covid-19 bulk system impactsmydocs.epri.com/docs/public/covid19/3002018602r2.pdf · analysis based...
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EPRI Transmission Operations and PlanningMarch 27, 2020EPRI Product ID: 3002018602
Prepared by Aidan Tuohy, Adrian Kelly, Brian Deaver, Eamonn Lannoye, Daniel Brooks, EPRI
COVID-19 Bulk System ImpactsDemand Impacts and Operational and Control Center Practices
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Impact of COVID-19 Shutdown on Demand
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Key Insights: COVID-19 Shutdown Demand ImpactsCompared to data from previous week and year
Italy– 10-21% reduction in peak demand and energy use, increasing over first
week– Load shapes remained largely unchanged with reduction in magnitude
Spain– Up to 15% reduction in peak demand and energy use during first week– Lesser impact during second week – 7-10% reduction
3-15% reduction of peak demand and energy use in first two to three weekdays
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Key Insights: COVID-19 Shutdown Demand ImpactsCompared to data from previous week and year
United States
– New York and California 3-7% reduction in peak demand and energy use in the days following
city- and statewide lockdowns Greater impact during morning peak
– Other regions are starting to show significant energy demand reduction as they enter shutdowns, including regions such as Seattle, WA
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Comparison: Electricity Consumption Mix
Residential demand lower in Italy than other countries examined Potential increase observed in that sector may be less noticeable than other regions
Commercial very similar for Italy, Spain and U.S. as a whole, higher in NY and CA May result in greater impact due to commercial load reductions in those regions
Industry shutting down in Italy may have greater impact in the region
NOTE: Comparison based on annual data. Monthly, state-level U.S. data reflects similar mix (higher industry in CA in summer months).
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Comparison: Electricity Consumption Mix
40%
4%
22%
32%
34%
2%
30%
31%
21%
0%
37%
36%
19%
0%
35%
45%
27%
0%
40%
33%
12%
2%
35%
52%
Industrial
Transport
Residential
Commercial
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%Percentage of Electricity Mix
New YorkWashingtonCaliforniaUSASpainItaly
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Key Insights on Demand Impacts in Italy
Partial shutdown First Days Weekend Day 5-10
3%-4% 10%-14% 6%-10% 18%-22%PEAK REDUCTION
NOTES
PHASE
Lockdown limited to North Italy, as people adjusted to the change
Reduction in weekday peak and energy usage compared week-to-week and year-over-year
Minimal demand, energy use reduction
Weekend demand still lower than weekdays
Peak and daily energy usage down compared to same week last year
NOTE: Analysis does not account for weather differences or non-COVID-19-reated economic factors
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Italy Load – past 3 weeks (2019 vs. 2020)
NOTE: Analysis does not account for weather differences or non-COVID-19-reated economic factors
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Key Insights on Demand Impacts in Spain
First Work Week
First Weekend
Second Week
0%-15% 2%-4% 9%PEAK REDUCTION
NOTES
PHASE
Demand held initially before dropping
substantially as industry closed
Within range of normal weekend
load
Monday showed signs of following first week with ~10% reductions
initiallyNOTE: Analysis does not account for weather differences or non-COVID-19-related economic factors
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Daily Peak Demand in Spain
24000
28000
32000
36000M
onTu
esW
edTh
urs Fri
Sat
Sun
Mon
Tues
Wed
Thur
s Fri
Sat
Sun
Mon
Tues
Wed
Thur
s Fri
Sat
Sun
Mon
Tues
Wed
Thur
s Fri
Sat
Sun
Mon
Tues
Wed
Thur
s Fri
Sat
9 10 11 12 13
2019 2020
Full Lockdown
Week No / Day
NOTE: Analysis does not account for weather differences or non-COVID-19-related economic factors
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Full Lockdown
NYISO Load: March 10-23
Might have been some impact on Friday, but very warm in NY (70F+)
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
March 17-23
March 10-16
NOTE: Analysis does not account for weather differences or non-COVID-19-related economic factors
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Information and disclaimers about analysis
Analysis based on publicly available data from ENTSO-E and EIA:– https://transparency.entsoe.eu/ (account needed to download)– https://www.eia.gov/opendata/
Other factors are not considered but likely to impact load levels– Temperature– Underlying, non-COVID economic factors– Behind-the-meter resources, etc.
EPRI continues to monitor and update this information
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Summary of COVID-19-Related Operations Actions
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Disclaimer
The following information is based on information provided by EPRI member companies.
This summary is intended help inform operational decisions by utilities, system operators, and other industry stakeholders.
Certain utility and system operator practices are highlighted for informational purposes only.
Inclusion of information does not represent a recommendation by EPRI.
EPRI continues to gather information and will update if appropriate.
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Summary of COVID-19-Related Operations Actions (Transmission and Distribution)
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Examples of T&D Operations Actions
Sanitary and Hygiene
• Limit common equipment usage and direct interactions
• Standard issue computer/phone/stationary equipment for operators. Consider paperless control center
• Clean turnovers with no physical interactions• Cleaning/disinfecting/sterilizing. Regular deep cleaning
of control center facilities during the day
Staffing
• Identify key operational staff and monitor health• Temperature checks at building or control center are
being implemented• Non-essential staff work from home• Cancel all face-to-face meetings
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Control Center Strategies
• Split crews and key operational staff into groups• Utilize main and backup control centers, either actively or
to maintain a sterile site• Change shift cycles to limit number of turnovers• Prepare for extended stays / sequestration for control
center staff
Communications and Management
• Form leadership team to report up to country/state response team.
• Review business continuity plans and pandemic response plans.
Planning for infectious outbreak
• Speed up training• Quarantine and contact trace sick member• Communicate impacts with crisis response team
Examples of T&D Operations Actions
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Control Center Buildings and Staffing
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Control Center Staffing – First Approach
Control Center A (main)• Shift crew A with age
and experience diversity
• EMS/IT support A• Shift supervisors A• Key system
operations staff A
Control Center B (backup)• Shift crew B with age
and experience diversity
• EMS/IT support B• Shift supervisors B• Key system
operations staff B
Crews are not mixed. There are multiple shifts in each site and/or handover to an alternate site at end of shift crew cycle.
Utilizing additional operator workstations in storm operations centers, backup control centers, mobile command centers, or regional control centers.
Some control centers have adjusted the shift pattern to 2x12 hour from 3x8 to reduce turnovers and lengthen the cycles in each control center 8-15 days, depending on staff.
Pre-planning for critical staff (such as operators) for extended stays within the control center for up to two weeks. – Backup stock of food or clear supply line to food in each
control center. – Plan for familial/childcare impacts and mental health
aspects of this approach. – Some utilities are restricting control center common area
access. This should be carefully managed.
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Control Center Staffing – Second Approach
Control Center A (main)• Shift crew A with age
and experience diversity
• EMS/IT support A• Shift supervisors A• Key system
operations staff A
Control Center B (backup)• Shift crew B with age
and experience diversity
• EMS/IT support B• Shift Supervisors B• Key system
operations staff B
The second approach involves two control centers with daily changeover.
When changeover occurs, the empty site is deep cleaned and disinfected.
One clean site is always clean in the event of an outbreak. Full sterilization of the site is possible every day.
There is an increase in facility switchover and associated risks.
Daily Changeover
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Control Center Staffing – Third Approach
Control Center A (main)• Normal operations• Shift crew• EMS/IT support• Shift supervisors • Key system
operations staff A
Control Center B (backup)• Sterile site• Locked down• If outbreak in center
A, then move operations to center B
If the backup center is not suitable for an extended period of regular operations, some companies are using a sterile, locked down backup control center and offices in the event the main center is contaminated or a staff member gets sick.
This approach maintains continuity in the main control center.
A hybrid approach is worth considering if available, with two operational centers and a sterile, locked down site.
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Field Operations
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Examples of Industry Field Crew Operations Practices Reporting to work:
– Utilities sending crews directly to remote worksites at staggered times, with some dispatched from home
– Staggering start times at plants and facilities to avoid unnecessary congregation
Driving: – Limiting to one person per vehicle or maximizing distance between two occupants in a vehicle– Eliminating carpooling– Allowing use of personal vehicles by field crews (reimbursing for mileage)– Requiring enhanced cleaning of work vehicle interior
Contractors for field work (non-company employees)– Screening contractors with questions with questions prior to entry– Storing materials away from offices and pre-planning pickup and drop off
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Impacts on Generation Plants
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Examples of COVID-19 Generating Plant Actions(U.S. and Canada) Plant outages
– Postponing where possible
– Minimizing staff and interactions for essential work
Plant operations– Minimal staff onsite, non-essential employees work from home
– Control rooms locked down
– Personnel entering site are screened using IR thermometer
– Sequestering personnel and obtaining backup staffing
– Turnovers and interactions performed remotely (Skype, Facetime)
– Issuing personnel their “own” equipment (keyboards, mice, headsets, etc.)
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Sanitary and Hygiene Basics
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Examples of Steps Taken by Control Centers (U.S./E.U.) Alcohol sanitizing gels, sprays, and/or wipes are made available throughout control center and office. Regular handwashing and hand sanitation emphasized for all staff, especially operators. 20 seconds per
handwash. See government guidelines on correct hand washing practices. Limit or restrict use of common equipment such as phone receiver, mouse, and keyboard, which are
particularly susceptible to germs. Consider standard issue equipment for operators. Each operator responsible for own equipment:
– Wireless computer mouse and keyboards– Phone headsets – Personalize stationary in control center (calculators, etc. )
Wipe all equipment pre- and post-shift. Reports of desks being disinfected three or more times per day. Consider “clean turnovers” – Turnover is given with operators on adjacent desks. When person leaving
shift finishes, he or she wipes down desk and equipment and unplugs headset/mouse from USB point. – Person starting shift begins by wipe down of desk and plug in own headset and mouse– Turnover can also be given between operators on a large screen between the operators or remotely
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Examples of Steps Taken by Control Centers (U.S./E.U.)
Keep at least two meters (six feet) distance during interactions with essential staff members in TCC and during turnover Some utilities considering portable handwashing facilities in control
centers. No reports of implementation. Avoid touching faces, and cover coughs and sneezes. Masks would have to be changed several times daily due to saliva.
With restrictions in place, most companies are not opting for using masks at this point. Consider paperless control centers. Documents and paper can be
vectors. No eating or food at control center workstations.
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Examples of Practices Related to Office Work
If staff have been in an affected area in the past two weeks, leave work and self isolate for two weeks. Managerial briefings conducted electronically by company preferred
means (email, IM, text, video conference). Most companies have:
– Instructed all non-essential staff to work remotely– Restricted access by external people to offices– Restricted access to floors housing control centers, IT, and market systems– Disallowed meetings and walk-throughs on these floors, unless a person’s
desk is there. Controlled by security personnel. General reduction in meetings and interactions.
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Emergency Response Planning and Communications
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Examples of Steps Taken by Control Centers (U.S./E.U.)
Emergency Response Planning• Most companies have enacted business
continuity plans and/or pandemic plans.• Communicate to power stations and advise on
emergency operations. Ensure proper business continuity procedures are in place in critical power stations.
• Test critical station staffing protocols (from blackstart and storm restoration plan).
• Test external communications protocols (from blackstart and storm restoration plan).
• Distribution operations adapting storm restoration plans for the potential that mutual assistance will be unavailable.
Operational, Managerial-LevelCrisis Management Team
Operational, Executive-LevelCrisis Management Team
Country / State Crisis Response Team
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Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity
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3002018602 March 2020