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i ISIOLO COUNTY GOVERNMENT COUNTY FINANCE & ECONOMIC PLANNING 2018 COUNTY FISCAL STRATEGY PAPER “SUSTAINABLE SOCIAL ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT” 2018

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i

ISIOLO COUNTY GOVERNMENT

COUNTY FINANCE & ECONOMIC PLANNING

2018 COUNTY FISCAL STRATEGY PAPER

“SUSTAINABLE SOCIAL ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT”

2018

i

FOREWORD The 2018 County Fiscal Strategy Paper (CFSP) sets out the County's priority programs to be

implemented under the Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF). This CFSP comes at

brink of commencement of the implementation of the second County Integrated Development

Plan 2018-2022 and Third Medium Term Plan (MTP III) (2018-2022).

The 2017 CFSP was prepared based on Promotion of Sustainable Social Economic Growth

and Development. Its implementation is currently ongoing and it is expected to increase

speed, protract broad-based economic growth and to change our county’s economy in line

with the county transformative agenda and the vision 2030.

Significant progress has been made in the implementation of 2017/2018 budget so far;

however some challenges have been encountered especially on the release of funds from

national government and delayed movement to e-Procurement platform.

Similarly the local revenue collected has been recording a shortfall which has continued to

impact negatively on our budget implementation. The local revenue collection stood at

Ksh.54 Million in the first half of FY 2017/18.

CFSP, 2018 will emphasize on sustainable social economic growth and development. We

will also continue building on the achievements so far made in most sectors and with the

policies set out in the CFSP, 2017.

In pursuit of the 2018/19 budget theme, the County Government has identified key

development priority areas from the County Integrated Development Plan(CIDP) and Annual

Development Plan(ADP) that include: Enhancing food security, sustainability of livestock

based livelihoods and commercializing of livestock; investment in Infrastructure

development and expansion; investing in quality, affordable and accessible Health Services;

Enhancing governance, transparency and accountability in service delivery through public

participation; investing in Education, focusing on construction of more ECD structures,

equipping of youth polytechnics and technical institutions as well as social development of

the communities through social programs; Promotion of trade and industrial development for

a rapidly industrializing economy and Investment in conflict resolutions by promoting

initiatives for peaceful and cohesive society.

We will continue scaling down expenditures on non-priority areas and revise our local

revenue projections to reflect the reality on the ground while enhancing our revenue

collections.

The paper covers the following broad areas in review of the fiscal performance of financial

year 2017/2018; highlights of the recent economic developments and the economic outlook;

broad strategic priorities and policies for the Medium Term and the Medium Term Fiscal

Framework. The fiscal framework presented in the paper ensures a sustainable financing

while allowing continued spending on priority programmes. Achievement of the set

objectives calls for greater transparency, effectiveness and efficiency in public financial

management in order to ensure fiscal discipline

Mr Mwenda Thiribi

CECM- Finance and Economic Planning

ii

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

The County Fiscal Strategy Paper (CFSP) is envisaged to play critical role in influencing the

pace at which the County’s economy will grow. It provides a framework under which the

County will deal with the key strategic priority issues and challenges in the next three years

and beyond. It also outlines a summary of government spending plans as a basis for the

2018/19 budget.

The County would like to thank all the individuals who played various roles during the

preparation of this County Fiscal Strategy Paper, CFSP. We are grateful for their inputs.

We especially acknowledge the dedication of core team of technical staff from the

Department of Finance and Economic Planning.

This core team undertook the preparation task with the support and guidance of H.E The

Governor, Deputy Governor, CECs and Chief Officers. The draft 2018 CFSP document was

presented to the various institutions and members of the public for their inputs and direction.

Equally, my special thanks go to all who are not individually mentioned but took part in this

exercise; you remain an asset to this county.

Mr. Yusuf Mohamed

Chief Officer - Finance and Economic Planning

iii

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

A.I.A Appropriation in Aid

AIDS Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome

CFSP County Fiscal Strategy Paper

CIDP County Integrated Development Plan

CRA Commission on Revenue Allocation

DANIDA Danish International Development Agency

ECD Early Childhood Development

FY Financial Year

GDP Gross Domestic Product

HIV Human Immunodeficiency Virus

ICT Information Communication Technology

IFMIS Integrated Financial Management Information System

Ksh Kenyan Shilling

LAPSSET Lamu Port and South Sudan-Ethiopia Transport

MTEF Medium Term Expenditure Framework

MTP Medium Term Plan

PAYE Pay As You Earn

PFM Public Finance Management

PPP Public Private Partnership

SBP Single Business Permit

VAT Value Added Tax

iv

TABLE OF CONTENTS

FOREWORD .................................................................................................................................. i

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT .................................................................................................................. ii

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ............................................................................................... iii

TABLE OF CONTENTS ................................................................................................................... iv

LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................................................................... vi

LEGAL BASIS FOR COUNTY FISCAL STRATEGY PAPER ................................................................... vii

COUNTY GOVERNMENT FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY PRINCIPLES ...................................................... viii

1: INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................ 1

1.1 OVERVIEW ................................................................................................................................. 1

1.2 Outline of the County Fiscal Strategy Paper. ................................................................................ 2

2: RECENT ECONOMIC AND FISCAL DEVELOPMENT ....................................................................... 3

2.1 Economic and Fiscal Overview .................................................................................................... 3

2.1.1Global and regional Overview ................................................................................................ 3

2.1.2 National Economic Overview ................................................................................................ 3

2.1.3 National Fiscal Overview ....................................................................................................... 5

2.2 County Economic and Fiscal Overview ........................................................................................ 5

2.2.1 County Economic Overview .................................................................................................. 5

2.2.2 County Fiscal Overview......................................................................................................... 6

3. FORWARD ECONOMIC AND FISCAL DEVELOPMENTS ............................................................... 12

3.1 National Forward Economic and Fiscal Development ............................................................... 12

3.2 County Forward Economic and Fiscal Development ................................................................. 12

3.2.1 County Forward Economic Development ............................................................................ 12

4: STRATEGIC PRIORITIES AND INTERVENTIONS .......................................................................... 14

4.1 Overview ..................................................................................................................................... 15

4.2 Livestock and Crop Productivity ................................................................................................ 15

4.3 Developing both Surface and Underground Water Sources ....................................................... 16

4.4 Access to Quality and Affordable Health Services ..................................................................... 16

4.5 lands, physical planning Road, Infrastructure, Public Works Housing and Urban Development

.......................................................................................................................................................... 17

4.6 Early Child Development, Youth and Women Empowerment, and Vocational and Technical

Training ............................................................................................................................................. 17

5: FISCAL POLICY AND BUDGET FRAMEWORK ............................................................................. 20

5.1 Overview ..................................................................................................................................... 20

5.2 Fiscal Policy Framework ............................................................................................................ 20

v

5.2.1 Observing Fiscal Responsibility Principles ......................................................................... 20

5.2.2 Fiscal and Public Financial Management Reforms .............................................................. 21

5.3 Budget Framework for 2018/19 .................................................................................................. 21

5.3.1 Revenue projections ............................................................................................................. 23

5.3.2 Expenditure Forecasts .......................................................................................................... 25

5.4 Risk Management ....................................................................................................................... 27

6.0 MEDIUM TERM EXPENDITURE FRAMEWORK ................................................................... 29

6.1 Overview ..................................................................................................................................... 29

6.2 Resource Envelope ...................................................................................................................... 29

6.3 Proposed Resource Allocation Prioritization Criteria ................................................................. 31

6.4 Overall Spending Priorities ......................................................................................................... 31

6.5 Baseline Ceilings ........................................................................................................................ 32

6.6 Medium Term Expenditure Ceilings ........................................................................................... 35

vi

LIST OF TABLES Table 1 2017/18 Supplementary 1 Expected Revenue ........................................................................... 6

Table 2: Direct Transfers from National Government ............................................................................ 7

Table 3: Local Revenue Collection Performance in the First half year of Financial Year 2017/18 ....... 8

Table 4: Comparison between Revenue Collection Performance in the First half of Financial Year

2017/18 and 2017/18 ............................................................................................................................... 9

Table 5: Recurrent Expenditure Analysis by Sector for the first half of the financial year 2017/18 .... 10

Table 6: Development Expenditure Analysis by Sector for the first half of the financial year 2017/18

.............................................................................................................................................................. 11

Table 7: Summary of Revenue Projections ........................................................................................... 14

Table 8: County Fiscal Projections for Financial Year 2018/19 – 2020/21 .......................................... 22

Table 9: Analyis of the Local Revenue Collection from Financial Year 2013/14 to Financial Year

2017/18 first half ................................................................................................................................... 23

Table 10: Local Revenue Projection ..................................................................................................... 24

Table 11: Recurrent Expenditure Forecast by sectors for Financial Year 2018/19 to 2020/21 ............ 26

Table 12: Development Expenditure Forecast by departments for Financial Year 2018/19 to 2020/21

.............................................................................................................................................................. 27

Table 13: Resource Envelope for Financial Year 2018/19 ................................................................... 30

Table 14: Development Expenditure Estimates by Sectors .................................................................. 31

Table 15: Baseline Ceilings .................................................................................................................. 32

Table 16 Medium Term Expenditure Ceilings..................................................................................... 36

vii

LEGAL BASIS FOR COUNTY FISCAL STRATEGY PAPER The County Fiscal Strategy Paper is prepared in accordance with section 117 of the Public

Finance Management Act, 2012 which states that:

a) The County Treasury shall prepare and submit to County Executive Committee the

County Fiscal Strategy Paper for approval and the County Treasury shall submit the

approved Fiscal Strategy Paper to the County Assembly, by 28th

February of each

year;

b) The County Treasury shall align its County Fiscal Strategy Paper with the National

objectives in the Budget Policy Statement;

c) In preparing the County Fiscal Strategy Paper, the County Treasury shall specify the

broad strategic priorities and policy goals that will guide the County Government in

preparing its budget for the coming financial year and over the Medium Term;

d) The County Treasury shall include in its Fiscal Strategy Paper, the Financial

Borrowing for the financial year and over the Medium Term;

e) In preparing the Fiscal Strategy Paper, the County Treasury shall seek and take into

account views of :

i. The Commission on Revenue Allocation (CRA);

ii. The Public;

iii. Any interested persons or groups; and

iv. Any other forum that is established by legislation.

f) Not later than fourteen days after submitting the County Fiscal Strategy Paper to the

County assembly, the County assembly shall consider and may adopt it with or

without amendments;

g) The County Treasury shall consider any recommendations made by the County

Assembly in finalizing the budget proposal for the financial year concerned; and

h) The County Treasury shall publish and publicize the County Fiscal Strategy Paper

within seven days after it has been submitted to the County Assembly.

viii

COUNTY GOVERNMENT FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY

PRINCIPLES The Public Finance Management (PFM) Act, 2012 sets out the following fiscal responsibility

principles to ensure prudence and transparency in the management of public resources:

a) The County Government’s recurrent expenditure shall not exceed the County

government’s Total Revenue;

b) Over the Medium Term, a minimum of 30 percent of the County government’s budget

shall be allocated to the Development expenditure;

c) The County Governments' expenditure on wages and benefits for its public officers

shall not exceed a percentage of the County government's total revenue as prescribed

by the Executive Committee Member for Finance in regulations and approved by

County Assembly and in line with the PFM act;

d) Over the Medium Term, the government's borrowing shall be used only for the

purpose of financing development expenditure and not for recurrent expenditure;

e) The County debt shall be maintained at sustainable level as approved by County

Assembly;

f) The fiscal risks shall be maintained prudently; and

g) A reasonable degree of predictability with respect to the level of tax rates and tax

bases shall be maintained taking into account any tax reforms that may be made in the

future.

1

1: INTRODUCTION

1.1 OVERVIEW

The 2018, County Fiscal Strategy Paper (CFSP) is the first under the new administration

led by H.E Gov. Dr Mohamed Kuti. It is in accordance with the requirements of Public

Finance Management Act, 2012, section 117. The theme of the County Budget for the

Financial Year 2018/19 is to promote sustainable social economic growth and

development. Section 117(2) of the PFM Act requires the County Treasury to align its

County Fiscal Strategy Paper with the National objectives in the Budget Policy

Statement. The CFSP serves as a guide to the budgeting process and provides projections

of the County’s revenue, recurrent and development expenditures. It also examines the

anticipated risks in the medium term, structural measures and strategic interventions

required.

In pursuit of the theme of the budget for financial year 2018/19, the County Government

has identified key development priority areas that cover;

(i) Enhancing food security, sustainability of livestock based livelihoods and

commercializing of livestock

(ii) Investment in Infrastructure development and expansion i.e. Roads, Water Supply,

Market development, Livestock and agriculture transformation for sustainable

economic growth and development.

(iii) Investing in quality, affordable and accessible Health Services (i.e. preventative,

curative and rehabilitative health care services).

(iv) Investing in Education, focusing on construction of more ECD structures and

equipping of youth polytechnics, technical institutions as well as social

development of the communities through social programs.

(v) Promotion of trade and industrial development for a rapidly industrializing

economy.

(vi) Enhancing governance, transparency and accountability in the delivery of

services.

(vii) Investment in conflict resolutions by promoting initiatives for peaceful and

cohesive society where all have access to equitable share of resources;

(viii) Promotion of Public participation through involvement in decision making in

order to enhance ownership and sustainability of development programs;

(ix) Investing in Energy, Environmental conservation, natural resource management,

modern urban infrastructure and sustainable land management for socio economic

development

The above County Government key development priority areas are aligned to the

National Government Policy on economic transformative agenda that includes;

i. Sustained Investment in Social Services for the Welfare for all in health care,

education and social safety nets; and

ii. Creating a Conducive Business Environment for Investment Opportunities

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iii. Investing in sectorial transformation to ensure broad-based and sustainable

economic growth with a major focus on livestock and agricultural transformation

to ensure food security;

iv. Investing in infrastructure in areas such as transport, logistics, energy and water;

v. Further consolidating gains made in devolution in order to provide better service

delivery and enhance economic development.

1.2 Outline of the County Fiscal Strategy Paper.

The CFSP is organized as follows;

a. Chapter 1: Gives an introduction on the various laws governing the preparation of

the CFSP, plus the fiscal responsibility principles governing the budgeting

process.

b. Chapter 2: Outlines the economic context in which the 2018/19 MTEF budget is

prepared. It provides an overview of the recent economic development and the

macroeconomic outlook covering the national scene.

c. Chapter 3: Outlines the forward economic and fiscal policies and the budget

framework for the county.

d. Chapter 4: Gives an analysis of strategic priorities and interventions. It also gives

an analysis of the key priority sectors and interventions to be implemented.

e. Chapter 5: Provides fiscal policy and budget framework and it outlines the fiscal

framework that is supportive of growth over the medium term while continuing to

provide adequate resources to facilitate execution of policy priorities of the

County government of Isiolo.

f. Chapter 6: Gives a detailed analysis of the MTEF. It presents the resource

envelope and spending priorities of the proposed MTEF budget for the financial

year 2018/19 and the medium term. It further provides the proposed sector

ceilings and the baseline ceilings.

3

2: RECENT ECONOMIC AND FISCAL DEVELOPMENT

2.1 Economic and Fiscal Overview

2.1.1Global and regional Overview

The global economy is estimated to have further expanded in 2017. In 2016 the global

economy expanded by 2.9 % compared to a revised growth of 3.1 per cent in 2015. Growth in

advanced economies expanded by 2.1 per cent in 2016 compared to 1.9 per cent in 2015. The

United States of America recorded a growth of 1.5 per cent in 2016 compared to 2.6 per cent

in 2015, mainly due to weak exports, subdued investments and uncertainty surrounding the

2016 elections. Growth in China decelerated on account of slowed investment as the

economy rebalanced towards services and consumption. In Japan, growth was boosted by

private consumer spending, signaling improved consumer purchasing power after two years

of contraction.

The IMF has indicated that global output is projected to increase to 3.8% in 2018 up from

3.6% in 2017 and 3.2 % in 2016 with notable upward surprises in Europe and Asia. Data

from the IMF also shows that some 120 economies, accounting for three quarters of the world

GDP have seen a pickup in growth in year on year terms in 2017, the broadest synchronized

global growth upsurge since 2010.

In the advanced economies, growth is expected to pick up to 2.3 percent in 2018 and 2017, up

from 1.7 percent in 2016. This forecast reflects the expectation that favorable global financial

conditions and strong sentiment will help maintain the recent acceleration in demand,

especially in investment with a noticeable impact on growth in economies with large exports.

In addition, the U.S. tax reform and associated fiscal stimulus are expected to temporarily

raise U.S. growth, with favorable demand spill over for U.S. trading partners especially

Canada and Mexico

The Sub-Saharan Africa’s real gross domestic product is estimated to have grown by 1.5 per

cent in 2016 compared to 3.8 per cent growth registered in 2015.

2.1.2 National Economic Overview

Kenya’s economy remained resilient in 2017 despite adverse weather conditions, a prolonged

electioneering period as well as subdued credit growth to the private sector which combined

to weaken growth in the first half of the year. Economic growth for 2017 is estimated at 4.8

percent from 5.8 percent in 2016 and is projected to bounce back to 5.8 percent in 2018.

The resilience in growth in 2017 was supported by the ongoing public sector infrastructure

investments, recovery in the tourism sector and continued stable macroeconomic

environment.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased from 183.05 points in December 2017 to 185.47

points in January 2018. The overall rate of inflation rose from 4.50 per cent to 4.83 per cent

during the same period.

4

In January 2018, the Kenyan Shilling depreciated against the major trading currencies except

for the US Dollar, the Ugandan shilling and the Tanzanian shilling. The average yield rate for

the 91-day Treasury bills, which is a benchmark for the general trend of interest rates

increased from 8.01 per cent in December 2017 to 8.04 in January 2018, while the inter-bank

rate dropped from 7.27 per cent in December 2017 to 6.21 per cent in January 2018.

The Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) 20 share index increased from 3,711 points in

December 2017 to 3,737 points in January 2018, while the total number of shares traded rose

from 451 million shares to 862 million shares during the same period. The total value of NSE

shares traded increased from Kshs 11.87 billion in December 2017 to Kshs 20.34 billion in

January 2018.

Broad money supply (M3), a key indicator for monetary policy formulation, decreased from

Ksh 3,028.14 billion in December 2017 to Kshs 3,020.85 billion in January 2018. Gross

Foreign Exchange Reserves increased from Kshs 996.56 billion in December 2017 to Kshs

1,000.19 billion in January 2018. Net Foreign Exchange Reserves increased from Kshs

519.93 billion in December 2017 to Kshs 541.63 billion in January 2018.

The foreign exchange market has remained relatively stable supported by increased tea and

horticultural exports, strong Diaspora remittances, and a continued recovery in tourism. The

12-month current account deficit stabilized at 7.0percent of GDP in December 2017 and is

expected to narrow to below 6.0 percent of GDP in 2018 due to lower imports of food and

lower imports in the second phase of SGR project.

Growth of the services sector accelerated from 5.0 percent in 2012 to 6.8 percent in 2016

supported by favourable performance of ICT, real estate, wholesale and Retail Trade,

Transport and Storage and Accommodation and Restaurants. Accommodation and restaurants

has been the fastest growing sector. It grew from 3.1 percent in 2012 to 13.3 percent in 2016

supported by the improved security situation that led to removal of travel alerts from major

tourist originating countries.

The growth of the financial and insurance sector accelerated from 6.0 percent in 2012 to 9.4

percent in 2015 supported by reforms aimed at creating conducive business environment.

However, the growth of the sector slowed down to 6.9 percent in 2016 and is estimated at 3.2

percent in 2017 partly due low banking sector credit to the private sector and a decline in the

growth of interest income.

The industry sector grew from 3.5 percent in 2012 to 7.0 percent in 2015 supported by the

construction sector as a result of public infrastructural development. The sector slowed down

in 2016 and 2017 following subdued performance of the manufacturing and electricity and

water supply sectors.

Over the medium term, growth is projected to average around7.0percent due to investments

in strategic areas under “The Big Four” Plan, namely: increasing the share of manufacturing

sector to GDP; ensuring all citizens enjoy food security and improved nutrition by 2022;

5

expanding universal health coverage; and constructing at least five hundred thousand

(500,000) affordable housing units. These efforts will support the business environment,

create jobs and ultimately promote broad based inclusive growth.

Kenya is ranked favourably in the ease of doing business and as a top investment destination.

In 2017, the World Bank’s Doing Business Report, ranked Kenya third in Africa in the ease

of doing business after Rwanda and Mauritius, as the country moved up 12 places to position

80. Further, in September 2017, Standard and Poor’s Global Ratings affirmed Kenya’s short

and long term foreign and local currency sovereign credit rating at B+/B citing Kenya’s

strong growth prospects which will facilitate fiscal consolidation.

2.1.3 National Fiscal Overview

Implementation of the FY 2017/18 budget is on course although performance is lagging

behind targets. In the first half of the year, revenue collection lagged behind targets due to the

under performance of the main revenue tax heads. On the other hand, there have been

elevated expenditures pressures as a result of the adverse spill over effects of the prolonged

drought, the repeat of the Presidential Elections and salary demands by Universities Staff and

Health Workers.

By end of December 2017, total cumulative revenues including A-I-A collected amounted to

Ksh 709.4 billion (equivalent to 8.1percent of GDP) against a target of Ksh 777.7 billion (8.8

percent of GDP). The recorded shortfall of Ksh 68.3 billion was due to under performance of

the ordinary revenues by Ksh 44.8 billion and the ministerial A-I-A by Ksh 23.5 billion. The

shortfall in ordinary revenue was on account of underperformance in all the broad categories

of ordinary revenues.

Total expenditures amounted to Ksh 907.0 billion against a target of Ksh 1,029.3 billion

falling below target by Ksh 122.3 billion at the end of December 2017. The shortfall was

due to lower than projected disbursements to County Governments due to the delayed

enactment of the County Allocation of Revenue Act as well as below target absorption of

development expenditures despite the faster spending in the recurrent expenditures by the

National Government. Recurrent expenditure amounted to Ksh 647.0 billion against a target

of Ksh 616.2 billion, representing above target spending of Ksh 30.8 billion. The faster-

spending was mainly recorded in operations and maintenance which accounted for Ksh 35.6

billion and higher than programmed domestic interest payments of Ksh 17.6 billion.

2.2 County Economic and Fiscal Overview

2.2.1 County Economic Overview

Livestock keeping is the mainstay of Isiolo County economy. About 80 percent of the

inhabitants derive their livelihood from livestock enterprise. The livestock production

employs about 70 percent of the rural labour force. The County is endowed with enormous

livestock resources. The estimated livestock population is 198,424 heads of cattle, 398,903

goats, 361,836 sheep and 39,084 camels (2009 census). The main drawbacks to the

improvement of the livestock production include: poor governance of the rangelands largely

due to the absence of an appropriate legal framework of land tenure, livestock diseases,

6

frequent droughts and sometimes flooding, lack of an organized market for livestock and

livestock products, and inappropriate and inadequate systems of social and financial service

provision.

The Completion of Isiolo International Airport, LAPSSET Project and Isiolo resort city is

expected to stimulate rapid economic growth. These projects will turn Isiolo town into a

major tourist destination and a regional economic hub. It will open up the northern frontier,

thereby attracting both domestic and foreign investments. The completion of Isiolo abattoir

will improve the livelihoods of Isiolo people through improvement of livestock market.

2.2.2 County Fiscal Overview

The revised Approved Budget for the Financial Year 2017/18 amounts to Kshs.4, 340,282,

474, with Kshs. 2,765,692,084 (63.72 percent) allocated for recurrent expenditure and Kshs.

1,574,590,390 (36.28percent) for development expenditure.

2.2.2.1 County Revenue Analysis

In order to finance the budget for the Financial Year 2017/18, the County Government is

expected to receive the following total revenue as shown in the table below.

Table 1 2017/18 Supplementary 1 Expected Revenue ITE

M

TITLE 2017/19

REVISED

ESTIMATES

Percenta

ge (%)

REVENUE BUDGET

A EXTERNAL REVENUE ESTIMATES

EQUITABLE SHARE 3,775,000,000 86.98

General Provisions (Equitable Share) 3,775,000,000 86.98

CONDITIONAL ALLOCATIONS FROM NATIONAL

GOVERNMENT REVENUE ACCOUNT

280,870,017 6.47

Funds Received from Road Maintenance Levy Fund 130,230,858 3.00

Funds Received from Health Care Services Fund (User fee foregone) 3,472,461 0.08

Medical equipment - 0.00

Free Maternity Fund - 0.00

Supplement for Construction of County Headquarters 121,000,000 2.79

conditional allocation for development of youth polytechnic 26,166,698 0.60

CONDITIONAL ALLOCATIONS FROM DEVELOPMENT

PARTNERS

101,551,120 2.34

Current Grants from Foreign Governments Danida 13,678,677 0.32

Kenya Devolution Support Programme (KDSP) World bank 36,113,321 0.83

world bank loan to supplement financing of county health facilities 12,607,500 0.29

world bank loan to supplement financing of county health facilities

B/f from 2016/17

18,454,800 0.43

world bank loan for transforming health systems for universal care

project

20,696,822 0.48

B GROSS INTERNAL REVENUE ESTIMATES 182,861,337 4.21

GROSS COUNTY EXTERNAL REVENUE ESTIMATES 4,340,282,474 100.00%

7

Revenue Received from exchequer as at 31st December 2017

In the first half of financial year 2017/18, the County received Ksh. 995,808,597 comprising

of Ksh 941,839,326 from the National Government as a direct transfer to the County Revenue

Fund Account and 53,969,271 rose from local sources. The table 2 below provides a

summary of the revenues received from the National Government during the first half of the

financial year 2017/18.

Table 2: Direct Transfers from National Government

Revenue Source Revised Approved

Budget Kshs

Actual Cumulative

Receipts Kshs

Equitable Share (Exchequer Releases) 3,775,000,000 868,250,000

General provisions (equitable shares) 3,775,000,000 868,250,000

Transfers From National Government Entities 280,870,017

Transfers from Central government entities

Transfer from Ministry of Health 3,472,461

Conditional allocation for development of youth

polytechnic

26,166,698 -

Funds received from road maintenance levy 130,230,858 60,736,583.00

Supplement for construction of county headquarters 121,000,000

Total

Grants Received From Bilateral Donors (Foreign

Governments)

Grants Received From Multilateral Donors

(International Organizations)

Current grants from foreign governments(DANIDA) 13,678,677 8,824,953

World Bank 0

Kenya Devolution support programme (KDSP) 36,113,321

World Bank loan to supplement financing of county

health facilities

12,607,500 20,696,822

World Bank loan to supplement financing of county

health facilities (B/F from FY 2016/17)

18,454,800

Local Revenue 182,861,337 53,969,271

Total Kshs 4,340,282,474 995,808,597

The total supplementary 1 revenue estimate for fiscal year 2017/18 is Kshs. 4,340,282,474

these includes Kshs. 182,861,337 from local revenue sources, Kshs.3,775,000,000 equitable

share of revenue from National Government, Kshs. 280,870,017 additional conditional

allocations from National Government, Kshs 101,551,120 conditional allocation from

development partners from loans and grants to County Government.

The table 3 below provides a summary of the local revenue collected against the target during

the half of financial year 2017/18.

8

Table 3: Local Revenue Collection Performance in the First half year of Financial Year

2017/18

N

o.

Revenue Stream Targeted Receipts

(Ksh.)

Actual Receipts

(Ksh.)

Revenue

Performance

(%)

1 Sand 5,450,000 3,416,740 63%

2 Livestock Auction 2,404,088 1,645,140 68%

3 Miraa Export 1,959,078 531,710 27%

4 Produce Cess/Barter/Murram/Cheque

Clearance

1,156,269 532,830 46%

5 Property Taxes -

6,598,538

2,200,000

-

554,331

506,100

8%

23% 1.Land Rent & Rates - Current

2.Land Rent & Rates - Arrears

6 3.Penalties Rent & Rates 500,000 541,744 108%

7 Stand Premiums 628,512 - 0%

8 Plot Application/Transfer/Sub-

Division

1,620,000 347,000 21%

9 Clearance & Consents 139,973 60,000 43%

10 Plot Transfer Approval 1,295,359 72,200 6%

11 Lease Extension 100,000 - 0%

12 Planning & Survey 818,000 - 0%

13 Kiosks & Stalls 760,873 66,900 9%

14 Miscellaneous Charges - -

15 Other Miscellaneous Charges (

Ground Rent)

750,000 1,615,016 215%

16 Parking Fees / Bus Park 3,240,000 2,018,100 62%

17 S.B.P Fees/Promotion 2,999,001 1,520,145 51%

18 Slaughter Fees 996,677 640,780 64%

19 4%Water Levies Iwasco 1,188,000 - 0%

20 Public Works /Other Charges 200,000 524,000 262%

21 Building Plan Approvals 1,854,691 17,500 1%

22 Liquor Licence 400,000 - 0%

23 Hospital Cost Sharing 8,024,595 1,693,925 21%

24 Livestock/Veterinary 932,000 285,740 31%

25 Tractor Hire 499,953 31,000 6%

26 Agriculture Training Centre 400,000 - 0%

27 Weights And Measures 250,000 - 0%

28 Game - -

29 Game Entrance & Royalties 44,065,065 37,348,370 85%

Grand Total 91,430,669 53,969,271 59%

The local revenue raised during the first half of the financial year 2017/18 was Ksh

53,969,271 compared to Ksh 58,136,757 collected in the first half of the financial year

2016/17. This shows an overall decrease of 7 percent in the total local revenue realised.

Overall all revenue sources reflected a decline except public works and ground rent.

9

Table 4: Comparison between Revenue Collection Performance in the First half of

Financial Year 2017/18 and 2017/18

Revenue Source Actual Receipts in

the first half of

2016/17 (Ksh.)

Actual Receipts in

the first half of

2017/18 (Ksh.)

Deviation

1 SBP & Promotions Fee 780,560 1,520,145 739,585

2 Agri. Produce Cess/Barter/Market

Entrance/Tractor

0 0

3 Livestock Cess 1,430,623 1645140 214,517

4 Sand Cess 3,121,000 3,416,740 295,740

5 Miraa Cess 855,770 531,710 -324,060

6 Clearance & Consent 108,004 60,000 -48,004

7 Tender Doc Sales 0 0 0

8 Water Connection Fee 0 0 0

Water Levies 806,723 0 -806,723

9 Murram Cess 506,380 -506,380

10 Parking Fee 2,232,360 2,018,100 -214,260

11 Slaughter Fee 691,880 640,780 -51,100

12 Hides & Skin 0 0 0

13 Land Rates & Rents 5,091,464 1,602,175 -3,489,289

14 Plot transfer/ Subdivision/

Registration/ Approval/Application

1,278,300 347,000 -931,300

15 Lease Extension 0 0 0

16 Physical Planner 0 0 0

17 Planning & Survey Fee 0 0 0

18 Building Approval 40,390 17,500 -22,890

19 Stand Premium 22,000 0 -22,000

20 Market stalls/Kiosks 85,550 0 -85,550

Other Sectors 0

21 Hospital 5,788,287 1,693,925 -4,094,362

22 Liquor Application 22,000 0 -22,000

23 Fisheries 0 0 0

24 Public Health 0 0 0

25 Livestock/Veterinary/Meat

Inspection

328,740 285,740 -43,000

26 Rent/Hire/Tractor Hire 0 31,000 31,000

27 Movement permit 0 0 0

28 Weight and Measures 0 0 0

29 Game collection 34,946,726 37,348,370 2,401,644

Grand Total 58,136,757 53,969,271 -4,167,486

2.2.2.2 County Expenditure Analysis

The County spent a total of Ksh. 1,022,023,392 during the first half of financial year 2017/18

against approved budget of Ksh. 4,340,282,474 which represents an absorption rate of 24

percent of the total funds released for recurrent and development. This is an absolute decline

in comparison to similar period of financial year 2016/17 which was 72.97 percent of the

total funds released. A total of Ksh793, 600, 819 was spent on recurrent activities. While total

of Ksh 49.5 Million was spent on development in the first half financial year 2017/18.

10

The recurrent expenditure for the period under review represented 33 percent of the approved

annual recurrent budget; the rate spent was 65% in a similar period of financial year 2016/17.

Development expenditure recorded an absorption rate of 3 percent, a drop from 6 percent

(County) spent in a similar period of financial year 2016/17.

Recurrent Expenditure Analysis

The total recurrent expenditure during the review period (first half of the financial year

2017/18) was Ksh 785,120,509 against a total budget of Ksh 1,228,431,054 representing

absorption rate of 65 percent. The table 5 below provide the analysis of recurrent expenditure

and budget absorption rate by sectors.

Table 5: Recurrent Expenditure Analysis by Sector for the first half of the financial

year 2017/18

Approved Recurrent Budget for First

half of Financial Year 2017/18

Approved Recurrent

Budget for First half of

Financial Year 2017/18

Actual Recurrent

Expenditure for First half

of Financial Year 2017/18

Absorptio

n Rate (%)

County Assembly Services 194,276,820 157,404,659 81

Governor County Executive 201,326,721 108,620,177 46

Finance and Economic planning 144,894,380 109,230,988 75

Land, Roads, Urban planning, Housing

and Public works

27,924,814 16,510,206 59

Agriculture, Livestock, Veterinary and

Fisheries

68,735,749 56,793,739 83

Cohesion ,Intergovernmental Relation,

Aid Coordination, Disaster management

and Climate change

52,325,000 8,480,310 16

Education, Vocational Training, Youth,

Sports and Gender

51,285,000 40,316,033 79

Tourism, culture and social services 74,012,250 52,301,861 71

County Administration ,Public service

management and ICT

32,453,060 11,609,401 36

Water, Irrigation, Energy, Environment

and natural resources

41,433,343 29,399,129 71

Health services 489,518,788 349,479,514 71

Trade, Industrialization, Cooperative and

Enterprises Development

8,203,948 7,373,192 90

Town Admin Town Administration

Board

6,093,001 3,486,269 57

Total 1,228,431,054 793,600,819 65

Development Expenditure Analysis

The total development expenditure during the review period (first half of the financial year

2017/18) was Ksh 79,498,224 against a total budget of Ksh 762,508,668 representing

absorption rate of 6 percent. The table 6 below provides the analysis of development

expenditure during the first half of the financial year 2017/18.

11

Table 6: Development Expenditure Analysis by Sector for the first half of the financial

year 2017/18

Sector Approved Development

Budget for first half of

Financial Year 2017/18

Development

Expenditure

Absorpti

on Rate

(%)

County Assembly Services 78,706,966 29,973,975 38

Governor County Executive 144,000,000 35,300,000 25

Finance and Economic planning 129,750,000 13,012,680 10

Land, Roads, Urban planning, Housing and

Public works

72,615,429 - 0

Agriculture, Livestock, Veterinary and

Fisheries

60,278,540 - 0

Cohesion ,Intergovernmental Relation, Aid

Coordination, Disaster management and

Climate change

16,000,000 - 0

Education, Vocational Training, Youth,

Sports and Gender

44,583,349 - 0

Tourism, culture and social services 16,000,000 - 0

County Administration ,Public service

management and ICT

10,000,000 0

Water, Irrigation, Energy, Environment and

natural resources

67,512,500 1,211,569 2

Health services 96,348,411 - 0

Trade, Industrialization, Cooperative and

Enterprises Development

11,500,000 0

Town Admin Town Administration Board 40,000,000 - 0

Total 787,295,195 79,498,224 10%

12

3. FORWARD ECONOMIC AND FISCAL DEVELOPMENTS

3.1 National Forward Economic and Fiscal Development

The fiscal policy stance over the medium term aims at supporting rapid and inclusive

economic growth, ensuring a sustainable debt position and at the same time supporting the

devolved system of Government for effective delivery of services. The fiscal policy also

indicates Kenya’s deliberate convergence path towards the East African Community

Monetary Union Protocol’s fiscal targets. That is, the EAC targets of a fiscal deficit ceiling

including grants of 3 percent of GDP and excluding grants 6 percent of GDP.

The fiscal policy underpinning the FY 2018/19 budget and MTEF will sustain the revenue

projections in line with recent mobilization trends in order to maintain fiscal predictability.

Revenue is projected to increase from 18.3percent of GDP in FY 2016/17to 19.2percent of

GDP in FY 2020/21.

In an effort to boost domestic revenue mobilization, the Government is going to undertake a

combination of policy and administrative reforms to bolster revenue yields going forward.

These efforts will reverse the revenue losses experienced in the recent past where ordinary

revenues have declined about 1.0 percent of GDP from 18.1 percent in FY 2013/14 to 17.1

Percent in FY 2016/17.In the medium term, ordinary revenues are projected to increase to

17.7 percent of GDP in FY 2020/21 from 17.1 percent of GDP in FY 2017/18. The additional

resources are expected to support the fiscal consolidation program and bring the fiscal deficit

down to 3.0 percent of GDP by FY 2021/22 from the projected 7.2 percent of GDP in FY

2017/18.

Total expenditures and net lending is projected to decline from 26.8percent of GDP in FY

2017/18 to 25.5 percent of GDP in FY 2018/19 and 22.5percent of GDP in FY 2021/22. This

takes into account the Government’s efforts to increase the efficiency, effectiveness,

transparency, and accountability of public spending, in order to ensure that there is sufficient

fiscal space for priority social and investment projects.

The overall fiscal deficit inclusive of grants is therefore projected to decline from 9.1percent

of GDP in FY 2016/17 to 7.2percent of GDP in FY 2017/18, 6.0 percent in FY2018/19 and

Further to 3.0 percent of GDP by FY 2021/22. Excluding expenditures related to the SGR,

the deficit declines from 7.5percent of GDP in FY 2016/17to 6.5percent of GDP in FY

2017/18 and 2.5 of GDP by FY 2021/22.The lower deficit reflects the projected completion

of key infrastructural projects being implemented by the Government, enhanced revenue

collection and prudent public spending.

3.2 County Forward Economic and Fiscal Development

3.2.1 County Forward Economic Development

For more than 50 years, the policy makers considered the County as being of low potential

and were ignored. The post-independence successive governments’ neglects led to acute

economic and social underdevelopment in the region. The lack of infrastructural development

closed the region from the rest of the country and escalated marginalization that bred other

13

forms of conflagration such as cattle rustling and insecurity. It is with advent of the devolved

system of government that the County is put on a new development trajectory.

The County Government has embarked on a serious move to exploit the existing economic

potentials to transform the County into a developed, just and cohesive where all enjoy high

quality of life. Much emphasis is put on increasing livestock and crop productivity and

expanding food production through irrigation and enhancing value addition. Effort is being

made to achieve land titling (land tenure security) and expansion in investment on physical

infrastructure as well as promotion of green energy (Solar and Wind). The County

government strives to support growth in tourism and hospitality sector as well as wholesale

and retail trade. All these initiatives are expected to increase the County government fiscal

space.

Over the medium term, the County Government will put more effort in promoting the County

as a development hub both locally and internationally. This is because the County is a

gateway to Northern Kenya which is becoming a new development frontier in Kenya. It is

also a cultural melting pot for different cultures in northern Kenya region. The large untapped

resources which include oil and gas, minerals such as sapphire and gold, diversified and large

number of livestock and game reserves is also expected to attract both foreign direct and

domestic investments.

The County is also a host to key National flagship projects such as the LAPSSET corridor,

the proposed resort city, the international airport, oil refinery, pipeline, railway station and an

international abattoir. These projects are expected to spur rapid economic growth and

transform the County to an economic hub.

Isiolo County has a huge renewable energy potential. Preliminary wind resource assessment

shows that wind regime enjoys wind speeds ranging from 8 to 14 meters per second. The

County therefore has a potential to produce over 150 megawatt (MW) of wind power for sale

to the national grid.

In the manufacturing sector, the County is well positioned to harness the resources available

in different parts of the country to establish a vibrant manufacturing hub. Investment

opportunities exist in development of Industrial Parks including small and medium

enterprises (SME), and Export Processing Zones (EPZs) which will offer a range of fiscal

incentives that help in reducing start up and operational costs; making exporters

internationally price competitive.

The tourism industry in the County is expected to be very vibrant with the proposed

development of the resort city. The resort city will attract lucrative investment opportunities

which include construction of international hotel chains, investment in conference facilities,

international standard performance venues and entertainment facilities such, clubs, casinos,

amusement parks, art galleries, museums, jet skiing and golf courses.

Livestock production accounts for 12 percent of the national GDP and over 40 percent of

these livestock is found in the County. With the completion of the world-class abattoir with a

capacity to slaughter 1000 sheep and goats, 300 cows and 100 camels daily, the County is set

14

to be the leading livestock products exporter in Kenya. This is expected to spur growth in

related industries such as animal feeds, tanneries and leather processing plants which will

contribute immensely to economic growth.

3.2.2 County Fiscal Overview

3.2.2.1 County Revenue Analysis

In order to finance the budget for the Financial Year 2018/19, the County Government is

expected to receive from National Equitable share Ksh 3,925,000,000 Medical equipment

worth Ksh.200, 000,000, Fuel Levy worth Ksh. 103,341,833, Rehabilitation of Polytechnics

worth Ksh. 21,235,000 and User Fee Foregone worth Ksh. 3,472,461 from the National

Government transfers.

The County is further expected to receive grants worth Ksh. 361,523,006. The Local Revenue

was however projected at Ksh. 150, 861,337.The table 1 below provides a summary of the

revenue projections.

Table 7: Summary of Revenue Projections

Revenue Source

Amount(Ksh)

Percentage

National Equitable Share 3,925,000,000 83

Conditional Grants

Supplement to construction of County Head Quarters 121,000,000 3

Fuel Levy 103,341,833 2

Rehabilitation of village Polytechnics 21,235,000 0.45

User Fee Foregone 3,472,461

Donor Funds

Universal health care in devolved system program

(DANIDA)

12,656,250 0.27

Transforming Health System for universal health care

(WB)

66,229,830 1

Climate Smart Agricultural Project(WB) 150,000,000 3

Urban Support Project(WB) 93,968,100 2

Urban Support Project(WB)-Dev 41,200,000

Kenya Devolution Support Project(WB) 38,668,826 1

Local Revenue 150,861,337 3

Total 4,727,633,637 100

leasing of Medical Equipment 200,000,000 Deducted at

source

15

4: STRATEGIC PRIORITIES AND INTERVENTIONS

4.1 Overview

Over the Medium-Term the County government is targeting supporting growth in the

following priority areas;

4.2 Livestock and Crop Productivity

Livestock production is the backbone of the County’s economy. About 80 percent of the

inhabitants derive their livelihoods from livestock related enterprises. The livestock sub

sector employs about 70 percent of the rural labour force. The County is endowed with

enormous livestock resources.

However the County has huge unexploited potential for livestock production. The major

challenges facing livestock production include:

i. Inadequate resources in terms of funding on planned activities due to low

budgetary provisions.

ii. Insufficient transport means to do the outreach services as per the annual work

plans because the sector has no vehicle.

iii. Insecurity and inter clan skirmishes hinders the smooth operation of service

delivery.

iv. Expansiveness of the county overstretches the already inadequate technical staff

offering extension service

v. Inadequacies in human resource developments and management especially in

matters to training, promotion and facilitation

vi. Lack of decentralized funds from the county level to the sub counties paralyzing

service delivery at that level.

vii. Frequent droughts and flooding

viii. Lack of an organized market for livestock and livestock products.

This year’s budget will therefore focus on measures to promote the development of the

livestock sub-sector by:

i. allocating enough funds for the livestock sub-sector

ii. purchasing vehicles to facilitate movement of technical staff

iii. promoting cohesion among the neighboring communities

iv. employing and deploying technical staff to the sub-counties

v. coming up with mitigation measures to curb the effects of drought and floods

vi. Developing an efficient livestock marketing system that capitalize the full potential

of the livestock economy

On crop productivity, the budget will focus on;

i. Provision of subsidized seeds and fertilizer to farmers;

ii. Support of existing irrigation projects and creation of more irrigation projects

iii. Agricultural Mechanization that will increase efficiency and reduce production

costs

16

iv. Up scaling of Capacity Buildings Programmes for farmers through extension

services.

4.3 Developing both Surface and Underground Water Sources

The County government recognizes that 80 percent of the inhabitants lack access to clean

and safe water within five kilometers reach. 73 percent of the rural areas rely on water

sources that are unsafe and are about 25 kilometers of reach during the dry season.

Further, the livestock walking distance without stress is estimated at 10 kilometers yet 74

percent of pastoralist walk over 25 kilometers to the nearest water sources during the dry

season.

The main challenges experienced in the sector include;

i. Delay in procurement due to challenges of the e-procurement system.

ii. Inadequate technical personnel for design and supervision of projects

iii. Inadequate financing

iv. Frequent breakdowns of existing and dilapidated water supplies.

v. Inadequate community capacity to run and manage the completed water projects

vi. Frequent droughts that constrain the allocated resources due to emergencies that

require emergency interventions such as water trucking and borehole breakdown

repairs

In quest of the theme of this year’s budget, the County will focus on continued investment in

both surface and ground water sources with an aim of making water safe, adequate, reliable,

and affordable. The County government will focus on:

i. Increasing funding for drilling and equipping of boreholes in rural areas;

ii. Increasing funding towards rehabilitation of the rural and urban water supply;

iii. Increasing funding for water conservation structures such as dams, water pans and

sand dams;

iv. Increasing funding towards the protection of water catchment areas;

v. Increasing funding towards appropriate water treatment technologies in rural

areas; and

vi. Increasing funding towards strengthening institutional capacity in the water sector.

vii. Employment of more technical staff

viii. Investing in wind and solar energy to improve water supply

4.4 Access to Quality and Affordable Health Services

The County has a poorly distributed health facility network with a number of rural areas

people walking for over 15 kilometers to access health services. Most of the health facilities

are in poor conditions and require rehabilitation. The service delivery is equally affected by

shortage of technical staff, inadequate supply of medical equipment and medical

supplies/commodities.

County Health indicators remain alarming with the leading cause of mortality being

HIV/AIDS at 4.2 percent and Gunshots at 13.4 percent. Maternal Mortality rate currently

stands at 48 deaths per 1,000. Less than 5 Mortality rate is at 56 deaths per 1000 live births.

Infant Mortality rate is 43 per 1000 live births. Neonatal Mortality rate is 31per 1000 births.

17

The budget for financial year 2017/18 will focus on reversing the rising burden of

communicable and non-communicable conditions by minimizing the health risks through:

i. Equipping, provision of drugs and medical equipment to all health care

centers;

ii. Rehabilitation and equipping of the existing health facilities

iii. Purchase of more ambulances;

iv. Strengthening health management information system; and

v. Strengthening collaboration with private and other sectors that have an impact

on health improvements.

4.5 lands, physical planning Road, Infrastructure, Public Works Housing

and Urban Development

Under land sub sector the county will concentrate on development of county spatial and

titling of land in Isiolo central.

The County has an estimated road network of 975.5 kilometres of which only 34 kilometres

is bituminized. Gravel surfaced roads account for 22 percent while earth surfaced roads

account for 75 percent of the total road surface. Most gravel surface roads are impassable

during wet season while all the earth surface roads are impassable during the wet season.

The County government will continue to upgrade all the non-paved standards roads into all-

weather roads. Specifically, the budget for the financial year 2018/19 will focus on:

i. Rural roads improvement. This will involve routine maintenance of existing roads

and opening of new ones to ease accessibility to urban centres and markets,

construction of new and rehabilitation of old bridges, drifts, and culverts.

ii. Urban Roads and storm water control Improvement. The government will

continue to upgrade Isiolo Town roads to paved standards. More investments will

also be targeted at improving and develop Isiolo town drainage systems

4.6 Early Child Development, Youth and Women Empowerment, and

Vocational and Technical Training

According to the 2009 population census, 79 percent of County’s population is under 35

years of age. Youth (using the term to include those between 15 and 35 years of age) number

49,063 or about 34 percent of the population. Due to high levels of unemployment, most of

them are idle and not engaged in any productive and gainful activities.

The challenges specific to Early Childhood Development include:

i. Inadequate and poor Early Childhood Development infrastructure

ii. Inadequate funding to support School feeding program for ECD

iii. Nomadic life and failure of mobile schools programme.

iv. High illiteracy rates in the community

The County government recognises that youth related issues are important to be left out. A

healthy and vibrant youth population is a valuable asset to our County. This budget will seek

to invest in youth programmes for them to make positive contribution to society.

18

The County government will therefore facilitate the youth through addressing youth related

challenges and more specifically unemployment and empowerment, efforts will be made by

the County government to initiate youth development programmes which will include:

i. Youth Training

Most of our youth either drop out of school or graduate without necessary

skills for self-employment. Many girls drop out of school due to early

marriages and pregnancy. Vocational and technical training institutions in the

County are inadequate and lack the essential facilities and technology to

prepare trainers for the challenging market demands.

The County government will therefore ensure that adequate resources are

given to these institutions to enable the young people acquire skills that are

required in the job market.

ii. Youth Talent Search

The County government will develop Talent Search Academies which will

provide youth with the opportunity to discover their talents.

iii. Youth and Environment

Degradation of the environment through pollution and poor waste

management is a major challenge in the county. The County government will

continue to engage youth and youth organizations in activities aimed at

protecting the environment.

iv. Youth Crime and Drugs

The County has seen a rapid growth in insecurity cases due to rise in drug and

substance abuse, like Miraa and bhang. Drug abuse is highly associated with

crimes and risks of contracting HIV/Aids and other sexually transmitted

diseases among the youth. In this budget, the County government will allocate

resources to rehabilitate the youth already in alcohol and drug abuse.

4.7 Tourism Promotion

The County has a huge potential in tourism since it is strategically endowed with both natural

beauty and abundance of fauna and flora including species which are endemic to the region

like Grey Zebra, reticulated giraffe, Somali ostrich, lesser kudu and Beisa Oryx. The County

is also endowed with diverse and rich cultural heritage from various ethnic groups living

within the County which if marketed has the potential to generate income and create jobs.

The sector will focus on increasing the number of tourists visiting the County; reduce

incidences of human-wildlife conflict by working hand in hand with the Kenya Wildlife

Service, the community and conservancies within the county. To achieve its objectives, the

sector will focus on;

i. Infrastructure improvement in the parks including park roads and staff houses;

ii. Diversification of tourism products e.g. culture, sport, film shooting, and bird

shooting;

iii. Promotion of community wildlife conservancies;

19

iv. Promotion of Bisanadi Game Reserve; and

v. Marketing of the tourism products both locally and internationally.

4.8 Finance and Economic Planning The County government recognises provision of better working conditions for its personnel

and revenue enhancements are very critical and are very important to be left out. This budget

will seek to invest in construction of county headquarters and Isiolo market for it to make

savings from office rent and revenue enhancement for positive contribution to society.

4.9 Administration and Public Service Management Under this sector the county will concentrate on development of governor’s residence and

construction of wards offices.

4.10 County Assembly Under this sector the County will concentrate on development of Speakers’ residence

20

5: FISCAL POLICY AND BUDGET FRAMEWORK

5.1 Overview

The Medium-Term Fiscal Framework aims at stimulating economic growth and at the same

time achieving a balanced fiscal policy. The main objective is to support speedy investment

and effective delivery of public goods and services in a sustainable manner. Much emphasis

is placed on prudent fiscal policy to reinforce County Government’s commitment to

responsible financial management practices as outlined in the Public Finance Management

Act 2012.

The policy aims at shifting more public resources from recurrent to development expenditure

so as to promote sustainable and inclusive growth in the long run. Specifically, over the

medium term, at least 30 percent of the budget shall be allocated to development expenditure.

Much emphasis will be put on efficiency and improving the productivity of expenditure while

at the same time ensuring that adequate resources are available for operations, maintenance,

and development. Expenditure will promote equitable development as well as making

provisions for any marginalized groups in the County.

5.2 Fiscal Policy Framework

Medium-Term Fiscal Framework is targeted at supporting sustainable social economic

growth and development The growth trajectory will be biased towards Livestock ;

development of surface and underground water resources; provision quality and affordable

health services; development of road infrastructure network; promotion of early childhood

education, youth and women empowerment, vocational and technical training ; and tourism

promotion.

The overall budget deficit is expected to remain at zero in the short term. In the long term,

however, efforts will be made to maintain the budget deficit at less than a figure approved by

the County assembly of total expenditure to secure fiscal sustainability.

The fiscal policy will be achieved through the County government’s commitment in ensuring

a strong revenue base. The measures to achieve this is already contained in the County

Finance Act, 2015 and this it is in line with best practices that will help improve compliance

in payment, minimize delays, and strive towards the revenue potential of the County. Further,

the County treasury will develop and implement initiatives that will rationalize existing tax

incentives, expand the tax base and eliminate the possibility of revenue leakages.

5.2.1 Observing Fiscal Responsibility Principles

The County Government knows that the fiscal position it takes today will have implications

into the future. Therefore, in line with the Constitution and the Public Finance Management

(PFM) Act of 2012, the principle of sharing the burdens and benefits of the use of resources

between the present and future generation implies that we have to make prudent policy

decisions.

The ratio of development to recurrent expenditure will be at least 30:70 over the medium

term, as set out in the law. In order to address the risks associated with wage bill and other

operational and expense crowding out development, the proportion will be managed in a

21

manner that it should decrease or remain constant as the total expenditure increases. To

ensure that the County Government get competitive rates for goods and services from its

suppliers, payments shall be made on timely basis to forestall confidence and

creditworthiness.

The County Government is also guided by Article 201 of the Constitution of Kenya that

provides the public finance principles to be followed that include openness, accountability

and public participation in financial matters. In this regard the County will involve the Public

in developing priority programmes/projects for implementation. The County government

shall also involve the various stakeholders in determining fees and levies for services offered

which are expected to be fair with the overall goal being to promote equitable development of

the County.

The County plans to raise its revenue through efficient collection methods, widening of

revenue base, and applying reasonable revenue rates. It is therefore imperative to reform and

modernize the revenue regimes to ensure stability of revenue effort, while at the same time

continuing to restructure expenditure systems to ensure efficiency and create fiscal space

required to fund priority programmes on sustainable basis.

5.2.2 Fiscal and Public Financial Management Reforms

The County Government shall strengthen enforcement and restructure the organizational

structure of finance department to enhance collection of revenues. Revenue automation will

be applied to all key revenue collection points.

Reforms in policy, planning and budgeting will focus on strengthening data

collection/analysis and reviewing budget procedures to ensure budget formulation process is

appropriately integrated with planning.

The County Government will undertake a number of measures in improving revenue and

expenditure performance. These include modernizing revenue administration infrastructure to

ensure efficient and effective service delivery. The County will continue with expenditure

management reforms to improve efficiency and reduce wastage in line with the PFM Act

(2012) and embracing the Integrated Financial Management Information System (IFMIS)

To ensure full stakeholder participation, transparency and accountability, and adherence to

the PFM Act on budget process, public consultation shall be ensured on all matters of

planning and budgeting.

5.3 Budget Framework for 2018/19

The budget framework for financial year 2018/19 targets strategic priorities outlined in the

Annual Development Plan for financial year 2018/19 and County Integrated Development

Plan 2018-2022. The County Government will continue to re-direct most of its expenditure

from non-core recurrent items to finance development activities. During the medium term,

the County government will continue to diversify its revenue sources with great emphasis on

22

developing new revenue streams. Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) will be encouraged in

order to create fiscal space, which is important for development.

Total projected County revenue is expected to increase from Kshs 4,340,282,474 in the

financial year 2017/18 to Kshs. 4,727,633,637 representing a 9 percent increase. The table 8

below shows the County Fiscal Projections over the medium term.

Table 8: County Fiscal Projections for Financial Year 2018/19 – 2020/21

Total revenue

CFSP 2018

FY 2017/18

Approved Budget

Estimates For FY

2018/19

Projection For

FY 2019/20

Projection For

FY 2020/21

Equitable Share from National

Government 3,775,000,000 3,925,000,000 4,356,750,000 4,835,992,500

Construction of HQ 121,000,000 121,000,000 134,310,000 149,084,100

Fuel Levy 130,230,858 103,341,833 114,709,435 127,327,472

User forgone Fees 3,472,461 3,472,461 3,854,432 4,278,419

rehabilitation of Youth

Polytechnic 26,166,698 21,235,000 23,570,850 26,163,644

loans and grants( Danida and

world bank) 13,678,677 12,656,250 14,048,438 15,593,766

Transforming Health System for

universal health care 20,696,822.00 66,229,830 73,515,111 81,601,774

Climate Smart Agricultural

Project 0 150,000,000 166,500,000 184,815,000

Urban Support Project-

Development 0 93,968,100 104,304,591 115,778,096

Urban Support Project-

Recurrent 41,200,000 21,600,000 21,600,000

Kenya Devolution Support

Project 36,113,321.00 38,668,826 42,922,397 47,643,861

World Bank Loan to supplement

financing of county facilities 12,607,500 - - -

Balance B/f 18,454,800 - - -

Local Revenue 182,861,337 150,861,337 202,020,000 224,242,200

Total Revenue 4,340,282,474 4,727,633,637 5,236,505,253 5,812,520,831

Lease of Medical Equipment’s

200,000,000 200,000,000 200,000,000

Total Expenditure

4,727,633,637 5,236,505,253 5,812,520,831

County Assembly

Recurrent Expenditure 388,553,640 415,284,815 418,376,215 449172055.9

Operation and Maintenance 192,496,705 290,699,371

222,581,554 231,484,816

Personnel Emoluments 196,056,935 124,585,443

195,794,653.60 203,626,439.74

Development Expenditure 157,413,932 75,000,000 78,000,000 81,120,000

23

Total revenue

CFSP 2018

FY 2017/18

Approved Budget

Estimates For FY

2018/19

Projection For

FY 2019/20

Projection For

FY 2020/21

545,967,572 490,284,815

509,896,208

530,292,056

County Executive

Recurrent Expenditure 2,377,138,444 2,854,211,950 2,529,949,246 2,631,147,216

Operation and Maintenance 953,302,524 1,873,421,687 1,873,421,687 1,873,421,687

Personnel Emoluments 1,597,033,613 1,873,421,687 1,873,421,687 1,873,421,687

Development Expenditure 1,417,176,458 1,873,421,687 1,873,421,687 1,873,421,687

Total 4,340,282,474 4,727,633,637 4,916,738,982 5,113,408,542

5.3.1 Revenue projections

The budget estimate for the financial year 2018/19 projects a total revenue target of Kshs

4,727,633,637 which is a 9 percent increase on revenue from the revenue projection from

financial year 2017/18. The revenue allocation from the national equitable share is projected

to increase from Kshs. 3,775,000,000 in the financial year 2017/18 to Kshs.3, 925,000,000 in

the financial year 2018/19 representing 11 percent increase. The local revenue target is

expected to be Ksh 150,861,337.

The inability to collect the projected local revenue targets over last three years has resulted to

shortfall of funds for financing planned projects/activities. The main cause of shortfall in

local revenue is attributed to the continued slump in the tourism sector due to insecurity

issues and revenue leakages. Table 8 below shows the targets and realized revenues trends for

the last three years that could be used as baseline ceilings for 2018/19.

Table 9: Analyis of the Local Revenue Collection from Financial Year 2013/14 to

Financial Year 2017/18 first half

Revenue

Source

Financial Year

2013/14

Financial Year

2014/15

FY 2015/16 FY 2016/17 First half of FY

2017/18

Target Actual Target Actual Target Actual Target Actual Target Actual

Local

Revenue in

( Million)

360 125

452 133 360 116 250 58.14 90 54

24

Figure 1 Bar graph showing County Local Revenue over the past three and half

financial years

The local revenue projections over the Medium Term are shown in the table 10 below.

Table 10: Local Revenue Projection

Description Targeted For First

Half Year (Ksh.)

2017/18

Actual

Revenue

Performa

nce (%)

Target For

FY 2018/19

Sand 5,450,000 3,416,740 63 10,900,000

Livestock Auction 2,404,088 1,645,140 68 4,808,175

Miraa Export 1,959,078 531,710 27 3,918,156

Produce Cess/Barter/Murram/Cheque

Clearance

1,156,269 532,830 46 2,312,537

Property Taxes - -

1.Land Rent & Rates - Current 6,598,538 554,331 8 6,197,075

2.Land Rent & Rates - Arrears 2,200,000 506,100 23 1,400,000

3.Penalties Rent & Rates 500,000 541,744 108 1,000,000

Stand Premiums 628,512 - 0 1,257,024

Plot Application/Transfer/Sub-Division 1,620,000 347,000 21 1,240,000

Clearance & Consents 139,973 60,000 43 279,946

Plot Transfer Approval 1,295,359 72,200 6 2,590,717

Lease Extension 100,000 - 0 200,000

Planning & Survey 818,000 - 0 1,636,000

Kiosks & Stalls 760,873 66,900 9 1,521,746

Miscellaneous Charges - -

Other Miscellaneous Charges ( Ground 750,000 1,615,016 215 1,500,000

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

FY2013/14 FY2014/15 FY2015/16 FY2016/17 First half of FY2017/18

Analysis of the Local Revenue Collection(millions)

Target Actual

25

Description Targeted For First

Half Year (Ksh.)

2017/18

Actual

Revenue

Performa

nce (%)

Target For

FY 2018/19

Rent)

Parking Fees / Bus Park 3,240,000 2,018,100 62 6,480,000

S.B.P Fees/Promotion 2,999,001 1,520,145 51 5,998,001

Slaughter Fees 996,677 640,780 64 1,993,353

4%Water Levies Iwasco 1,188,000 - 0 0

Public Works /Other Charges 200,000 524,000 262 400,000

Building Plan Approvals 1,854,691 17,500 1 1,709,382

Liquor License 400,000 - 0 800,000

Hospital Cost Sharing 8,024,595 1,693,925 21 16,049,190

Livestock/Veterinary 932,000 285,740 31 1,864,000

Tractor Hire 499,953 31,000 6 999,905

Agriculture Training Centre 400,000 - 0 800,000

Weights And Measures 250,000 - 0 500,000

Game - -

Game Entrance & Royalties 44,065,065 37,348,370 85

72,506,130

Grand Total 91,430,669 53,969,271 59% 150,861,337

5.3.2 Expenditure Forecasts

To fully implement the current Annual Development Plan, 2018 the expenditure forecast for

priority programmes in the financial year 2018/19 stands at Ksh. 4,427,633,637 comprising

of a recurrent expenditure forecast of Ksh 2,834,928,321 and development expenditure

forecast of Ksh 1,892,705,316. Both recurrent and development expenditure forecasts over

the medium term are presented in table 10 and 11 respectively.

The resources that the County will require to implement priority programmes in the Annual

Development Plan, 2018 will be partly met through the Medium Term Expenditure

Framework (MTEF) budget. The projected revenue target for the Financial Year 2018/19 is

Ksh. 4,727,633,637 against the total expenditure projections of Ksh 4,727,633,637 resulting

into a projected balanced budget.

Given that the County will be operating within a tight budgetary framework, full realization

of the strategic objectives as outlined in the County Annual Development Plan, 2018 will

largely depend on the goodwill of other development partners.

5.3.2.1 Recurrent Expenditure Forecasts

Table 10 below provides the recurrent expenditure forecast by sectors over the medium term

(Financial Year 2018/19 to Financial Year 2020/21)

26

Table 11: Recurrent Expenditure Forecast by sectors for Financial Year 2018/19 to

2020/21

5.3.2.2 Development Expenditure Forecast

The table below provides the development Expenditure forecast over medium term (Financial

Year 2018/19 to Financial Year 2020/21)

SECTOR/SUBSECTOR Recurrent

Ceilings For FY

2018/19

Projections for

FY 2019/20

Projections for

FY 2020/21

COUNTY ASSEMBLY 415,284,815 456,813,296.5 502,494,626

OFFICE OF GOVERNOR 271,237,492 282,086,992 293,370,471

CPSP 69,275,252 72,046,262 74,928,113

COUNTY SECRETARY 19,994,886 20,794,681 21,626,469

DELIVERY UNIT 8,024,000 8,344,960 8,678,758

DEPUTY GOVERNOR 24,000,000 24,960,000 25,958,400

PSM 35,920,000 37,356,800 38,851,072

COHESION 38,061,199 39,583,647 41,166,993

FINANCE AND

ECONOMIC PLANNING 276,428,308 287,485,440 298,984,858

SPECIAL PROGRAMME 160,057,894 166,460,210 173,118,618

LANDS 22,686,415 23,593,872 24,537,626

ROADS 9,573,318 9,956,251 10,354,501

PUBLIC WORKS& URBAN

DEVELOPMENT 18,350,000 19,084,000 19,847,360

MUNICIPAL

ADMINISTRATION 53,067,086 55,189,769 57,397,360

AGRICULTURE 49,213,608 51,182,152 53,229,438

LIVESTOCK 95,111,324 98,915,777 102,872,408

EDUCATION &

VOCATIONAL TRAINING 188,426,321 195,963,374 203,801,909

YOUTH & SPORTS 10,180,000 10,587,200 11,010,688

CULTURE AND SOCIAL

SERVICE 10,570,727 10,993,556 11,433,298

TOURISM 115,869,914 120,504,711 125,324,899

TRADE 22,402,395 23,298,491 24,230,430

WATER 56,801,481 59,073,540 61,436,482

ENVIRONMENT 36,764,815 38,235,408 39,764,824

HEALTH SERVICES 847,270,700 881,161,528 916,407,989

TOTAL 2,854,211,950 2,968,380,428 3,087,115,645

27

Table 12: Development Expenditure Forecast by departments for Financial Year

2018/19 to 2020/21

SECTOR/SUBSECTOR

Development

Ceilings For FY

2018/19

Projections For

FY 2019/20

Projections for FY

2020/21

COUNTY ASSEMBLY 75,000,000 45,000,000 25,000,000

OFFICE OF GOVERNOR 60,557,386 60,557,386 0

CPSP 0 - -

COUNTY SECRETARY 0 - -

DELIVERY UNIT 0 - -

DEPUTY GOVERNOR 0 - -

PSM 13,000,000 13,520,000 14,060,800

COHESION 0 - -

FINANCE AND

ECONOMIC PLANNING 296,539,178 308,400,745 320,736,775

SPECIAL PROGRAMME 56,950,000 59,228,000 61,597,120

LANDS 41,000,000 42,640,000 44,345,600

ROADS 168,177,193 174,904,281 181,900,452

PUBLIC WORKS& URBAN

DEVELOPMENT 0 - -

MUNICIPAL

ADMINISTRATION 257,968,100 268,286,824 289,834,297

AGRICULTURE 23,114,160 24,038,726 279,018,297

LIVESTOCK 236,885,840 246,361,274 256,215,725

EDUCATION &

VOCATIONAL TRAINING 45,000,000 46,800,000 48,672,000

YOUTH & SPORTS 188,000,000 197,600,000 205,504,000

CULTURE AND SOCIAL

SERVICE 15,000,000 15,600,000 16,224,000

TOURISM 28,000,000 31,200,000 32,448,000

TRADE 14,000,000 15,600,000 16,224,000

WATER 119,000,000 126,880,000 131,955,200

ENVIRONMENT 25,000,000 26,000,000 27,040,000

HEALTH SERVICES 210,229,830 218,639,023 227,384,584

TOTAL 1,873,421,687 1,921,256,259 2,178,160,850

5.4 Risk Management

To ensure fiscal discipline, the County government will have a balanced budget in the

Financial Year 2018/19. The County Government will ensure that the allocated resources for

spending are commensurate to the revenues expected. The budget will be financed through

transfer from the National Government and revenue collected from local sources such as fees

and charges, rates, among others as allowed by the County government Acts.

28

The risks to the budget for the Financial Year 2018/19 include challenges in local revenue

performance as the County continues to put structures in place, seal revenue leakages and

expand the revenue base. The gross County wage bill continues to be a significant concern in

the implementation of the budget and indeed in the realization of the County fiscal goals.

Delays in the release of funds from the national government have equally affected the

performance of the County Government. This has seriously disrupted the implementation of

planned activities and programmes leading to a compromised service delivery. An inherited

liability from the defunct County Council has further led to a build-up of pending bills which

continue to be a big challenge on the financial performance of the County.

29

6.0 MEDIUM TERM EXPENDITURE FRAMEWORK

6.1 Overview

In the view of limited resources, MTEF budgeting will entail adjusting non priority

expenditures to cater for the priority ones. The identified priority sectors will continue to

receive more resources. These sectors are required to utilize the allocated resources more

efficiently to generate fiscal space to accommodate other strategic interventions.

The economic sectors including livestock and roads ; will receive increasing share of

resources to boost livestock productivity and initiate value addition ventures as the

County deals with threats of food insecurity and poor market returns for livestock

products.

The County Government is also committed in improving access to clean and safe water to all

its residents. Increasing share of resources will go to Water sector so as to increase water

availability to households, livestock, and for irrigation project in the County. All other sectors

including health, education, and tourism will continue to receive adequate resources in line

with our County’s commitment to a balanced sector development so as to enhance the quality

of life for the residents of the County.

6.2 Resource Envelope

The resource envelope projections for the financial year 2018/19 and over the medium term

as shown in table 7 will largely target the transfers from the National Government as

provided for by the County Revenue Allocation of Revenue Bill 2018 and the local revenue

collection as per the County Finance Act.

All the conditional transfers from the National Government are included in the resource

envelope for financial year 2018/19. The County will also continue to benefit from grants

intended to support health sector service delivery from World Bank and the Republic of

Denmark. These funds will be allocated to County Governments on the basis of the criteria

specified in the financing agreement between the Government of Kenya and the development

partners.

30

Table 13: Resource Envelope for Financial Year 2018/19

FY 2017/18 FY 2018/19

EQUITABLE SHARE 3,775,000,000 3,925,000,000

General Provisions (Equitable Share) 3,775,000,000 3,925,000,000

CONDITIONAL ALLOCATIONS

FROM NATIONAL GOVERNMENT

280,870,017 249,049,294

Funds Received from Road Maintenance

Levy Fund

130,230,858 103,341,833

Funds Received from Health Care

Services Fund (User fee foregone)

3,472,461 3,472,461

Medical Equipment - -

Free Maternity Fund - -

Supplement for Construction of County

Headquarters

121,000,000 121,000,000

Conditional Allocation for Development

of Youth Polytechnic

26,166,698 21,235,000

CONDITIONAL ALLOCATIONS

FROM DEVELOPMENT

PARTNERS

101,551,120 402,723,006

Current Grants from Foreign

Governments Danida

13,678,677 12,656,250

Kenya Devolution Support Programme

(KDSP) World bank

36,113,321 38,668,826

World Bank Loan to Supplement

Financing of County Health Facilities

12,607,500

World Bank Loan to Supplement

Financing of County Health Facilities

B/f from 2016/17

18,454,800

World Bank Loan for Transforming

Health Systems for Universal Care

Project

20,696,822 66,229,830

Climate Smart Agricultural Project 150,000,000

Urban Support Project Development 93,968,100

Urban Support Project- Recurrent

(2017/18+2018/19)

41,200,000

Local Revenue 182,861,337 150,861,337

TOTAL REVENUE 4,340,282,474.00 4,727,633,637.00

31

6.3 Proposed Resource Allocation Prioritization Criteria

The resources available will be shared in accordance with the following prioritization criteria:

(i) Non-Discretionary Expenditure: This expenditure takes first charge and

includes payment of staff salaries and other statutory payments. Personnel

emoluments are projected to account for about 31.6 percent of the resource

envelope.

(ii) Operations and Maintenance: These are resources available to sectors for basic

operations and maintenance. This will account for about 21 percent of the non-

discretionary expenditures.

(iii) Development Expenditure: This will account for not less than 30 percent of the

projected revenue. Development expenditures will be shared based on the

programs that address the County priorities and other strategic interventions as in

the 2018, annual development plan.

The following guideline will be used on the development expenditure:

(i) Outstanding Projects: Greater emphasis will be put on the completion of on-going

projects.

(ii) Strategic Interventions: Priority will be given to policy interventions with high

impact on poverty reduction, climate change mitigation and adaptation, environmental

conservation, and value chain addition.

6.4 Overall Spending Priorities

In the Financial Year 2017/18, the County priority economic sectors are shown below.

Table 14: Development Expenditure Estimates by Sectors

Sector Supplementary Development

Estimates for first half of FY 2017/18

% of Development

Vote

County Assembly 157,413,932 10

Office of governor 270,000,000 17

County Secretary 18,000,000 1

County Public Service Board - 0

Delivery Unit - 0

Finance and economic planning 259,500,000 16

Lands and Physical Planning 12,000,000 1

Public Works, Housing Urban development 0

Roads and Infrastructure 133,230,858 8

Cohesion Intergovernmental 32,000,000 2

Agriculture 29,557,080 2

Livestock 91,000,000 6

Town Administrator 80,000,000 5

Trade Industrialization & Cooperative

Development

23,000,000 1

Medical Services 131,696,822 8

Public Health 61,000,000 4

Water 122,000,000 8

32

Sector Supplementary Development

Estimates for first half of FY 2017/18

% of Development

Vote

Environment 13,025,000 1

Public Service Management 20,000,000 1

Tourism 32,000,000 2

Education and Vocational training 65,166,698 4

Youth 24,000,000 2

Total 1,574,590,390 100

Effective use of resources will be sought across spending departments and any identified

saving will be redirected to deserving priority expenditures. In finalizing the preparation of

the budget for the financial year 2018/2019, the County Government will continue to pursue

the policy of limiting less productive expenditures and redirecting resultant savings to capital

investment.

6.5 Baseline Ceilings

The 2017/18 baseline estimates depicts the departments current spending levels. In the

recurrent expenditure category, expenditures on compensation of employee’s accounts for

about 37.05 % percent of the resource envelope and it take the first charge. Expenditure on

operations and maintenance accounts for 26.27 percent of the Total County Resource

Envelope. Overall, the recurrent expenditure on compensation to employees and operations

and maintenance account for about 63.7 percent of the projected resource envelope. The

balance of 36.3 percent from total resource envelope is the resources available to fund

planned development programmes. The table below presents the summary of baseline

ceilings.

Table 15: Baseline Ceilings

Sector Description Approved Budget

Financial year 2017/18

% of Total

Budget

County Assembly Recurrent 388,553,640 71.17

Compensation to

employees

179,298,816 46.15

Operations and

maintenance

209,254,824 53.85

Development 157,413,932 28.83

Total 545,967,572 12.58

County Executive Recurrent 402,653,442 58.30

Compensation to

employees

155,220,903 38.55

Operations and

maintenance

247,432,539 61.45

Development 288,000,000 41.70

Total 690,653,442 15.91

Finance Recurrent 318,501,160 55.10

Compensation to

employees

171,376,829 53.81

33

Sector Description Approved Budget

Financial year 2017/18

% of Total

Budget

Operations and

maintenance

147,124,331 46.19

Development 259,500,000 44.90

Total 578,001,160 13.32

Lands, Physical Planning , Roads

and public works

Sector Total 208,155,672 4.80

Lands Recurrent 33,583,414 73.67

Compensation to

employees

16,285,950 48.49

Operations and

maintenance

17,297,464 51.51

Development 12,000,000 26.33

Total 45,583,414 1.05

Roads Recurrent 29,341,400 18.05

Compensation to

employees

15,679,000 53.44

Operations and

maintenance

13,662,400 46.56

Development 133,230,858 81.95

Total 162,572,258 3.746

Agriculture, livestock and

Fishery

Sector Total 271,792,829 6.26

Agriculture Recurrent 56,699,800 65.73

Compensation to

employees

38,299,800 67.55

Operations and

maintenance

18,400,000 32.45

Development 29,557,080 34.27

Total 86,256,880 1.99

Livestock & Agriculture Recurrent 94,535,949 50.95

Compensation to

employees

73,721,228 77.98

Operations and

maintenance

20,814,721 22.02

Development 91,000,000 49.05

Total 185,535,949 4.27

Cohesion Recurrent 62,325,000 66.07

Compensation to

employees

6,620,000 10.62

Operations and

maintenance

55,705,000 89.38

Development 32,000,000 33.93

Total 94,325,000 2.17

Education, Vocational Training ,

Youth Sports and Gender

230,451,698 5.31

Education Recurrent 126,585,000 66.02

Compensation to

employees

70,592,380 55.77

Operations and

maintenance

55,992,620 44.23

Development 65,166,698 33.98

Total 191,751,698 4.42

Youth Recurrent 14,700,000 37.98

Compensation to

employees

7,432,726 50.56

Operations and 7,267,274 49.44

34

Sector Description Approved Budget

Financial year 2017/18

% of Total

Budget

maintenance

Development 24,000,000 62.02

Total 38,700,000 0.89

Tourism Recurrent 129,012,250 80.13

Compensation to

employees

102,417,560 79.39

Operations and

maintenance

26,594,690 20.61

Development 32,000,000 19.87

Total 161,012,250 3.71

Trade Recurrent 23,517,896 50.56

Compensation to

employees

11,502,632 48.91

Operations and

maintenance

12,015,264 51.09

Development 23,000,000 49.44

Total 46,517,896 1.07

PSM & ICT Recurrent 74,953,060 78.94

Compensation to

employees

18,605,560 24.82

Operations and

maintenance

56,347,500 75.18

Development 20,000,000 21.06

Total 94,953,060 2.19

Water, Sanitation, Energy ,

Environment and Natural

Resource

Sector Total 229,639,305 5.29

Water and Sanitation Recurrent 60,861,924 33.28

Compensation to

employees

36,884,689 60.60

Operations and

maintenance

23,977,235 39.40

Development 122,000,000 66.72

Total 182,861,924 4.21

Energy, Environment and

Natural Resource

Recurrent 33,752,381 72.16

Compensation to

employees

28,452,521 84.30

Operations and

maintenance

5,299,860 15.70

Development 13,025,000 27.84

Total 46,777,381 1.08

Health Services 1,097,834,464 25.29

Medical Services Recurrent 463,300,000 77.87

Compensation to

employees 370,596,600 79.99

Operations and

maintenance

92,703,400 20.01

Development 131,696,822 22.13

Total 594,996,822 13.71

Public Services Recurrent 441,837,642 87.87

Compensation to

employees

298,832,825 67.63

Operations and

maintenance 143,004,817 32.37

Development 61,000,000 12.13

Total 502,837,642 11.59

35

Sector Description Approved Budget

Financial year 2017/18

% of Total

Budget

Town Admin Recurrent 10,978,126 12.07

Compensation to

employees

6,378,918 58.11

Operations and

maintenance

4,599,208 41.89

Development 80,000,000 87.93

Total 90,978,126 2.10

Grand Total 4,340,282,474 100.00

6.6 Medium Term Expenditure Ceilings

The departmental budget ceilings for financial year 2018/19 are as provided in table 14

below. Development expenditure allocations are shared out amongst departments on the basis

of the County Integrated Development Plan (CIDP), 2018-22 and Annual Development Plan

(ADP) 2018 as well as other strategic objectives and policy goals identified in CFSP.

36

Table 16: Medium Term Expenditure Ceilings.

SECTOR/SUB

SECTOR

Recurrent

Ceilings For

FY 2018/19

Development

Ceilings For

FY 2018/19 Total

Recurrent

Projections for

FY 2019/20

Development

Projections for

FY 2019/20 Total

Recurrent

Projections for

FY 2020/21

Projections for

FY 2020/21 Total

COUNTY

ASSEMBLY 415,284,815 75,000,000 490,284,815 456813296.5 45,000,000 501,813,297 502,494,626 25,000,000 527,494,626

OFFICE OF

GOVERNOR 271,237,492 60,557,386 331,794,878 282,086,992 60,557,386 342,644,378 293,370,471 0 293,370,471

CPSP 69,275,252 0 69,275,252 72,046,262 - 72,046,262 74,928,113 - 74,928,113

COUNTY

SECRETARY 19,994,886 0 19,994,886 20,794,681 - 20,794,681 21,626,469 - 21,626,469

DELIVERY

UNIT 8,024,000 0 8,024,000 8,344,960 - 8,344,960 8,678,758 - 8,678,758

DEPUTY

GOVERNOR 24,000,000 0 24,000,000 24,960,000 - 24,960,000 25,958,400 - 25,958,400

PSM 35,920,000 13,000,000 48,920,000 37,356,800 13,520,000 50,876,800 38,851,072 14,060,800 52,911,872

COHESION 38,061,199 0 38,061,199 39,583,647 - 39,583,647 41,166,993 - 41,166,993

FINANCE

AND

ECONOMIC

PLANNING 276,428,308 296,539,178 572,967,486 287,485,440 308,400,745 595,886,185 298,984,858 320,736,775 619,721,633

SPECIAL

PROGRAMME 160,057,894 56,950,000 217,007,894 166,460,210 59,228,000 225,688,210 173,118,618 61,597,120 234,715,738

LANDS 22,686,415 41,000,000 63,686,415 23,593,872 42,640,000 66,233,872 24,537,626 44,345,600 68,883,226

ROADS 9,573,318 168,177,193 177,750,511 9,956,251 174,904,281 184,860,532 10,354,501 181,900,452 192,254,953

PUBLIC

WORKS&

URBAN

DEVELOPMEN

T 18,350,000 0 18,350,000 19,084,000 - 19,084,000 19,847,360 - 19,847,360

MUNICIPAL

ADMINISTRA

TION 53,067,086 257,968,100 311,035,186 55,189,769 268,286,824 323,476,593 57,397,360 289,834,297 347,231,657

37

SECTOR/SUB

SECTOR

Recurrent

Ceilings For

FY 2018/19

Development

Ceilings For

FY 2018/19 Total

Recurrent

Projections for

FY 2019/20

Development

Projections for

FY 2019/20 Total

Recurrent

Projections for

FY 2020/21

Projections for

FY 2020/21 Total

AGRICULTUR

E 49,213,608 23,114,160 72,327,768 51,182,152 24,038,726 75,220,878 53,229,438 279,018,297 332,247,735

LIVESTOCK 95,111,324 236,885,840 331,997,164 98,915,777 246,361,274 345,277,051 102,872,408 256,215,725 359,088,133

EDUCATION

&

VOCATIONAL

TRAINING 188,426,321 45,000,000 233,426,321 195,963,374 46,800,000 242,763,374 203,801,909 48,672,000 252,473,909

YOUTH &

SPORTS 10,180,000 188,000,000 198,180,000 10,587,200 197,600,000 208,187,200 11,010,688 205,504,000 216,514,688

CULTURE

AND SOCIAL

SERVICE 10,570,727 15,000,000 25,570,727 10,993,556 15,600,000 26,593,556 11,433,298 16,224,000 27,657,298

TOURISM 115,869,914 28,000,000 143,869,914 120,504,711 31,200,000 151,704,711 125,324,899 32,448,000 157,772,899

TRADE 22,402,395 14,000,000 36,402,395 23,298,491 15,600,000 38,898,491 24,230,430 16,224,000 40,454,430

WATER 56,801,481 119,000,000 175,801,481 59,073,540 126,880,000 185,953,540 61,436,482 131,955,200 193,391,682

ENVIRONME

NT 36,764,815 25,000,000 61,764,815 38,235,408 26,000,000 64,235,408 39,764,824 27,040,000 66,804,824

HEALTH

SERVICES 847,270,700 210,229,830 1,057,500,530 881,161,528 218,639,023 1,099,800,551 916,407,989 227,384,584 1,143,792,573

TOTAL 2,854,211,950 1,873,421,687 4,727,633,637 2,993,671,917 1,921,256,259 4,914,928,176 3,113,418,794 2,178,160,850 5,291,579,644

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7.0 CONCLUSION

The CFSP, 2018 is prepared as a guiding tool for budget preparation of financial year

2018/19. It is meant to broadly define the expected revenues and expenditure over the

medium term as well as propose strategies of financing any anticipated deficit. Isiolo County

Government is expected to prepare a balanced budget in financial year 2018/19.

The set of policies outlined in the CFSP reflects circumstances that are in line with the fiscal

responsibilities as outlined in the PFM Act, 2012. They are also consistent with the County

Government strategic objectives pursued as a basis for allocation of public resources. These

strategic objectives are provided in the County Government priorities spelled out in the

national policies and Isiolo CIDP, 2018-2022.

The adoption of Program Based Budgeting (PBB) will ensure that all County resources are

linked to specific projects outputs and outcomes. The use of the Integrated Financial

Management Information System (IFMIS) and the introduction of e-Procurement System will

also make it possible for the County to track the resources to results achieved in a more

efficient manner.

In the budget for the financial year 2018/19, key priority areas of livestock, investment in

surface and underground water resources, road infrastructure network, Health services,

tourism promotion and Education will receive considerate allocation while maintaining

reasonable growth on other County sectors. Allocation of funds to these County key priority

areas will generally reflect the critical needs of the County residents. It is envisaged that the

enhancement of these key areas will drive the County economy up by creating greater supply

hence improving the per capita income of households.