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Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Page 1: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Chapter 14

Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

Page 2: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-2

Multinational Corporations (MNCs)

• Corporations that conduct and control productive activities in more than one country

• Large firms mostly from the U.S., Europe, and Japan

• 350 MNCs control 40% of international trade in primary and secondary products

Page 3: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Page 4: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

• FDI is investment by MNCs

• FDI in LDCs rose from an annual rate of $11 billion in 1980 to $1,100 billion in 2000, but fell to $600 in 2005

• Major recipients of FDI are China, Brazil, Argentina, and Mexico

Page 5: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-5

FDI Inflows, 1980–2005

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FDI Inflows to LDCs in Relation to Domestic Investment,1990–2003

Page 7: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Page 8: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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FDI Debate: Pros

FDI fills the

• Saving gap: causing economic growth

• Foreign-exchange gap: improving the BOP

• Tax revenue gap: raising funds for public spending

• Management gap: improving entrepreneurship

• Technology gap: facilitating industrialization

Page 9: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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FDI Debate: Cons

MNCs

• Don’t reinvest their profit

• Return profits to their headquarters through transfer pricing

• Create income for semi-skilled labor with low saving propensities

• Deteriorate current account through importation of capital goods and intermediate products

Page 10: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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FDI Debate: Cons

MNCs

• Deteriorate capital account through outflow of profits

• Receive investment tax credits and are exempt from tariffs

• Hinder development of domestic managerial skills

• Gain monopoly power

• Reinforce dualism, increase income inequality, and induce R-U migration

• Influence local politics and support “friendly” governments

Page 11: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Seven Key Disputed Issues about the Role and Impact of MNCs in LDCs

Page 12: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Seven Key Disputed Issues about the Role and Impact of MNCs in LDCs

Page 13: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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FDI Debate: Pros & Cons

Yes, MNCs

– Create jobs and income

– Transfer managerial skills and technology

But, MNCs

– Invest in most profitable business venture

– Transfer their profits out

Page 14: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-14

Private Portfolio Investment

• Foreign investment in the LDCs’ financial markets: i.e., stocks, bonds, certificates of deposit, commercial papers

• Investment in bonds and CDs increased from $4 billion in 1989 to $54 billion in 1997

• Investment is stocks rose from $2.2 billion in 1989 to $33 billion in 1997

Page 15: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-15

Private Portfolio Investment

The “emerging-country” financial markets of the NICs offered

• High rates of return (e.g., 39% in Latin American stock markets in 1988-93)

• High risks due to frequent volatility• Mexican currency crisis in 1994-95

• Asian financial crisis: a net outflow of $12 billion in 1997 in contrast to a net capital inflow of $93 billion in 1996

Page 16: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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The Role and Growth of Remittances

• Wages and salaries made in a host country, but sent back to the home country

• Wage differences

• “Brain Drain”

• Uneven flow of remittances

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Resource Flows to Developing Countries, 1990–2005

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Top 20 Remittance Recipient Countries, 2004

Page 20: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-20

Foreign Aid

All governmental resource transfers from one

country to another

• Expressed in real terms

• Exclude military aid

• Exclude transfers from private foreign investors

• Must be allocated to economic development projects and programs

Page 21: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Kinds of Foreign Aid

• Official Development Assistance: grants and loans

• Tide aid: the donor requires the recipient to use the funds to import products from companies in the donor country

• Untied aid: the donor provides assistance for developmental projects and plans

Page 22: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Donation of Foreign Aid

• In monetary value, the U.S. and Japan are the largest donor

• In percentage of GDP, Sweden and Netherlands are the largest donor

• In monetary value, FA increased from 1985 to 2005

• In percentage of GDP, FA fell from 0.35 in 1985 to 0.23 in 2002, but rose to 0.33 in 2005

Page 23: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Table 14.2 Official Development Assistance Disbursements from Major Donor Countries, 1985, 2002, and 2005

Page 24: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Allocation of Foreign Aid

• In U.S. $ per capita, the largest recipients are countries in the Middle East & North Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa

• In percentage of GNI, the largest recipients are countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East & North Africa and

Page 25: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Table 14.3 Official Development Assistance (ODA) by Region, 2005

Page 26: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Allocation of Foreign Aid

• In monetary value some of the largest recipient are China, Israel, Egypt, India, Bangladesh, and Indonesia

• In percentage of GNI, some of the largest recipient are Mozambique, Nicaragua, Uganda, Ethiopia, and Bolivia

Page 27: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Reasons for FA Donation

Economic

• Assist with economic development and technology transfer

• Help in case of emergency (e.g., natural disasters)

• Assist with economic transition (e.g., former Soviet republics)

Page 28: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-28

Reasons for FA Donation

• Economics: FA fills the

• Saving gap: causing economic growth

• Foreign-exchange gap: improving the BOP

• Technology gap: facilitating industrialization given absorptive capacity limitation

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Reasons for FA Donation

Political

• Assist “friendly” government to succeed

• Promote “national security” by shifting FA from one country or region to another

Page 30: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Criticism of the Donor Countries

• FA won’t necessarily assist the poor people of the LDCs

• FA assists non-democratic and corrupt LDC governments

• FA is just a small percentage of GDP of donor countries

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Criticism of the Donor Countries

• FA is mostly in the form of loans rather than grants; FA is mostly tied

• FA discourages production, competition, and self-reliance of the recipient nations

• FA is abused as an election propaganda in both donor and recipient countries

Page 32: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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Nongovernmental Organizations

• Voluntary organizations that work with and on behalf of mostly grassroots and religious groups

• Provide emergency relief, food, and medical supplies for humanitarian reasons

• Work directly with people, not governments

• Save the Children, CARE, World Vision, etc.

Page 33: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Foreign Finance, Investment, and Aid: Controversies and Opportunities

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New View of FA

• Make aid need-based to reduce poverty and overpopulation

• Provide more grants and less loans and more untied aid

• Promote self-reliant development

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New View of FA

• Provide economic rather than political aid

• Help expand and strengthen the NGOs

• Understand that in the long-term, there can’t be a dual future for the mankind, one for the very rich and one for the very poor, without the proliferation of global or regional conflict