copper to the world, adelaide, june 2019 · data analytics platform providing business insight,...
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A PERSPECTIVE ON COPPER…AND WHY WE NEED TO RE-IMAGINE MINING
Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019
Andrew Shaw – Principal, Market Intelligence, Copper, Anglo American Marketing
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CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
Disclaimer: This presentation has been prepared by Anglo American plc (“Anglo American”) and comprises the written materials/slides for a presentation concerning Anglo American. By attending this presentation and/or reviewing the slides you
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This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation, inducement or an offer to buy shares in Anglo American or any other securities. Further, it does not constitute a recommendation by
Anglo American or any other party to sell or buy shares in Anglo American or any other securities and should not be treated as giving investment, legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or other advice.
No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contain herein. None of Anglo American, its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability
whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this material or otherwise in connection with this material.
Forward-looking statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding Anglo American’s financial position, business, acquisition
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Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding Anglo American’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which Anglo American will operate in the future. Important factors that could
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the world, the actions of competitors, activities by governmental authorities such as permitting and changes in taxation or safety, health, environmental or other types of regulation in the countries where Anglo American operates, conflicts over
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placed on forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. Anglo American expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking (except as required by applicable law, the City Code on
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Nothing in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that future earnings per share of Anglo American will necessarily match or exceed its historical published earnings per share.
Certain statistical and other information about Anglo American included in this presentation is sourced from publicly available third party sources. As such it has not been independently verified and presents the views of those third parties, but
may not necessarily correspond to the views held by Anglo American and Anglo American expressly disclaims any responsibility for, or liability in respect of, such information.
No Investment Advice
This presentation has been prepared without reference to your particular investment objectives, financial situation, taxation position and particular needs. It is important that you view this presentation in its entirety. If you are in any doubt in
relation to these matters, you should consult your stockbroker, bank manager, solicitor, accountant, taxation adviser or other independent financial adviser (where applicable, as authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 in
the UK, or in South Africa, under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 37 of 2002).
Alternative Performance Measures
Throughout this presentation a range of financial and non-financial measures are used to assess our performance, including a number of financial measures that are not defined or specified under IFRS (International Financial Reporting
Standards), which are termed ‘Alternative Performance Measures’ (APMs). Management uses these measures to monitor the Group’s financial performance alongside IFRS measures to improve the comparability of information between
reporting periods and business units. These APMs should be considered in addition to, and not as a substitute for, or as superior to, measures of financial performance, financial position or cash flows reported in accordance with IFRS. APMs are
not uniformly defined by all companies, including those in the Group’s industry. Accordingly, it may not be comparable with similarly titled measures and disclosures by other companies.
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WHO WE ARE
Our portfolio of world-class competitive mining operations
and undeveloped resources provides the metals and
minerals that enable a cleaner, more electrified world and
that meet the fast growing consumer-driven demands of
the world’s developed and maturing economies.
– Diamonds (De Beers)
– Copper
– Platinum Group Metals (PGMs)
– Iron Ore
– Coal (Metallurgical & Thermal)
– Nickel & Manganese
Anglo American is a leading global mining company
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OUR PURPOSE
…to improve people’s lives
A Purpose is about more than just the work we do and the profits we make. It’s about the impact we have on everything and everybody we touch.
Re-imagine mining…
What mining could be and how we envisage mining in the future.
How we think differently and innovatively about mining and our entire value chain.
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OUR STRATEGY
• High quality, long-life assets
• Differentiated growth portfolio
• Sustainable cash flow & returns
• Performance foundations
1. Operating Model
2. P101
• FutureSmart MiningTM
1. Technical innovation
2. Sustainable Mining Plan
• Value from mine to market
• Social licence to operate
• Purpose-led, high-performance culture
• Organisation Model
Portfolio
Innovation
People
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WHERE WE OPERATE
De Beers
Copper
Platinum
Iron Ore
Coal
Nickel and Manganese
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2018 PERFORMANCE – CONTINUED DELIVERY
42%
Dividend Free cash flow
Mining marginProduction volumes
$9.2bn
EBITDA
19%$3.2bn$1.3bn
ROCE
6%
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A FUNDAMENTALLY DIFFERENT BUSINESS
Copper equivalent production and productivity
108
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
20142012 2013 201820172015 2016
Production index (Cu Eq)
Productivity index (Cu Eq tonnes/full-time equivalent)
Cu Eq unit cost
Production volumes
10%
Unit costs11
26%
+98%productivity
Number of assets
50%
2012 to 2018
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OUR COPPER BUSINESS
FROM LEFT TO RIGHT:
HENNIE FAUL, CEO COPPER;
TOM MCCULLEY, CEO ANGLO AMERICAN PERU;
RUBEN FERNANDES, CEO BASE METALS
• Interests in two major copper operations in Chile:
– a 50.1% interest in the Los Bronces mine, which we
manage and operate
– a 44% share of the Collahuasi mine
• 50.1% interest in the El Soldado mine and Chagres Smelter
in Chile, both of which we manage and operate
• In Peru, we have a 60% interest in the Quellaveco project
which is expected to produce 300kt/y copper
• Our high value portfolio will produce ~1 million tonnes of
copper annually, with further growth potential
Financial highlights (US$ million unless otherwise stated)
Our Copper Business 2018 2017
Production volume (equity interest, kt) 668 579
Underlying EBIT 1,234 923
Underlying EBITDA 1,856 1,508
Capital expenditure 703 665
Attributable return on capital employed (ROCE) % 22% 16%
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INNOVATION ESSENTIAL TO ENSURE SUSTAINABILITY
What is required to produce
40kg of copper
1t Waste
1t Ore
4% Cu
3m3 Water
10kWhr Energy
24t Waste
8t Ore
0.5% Cu
6m3 Water
160kWhr Energy
1900 2018 Future
Unsustainable trajectory Precision trajectory
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WE ARE RE-IMAGINING MINING
Operating Model
P101
FutureSmart Mining
Digitalisation
The Intelligent Mine
Technology Innovation
The Concentrated Mine
The Waterless Mine
The Modern Mine
Sustainability
Sustainable Mining Plan
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DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORMProviding business insight, empowering better decisions
Approach
1. Build an end-to-end data
platform that supports the
entire value chain
2. Use artificial intelligence to
interpret data
3. Engage end users with
next generation apps that
are mobile-friendly
4. Productization strategy
helps with scaling our
value generation
Value
Speed to market
Scale of deployment
IT/OT integration delivers
value
Operations decision support
focused
Anglo American Data Platform
MINING DATA LAKE
io io
Ingestion
services
MINING
PROCESSING
GEOSCIENCE
MARKET PRICES
NEXTGEN APPS
Technical expert
MinePlan
ANALYTICS
DATA SCIENCE
Datascientist
Sensors Real-time
Historians
Fleet Management Systems
Application Data Consumptionservices
QC
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THE ESSENCE OF FUTURESMART MINING™
Trusted corporate leader
Thriving communities
Healthy environment
Concentrated mine™
Waterless mine
Intelligent mine
Modern mine
Su
sta
ina
ble
Min
ing
Pla
n +
Te
ch
nic
al In
no
va
tio
n
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A PERSPECTIVE ON COPPER
“Anyone who believes there is
no more expansion left in the
uses of copper must also
believe that centuries of
human achievement have
come to an end”
…Andrew Shaw
Copper is central to improving living standards and mitigating environmental risks
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AVERAGE COPPER USE PER PERSON SET TO RISE
Source: Anglo American, CRU, Wood Mackenzie
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Europe N America S America Africa Other Asia China Japan Australasia
If uses grew at the average
rate of the past 100 years, the
world would need the
equivalent of 20 new
Collahuasi mines by 2030
Post War
Industrialization
and restoration
Lift-off for copper
fabrication in Asia.
The ‘China Miracle’
Early and mid
1900s: Military
Uses
1800s and
1900s: Early
electrification
China’s boom has shifted
the axis of global refined
copper use to new
fabrication centres
Weakness in emerging
markets but signs of
renewed growth in recent
times
Developed nations have
lost market share at the
“first use” level
Refined Copper Consumption in 1900-2018 (kt Cu)
Copper use per person globally is about 3 kg vs. 8 kg in Japan and 0.2 kg in India
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THOUGHT FOR THE NEXT CENTURY
“No society can surely be flourishing and happy, of which the far greater members are poor and miserable”
– Adam Smith
Source: CIA, World Factbook, 2018
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
GDP Per Capita For Selected Countries (US$, PPP)
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SUPPLY HAS TO KEEP UP WITH DEMAND…OR SOCIETY LOSES OUT
“For every tonne of copper mined and
embedded in the global economy,
carbon dioxide emissions can be
reduced by between 150t and 1,000t
per year. The move from a high CO2
emitting economy to a more
sustainable one is, in many ways,
simply the shift from a carbon economy
to a copper economy.”
…Bernstein Study, May 2019
Source: Bernstein, Anglo American
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THE SUPPLY GAP
Source: Wood Mackenzie
0
5
10
15
20
25
30Base Case Supply
Brownfield Additions
Demand
Gap of more than 9 Mt by 2030
Mine Supply and Brownfield Additions vs Demand (Mt Copper)
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GRADES HAVE FALLEN CLOSER TO THOSE OF RESERVES
Source: Wood Mackenzie, International Copper Study Group
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
All Operations
Primary Mines
Co-By Product Mines - (RH axis)
Mine Head Grades(% Cu)
World Copper Reserves
& Mine Production