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CONFIDENTIAL – August 2012 COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES & TRENDS * Emerging Asia = China + India + ASEAN

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Page 1: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

CONFIDENTIAL – August 2012

COSMETICS INDUSTRY

IN EMERGING ASIA*

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES & TRENDS

* Emerging Asia = China + India + ASEAN

Page 2: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

q  About GEREJE Corporate Finance

q  Cosmetics & Fragrances: Market Overview & Trends

q  Cosmetics: Emerging Asia Focus

q  M&A Trends

Page 3: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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We are a Euro-Asian M&A firm with a “boutique” culture providing both strategic and financial advisory services ensuring

excellence of execution thanks to our 100% in house offices and team

Origination & Execution

§  Paris §  Singapore

Origination

§  Bangkok (Rep. office) §  Berlin (Affiliate) §  Shanghai §  Mumbai

ABOUT GEREJE Corporate Finance

Page 4: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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Transaction Excellence

OUR ADDED VALUE

Reactivity and

Proactivity

Track Record

Our Proprietary Databases

Sector & country expertise

Solution driven

Optimising Your

Investments

Cross Border

Expertise

All the advantages of an international M&A

firm with a «boutique» culture

Over 5000 firms and over 500 PE, HNWI, family offices in our « in-house » database

in Europe and Asia

Execution capability both in Europe and Asia, ensuring

24/7 reactivity

Tailor-made

services & outside the box thinking

To accelerate companies growth and market

shares in emerging Asia

Multicultural team possess solid and an in depth

expertise in cosmetics and emerging Asia

MNC’s such as DANONE, BEL, KORRES 80 mandates executed ~45 LOI signed (55%)

~14 closing (30%)

Page 5: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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Execution Excellence

OUR PROVEN METHODOLOGY

Our mandates are tailor made

structured in 3 phases consisting in (1) a preparation / documentation optimization,

(2)  the approach, negotiation & LOI and (3) the final offer & closing

We deliver a weekly report in line with our mandates

Milestones to optimize the momentum

Our mandates are on an exclusivity basis only, include

fixed and success fee

We rely on our own proprietary research to process

high value strategic & financial intelligence using the latest

communication tools

We manage 100% of the Transaction coordinating the Process with the law firms,

auditors …for our client benefit

Each assignment is managed by one Team leader to optimize the process

Page 6: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

COSMETICS

MARKET OVERVIEW & TRENDS

Page 7: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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Safety & Purity ■  “Natural“ and/or “Organic" products are growing in popularity across regions, and becoming mainstream

e.g. Mineral make-up (ie. L'Oréal's Bare Naturale, Almay's Pure Blends)

Large potential in Men’s Grooming

■  3% growth in 2010

■  Growth supported by current low penetration and growing adoption of daily personal care Western Europe represent 32% of global value e.g. Nickel, Biotherm, Piaubert

Technologically Advanced Formulations ■  Rising demand for technologically advanced benefits such as firming and wrinkle reduction (Cosmeceuticals)

e.g. Vichy Laboratoires, La Roche-Posay Laboratoire Pharmaceutique and Lierac

Premiumisation over the long term ■  Improving affluence in developed and emerging economies ■  Brand loyalty is generally high in premium cosmetics

GLOBAL TRENDS

Source: www.beautypackaging.com, GCF Research & Analysis

Western Europe’s developed and advanced cosmetic industry is at the helm of global cosmetics trends

Page 8: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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W.Europe 66%

North America

14%

Asia Pacific

8%

Latin America

0% MEA 1%

% Share of Cosmetic Patents (2007-2010)

Total: 530 patents worldwide

W.Europe 43%

North America

48%

Asia Pacific

8%

Latin America

1% MEA 0%

% Share of Cosmetic Patents (1990-2006)

Total: 168 patents worldwide

INNOVATIONS BY REGION

Source: www.formulascan.com

Western Europe is the leading region in cosmetic innovations : critical competitive edge for cosmetics players

q  Western Europe is at the forefront of technologically advanced cosmetics formulations : §  % share of global cosmetic patents has increased to more than 50% in recent years §  Strong R&D expertise allows frequent launch of products with value-added enhancements and higher margins

Page 9: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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A STRONG INDUSTRY IN EUROPE

Western Europe per capita expenditure ~ EUR 150 / year vs ~EUR 30/ year in emerging Asia

q  World largest market: Growth should remain moderate : +2.3% CAGR 2012-16 §  Some Niche segments are still booming: e.g. bio cosmetics = >+30% CAGR 2006-10

q  Most of European Brands and products are designed and manufactured in order to be sold internationally §  ~4000 SMEs and Brands in Europe are looking for growth driver market

Source: Euromonitor /Colipa Statistics Working Group, Eurostat International

2.3% 1.5%

2.3%

-0.3% 0.9%

3.0%

0.5%

2.6% 2.1% 3.2%

-1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0%

0

10

20

1.4 8.8 9.8 0.9 6.5 2.4 5.4 1.4 1.5 9.3

140

160 150

120 125

160 150

140

170 150

100

150

200

0

4

8

12

Main cosmetic* Market Value & Per Capita Expenditure 2012

Market Value Per Capita Expenditure

EUR B EUR

Market Value CAGR 2012-2016

* Cosmetics= colour cosmetics, skin care, sun care and hair care

Page 10: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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A BOOMING INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA

q  Consolidated market : 6 major players >50% of the global cosmetic industry

q  The global market is driven by emerging Asia : §  India GDP growth rate = +8.5 % in 2011 §  China = 90 % is under 65 years old §  ASEAN > 60% urban population

Source ; GCF Research and Analysis, World Bank data, Euromonitor, Reportlinker report

Europe EUR 55 Bn

MEA EUR 11 Bn

Latin America EUR 41 Bn

ASEAN** EUR 8,2 Bn

China EUR 19 Bn

India EUR 5,5 Bn

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16%

His

toric

al C

AG

R (2

006

– 20

11)

Forecasted CAGR (2012 – 2016)

Global Cosmetics* market in 2012 Historical vs. Forecasted CAGR

N. America EUR 40 Bn

The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 with Emerging Asia enjoying the most dynamic growth forecast (12%)

** ASEAN: = Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines,

* Cosmetics= colour cosmetics, skin care, sun care and hair care

Page 11: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

COSMETICS

EMERGING ASIA FOCUS

Page 12: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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INVESTMENT LANDSCAPE

China, India and ASEAN present 3 total different competitive landscapes

CHINA The largest market

-  2 local Companies in the top 15 -  Strong M&A activity from MNCs (e.g. L’OREAL/MININURSE, J&J/ DABAO and COTY/TJOY)

→ Strong foreign presence → Low market share available

Number of companies in 2010

INDIA The youngest market

ASEAN The hidden market

-  2 local companies in the top 5 - MNCs commitment is low (e.g: L’ OREAL: € 200 M sales vs € 1.8 Bn in China)

→ Burgeoning market

• lack of infrastructure (road to market concern) • low modern trade

- ~20 local companies with significant markets shares and sales between € 10 to 50M - Access to China and India

→ Mature local firms looking for partners to grow overseas

→ Highest consumption per capita rate in emerging Asia

Turnover (In EUR M)

0   5   10   15   20   25   30   35   40   45  

10 < X < 50

50 < X < 100

100< X< 500

500< X

China Asean India

Page 13: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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CHINA

China Cosmetic market = EUR 19 B (+12 % CAGR Forecast 2012-2016)

Per capita expenditure on Cosmetics per month: EUR 1.2

Source: Euromonitor, Challenges

82% 77%

18% 29%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2010 2015

Market Split 2010-2015

Mass Premium

q  Skin Care = 46% of the global market in China in 2010 (50% by 2015)

Page 14: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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INDIA

India Cosmetic market = EUR 5,5 B (+14 % CAGR Forecast 2012-2016)

Per capita expenditure on Cosmetics per month: EUR 0.15

Source: Euromonitor, Challenges

96% 94%

4% 6%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2010 2015

Market Split 2010-2015

Mass Premium

q  Hair Care = 1nd market = 30% ot the market (35% by 2015)

q  Skin Care = 2nd market = 15% ot the market (20% by 2015)

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ASEAN

ASEAN Cosmetic market = EUR 8,2 B (+9 % CAGR Forecast 2012-2016)

Per capita expenditure on Cosmetics per month: EUR 11.8

Source: Euromonitor, Challenges

83% 83%

17% 17%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2010 2015

Market Split 2010-2015

Mass Premium

q  Skin Care represents 43% of the global market in ASEAN

q  Hair Care = 2nd market in term of market size = 30%

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KEY INVESTMENT CONSIDERATIONS IN ASIA

Source : GCF Research & Analysis Team

Make up and Skincare are part of Asian tradition

q  Numerous player

■  Global reputed players: Europe, USA, Japan, Korea

■  Asian brands part of global groups •  such as YUESAI (L’OREAL) TJOY (COTY) DABAO (J&J) C-BONS (BEIERSDORF)

■  Domestic players, sometimes expanding globally •  such as HERBORIST (china), GODRESH (India), MUSTIKA (Indonesia)

■  Small players •  around 5,000 producers in China > 95% of Chinese brands turnover < EUR 10M •  Average size in ASEAN around EUR 25 to 100M

■  New comers: Para-pharmacy & Spa; pure web •  Such as H&M, FUJIFILM…

q  In a fierce competition

■  Cosmetics players are the largest advertiser

•  e.g. L’OREAL spent over EUR 1Bn in China in 2010

■  YVES ROCHER has over 550 outlets in France , 70 in China and 20 in ASEAN

■  COTY develop through TJOY in China and create a JV with LUXASIA in ASEAN

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Increasing access to credit facilities in Emerging Asian Countries, coupled with Modern Trade development, will boost consumer spending

q  Low Household Debt

§  ASEAN + India total household debt = USD 863 Bn = 21x lower than in Europe

Source: GCF Research & Analysis Department, MPRA, Euromonitor

0

50

100

150

200

250

2009 2013E

Number of credit cardholders (in M) in South & South East Asia*

Taiwan India Indonesia Philippines Malaysia Thailand Singapore

CAGR +14.5%

75% 50%

25% 50%

0%

50%

100%

2004 2014

Shift from Traditional to Modern Trade

Traditional Trade Modern Trade

DRIVER – MODERN RETAILING

Page 18: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

M&A TRENDS

Page 19: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

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COMPARABLE MULTIPLES IN COSMETICS

Source: InFinancials, Capital IQ, GCF Research & Analysis

Company Company Overview Turnover (M EUR)

Turn. Growth

EBITDA Margin

EV (M EUR)

EV/ Sales

EV/ EBITDA

UNILEVER (NETHERLAND) Consumer product manufacturer 23,600 +7.7% 15% 67,500 1.7x 11.0x

AVON (USA) Personal product manufacturer 7,500 +4.5% 12% 9,700 1.4x 10.7x

ORIFLAME (LUXEMBOURG) Personal product manufacturer 1,500 +15.0% 12% 1,900 1.6x 13.1x

SHISEIDO (JAPAN)

Manufactures and markets cosmetics,and toiletries in Japan 5,800 +4.0% 12% 5,500 1.3x 10.5x

L’OCCITANE (LUXEMBOURG)

Manufactures and markets cosmetic products 772 +44% 15% 2,100 2,8x 16,3x

SA SA Int. (HONG KONG)

Retail and wholesale of cosmetic brand products. 420 +14.0% 13% 1,100 2.6x 18.5x

S&J INTER. (THAILAND)

Cosmetics Manufacturer & Distributor 145 +45% 13% 158 1,1x 7,9x

MANDOM (INDONESIA)

Manufacture and trade of cosmetics products 116 +3.9% 15% 128 1.1x 7.4x

Mean 1.7x 11.9x Median 1.6x 11.0x

* Median done with a sample of 30 cosmetics companies

§  “Smaller” Cap •  EV/SALES : 1,4x •  EV/EBITDA : 10.4x  

§  Large and Mid-Cap

•  EV/SALES : 1,6x •  EV/EBITDA : 11.4x

q  Median Multiple by Cap in 2010-2011*:

§  Global Mega-Cap •  EV/SALES : 2.6x •  EV/EBITDA : 12.9x  

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TRANSACTION MULTIPLES IN COSMETICS

Source: Capital IQ, Zephyr, FACSET

Date Acquirer Target Business Overview

Deal Value (M EUR)

Stake (%)

Enter. Value

(M EUR)

Sales (M EUR)

EBITDA (%)

EV/ Sales

EV/ EBITDA

Nov 2011

Shanghai Pingpu Invest

(China)

Jiahua (China)

Cosmetics products

manufacturer 804,5 100% 804,5 463 12% 1,7x 8,3x

May 2011

Unilever (UK)

Alberto Culver (USA)

Cosmetics products

manufacturer 2,574 100% 2,471 1,111 16% 2.3x 14.7x

Mar 2011

Silchester Int’l (UK)

Kao Corp (Japan)

Cosmetics products

manufacturer 673,5 5% 13,427 8,577 18,5% 1,6x 8,5x

Nov 2010

LG Healthcare (Korea)

Faceshop (Korea)

Cosmetic manufacturer 253 90% 248 165 17%. 1.5x 8.7x

Jul 2010 Dabur India Fem Care

Pharna (India)

Skincare products manufacturer 3,4 8% 44 18,8 14,1%   2,3x 16,5%

Mean 1.9x 11,3x

q  Market consolidation in Emerging Asia offering unique JV opportunities

§  Fragmented market due to the boom of cosmetics products demand during the last decade §  Synergies between foreign players and established local brands eying to expand overseas - Western Europe players = industry expertise, brand-building know-how, - Local players = manufacturing in compliance with local standards and Asian consumer taste know-how

Page 21: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

CONTACTS

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CONTACTS

For further information, please contact: Fabrice LOMBARDO, CEO [email protected]

www.gerejecorpfinance.com

Page 22: COSMETICS INDUSTRY IN EMERGING ASIA* · PDF fileMost of European Brands and products are designed and ... The global market for Cosmetics* = EUR 240 Bn in 2012 ... Number of companies

DISCLAIMERS

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The information contained in the presentation has been provided collated from publicly available sources or other sources that GCF (GEREJE CORPORATE FINANCE) deems reliable. GCF makes no representation warranty or undertaking, express or implied, and consequently shall not accept any responsibility of any kind whatsoever with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the Information and / or the information contained in it or any further information applied in connection with the matters described in it. This presentation is being distributed solely for the benefit of the persons to whom it is distributed. Consequently, it shall not be shown or given to, copied by or discussed by, in whole or in part, with any other person without the prior written approval of GCF. This Presentation may not be photocopied, reproduced or distributed to others at any time without the prior written consent of GCF. GCF designate the companies, whilst legally they are independent entities, sharing GEREJE corporate identity, logo, documents, working methodology & ethical rules. All GCF offices are working as an integrated group of companies under the governance of an exclusive agreement for the interest of the clients. GCF offices are privately owned and independent structures. GEREJE Advisory Asia Pte Ltd Singapore is formerly known as “Arpels” Advisory Pte ltd. GCF solely offers advisory services in connection with corporate financial transactions or evaluations. In no way whatsoever does GCF itself underwrite, acquire or place any securities, or lend any sums or hold funds on behalf of its clients. © Copyright 2012 GEREJE Corporate Finance All rights reserved

DISCLAIMERS