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1 A PERSPECTIVE ON COPPER …AND WHY WE NEED TO RE-IMAGINE MINING Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 Andrew Shaw Principal, Market Intelligence, Copper, Anglo American Marketing

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Page 1: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

1

A PERSPECTIVE ON COPPER…AND WHY WE NEED TO RE-IMAGINE MINING

Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019

Andrew Shaw – Principal, Market Intelligence, Copper, Anglo American Marketing

Page 2: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

2

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT

Disclaimer: This presentation has been prepared by Anglo American plc (“Anglo American”) and comprises the written materials/slides for a presentation concerning Anglo American. By attending this presentation and/or reviewing the slides you

agree to be bound by the following conditions. The distribution of this document in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such

restrictions.

This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation, inducement or an offer to buy shares in Anglo American or any other securities. Further, it does not constitute a recommendation by

Anglo American or any other party to sell or buy shares in Anglo American or any other securities and should not be treated as giving investment, legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or other advice.

No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contain herein. None of Anglo American, its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability

whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this material or otherwise in connection with this material.

Forward-looking statements

This presentation includes forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding Anglo American’s financial position, business, acquisition

and divestment strategy, dividend policy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to Anglo American’s products, production forecasts and reserve and resource positions),

are forward-looking statements. By their nature, such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Anglo American, or

industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.

Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding Anglo American’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which Anglo American will operate in the future. Important factors that could

cause Anglo American’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among others, levels of actual production during any period, levels of global demand and commodity

market prices, mineral resource exploration and development capabilities, recovery rates and other operational capabilities, the availability of mining and processing equipment, the ability to produce and transport products profitably, the

availability of transport infrastructure, the impact of foreign currency exchange rates on market prices and operating costs, the availability of sufficient credit, the effects of inflation, political uncertainty and economic conditions in relevant areas of

the world, the actions of competitors, activities by governmental authorities such as permitting and changes in taxation or safety, health, environmental or other types of regulation in the countries where Anglo American operates, conflicts over

land and resource ownership rights and such other risk factors identified in Anglo American’s most recent Annual Report. Forward-looking statements should, therefore, be construed in light of such risk factors and undue reliance should not be

placed on forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. Anglo American expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking (except as required by applicable law, the City Code on

Takeovers and Mergers (the “Takeover Code”), the UK Listing Rules, the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the Financial Conduct Authority, the Listings Requirements of the securities exchange of the JSE Limited in South Africa, the SIX

Swiss Exchange, the Botswana Stock Exchange and the Namibian Stock Exchange and any other applicable regulations) to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement contained herein to reflect any change in

Anglo American’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

Nothing in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that future earnings per share of Anglo American will necessarily match or exceed its historical published earnings per share.

Certain statistical and other information about Anglo American included in this presentation is sourced from publicly available third party sources. As such it has not been independently verified and presents the views of those third parties, but

may not necessarily correspond to the views held by Anglo American and Anglo American expressly disclaims any responsibility for, or liability in respect of, such information.

No Investment Advice

This presentation has been prepared without reference to your particular investment objectives, financial situation, taxation position and particular needs. It is important that you view this presentation in its entirety. If you are in any doubt in

relation to these matters, you should consult your stockbroker, bank manager, solicitor, accountant, taxation adviser or other independent financial adviser (where applicable, as authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 in

the UK, or in South Africa, under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 37 of 2002).

Alternative Performance Measures

Throughout this presentation a range of financial and non-financial measures are used to assess our performance, including a number of financial measures that are not defined or specified under IFRS (International Financial Reporting

Standards), which are termed ‘Alternative Performance Measures’ (APMs). Management uses these measures to monitor the Group’s financial performance alongside IFRS measures to improve the comparability of information between

reporting periods and business units. These APMs should be considered in addition to, and not as a substitute for, or as superior to, measures of financial performance, financial position or cash flows reported in accordance with IFRS. APMs are

not uniformly defined by all companies, including those in the Group’s industry. Accordingly, it may not be comparable with similarly titled measures and disclosures by other companies.

Page 3: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

3

WHO WE ARE

Our portfolio of world-class competitive mining operations

and undeveloped resources provides the metals and

minerals that enable a cleaner, more electrified world and

that meet the fast growing consumer-driven demands of

the world’s developed and maturing economies.

– Diamonds (De Beers)

– Copper

– Platinum Group Metals (PGMs)

– Iron Ore

– Coal (Metallurgical & Thermal)

– Nickel & Manganese

Anglo American is a leading global mining company

Page 4: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

4

OUR PURPOSE

…to improve people’s lives

A Purpose is about more than just the work we do and the profits we make. It’s about the impact we have on everything and everybody we touch.

Re-imagine mining…

What mining could be and how we envisage mining in the future.

How we think differently and innovatively about mining and our entire value chain.

Page 5: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

5

OUR STRATEGY

• High quality, long-life assets

• Differentiated growth portfolio

• Sustainable cash flow & returns

• Performance foundations

1. Operating Model

2. P101

• FutureSmart MiningTM

1. Technical innovation

2. Sustainable Mining Plan

• Value from mine to market

• Social licence to operate

• Purpose-led, high-performance culture

• Organisation Model

Portfolio

Innovation

People

Page 6: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

6

WHERE WE OPERATE

De Beers

Copper

Platinum

Iron Ore

Coal

Nickel and Manganese

Page 7: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

7

2018 PERFORMANCE – CONTINUED DELIVERY

42%

Dividend Free cash flow

Mining marginProduction volumes

$9.2bn

EBITDA

19%$3.2bn$1.3bn

ROCE

6%

Page 8: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

8

A FUNDAMENTALLY DIFFERENT BUSINESS

Copper equivalent production and productivity

108

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

20142012 2013 201820172015 2016

Production index (Cu Eq)

Productivity index (Cu Eq tonnes/full-time equivalent)

Cu Eq unit cost

Production volumes

10%

Unit costs11

26%

+98%productivity

Number of assets

50%

2012 to 2018

Page 9: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

9

OUR COPPER BUSINESS

FROM LEFT TO RIGHT:

HENNIE FAUL, CEO COPPER;

TOM MCCULLEY, CEO ANGLO AMERICAN PERU;

RUBEN FERNANDES, CEO BASE METALS

• Interests in two major copper operations in Chile:

– a 50.1% interest in the Los Bronces mine, which we

manage and operate

– a 44% share of the Collahuasi mine

• 50.1% interest in the El Soldado mine and Chagres Smelter

in Chile, both of which we manage and operate

• In Peru, we have a 60% interest in the Quellaveco project

which is expected to produce 300kt/y copper

• Our high value portfolio will produce ~1 million tonnes of

copper annually, with further growth potential

Financial highlights (US$ million unless otherwise stated)

Our Copper Business 2018 2017

Production volume (equity interest, kt) 668 579

Underlying EBIT 1,234 923

Underlying EBITDA 1,856 1,508

Capital expenditure 703 665

Attributable return on capital employed (ROCE) % 22% 16%

Page 10: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

10

INNOVATION ESSENTIAL TO ENSURE SUSTAINABILITY

What is required to produce

40kg of copper

1t Waste

1t Ore

4% Cu

3m3 Water

10kWhr Energy

24t Waste

8t Ore

0.5% Cu

6m3 Water

160kWhr Energy

1900 2018 Future

Unsustainable trajectory Precision trajectory

Page 11: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

11

WE ARE RE-IMAGINING MINING

Operating Model

P101

FutureSmart Mining

Digitalisation

The Intelligent Mine

Technology Innovation

The Concentrated Mine

The Waterless Mine

The Modern Mine

Sustainability

Sustainable Mining Plan

Page 12: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

12

DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORMProviding business insight, empowering better decisions

Approach

1. Build an end-to-end data

platform that supports the

entire value chain

2. Use artificial intelligence to

interpret data

3. Engage end users with

next generation apps that

are mobile-friendly

4. Productization strategy

helps with scaling our

value generation

Value

Speed to market

Scale of deployment

IT/OT integration delivers

value

Operations decision support

focused

Anglo American Data Platform

MINING DATA LAKE

io io

Ingestion

services

MINING

PROCESSING

GEOSCIENCE

MARKET PRICES

NEXTGEN APPS

Technical expert

MinePlan

ANALYTICS

DATA SCIENCE

Datascientist

Sensors Real-time

Historians

Fleet Management Systems

Application Data Consumptionservices

QC

Page 13: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

13

THE ESSENCE OF FUTURESMART MINING™

Trusted corporate leader

Thriving communities

Healthy environment

Concentrated mine™

Waterless mine

Intelligent mine

Modern mine

Su

sta

ina

ble

Min

ing

Pla

n +

Te

ch

nic

al In

no

va

tio

n

Page 14: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

14

A PERSPECTIVE ON COPPER

“Anyone who believes there is

no more expansion left in the

uses of copper must also

believe that centuries of

human achievement have

come to an end”

…Andrew Shaw

Copper is central to improving living standards and mitigating environmental risks

Page 15: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

15

AVERAGE COPPER USE PER PERSON SET TO RISE

Source: Anglo American, CRU, Wood Mackenzie

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

Europe N America S America Africa Other Asia China Japan Australasia

If uses grew at the average

rate of the past 100 years, the

world would need the

equivalent of 20 new

Collahuasi mines by 2030

Post War

Industrialization

and restoration

Lift-off for copper

fabrication in Asia.

The ‘China Miracle’

Early and mid

1900s: Military

Uses

1800s and

1900s: Early

electrification

China’s boom has shifted

the axis of global refined

copper use to new

fabrication centres

Weakness in emerging

markets but signs of

renewed growth in recent

times

Developed nations have

lost market share at the

“first use” level

Refined Copper Consumption in 1900-2018 (kt Cu)

Copper use per person globally is about 3 kg vs. 8 kg in Japan and 0.2 kg in India

Page 16: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

16

THOUGHT FOR THE NEXT CENTURY

“No society can surely be flourishing and happy, of which the far greater members are poor and miserable”

– Adam Smith

Source: CIA, World Factbook, 2018

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

GDP Per Capita For Selected Countries (US$, PPP)

Page 17: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

17

SUPPLY HAS TO KEEP UP WITH DEMAND…OR SOCIETY LOSES OUT

“For every tonne of copper mined and

embedded in the global economy,

carbon dioxide emissions can be

reduced by between 150t and 1,000t

per year. The move from a high CO2

emitting economy to a more

sustainable one is, in many ways,

simply the shift from a carbon economy

to a copper economy.”

…Bernstein Study, May 2019

Source: Bernstein, Anglo American

Page 18: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

18

THE SUPPLY GAP

Source: Wood Mackenzie

0

5

10

15

20

25

30Base Case Supply

Brownfield Additions

Demand

Gap of more than 9 Mt by 2030

Mine Supply and Brownfield Additions vs Demand (Mt Copper)

Page 19: Copper to the World, Adelaide, June 2019 · DATA ANALYTICS PLATFORM Providing business insight, empowering better decisions Approach 1. Build an end-to-end data platform that supports

19

GRADES HAVE FALLEN CLOSER TO THOSE OF RESERVES

Source: Wood Mackenzie, International Copper Study Group

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

2.2

2.4

2.6

0.8

0.9

1.0

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

1.6

1.7

1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

All Operations

Primary Mines

Co-By Product Mines - (RH axis)

Mine Head Grades(% Cu)

World Copper Reserves

& Mine Production