corporate news releases and equity vesting · 2014-03-04 · a result of fas 123(r), and...
TRANSCRIPT
Corporate News Releases and Equity Vesting
Alex Edmans ∗
London Business School, Wharton, NBER, CEPR, and ECGI
Luis Goncalves-Pinto †
National University of Singapore
Yanbo Wang ‡
INSEAD
Moqi Xu §
London School of Economics
This Draft: November 18, 2013
Abstract
We show that CEOs strategically time the release of corporate news to coincide with monthsin which their equity vests. These vesting months are determined by equity grants madeseveral years prior and thus unlikely to be driven by the current information environment.We find that, compared to non-vesting months, firms release 12.5% more news during themonths in which CEOs’ restricted pay is pre-scheduled to vest. We also find a reduction innews releases both one month prior to vesting and two months after vesting. News releaseslead to a temporary run-up in stock prices and trading volume, potentially resulting fromincreased investor attention or reduced information asymmetry. This allows the CEO tocash out at a higher price and in a more liquid market.
JEL Classification: G11, G23, G30, G32, G34.
Keywords: Voluntary Disclosure, Equity Vesting, CEO Incentives, Insider Trading.
∗ [email protected], London Business School, P-225, Regent’s Park, London NW1 4SA.† [email protected], NUS Business School, 15 Kent Ridge Drive, MRB 7-43, Singapore 119245.‡ [email protected], INSEAD, Boulevard de Constance, F-77305 Fontainebleau, France.§ [email protected], London School of Economics, Room OLD M2.12, UK - WC2A 2AE, London.
1 Introduction
This paper shows that the vesting schedule of the CEO’s compensation contract affects his
timing of corporate news releases. In particular, we find that CEOs release more news in
months in which they have significant vesting equity. Such disclosures lead to an increase
in both the stock price and trading volume, allowing the CEO to cash out at a higher price
and in a more liquid market.
CEOs’ incentives to increase disclosure can stem from two channels. First, it can attract
investor attention, which previous research has shown to temporarily increase stock prices.
For example, Barber and Odean (2008) argue that investors need to browse through thou-
sands of stocks when making a buy decision, but do not face the same search problem when
selling as they tend to sell only stocks they already own. As a result, investors become net
buyers of attention-grabbing stocks, which can in turn positively affect their prices. Second,
increased disclosure can reduce information asymmetry between investors. This in turn en-
courages uninformed investors to buy the stock, also augmenting the stock price. Indeed,
Balakrishnan, Billings, Kelly, and Ljungqvist (2013) find that voluntary disclosures increase
liquidity and thus firm value.
While the consequences of information disclosure have been widely studied, there is
relatively little research on its determinants - in particular, how disclosure depends on the
incentives of the CEO who undertakes it.1 Studying this question is difficult because the
CEO’s incentives to boost the short-term stock price, via increasing disclosure, are likely
endogenous. The CEO’s stock price concerns may stem from a number of channels, but for
each of these channels, there may be reverse causality from disclosure to the incentives, or
omitted variables may jointly affect both the CEO’s incentives and his disclosure decision.
For example, the CEO may care about the current stock price if he intends to issue equity
on behalf of the firm (Stein (1996)) or sell his own shares (Stein (1989)). However, the
decision to sell primary or secondary equity is endogenous and in particular may be driven
by the information environment at the time. For example, it may be that a particular
1 One notable exception is Balakrishnan, Billings, Kelly, and Ljungqvist (2013) who show that an ex-ogenous decrease in public information incentivizes managers to increase disclosure. In this paper, we studyhow the manager’s contract provides him with incentives to release information.
2
month is newsworthy and leads to the CEO undertaking many news releases (even in the
absence of strategic considerations), and the CEO takes advantage of the temporary stock
price increase by opportunistically selling equity. Thus, disclosure causes equity sales rather
than the expectation of equity sales causing disclosure. Alternatively, the CEO’s stock price
concerns may stem from takeover threat (Stein (1988)), which may cause a CEO to disclose
to boost the stock price and alleviate the threat. However, uncertainty about the firm’s
future prospects (an omitted variable) may jointly cause a firm to be a takeover target (as
potential acquirers may have a different view on the firm’s long-run value than the market)
and to voluntarily disclose information (to reduce the uncertainty).
Identification problems are typically addressed by using an exogenous shock to the en-
dogenous variable - for example, unexpected equity sales due to sudden liquidity needs.
However, truly exogenous shocks are unpredictable by the CEO, and thus he is unable to
manage the information environment in advance by increasing disclosure. Thus, identifi-
cation in our setting requires a measure of the CEO’s stock price concerns that are both
predictable and likely to be exogenous - i.e. unaffected by disclosure and unrelated to the
current information environment.
We use the amount of shares and options that is scheduled to vest in a given month.
This amount is driven by the magnitude and vesting period of equity grants made several
years prior2, and thus unlikely to be affected by current disclosures or omitted proxies for
the current information environment. We calculate this amount from 2006 to 2011 using a
new dataset from Equilar, which takes advantage of increasing disclosure requirements as
a result of FAS 123(R), and hand-collect it from proxy statements and SEC Form 4 filings
from 1994 to 2005.
We first find that CEOs sell significant amounts of equity shortly after it vests, consistent
with optimal exercise behavior for a risk-averse agent (e.g., Kahl, Liu, and Longstaff (2003)
and Hall and Murphy (2002)). We observe a CEO’s first trade in 35% of the vesting months
in our sample, and more than 50% within three months of vesting. Thus, scheduled vesting
of equity indeed leads the CEO to be concerned with the short-term stock price.
2 The average vesting horizon in our sample is three years, with a maximum of seven years.
3
We next show that during the month in which significant equity is scheduled to vest,
firms undertake a significantly greater number of news releases, as recorded in the Capital
IQ database. We show that firms release 12.5% more news in vesting months compared
to non-vesting months. These results are robust to controls for determinants of a firm’s
information environment, other components of CEO compensation, as well as firm and year
fixed effects. We then classify news items into discretionary and non-discretionary, under
the rationale that discretionary disclosures are easier to manage by a manager wishing to
boost the stock price in a short period of time. Consistent with this hypothesis, we find
that the increase in news items during the vesting month is concentrated in those that are
discretionary.
We also find that firms significantly reduce the number of corporate news releases both
one month before and two months after the vesting month. These additional results suggest
that the increase in disclosures in the vesting month is not part of a general trend, but the
CEO’s strategic decision to delay news releases until the vesting month, and accelerate such
releases into the vesting month.
Having documented a link between the CEO’s stock price concerns and news releases, we
next study the effect of news releases on stock returns to verify whether disclosure indeed has
the intended effects. Discretionary news released in the vesting month generate a significant
cumulative abnormal return of 30 basis points, for stock and options together, during a
15-day window starting from the release date.
We derive a simple back-of-envelope calculation for the magnitude of the gain a CEO
can extract from undertaking strategic news releases to affect short-term stock returns. In
our sample, the average value of a CEO equity transaction is $5.4 million. According to
the abnormal return estimations provided above for a 15-day window, the implied gains for
an average CEO from the strategic release of discretionary news, amount to $16,200. The
implied gain is modest but is in line with gains in cases of illegal insider trading.
The above calculations measure the CEO’s benefit from increasing disclosure if he has no
price impact and so is only concerned with the level of the stock price. However, if the CEO
expects to sell a significant amount of equity upon vesting, and thus have price impact, he
will also benefit from any increased liquidity that results from higher investor attention or
4
lower information asymmetry. The average amount of vesting equity (stock and options) in
a vesting month, as a percent of total shares outstanding, is 2 basis points (with a maximum
of 45 basis points).
We report an abnormal increase in trading volume in the vesting month. On the first day
after a news release, for all equity (stock and options), we find that turnover increases by
0.41% for discretionary news, and 0.71% for non-discretionary news. These values decrease
as we extend the number of days in our event-study windows. Therefore, in addition to the
price increases, CEOs also benefit from the greater liquidity that results from higher trading
volumes surrounding a news release, thus enabling them to trade with a smaller price impact.
The final step is to show that CEOs indeed take advantage of the observed short-term
run-ups in stock price and liquidity. We compute the length of time between the release of
corporate news and the date at which the CEO first sells some of his equity holdings, as re-
ported in the Thomson Financial Insider Trading filings. Focusing on news and transactions
that happen within the vesting month, we find that the median CEO takes 3 days to sell
some of his equity holdings from the date of the news release. In other words, counting from
the last corporate news event recorded on Capital IQ as occurring within a vesting month,
half of the CEOs in our sample sell equity within the period of 3 days. Moreover, 28% of
the CEOs in our sample cash in their shares and options on the same day of the news event.
These results suggest that CEOs can in fact generate trading profits from the short-term
return effect associated with corporate news events. Overall, our results indicate that the
timing of corporate news may be biased by CEOs seeking to affect their firms’ stock price
to benefit their own trading.
Our paper is related to two main literatures: corporate disclosures and equity vesting.
Starting with the former, Balakrishnan, Billings, Kelly, and Ljungqvist (2013) show that
managers increase disclosure by providing more earnings guidance. They do so in response
to a reduction in public information caused by exogenous broker closures or mergers. Ahern
and Sosyura (2013) find that bidders in stock mergers originate significantly more positive
news stories after the start of merger negotiations, but before the public announcement.
They show that such strategy generates a temporary run-up in bidders’ stock prices during
the period when the stock exchange ratio is determined, which can help reduce the cost of the
5
takeover. While the decision to undertake a merger or to use stock financing may be driven
by the expectation of imminent positive news releases, we study the incentives to disclose
resulting from equity grants made several years prior. We find that firms tend to delay the
release of news in the month before the vesting month. This result is consistent with the
findings in Chuprinin (2011), which shows that companies tend to ration the delivery of
news and create reserves that allow them to create sustainable price trends and to mitigate
unexpected shortages of public information.
In addition to disclosing information through news releases, firms can do so through
advertising. Indeed, Lou (2013) shows that managers increase firm advertising to attract
investor attention and increase short-term stock returns. Like in our paper, Lou (2013)
connects such activity to insider-trading related benefits. However, advertising expenses are
reported only annually, which makes it harder to isolate causal effects of predicted events
and advertising activity. However, unlike in Lou (2013) and Ahern and Sosyura (2013), we
use equity vesting schedules to predict CEOs’ trading. Such schedules are determined several
years in advance. In addition, our analysis is at a more granular level, studying the number
of news releases within a given month. This granularity reduces the likelihood that, several
years prior, the board chose equity vesting dates to coincide with the precise month in which
it expected the firm to release news.
More generally, our paper is related to the literature on media and its impact on stock
returns and liquidity. On the return dimension, Fang and Peress (2009) find a significant
return premium on stocks with no media coverage, and Huberman and Regev (2001) and
Tetlock (2011) show that individual investors (over)react to stale information. On the trad-
ing dimension, Engelberg and Parsons (2010) show a causal relation between media and
volume, and Brennan and Tamarowski (2000) establish a chain of causation between cor-
porate investor relations activities, the number of stock analysts who follow the firm, and
the liquidity of trading in the firm’s shares. Grullon, Kanatas, and Weston (2004) show
that visibility related to greater advertising expenditures increases ownership breadth and
liquidity. We contribute to this literature by analyzing a compensation-related incentive to
use media as a vehicle to increase stock returns and liquidity.
6
The second literature to which this paper relates studies the relationship between vesting
equity and corporate decisions. While most existing research on CEO contracts study the
level of a CEO’s incentives, some recent papers investigate the horizon of incentives. Gopalan,
Milbourn, Song, and Thakor (2013) are the first to use the Equilar dataset to quantify the
duration of a CEO’s equity incentives, linking it to firms’ earnings management. Edmans,
Fang, and Lewellen (2013) show that newly-vesting equity is associated with declines in
investment in the same year as well as a greater likelihood of the manager meeting or narrowly
beating earnings forecasts. Ladika and Sautner (2013) show that FAS 123(R) led to boards
accelerating the vesting of previously-granted equity to avoid an accounting charge, which
in turn led to a reduction in investment.
This paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we describe the data and the main
variables used in our study. Section 3 shows that vesting schedules are highly correlated
with actual equity sales. In Section 4, we present the core results of our paper, linking
the timing of news releases with equity vesting schedules. In Section 5, we document the
short-term stock return effects of corporate news events and their relation with the vesting
schedules. Section 6 concludes.
2 Data and Empirical Strategy
This section describes the main variables used in our empirical analysis and our empirical
strategy.
2.1 Equity Vesting, Insider Trading, and Corporate News Data
We obtain data on the vesting schedules of restricted stock and options from the Equilar
dataset. Similar to ExecuComp, Equilar collects their compensation data from the firms’
proxy statements. We obtain details of all stock and option grants to all named executives
of firms in the Russell 3000 index for the period between 2006 and 2011. For each grant,
we have both the size of the grant, the length of the vesting period, and the nature of the
vesting: whether the grant vests equally over the vesting period (graded vesting) or entirely
7
at a specific time (cliff vesting). This data was used in Gopalan, Milbourn, Song, and Thakor
(2013), Edmans, Fang, and Lewellen (2013), and Lou (2013), among others.
For the period before 2006, we hand-collect vesting details available in Form 4 (insider
trading) filings as well as in proxy statements (Cadman, Sunder, and Rusticus (2013)). While
proxy statements contain detailed vesting information for option grants, they typically do not
provide them for restricted stock grants. Form 4 filings provide vesting details for both option
and stock. However, because Form 4 filings are filed by the beneficial owner (the CEO), they
are more prone to errors than proxy statements, which are audited and filed by the firm
on an annual basis. Therefore, we use the information given in proxy statements for option
grants and supplement it with information on stock grants obtained from Form 4 filings.
These are available online starting from 1994. Both sources describe vesting conditions in
footnotes. To limit the work involved in obtaining and coding the footnotes, we restrict
our pre-2006 sample to firms that were part of the S&P 500 within that period. While
information on the grant itself is available in a standardized format in proxy statements and
Form 4 filings, vesting conditions are typically described in footnotes. We present next the
structure of typical footnotes on the proxy statements and Form 4. We selected one for Louis
Gerstner of IBM in 2001, with a grant of 650,000 options with an exercise price of $109.62.
The footnote on the proxy statement reads as follows:
“Mr. Gerstner’s grant becomes exercisable in two equal installments, on March 1, 2001
and March 1, 2002.”
We selected a Form 4 filed by John H. Eyler, Jr., of Toys R Us in 2004. On April 1, 2004,
Mr. Eyler was awarded 20,000 shares of (restricted) common stock. The footnote on Form
4 reads as follows:
“These shares vest 50% on the second anniversary of the award date and 100% on the
third anniversary of the award date.”
We use these footnotes to calculate the number of stocks and options due for vesting on
each date. In the example for Mr. Gerstner, half of the 650,000 options vests on March 1,
2001, and half on March 1, 2002. In the Equilar database, such an example would have been
coded with a vesting period of two years and graded vesting. In the example for Mr. Eyler,
half of the 20,000 shares of common stock vests on April 1, 2006, and half on April 1, 2007.
8
The other category in Equilar is cliff vesting, which means that all of the options will
vest at the end of the vesting period. Equilar does not capture whether graded vesting is
on an annual, quarterly, or monthly basis. Because most graded vesting schedules prior to
2006 are annual, we conduct our base analysis assuming an annual schedule. Our results are
robust if we assume a quarterly schedule for all graded vesting. We also assume that graded
vesting refers to straight-line vesting.
Note that our method of estimating the amount of vesting equity differs slightly from
the method in Edmans, Fang, and Lewellen (2013). That paper studies the actual number
of shares and options that vest in a given year. For example, they calculate how the number
of unvested options with a particular (exercise price, expiration date) combination falls over
the course of the year. By looking at actual vesting ex-post (which is known to the CEO
ex-ante as he observes his contract), they do not require the assumption that graded vesting
refers to straight-line vesting. This measure is only available on an annual basis, consistent
with the fact that Edmans, Fang, and Lewellen (2013) study the link between vesting equity
and investment (which is also available on an annual basis). In contrast, our dependent
variable of interest is the number of news releases in a given month, which requires us to
estimate the number of shares and options that vest in a given month. Thus, rather than
looking at actual vesting ex-post, we follow Gopalan, Milbourn, Song, and Thakor (2013)
by studying predicted vesting ex-ante. Specifically, when new equity is granted, we predict
the number of units of this grant that will vest in a given month by using its grant date,
vesting period, and cliff- versus graded-vesting status. While this requires the assumption
that graded-vesting refers to straight-line vesting, it allows us to estimate vesting equity on
a monthly frequency.
In addition to vesting equity, we also study the dollar value of the actual equity sold. We
obtain this data from the Thomson Financial Insider Trading database, which is compiled
from Form 4 filed with the SEC.
Finally we obtain information on corporate news from Capital IQ. In particular, we
retrieve information on press releases. We then classify all the news into discretionary
and non-discretionary. The discretionary category includes items such as: client announce-
ments, product-related announcements, corporate guidance, company conference presenta-
9
tions, buyback update, strategic alliances, follow-on equity offerings, and shareholder/analyst
calls, among others. The non-discretionary category of news includes items such as: an-
nouncements of earnings, earnings calls, executive/board changes, annual general meeting,
executive changes, regulatory agency inquiries, board meeting, and auditor changes, among
others.
2.2 Control Variables
In addition to the data on corporate news events and on CEO compensation and equity
transactions, we use a number of controls intended to capture firms’ information environment
and other CEO incentives.
Following Gopalan, Milbourn, Song, and Thakor (2013), we compute the average duration
of CEOs’ non-vested compensation. This measure has been shown to be associated with CEO
short-termism and with earnings management. The analysis in our paper focuses however
around the vesting month of CEO restricted pay, and duration incentives are less likely to
be present during that period. We calculate option delta and vega measures, separately for
CEOs’ vested and unvested options, following the method described in Edmans, Fang, and
Lewellen (2013). These measures capture the sensitivity of the price of options to a one
dollar change in the price and a one percent change in volatility of the underlying stock,
respectively. They capture the degree to which CEOs would be willing to influence the mean
level and volatility of the firms’ stock prices. We also measure the moneyness of vesting
options as a weighted average of a dummy variable that equals one for a vesting option that
is in the money, weighted by the Black-Scholes value of the option.
We control for the total compensation of the CEO, measured as the sum of salary and
bonus and the value of the current grants of equity-based compensation. Incentive pay is
the value of stock and options as a fraction of total compensation. These data were obtained
from ExecuComp. We also control for the age of the CEO, to control for life-cycle driven
differences in company policies (e.g., Malmendier and Tate (2005, 2008), Malmendier, Tate,
and Yan (2011), Yim (2013)).
We complement the compensation data with data on stock characteristics from the Center
for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) and financial data from Compustat. In particular,
10
we add to our control variable list some CRSP measures of trading volume, bid-ask spread,
and past stock returns. We also compute a measure of stock illiquidity following Amihud
(2002), which is simply the number of units of absolute stock return per dollar of trading
volume. Regarding company fundamentals, we use the earnings surprise measure (SUE)
available in the I/B/E/S database. We also control for R&D and advertising expenses as
a percentage of total assets, from Compustat. We control for advertising expenses because
it has been shown in Lou (2013) that managers adjust firm advertising to attract investor
attention and benefit from temporarily inflated stock prices.
We add to our list of control variables a measure of mutual fund flow-induced trading
pressure, which serves as a proxy for stock mispricing. We compute this measure following
Edmans, Goldstein, and Jiang (2012). It has been shown that, stock overpricing due to
excess demand pressure from mutual funds is positively associated with new equity issues
(Khan, Kogan, and Serafeim (2012)) and it could also be linked to insider sales.
Finally, we use an indicator variable to capture the effect of firms’ fiscal-year end, which
involves a substantial concentration of disclosure and corporate news activity. In addition,
Oyer (1998) argued that executive bonus plans are commonly based on fiscal-year results,
which can provide incentives for managers to manipulate prices to maximize their own in-
comes rather than their firms’ profits.
2.3 Descriptive Statistics
In Table 1, we present the summary statistics for the main variables used in our study. Our
key dependent variables are corporate news events and insider transactions. A typical firm
in our sample has an average (median) of 3.19 (3) press releases, 2.53 (2) website activities,
and 1.50 (1) transactions in days with observed corporate events as recorded in the Capital
IQ database. Regarding insider transactions, which we obtain from the Thomson Financial
Insider Filing database, the average (median) number of shares sold by CEOs in our sample
is 61,000 (22,000) per transaction, while the average (median) number of options exercised
is 180,000 (83,000). In dollar terms, the average (median) value of shares sold by a CEO is
$1.2 million ($0.48 million) and the average (median) value of options exercised by a CEO
is $4.2 million ($1.8 million).
11
Our key independent variables are related to the vesting schedules of CEOs’ restricted
compensation. The average (median) stock grant is worth $1.06 million ($0.70 million), and
the average (median) option grant is worth $0.45 million ($0.23 million). In our sample,
the fraction of option and stock grants that vest entirely at a specific time (cliff vesting) is
37% and 15%, respectively. The remaining grants vest equally over a period of time (graded
vesting).
The equity vesting periods in our sample are on average 3 years long and can become as
long as 7 years (for stock grants). This constitutes one of the most important properties of
the equity vesting schedules. In particular, these schedules are set by equity grants awarded
to the CEO many years in the past and can plausibly be considered exogenous to the current
information environment of the firm.
The average pay duration of the CEOs in our sample is 1.43 years, and the average CEO
is 55 years old. These statistics are consistent with those in Gopalan, Milbourn, Song, and
Thakor (2013).
In the Appendix, we provide a description of the main variables used in our study.
3 Insider Transactions and Equity Vesting
This section studies whether CEOs indeed sell equity soon after it vests. In Table 2, we
compute the average distance between the month in which a CEO’s equity vests and the
month in which for the first time we observe the same CEO executing a transaction. We
provide those statistics separately for restricted stock (Panel A) and stock options (Panel
B), and also separately for cliff and graded vesting. Overall, we observe a CEO’s first stock
trade in 35% of the vesting months in our sample, and more than 50% if we consider not
just the vesting month but also the two subsequent months. Similar values are reported for
the average time between vesting and the first exercise of a stock option grant by a CEO.
These results suggest that managers are likely to sell their stock and exercise their options
upon vesting, which is consistent with optimal behavior of a risk-averse agent (e.g. Hall and
Murphy (2002), Kahl, Liu, and Longstaff (2003)). Therefore, equity vesting can effectively
capture a CEO’s concern with short-term stock prices.
12
In Table 3, we provide a multivariate analysis of the determinants of CEO transactions.
In particular, we report the results obtained from the following regression specification:
Transactions,t = α + β ∗3∑
τ=0
V estingMonths,k,t+τ + γ ∗ Controls+ Fixed Effects + εs,t (1)
where the dependent variable Transactions,t is an indicator function which equals one if
the CEO sells his shares or exercises his options in a particular month (t), and equals zero oth-
erwise. Among the independent variables, we consider an indicator function V estingMonths,k,t+τ
for the vesting month (τ = 0), and additional indicators for each of the three months fol-
lowing the vesting month (τ = 1,τ = 2, and τ = 3). The main control variables we use
are described in Section 3.2. In addition to those, we also include indicators for earnings
announcement months (yearly and quarterly), indicators for ex-dividend months, as well as
for annual general meeting (AGM) months to account for news and press activity unrelated
to vesting. Introducing firm and year fixed effects allows us to control for unobserved firm
characteristics and time-varying trends. As a result, our measures are strictly time-varying
differences within the firm.
The results reported in Table 3 corroborate the simple analysis we provided in Table
2. Overall, there is a 19% to 27% higher probability that we observe a transaction by a
CEO during the month in which their stock and option holdings are pre-scheduled to vest.
However, from the second month after vesting and onwards, the likelihood of observing a
CEO transaction decreases significantly.
Consistent with the results in Oyer (1998), we show that firms’ fiscal year ends also
strongly predict CEOs’ transactions. There is a 14% to 20% probability of observing a CEO
trade in the month in which there is an announcement of earnings for the prior fiscal year.
After controlling for yearly earnings announcements, our indicator for quarterly earnings
announcements exhibits a negative and significant coefficient. This is because most of fiscal
year earnings announcements coincide with the last quarter earnings announcements. Ef-
fectively, the indicator function for the fiscal year earnings announcements is an interaction
between yearly and quarterly earnings announcements.
13
Note also that the likelihood of a CEO transaction is larger when the vesting month
is also an ex-dividend month or an AGM month. Lastly, not surprisingly, the exercise of
options is positively related to their moneyness.
4 News Releases and Equity Vesting
Table 4 reports the core results of this paper, that CEOs significantly increase disclosures in
months in which they have vesting equity. We run the following regression:
NewsEvents,t = α + β ∗3∑
τ=−1
V estingMonths,k,t+τ + γ ∗ Controls+ Fixed Effects + εs,t (2)
where the dependent variable NewsEvents,t represents a count of the corporate news events
related to a particular firm (s) that were recorded in Capital IQ for a given time period (t).
Compared to specification (1), we add to this regression specification an indicator function
for the month prior (τ = −1) to the vesting month (t). Note that in Table 4 the regression
coefficient associated with the indicator for the month prior to the vesting month is negative
and significant for the full sample (in column 1 we show a coefficient of -0.10 with t = −6.01
for all news events and all securities vesting), and also for the different sub-samples (stock
and option vesting, and discretionary and non-discretionary news). Note that the results are
stronger for the discretionary news (columns 2, 5, and 8). This result suggests that firms are
likely to strategically delay the release of corporate news in the month prior to the vesting
month, which can then create clustering of news in the vesting month. This also suggests
that firms could strategically create reserves of news which they could later use to mitigate
potential shortages of public news (Chuprinin (2011)). To our knowledge, these results are
the first to link the timing of the release of corporate news and the vesting schedules of
CEOs’ restricted compensation.
In the vesting month, we observe 0.05 (t = 3.04) more discretionary news events (column
2), after controlling for other determinants of news releases. Note also that two months
after vesting there appears to be a reversal in the intensity of news releases, stronger also
for discretionary news (column 1), and across the sub-samples (columns 5 and 8).
14
Note that the indicator functions for earnings announcements absorb a significant portion
of the effects related to corporate news releases. We argue that the news items we classified
as discretionary are more voluntary, while the items under the non-discretionary category
are more likely mandated by market regulations. Therefore, managers are more likely to use
discretionary news to affect market perceptions. Our results are consistent with this idea,
as they appear to be statistically and economically stronger for discretionary news.
In Table 5 we focus our analysis on the amount of equity vesting, instead of simply an
indicator for whether a month is a vesting month or not. We use the following regression
specification:
NewsEvents,t = α + ρ ∗ AmountV esting/SOs,k,t +
+ β ∗∑
τ∈{−1,1,2,3}
V estingMonths,k,t+τ +
+ γ ∗ Controls+ Fixed Effects + εs,t (3)
where the variable AmountV esting/SOs,k,t is the amount of equity vesting divided by the
number of shares outstanding in the vesting month. The other variables are as in specification
(2), except that the indicator V estingMonths,k,t+τ does not include the vesting month (τ =
0). The results we report in Table 5 are very similar to those presented in Table 4. There
appears to be evidence of strategic delay of news in the month before vesting, and a positive
relation between the amount of equity vesting and the amount of news releases, in particular
for discretionary news (columns 2, 5 and 8). In Table 5 we do not observe the reversal of
the intensity of news two months after vesting, like in Table 4.
In Table 6 we report the breakdown of the news events by type. These events are ex-
tracted from Capital IQ. In particular, they are extracted from press releases in the Capital
IQ database. We present the top 30 events, which account for 91.44% of our sample. Note,
for instance, that earnings calls account for 9.10% of the news observations in our sample.
The most common news event in our sample related to client announcements (13.14% of all
events). We also present the breakdown of the events observed during the vesting months.
Note that the most frequent news event observed in the vesting months is earnings calls, rep-
resenting 12.77% of all events observed in the vesting months. The second most likely events
15
in the vesting months are product-related announcements (11.96%) followed immediately by
client announcements (11.38%).
5 Returns and Liquidity in the Vesting Month
The results we report in Tables 4 and 5 are consistent with the idea that firms have an
incentive to synchronize the release of corporate news with the vesting schedules of CEOs’
restricted equity. We argue that such timing strategy can help firms attract investors’ at-
tention or reduce information asymmetry among investors during the equity vesting month
from which CEOs can benefit by trading in their own account. We argue that firms have a
preference to cluster in the vesting month the release of news that are discretionary. Such
category of news may carry less fundamental content. This could in turn lead investors with
limited attention and limited processing capacity to take such abnormal increase in corpo-
rate news at face value and become net buyers of the firm’s stock, overreacting and creating
short-lived run-ups in its price (Barber and Odean (2008)). Such short-term run-ups in
firms’ stock price could then be taken advantage of by CEOs who would opportunistically
sell their equity in the firm to explore the stock mispricing.
In Table 7, we study whether the strategy used by firms to cluster the release of corporate
news in the equity vesting months does indeed generate the intended stock price reactions.
We conduct an event study of the impact of the release of corporate news in the vesting
month. We report averages of the cumulative abnormal return (CAR), abnormal bid-ask
spread, and abnormal trading volume (normalized by the amount of shares outstanding
in the vesting month) of the firms’ stock, for the release of both discretionary and non-
discretionary news. We create three time windows that cover one, fifteen, and thirty days
after the news release date within a given vesting month. The results in Table 7 show that
discretionary news released in the vesting month generate a cumulative abnormal return of
30 basis points (t = 5.20) within 15 days from the release date. Using this figure, we can
perform a back-of-envelope calculation of the implied gains that a CEO can extract from
strategically releasing news according to his equity vesting schedules. As discussed in section
2.3., the average value of a CEO transaction is $5.4 million (stock and options together).
16
Therefore, 30 basis points of cumulative abnormal return associated with the release of
discretionary news in the vesting month implies an expected average gain of $16,200 within
15 days of the news release date. This appears to be a modest gain, but it is in line with
gains in cases of illegal insider trading.
Discretionary news released in the vesting month generate a cumulative abnormal return
of 37 basis points (t = 4.76) for restricted stock, and 36 basis points (t = 5.35) for stock
options, during a 15-day window starting from the release date. This return effect does not
appear to vanish after we extend the event window to 30 days from the news release date.
Note that the return effects can be stronger for non-discretionary news. For example, a
cumulative abnormal returns of 53 basis points (t = 3.89) is generated over 15 days for stock
options.
In Figure 1, we present two event-study plots that document the cumulative abnormal
returns (in basis points) that can be generated around the news event dates in the vesting
month, when considering all the types of news (Panel A), and when considering only one
type of discretionary news: corporate guidance (Panel B). We report separately the effects
associated with corporate guidance as this was the type of voluntary discloses that Balakr-
ishnan, Billings, Kelly, and Ljungqvist (2013) focus on. Note that in both Panels A and B
the plots exhibit a significant run-up on the news event date. The run-up appears stronger
for corporate guidance (Panel B), but the reversal is stronger when considering all the news
events (Panel A).
However, the stock return figures presented above do not fully account for the benefits
CEOs can extract from influencing market perceptions regarding their firms’ stock. In par-
ticular, they do not account for the adverse price impact that CEOs can prevent with the
additional trading volume that can be generated by the strategic release of corporate news,
as well as its effect on the stock’s bid-ask price spread.
In Table 7, we also report a positive and significant abnormal trading volume associated
with both discretionary and non-discretionary news releases. We define abnormal turnover
as the ratio of trading volume to the amount of shares outstanding, adjusted by the average
turnover of the 40 days prior to the news event date. Note that, as we gradually extend the
news event window from 1 to 30 days starting from the event date, we observe a progressive
17
decline in abnormal turnover values and also their statistical significance, from 41 basis points
(t = 37.05) to 6 basis point (t = 17.45) for discretionary news and vesting of all equity. Such
pattern remains after we split the sample into stock vesting and option vesting, and also for
non-discretionary news.
In Figure 2 we plot the ratio of the abnormal volume to shares outstanding from 10
days before the news event date until 30 days after the news event date. Note that, when
considering all the types of news events (Panel A), the abnormal turnover of the firm rises
to about 41 basis points on the event date, while for corporate guidance (Panel B) it rises
to about 140 basis points on the event date.
These results suggest that CEOs can also benefit from the increased turnover of their
firms’ stock upon vesting of their equity grants. In particular, the abnormal trading volume
generated by the release of corporate news can help absorb the potentially adverse price
impact of CEOs’ trades.
Lastly, in Table 7, we report the effects of news releases on the abnormal bid-ask price
spread. It appears that the tendency is for the spread to widen immediately after earnings
related news releases, which corrects immediately after. Like in the measurement of stock
turnover, the abnormal bid-ask spread is calculated in excess of the average bid-ask spread
for the 40 days prior to the news event date.
Are CEOs really taking advantage of the observed short-term run-ups in stock price and
liquidity? In order to answer this question, we compute the distance between the date of
the release of corporate news and the date of the actual equity transactions that CEOs are
required to report with the SEC and which can be obtained from Thomson Financial Insider
Filing database. In Table 8, we report only the cases in which both the news event and the
transaction occur with the vesting month.
The median CEO takes 3 days to sell some of his vested equity holdings, counting from
the last observed news event in the Capital IQ database. In other words, counting from
the last corporate news event recorded on Capital IQ during the vesting month, half of the
CEOs in our sample trade equity in the period of 3 days. Moreover, 28% of the CEOs in
our sample cash in their shares and options on the same date as the news event date. These
18
results suggest that CEOs can in fact generate trading profits from the short-term return
and liquidity effects associated with corporate news events.
Overall, our results indicate that the timing of corporate news may be biased by CEOs
seeking to attract investor attention or reduce information asymmetry among their investors
to affect their firms’ stock price to benefit their own trading. Such strategy can accomplish
two related goals: it allows the CEOs to cash in their restricted pay at higher prices and at
reduced price impact.
6 Conclusion
This paper contributes to the literature on managers’ incentives to manipulate short-term
stock prices for their own benefit. We provide evidence that managers synchronize the
release of corporate news with the vesting schedules of their equity grants. In addition, they
strategically delay the release of news in the month prior to the vesting month, in particular
discretionary news. We show that such strategy can effectively increase the short-term price
and liquidity of the firm’s stock, which the CEO can then exploit profitably. Consistent with
the hypothesis that managers actively manage investor attention according to their equity
vesting schedules, we show that the intensity of corporate news releases reverts back to its
normal level two months after vesting, and the stock price exhibits a significant correction
within one month after the run-up created by the abnormal level of news released in the
vesting month.
We then examine whether managers do exploit the temporary return effect of their op-
portunistic news release policy. From the date of the last observed corporate news release,
half of the managers in our sample exercise options and sell shares within three days. There-
fore, they should be able to catch the price and liquidity run-ups before their experience a
correction.
Our results have implications for the literature about media effects on financial markets
and the incentives of executive compensation. First, we use an ex-ante measure of insider
trading to show that executives are able to manipulate investor attention deliberately for
their own benefit. Second, because the trigger is determined ex-ante, we are able to pin
19
down the effect of manipulated news releases on liquidity and stock returns. This means
that investors have limited ability to disentangle manipulated from real news. Third, we show
that restricted compensation has a real effect on executives’ behavior - albeit not necessarily
the intended. Such forms of compensation have become commonplace in the recent years
(Bettis, Bizjak, Coles, and Kalpathy (2010)).
20
References
Ahern, K., and D. Sosyura, 2013, “Who Writes the News? Corporate Press Releases DuringMerger Negotiations,” Journal of Finance, forthcoming.
Amihud, Y., 2002, “Illiquidity and Stock Returns: Cross-Section and Time-Series Effects,”Journal of Financial Markets, 5, 31–56.
Balakrishnan, K., M. B. Billings, B. T. Kelly, and A. Ljungqvist, 2013, “Shaping Liquidity:On the Causal Effects of Voluntary Disclosure,” Working Paper, University of Pennsylva-nia, New York University, and University of Chicago.
Barber, B. M., and T. Odean, 2008, “All that Glitters. The Effect of Attention and Newson the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors,” Review of FinancialStudies, 21, 781–818.
Bettis, C., J. Bizjak, J. Coles, and S. Kalpathy, 2010, “Stock and Option Grants withPerformance-Based Vesting Provisions,” Review of Financial Studies, 23, 3849–3888.
Brennan, M. J., and C. Tamarowski, 2000, “Investor Relations, Liquidity, and Stock Prices,”Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 12, 26–37.
Cadman, B., J. Sunder, and T. Rusticus, 2013, “Stock Option Grant Vesting Terms: Eco-nomic and Financial Determinants,” Review of Accounting Studies, forthcoming.
Chuprinin, O., 2011, “Information Management in Financial Markets: Implications for StockMomentum and Volatility,” Working Paper, University of New South Wales.
Edmans, A., V. Fang, and K. Lewellen, 2013, “Equity Vesting and Managerial Myopia,”Working Paper, London Business School, University of Minnesota, and Dartmouth.
Edmans, A., I. Goldstein, and W. Jiang, 2012, “The Real Effects of Financial Markets: TheImpact of Prices on Takeovers,” Journal of Finance, 67, 933–971.
Engelberg, J., and C. A. Parsons, 2010, “The Causal Impact of Media in Financial Markets,”forthcoming, Journal of Finance.
Fang, L. H., and J. Peress, 2009, “Media Coverage and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns,”Journal of Finance, 64, 2023–2052.
Gopalan, R., T. Milbourn, F. Song, and A. Thakor, 2013, “Duration of Executive Compen-sation,” Journal of Finance, forthcoming.
Grullon, G., G. Kanatas, and J. P. Weston, 2004, “Advertising, Breadth of Ownership, andLiquidity,” Review of Financial Studies, 17, 439–461.
Hall, B., and K. Murphy, 2002, “Stock Options for Undiversified Executives,” Journal ofAccounting and Economics, 33, 3–42.
Huberman, G., and T. Regev, 2001, “Contagious Speculation and a Cure for Cancer: ANonevent that Made Stock Prices Soar,” Journal of Finance, 56, 387–396.
21
Kahl, M., J. Liu, and F. A. Longstaff, 2003, “Paper Millionaires: How Valuable Is Stock toa Stockholder Who Is Restricted from Selling It?,” Journal of Financial Economics, 67,385–410.
Khan, M., L. Kogan, and G. Serafeim, 2012, “Mutual Fund Trading Pressure: Firm-LevelStock Price Impact and Timing of SEOs,” Journal of Finance, 67, 1371–1395.
Ladika, T., and Z. Sautner, 2013, “The Effect of Managerial Short-Termism on CorporateInvestment,” Working Paper, University of Amsterdam.
Lou, D., 2013, “Attracting Investor Attention Through Advertising,” Working Paper, Lon-don School of Economics.
Malmendier, U., and G. Tate, 2005, “CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment,”Journal of Finance, 60, 2661–2700.
, 2008, “Who Makes Acquisitions? CEO Overconfidence and the Market’s Reaction,”Journal of Financial Economics, 89, 20–43.
Malmendier, U., G. Tate, and J. Yan, 2011, “Overconfidence and Early-Life Experiences:The Effect of Managerial Traits on Corporate Financial Policies,” Journal of Finance, 66,1687–1733.
Oyer, P., 1998, “Fiscal Year Ends and Nonlinear Incentive Contracts: The Effect on BusinessSeasonality,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113, 149–185.
Stein, J., 1988, “Takeover Threats and Managerial Myopia,” Journal of Political Economy,46, 61–80.
, 1989, “Efficient Capital Markets, Inefficient Firms: A Model of Myopic CorporateBehavior,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 104, 655–669.
, 1996, “Rational Capital Budgeting in An Irrational World,” Journal of Business,69, 429–455.
Tetlock, P. C., 2011, “All the News That’s Fit to Reprint: Do Investors React to StaleInformation?,” Review of Financial Studies, 24, 1481–1512.
Yim, S., 2013, “The Acquisitiveness of Youth: CEO Age and Acquisition Behavior,” Journalof Financial Economics, 108, 250–273.
22
Appendix: Variable Definitions
Variable DefinitionsVariable Definition
Accrualsis the amount of discretionary accruals reported by thefirm.
Age is the logarithm of the CEO age.
AGM Month is an indicator function that equals one if a particularmonth coincides with the firm’s annual general meeting,and equals zero otherwise.
Advertisement Expense / Total Assets is the ratio of the advertising expenditures (data45 inCompustat) of the current year and the total assets ofthe previous year (data6 in Compustat).
Cliff denotes a sample split that focuses on CEO equity grantsthat vest entirely at a specific time.
Duration is the measure of pay duration proposed in Gopalan, Mil-bourn, Song, and Thakor (2013), and it is calculatedas the sum of the product of the vesting periods of allthe components of the CEO compensation (including re-stricted stock, stock options, salary, and bonus) and thepresent value of all those components, divided by the sumof the present values of all such components.
Earn Ann Month Quarterly is an indicator function that equals one if a particularmonth coincides with the firm’s announcement of quar-terly earnings, and equals zero otherwise.
Earn Ann Month Yearly is an indicator function that equals one if a particularmonth coincides with the firm’s fiscal year end, and equalszero otherwise.
Earnings denotes a sample split that focuses on corporate newsevents that are related to earnings.
Earnings Surprise is the earnings surprise measure (SUE) from the I/B/E/Sdatabase.
Ex-Dividend Month is an indicator function that equals one if a particularmonth coincides with the ex-dividend month, and equalszero otherwise.
Graded denotes a sample split that isolates CEO equity grantsthat vest gradually over a period of time.
Incentive Pay is the fraction of the total compensation of theCEO excluding salary and bonus, and it is calculatedas (Tdc2-Salary-Bonus)/Tdc2 using the variables fromExecuComp.
Moneyness is the fraction of vesting options that is in-the-money.
Variable DefinitionsMutual Fund Flow is a proxy for the upward price pressure induced by mu-tual fund inflows, it follows the definition suggested inEdmans, Goldstein, and Jiang (2012) and is calculated
as∑M
j=1(Fj,tHi,j,t−1)/(V OLi,t), where the variable Fj,t
denotes the total inflow experienced by fund j in quartert, the variable Hi,j,t−1 is the dollar holding of stock i byfund j in quarter t − 1, and the variable V OLi,t is thedollar trading volume of stock i in quarter t.
Non-Earnings denotes a sample split that focuses on corporate newsevents that are not related to earnings but instead withmany other aspects of a firm’s operations.
Option Delta is the (Black-Scholes) sensitivity of non-vested options toa 1 dollar increase in the underlying stock price.
Option Vega is the (Black-Scholes) sensitivity of non-vested options toa 1% change in the underlying stock volatility.
R&D Expense / Total Assets is the ratio of the R&D expenses of this year and the totalassets of the previous year.
Total Compensation is the logarithm of the total compensation of the CEO(Tdc2 in ExecuComp).
Vesting Month is the calendar month in which stock and option grants arepre-scheduled to vest according to the Equilar databaseand manual identification.
Table
1:
Su
mm
ary
Sta
tist
ics
Th
ista
ble
rep
ort
sth
esu
mm
ary
stati
stic
sfo
rth
em
ain
vari
ab
les
use
din
this
stu
dy.
Th
eves
tin
gvari
ab
les
are
the
nu
mb
erof
CE
Ost
ock
an
dop
tion
gra
nts
that
ves
ten
tire
lyat
asp
ecifi
cti
me
(cliff
ves
tin
g)
or
gra
du
ally
over
ap
erio
dof
tim
e(g
rad
edves
tin
g),
norm
ali
zed
by
the
nu
mb
erof
share
sou
tsta
nd
ing.
Th
eC
EO
com
pen
sati
on
vari
ab
les
incl
ud
eth
em
easu
reof
du
rati
on
pro
pose
din
Gop
ala
n,
Milb
ou
rn,
Son
g,
an
dT
hakor
(2013),
as
wel
las
the
sen
siti
vit
yof
the
op
tion
gra
nts
toth
ep
rice
(del
ta)
an
dvola
tility
(veg
a)
of
the
un
der
lyin
gst
ock
.T
he
ince
nti
ve
pay
mea
sure
isth
ep
ort
ion
of
the
CE
Oto
tal
com
pen
sati
on
aft
erex
clu
din
gb
onu
san
dsa
lary
.W
esh
ow
the
dis
trib
uti
on
of
age
of
the
CE
Os
inou
rsa
mp
leas
wel
las
chara
cter
isti
csof
thei
rtr
ad
ing
of
stock
an
dop
tion
s.W
eals
ore
port
the
cou
nt
of
corp
ora
ten
ews
even
tsin
the
Cap
ital
IQd
ata
base
.W
ere
port
stati
stic
sfo
rst
ock
chara
cter
isti
csfr
om
CR
SP
.T
he
illiqu
idit
ym
easu
reb
uild
son
Am
ihu
d(2
002),
wh
ich
isth
em
onth
lyra
tio
of
the
ab
solu
tere
turn
of
ast
ock
div
ided
by
its
month
lyd
ollar
trad
ing
volu
me.
Th
etr
ad
ing
volu
me
mea
sure
isn
orm
alize
dby
the
nu
mb
erof
share
sou
tsta
nd
ing.
Th
eb
id-a
sksp
read
isa
month
lyaver
age.
Fin
ally,
we
rep
ort
info
rmati
on
on
com
pany
fund
am
enta
lsfr
om
Com
pu
stat.
We
als
osh
ow
the
dis
trib
uti
on
of
the
earn
ings
surp
rise
mea
sure
extr
act
edfr
om
the
I/B
/E
/S
data
base
,as
wel
las
of
R&
Dan
dad
ver
tisi
ng
exp
ense
s,n
orm
alize
dby
tota
lass
ets.
We
als
op
rovid
ein
form
ati
on
on
the
dis
trib
uti
on
of
acc
ruals
for
the
firm
sin
ou
rsa
mp
le.
Vari
ab
leO
bs
Mea
nM
edia
nS
TD
Skew
nes
sK
urt
osi
s1st
Pct
ile
25th
Pct
ile
75th
Pct
ile
99th
Pct
ile
Sto
ck
Vestin
gV
esti
ng
Per
iod
10,8
77
3.4
23
1.2
21.4
413.5
91
34
7#
Sec
uri
ties
Gra
nte
d(T
hou
san
ds)
10,8
77
150.6
845.0
41,8
18.4
867.8
65,2
62.3
61
19.9
9100.7
81,2
50.0
0V
alu
eG
rante
d(T
hou
san
ds)
10,8
77
1,0
55.0
2697.6
4948.5
50.7
22.0
56.7
259.3
11,7
35.1
82,7
25.2
0%
Cliff
10,8
77
0.3
70
0.4
80.5
41.2
90
01
1OptionsVestin
gV
esti
ng
Per
iod
14,9
47
3.6
14
1.1
30.5
97.6
41
34
6.3
3#
Sec
uri
ties
Gra
nte
d(T
hou
san
ds)
14,9
47
313.9
8132.3
71275.3
158.8
35,2
35.8
13
56.2
3300
3,0
00
Valu
eG
rante
d(T
hou
san
ds)
14,9
47
453.1
7227.1
1507.6
51.1
52.8
90
68
674
1,5
17
%C
liff
14,9
47
0.1
50
0.3
61.9
34.7
30
00
1CEO
Com
pensa
tion
and
Tradin
gD
ura
tion
111,0
00
1.4
31.0
41.4
32.4
10.5
20.0
20.4
91.8
98.4
5M
on
eyn
ess
(Million
)6,8
10
0.1
0.0
40.6
542.7
41,9
49.5
60
0.0
20.1
0.7
4O
pti
on
Del
ta(1
06)
100,4
17
0.0
90.0
11.0
264.2
14,5
71.0
00
00.0
60.8
8O
pti
on
Veg
a(1
06)
77,1
32
6.3
10.9
920.1
410.9
1189.8
00.0
84.8
79.7
7T
ota
lC
om
pen
sati
on
(Million
)65,8
00
4.6
43.2
34.7
93.9
132.3
70.3
81.7
75.9
24
Ince
nti
ve
Pay
59,6
56
0.6
60.7
40.2
5-1
.13.4
60.0
10.5
40.8
50.9
8A
ge
59,6
11
55.0
855
6.9
40.2
73.3
740
51
60
73
Nu
mb
erof
Sto
cks
Sold
(Million
)5,1
40
0.0
60.0
20.1
714.6
3370.1
60
00.0
60.6
5N
um
ber
of
Op
tion
sE
xer
cise
d(M
illion
)4,4
60
0.1
80.0
80.3
77.6
186.0
80
0.0
30.2
1.5
Valu
eof
Sto
cks
Sold
(Million
)5,1
40
1.2
0.4
82.7
10.1
8174.5
00.0
61.3
11
Valu
eof
Op
tion
sE
xer
cise
d(M
illion
)4,4
60
4.2
1.8
7.9
6.8
78.9
30
0.6
4.5
34
Corporate
Events
Even
tsfr
om
Pre
ssR
elea
ses
77,2
00
3.1
93
2.2
83.7
561.8
51
24
11
Even
tsfr
om
Fir
mW
ebsi
tes
43,8
00
2.5
32
2.2
5.2
267.1
81
13
10
Even
tsfr
om
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
30,2
00
1.5
11.9
618.3
3449.2
81
12
5Sto
ck
Characte
ristics
Ret
urn
100,2
87
0.0
11
0.0
06
0.1
64
7.6
1485.9
7-0
.374
-0.0
60.0
80.4
9T
rad
ing
Volu
me
99,4
07
0.2
17
0.1
60.2
24
7.6
2189.1
90.0
10.0
90.2
71.0
3B
id-A
skS
pre
ad
99,4
07
0.0
43
0.0
36
0.0
27
2.5
314.3
10.0
10.0
30.0
50.1
5A
mih
ud
Illiqu
idit
y(1
0−7)
100,2
95
0.5
89
0.0
31
2.2
48
5.8
338.6
00.0
10.1
816.5
2M
utu
al
Fu
nd
Flo
w100,2
95
0.0
01
00.0
07
56.0
35,5
18.6
80
00
0.0
1Com
pany
Fundam
enta
lsM
ark
etC
apit
ali
zati
on
(Million
)114,0
00
3,7
00
720
15,0
00
12.5
1212.7
419
250
2,2
00
54,0
00
Earn
ings
Su
rpri
se100,4
17
0.2
20
1.2
22.9
17.3
6-3
.54
00
7R
&D
Exp
ense
/T
ota
lA
sset
47,0
00
0.1
20.0
60.2
5.3
754.1
70
0.0
20.1
40.9
1A
dver
tisi
ng
Exp
ense
/T
ota
lA
sset
37,3
00
0.0
30.0
10.0
64.1
627.5
60
00.0
40.3
1A
ccru
als
100,4
17
-1.2
1-0
.04
48.8
2-7
5.0
96,7
86.3
3-3
.44
-0.1
10
0.4
4
Table 2: Distance from Vesting Month to Month of First CEO Transaction
This table reports the distance between the month of equity vesting and the month of the first ob-served transaction for the CEO. The data on equity vesting is in part extracted from Equilar (years2006-2011, Russell 3000 firms) and in part hand-collected from 10-K forms (years 1994-2005, S&P500firms). The data on CEO trading is extracted from Thomson Financial Insider Trading filings (SECForm 4). In Panel A we present the results we obtain for the stock grants, and in Panel B we presentthe results for the option grants. For both stock and options grants, we also split the sample be-tween grants that vest entirely at one time (cliff vesting), and grants that vest gradually over a pe-riod of time (graded vesting). We show the frequency of observations and their cumulative percentages.
PANEL A: Stock Grants All Stocks Stocks Graded Stocks Cliff
# Months Freq. Cum. Perc. Freq. Cum. Perc. Freq. Cum. Perc.
0 1,745 35.3 1,502 34.66 300 40.541 474 44.88 432 44.62 54 47.842 286 50.67 238 50.12 54 55.143 222 55.16 202 54.78 27 58.784 151 58.21 132 57.82 21 61.625 115 60.54 106 60.27 9 62.846 158 63.73 143 63.57 19 65.417 142 66.61 130 66.57 17 67.78 144 69.52 126 69.47 20 70.419 169 72.94 150 72.93 24 73.6510 170 76.38 134 76.03 38 78.7811 255 81.53 227 81.26 33 83.2412 224 86.06 198 85.83 34 87.84>12 689 100 614 100 90 100
PANEL B: Option Grants All Options Options Graded Options Cliff
# Months Freq. Cum. Perc. Freq. Cum. Perc. Freq. Cum. Perc.
0 2,619 37.78 2,460 37.39 189 45.111 612 46.61 586 46.29 35 53.462 340 51.51 316 51.09 29 60.383 308 55.96 290 55.5 21 65.394 195 58.77 186 58.33 10 67.785 189 61.5 180 61.06 11 70.416 238 64.93 227 64.51 11 73.037 209 67.95 203 67.6 6 74.468 195 70.76 189 70.47 8 76.379 291 74.96 277 74.68 14 79.7110 250 78.56 244 78.39 7 81.3811 374 83.96 357 83.81 20 86.1612 295 88.21 285 88.15 12 89.02>12 817 100 780 100 46 100
Table 3: Vesting Month and Actual CEO Transactions
In this table, we report the estimates of a model designed to study whether CEOs are more likely to exercise their stockoptions or sell their restricted shares during the month in which they had been pre-scheduled to vest. We use the followingregression specification: Transactions,t = α + β ∗
∑3τ=0 V estingMonths,k,t+τ + γ ∗ Controls + Fixed Effects + εs,t, where
Transactions,t is an indicator function that equals one if the CEO sells stock or exercises options of firm s during month t,and equals zero otherwise. The variable V estingMonths,k,t+τ is an indicator function that equals one if there is a type kgrant vesting in month t for the underlying firm s, where k ∈ {stock, options} × {all, graded, cliff}. Note that, when τ = 0,the function V estingMonths,k,t+τ indicates the vesting month t, while if τ ∈ {1, 2, 3} the function indicates each of thethree months subsequent to the vesting month. We include in our list of controls, variables that are intended to capturethe information environment of the firm, other components of the CEO compensation structure, as well as indicators forwhether the month of equity vesting coincides with other important periodic events not related to vesting. For instance,whether the vesting month is also the fiscal-year end of the firm. We also control for firm and year fixed effects. A detaileddescription of each control variable is included in the Appendix. Our sample covers the period between 2002 and 2012. Wereport t-statistics in parenthesis, and ∗, ∗∗, and ∗ ∗ ∗ represent significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.
Stock Vesting Option Vesting
All Graded Cliff All Graded Cliff(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Vesting Month 0.205 0.198 0.207 0.267 0.263 0.189(33.46)*** (30.21)*** (14.14)*** (41.93)*** (40.55)*** (6.657)***
1 Month After Vesting 0.0121 0.0134 -0.00237 0.0117 0.0122 -0.00295(2.884)*** (2.997)*** (-0.240) (3.067)*** (3.155)*** (-0.183)
2 Month After Vesting -0.0116 -0.011 -0.0157 -0.0183 -0.0186 -0.00417(-3.328)*** (-2.957)*** (-1.981)** (-6.068)*** (-6.086)*** (-0.277)
3 Month After Vesting -0.00888 -0.00537 -0.032 0.00314 0.00428 -0.00761(-2.651)*** (-1.501) (-4.208)*** (1.02) (1.38) (-0.487)
Earn Ann Month Yearly 0.156 0.165 0.191 0.135 0.139 0.203(25.18)*** (26.27)*** (30.14)*** (19.51)*** (19.93)*** (26.70)***
Earn Ann Month Quarterly -0.00936 -0.00966 -0.0129 -0.00449 -0.00435 -0.00979(-4.988)*** (-5.125)*** (-6.782)*** (-2.053)** (-1.987)** (-4.263)***
Earnings Surprise -0.00063 -0.00075 -0.00043 -0.00195 -0.00209 -0.0019(-0.841) (-0.997) (-0.568) (-2.300)** (-2.454)** (-2.128)**
Ex-Dividend Month, t 0.0191 0.0201 0.0206 0.00865 0.00928 0.014(6.241)*** (6.495)*** (6.612)*** (2.546)** (2.711)*** (3.865)***
AGM Month, t 0.0152 0.0158 0.0209 0.0164 0.0166 0.0288(3.848)*** (4.037)*** (5.304)*** (3.396)*** (3.441)*** (5.844)***
Duration 0.00 (0.00) 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01(0.72) (-0.283) (4.452)*** (3.899)*** (3.668)*** (6.847)***
Moneyness 7.52 12.70 71.00(1.792)* (2.832)*** (7.961)***
Option Delta (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)(-0.953) (-0.838) (-0.670)
Option Vega 0.00 0.00 0.00(1.64) (1.42) (2.445)**
Total Compensation 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01(6.893)*** (6.808)*** (6.698)*** (2.504)** (2.494)** (2.484)**
Incentive Compensation -0.017 -0.0167 -0.0198 0.0284 0.0272 0.0253(-1.593) (-1.564) (-1.830)* (2.077)** (1.992)** (1.793)*
Institutional Ownership 0.00578 0.00627 0.00849 0.0126 0.0119 0.00902(0.79) (0.86) (1.25) (1.894)* (1.828)* (1.38)
Constant -0.132 -0.127 -0.146 -0.236 -0.232 -0.227(-5.341)*** (-5.075)*** (-5.841)*** (-5.466)*** (-5.372)*** (-5.405)***
Firm Fixed Effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes YesYear Fixed Effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes YesObservations 59,684 59,684 59,684 45,136 45,136 45,136R-squared 0.235 0.226 0.199 0.229 0.225 0.135
Table
4:
Tim
ing
of
New
sE
vents
an
dV
est
ing
Month
Inth
ista
ble
,w
ere
port
the
esti
mate
sof
an
OL
Sre
gre
ssio
nd
esig
ned
tost
ud
yw
het
her
CE
Os
rele
ase
more
corp
ora
ten
ews
du
rin
gth
eves
tin
gm
onth
of
thei
rre
stri
cted
equ
ity.
We
use
the
foll
ow
ing
spec
ifica
tion
:NewsEvent s,t
=α
+β∗∑ 3 τ=
−1VestingMonths,k,t+τ
+γ∗Controls
+F
ixed
Eff
ects
+ε s,t
wh
ereNewsEvent s,t
isa
vari
ab
leth
at
cou
nts
the
nu
mb
erof
corp
ora
ten
ews
even
tsre
lease
dby
firm
sd
uri
ng
montht,
an
deq
uals
zero
oth
erw
ise.
Th
evari
ab
leVestingMonths,k,t+τ
isan
ind
icato
rfu
nct
ion
that
equ
als
on
eif
ther
eis
an
ews
even
tof
typ
ek
inm
ontht
for
the
un
der
lyin
gfi
rms,
wh
erek∈{s
tock,o
pti
on
s}×{a
ll,d
iscr
etio
nary,n
on
-dis
cret
ion
ary}.
Note
that,
wh
enτ
=0,
the
fun
ctio
nVestingMonths,k,t+τ
ind
icate
sth
eves
tin
gm
ontht,
wh
ile
ifτ
=−
1th
efu
nct
ion
ind
icate
sth
em
onth
bef
ore
ves
tin
g,an
dfo
rτ∈{1,2,3}
itin
dic
ate
sth
eth
ree
month
ssu
bse
qu
ent
toth
eves
tin
gm
onth
.W
ein
clu
de
inou
rlist
of
contr
ols
,vari
ab
les
that
are
inte
nd
edto
captu
reth
ein
form
ati
on
envir
on
men
tof
the
firm
,as
wel
las
ind
icato
rsfo
rw
het
her
the
month
of
equ
ity
ves
tin
gco
inci
des
wit
hoth
erim
port
ant
per
iod
icev
ents
not
rela
ted
toves
tin
g.
Ad
etailed
des
crip
tion
of
each
contr
ol
vari
ab
leis
incl
ud
edin
the
Ap
pen
dix
.O
ur
sam
ple
cover
sth
ep
erio
db
etw
een
2002
an
d2012.
We
rep
ort
t-st
ati
stic
sin
pare
nth
esis
,an
d∗,∗∗
,an
d∗∗∗
rep
rese
nt
sign
ifica
nce
at
the
10%
,5%
,an
d1%
level
s,re
spec
tivel
y.
All
Ves
tin
gS
tock
Ves
tin
gO
pti
on
Ves
tin
g
All
Dis
cret
.N
on
-Dis
cret
.A
llD
iscr
et.
Non
-Dis
cret
.A
llD
iscr
et.
Non
-Dis
cret
.(1
)(2
)(3
)(4
)(5
)(6
)(7
)(8
)(9
)
1M
onth
Bef
ore
Ves
tin
g-0
.101
-0.0
837
-0.0
171
-0.1
22
-0.0
997
-0.0
227
-0.1
12
-0.0
969
-0.0
153
(-6.0
06)*
**
(-5.5
91)*
**
(-3.1
35)*
**
(-5.7
03)*
**
(-5.2
23)*
**
(-3.2
31)*
**
(-5.6
20)*
**
(-5.3
97)*
**
(-2.4
19)*
*V
esti
ng
Month
0.0
679
0.0
48
0.0
199
0.0
46
0.0
318
0.0
142
0.0
795
0.0
578
0.0
217
(3.8
03)*
**
(3.0
41)*
**
(3.2
80)*
**
(2.0
27)*
*(1
.58)
(1.8
28)*
(3.7
66)*
**
(3.0
93)*
**
(3.0
80)*
**
1M
onth
Aft
erV
esti
ng
-0.0
338
-0.0
192
-1.4
5E
-02
-0.0
264
-0.0
0935
-0.0
171
-0.0
216
-0.0
0694
-0.0
146
(-1.9
45)*
(-1.2
32)
(-2.5
99)*
**
(-1.2
04)
(-0.4
76)
(-2.3
54)*
*(-
1.0
48)
(-0.3
73)
(-2.2
68)*
*2
Month
Aft
erV
esti
ng
-0.0
36
-0.0
35
-0.0
0105
-0.0
511
-0.0
406
-0.0
105
-0.0
404
-0.0
415
0.0
0108
(-1.9
28)*
(-2.1
26)*
*(-
0.1
65)
(-2.0
40)*
*(-
1.8
45)*
(-1.2
22)
(-1.8
67)*
(-2.1
86)*
*(0
.14)
3M
onth
Aft
erV
esti
ng
0.0
793
0.0
47
0.0
323
0.0
873
0.0
612
0.0
261
0.0
996
0.0
572
0.0
424
(4.4
40)*
**
(2.9
98)*
**
(5.2
51)*
**
(3.7
12)*
**
(2.9
93)*
**
(3.1
65)*
**
(4.7
94)*
**
(3.1
48)*
**
(5.8
47)*
**
Earn
An
nM
onth
Yea
rly
0.1
53
0.1
12
0.0
404
0.1
59
0.1
17
0.0
421
0.1
50.1
10.0
4(6
.006)*
**
(5.0
17)*
**
(4.5
00)*
**
(6.3
36)*
**
(5.3
06)*
**
(4.7
09)*
**
(5.9
48)*
**
(4.9
54)*
**
(4.5
02)*
**
Earn
An
nM
onth
Qu
art
erly
1.0
26
0.4
75
0.5
51
1.0
26
0.4
75
0.5
52
1.0
28
0.4
76
0.5
51
(68.2
5)*
**
(38.4
2)*
**
(90.2
9)*
**
(68.3
3)*
**
(38.4
4)*
**
(90.4
8)*
**
(68.4
1)*
**
(38.5
7)*
**
(90.3
7)*
**
Earn
ing
Su
rpri
se0.0
201
0.0
123
0.0
0781
0.0
204
0.0
125
0.0
079
0.0
201
0.0
123
0.0
078
(3.1
25)*
**
(2.1
59)*
*(3
.687)*
**
(3.1
63)*
**
(2.1
88)*
*(3
.727)*
**
(3.1
15)*
**
(2.1
50)*
*(3
.681)*
**
Ex-D
ivid
end
Month
,t
0.2
36
0.1
96
0.0
40.2
38
0.1
97
0.0
404
0.2
37
0.1
97
0.0
403
(10.8
6)*
**
(10.0
1)*
**
(5.9
18)*
**
(10.9
3)*
**
(10.0
7)*
**
(5.9
73)*
**
(10.9
0)*
**
(10.0
4)*
**
(5.9
54)*
**
AG
MM
onth
,t
1.0
95
0.3
50.7
45
1.1
05
0.3
54
0.7
51
1.0
96
0.3
51
0.7
45
(37.4
3)*
**
(14.6
2)*
**
(60.6
3)*
**
(37.8
6)*
**
(14.8
6)*
**
(61.1
2)*
**
(37.7
3)*
**
(14.7
9)*
**
(60.7
9)*
**
Ad
Exp
ense
s/T
ota
lA
sset
s0.2
14
0.2
55
-0.0
416
0.2
16
0.2
58
-0.0
427
0.2
19
0.2
59
-0.0
399
-0.4
15
-0.5
7(-
0.2
26)
(0.4
2)
(0.5
8)
(-0.2
32)
(0.4
3)
(0.5
8)
(-0.2
16)
Log(A
naly
sts+
1)
0.0
442
0.0
466
-0.0
0233
0.0
442
4.6
6E
-02
-0.0
024
0.0
443
0.0
466
-0.0
0231
(11.1
3)*
**
(12.5
3)*
**
(-2.1
05)*
*(1
1.1
1)*
**
(12.5
2)*
**
(-2.1
69)*
*(1
1.1
4)*
**
(12.5
4)*
**
(-2.0
83)*
*In
stit
uti
on
al
Ow
ner
ship
0.0
382
0.0
599
-0.0
218
0.0
396
0.0
609
-0.0
213
0.0
379
0.0
597
-0.0
218
-1.1
24
(1.6
55)*
(-1.6
87)*
(1.1
7)
(1.6
84)*
(-1.6
42)
(1.1
2)
(1.6
50)*
(-1.6
94)*
Con
stant
-1.0
56
-0.9
56
-0.0
996
-1.0
58
-0.9
63
-0.0
95
-1.0
61
-0.9
59
-0.1
02
(-2.9
63)*
**
(-2.7
62)*
**
(-1.2
25)
(-2.9
66)*
**
(-2.7
83)*
**
(-1.1
62)
(-2.9
78)*
**
(-2.7
71)*
**
(-1.2
50)
Fir
mF
ixed
Eff
ect
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yea
rF
ixed
Eff
ect
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Ob
serv
ati
on
s95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
R-s
qu
are
d0.6
58
0.6
42
0.4
55
0.6
58
0.6
42
0.4
55
0.6
58
0.6
42
0.4
55
Table
5:
Am
ou
nt
of
Equ
ity
Vest
ing
an
dT
imin
gof
New
sE
vents
Inth
ista
ble
,w
ere
port
the
esti
mate
sof
an
OL
Sre
gre
ssio
nd
esig
ned
tost
ud
yw
het
her
CE
Os
rele
ase
more
corp
ora
ten
ews
du
rin
gth
eves
tin
gm
onth
of
thei
rre
stri
cted
eq-
uit
y.W
eu
seth
efo
llow
ing
spec
ifica
tion
:NewsEvent s,t
=α
+ρ∗AmountVesting/SOs,k,t
+β∗∑ τ∈{−
1,1,2}VestingMonths,k,t+τ
+γ∗Controls
+F
ixed
Eff
ects
+ε s,t
wh
ereNewsEvent s,t
isa
vari
ab
leth
at
cou
nts
the
nu
mb
erof
corp
ora
ten
ews
even
tsre
lease
dby
firm
sd
uri
ng
month
t,an
deq
uals
zero
oth
erw
ise.
Th
evari
ab
leAmountVesting/SOs,k,t
isth
eam
ou
nt
of
equ
ity
ves
tin
gd
ivid
edby
the
nu
mb
erof
share
sou
tsta
nd
ing
inth
eves
tin
gm
onth
.T
he
vari
ab
leEquityVestings,k,t+τ
isan
in-
dic
ato
rfu
nct
ion
.F
orτ
=−
1,
itin
dic
ate
sth
em
onth
bef
ore
ves
tin
g,
an
dfo
rτ∈{1,2,3}
itin
dic
ate
sth
eth
ree
month
ssu
bse
qu
ent
toth
eves
tin
gm
onth
.U
nlike
inT
ab
le4,
inth
ista
ble
this
ind
icato
rfu
nct
ion
does
not
incl
ud
eth
eves
tin
gm
onth
(τ=
0).
We
rep
ort
the
resu
lts
for
all
the
new
sev
ents
,an
dals
ose
para
tely
for
dis
-cr
etio
nary
an
dfo
rn
on
-dis
cret
ion
ary
new
s.M
ore
over
,w
ere
port
the
resu
lts
for
all
the
equ
ity
ves
tin
g,
an
dals
ose
para
tely
for
ves
tin
gst
ock
an
dves
tin
gop
tion
s.W
ein
clu
de
inou
rli
stof
contr
ols
,vari
ab
les
that
are
inte
nd
edto
cap
ture
the
info
rmati
on
envir
on
men
tof
the
firm
,as
wel
las
ind
icato
rsfo
rw
het
her
the
month
of
equ
ity
ves
tin
gco
inci
des
wit
hoth
erim
port
ant
per
iod
icev
ents
not
rela
ted
toves
tin
g.
Ad
etailed
des
crip
tion
of
each
contr
ol
vari
ab
leis
incl
ud
edin
the
Ap
pen
dix
.O
ur
sam
ple
cover
sth
ep
erio
db
etw
een
2002
an
d2012.
We
rep
ort
t-st
ati
stic
sin
pare
nth
esis
,an
d∗,∗∗
,an
d∗∗∗
rep
rese
nt
sign
ifica
nce
at
the
10%
,5%
,an
d1%
level
s,re
spec
tivel
y.
All
Ves
tin
gS
tock
Ves
tin
gO
pti
on
Ves
tin
g
All
Dis
cret
.N
on
-Dis
cret
.A
llD
iscr
et.
Non
-Dis
cret
.A
llD
iscr
et.
Non
-Dis
cret
.(1
)(2
)(3
)(4
)(5
)(6
)(7
)(8
)(9
)
1M
onth
Bef
ore
Ves
tin
g-0
.00497
-0.0
0427
-0.0
0071
-0.0
049
-0.0
0438
-0.0
0052
-0.0
131
-0.0
101
-0.0
03
(-4.8
60)*
**
(-4.7
32)*
**
(-2.0
39)*
*(-
4.0
73)*
**
(-4.1
15)*
**
(-1.2
81)
(-4.3
78)*
**
(-3.8
97)*
**
(-2.9
31)*
**
Per
cent
of
Equ
ity
Ves
tin
g0.0
0275
0.0
0276
-9.1
6E
-06
0.0
0298
0.0
0304
-6.1
2E
-05
0.0
0536
0.0
0499
0.0
00369
(2.4
44)*
*(2
.787)*
**
(-0.0
243)
(2.2
78)*
*(2
.635)*
**
(-0.1
39)
(1.6
1)
(1.7
21)*
(0.3
3)
1M
onth
Aft
erV
esti
ng
-0.0
0133
-0.0
0034
-9.9
0E
-04
-0.0
0185
-0.0
0079
-0.0
0106
0.0
0028
0.0
0234
-0.0
0206
(-1.1
65)
(-0.3
28)
(-2.7
94)*
**
(-1.3
85)
(-0.6
56)
(-2.5
62)*
*(0
.08)
(0.7
8)
(-1.8
59)*
2M
onth
Aft
erV
esti
ng
-0.0
0016
-0.0
0023
6.9
6E
-05
0.0
00482
0.0
00256
0.0
00226
-0.0
0492
-0.0
0405
-0.0
0088
(-0.1
37)
(-0.2
24)
-0.1
76
(0.3
5)
(0.2
1)
(0.4
9)
(-1.4
60)
(-1.3
80)
(-0.7
35)
3M
onth
Aft
erV
esti
ng
0.0
0454
0.0
0326
0.0
0128
0.0
046
0.0
0311
0.0
0149
0.0
11
0.0
0921
0.0
0184
(3.9
57)*
**
(3.2
77)*
**
(3.1
09)*
**
(3.4
52)*
**
(2.6
85)*
**
(3.1
03)*
**
(3.2
19)*
**
(3.0
95)*
**
(1.5
1)
Earn
An
nM
onth
Yea
rly
0.1
51
0.1
08
0.0
433
0.1
50.1
08
0.0
425
0.1
52
0.1
10.0
422
(6.0
19)*
**
(4.8
82)*
**
(4.8
71)*
**
(5.9
99)*
**
(4.8
86)*
**
(4.8
10)*
**
(6.0
93)*
**
(5.0
05)*
**
(4.7
66)*
**
Earn
An
nM
onth
Qu
art
erly
1.0
26
0.4
75
0.5
51
1.0
27
0.4
75
0.5
52
1.0
28
0.4
76
0.5
52
(68.2
7)*
**
(38.4
4)*
**
(90.3
4)*
**
(68.3
2)*
**
(38.4
7)*
**
(90.4
1)*
**
(68.4
5)*
**
(38.5
6)*
**
(90.5
5)*
**
Earn
ing
Su
rpri
se0.0
201
0.0
122
0.0
0784
0.0
20.0
122
0.0
0784
0.0
202
0.0
123
0.0
0786
(3.1
12)*
**
(2.1
40)*
*(3
.697)*
**
(3.1
09)*
**
(2.1
37)*
*(3
.697)*
**
(3.1
31)*
**
(2.1
59)*
*(3
.706)*
**
Ex-D
ivid
end
Month
,t
0.2
40.1
99
0.0
41
0.2
40.1
99
0.0
411
0.2
41
0.2
0.0
413
(11.0
0)*
**
(10.1
3)*
**
(6.0
44)*
**
(11.0
4)*
**
(10.1
6)*
**
(6.0
68)*
**
(11.0
9)*
**
(10.2
1)*
**
(6.0
89)*
**
AG
MM
onth
,t
1.1
03
0.3
52
0.7
51
1.1
07
0.3
55
0.7
52
1.1
11
0.3
58
0.7
54
(38.0
8)*
**
(14.9
0)*
**
(61.3
2)*
**
(38.2
9)*
**
(15.0
6)*
**
(61.5
0)*
**
(38.4
3)*
**
(15.1
8)*
**
(61.5
9)*
**
Ad
Exp
ense
s/T
ota
lA
sset
s0.2
20.2
62
-0.0
422
0.2
26
0.2
66
-0.0
397
0.2
19
0.2
64
-0.0
444
-0.4
27
-0.5
85
(-0.2
29)
(0.4
4)
(0.5
9)
(-0.2
15)
(0.4
3)
(0.5
9)
(-0.2
42)
Log(A
naly
sts+
1)
0.0
443
0.0
467
-0.0
0241
0.0
443
4.6
7E
-02
-0.0
0239
0.0
442
0.0
466
-0.0
0244
(11.1
3)*
**
(12.5
5)*
**
(-2.1
73)*
*(1
1.1
3)*
**
(12.5
4)*
**
(-2.1
55)*
*(1
1.1
1)*
**
(12.5
3)*
**
(-2.2
00)*
*In
stit
uti
on
al
Ow
ner
ship
0.0
378
0.0
595
-0.0
217
0.0
379
0.0
597
-0.0
218
0.0
392
0.0
605
-0.0
213
-1.1
1-1
.638
(-1.6
88)*
(1.1
2)
(1.6
4)
(-1.6
87)*
(1.1
6)
(1.6
79)*
(-1.6
49)*
Con
stant
-1.0
6-0
.966
-0.0
941
-1.0
59
-0.9
65
-0.0
945
-1.0
6-0
.966
-0.0
938
(-2.9
68)*
**
(-2.7
88)*
**
(-1.1
50)
(-2.9
66)*
**
(-2.7
85)*
**
(-1.1
55)
(-2.9
68)*
**
(-2.7
89)*
**
(-1.1
46)
Fir
mF
ixed
Eff
ect
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yea
rF
ixed
Eff
ect
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Ob
serv
ati
on
s95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
95,9
57
R-s
qu
are
d0.6
58
0.6
42
0.4
55
0.6
58
0.6
42
0.4
55
0.6
58
0.6
42
0.4
55
Table 6: Distribution of Corporate News Events
In this table, we report the distribution of corporate news events by type. We only report the top 30news events, which account for 91.44% of all the events in our sample, and account for 93.70% of all theevents that happen in the vesting month. We extracted these news events from the Capital IQ database.
Event Type Percentage of All Events
All Months Vesting Months
Client Announcements 13.14% 11.38%Product-Related Announcements 11.72% 11.96%Announcements of Earnings 9.93% 5.77%Earnings Calls 9.10% 12.77%Executive/Board Changes - Other 8.27% 6.20%Company Conference Presentations 6.52% 9.36%Dividend Affirmations 5.29% 4.82%Announcements of Earnings; Corporate Guidance - New/Confirmed 4.46% 5.07%Earnings Release Date 3.24% 9.11%Business Expansions 2.92% 2.01%Strategic Alliances 1.86% 1.70%Debt Financing Related 1.84% 1.14%Lawsuits & Legal Issues 1.77% 1.10%Dividend Increases 1.34% 1.23%Corporate Guidance - New/Confirmed 1.03% 0.72%Shareholder/Analyst Calls 0.87% 0.79%Announcements of Sales/Trading Statement 0.76% 0.48%Annual General Meeting 0.72% 0.70%Executive/Board Changes - Other; Executive Changes - CFO 0.70% 0.42%Corporate Guidance - Raised; Announcements of Earnings 0.64% 0.34%Dividend Affirmations; Preferred Dividend 0.63% 0.51%Announcements of Earnings; Dividend Affirmations 0.61% 0.34%Executive/Board Changes - Other; Executive Changes - CEO 0.59% 0.35%Announcements of Earnings; Impairments/Write Offs 0.56% 0.73%Special Calls 0.54% 0.41%Conferences 0.54% 2.83%Preferred Dividend 0.52% 0.42%Seeking Acquisitions/Investments 0.48% 0.37%Board Meeting 0.46% 0.47%Corporate Guidance - Raised/New/Confirmed; Announcements of Earnings 0.38% 0.20%
Total 91.44% 93.70%
Table
7:
Reacti
on
sto
New
sE
vents
inth
eV
est
ing
Month
Inth
ista
ble
,w
ere
port
the
resu
lts
of
an
even
tst
ud
yof
the
react
ion
of
stock
retu
rns,
bid
-ask
spre
ad
s,an
dtr
ad
ing
volu
me,
toth
ere
lease
of
corp
ora
ten
ews
du
rin
gth
eves
tin
gm
onth
.In
part
icu
lar,
we
rep
ort
the
aver
age
cum
ula
tive
ab
norm
al
valu
eof
those
thre
evari
ab
les
for
1,
15,
an
d30
days
sub
sequ
ent
toth
en
ews
rele
ase
date
.T
he
cum
ula
tive
ab
norm
al
retu
rnis
the
raw
bu
y-a
nd
-hold
retu
rnad
just
edu
sin
gth
ees
tim
ate
db
eta
from
the
mark
etm
od
el.
We
ob
tainβ̂
from
the
regre
ssio
nRs,d
=αs,τ
+βs,τ∗Rm,d
+ε s,τ
for
daysd∈{τ−
200,τ},
wh
ereRs,d
isth
ere
turn
of
firm
son
dayd,
an
dRm,d
isth
em
ark
etre
turn
on
dayd.
Giv
enth
ees
tim
ate
db
eta,
the
cum
ula
tive
ab
norm
al
retu
rnfo
rp
erio
d[h,H
]is
giv
enby:AbRets,τ
h,H
=[ ∏ τ
+H
j=τ+h
(1+Rs,j
)] −1−β̂s,τ
([ ∏τ+H
j=τ+h
(1+Rm,j
)] −1) it
isca
lcu
late
dfr
om
the
close
of
dayτ−
1to
the
close
on
trad
ing
dayτ
+H
.W
ere
port
the
case
sin
wh
ichh
=0
an
dH∈{1,1
5,3
0}.
Th
eab
norm
al
valu
esof
the
bid
-ask
spre
ad
an
dof
the
stock
turn
over
are
ad
just
edby
sub
tract
ing
thei
raver
age
valu
efr
om
the
40
days
pri
or
toth
en
ews
even
td
ate
.W
ere
port
the
resu
lts
sep
ara
tely
for
dis
cret
ion
ary
an
dn
on
-dis
cret
ion
ary
new
s,an
dals
ose
para
tely
for
stock
an
dop
tion
ves
tin
g.
We
rep
ort
t-st
ati
stic
sin
pare
nth
esis
,an
d∗,∗∗
,an
d∗∗∗
rep
rese
nt
sign
ifica
nce
at
the
10%
,5%
,an
d1%
level
s,re
spec
tivel
y.
Ab
norm
al
Ret
urn
sA
bn
orm
al
Bid
-Ask
Sp
read
Ab
norm
al
Tu
rnover
[0,1
][0
,15]
[0,3
0]
[0,1
][0
,15]
[0,3
0]
[0,1
][0
,15]
[0,3
0]
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
(9)
Discretionary
News
All
Ves
tin
g0.2
64%
0.3
02%
0.2
49%
0.0
06%
-0.0
05%
-0.0
06%
0.4
10%
0.1
09%
0.0
60%
(8.8
33)*
**
(5.2
00)*
**
(3.2
49)*
**
(2.3
49)*
*(-
4.9
30)*
**
(-6.4
55)*
**
(37.0
5)*
**
(27.6
0)*
**
(17.4
5)*
**
Sto
ckV
esti
ng
0.2
70%
0.3
66%
0.3
54%
0.0
11%
-0.0
03%
-0.0
04%
0.4
08%
0.1
07%
0.0
53%
(6.9
83)*
**
(4.7
64)*
**
(3.5
75)*
**
(2.4
57)*
*(-
3.1
07)*
**
(-4.5
05)*
**
(28.1
7)*
**
(19.7
9)*
**
(11.2
1)*
**
Op
tion
Ves
tin
g0.2
81%
0.3
57%
0.3
10%
0.0
02%
-0.0
05%
-0.0
07%
0.4
12%
0.1
10%
0.0
63%
(8.0
17)*
**
(5.3
54)*
**
(3.4
79)*
**
(1.2
5)
(-4.6
21)*
**
(-5.6
11)*
**
(31.4
9)*
**
(23.9
0)*
**
(15.6
6)*
**
Non-D
iscretionary
News
All
Ves
tin
g0.2
74%
0.3
26%
0.1
54%
0.0
28%
0.0
00%
-0.0
05%
0.7
13%
0.2
11%
0.1
30%
(4.1
18)*
**
(2.6
64)*
**
-0.9
67
(4.1
88)*
**
(-0.0
761)
(-1.8
17)*
(40.1
7)*
**
(29.3
9)*
**
(21.0
1)*
**
Sto
ckV
esti
ng
0.2
33%
0.2
09%
-0.0
34%
0.0
31%
0.0
00%
-0.0
04%
0.7
55%
0.2
27%
0.1
44%
(2.5
38)*
*(1
.20)
(-0.1
49)
(2.7
03)*
**
(-0.1
38)
(-1.4
53)
(30.2
6)*
**
(22.1
6)*
**
(16.0
5)*
**
Op
tion
Ves
tin
g0.3
71%
0.5
31%
0.3
35%
0.0
25%
0.0
02%
-0.0
03%
0.7
15%
0.2
11%
0.1
26%
(4.7
92)*
**
(3.8
90)*
**
(1.8
88)*
(5.0
38)*
**
(0.4
6)
(-0.9
13)
(34.4
2)*
**
(25.3
6)*
**
(18.0
2)*
**
Table 8: Time from News Event Date to CEO Transaction Date
In this table, we report the distribution of the distance (in calendar days) between the dateof the release of corporate news and the first observed transaction of the CEO, only forthe cases in which both news and transaction occur in the vesting month. We reportthe results of this calculation separately for stock and options, and also separately for corpo-rate news in the Capital IQ database that we classify as discretionary and non-discretionary.
Obs Mean Median STD Skew Kurt P1 P25 P75 P99
All NewsAll Vesting 2524 5.384 3 6.336 1.427 4.600 0 0 8 26Stock Vesting 1189 5.587 3 6.511 1.325 4.074 0 0 8 26Option Vesting 1799 5.158 3 6.111 1.508 5.056 0 0 7 26Discretionary NewsAll Vesting 2379 6.043 4 6.671 1.318 4.188 0 1 9 27Stock Vesting 1113 6.313 4 6.957 1.236 3.773 0 1 9 27Option Vesting 1701 5.791 4 6.381 1.375 4.515 0 1 8 27Non-Discretionary NewsAll Vesting 944 6.764 5 7.233 1.061 3.378 0 0 11 28Stock Vesting 441 6.950 5 7.389 1.043 3.336 0 0 12 28Option Vesting 674 6.503 5 7.111 1.131 3.576 0 0 10 28
−10 0 10 20 30
−20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Number of Days Relative to the Event Date
Cum
ulat
ive
Abn
orm
al R
etur
ns (
bps)
PANEL A: All Events
−10 0 10 20 30
−20
0
20
40
60
80
100PANEL B: Corporate Guidance
Number of Days Relative to the Event Date
Cum
ulat
ive
Abn
orm
al R
etur
ns (
bps)
Figure 1: Stock Return Reaction to News Releases in the Vesting Month
This figure reports the cumulative abnormal stock return around the date of the release of news inthe vesting month. Panel A shows the return reaction to any news event in either the discretionaryor the non-discretionary categories. Panel B shows the return reaction to the release of one specifictype of discretionary news: corporate guidance, which is the main type of voluntary disclosuresstudied in Balakrishnan, Billings, Kelly, and Ljungqvist (2013). In both graphs, the event-studywindow spans from 10 days before the news release date until 30 days after. Similarly to theprocedure adopted in Table 7, in this figure the cumulative abnormal return is calculated as theraw buy-and-hold return adjusted using the estimated beta from the market model.
−10 0 10 20 30−20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Number of Days Relative to the Event Date
Rat
io o
f Abn
orm
al V
olum
e to
Sha
res
Out
stan
ding
(bp
s)
PANEL A: All Events
−10 0 10 20 30−20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
PANEL B: Corporate Guidance
Number of Days Relative to the Event Date
Rat
io o
f Abn
orm
al V
olum
e to
Sha
res
Out
stan
ding
(bp
s)
Figure 2: Trading Volume Reaction to News Releases in the Vesting Month
This figure shows the reaction of trading volume to the release of news in the vesting month. Inparticular, it reports the ratio of the abnormal trading volume to the number of shares outstanding.Panel A shows the trading volume reaction to any news event in either the discretionary or thenon-discretionary categories. Panel B shows the return reaction to the release of one specific typeof discretionary news: corporate guidance, which is the main type of voluntary disclosures studiedin Balakrishnan, Billings, Kelly, and Ljungqvist (2013). In both graphs, the event-study windowspans from 10 days before the news release date until 30 days after. Similarly to the procedureadopted in Table 7, in this figure the abnormal trading volume ratio is adjusted by subtracting itsaverage value from the 40 days prior to the news event date.