract investment to the region and
incubate new enterprises to generate quality jobs, rising income, and growing tax revenue that support
economic foundations.” For Shenzhen in particular, streamlining movement for investors and the
location of potential entrepreneurs will be vital to re-molding the area as a start up hub. We can think
about this as the spatial relationship between investors and thinkers.
(Center for Economic Competitiveness: SRI International, 1992)
The next thing the PRD needs to focus on is creating an environment that is friendly to start ups,
including a competitive regulatory climate. This includes policy which promotes Small and Medium start
ups, that are vital to the local economy. “Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) drive innovation, spur
economic growth, create jobs, and facilitate the provision of goods and services.” (Barreiro, Hussels, &
Richards, 2009)
An example, in Tianjin, a company called Lotus Biological Technology Company struggled to procure
financing for business growth. “China lacks a culture of “angel investors”: affluent individuals willing to
cover start-up costs during the difficult phase of setting up an enterprise. This confines SME’s financing
options to only banks and government.” (Barreiro, Hussels, & Richards, 2009) To read this case and
more examples of the importance of financing, see the World Resources Institute Report called On The
Frontiers of Finance – Scaling up Investment in Sustainable Small and Medium Enterprises in Developing
Countries.
In addition to venture capital, ready access to credit is essential to business owners. With a default for
SMEs of less than .001%, according to the Shenyang Credit Guarantee Center, the risk to government
lending institutions is negligible. Lending policies requiring high collateral and high fixed costs are
prohibitive. These business owners are a “good” credit risk and can be trusted to pay back the loans.
This clearly benefits both the small business community as well as the economy as a whole.
Black Market Banking
Even though the black market banking in Shenzhen is less established than that of the Yangzi-River Delta
Region, a significant amount of money is involved here (Shenzhen police destroyed 13 black market
banks in April this year involving an estimation of 5 billion RMB) (Hu Mou, 2011). This market exists
because of four reasons. First, it is extremely difficult for small businesses or start-ups to get access to
financing from national banks. The need for small business financing directly explains why the market of
the Yangzi-River Delta Region is larger because they have greater numbers of small businesses.
Secondly, the different banking systems between the Mainland and Hong Kong have caused a lot of
trouble. Individuals or companies may seek black market financing to provide instant transactions across
the boundary with Hong Kong to avoid the paperwork and restrictions associated with traditional
methods. Third, there are very few investment opportunities. There is lack of confidence in the stock
market; the futures market is extremely risking; and the real estate market is strictly regulated. Lastly,
followed by the strictest regulations on property purchasing issued by the central government, a lot of
individuals who want to purchase a house are not able to get financing from formal institutions.
Recommendations to address these issues are as follows: 1) Encourage the establishment of more small
private banks. Integrate the existing black market banks into the formal system, which will also allow
the imposition of greater regulation and increase stability and security for small businesses or start-ups
seeking financing. 2) Even though it is not possible to integrate the different banking systems across the
boundary with Hong Kong in the near future, it may be feasible for Shenzhen to seek for a special
practice or agreement in the framework of regional cooperation under the auspices of the “Special
Economic Zone”. 3) Establish a higher quality and more complete financing system. Though the local
government may not have ultimate control of policies regarding banking, Shenzhen should utilize its
unique geographical advantage and seek help from Hong Kong to set up a third-party service system.
Create And Enforce Stringent Intellectual Capital Protection Policies
Another potential barrier to R&D is the lack of enforcement of intellectual capital protection policies as
well as the lack of a strong, national policy. As Shenzhen and the PRD move up the manufacturing food
chain, further away from the “shower-slipper economy” and closer toward the design and tech-driven
world of computers and service provision, product differentiation, innovation, and the ability to protect
intellectual property become even more important. “As technology allows firms to differentiate their
products, competition advantage is increasingly based on value — unique qualities of performance —
rather than cost. Today, there is far greater churning among industry competitors, as new firms enter,
others leave or die, some grow, others downsize. The economy more frequently experiences the
phenomenon the economist Joseph Schumpeter called 'creative destruction'” (Collaborative Economics,
2001).
Create Progressive Business Networks Which Encourage Cooperation and
Development
Focus of policy seems to be on protecting exporters and those foreign companies who want to operate
here in the PRD. Though some of the tax inequities seem to be normalizing, it appears to some small
business owners that policy from 10 years ago was far more innovative and business-friendly than it is
today. This climate, along with rising labor prices and high housing costs, may contribute to businesses
relocating outside the region. SMEs need protection from the government to grow and thrive. One
strategy to improving relations with SMEs would be to form a collaborative panel of local, Chinese
business-owners who provide a feedback loop back to the government on what the business community
in the region needs from them to thrive.
Setting up an Angel investment venture capital network could be accomplished in much the same way.
“Technology business incubators – Incubators nurture young firms, helping them to survive and grow
during the start-up period when they are most vulnerable. Incubators provide hands- on management
assistance, access to financing and orchestrated exposure to critical business or technical support
services.” (Collaborative Economics, 2001)
Other key strategies to further the connection between the ideas and the money include accessible
technology (university groups/science centers), information communications, infrastructure investments
in the areas of transportation and telecommunication, energy, water and sewer. Growth very much
depends on a region’s ability to move people, goods, power and ideas across the region and beyond.
(Collaborative Economics, 2001)
So, how do we attract the “rich people and nerds”? “And both groups are highly mobile. They’ll go
where life is good. So, what makes a place good to them? (Graham, 2006) And what makes them want
to stay. This gets into Quality of Life issues and is a less concrete idea containing concepts like
“charming surroundings” with “personality” and “world class universities.”
But, one concept that can’t be ignored is the ability for the Special Economic Zone of the PRD to create
an “Intellectual climate, open to new, seemingly strange ideas…A place that tolerates oddness in the
search for the new is exactly what you want in a startup hub, because economically, that is what
startups are. Without exception, the high-tech cities in the US are also the most liberal.” (Graham, 2006)
Liberal-minded cities support odd ideas, which become a breeding ground for small businesses.
Monitor the Strength of the Economy
Silicon Valley has put in place a sophisticated monitoring system which measures both the strength of
the economy as well as the strength of the community. This index identifies challenges and creates an
information base for analyzing possible problem areas. It uses indicators in order to measure how the
region is doing: “Good indicators are bellwethers that reflect fundamentals of long-term regional health;
reflect the interests and concerns of the community; are statistically measurable on a frequent basis;
measure outcomes, rather than inputs” (Silicon Valley Community Foundation, 2010). The Silicon Valley
Index looks at indicators in the areas of the economy, society, place, and governance.
In order to move forward with the PRD development plan, it would be beneficial for the region to create
a similar index using measurable components that will indicate the health of both the business and
social environment.
As you continue to foster breeding grounds for small and medium businesses, consider this. Every
business in the world wants a piece of the huge “untapped” Chinese consumer market. As the PRD
strives to shift away from its export-based economy, the glaringly obvious tactic is to promote
businesses focused on selling to the growing middle-class economy right here in the PRD.
Consumer Protection and Branding
Intellectual property protection
Without intellectual property protection, patents bought or created by one company will soon
be used and applied by other companies. Thus, there will be less incentive for a creative company to
produce original work. Without this form of protection investment in new ideas is not economically
viable.
A complete intellectual property protection system is a prerequisite for healthy growth of
innovative enterprises. It is also necessary for protection of the entire market. Currently, the issue of
intellectual property protection is handled at the national level and in various industries including
entertainment, innovative industries and others. However, Shenzhen is the leading city in both
economic and urban development in China; it should take the initiative to improve the protection of
intellectual property (Zhang, 2011).
Innovation and economic development cannot be fully effective without legal protection for
one's ideas. The United States has the highest rate of innovation in the world because it has a more
complete intellectual property protection system (Notheal, 2009). In the U.S. There exists more strict
monitoring and effective enforcement. Innovative companies receive protection for their interests by
the government which, in turn, inspires innovation and creativity. Shenzhen should apply similar
incentive policies that encourage companies in innovative industries to invest more in creating their own
unique products and innovation.
Enhance consumers’ confidence in Chinese domestic products
To enhance consumer confidence in Chinese domestic products, a unified standardized set of
criteria governing the entire production and distribution process must be adopted. For example, Japan's
method of quality control for agricultural products utilizes an integrated set of industry standards which
controls a product's overall creation from planting to selling (The Practice and Enlightenment, 2006). In
Japan all procedures are strictly controlled by corresponding national standards. Currently, all of Japan's
meat and seafood products are required to be produced in accordance with HACCP (Hazard Analysis
Critical Control Point) system, which is thought to be the most effective quality control system in the
world (The Practice and Enlightenment, 2006). Chinese domestic brands are scattered in geographical
distribution, which leads to non-unified brands throughout the country. In order to rebuild the trust
Chinese customers have in domestic goods, it is necessary for Chinese manufacturing industries to set
up a complete quality control system and ask all companies to follow the system. Additionally it is
necessary to regulate production through a monitoring system that is monitored by a third-party non-
government organization such as the National Food Quality Supervision and Inspection Center here in
China. The impartiality of this kind of organization will impart increased level of transparency and trust.
Transportation Logistics
Encourage Efficient Product Movement
Local logistics strategies regarding goods movements within the PRD need to be focused on
targeting consumer demands. Logistics and inventory management performed by a third party, privately
owned distribution company will be key to furthering the economic development of the region as well
as Shenzhen specifically. This management strategy will restrict the amount of pollution created by
goods movements through a decrease in overall traffic levels. The decrease in pollution is due to
improved route management strategies and loading that maximizes available trucking space therefore
decreasing the number of trucks needed. Beyond the transportation side of logistics development, the
Pearl River Delta needs to better understand and utilize forward thinking strategies for inventory
management systems. Specifically, hire industry consultants to give a detailed tutorial on the topic or
visit the distribution centers serving larger retailers in the United States. This will increase understanding
of how to minimize or completely eliminate warehousing as well as the costs associated with stationary
goods.
Promote Comprehensive Implementation of Efficiency Standards
Adopting a strategy within China that mimics that which is currently used to distribute Chinese made
goods to the rest of the world will harness the purchasing power of Chinese citizens. Currently, China
has been noted as being reluctant to adopt such technologies; “IBM estimates that 12 percent of local
Chinese companies electronically share demand and inventory data in real time with supply chain
partners. Investment in such software has come primarily from advanced foreign operations in China”
(Feuling, 2008). Without universal acceptance of such technology throughout China maximizing the
resources available to sell domestically in the same scale as China currently sells abroad will be
impossible. Shenzhen and the Pearl River Delta region can lead the way in adoption and implementation
of these forward thinking efficiency standards. Responsively shipping goods based on the demands of
the consumer will allow Chinese manufacturers to maximize revenues and minimize costs through
efficient manufacturing and distribution schedules. Competing globally for the Chinese market is
dependent upon appropriate control of available inventories as well as fluid movement of goods to
consumers through inventory monitoring systems and manufacturing schedules which address demand
directly.
Introduce Special Licensing and Registration to Streamline National
Movement
In order to further encourage the transportation of goods easily and efficiently throughout the region to
achieve the goal of demand directed inventory management trucking companies and logistics
management firms must afforded the ability to cross borders between provinces easily. According to
Robert MacCalla, Brian Slack and Claude Comtois, “It may take as much as two months to make a round
trip container move from Hong Kong to Chengdu in western China, a straight-line one-way distance of
1,400 km. The actual rail time is about ten days each way. The remainder of the time the container is at
rest, either being inspected, unloaded or loaded, or just at rest” (MacCalla, Slack, Comtois 2004). The
very long lead time and transportation delay of product movements throughout China is directly related
to the impenetrable nature of the current economic condition. Beyond the strategies outlined above it
would be ideal if a specific license and registration for logistics and distribution firms would be created
with two goals in mind. MacCall et al suggest that, “the greatest impediments [to coordination and
streamlining of goods movements] are the institutional constraints. Sovereign states and borders
complicate land space; the laws and regulations that these states create make it difficult for a
transportation company to operate in the same way in all jurisdictions” (MacCalla, Slack, Comtois 2004).
Firstly, this special license and registration would encourage private investment in such firms due to the
cost and time savings it would present. Secondly it will increase the patronage of such firms due to the
increased efficiency and therefore allow manufacturers and retailers to focus on their core business.
Addressing the goal of becoming a world city, Shenzhen and the PRD would be leading the way in
coordination and cooperation between sea and land based shipping in an unprecedented fashion.
Furthermore, mandates regarding the utilization of environmentally friendly transportation technologies
(cleaner burning diesel engines, alternative fuels, and aerodynamic trucks) should be issued as caveats
to the reception of special cross border licensing. These environmental protection strategies, similar to
those administered the the State of California, USA (CARB, 2010) are key to achieving the dual goals of
environmental protection as well as economic growth and prosperity within the Pearl River Delta.
Locate Facilities Within a Close Proximity to Regional Railway
In terms of relocating industrial facilities outside of the Shenzhen area, new locations must be chosen
based on close proximity to the inter-region railway network that is currently being developed. These
industries must also be forced to conform with more stringent environmental controls which require the
use of cleaner manufacturing and electricity generation processes. Without requiring a more accessible
location as well as production techniques which create less pollution it is less costly to the environment
of the PRD to leave these industrial uses in their current locations. This method will maintain the sites
which are proposed as new manufacturing centers as undeveloped land which can be utilized as a
community and environmental benefit.
Air Quality
Why the PRD Needs to Focus on Air Quality Locally
The Pearl River Delta has a unique opportunity to become a leader in the Chinese environmental
protection development. We suggest you take this opportunity to become a case study on successful
regional environmental policy in the Pearl River Delta (PRD), and this portion of the report will give some
ideas about how to get started.
This quotation best describes why air pollution is a problem from the perspective of the Southern
California commission assigned to address air pollution. “Air pollution threatens the health of everyone
who breathes in Southern California. Smog and other pollutants can cause everything from watery eyes
and fatigue to respiratory disease and cancer. Smog literally eats away paint, rubber, cement--and
human lung tissue. By meeting health standards, RECLAIM can reclaim the quality of life we all deserve.”
(Southern California Regional Clean Air Incentives Market (RECLAIM)) We care about this for our own
health and quality of life as well as that of future generations.
Develop an Air Basin and Set Proper Ambient Standards within the Basin
The United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) defines Ambient Standards as regulating
pollutants that are harmful to public health and the environment, such as carbon monoxide, lead,
nitrogen dioxide, particulate matter, ozone, and sulfur dioxide. (EPA, 2011) For particulate matter, the
following specific ambient air standards have been set by the EPA in the US. “In July 1997, after
evaluating hundreds of health studies and conducting an extensive peer-review process, EPA established
PM standards that specifically addressed particles smaller than 2.5 microns (PM2.5). The annual standard
was set at 15 micrograms per cubic meter (μg/m3), based on the 3-year average of annual mean
PM2.5 concentrations. The 24-hour standard was set at 65 μg/m3 based on the 3-year average of the
annual 98th percentile concentrations. The 1997 standards retained, but slightly revised, standards for
PM10, which limited PM10 concentrations to 50 μg/m3 based on an annual average, and 150 μg/m3 based
on a 24-hour average.” (Agency, What are the Air Quality Standards for PM?, 2011)
The international practice for setting goals related to air quality starts with experts determining what
levels of air quality is need to protect the health of people and property. This is determined through
international, peer-reviewed health and medical research on the affect of poor air quality on people’s
health. What are they limits beyond which health problems and severe environmental damage emerge?
In the developing world some allowances may be made with respect to the amount of pollution
necessary for purposes of growth. Ambient air standards set are strict and must be adhered to by all
parties, including all industries across the board and all government functions. The standards are
monitored, policed, and fines are placed on any office that is not in compliance with the standard.
“Regulators should strive to create confidence and trust in the market by making a full commitment to
the program and ensuring consistency in the market and their policies.” (Agency, What are the Air
Quality Standards for PM?, 2011)
Define Your Air Basin
Geography is the crux of setting air standards. The PRD must set about defining its air basin. Much of the
pollution impacting Shenzhen proper is actually produced outside the city limits. Sharing an airspace
with a surrounding area demands regional cooperation, and there is perhaps no area where this is truer
than in air quality. In the image below, for your consideration, is the breakdown of the California air
basins. (Air Regulation Board State of California)
“California is divided geographically into air basins for the purpose of managing the air resources of the
State on a regional basis. An air basin generally has similar meteorological and geographic conditions
throughout.” (Southern California Regional Clean Air Incentives Market (RECLAIM))
Develop PM 2.5 Standards
We recommend that Shenzhen establish PM2.5 standards. PM2.5 indicates the particles with
diameters less than 2.5 micron in the air. They are poisonous combustion residue mainly generated by
electrical plants, industrial production, car emissions, etc. PM2.5 is raising serious pollution issues in
China, but it is not yet included in the air quality monitoring system for most cities. This leads to a
paradox: while weather reports may show satisfying levels of air quality, the citizen are actually living in
a haze of pollution and getting asthma from breathing the air.
Establish Cap & Trade Policy, a Trade Market for Air Emissions
As a compliment to the PM2.5 emission standards policy, we recommend an emission trading system
be built in Shenzhen. Shenzhen is in the process of introducing of sewage disposal trade system, but it is
also necessary to create a market for air emissions trade as well as clean water trading. The Southern
California Regional Clean Air Incentives Market (RECLAIM) presents an excellent definition of this type of
policy as well as being a successful model to emulate. “Traditional regulations, known as command-and-
control, set specific limits on each piece of equipment and each process that contributes to air pollution.
RECLAIM is different. It sets a factory-wide pollution limit for each business, and lets businesses decide
what equipment, processes and materials they will use to meet their emission limits. Under RECLAIM,
these allowable emission limits decline a specific amount each year. Companies are free to choose the
most cost-effective, economical ways to reduce pollution.
Companies that are innovative and can reduce emissions more than required can then sell excess
emission reductions to other firms. Buyers of the emission reduction credits are companies that need
more time to clean up or find the cost of buying credits cheaper than buying and installing new
equipment.” (Southern California Regional Clean Air Incentives Market (RECLAIM))
Establishing a Cap & Trade system for air emissions has clear benefits: 1.) Allows society to achieve
environmental benefits at a lower overall cost; 2.) Organization creates credits when its emissions are
below its “requirements or obligations” (“over-invest” in technology), 3.) Allows industry to buy credits
when costs to reduce emissions at own facility are higher or capital is limited. (Agency, MacViro
Consulting, 2002) “While trading does not, in itself, reduce emissions, it increases an industry’s flexibility
to make reductions that achieve same overall societal environmental goals.” (Agency, MacViro
Consulting, 2002)
Within this system, emissions from all manufacturers are required to meet certain standard amounts.
The allowable emission amounts, measured by the government, vary with different manufacturers. If
the emission of one manufacturer exceeds the permit amount, the manufacturers will receive severe
fine. The permissions of emission can be bought and sold. In this market, factories that buy permits are
the ones without the ability to reduce emissions. If it is cheaper for a manufacturer to update to cleaner
technology than it is for them to purchase emission allowances from the cap-and-trade system, then
they will do so. If it is cheaper for them buy the certificates and continue to pollute, they will make the
business case to do that instead. In either case, it charges the companies for the pollution they are
putting in the air, which compensates for the negative externalities that their production is putting on
the community at large.
Chart source: (Agency, MacViro Consulting, 2002)
When you look at manufacturing in the PRD as a whole, some factories will choose to buy and some will
choose to clean up their practices. As a whole it appears that many will have to clean up their factories
first, before they can “sell” tradable emission allowances. It allows the market to self regulate. When the
economic equilibrium is reached, the price of a unit of amount will equal the marginal cost of
amendment of all manufactories.
Government plays an important role in this system. The government sets up the allowable amount of
emissions. Meanwhile, the government determines the scope of the market. If the Shenzhen
government can cooperate with the rest of the Pearl River Delta, there will be more sellers and buyers in
the market to make the trading work even better. But this cooperation requires negotiation between
city governments. It absolutely requires a unified standard be set for all the manufacturers in the area.
Instate and Enforce Strong Regulations on Marine Emissions
Marine emissions is one source of air pollution that, fuelled by rising traffic at the PRD’s container ports,
continues to rise. There are no effective controls on emissions from ocean-going vessels (OGVs), which
directly affect some 37 million people in the PRD’s coastal counties alone. OGVs burn marine bunker
fuel that typically has a sulfur content 10 of 3.7%. In contrast, road vehicles in Hong Kong are required to
burn Euro V fuel11 (0.001% sulfur) and Guangdong will soon set a Euro IV equivalent (0.005%)
standard12. Many of the ships calling at PRD ports are fully equipped to burn less polluting fuels, but do
not do so, because no regulation or legislation requires it. (Civic Exchange, 2010)
Availability of fuel is another key issue. At present, 0.1% fuel is not available in the PRD and must be
sourced elsewhere. This will limit the feasibility of fuel switching for ships that do not call at ports where
0.1% fuel is available. However, as emissions controls expand in scope, a greater volume of cleaner fuel
will be required, creating a new business opportunity for local refiners and suppliers. (Civic Exchange,
2010)
Based on this situation, introduction of control measures are proposed. Firstly, Shenzhen could require a
mandatory switch to fuel with 0.1% sulfur content for OGVs at berth in PRD ports. This would bring
immediate reductions in exposures and associated health risks to communities living close to the ports.
Secondly, Shenzhen could establish a pilot low emissions zone (LEZ) requiring all OGVs entering PRD
waters to switch to fuel of 1% or 0.1% sulfur content (consistent with requirements in other
jurisdictions). Thirdly, the city should encourage and assist local refiners and suppliers to be ready to
meet the newly emerging demand for cleaner fuels.
Uniform and Strict Enforcement
The key to improving air quality lies not only in writing strong policy but in the enforcement of those
policies as well as outreach aimed at helping industry to meet the goals set for them by the government.
One specific example of this Rule of Law concept pulled from the United States EPA enforcement
website focuses on enforcement of a specific policy. You need to define the rules clearly, then you need
to make sure that every business segment understands those rule, help them to achieve the standards
set, and then fine them if they don’t meet the standards. You need to police them down to the minute
detail.
One example of this is how the U.S. made sure that auto body shops were achieving the emission
reduction goals that were set for them. “Outreach to auto body shops and other sources impacted by
the CAA Paint Stripping and Misc Surface Coating Rule in order to train these facilities and encourage
them to take actions that will reduce emissions of targeted heavy metals prior to the Rule's January
2011 compliance date.” (Agency, What are the Air Quality Standards for PM?, 2011) This is the nitty
gritty level to which the enforcement arm of the Air Quality Agency must achieve in order to truly meet
set goals.
Heavy fines and strict standards must be set in order to achieve adherence to policies. In 2010 in Region
1 of the U.S., essentially the Northeastern Corridor, the following was done to hold industry compliant
to laws set:
“Civil Judicial Enforcement – In FY2010, we referred 20 enforcement cases to the U.S.
Department of Justice and had 27 judicial case conclusions.
Superfund Cleanup Enforcement - In FY2010, Region 1 received commitments from liable
parties to pay almost $36 million to clean up Superfund sites, to pay over $6.6 million for
Government oversight of Superfund cleanups and to reimburse the Government over $21
million for money it spent cleaning up Superfund sites.
Compliance Assistance Activities – The Region continues to develop compliance assistance tools
and provide expert compliance assistance to the regulated community. Over the past year, the
Region reached more than 183,000 entities through 274 facility visits, 111 assistance workshops,
dozens of presentations at meetings and events, and individualized assistance.” (Environmental
Protection Agency)
In order for real progress to be made on air quality the Rule of Law must be
enforced as it relates to standards set. If this piece is not done, failure is
inevitable.
In addition, the EPA provides “Enforcement Reports” back to 1999 which show what fines were set in
what areas to police air quality by the U.S. government. (EPA, 2011) The websites provide a level of
transparency over what the government officials are working on which helps to build that trust.
Hold Regular Air Quality Joint Planning Sessions with Academic Experts and
Decision Makers
Firstly we recommend Shenzhen to allow direct communication between experts and upper level
decision makers. It is beneficial for the city government to hear more from academic voices and less
from the politicians about how serious the pollution is, and exactly what we should do to solve it. If an
express communication channel could be built to provide a straight talk between these two groups, a
higher pollution awareness and more effective environmental protection policies can be expected.
Besides, Shenzhen should encourage more scientific research and provide funding in the air quality
protection field. To achieve this goal, the city government could also cooperate with Hong Kong, learn
from its experience and technology, and develop a general plan to join the efforts. By either importing
or educating its own experts, Shenzhen could go further and faster in environmental protection study,
and lead the whole Pearl River Delta to advance.
Improve Transparency & Trust
It is essential to improve transparency in air quality, emissions standards and real time reporting for
several reasons. First, you have the opportunity to build trust with the public by sharing your reporting.
Second, you have the chance to improve your policies and air quality. You must track emissions in order
for them to improve.
If you share the statistics with research labs, universities, and scientists with an eye to getting better,
you will achieve greater progress. If you are unwilling to share data with outside agencies, then we
suggest tracking emissions regularly and daily reporting internally so that the Shenzhen government
knows how bad the problem of air quality is. We suggest that you allow agencies to provide you with
information that links your daily air emissions with health problems.
Hong Kong University provides an excellent tool to help with this. The Hedley Index offers a method of
linking air quality with health issues. They have used health science research to tie the levels of
exposure to hospital visits and premature death. This information should be publicized, or if not
publicized then at least reviewed internally to increase the awareness of this highly important public
heath issue.
Hedleyindex.sph.hku.hk
As it relates to public trust, the following chart is a way the U.S. notifies the public about hazardous days
related to air quality. We suggest offering a system similar to this to your citizens and then tracking the
bad days to provide information to the public and make improvements.
Extend the “Car Restriction” policy after the World University Games
For the World University games a vehicle restriction policy has been put in place to reduce congestion
and pollution. Vehicles with license plates ending in even numbers can use roads only on even-
numbered dates, and those with license plate ending in odd numbers may only drive on odd-numbered
dates. The first time this policy was used on a large scale was in Beijing before the 2008 Olympic games.
Beijing successfully dealt with their massive traffic using this policy, and several cities have started to
enforce car restriction following Beijing’s example.
Shenzhen has decided to join this trend. During the World University Games, from August 4th to 24th
2011, Shenzhen will enforce car restrictions for three districts and five main roads, from 7a.m. to 8p.m
every day. We recommend city government consider extending this policy even after the World
University Games.
The transportation system in Shenzhen has not developed into a comprehensive and well-organized
system. A comprehensive and serious restriction may interfere with the convenience of the public.
Therefore, we recommend that the government first improve pubic transportation services, which will
encourage residents to use fewer private vehicles. This gives the Shenzhen government a better control
on gas emissions. After that, Shenzhen should develop a long-term strategy that implements car
restriction policy gradually and effectively.
Renewable Energy Opportunities
With the guideline issued by the city government, the planning of Shenzhen should emphasize both
development and conservation. While conservation is the priority, follow the principles of lower
consumption, reuse, and conservation into resources.
In order to measure the ratio of the conservation, a new index is introduced, which is called green GDP.
Shenzhen is no longer a city that only cares about the growth of GDP; they also want to lower the
energy consumption of each unit of GDP. See below the chart of how California’s emissions proves this
to be possible.
Now, Shenzhen is in the middle of transformation from the manufactory industry to the third industry.
Factories and corporations in the manufactory industry have to upgrade their facility and technology to
reduce the energy consumption of each unit of GDP. For those companies with a high-energy
consumption, high pollution and a low profit, will be eliminated from the market.
Additional Policy Recommendations
1. Promote wider usage of electric vehicles
Right now, there are 50 electric taxis on the street of Shenzhen. Predicted by Shenzhen government,
there will be 24,000 electric cars in Shenzhen, with an annual growth amount of 42,000, the total
number of electric vehicles will reach 150,000. Due to high production cost, the promotion of electric
vehicles is facing technological bottlenecks. In addition, the lack of charging stations becomes the
hardest task in the promotion of electric vehicles. We recommend Shenzhen government builds more
charging stations, not only to meet the needs of the current electric vehicles owners, but also
encouraging more people to choose electric vehicles. For those who use electric vehicles, it is better for
the government to provide reasonable amounts of subsidy or environment tax break.
2. Accelerating the retirement of aging diesel vehicles though a coordinated combination of incentives
(perhaps for early adoption of hybrid or fully electric buses) and disincentives according to a specified
timeframe. Shenzhen government has a well-planned official document regarding this issue. But the
implementation of this policy needs strict administration to achieve the goal of this policy.
Labor Force
Addressing the Labor Shortage in the Pearl River Delta
Labor shortage issues have been widely discussed since 2009 in response to the world financial crisis
and have affected many Chinese cities. Statistics indicate that labor shortages in Shenzhen will reach .2
million in 2011 (National Business Daily, 2011). However, Shenzhen has ignored the problem by
describing it as a seasonal and temporary issue. The possibility exists that as the city begins to develop
their six High-tech industries, their reliance on labor-intensive industry will diminish. Nevertheless,
despite industry changeover, the labor shortage problem will remain.
Longgang and Baoan districts are the only two in Shenzhen where there are more than 10,000 labor-
intensive factories and are still the lifeline of regional economy in these areas (Mold.cn, 2011). These
factories will not disappear in one day. It takes time to reinvent an industry. Ensuring a smooth transfer
is the key to sustainable economic development. In the Pearl River Delta, the most urbanized area in
China, migrant workers account for a large part of the labor force. The nomadic tendencies of this
population are the underlying cause behind the severe labor shortage problem. Labor shortage in the
PRD is estimated at 2 million for 2011. Due to the heated competition between cities in the Pearl River
Delta, it is inevitable that Shenzhen will join the fight over the labor pool sooner or later. How to
maintain the present labor force will be the first problem we need to deal with.
Improve Quality of Life in Order to Cultivate Workforce Retention
The first and the most important concern for migrant workers is salary amount. In Shenzhen, the
minimum wage of ¥1320 Yuan per month is among the highest nationwide (Luo, Q. 2011). However,
salaries are not always promptly paid and companies are in arrears with their payments to migrant
workers.
On the eve of the 2011 Summer Universiade, the Housing and Construction Bureau of Shenzhen
announced that from May 1st to September 30th companies are required to pay migrant workers on
time, and should not fall into arrears for any reason. At the same time, migrant workers are not allowed
to petition to demand that they be paid and have been threatened with criminal liability for such actions
(the Housing and Construction Bureau of Shenzhen, 2011). The result of this dictate was migrant
workers were not paid and that they had no legal channel to demand their income be distributed.
Shenzhen must improve its wage protection systems and increase the penalty for enterprises which fall
behind in payment of salaries.
Guangdong Province has established a regulatory system of letting some non-resident workers attain
residency: education level, vocational certification, years of social insurance, social service, and so on,
are counted as indicators. A score is given for each indicator, when the individual has accumulated the
required number of points, they are able to apply for “Hukou” or registered permanent residence
(Shenzhen Business News, 2011).
However, unlike Guangzhou City, which specially designed the score system for migrant farmers,
Shenzhen’s score system applies equally to all non-resident workers. In this way, unskilled laborers are
competing with a highly educated and highly skilled population to become urban household registration
holders. After implementation of the policy, 3227 people have successfully applied to become registered
permanent residents but only 14% of them are unskilled workers (Shenzhen Business News, 2011).
A score system needs to be specially designed for the unskilled workforce population in order to
improve their chances of becoming Shenzhen’s residents. This will increase access to the social service
benefits that this low-income group desperately needs, such as the ability to apply for public housing.
Furthermore, although Shenzhen has introduced “5+1” filing for children of migrant workers receiving
education in Shenzhen, most of the children from migrant families fails to meet the strict conditions
(Zhang, 2011). This regulation forces families to enroll their children in private schools most of which are
far more expensive, making them out of reach for low-income families, and of dubious quality.
Introduce Automated Assembly Lines to Address Future Workforce Shortages
China is an aging country. Due to its demographic structure, the labor force will be shrinking
dramatically in the next 3 or 4 decades.
When comparing the population pyramid for 2000 with that of 2050, it is apparent that the decrease in
the labor pool will be dramatic. According to data from the CIA, the aging population (65 and over)
accounts for 8.9% of the total Chinese population for 2011 (CIA, 2011). We need to plan in advance in
order to minimize the economic losses which will result from the upcoming changes in the demographic
structure. This will be particularly important in the Pearl River Delta region due to the high level of
industrial density.
Our recommendation is that apart from developing new industries such as IT, New Materials or cultural
innovation, new talent must be recruited to work on the research and development of the automation
of different industries immediately. To create sustainable economic development, there must be a
vision for the future. We have already seen how the aging population is significantly affecting the
Japanese economy. In order to maintain an economic edge, we need to start the industrial automation
process as soon as possible.
The Role of Education in Economic Transformation
Develop an Educated Workforce
Education is an indispensable part of facilitating economic transformation. In order for Shenzhen to
become a high-tech hub, the city has to be able to develop its own people and attract talents from all
over China and the world. Having an educated workforce is essential for Shenzhen’s anticipated industry
upgrade and technological restructuring. In addition, when talents consider where to live and work, the
quality of the education system and the population’s overall level of education will be a top criterion.
Therefore, an economic transformation of this type cannot be achieved without development of the
educational system. In order for Shenzhen to meet its economic development goals, the city should
invest more not only in higher education, but also on basic education and vocational training for the
populace.
According to the Shenzhen Municipal Education Bureau, education expenses account for 12% of total
government spending in Shenzhen (Zhang, 2011). However, the average expenditure on education as a
percentage of total government spending among Organization of Economic Cooperation and
Development (OECD) countries is 13.3%, whereas it accounts for 16.3% and 23% of total government
spending in Shanghai and Hong Kong respectively (OECD, 2011). As education spending in Shenzhen is
below OECD average, Shanghai, and Hong Kong, Shenzhen should consider expanding its own budget in
the areas of basic, higher, and vocational education.
Invest in Teacher Training and Increase Senior High Education Access
Basic education in Shenzhen suffers from shortages of both teachers and schools. Based on the
information provided by the Shenzhen Education Blue Book, Shenzhen has 524 primary schools with
566,000 students and 24,000 teachers; the teacher to student ratio is 1:23.6. In comparison, the primary
school teacher to student ratio in Hong Kong is 1:16.9. At the secondary school level, Shenzhen has 59
senior high and 262 junior high schools (Bauhinia Foundation Research Centre 2009). The shortage of
senior high schools has created an environment in which less than half of junior high school graduates
are able to continue their education. This decline in enrollment is also due to the fact that senior high
school education is not “free” as the policy of 9 years of free education does not cover the costs of
senior high school. According to the Shenzhen Municipal Education Bureau, individuals who do not
enroll in senior high school either start working or pursue vocational training (Zhang, 2011). “To
strengthen education is fundamental to a powerful country. To put priority on education and improve
the modernization level of education are of decisive significance for the achievement of the goal of
building a well-off society and building a prosperous, democratic, civilized and harmonious modern
socialist country in China” (Guangtao, 2010).
We strongly recommend that Shenzhen invest in teacher training and education programs as well as
reduce class size. In doing so, students are likely to receive a higher quality of education that will better
prepare them to fill the managerial positions currently lacking an employment pool in the Pearl River
Delta. Furthermore, in order to reduce inequities in education, it would be prudent to provide subsidies
for students who wish to continue on to senior high school but cannot afford to do so. Such changes will
set the PRD on the path to meeting its goals of aiding the personal development and guaranteeing
education (The National Department Reform Commission, 2008).
Create Quality Vocational Training Programs that Produce a Capable
Workforce
As part of the Pearl River Delta’s economic restructuring, there will be an increasing demand for skilled
workers and the region envisions itself as a South China vocational and technical training hub. To
translate this vision into reality, the following strategies are recommended.
To begin with, increased resources and greater governmental involvement in providing vocational
education is necessary. Most vocational education programs in Shenzhen are operated by private
companies, making the vocational education market extremely commercialized. The number of
unregistered vocational education institutions is so large that an estimate is not available (Bauhinia
Foundation Research Centre, 2009) and the quality of these training programs is questionable. To
address this problem, a standardized vocational training evaluation system should be introduced to. As a
secondary means of quality control, vocational education institutions should be required to register so
that the market will not become a “market of lemons”, where only low quality vocational education is
offered. In addition, the Shenzhen government can award subsidies to vocational institutions as a way to
motivate them to offer high-quality programs. With more involvement in vocational education and an
evaluation system in place, the Shenzhen government can prevent adverse selection in the market, and
realize its vision to become an important base for vocational and technical education in South China.
Furthermore, incentives to promote cooperation between schools and businesses, especially in the
secondary vocational level, should be available. School-enterprise linkage is considered essential in
cultivating more skilled workers, as many skills required in the workplace cannot be taught in a
classroom. Instead, these skills are best learned through practice in the workplace along with other
employees. Yet, many firms are reticent to support such training as the short-term benefits of
cooperating with vocational institutions are fairly small (Jin, 2008). In addition, teachers in these VTE
programs often lack real world experiences so students are not able to develop practical knowledge,
such as interviewing skills and business ethics (Consulate General of the United States, 2011).
Collaboration between firms and schools should be promoted, and business professionals should be
encouraged to participate in training in order to create a more suitable curriculum for vocational
training.
Last but not least, firms should offer more on the job training to their employees to help them adjust to
new technological and environmental changes. Facing the challenges from industry restructuring, it is in
the interest of firms to train and invest in their employees. For example, they could send their potential
managers to get training in branding and management. The city should provide tax credits or deductions
to firms that conduct on-the-job training, and encourage them to cooperate with several registered
vocational education institutions to train all levels of their workers.
As the regional economy of Pearl River Delta moves toward high value added industries, the demand for
vocational and technical education will increase. The Shenzhen government should improve vocational
training by establishing a standardized system of evaluation and providing greater resources. School-
firm linkages and on the job training should also be promoted.
Improve the Capacity of Undergraduate Education
Shenzhen’s ability to develop itself in just 30 years is truly a notable achievement. Yet, economic growth
will not be sustainable without further higher educational development. Recognizing the importance of
higher education to cultivate talents, Shenzhen is keen to “advance the development of higher
education with new ideas and mechanisms” (The National Development and Reform Commission, 2008)
and has already set out to achieve this task. Top universities in China, such as Peking University and
Tsinghua University, and prestigious universities from Hong Kong have been encouraged to set up
campuses in Shenzhen. According to the Outline of the Plan for the Reform and Development of the
Pearl River Delta, the PRD “will establish cooperative higher education institutions with 3-5 famous
foreign universities”, and the region aims to develop 1 to 2 first class universities in China by 2020 (The
National Development and Reform Commission, 2008).
To achieve this goal, more opportunities to cultivate talents and develop an educated workforce should
be provided by increasing the availability of undergraduate education. Undergraduate degrees are
offered in only 3 out of 10 institutions currently located in Shenzhen; Shenzhen University, Shenzhen
Open University, and Shenzhen Tourism College of Jinan University. The latter two universities focus on
education in Broadcast &Television, and Tourism respectively. Currently, the undergraduate programs
offered in Shenzhen are very limited in both scale and scope.
Given the demand for talents in the high-tech and innovative industries higher education institutions
must expand their undergraduate programs in order to meet workforce needs. Talent cultivation will
improve, as it is more likely for university graduates to establish their roots in Shenzhen than Masters or
PhD students. A comprehensive education trajectory will also be more attractive to prospective
students of universities in Shenzhen and the Pearl River Delta region (Bauhinia Foundation Research
Centre, 2009). It is absolutely crucial to expand undergraduate opportunities in this region.
The good news is that several projects are already underway that will expand undergraduate education
opportunities in Shenzhen, including the Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen (CUHK-SZ), and the
South University of Science and Technology of China (SUSTC) projects. A Shenzhen-based businessman
stated that the public has high expectations for SUSTC due to the schools autonomy from the
government; the university makes its own admission decisions and can recruit its faculty from all over
the world. He hoped that SUSTC would not become just another Shenzhen University, because when
Shenzhen University first started, it had the same autonomy SUSTC has. He pointed out that pressure
from the central government later impaired the ability of Shenzhen University to become a world-class
university (Dong, 2011).
Allow Autonomy for Educational Institutions
In developing these campuses, the Shenzhen government should create an environment that allows for
autonomy and flexibility not only in admissions, but also in faculty recruitment, curriculum and research.
This will encourage innovation and attract a quality faculty with real world experiences, allowing these
new institutions to become world-class universities in relatively short period of time (Graham, 2006). If a
high quality intellectual community exists, more professors will be willing to settle in the region. These
universities should develop programs such as internship and academic exchange that will provide hands
on experiences and widen international horizons for students. Simply put, the government should grant
autonomy to university administrations in Shenzhen and the Pearl River Delta to develop their national
and global reputation.
More importantly, development in higher education will not create the next Silicon Valley without
access to venture capital, namely how innovation translates into profit-making ventures. Due to
limitations from administrative jurisdiction, Shenzhen does not always have control over local issues. In
order to overcome this constraint, we recommend making the best use of Shenzhen’s geographical
advantages such as its close proximity to Hong Kong. One area of opportunity may be the planning
development of Lok Ma Chau in the buffering area between Shenzhen and Hong Kong. There are
obstacles present to developing the area, such as establishing the Southern Technology University. A
possible solution to this type of issue may be the creation of another university across the border in Lok
Ma Chau. Utilizing this unique geographical advantage will increase governmental cooperation and
promote connectivity between Shenzhen and Hong Kong.
In summary, to improve the qualities of higher education in Shenzhen and the Greater Pearl River Delta
region, undergraduate programs should be expanded and an environment that permits autonomy and
flexibility in admission decisions, faculty recruitment, research and curriculum nurtured. Above all,
facilitating mutual access between start-up companies and venture investors will be crucial to sustain
economic development, and transform the region’s investment in higher education into profitable
businesses.
New Talent
Current Issues With Attracting and Retaining High-skilled Workforce
Based on the “2010 Survey of Shenzhen talent attractiveness report” (job88.com,2010), we can see the
following figure that shows the top three reasons keeping people from wanting to live in Shenzhen. They
are unaffordable housing, poor public transportation and high stress levels (job88.com,2010). In
addition, the report of “foreigners and Shenzhen” shows that foreigners believe the most negative
aspects of Shenzhen are its transportation (44%), public services (32%), the cost of living (30%) and
housing (27%) (Icanhe.com,2010). Foxconn's representative Mr. Guo, the largest company in Shenzhen,
said “I hope the Shenzhen government can work hard in the intellectual property right, talent’s housing,
environmental management around the factory, improved infrastructure, transformation of the old city
to retain talent.” To encourage creative and innovative individuals to stay, as well as fight “brain-drain
“and import new talented professionals the following initiatives are absolutely necessary.
The figure below shows reasons that keep people from wanting to live in Shenzhen. The figure shows 9
reasons. First one is others. Second one is large differences between rich and poor. Third one is too
much emphasis on money. Fourth one is poor public transportation. Fifth one is unaffordable housing
price. Sixth one is lack of security. Seventh one is lack of human touch. Eighth one is poor treatment and
benefits. Last one is high pressure.(job88.com, 2010)
Innovate and Improve Transportation Amenities
Most people feel that the driving in Shenzhen is dangerous and inefficient (Icanhe.com,2010). While the
road network is well designed and constructed, too many people disregard driving regulations and cause
traffic jams or other hindrances (Icanhe.com,2010). This condition is particularly problematic when given
the already overwhelming density of automobiles in Shenzhen. Drivers are considered to be overly
aggressive and not careful enough of other road users in a way that affects drivers, as well as transit
riders, bicycle riders and people on foot (Icanhe.com,2010). Conditions such as cars that are parked on
the sidewalk and motorcycles and bicycles using the sidewalks for navigation make walking and utilizing
public buses unsafe and inconvenient (Icanhe.com,2010).
In order to relieve the traffic congestion and safety concerns while retaining current talent as well as
attracting new capable professionals, policies which forbid stopping in the middle of an intersection,
give clearer right of way to pedestrians and enforce traffic regulations (specifically those related to
parking and right of way). Extending the metro network throughout the Shenzhen region would lead to
a decrease in traffic congestion and allow more individuals to utilize a cleaner form of transportation
than the automobile. (Icanhe.com,2010)
Create opportunities for affordable housing
The average price of housing in Shenzhen is more than 18,000 yuan per square meter, outside the city
and more than 15000 yuan / square meter ( job88.com, 2010). White-collar workers in Shenzhen need
at least one million yuan to buy a unit house, annual salary of 100000 white-collar workers need to save
money without food or drink for 10 years, If the couple save money together, they will have to live
without eating or drinking for 5 years (job88.com, 2010). In order to support the creation of low-income
affordable housing the high cost housing projects should be taxed accordingly.
Increase the quality of education at all levels
Shenzhen can recruit individuals who would otherwise travel overseas for their education by instituting
grant programs and offering preferential policies to bring the students back to Chinese universities.
One glaring omission from the Peacock Program is that it does not provide social services to the
workforce that Shenzhen hopes to attract, nor their families. In the existing environment educational
opportunities are scarce which may discourage highly educated populations from settling in this region.
Cooperate with Hong Kong
The current relationship with Hong Kong is strong, it could be further utilizedtly to assist in the
development of Shenzhen's and the PRD's economic and social structure. The friendliness of the local
population is an extremely positive aspect of Shenzhen, one that is perhaps not yet fully understood
abroad. Shenzhen has a unique population of people from all over China, particularly young people,
many of whom have at least a basic understanding of English and knowledge of western culture due to
the proximity with Hong Kong. These traits are rare, and can be highlighted abroad to differentiate
Shenzhen from Beijing or Shanghai, which are not as young and dynamic. Shenzhen needs to cooperate
more effectively with Hong Kong, to further improve education, technology and social services.
Fund Creativity and Protect Intellectual Property
Shenzhen is a young city which can potentially provide significant levels of opportunity, however it is
also an expensive and difficult place to live. Income tax reductions should be implemented to allow
young entrepreneurs to build a basic level of support for themselves and their families.
Shenzhen is well known for the production of counterfeit products and without policies which are
implemented and enforced that restrict this type of theft, creative individuals will not feel comfortable
expressing new and innovative ideas in this region.
Regional Focus
Regional Cooperation in Pearl River Delta- Shenzhen’s Role
A major challenge slowing the development of cooperation in PRD is competition between cities. Most
cities in the PRD have comparative levels of economic development and try to reveal and preserve their
own economic strengths (Peng, 2009). Much of the investment within the PRD comes from similar
foreign companies which continually increases competition with the region. According to the present
industry distribution it is obvious that eight of the nine cities in the PRD focus on manufacturing of
electronics for the information industry (Yuan, 2011). This form of industry distribution does not
efficiently utilize the various available resources and therefore results in inefficient resource allocation.
In addition, because of the focus on exportation, many similarly labor intensive enterprises have
become concentrated in the region. The distribution and supply chains related to the export industries
are well developed while the domestic distribution and supply chains remain poorly organized and
constructed.
Currently, regional cooperation in the PRD is underdeveloped and inefficient. The core cities are
fragmented rather than connected. Moving forward, the PRD should consider options for integration of
the three small economic circles (Shenzhen-Dongguan-Huizhou, Guangzhou-Foshan-Zhaoqing and
Zhuhai-Zhongshan-Jiangmen) within the PRD. To accomplish this level of integration and cooperation,
the core cities must be the icebreakers and lead by example.
Strategy Opportunities
The core powers of the PRD region must work together to promote regional cooperation and a shared
understanding of the reality of integrated planning in the PRD. Environmental protection presents a new
opportunity for regional cooperation. To improve the air quality, Shenzhen can take the initiative to
introduce a new level of technological cooperation with Hong Kong, in order to further promote
integrated efforts in the PRD region to achieve higher air quality standards.
Shenzhen's close proximity to Hong Kong provides a geographical advantage for inter-region
cooperation as well as better access to the technological support regarding air quality issues.
Furthermore, Shenzhen can provide access for the rest of the PRD region to such technologies that allow
for environmental protection.
Shared Regional Interests
Hong Kong has developed better technology and more experience in the reduction of air pollution,
which is exactly what the cities in Guangdong province lack. Air pollution is more concerning for the
residents of Hong Kong than issues of economic development. Therefore the focus of the cooperation
between Hong Kong and the PRD should be on dealing with regional air quality issues. Initiation of
regional cooperation with Hong Kong and the greater PRD regarding air pollution mitigation will not only
create a better environment but lead to comprehensive development for the region. First, the air quality
problem cannot be solved by a single city because air is not restricted by borders. The negative
externality of pollution created by intense production activities effects the entire region therefore
integrated efforts to reduce the level of air pollution must be undertaken. Beyond technological
cooperation with Hong Kong this interaction will also bring about new opportunities to develop
emerging industries such as clean energy, bio-industry, high-tech industries as well as the promotion of
industrial technology upgrades. Third, a better living and working environment will attract a more
capable and well rounded workforce. Inter-city travel is becoming an integral part of daily life and work,
around the world, therefore prospective residents of the PRD regions will tend to evaluate the
environment of whole area. Fourth, increased commitment to environmental protection will lead to
further optimization of local industries, for example, by adopting cleaning energies, and provide local
corporations new opportunities to build their brands and images as an environmental-friendly business.
In this way, new value and a sense of social responsibility can be injected in to the original interest-
driven commercial culture in Shenzhen, helping to cultivate a better civic culture in your city and its
region. Taking the initiative to promote regional cooperation in environmental protection provides
numerous benefits which are shown in the following chart:
(Source: Li, Xue)
Establish Internal Industrial Supply/Value Chain in the PRD Region
The external radiant value chain in the PRD region is losing its competitiveness in the global economics.
The existing export-oriented economy relies on low land and labor costs as well as large overseas
demands. Nevertheless, as the region's economy has developed, labor and land cost have risen (Peng,
2009). Meanwhile, under the pressures of the financial crisis and appreciation of the RMB, the overseas
market demand is shrinking. To further develop its economy, the domestic market of the PRD has to be
established, which will encourage cooperation and rearrangement of industry distribution in the PRD.
Different parts of the region should take advantage of their specific local assets such as geography and
natural resources, to develop the most applicable industry to the area. To accomplish the redistribution
of industry, the external radiant value chain in the PRD must refocus on the domestic industrial
networks.
Establish an efficient and transparent negotiating instrument/authority
To ensure efficient and successful regional cooperation in the future, the PRD must create an efficient
and transparent coordination and negotiation mechanism as well as a regional authority to plan the
greater PRD as a whole. The establishment of this authority will be capable of encouraging
environmental cooperation, engaging representatives from local level governments, corporations, non-
profits and academic communities within Guangdong cities, Hong Kong and Macao. Development of
such authority can be progressively established in the short run, the authority can focus all efforts on
environmental protection as well as regulation of industry. In the long run, the working scope can be
expanded to optimize industrial structures, infrastructure construction, education, culture and social
welfare. The primary purpose of establishing such an instrument is to coordinate negotiations regarding
resource allocation and interest sharing as well as increased monitoring and promotion capacities for
efficient implementation of agreements to guarantee long-term sustainable development throughout
the region.
To achieve the above goals, we suggest that Shenzhen proactively seeks a cooperation agreement with
Guangzhou. Despite severe competition in the region there is still room for cooperation between
organizations. Using Guangzhou and Shenzhen for example, are facing the same problems. According to
Table 1, the industrial structure of the two cities was up to 98.1% similar by the end of 2007. (Peng,
2009) Both cities are currently facing the pressure of industrial transformation and transfer. Due to the
unhindered development of the local manufacturing industries, they both suffer environmental
problems, especially in air quality. Moreover, both cities need to deal with the overwhelming traffic
conditions and urban village developments. Secondly, the two cities have complementary advantages in
human capital and culture. Guangzhou is the cultural and educational center of the province with a long
history and many top colleges. This form of historical permanence is exactly what Shenzhen lacks. The
population of immigrants in Shenzhen is four times that of the local citizens with Hukou. The low-cost
labor force is being utilized fully. Traditionally there are economic advantages in Shenzhen, however the
recent removal of most privileges by the central government has put the region at a slight disadvantage.
The current industrial structure is also losing competitive advantage due to increased labor and land
cost. The potential exists for vast economic development through the avid entrepreneurship in the
region but the opportunity will not exist forever.
Table 1. The industrial structure similarity of cities in PRD in 2007
Shenzhe
n
Zhuha
i
Fousha
n
Huizho
u
Shanw
ei
Donggua
n
Zhongsha
n
Zhaoqin
g
Guangzho
u 0.981 0.947 0.876 0.897 0.91 0.946 0.905 0.927
Shenzhen 0.99 0.952 0.962 0.945 0.991 0.969 0.913
Zhuhai 0.985 0.99 0.965 0.999 0.994 0.906
Foushan 0.996 0.948 0.985 0.998 0.85
Huizhou 0.972 0.988 0.998 0.892
Shanwei 0.955 0.96 0.968
Dongguan
g 0.993 0.892
Zhongsha
n 0.876
Resource: Guangdong Statistic Yearbook of 2008
In order to better cooperate with the smaller surrounding cities that will possibly receive polluting
industries Shenzhen should support these cities by providing the appropriate technologies for pollution
control.
Regional Cooperation in Infrastructure Construction: logistics network inside
the PRD
The establishment of a domestic horizontal industry chain relies on the well constructed infrastructure
of the PRD. Enterprises within the PRD cannot develop without a well-developed industry chain in this
particular area. Therefore, the enterprises would be reluctant to move since the lack of industry chain.
To tackle this problem, Shenzhen and the PRD should not only create policy which encourages the
transfer of industry but also establish the infrastructure and transportation network necessary to
stimulate the transition. If the cities in the PRD can be effectively linked with the help of railways or
roads, it will decrease the transfer cost, thereby inspiring the relocation of industry.
Further Promote Decrease Passage Time of Consumers between Hong Kong
and Shenzhen
Currently, at the border between China and Hong Kong there are customs desks on each side; if people
need to travel between China and Hong Kong they must transfer through customs a total of four times.
These procedures all make the flow of labor and exceedingly inconvenient. The systems of transfer
across borders must be streamlined in the fashion of the United States borders with Canada which only
require a passport to be shown upon entry. Streamlining the border crossing between Hong Kong and
mainland China in such a way as to enable Hong Kong residents to pass more freely will encourage more
investment and cooperation between the two areas.
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