cosmo – 09/2007 stc report and presentation by cosmo partners dwd, mch, usam / arpa sim, hnms,...

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COSMO 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

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Page 1: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

STC Reportand Presentation by Cosmo Partners

DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM,

HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

Page 2: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

Tornados in Poland

Page 3: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

Tornados in FranceTornados in FranceTornados in FranceTornados in France

Page 4: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

STC-ReportSTC-ReportSTC-ReportSTC-Report

EUMETNET-SRNWPCOSMO will contribute to the Interoperability Project

MCH and DWD will participate for COSMO with the following deliverables:

D1: A report documenting the standard output format

D2: A Documentation describing the requirements and specification for the adaptor software (software tools for conversion between different data formats and model grids;

D3: 2-way adaptors that transform the output from COSMO to the standard output format and vice versa.

D4: Enhancements to existing software tools that enable COSMO to process data from the four Global Model

MCH the only country to join the Verification project

Page 5: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

STC-ReportSTC-Report

Reporting and planning cycleHas been introduced during the last COSMO year

Not all reports and planning documents available in timeWe have to do better

But: Planing will be revised and shifted by 2 monthsRoom for optimization

Marco to report on that later

Priority Tasks have been introducedConsolidation of cumulus convection scheme (former UTCS (v))

Consolidation/unification of diagnostic postprocessing

Page 6: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

Priority Projects Kenda

Finally staffing for permanent post at DWD successful

UTCS Resource problems seem to be sorted out Additional contributions from HMC, MCH, HNMS and DWD

4 new priority projects have been approved COLOBOC: Consolidaion of lower boundary conditions CONSENS: Consolidation of COSMO-Ensemble

BUs needed to run LEPS and SREPS will be provided by COSMO-partners that are members of ECMWF

Sat-Cloud: Assimilation of Satellite Data with Clouds and Over Land Versus 2

Split into 2 phases USAM will provide resources to compensate for Angela Celozzis matarnity leave

CDC Conservative dynamical core New expert team on dynamics set-up at IMGW Need to proceed in 2 branches Further refinement of planning needed

STC-ReportSTC-Report

Page 7: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

Next meeting: Offenbach 16.-20. September 2009

DWD’s new building

STC-ReportSTC-Report

Page 8: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

Presentations on Status and Plans of COSMO-PartnersDWD

MCH

USAM / ARPA-SIM

HNMS

IMGW

NMA

HMC

STC-ReportSTC-Report

Page 9: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

Titel

Focus on short range and very short range forecasts

Leading role in modelling and data assimilation on the convection permitting scale

The NWP system should lead to

A measurable decline in erroneous predictions

An enhanced forecasts of “high impact” weather

A valuation of the reliability of the forecasts

This results in

Local scale ensemble forecasting system

Global forecasting system that must be expanded into an ensemble prediction system providing the necessary BCs on the regional scale

Maximum use of remote sensing data

Deutscher WetterdienstDeutscher WetterdienstStrategyStrategyDeutscher WetterdienstDeutscher WetterdienstStrategyStrategy

Page 10: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

Cooperation with Academia Strategy calls for a close co-operation with universities and research

institutes Extramural research

Application-based research supported directly by DWD Proposals must be related to operational weather forecasting

Ertl Center for Atmosphere and Climate Research Initial phase (first 4-12 years) funded by Ministry of Transport Will support several groups of researchers to establish competence clusters Topics

Dynamics of the Atmosphere and Predictability Data Assimilation Model Development Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Optimal usage of Information from Weather Forecasting and climate simulation

(Societal and Economic Applications Research)

Deutscher WetterdienstDeutscher WetterdienstStrategyStrategyDeutscher WetterdienstDeutscher WetterdienstStrategyStrategy

Page 11: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

New diagnostics for 2m-Temperature (EU+DE), Enhanced Tiedtke cumulus convection scheme (EU), Tuning of turbulence scheme (DE), 2-timelevel Runge-Kutta dynamics(EU), Work on SSO scheme for (EU)

A lot of work done in the context of the new super-computer system IBM -> NEC, move from BUFR-input to NetCDF, new observational database Sky

Deutscher WetterdienstDeutscher WetterdienstAchievements over the last COSMO yearAchievements over the last COSMO yearDeutscher WetterdienstDeutscher WetterdienstAchievements over the last COSMO yearAchievements over the last COSMO year

3D-VAR was finally made operational yesterday!

Page 12: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

GME Runs at 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC up to 168 h

40 km, 368642*40 levels

COSMO-EURuns at 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC up to 78 h

7km, 665*657 * 40 levels

COSMO-DERuns at 00, 03, 06, 09, 12, 15, 18, 21 UTC up to 21h

2,8 km, 421*461 * 50 levels

Status of the NWP-systemDeutscher WetterdienstDeutscher WetterdienstStatus of the NWP-systemStatus of the NWP-systemDeutscher WetterdienstDeutscher WetterdienstStatus of the NWP-systemStatus of the NWP-system

Page 13: COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC

COSMO – 09/2007

Mid 2009: GME 20km, 60 levels

Hybrid data assimilation scheme for GME and ICON 3D-Var and LETKF Late 2009 integration in GME 2011 introduction of LETKF in ICON

COSMO-DE-Ensemble Same configuration as deterministic model Pre-operational 2009, 20 members Operational 2011, 40 members

ICON Non-hydrostatic, triangular mesh Operational 2011 Will replace GME and COSMO-EU

New Supercomputer@DWD 3 TFlop front-end Q1 2009 NEC SX9: 30*LMRAPS within 1400” in parallel Q3 2010 NEC SX9: 90*LMRAPS within 1400” in parallel

Deutscher WetterdienstDeutscher WetterdienstFuture Development of the NWP system Future Development of the NWP system Deutscher WetterdienstDeutscher WetterdienstFuture Development of the NWP system Future Development of the NWP system