correlational structure in the random-effect … structure in the random-e ect structure of mixed...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
Correlational Structurein the Random-Effect Structure
of Mixed Models
Harald Baayen
March 25, 2009
![Page 2: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
Outline
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutch poetry
Conclusions Poetry Experiment
Final Remarks
![Page 3: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
random effects in mixed-effects modeling
I goalto provide an intuitive guide to understanding the roleof correlation parameters in the random effects part of amixed model
I two examplesI example 1: variation in the realization of Russian verbs
I correlational structure involvinga fixed factorial predictor
I fixed factor levels nestedunder the random-effect factor
I example 2: self-paced reading latencies of poetryI correlational structure involving covariatesI subject covariates crossed with itemI item covariates crossed with subject
![Page 4: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
Outline
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutch poetry
Conclusions Poetry Experiment
Final Remarks
![Page 5: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
the -a/aj alternative forms
forms with -a form with -aj
infinitive maxat′ maxat′
masculine sg past maxal maxal1sg present masu maxaju2sg present mases′ maxa(j)es′
3sg present maset maxa(j)et1pl present masem maxa(j)em2pl present masete maxa(j)ete3pl present masut maxajutimperative masi(te) maxaj(te)present active participle masuscij maxajuscijgerund masa maxaja
![Page 6: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
systematicities in this variation
s p f i a g
Cou
nt
010
0020
0030
0040
00
−a−aj
dental labial velar
Cou
nt
010
0020
0030
0040
00
−a−aj
Counts of -a (black) and -aj (white) realizations for sixparadigm slots (left) and place of articulation of the finalconsonant of the root (right). a: active present participle, p:third person plural, s: third person sigular, f: first/secondperson, i: infinitive, g: gerund.
![Page 7: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
different verbs show different patternslo
git
−404
s p f i a g
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alkat
s p f i a g
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blistat
s p f i a g
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bryzgat
s p f i a g
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cherpat
s p f i a g
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dremat
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dvigat
s p f i a g
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glodat
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kapat
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klepat
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klikat
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kloxtat
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kolebat
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kolyxat
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krapat−4
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kudaxtat
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kurlykat
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maxat
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metat
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murlykat
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mykat
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paxat
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pleskat
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prjatat
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pryskat
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pyxat
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ryskat
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schekotat−4
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schepat
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schipat● ●
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stonat
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svistat
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tykat
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vnimat●
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xlestat
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xnykat
−404
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zhazhdat
The log odds (of -a versus -aj) for each of the six paradigmslots. A log odds greater than zero indicates a preference for-a, a log odds smaller than zero a preference for -aj.
![Page 8: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
a model with random intercepts for verbs
I contrast coding for Paradigm and Place
I reference level (Active participle for Paradigm,dental for Place)
I contrasts (group mean differences) with respect to thereference level (e.g., Gerund versus ActiveParticiple, Labial versus Dental)
I we begin with a model with random intercepts forVerb, thereby allowing the verbs to differ in the extentto which they prefer -a over -aj (equally across all formsin the paradigm)
![Page 9: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
a model with random intercepts for verbs
> russian.lmer = lmer(cbind(a, aj) ~ Paradigm ++ Place + (1 | Verb), data = russian, family = "binomial")
Random effects:Groups Name Variance Std.Dev.Verb (Intercept) 6.7098 2.5903Number of obs: 222, groups: Verb, 37
Fixed effects:Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
(Intercept) 3.993 0.810 4.928 0.000Paradigmf -0.558 0.145 -3.847 0.000Paradigmg -3.067 0.129 -23.830 0.000Paradigmi -1.827 0.194 -9.419 0.000Paradigmp 0.250 0.112 2.236 0.025Paradigms 0.812 0.095 8.554 0.000Placelabial -3.348 1.211 -2.765 0.006Placevelar -2.071 1.027 -2.017 0.044
![Page 10: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
problems with this initial model
I differences between verbs are restrictedto just the intercept
I our dotplot suggests, however, that verbs may differwith respect to the paradigm slots for which they preferor disprefer -a versus -aj
I furthermore, we have assumed that the likelihood of agiven variant for a given verb in one paradigm slot isindependent of the likelihood of a given variant for thatsame verb in another paradigm slot, which seemsunlikely
![Page 11: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
the observations across paradigm cellsfor a given verb are not independent(dots represent verbs)
a
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−2
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r = 0.63p = 0
rs = 0.6p = 1e−04
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r = 0.24p = 0.1533rs = 0.22
p = 0.1826
r = 0.55p = 4e−04rs = 0.52
p = 9e−04
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p = 0.0088
r = 0.73p = 0
rs = 0.73p = 0
r = 0.63p = 0
rs = 0.52p = 9e−04
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r = 0.71p = 0
rs = 0.72p = 0
r = 0.88p = 0
rs = 0.87p = 0
r = 0.55p = 4e−04
rs = 0.5p = 0.0018
r = 0.66p = 0
rs = 0.65p = 0
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rs = 0.65p = 0
r = 0.8p = 0
rs = 0.75p = 0
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r = 0.46p = 0.0046rs = 0.34
p = 0.0412
r = 0.62p = 0
rs = 0.6p = 1e−04
−2 2
r = 0.83p = 0
rs = 0.82p = 0
s
![Page 12: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
anticipating the consequences of contrastcoding for the random effects structure
I we are modeling Paradigm with contrast coding
I bringing flexibility into the model for verb specificpreferences across the paradigm will therefore beimplemented in terms of adjustments to the interceptand adjustments to contrast coefficients
I to anticipate the correlational structure of theseadjustments, we redo our previous plot,
I retaining the log odds for the reference level, Activeparticiple
I but for all other levels of Paradigm, we replace theobserved log odds by its difference with thecorresponding value for the reference level
![Page 13: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
anticipating the consequences of contrastcoding for the random effects structure
I the correlations involving the reference levelchange sign, the other correlations remain positive
I this pattern is strongest for weakly correlatedrandom variables
![Page 14: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
simulated data before contrasts
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3 4 5 6 7 8 92
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![Page 15: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
simulated data after contrasts
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y−x
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r=0.97
![Page 16: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
anticipating the consequences of contrastcoding for the random effects structure(dots represent verbs)
a
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r = −0.62p = 0
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r = −0.44p = 0.0063rs = −0.41p = 0.0117
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s
![Page 17: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
an improved model
> russian.lmer1 = lmer(cbind(a, aj) ~ Paradigm ++ Place + (1 + Paradigm | Verb), data = russian,+ family = "binomial")
Random effects:Name Variance Std.Dev. Corr(Intercept) 11.3268 3.3655Paradigmf 4.9671 2.2287 -0.654Paradigmg 12.3863 3.5194 -0.398 0.766Paradigmi 11.0430 3.3231 -0.757 0.879 0.638Paradigmp 2.6471 1.6270 -0.472 0.919 0.893 0.777Paradigms 4.1690 2.0418 -0.609 0.838 0.535 0.950 0.676
> pairscor.fnc(ranef(russian.lmer1)$Verb)
![Page 18: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
visualization of the BLUPs
Intercept
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r = −0.33p = 0.0432rs = −0.24p = 0.1514
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rs = 0.74p = 0
s
![Page 19: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
are 15 additional parameters justified?
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0.0 0.4 0.8
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observed proportion
expe
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pro
port
ion
mod
el 1
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0.0 0.4 0.8
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0.8
1.0
observed proportion
expe
cted
pro
port
ion
mod
el 2
![Page 20: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
model comparison with likelihood ratio test
russian.lmer = lmer(cbind(a, aj) ~ Paradigm + Place +(1|Verb), data=russian, family="binomial")russian.lmer1 = lmer(cbind(a, aj) ~ Paradigm + Place +(1+Paradigm|Verb), data=russian, family="binomial")anova(russian.lmer, russian.lmer1)
...Df AIC BIC logLik Chisq Chi Df Pr(>Chisq)
russian.lmer 9 1397.04 1427.67 -689.52russian.lmer1 29 525.08 623.76 -233.54 911.96 20 < 2.2e-16
![Page 21: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
Summary
I models become more precise if you takenon-independence seriously
I the coding used for factor levels determines yourinterpretation of the random effects correlationalstructure
I for contrast coding, the default in R, pairwisecorrelations change sign for pairs involving the referencelevel
![Page 22: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
Outline
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutch poetry
Conclusions Poetry Experiment
Final Remarks
![Page 23: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
Reading Dutch poetry
I self-paced reading experimentI 87 poems, in all 2315 different word formsI 326 subjectsI 275996 self-paced reading latencies
I three random-effect factorsI PoemI WordI Subject
![Page 24: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
Words
I random interceptsI possibly, additional random slopes/contrasts for
properties of the subjectsI the subject’s age
I reading latencies for a given word might dependspecifically on whether you are a younger or an oldersubject)
I RT in questionaire (the subject’s response latency inan on-line questionaire requesting from the subject anestimate of the number of poems read annually)
I reading latencies for a given word might depend onwhether you are a slow, careful evaluator or a fast,superficial responder
I the subject’s sexI a given word might be read more quickly by females
(or males) (female words versus male words)
I note: it is important to center predictors
![Page 25: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
spoken British English (BNC)
I femalesshe, her, said, n’t, I, and, to, cos, oh, Christmas,thought, lovely, nice, mm, had, did, going, yes, really
I malesfucking, er, the, yeah, aye, right, hundred, fuck, is, of,two, three, a, four, ah, no
I http://www.comp.lancs.ac.uk/ucrel/papers/rlh97.html
![Page 26: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
spoken British English (BNC)
I femalesshe, her, said, n’t, I, and, to, cos, oh, Christmas,thought, lovely, nice, mm, had, did, going, yes, really
I malesfucking, er, the, yeah, aye, right, hundred, fuck, is, of,two, three, a, four, ah, no
I http://www.comp.lancs.ac.uk/ucrel/papers/rlh97.html
![Page 27: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
spoken British English (BNC)
I femalesshe, her, said, n’t, I, and, to, cos, oh, Christmas,thought, lovely, nice, mm, had, did, going, yes, really
I malesfucking, er, the, yeah, aye, right, hundred, fuck, is, of,two, three, a, four, ah, no
I http://www.comp.lancs.ac.uk/ucrel/papers/rlh97.html
![Page 28: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
spoken British English (BNC)
I femalesshe, her, said, n’t, I, and, to, cos, oh, Christmas,thought, lovely, nice, mm, had, did, going, yes, really
I malesfucking, er, the, yeah, aye, right, hundred, fuck, is, of,two, three, a, four, ah, no
I http://www.comp.lancs.ac.uk/ucrel/papers/rlh97.html
![Page 29: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
spoken British English (BNC)
I femalesshe, her, said, n’t, I, and, to, cos, oh, Christmas,thought, lovely, nice, mm, had, did, going, yes, really
I malesfucking, er, the, yeah, aye, right, hundred, fuck, is, of,two, three, a, four, ah, no
I http://www.comp.lancs.ac.uk/ucrel/papers/rlh97.html
![Page 30: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
the Word: exploration with lmList
> items.lmList = lmList(ReadingTime ~ Age + RTquestionaire ++ Sex | Word, data = dat)> items = data.frame(coef(items.lmList))> pairscor.fnc(items, cex = 0.5)
I for each word, we fit a separate model to the readingtimes of the subjects reading that word with aspredictors the age, questionaire RT, and sex of thosesubjects
I for each word, we thus obtain an intercept, slopes forAge and RTquestionaire, and a contrast coefficient forSex
I we plot these coefficients using a pairwise scatterplotmatrix
![Page 31: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
the Word: exploration with lmList
Intercept
−0.6 −0.2 0.2
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6.2
6.6
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r = −0.03
p = 0.1504
rs = 0
p = 0.9262
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r = 0.08
p = 2e−04
rs = 0.08
p = 1e−04
r = 0.05
p = 0.0268
rs = −0.02
p = 0.2601
RTquestionaire
−0.
20.
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5.8 6.2 6.6
−0.
50.
00.
5 r = −0.28
p = 0
rs = −0.23
p = 0
r = −0.09
p = 0
rs = −0.02
p = 0.397
−0.2 0.2
r = 0.03
p = 0.1904
rs = 0.08
p = 1e−04
Sex
I each point represents a verb type
I lines are nonparametric scatterplot smoothers
![Page 32: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
the Word: Age and Intercept
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−0.6 −0.4 −0.2 0.0 0.2
5.8
6.2
6.6
items$Age
item
s$In
terc
ept
I to the left in the graph: here we see words that areread faster by older subjects (a regression of ReadingTime on Age has negative slope for these words)
I to the right in the graph: here we see words that areread slower by older subjects (a regression of ReadingTime on Age has positive slope for these words)
![Page 33: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
the Word: Age and Intercept
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−0.6 −0.4 −0.2 0.0 0.2
5.8
6.2
6.6
items$Age
item
s$In
terc
ept
I in the center of the graph:I zero slope, so no Age effect: here we see words that are
processed the same irrespective of AgeI these words also have the smallest intercepts, soI overall, these words elicit the shortest mean reading
latencies
![Page 34: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
the Word: Sex and InterceptI the left panel shows the intercepts for females
(vertical) and the contrast for males (horizontal)I there are relatively few words to the right of X=0
(words for which the intercept for males has to beadjusted upwards compared to the intercept for females)
I as we move to the left, we meet words for which theintercept (appropriate for females) has to be adjusteddownward for males
I the right panel shows the intercepts for females(vertical) and the reconstructed intercepts for males(horizontal)
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−0.5 0.0 0.5
5.8
6.2
6.6
items$Sex
item
s$In
terc
ept
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5.6 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.8
5.8
6.2
6.6
items$Sex + items$Intercept
item
s$In
terc
ept
![Page 35: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
the Word: Sex and Intercept
I what makes words more or less easy to process by malesor females?
I to answer this question, we consider Subject asrandom-effect factor
![Page 36: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
the Subject
I random interceptsI possibly, random slopes for properties of the Words,
e.g.,I the word’s frequencyI the word’s number of constituent morphemes
I background: Ullman’s hypothesis that females havesuperior verbal memory and hence have a strongerfrequency effect than males
![Page 37: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
the Subject: Nmorphs and Frequency> subjects.lmList = lmList(Leestijd ~ Nmorphs ++ SurfFreq | Subject, data = dat)> subjects = data.frame(coef(subjects.lmList))> pairs(subjects[, 1:3])> t.test(SurfFreq ~ Sex, data = subjects)
t = -2.6782, df = 313.152, p-value = 0.007792
Intercept
−0.04 0.00 0.04
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−0.20 −0.10 0.00
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SurfFreq
![Page 38: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
joint analysis: the model specification
dat.lmer = lmer(ReadingTime ~ Trial + NumberOfWordsIntoLine +SentenceLength + ... + Sex*SurfFreq + I(SurfFreq^2) +RTquestionaire + Nmorphs*Sex + Age +(1|Poem)+(1+Nmorphs+SurfFreq|Subject)+(1+RTquestionaire+Age|Word),data=dat)
![Page 39: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
joint analysis: random effects
Random effects:Groups Name Std.Dev. CorrWord (Intercept) 0.075
RTquestionaire 0.008 0.716Age 0.010 -0.596 -0.171
Subject (Intercept) 0.214Nmorphs 0.006 0.387SurfFreq 0.035 -0.642 -0.251
Poem (Intercept) 0.043Residual 0.314Number of obs: 275996, groups: Word, 2315; Subject, 326; Gedicht, 87
![Page 40: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
visualization subject BLUPs
(Intercept)
−0.010 0.000 0.010
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−0.4 0.0 0.4
r = −0.67
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−0.10 0.00 0.05
−0.
100.
000.
05SurfFreq
![Page 41: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
visualization word BLUPs
(Intercept)
−0.02 0.00 0.02
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−0.
020.
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02 r = 0.98
p = 0
rs = 0.97
p = 0
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−0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4
r = −0.94
p = 0
rs = −0.92
p = 0
r = −0.86
p = 0
rs = −0.82
p = 0
−0.03 −0.01 0.01
−0.
03−
0.01
0.01Leeftijd
![Page 42: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
joint analysis: random effects
I likelihood ratio tests support each additional parameterin the model
I for instance, comparing a model with only randomintercepts for subject with a model with additionalstructure for Nmorphs and SurfFreq:
anova(dat.lmer0, dat.lmer1)
Df AIC BIC logLik Chisq Chi Df Pr(>Chisq)dat.lmer0 37 153425 153814 -76675dat.lmer1 42 153197 153639 -76557 237.59 5 < 2.2e-16
![Page 43: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
modeling strategy
I explore with visualization where random slopes andcorrelations might be required
I add additional parameters incrementally: complexrandom effects structure can be difficult to fit
![Page 44: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
joint analysis: fixed effects
Fixed effects:Estimate Std. Error t value
...Nmorphs -0.0002 0.0015 -0.13RTquestionaire 0.0588 0.0095 6.13Sexm -0.0937 0.0243 -3.86Age 0.0615 0.0096 6.35SurfFreq -0.0213 0.0066 -3.20I(SurfFreq^2) 0.0059 0.0021 2.76SurfFreq:Sexm 0.0097 0.0041 2.35Sexm:Nmorphs -0.0028 0.0014 -1.95
![Page 45: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
model criticism 1> pdf("qqplot.pdf", he = 5, wi = 5)> plot(qnorm(p = seq(0.001, 0.999, length = 20)),+ quantile(resid(dat.lmer2), seq(0.001, 0.999,+ length = 20)))> dev.off()
●
●
●●
●●●●●●●●●●●
●●
●
●
●
−3 −2 −1 0 1 2 3
−1.
0−
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
qnorm(p = seq(0.001, 0.999, length = 20))
quan
tile(
resi
d(da
t.lm
er2)
, seq
(0.0
01, 0
.999
, len
gth
= 2
0))
![Page 46: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
model criticism 2
−3 −2 −1 0 1
−1.
5−
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
Frequency
Res
idua
l
![Page 47: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
Outline
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutch poetry
Conclusions Poetry Experiment
Final Remarks
![Page 48: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
Final Remarks
I we have validated the Sex by Frequency interaction inthe fixed-effect part of the model by bringing into themodel all potential other sources that might explain thisinteraction:
I a potential confound with other availablesubject-specific properties(1+Age+RTquestionaire|Word)
I a potential confound with individual differences insensitivity to frequency(1+Frequency+Nmorphs|Subject)
![Page 49: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
Outline
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutch poetry
Conclusions Poetry Experiment
Final Remarks
![Page 50: Correlational Structure in the Random-Effect … Structure in the Random-E ect Structure of Mixed Models ... present active participle ma su s cij maxaju s cij gerund ma sa maxaja](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022506/5ac120cc7f8b9ae45b8d0721/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
mixed models
Harald Baayen
introduction
Russian verbs
Reading Dutchpoetry
ConclusionsPoetryExperiment
Final Remarks
Final Remarks
I we obtain better models when we pay careful attentionto the modeling of the correlational structure for therandom effect factors
I we have a better tool for understanding subject (item)variability than traditional methods such as mediansplits with separate subanalyses