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Cosmic Variance from Mode Coupling Sarah Shandera Penn State University Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013 L Us Nelson, Shandera, 1212.4550 (PRL); LoVerde, Nelson, Shandera, 1303.3549 (JCAP); Bramante, Kumar, Nelson, Shandera, 1307.5083; Work in progress (S. Watson; Sohyun Park) Linde, Muhkanov; Salopek, Bond; Mollerach et al; Boubekeur, Lyth; Byrnes et al; papers related to anomaly... today: Peloso, Khoury, LoVerde Monday, September 23, 2013

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Cosmic Variance from Mode Coupling

Sarah ShanderaPenn State University

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

L

Us

Nelson, Shandera, 1212.4550 (PRL);LoVerde, Nelson, Shandera, 1303.3549 (JCAP);Bramante, Kumar, Nelson, Shandera, 1307.5083;

Work in progress (S. Watson; Sohyun Park)

Linde, Muhkanov; Salopek, Bond; Mollerach et al; Boubekeur, Lyth; Byrnes et al;papers related to anomaly...

today: Peloso, Khoury, LoVerde

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

The Plan

• Cosmic Variance from a generalized local ansatz

• Big Picture implications for inflation theory (important if we want to push observers/data analysis)

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

gNL = 105

Cosmic Variance and the local ansatz:

LoVerde, Nelson, Shandera, 1303.3549 (JCAP);Nelson, Shandera, 1212.4550 (PRL);

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

gNL = 105

Cosmic Variance and the local ansatz:

LoVerde, Nelson, Shandera, 1303.3549 (JCAP);Nelson, Shandera, 1212.4550 (PRL);

f(ψG)→ φG + fNL(B, f̃NL, g̃NL, . . . )φ2G + gNL(B, f̃NL, g̃NL, . . . )φ3

G + . . .

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Re-interpreting Planck results

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Re-interpreting Planck results

No detection of local NG means cosmic variance may not be too large

(whew!)

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Re-interpreting Planck results

No detection of local NG means cosmic variance may not be too large

(whew!)

Planck says NG is small? Or, universe is very big?

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Beyond the local ansatz:

Consider a simple scale dependence:

ζ(x) = φG(x) + σG(x) +35fNL � [σG(x)2 − �σG(x)2�]

+925

gNL � σG(x)3 + ...

Bramante, Kumar, Nelson, Shandera, 1307.5083;

fNL(k) = fNL(kp)�

k

kp

�nf

Monday, September 23, 2013

I. Consequences for the power spectrum

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Subsampling the generalized local ansatz

P obsζ (k) = Pζ(k)

�1 +

125

fNL(k)σGl + 35f2

NL(k)(σ2Gl − �σ2

Gl�)1 + 36

25f2NL(k)�σ2

G(k)�

�,

Shift to observed spectral index

Bramante, Kumar, Nelson, Shandera, 1307.5083;

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

More simply

Different short wavelength modes couple with different strengths to the (locally constant) background:

Locally observed spectral index is biased in subvolumes

SL

Us

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

The spectral index

Bramante, Kumar, Nelson, Shandera, 1307.5083;

(solid lines show 0.5 sigma fluctuations)

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

The spectral index, cont’d

Bramante, Kumar, Nelson, Shandera, 1307.5083;

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Model Building Consequences

Bramante, Kumar, Nelson, Shandera, 1307.5083;

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

How to rule cosmic variance of spectral index out .....

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

How to rule cosmic variance of spectral index out .....

......of observational relevance:

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

How to rule cosmic variance of spectral index out .....

......of observational relevance:

Observationally rule out any significant blue tilt in f local

NL

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

How to rule cosmic variance of spectral index out .....

Importance of smaller scale probes.

......of observational relevance:

Observationally rule out any significant blue tilt in f local

NL

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Generalizations

ζk = σG,k +�

L−1

d3p1

(2π)3d3p2

(2π)3(2π)3δ3(p1 + p2 − k)F (p1, p2, k)σG,p1σG,p2 + ...,

Effect of a general bispectrum on the power spectrum:

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Generalizations

ζk = σG,k +�

L−1

d3p1

(2π)3d3p2

(2π)3(2π)3δ3(p1 + p2 − k)F (p1, p2, k)σG,p1σG,p2 + ...,

Effect of a general bispectrum on the power spectrum:

Equilateral bispectrum has no effectBispectrum can weight IR modes differently

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Generalizations

If tensor modes have an independent clock: same story (eg, non Bunch Davies)

ζk = σG,k +�

L−1

d3p1

(2π)3d3p2

(2π)3(2π)3δ3(p1 + p2 − k)F (p1, p2, k)σG,p1σG,p2 + ...,

Effect of a general bispectrum on the power spectrum:

Equilateral bispectrum has no effectBispectrum can weight IR modes differently

Monday, September 23, 2013

II. Consequences for the bispectrum and

beyond

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Scale-dependence in the bispectrum

ξs,m(k) = ξs,m(kp)�

k

kp

�n(s),(m)f

Ratio of contributions of each field

Self-interactions of one field

BΦ(k1,k2,k3) = ξs(k3)ξm(k1)ξm(k2)PΦ(k1)PΦ(k2) + 5 perm .

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

But...

nsq. ≡d lnBζ(kL, kS , kS)

d ln kL− (ns − 1)

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

But...

nsq. ≡d lnBζ(kL, kS , kS)

d ln kL− (ns − 1)

Just from shift to power spectrum:

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

But...

nsq. ≡d lnBζ(kL, kS , kS)

d ln kL− (ns − 1)

Just from shift to power spectrum:

∆nsq.(k) ≡ nobssq. (k)− nLargeVol.

sq. (k)

≈ −65fNL(kL)σGl nf

1 + 65fNL(kL)σGl

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

But...

nsq. ≡d lnBζ(kL, kS , kS)

d ln kL− (ns − 1)

Just from shift to power spectrum:

Allowing gNL(k) adds another shift

∆nsq.(k) ≡ nobssq. (k)− nLargeVol.

sq. (k)

≈ −65fNL(kL)σGl nf

1 + 65fNL(kL)σGl

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Scaling Patterns

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Scaling Patterns

Mn,R =�δn

R�c

�δ2R�n/2

c

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Scaling Patterns

Self-interactions; eg, local ansatz

Mn,R =�δn

R�c

�δ2R�n/2

c

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Scaling Patterns

Self-interactions; eg, local ansatz

Hierarchical M(h)n = n! 2

n−3

�M(h)

36

�n−2

Mn,R =�δn

R�c

�δ2R�n/2

c

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Scaling Patterns

Self-interactions; eg, local ansatz

Hierarchical M(h)n = n! 2

n−3

�M(h)

36

�n−2

Mn,R =�δn

R�c

�δ2R�n/2

c

∝ fNLP1/2ζ

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Scaling Patterns

Extra source, eg, gauge field

(Barnaby, Shandera; 1109.2985)

Self-interactions; eg, local ansatz

δA

Hierarchical M(h)n = n! 2

n−3

�M(h)

36

�n−2

Mn,R =�δn

R�c

�δ2R�n/2

c

∝ fNLP1/2ζ

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Scaling Patterns

Extra source, eg, gauge field

(Barnaby, Shandera; 1109.2985)

Self-interactions; eg, local ansatz

δA

Feeder M(f)n = (n− 1)! 2n−1

�M(f)

38

�n/3

Hierarchical M(h)n = n! 2

n−3

�M(h)

36

�n−2

Mn,R =�δn

R�c

�δ2R�n/2

c

∝ fNLP1/2ζ

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Hybrid

(Quasi-single field)

M(h)n ∝ (A)n (B)n−2

Scaling Patterns, cont’d

(Chen, Wang)

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Cosmic Variance and scaling patterns?

Φ(�x) = φ(�x) + ψG(�x) + f̃NL

�ψG(�x)2 − �ψG(�x)2�

�0

Gives `feeder’ scaling non-Gaussianity

But: in biased subvolumes, back to hierarchical

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Cosmic Variance and scaling patterns?

Φ(�x) = φ(�x) + ψG(�x) + f̃NL

�ψG(�x)2 − �ψG(�x)2�

�0

Gives `feeder’ scaling non-Gaussianity

But: in biased subvolumes, back to hierarchical

Biased subvolumes: Generate whole local ansatz series, with bias B controlling size of terms

Φ(�x) = φ(�x) + f̃NLψG(�x)p + . . .

Monday, September 23, 2013

Implications for Inflation Theory

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Power spectrum:

Inflation

Spectrum of scale-invariant, adiabatic, super horizon modes as “initial conditions”

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Power spectrum:

Inflation

Spectrum of scale-invariant, adiabatic, super horizon modes as “initial conditions”

Bispectrum, trispectrum, etc?

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Power spectrum:

Inflation

Spectrum of scale-invariant, adiabatic, super horizon modes as “initial conditions”

Bispectrum, trispectrum, etc? Mathematically independent....

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Power spectrum:

Inflation

Spectrum of scale-invariant, adiabatic, super horizon modes as “initial conditions”

Bispectrum, trispectrum, etc? Mathematically independent....

....up to relationships of the type τNL ≥ (6/5fNL)2

(Smith, LoVerde, Zaldarriaga)

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Power spectrum:

Inflation

Spectrum of scale-invariant, adiabatic, super horizon modes as “initial conditions”

Bispectrum, trispectrum, etc?

Perturbation theory that obeys usual (effective) field theory notions: patterns

Non-zero NG, but no patterns in shape or size

Mathematically independent....

....up to relationships of the type τNL ≥ (6/5fNL)2

(Smith, LoVerde, Zaldarriaga)

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Mode Coupling Cosmic Var:

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Mode Coupling Cosmic Var:Derivations didn’t depend on where you got the fluctuations:

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Mode Coupling Cosmic Var:Derivations didn’t depend on where you got the fluctuations:

Good: can we find a “natural” pattern inflation does not predict? (If not, is that bad for inflation?)

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Mode Coupling Cosmic Var:Derivations didn’t depend on where you got the fluctuations:

Good: can we find a “natural” pattern inflation does not predict? (If not, is that bad for inflation?)

Bad: a random pattern in a big universe may not look random to local observers

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

A familiar aspect of inflation, dressed up in different clothes: IC problem for our observable 60 e-folds region

Mode Coupling Cosmic Var:Derivations didn’t depend on where you got the fluctuations:

Good: can we find a “natural” pattern inflation does not predict? (If not, is that bad for inflation?)

Bad: a random pattern in a big universe may not look random to local observers

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

What about describing only our Hubble patch?

• Apply cosmological principle

• eg, 60 e-folds + non-Bunch Davies is fine tuned.

S =�

d4x√−gL(Xi,φi, A

µj , . . . )Local:

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

What about describing only our Hubble patch?

• Apply cosmological principle

• eg, 60 e-folds + non-Bunch Davies is fine tuned.

With local type mode-coupling, this line is blurred: observer’s version of the landscape needed

S =�

d4x√−gL(Xi,φi, A

µj , . . . )Local:

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

More work:

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Easy to apply this to other models to check what level of confusion can occur (quasi-single field in progress)

More work:

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shandera, CAP, 23 Sept 2013

Easy to apply this to other models to check what level of confusion can occur (quasi-single field in progress)

More work:

Is there a useful notion of landscape and measure here? (not quite ‘theory space’? Quantifiable route!)

Monday, September 23, 2013