corporate presentation february 2018 · 2018-03-01 · introduction to prairiesky royalty 2 7.8...
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Corporate Presentation February 2018
PrairieSky Royalty Snapshot
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(1) Based on 236.0 million common shares outstanding as at December 31, 2017 and closing share price on the TSX of $32.06 on December 29, 2017, less PrairieSky’s cash balance.
TSX
PSK$7.5 Billion Enterprise Value(1)
Annual Dividend
$0.78 Per Common Share
236.0 Million Shares Outstanding
$50 Million NCIB
7.8 MillionAcres of Fee Lands
NW NE
SW SE
7.5 MillionAcres of GORR Lands
4Provinces
PositiveWorking capital
No Debt
Introduction to PrairieSky Royalty
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7.8 million acres of Fee Lands(1)
7.5 million acres of GORR lands(1)
Lands located throughout the heart of the oil and gas producing basins in Alberta, British Columbia, Saskatchewan and Manitoba
License to ~13,000 km2 of 3D seismic
and ~45,000 km of 2D seismic
Business model supports dividend payments
Operating margin(2) of 98%
Operating netback(2) of 86%No debt
Low risk revenue base
No capital commitments,operating costs, abandonment liabilitiesor reclamation charges associated withworking interest ownership
Over 75% of royalty revenue receivedfrom Fee lands(3)
Experienced team aligned with shareholder interests
Management team with an unparalleled understanding of the value of royalties
Technical team with deep experiencein Western Canada
Focused staff, all of whom have investedin PrairieSky shares
Directors and officers ownership of 2.4 million shares
(1) Fee Lands refer to lands with Petroleum and/or Natural Gas rights and exclude 1.1 million acres of Coal Only rights. GORR lands include GRT and Crown Interest Lands(2) For the year ended December 31, 2017. Operating margin represents royalty revenue less production & mineral tax expense. Operating netback represents operating margin less G&A expense.(3) For the year ended December 31, 2017.
NW NE
SW SE
Types of Royalties
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The following figure outlines the royalty hierarchy. As you move down the royalty hierarchy, costs increase andduration decreases.
Crown Royalties
Fee Simple Mineral Title -PrairieSky owns 7.8 million acres
Gross Overriding Royalties -PrairieSky owns 7.5 million acres
Streams
Net Profit Interest
Volumetric Production Payment
Working Interest
Royalty Advantage
Ownership in PrairieSky provides a long duration cash flow stream and the optionality associated with perpetual land title ownership.
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Exposure to: No exposure to:High margin cash flow streams Capital costs
New discovery/exploration optionality Environmental liabilities
Commodity price optionality Operations
Secondary and tertiary recoveries Operating costs
Shale opportunities
Technological advancements
Ownership in 12 million leasable, undeveloped acres
Higher Margin, Lower Risk
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(1) Excludes the impact of Other Revenues (eg, lease rentals, bonus consideration, etc.). For the year ended December 31, 2017.(2) Excluding acquisitions and net change in future development capital.(3) Operating margin is calculated as average realized price ($/boe), less Production & Mineral Tax expense ($/boe), divided by the average realized price ($/boe).
Amounts per boe for PrairieSky Royalty are for the year ended December 31, 2017.
Margin Summary ($/boe)
Illustrative Working Interest Operator PrairieSky Royalty
PrairieSky Royalty offers higher margins than conventional working interest production
Providing the same revenue per boe, a royalty barrel realizes significantly higher margins than working interest models
No abandonment or environmental liabilities
No capital spending requirements
Incurred by Working Interest
Operators
Operating Margin (Including F&D)
Revenue (52% Gas Production)(1)
$28.84/boe
Operating / Transportation Costs
($10.25/boe)
F&D(2)
($10.00/boe)
$5.14/boe 18% of Revenue
Operating Margin(3)
$28.18/boe
98% of Revenue
Production & Mineral Tax($0.66/boe)
No royalties payable to the Crown on Fee Lands
Royalties($3.45/boe)
Recycling the Land Base
New drilling and production technologies can be utilized to pursue previously underexploited zones
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(1) Held by Production (“HBP”)
The perpetual nature of Fee Lands allows PrairieSky Royalty to continually recycle lands and grow its revenue base.
PrairieSky leases lands by zone – same aerial acreage can be leased separately for multiple zones
At the end of the primary lease term, any lands/rights not held by production revert back to PrairieSky Royalty
PrairieSky Royalty can re-lease to third parties who plan to more actively exploit, explore and/or develop those opportunities
PrairieSky Royalty sets lease terms to ensure the company remains competitive with adjacent Crown or freehold lands
License to ~13,000 km2 of 3D seismic and ~45,000 km of 2D seismic
Production History on our Fee Lands
Additional royalty production is generated on GORR Lands (not included above).
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Historical Gross Production on PSK Fee Lands
Source: Accumap
Cumulative production of 4.3 billion boe
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50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
CD Avg. Oil (bbl/d) CD Avg. Gas (Boe/d)
PrairieSky Royalty Per Share Metrics
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(1)Acres per share based on number of common shares outstanding at December 31, 2017.
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20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
IPO Today
Acres per Million Shares(1)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Production per Million Shares
Revenues Generated from Royalty Properties
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PrairieSky generates revenues through leasing its Fee Lands and its GORR Interests, which includes Royalty Production Revenue, Bonus Consideration and Lease Rental Income.
Royalty Compliance analysis focuses on capturing mispaid royalties through forensic accounting.
Over $40 million in Compliance Revenue collected since IPO.
$-
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
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$250.0
$300.0
$350.0
$400.0
2014 2015 2016 2017
$ M
illio
ns
Royalty Production Revenue from Fee Lands Royalty Production Revenue from GORR Interests Bonus Consideration Lease Rental Income Other Income
Compliance revenue is recorded with Royalty Production Revenue from Fee Lands and GORR Interests in the financial statements.
Shareholder Alignment
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Board & Management invested $80 million
in PSK Shares
Decisions focused on core strategy and
creating long-term shareholder value
ShareholderAlignment“Pay for performance”
long-term incentives
All staff are shareholdersand maximize participation
in Employee Stock Purchase Plan
Total Shareholder Return Since IPO
PrairieSky has returned $667 million in dividends and $68 million in share buybacks to shareholders since IPO.
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Total shareholder return from IPO to December 31, 2017 is 27%
The dividend is well below the current, trailing and forward Free Cash Flow yield.
PrairieSky’s current dividend is $0.065 per month, $0.78 per year.
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$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
$30.00
$35.00
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$45.00
$‐
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
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$90.00
$100.00
$110.00
AE
CO
$ p
er B
OE
& P
SK
Sha
re P
rice
US
$ W
TI p
er B
BL
WTI ($US/bbl) AECO ($/GJ) PSK ($/share)
WTI down
44%AECO down
48%
Capital-Free Returns and Diversification
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PrairieSky Royalty E&Ps Midstream
Capital-Free Returns No capital investment required
Future embedded royalties and cash flow through perpetual land ownership
No environmental liabilities typically associated with working interests
Technology increases recovery factors and opens up new resource opportunities
x Requires significant capital or acquisitions for growth
x Responsibility for environmental liabilities
Technology increases recovery factors and opens up new resource opportunities
x Requires significant capital for growth
x Requires significant capital for maintenance
x Responsibility for environmental liabilities
Stable/Diversified Asset 15.3 million acres, over 36,000 producing wells, approximately 340 payors
/ x Generally concentrated incertain plays (operator/asset)
x Requires maintenance and facilities capital
Contractual commitments (certainty of fees, volumes)
Capital Structure Positive working capital, nil debt
$45.1 million of cash at December 31, 2017
x Moderate to high leverage x Moderate to high leverage
HIGH QUALITYROYALTIES = OPTIONALITY
Booked Reserves
Future Potential Optionality
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Expansion of productive trends
Material new pool discoveries
Improvements in drilling and completions technologies: incremental recovery via optimized completions, tighter inter-well spacing and additional application of multi-leg horizontal wells
Application of new or expansion of existing waterflood schemes
Application of new or expansion of existing EOR schemes
Well-defined productive trends
Value primarily assigned to infills and step-out drilling locations
Historical average production rate
Only major plays given future value
No value assigned to future waterflood or enhanced oil recovery schemes
Producing wells as of year end 2017
Optionality Beyond Current Valuation
Current Future Potential Valuation
Development of an Economic Resource Play Saskatchewan Viking
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Wells Drilled Before 20102,650 vertical wells drilled (in this map area)36 horizontal wells drilledHorizontal lateral length 1 mile or 0.5 mileDrilling density 4 to 8 wells per sectionMost wells target vertical well development areas
Wells Drilled as of January 2013800 total horizontal wells drilledHorizontal lateral length mostly 0.5 milesDrilling Density 8 to 16 wells per sectionDevelopment extends vertical pool boundaries
Wells Drilled as of April 20172,100 total horizontal wells drilledHorizontal lateral length 0.5 to 1 mileDrilling density 16 to 28 wells per sectionDevelopment is delineating new pool boundaries
PrairieSky Inventory Based on:
16 wellsper section in infill sections
8 wellsper section in offset sections
Central Alberta Duvernay
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Over 1 million acresof royalty lands in an emerging shale resource play.
Duvernay is in early stages of contributing to PrairieSky’s revenues:
Crown land sales totaled $25 million in 2016 and $334 million in 2017.
Potential for significant royalty production growth.
Monthly royaltyproduction revenue of
~$100,000 (65 boe/d), up from ~$25,000 (20 boe/d) in 2016 from a handful of wells.
Collected
~$40 million year to date in lease bonus revenue.
Pembina / Thorsby
Ferrier /Willesden Green Cygnet
Wimborne
Investing in Future Growth Opportunities
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NW NE
SW SE
~600,000acres of 15 year oil sands leases in the Jarvie, Marten Hills and Nipisi areas.
An emerging capital efficient oil play, with scale and large OOIP reservoirs in the Clearwatergroup sands.
PrairieSky has re-invested its cash lease bonus consideration into new emerging oil resource play opportunities to provide liquids growth in the medium to long term.
0 6 Miles0 6 Miles
Diversity in Top Payers
Exposure to various operators with diverse expertise ranging from private companies to Majors
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12 months of Revenue by Top 25 Companies ($MM)
Top25 Payers
Bonavista Energy
Canbriam Energy
Cona Resources
Crescent Point
Encana
Husky Energy
Manitok Energy
Novus Energy
Pine Cliff Energy
Raging River Exploration
TAQA North
Tourmaline Oil
Whitecap Resources
Canadian Natural Resources
Cardinal Energy
Conoco
Ember Resources
Granite Oil
KNOC
NAL Resources
Pengrowth Energy
Prairie Provident
Tamarack Valley
Teine Energy
Venturion Oil
Top 10 payers represent 49%of product revenue, while the top 25 payers represent 72%of product revenue
- 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0
25242322212019181716151413121110
987654321
10 Year Free Cash Flow Generation
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FX($US / $CAD)
AECO($/Mcf)
WTI($/bbl)
10 Year Average Annual Production (boe/d)
22,000 26,000 28,000 30,000 32,000
10 Year Free Cash Flow (Billions)
0.80 $1.50 $45.00 $1.8 $2.0 $2.1 $2.3 $2.5
0.80 $1.50 $50.00 $1.9 $2.2 $2.3 $2.5 $2.7
0.80 $1.50 $55.00 $2.1 $2.4 $2.5 $2.7 $2.9
0.80 $1.50 $60.00 $2.2 $2.5 $2.7 $3.0 $3.2
0.80 $1.50 $65.00 $2.4 $2.7 $2.9 $3.2 $3.4
2017 free cash flow $290.2 million 2017 royalty production 25,259 boe/d
APPENDIX
Focus on Core Strategies Q4 & 2017
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Land & Royalty Compliance
Lease issuance bonus consideration of $19.0 million in Q4 2017, $67.0 million 2017
Active leasing in 2017, which is a precursor to new exploration and development drilling and future royalty production
In 2017 entered into ~140 new leasing arrangements with over 80 different counterparties
~735 wells spud on PrairieSky lands in 2017
Continued focus on reducing administrative expenses
Cash administrative expenses of $3.00/boein 2017, expected to be in low $3.00/boe range for 2018
PrairieSky has almost tripled its land base since IPO while maintaining headcount and continuing to reduce G&A per boe
Collected $10.6 million in compliance recoveries in 2017
Since IPO, collected more than $40 million in compliance recoveries
Over 300 net sections of land returned to PSK inventory in 2017
PrairieSky pursues acquisitions that are accretive on a per share basis and match the quality and duration of its existing assets
Acquired GORRs on emerging resource plays and other smaller acquisitions within existing cash flows
Managing Controllable Costs
Leasing Lands
Accretive Acquisitions
Financial Highlights
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$millions, unless otherwise noted
Three months endedDecember 31
Year endedDecember 31
2017 2016 2017 2016
Production Volumes
Natural Gas (Mmcf/d) 75.2 78.2 78.1 74.7
Crude Oil (bbls/d) 9,419 8,583 9,565 8,455
NGLs (bbls/d) 2,454 2,362 2,677 2,403
Total Production (boe/d)(1) 24,406 23,978 25,259 23,308
Financial Information
Revenue 91.5 67.9 345.7 224.2
Funds from Operations 81.1 61.8 290.2 200.2
per Share(2) $0.34 $0.27 $1.23 $0.88
per BOE $36.12 $28.01 $31.48 $23.47
Net Earnings (Loss) 39.9 16.1 120.6 20.0
per Share $0.17 $0.07 $0.51 $0.09
Working Capital 45.7 44.2 45.7 44.2
Cash Balance 45.1 34.0 45.1 34.0
(1) See “Conversions of Natural Gas to boe”.(2) A non-GAAP measure which is defined under Non-GAAP Measures section in our MD&A.
PrairieSky has no debt, no operating expenses, no mandatory capital expenditures and no environmental liabilities.
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Executive Team Board of Directors
James M. Estey, Chair of the BoardRetired Chairman of UBS Securities Canada Inc., and has more than 30 years of experience in financial marketsChairman of Gibson Energy Inc. and a director of New Gold Inc.
Margaret A. McKenzieFormer Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer of Range Royalty and prior thereto was Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer of Profico Energy Management Ltd.Director of Encana Corporation and Inter Pipeline Ltd.
Sheldon SteevesDirector of Enerplus Corporation and NuVista Energy Ltd Previously President & CEO of EchoEx; Executive Vice President & COO at Renaissance Energy Ltd.
Grant A. ZawalskyManaging Partner of Burnet, Duckworth & Palmer LLP (Barristers and Solicitors) On the board of directors of NuVista Energy Ltd., Whitecap Resources Inc. and Zargon Oil & Gas Ltd., and is Corporate Secretary of ARC Resources Ltd., Bonavista Energy Corporation and RMP Energy Inc.
Leadership Team
Senior leadership team offers unique expertise managing royalty assets, significant technical capabilities and broad, long-standing industry relationships.
Andrew M. Phillips, President & CEO / DirectorPreviously, President, CEO & Director of Home Quarter Resources (acquired by a public oil and gas company in 2014)Extensive experience in the oil & gas industry with past senior roles at Evolve Exploration, Profico Energy Management and Renaissance Energy
Cameron M. Proctor, Chief Operating OfficerPreviously, EVP, Chief Legal Officer and Director of Sinopec Canada and prior thereto VP, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of Daylight Energy Former lawyer with Blake, Cassels & Graydon LLP
Pam Kazeil, VP Finance & Chief Financial OfficerPreviously, EVP and Chief Financial Officer of Sinopec Canada and prior thereto VP, Finance of Daylight Energy Formerly VP Finance of Sword Energy Ltd. and held increasingly senior roles at its predecessor, Thunder Energy Trust, including VP Finance and CFO
Michelle Radomski, VP LandPreviously, VP Land at Range Royalty Management Ltd. with over 30 years of experience in the oil & gas industryPast President of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Landmen
Disclaimer & Cautionary Statements
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Cautionary Statement on Forward Looking InformationThis presentation contains “forward looking information” and “forward looking statements” within the meaning of applicable securities laws, which may include, but are not limited to: statements with respectto future events or future performance; management’s expectations regarding PrairieSky’s growth and realization of future value from the Royalty Properties; results of operations of third parties active onthe Royalty Properties; estimated future revenues; future dividends and share buybacks; production estimates; costs and revenue; future demand for and prices of commodities; business prospects; futureapplication of EOR schemes and other secondary and tertiary recovery methods to improve recovery factors on the Royalty Properties; expectations regarding downspacing and infill drilling; expectationsregarding continued improvement in technology and application of new drilling and completion techniques, including application of horizontal drilling in areas otherwise largely delineated with vertical wells;expectations regarding ongoing and continued activity levels on the Royalty Properties; estimated historical capital spent on the Royalty Properties and capital efficiencies related thereto, and future capitalspend on the Royalty Properties; expectations regarding new discoveries and the contribution to the reserves, production and financial results of the Company; expectations regarding historical and futureoptimization efforts on certain plays and the resulting effect on declines in production; PrairieSky’s ability to lease large amounts of land, and its corresponding ability to attract associated bonusconsideration revenue and capital spent on the Royalty Properties; expectations that data from drilling activities will lead to exploitation of additional zones and substances that were not otherwise targeted;and expectations regarding the future development on the Company’s Duvernay and Clearwater land positions, including expectations that they will add significant growth to royalty revenue and productionover time; and the prospectivity of lands that are not included in this presentation and the Company’s expectations regarding the same. Such forward looking statements reflect management’s currentbeliefs and are based on information currently available to management. Often, but not always, forward looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects”, “is expected”,“budgets”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “predicts”, “projects”, “intends”, “targets”, “aims”, “anticipates” or “believes” or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases or may beidentified by statements to the effect that certain actions “may”, “could”, “should”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks,uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of PrairieSky to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed orimplied by the forward looking statements. A number of factors could cause actual events or results to differ materially from any forward looking statement, including, without limitation: fluctuations in theprices of crude oil, natural gas and NGL that drive royalty revenue; changes in national, provincial and local government legislation and regulations, including permitting and licensing regimes and taxationpolicies and the enforcement thereof; regulatory and political or economic developments in any of the jurisdictions where properties in which PrairieSky holds a royalty interest are located; risks related tothe operators of the properties in which PrairieSky holds a royalty interest, including changes in the ownership and control of such operators; influence of macroeconomic developments; businessopportunities that become available to, or are pursued by PrairieSky; reduced access to debt and equity capital; litigation; title, permit or license disputes related to interests on any of the properties in whichPrairieSky holds a royalty interest; excessive cost escalation as well as development, permitting, infrastructure, operating or technical difficulties on any of the properties in which PrairieSky holds a royaltyinterest; actual hydrocarbon content may differ from the reserves and resources contained in technical reports; rate and timing of production differences from resource estimates and other technical reports;risks and hazards associated with the business of exploration and development on any of the properties in which PrairieSky holds a royalty interest, including, but not limited to unusual or unexpectedgeological conditions, natural disasters, terrorism, civil unrest or a political change; and the integration of acquired assets. The statements contained in presentation are based upon assumptionsmanagement believes to be reasonable, including, without limitation: the ongoing operation of the properties in which PrairieSky holds a royalty interest by the owners or operators of such properties in amanner consistent with good oilfield practices and all applicable regulations; the availability of capital to such operators to further develop such properties; the accuracy of public statements and disclosuresmade by the operators on the Royalty Properties; no material adverse change in the market price of the commodities that underlie the asset portfolio; no material changes to existing tax treatment; noadverse development in respect of any significant property in which PrairieSky holds a royalty interest; the accuracy of publicly disclosed expectations for the development of underlying properties that arenot yet in production; integration of acquired assets; the accuracy of assumptions and information used in PrairieSky’s internal assessments of its Royalty Properties and the prospectivity thereof, includingwith respect to acquired assets; and the absence of any other factors that could cause actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated or intended. However, there can be no assurancethat forward looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements and investors are cautioned that forwardlooking statements are not guarantees of future performance. PrairieSky cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward looking statements. Accordingly, investors shouldnot place undue reliance on forward looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein. For additional information with respect to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, please refer to the “RiskFactors” section of our most recent AIF filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities available at www.sedar.com and on our website at www.prairiesky.com. The forward looking statementsherein are made as of December 31, 2017 only and PrairieSky does not assume any obligation to update or revise them to reflect new information, estimates or opinions, future events or results orotherwise, except as required by applicable law.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Future-Oriented Financial InformationThis presentation also contains future-oriented financial information and financial outlook information (collectively, "FOFI") about our prospective results, funds from operations, future development of theRoyalty Properties, future drilling locations, future reserve additions and in each case values associated therewith, all of which are subject to the same assumptions, risk factors, limitations, andqualifications as set forth above. Readers are cautioned that the assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to beimprecise and, as such, undue reliance should not be placed on FOFI and forward-looking statements. PrairieSky’s actual results, performance, realization or achievement of anticipated values could differmaterially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements and FOFI, or if any of them do so, what benefits PrairieSky will derive therefrom. PrairieSky has included the forward-looking statements and FOFI in this presentation in order to provide readers with a more complete perspective on PrairieSky’s future value proposition and future development potential and suchinformation may not be appropriate for other purposes. PrairieSky disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements or FOFI, whether as a result of new information,future events or otherwise, except as required by law.
Other Disclosure
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NON-GAAP MEASURESCertain measures in this presentation do not have any standardized meaning as prescribed by IFRS and therefore, are considerednon-GAPP measures. These measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. These measuresare commonly used in the oil and gas industry and by the Company to provide potential investors with additional informationregarding the Company’s liquidity and its ability to generate funds to finance its operations. Non-GAPP measures include FreeCash Flow which is defined as Funds from Operations, a GAAP measure used in PrairieSky Royalty’s Management Discussion &Analysis and Audited Annual Consolidated Financial Statements and notes thereto for the year ended December 31, 2017, whichare available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com or PrairieSky Royalty’s website at www.prairiesky.com.
CONVERSIONS OF NATURAL GAS TO BOETo provide a single unit of production for analytical purposes, natural gas production and reserves volumes are convertedmathematically to equivalent barrels of oil (boe). We use the industry-accepted standard conversion of six thousand cubic feet ofnatural gas to one barrel of oil (6 Mcf = 1 bbl). The 6:1 boe ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarilyapplicable at the burner tip. It does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead and is not based on either energy content orcurrent prices. While the boe ratio is useful for comparative measures and observing trends, it does not accurately reflectindividual product values and might be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. As well, given that the value ratio, based on thecurrent price of crude oil to natural gas, is significantly different from the 6:1 energy equivalency ratio, using a 6:1 conversion ratiomay be misleading as an indication of value.
CURRENCY AND REFERENCES TO PRAIRIESKY ROYALTYAll information included in this presentation is shown on a Canadian dollar basis.For convenience, references in this document to the “Company”, “we”, “us”, “our”, and “its” may, where applicable, refer only toPrairieSky Royalty.
PrairieSky Royalty Ltd.1700, 350 – 7 Avenue SWCalgary, AB T2P 3N9587.293.4000
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