copy of radioone_201706
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RADIO ONE INC.Harvard Business School Case 201-025Case Software 201-706 (4th edition)
Copyright © 2000 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College
This case was prepared as the basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation.
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Market Number of Stations
FM AM
Washington D.C. 2 2
Baltimore, MD 2 2
Philadelphia, PA 1
2 2
Atlanta, GA 2
Cleveland, OH 1 1
St. Louis. MO 1
Richmond, VA 7
Boston, MA 1
TOTAL 19 7Source: Adapted from numerous SEC 10-K Filings.
Exhibit 2 Radio One's Acquisition Strategy
Detroit, MIa
aOne station is located in Kingsley, MI.
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Year(s) of Acquisition
1980, 1987, 1995, 1998
1992, 1993
1997
1998
1999
1999
1999
1999
1999
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Key Demographic Statistics
60% faster Population Growth
Largest Minority Group in the United States
Population projected to reach 40MM by 2010
150% faster Income Growth than General Population
Source: Adapted from Company Reports.
Exhibit 3 African-American Demographic Information
Faster Population Growth 1995-2010
13.3
21.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
General Population African-Americans
Population
Ra
te o
f G
row
th (
%)
Faster Income Growth 1980-1995
4.3
10.7
02468
1012
General Population African-Americans
Population
Rate of Growth (%)
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African-American Demographic Information
Faster Income Growth 1980-1995
4.3
10.7
02468
1012
General Population African-Americans
Population
Rate of Growth (%)
Faster Income Growth 1980-1995
4.3
10.7
02468
1012
General Population African-Americans
Population
Ra
te o
f G
row
th (
%)
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Source: Adapted from Company Reports.
Exhibit 4 Rising Urban Format Power Ratios 1991 – 2002a
aYears 2000– 2002 Estimated
0.71 0.700.73 0.74
0.76 0.77 0.780.80 0.81 0.82
0.84 0.85
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
Year
Po
we
r R
ati
o
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Cost(mm) 96BCF Multiple 99BCF Multiple
Washington DC $46.20 $6.30 7.3x $14.90 3.1x
Baltimore $13.70 $3.30 4.2x $11.80 1.2x
Philadelphia $20.00 $0.20 100x $1.70 11.8x
Atlanta $13.50 $1.20 11.2x $6.90 2.0x
Source: Adapted from Company Reports.
Exhibit 5 Radio One's Turnaround Record
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1997 1998
Revenue
### ###
Less: Agency commissions 4,588,000 6,587,000
Net broadcast revenue ### ###
Operating Expenses
Program and technical $ 5,934,000 $ 8,015,000
Selling, general and administrative 12,914,000 16,486,000
Corporate expenses 2,155,000 2,800,000
Stock-based compensation -- --
Depreciation and amortization 5,828,000 8,445,000
Total operating expenses ### ###
Operating income $ 5,536,000 ###
8,910,000 11,455,000
Other income, net 415,000 358,000
$(2,959,000) $ (734,000)
(Benefit) Provision for income taxes -- (1,575,000)
(Loss) income before extraordinary item $(2,959,000) $ 841,000
Extraordinary item
Loss on early retirement of debt 1,985,000 --
Net (loss) income $(4,944,000) $ 841,000
Net loss applicable to common shareholders $(6,981,000) $(2,875,000)
Basic and diluted loss per common share
Loss before extraordinary item ($0.53) ($0.31)
Net loss ($0.74) ($0.31)
Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic and diluted 9,392,000 9,392,000
Other Data:
Broadcast cash flow ### ###
EBITDA (before non-cash compensation) ### ###
After-tax cash flow $ 2,869,000 $ 7,248,000
Capital expenditures $ 2,035,000 $ 2,236,000
Exhibit 6 Radio One, Inc. and Subsidiaries—Consolidated Statements of Operations
Broadcast revenue, including barter revenue of $1,010,000, $644,000 and $1,821,000, respectively
Interest expense, including amortization of deferred financing costs
(Loss) income before (benefit) provision for income taxes and extraordinary item
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Source: Company Reports
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1999
###
11,557,000
###
###
30,683,000
4,155,000 15.94% 12.96% 11.10%
225,000
17,073,000
###
###
15,279,000
2,149,000
$ 2,861,000
2,728,000
$ 133,000
--
$ 133,000
$(1,343,000)
($0.08)
($0.08)
16,137,000
###
###
###
$ 3,252,000
Radio One, Inc. and Subsidiaries—Consolidated Statements of Operations
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1997 1998 1999
AssetsCurrent assets:
Cash and equivalents $ 8,500,000 $ 4,455,000 $ 6,221,000 Investments, available for sale -- 256,390,000
$ 8,722,000 12,026,000 19,833,000 Prepaid expenses and other 315,000 334,000 1,035,000 Deferred income taxes -- 826,000 984,000
Total current assets $ 17,537,000 $ 17,641,000 $ 284,463,000 Property and equipment, net 4,432,000 6,717,000 15,512,000 Intangible assets, net 54,942,000 127,639,000 218,460,000 Other assets 2,314,000 1,859,000 9,101,000
Total assets $ 79,225,000 $ 153,856,000 $ 527,536,000
Liabilities and Stockholder EquityCurrent liabilities:Accounts payable $ 258,000 $ 1,190,000 $ 1,663,000 Accrued expenses $ 3,029,000 3,708,000 6,941,000 Income taxes payable -- 143,000 1,532,000
Total current liabilities $ 3,287,000 $ 5,041,000 $ 10,136,000
74,954,000 131,739,000 82,626,000 Deferred income tax liability -- 15,251,000 14,518,000
Total liabilities $ 78,241,000 $ 152,031,000 $ 107,280,000 Commitments and contingencies
Senior cumulative redeemable preferred stock:
9,310,000 10,816,000 --
13,658,000 15,868,000 --Stockholders’ equity:
-- -- 17,000
-- 2,000 3,000
-- 3,000 3,000 Accumulated comprehensive income adjustments -- -- 40,000 Additional paid-in capital -- -- 446,400,000 Accumulated deficit (21,984,000) (24,864,000) (26,207,000)
Total stockholders’ (deficit) equity $ (984,000) $ (1,825,000) $ 420,256,000
Exhibit 7 Radio One, Inc. and Subsidiaries—Consolidated Balance Sheets
Trade accounts receivable, net of allowance for doubtful accounts of $1,243,000 and $2,429,000, respectively
Long-term debt and deferred interest, net of current portion
Series A, $.01 par value, 140,000 shares authorized, 84,843 shares issued and outstanding
Series B, $.01 par value, 150,000 shares authorized, 124,467 shares issued and outstanding
Common stock—Class A, $.001 par value, 30,000,000 shares authorized, 0 and 17,221,000 shares issued and outstanding
Common stock—Class B, $.001 par value, 30,000,000 shares authorized, 1,572,000 and 2,867,000 shares issued and outstanding
Common stock—Class C, $.001 par value, 30,000,000 shares authorized, 3,146,000 and 3,184,000 shares issued and outstanding
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Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity $ 79,225,000 $ 153,856,000 $ 527,536,000
Source: Company Reports
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0.156626278
Current Assets $17,222,000 ### ###
Current Liability
$ 3,287,000 ### ###Work. Cap $13,935,000 ### ###
103.08% 53.61% 46.60%43.05% 25.12% 21.36% 23.24%
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Ticker Company
BBGI Beasley Broadcasting Group 11.8 13.7 15.4CBS CBS 15.1 15.8 22.3AFM AMFM Inc 14.7 15.4 14.4CITC Citadel Communcations 14.6 15.7 21.7CCU Clear Channel Communic. 17.2 17.9 20.1CXR Cox Radio 17.4 18.7 24.2CMLS Cumulus Media 17.7 19.2 37.2EMMS Emmis Broadcasting 11 12 13.2ETM Entercom Communications 16.6 17.7 21.1HBCCA Hispanic Broadcasting 42.1 44.5 59.7INF Infinity Broadcasting 18.8 19.4 26.9ROIA Radio One 22.1 24.2 36.5SGA Saga Communications 9.9 11.4 14.5WOM Westwood One 24.4 25.3 38.6
AVERAGE 18.1 19.4 26.1Source: Credit Suisse First Boston, Radio One, Inc. Equity Research Report, March 9, 2000 and casewriter estimates.
Exhibit 8 Radio Industry Trading Multiples as of March, 2000 based on 2001E forecasts
BCFa EBITDAa After-Tax Cash Flowb
aBCF & EBITDA: Adjusted Market Value Multiple to 2001bAfter-Tax Cash Flow: Current Price as a Multiple of 2001
cAsset betas are equity betas adjusted for leverage by multiplying the equity beta by the equity-to-value ratio and adding the debt beta (assumed to equal 0.25) times the debt-to-value ratio.
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NA1.060.960.680.650.270.830.550.3
1.230.820.820.261.290.75
Radio Industry Trading Multiples as of March, 2000 based on 2001E forecasts
Asset Betac
Asset betas are equity betas adjusted for leverage by multiplying the equity beta by the equity-to-value ratio and adding the debt beta
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----Pro Forma---- ----------------------Projected----------------------1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Gross Revenue – Existing MarketsWashington 32,221 34,812 37,597 41,357 45,492Baltimore 25,162 26,952 29,108 32,019 35,221Philadelphia (WPHI) 6,239 7,277 8,151 8,966 9,863Philadelphia (WPLY) 8,978 9,500 10,450 11,495 12,645Detroit 8,309 11,075 12,736 14,010 15,130Atlanta 15,811 17,584 19,782 21,760 23,936Cleveland 2,415 5,488 6,311 6,942 7,497St. Louis -- 1,028 2,056 2,467 2,837Richmond 10,713 13,226 15,210 17,492 19,241Boston -- 3,401 4,081 4,693 5,162
Existing Gross Revenue 109,848 130,343 145,482 161,201 177,024
Charlotte 1,002 1,250 2,250 3,250 4,250Augusta 2,708 2,750 3,200 3,400 3,600Indianapolis 5,173 5,814 6,600 8,200 9,500Los Angeles 38,626 41,117 45,221 49,517 54,221Miami 1,501 1,634 1,634 2,043 2,553Cleveland 13,370 13,750 15,000 16,500 17,750Houston 36,618 39,547 43,502 47,852 52,638Dallas 4,756 6,120 8,500 11,700 13,500Greenville 4,614 4,864 5,418 5,750 6,250Raleigh 12,118 13,538 15,163 16,679 18,347
New Markets Gross Revenue 120,486 130,384 146,488 164,891 182,609Direct Expenses – Existing MarketsWashington (4,098) (5,080) (5,486) (5,790) (6,369)
Baltimore (3,232) (4,018) (4,339) (4,483) (4,931)
Philadelphia (WPHI) (800) (1,078) (1,207) (1,255) (1,381)
Philadelphia (WPLY) (921) (1,078) (1,207) (1,379) (1,517)
Detroit (818) (1,483) (1,705) (1,961) (2,118)
Atlanta (2,080) (2,436) (2,741) (3,046) (3,351)
Cleveland (166) (632) (727) (972) (1,050)
St. Louis -- (163) (326) (345) (397)
Richmond (1,607) (1,982) (2,279) (2,449) (2,694)
Boston -- (484) (581) (657) (723)
Existing Gross Expenses (13,722) (18,434) (20,598) (22,337) (24,531)
Charlotte (150) (189) (313) (435) (549)
Augusta (406) (357) (379) (402) (426)
Indianapolis (519) (607) (702) (882) (1,078)
Los Angeles (5,155) (5,496) (6,045) (6,619) (7,248)
Miami -- -- -- -- --
Cleveland (1,707) (1,650) (1,800) (1,980) (2,130)
Exhibit 9 Radio One, Inc. Actual and Projected Financial Performance of Existing Markets and Potential New Markets
Gross Revenue – Potential New Marketsa
Direct Expenses – Potential New Marketsa
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Houston (4,479) (4,746) (5,220) (5,742) (6,317)
Dallas (547) (825) (1,063) (1,463) (1,688)
Greenville (566) (603) (672) (729) (791)
Raleigh (1,565) (1,770) (1,982) (2,180) (2,398)
ROI Direct Expenses (15,094) (16,243) (18,176) (20,432) (22,624)Net Revenue – Existing MarketsWashington 28,123 29,732 32,111 35,567 39,123Baltimore 21,930 22,934 24,769 27,536 30,290Philadelphia (WPHI) 5,439 6,199 6,944 7,711 8,482Philadelphia (WPLY) 8,057 8,422 9,243 10,116 11,127Detroit 7,491 9,592 11,031 12,048 13,012Atlanta 13,731 15,148 17,041 18,714 20,585Cleveland 2,249 4,856 5,584 5,970 6,448St. Louis -- 865 1,730 2,122 2,440Richmond 9,106 11,244 12,931 15,043 16,547Boston -- 2,917 3,500 4,036 4,440
Existing Net Revenue 96,126 111,909 124,884 138,863 152,494
Charlotte 852 1,061 1,937 2,815 3,701Augusta 2,302 2,393 2,821 2,998 3,174
Indianapolis 4,654 5,207 5,898 7,318 8,422Los Angeles 33,471 35,621 39,176 42,898 46,973Miami 1,501 1,634 1,634 2,043 2,553Cleveland 11,663 12,100 13,200 14,520 15,620Houston 32,139 34,802 38,282 42,110 46,321Dallas 4,209 5,295 7,438 10,238 11,813Greenville 4,048 4,261 4,746 5,021 5,459Raleigh 10,553 11,769 13,181 14,499 15,949
New Markets Net Revenue 105,392 114,143 128,313 144,460 159,985Operating Expenses – Existing MarketsWashington 13,480 13,827 14,864 15,734 16,316Baltimore 9,860 10,260 11,030 11,737 12,121
Philadelphia (WPHI) 3,779 3,957 4,254 4,618 4,926Philadelphia (WPLY) 5,815 3,622 3,743 3,791 3,853Detroit 6,421 6,578 7,071 7,495 7,776Atlanta 6,799 7,503 8,066 8,393 8,716Cleveland 1,774 3,791 4,075 4,234 4,451St. Louis -- 1,440 1,548 1,912 2,199Richmond 5,914 7,648 8,222 9,627 10,319Boston -- 2,243 2,411 2,783 2,998
Existing Operating Expenses 53,842 60,869 65,284 70,324 73,675
Charlotte 665 1,023 1,249 1,461 1,659Augusta 1,361 1,584 1,669 1,758 1,851
Indianapolis 2,954 3,206 3,463 3,848 4,255Los Angeles 14,448 15,621 16,176 16,584 17,581Miami 510 584 584 862 1,224Cleveland 4,862 4,600 4,700 4,958 5,101
Net Revenue – Potential New Marketsa
Operating Expenses – Potential New Marketsa
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Houston 10,129 10,592 11,046 11,469 11,850Dallas 4,012 4,195 4,938 5,238 5,500Greenville 1,919 1,928 2,071 1,945 1,922Raleigh 5,516 5,769 5,981 6,627 7,077
New Markets Operating Expenses 46,376 49,102 51,877 54,750 58,020BCF – Existing MarketsWashington 14,866 15,904 17,246 19,833 22,808Baltimore 11,846 12,673 13,738 15,799 18,169Philadelphia (WPHI) 1,658 2,242 2,689 3,092 3,556
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Philadelphia (WPLY) 2,500 4,800 5,500 6,325 7,274Detroit 1,069 3,013 3,959 4,553 5,236Atlanta 6,933 7,645 8,975 10,321 11,869Cleveland 470 1,066 1,510 1,737 1,997St. Louis -- -575 182 209 241Richmond 3,192 3,596 4,709 5,415 6,228Boston -- 674 1,090 1,254 1,442
Existing BCF 42,534 51,038 59,598 68,538 78,820
Charlotte 187 38 688 1,354 2,042Augusta 941 809 1,152 1,240 1,323Indianapolis 1,700 2,001 2,435 3,470 4,167Los Angeles 19,023 20,000 23,000 26,314 29,393Miami 991 1,050 1,050 1,181 1,329Cleveland 6,800 7,500 8,500 9,563 10,519Houston 22,009 24,210 27,236 30,641 34,471Dallas 197 1,100 2,500 5,000 6,313Greenville 2,129 2,333 2,675 3,076 3,538Raleigh 5,037 6,000 7,200 7,872 8,871
New Markets BCF 59,014 65,041 76,436 89,711 101,966
Total BCF 101,548 116,079 136,034 158,249 180,786
Corporate Expenses 6,000 6,000 6,900 7,935 9,125EBITDA 95,548 110,079 129,134 150,314 171,661Non-cash Compensation 225 0 0 0 0
107,520 107,520 107,500 107,500 107,500
EBIT (12,197) 2,559 21,634 42,814 64,161
Source: Adapted from company reports
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005Growth Rate 15 15 15 15 14.090909BCF 76,436 89,711 101,966 115,277 131,521
BCF – Potential New Marketsa
Depreciation and amortizationb
aPotential acquisitions in Charlotte and Augusta were from Davis Broadcasting; in Indianapolis from Shirk, Inc and IBL,LLC; and the remaining potential acquisitions were from Clear Channel Communications, Inc.bIncludes about $90 million of tax deductible depreciation and amortization in each year beginning 2001 and ending in 2015, as a result of the potential acquisitions.
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Corp Expenses 2025.554 2377.342 2702.099 3054.841 3485.2953Depreciation 90140 90280 90420 90560 90700PBT -15,730 -2,946 8,844 21,662 37,335Tax -5348.04836 -1001.756 3006.926 7365.134 12693.996PAT -10,382 -1,945 5,837 14,297 24,641Capex 2100 2100 2100 2100 2100NWC(gross) 17580.28 20633.53 23452.18 26513.71 30249.733
Delta NWC 17580.28 3053.25 2818.65 3061.53 3736.0228Depreciation 90140 90280 90420 90560 90700FCFE 60,078 83,182 91,338 99,695 109,505
CoA 11.975TV 3416190.09798Final FCFE 60,078 83,182 91,338 99,695 109,505DCF value $1,463,005.09
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----------------------Projected----------------------2004
50,04238,74310,84913,90916,34126,330
8,0973,064
20,7805,575
193,730
4,7003,800
11,00059,372
3,19119,00057,74315,188
6,50020,182
200,676
(7,006)
(5,424)
(1,519)
(1,669)
(2,288)
(3,686)
(1,134)
(429)
(2,909)
(781)
(26,845)
(607)
(452)
(1,257)
(7,938)
--
(2,280)
Radio One, Inc. Actual and Projected Financial Performance of Existing Markets and Potential New Markets
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(6,929)
(1,898)
(858)
(2,638)
(24,857)
43,03633,319
9,33012,24014,05322,644
6,9642,635
17,8714,795
166,887
4,0933,348
9,74351,436
3,19116,72050,81413,289
5,64217,544
175,820
16,80712,425
5,2403,8758,0328,9944,6672,358
10,709 0.9090913,137
76,244
1,7811,949
4,63918,642
1,3135,149
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12,0355,9001,5747,561
60,543
26,22920,894
4,090
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8,3656,021
13,6502,297
2777,1621,658
90,643 0.163375 4083.04
5803.952,312 1720.911,399 65,0415,104 0.026459
32,7941,878
11,57138,780
7,3894,0689,982
115,277 0.143293
205,920
10,494195,426 0.050723 0.050142 0.050474 0.050962
0
107,500 8% BCF old +X% BCF new =5%(BCFold+BCFnew)
87,926
0.146784
0.909091
0.53
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 201413.181818 12.27273 11.36364 10.45455 9.545455 8.636364 7.727273 6.818182 5.909091
148,857 167,126 186,118 205,576 225,199 244,648 263,552 281,522 298,157
Potential acquisitions in Charlotte and Augusta were from Davis Broadcasting; in Indianapolis from Shirk, Inc and IBL,LLC; and the remaining potential acquisitions were from Clear Channel Communications, Inc.
Includes about $90 million of tax deductible depreciation and amortization in each year beginning 2001 and ending
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3944.7206 4428.845 4932.123 5447.754 5967.767 6483.165 6984.137 7460.328 7901.16690840 90980 91120 91260 91400 91540 91680 91820 91960
54,073 71,717 90,066 108,868 127,831 146,625 164,888 182,241 198,29618384.704 24383.91 30622.35 37015.08 43462.54 49852.36 56061.99 61962.11 67420.65
35,688 47,333 59,443 71,853 84,368 96,772 108,826 120,279 130,8752100 2100 2100 2100 2100 2100 2100 2100 2100
34237.198 38439.04 42807.11 47282.4 51795.72 56268.98 60617.04 64750.02 68576.16
3987.4648 4201.838 4368.072 4475.289 4513.32 4473.266 4348.058 4132.98 3826.13890840 90980 91120 91260 91400 91540 91680 91820 91960
120,440 132,012 144,095 156,538 169,155 181,739 194,058 205,866 216,909
120,440 132,012 144,095 156,538 169,155 181,739 194,058 205,866 216,909
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20155
313,065
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8296.22492100
212,66972307.41
140,3612100
72004.97
3428.80892100
226,933
3,643,123
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Government Bond Yields
Maturity Rate
3 months 5.36
6 months 5.68
1 year 5.84
3 years 6.14
5 years 6.19
10 years 6.28
30 years 6.35
Corporate Bonds (10-year maturity)
Rating Rate
AAA 7.1
AA 7.18
A 7.34
BBB 7.7
BB 9.1
B 9.68
Source: Federal Reserve Statistical Release; Bloomberg
Exhibit 10 Corporate & Government Bond Rates as of March 1, 2000