covid-19 county report

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COVID-19 COUNTY REPORT May 3, 2021 St. Luke’s University Health Network Department of Community Health and Preventive Medicine Epidemiology

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COVID-19 COUNTY REPORT

May 3, 2021

St. Luke’s University Health NetworkDepartment of Community Health and Preventive Medicine

Epidemiology

Contents

1 SLUHN Service Area COVID-19 Data Snapshot Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31.1 SLUHN Service Area COVID-19 Total Case Data Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31.2 SLUHN Service Area COVID-19 Long Term Care Facility (LTCF) Data Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41.3 SLUHN Service Area COVID-19 New Cases per 100,000 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51.4 PA DOH Pre-K to 12 School Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61.5 NJ DOH School Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71.6 COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution by Age Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81.7 COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution by Gender . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91.8 COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution by Ethnicity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101.9 CDC Secondary Indicators for COVID-19 Transmission . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

2 SLUHN Service Area COVID-19 Data Visualizations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122.1 Daily New Cases in Pennsylvania Statewide . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122.2 Cumulative Cases in SLUHN Service Area Counties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132.3 Cumulative Deaths in SLUHN Service Area Counties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142.4 New Cases per 100,000 in the last 7 days . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15

1

2

2.5 New Deaths per 100,000 in the last 7 days . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162.6 COVID-19 Hospitalizations in Pennsylvania . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 172.7 Daily New Cases in Lehigh County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182.8 Daily New Cases in Northampton County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 192.9 Daily New Cases in Monroe County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 202.10 Daily New Cases in Carbon County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 212.11 Daily New Cases in Berks County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 222.12 Daily New Cases in Bucks County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 232.13 Daily New Cases in Schuylkill County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 242.14 Daily New Cases in Warren County, NJ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252.15 Daily New Cases in Montgomery County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 262.16 Cumulative Cases Statewide . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 272.17 Cumulative Deaths Statewide . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28

3

1 SLUHN Service Area COVID-19 Data Snapshot Tables

1.1 SLUHN Service Area COVID-19 Total Case Data Summary

Data Sources: PA DOH, NJ DOH, U.S. Census

4

1.2 SLUHN Service Area COVID-19 Long Term Care Facility (LTCF) Data Summary

Data Sources: PA DOH, NJ DOH

5

1.3 SLUHN Service Area COVID-19 New Cases per 100,000

Data Sources: PA DOH, NJ DOH, U.S. Census

*New cases = confirmed + probable

6

1.4 PA DOH Pre-K to 12 School Recommendations

Data Source: PA DOH Monitoring Dashboard:https://www.health.pa.gov/topics/disease/coronavirus/Pages/Monitoring-Dashboard.aspx (Updated Weekly)

*New cases = confirmed only

7

1.5 NJ DOH School Recommendations

Data Source: NJ DOH (Updated Weekly)

8

1.6 COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution by Age Group

Data Source: PA DOH, U.S. Census

9

1.7 COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution by Gender

Data Source: PA DOH, U.S. Census

10

1.8 COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution by Ethnicity

Data Source: PA DOH, U.S. Census

11

1.9 CDC Secondary Indicators for COVID-19 Transmission

Data Sources: PA DOH, CDC

12

2 SLUHN Service Area COVID-19 Data Visualizations2.1 Daily New Cases in Pennsylvania Statewide

1923405594120109177211278

597530567651701782991119714151620146914711498

1771199517581740

11621318113511441238

17151635

1214

9509971184

16761614

13511177

865

12231069

1486

11631324

965854835909

1066

1335

1049

1373

547784747

9261001965

627818

569807904900

725715484434

763625698661

511368595520531461

772

427362490427

523682

434341350345357437523489466454508492591613621

499552588658850790

627534507

906901731908810646407

9151087

775

1038820736745

1044

791834

12201099

847748

1112

8039331005

900

658575

877754796781820794

6408219241006

799843713

455613585

819731797604419575509

623857858

692512

8469481051

933946

667596480

1011

566

1035970

670703

1093

789955786921683568

8738088751026938915

680

1119

868102711311204

981793930

140713421416

1733

11661108

13541281

15761604

1858

12831180

15571432

209621972147

17271670

23492278236925052692

20841989

275928622944

3500

3916

31523377

4332

4818

5510

5942

55415392

4516

5592

6736

7030705269847089

5027

6102

6953

8402

7355

7844

5393

4405

5824

8966

10756

1231712423

8199

7117

10263

8138

12214

12796

11290

9778

8092

9923

10207

9705

9316

10264

6461

7759

8351

9844

8744

7023

7263

5074

3675

9048

9504

83558485

7896

4848

3639

8691

9891

9407

10546

9650

7310

5235

7576

8175

6463

67386852

5788

3988

563855935786

5319

5830

38213803

5093

5556

6988

8421

5492

3962

3355

3714

3101

3342

5065

41484379

2357

4443

3012

4031

3473

3841

2429

1855

2389

34283258

27102710

1868

1481

28392682

2351

33573417

17721685

25342497

3214

2606

2858

15381409

2996

25302758

3054

2809

1909

1395

313532153103

3456

4066

2364

1600

3495

4865

3701

4989

4055

30452888

5407

4387

3826

4891

5481

3254

2667

4996

45234456

5185

4683

3640

2501

7067

5896

4911

5563

5071

2930

2141

5070

44474424

40173970

2865

1860

3778

3289

3669

4386

3042

2450

1519

0

5000

10000

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# N

ew C

OV

ID−1

9 C

ases

COVID−19 New Cases per Day in Pennsylvania

Data Source: PA DOH*Please note, this is a best fit line of the current trend and does not predictfuture trends

13

2.2 Cumulative Cases in SLUHN Service Area Counties

0

20000

40000

60000

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# C

umul

ativ

e C

OVI

D−1

9 C

ases

SLUHN Service Area Counties

Berks

Bucks

Carbon

Lehigh

Monroe

Montgomery

Northampton

Schuylkill

Warren

COVID−19 Total Positive Cases by SLUHN County

Data Source: PA DOH,NJ DOH

14

2.3 Cumulative Deaths in SLUHN Service Area Counties

0

500

1000

1500

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# C

umul

ativ

e C

OVI

D−1

9 D

eath

s SLUHN Service Area Counties

Berks

Bucks

Carbon

Lehigh

Monroe

Montgomery

Northampton

Schuylkill

Warren

COVID−19 Total Deaths by SLUHN County

Data Source: PA DOH,NJ DOH

15

2.4 New Cases per 100,000 in the last 7 days

Substantial COVID−19 Transmission

0

200

400

600

800

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

New

Cas

e R

ate

per

100,

000

(mos

t rec

ent 7

day

s)

SLUHN Service Area

Berks

Bucks

Carbon

Lehigh

Monroe

Montgomery

Northampton

Schuylkill

Pennsylvania

COVID−19 New Cases per 100,000 (last 7 days) by SLUHN County

Data Source: PA DOH, NJ DOH

16

2.5 New Deaths per 100,000 in the last 7 days

0

10

20

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

New

Dea

th R

ate

per

100,

000

(mos

t rec

ent 7

day

s)

SLUHN Service Area

Berks

Bucks

Carbon

Lehigh

Monroe

Montgomery

Northampton

Schuylkill

Pennsylvania

COVID−19 New Deaths per 100,000 (last 7 days) by SLUHN County

Data Source: PA DOH, NJ DOH

17

2.6 COVID-19 Hospitalizations in Pennsylvania

6346

59406026

5852

62956209

5877

5561

5970

5668

6147608660746090

61516142

5925

6077

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462

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487

704656

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966

1187

841

642 637749

564

703652

501

709

1259

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830

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1042

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732

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730

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706603

510

761

463

598627 594

422

1352

2196

709650

561

736

606548

5272

530

662

5230

729

601

1253

1531

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418

1631

589

3459

861

598

1687

3294

918

711

470

4579

667

481

4114

734

1599

1138

736

1267

526519598

522

687

3379

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4253

706687722

1827

558591499

797

4582

653

5421

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600699

1417

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825

483

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514 521

5300

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799

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11701229

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2174

444505

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4882

5962

56775624

2124

4758

54605529

4169

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2061

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1652

5491

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5318

2060

5298

3910

5201

3887

52325204

1717

5069

3790

4980

3768

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2151

3586

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1772

3551

1972

33703280

1962

1795

32813224

1897

3138

1785

3041

1856

1450

2934

1720

29132881

1715

1916

2890

1670

27892687

1648

2548

1980

1628

24522348

2075

2447

15871513

1587

2127

1502 1489

2173

153015131494

2187

2425

1463 1500

2202

14861448.5

4848

1631

18581967

2567

2256

2569

1831

1116

1441

1047

2687 2679

419

1081

1913

992

2777

26442543

1804

1561

1342

2771

172

2673

2157

2305

1563

2376

1433

1062974

2796

605

1629

1911

948

2756

1969

2371

1520 1498

1620

696

2764 2724

1804

1149

2819

906

1510

2237

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2171

2663

2095 2093

1215

2736

1398

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1550

1040

1725

3017

1257

2655

1307

870

1150

252

2464

2070

2630

883

1530

334

2477

2247

1548152915541577

238424512439244124602474

254125802577265726532638

2705

2833284228082702

26562561

249524482447

231822832207

0

2000

4000

6000

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# C

OV

ID−1

9 H

ospi

taliz

atio

ns p

er D

ay

New COVID−19 Patients Hospitalized per Day in Pennsylvania Statewide

Data Source: PA DOH

18

2.7 Daily New Cases in Lehigh County

11610

312

3126

14

43

80

60

100

69

121

219

67

132141

185

133

106

5456

67

52

133

60

98

46

63

3833

83

58

74

5951

4045

31

80

5448

262735

505147

30

72

202632

56

28

46

26222928

35282123

19

7

242020

6

21

101120141417

121320

7141818

10615

6

1825

48

1361521

332417

81212

28

16131376

2022141928

9912202725

18

71623141019

43

182228

39

221415

22

3

1821161515

35

8

202718121312

31212

8889434

14112015

6107

16132022

14

2

20

5

2119151215

11

24

1191312

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3127

15

37

1817

29

1920

9

25

46

25292726

13

272533262624

1821

40

526161

55

65

45515254

111

57

7985

65

103111

133

105107

128

193

203

160

139

156

89

107

161

213

273

234

217

178

138

234232

384

215

123

109

64

291

216

499

394

234

285

295

273

356

300

247

355

291

188

418

329

227

312

224

371

255

302

383

270

208207

174

250

369

339

291

407

121

186

326

340

376

403

462

287

208

240

350

245

310

256

222

124

209

181

211

221

277

126

81

238

183

335

205198

119

107115

6759

132138143

50

190

73

162

104

114

56

35

959890

8077

5151

8884

69

109

87

5857

8177

102

7079

4236

7882

99101

111

7162

115

9294

154

133

7274

149

170

156

167171

117

76

218

149157

143

229

90

114

146142138

203

161

8579

250

140

157

176

129

6260

195

106

152152

170

75

57

9094

120

217

99

62

40

0

100

200

300

400

500

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# N

ew C

OV

ID−1

9 C

ases

COVID−19 New Cases per Day in Lehigh County, PA

Data Source: PA DOH

*Please note, this is a best fit line of the current trend and does not predictfuture trends

19

2.8 Daily New Cases in Northampton County

864129

172016

34

58626972

80

127

47

81

54

8991

55

3644

59

36

74

445057

45

23

72

49

70

6160

3426

130

3642

6767

3227

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12

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46

5558

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25

36

2721

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2

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18

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23

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10121617

4

1615910

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287

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233

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399

313

183

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324

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188

255

193

241

226

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110

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222

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79

58

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110

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107

76

56

128

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190

88

51

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218

176

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95101

232

153

138

170

244

103100

176

160163

188

147

6567

259

139145

194

160

5760

168

109114

145

129

91

71

109

68

104

123

89

68

30

0

100

200

300

400

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# N

ew C

OV

ID−1

9 C

ases

COVID−19 New Cases per Day in Northampton County, PA

Data Source: PA DOH

*Please note, this is a best fit line of the current trend and does not predictfuture trends

20

2.9 Daily New Cases in Monroe County

76

12

3

7

16

31

8

29

48

57

42

48

69

92

38

48

31

66

41

35

28

15

262627

24

34

14

18

8

1819171716

9

23

9

1515

23

18

7

2

13

445

8

13

33

0

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2

678

4

14

11

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6

13321

5

1

7

120

3232201

35

2

534

6

31

7

33

10

44

11

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1

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98

135

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6

1

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44

27

424

13

0

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3

8

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78

42

9

6

34

88

2

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10

5

2

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467

124

7

0

4

7

2012

5

8

1

5

233

6

132

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8

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5

1

6

34

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3

66

22

12

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65

21

76

6159

86

58

45

24

62

8181

70

85

5150

120

8687

74

119

63

46

142

54

109

116

95

65

46

141

81

52

133

111

4446

95

63

81

66

94

68

35

90

66

59

97

76

35

26

0

50

100

150

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# N

ew C

OV

ID−1

9 C

ases

COVID−19 New Cases per Day in Monroe County, PA

Data Source: PA DOH

*Please note, this is a best fit line of the current trend and does not predictfuture trends

21

2.10 Daily New Cases in Carbon County

00010101

654

8

3

810

4

11

5

11

6

14

1

4

01

7

2

5

18

443535

211

42

64

11211

2343

01

6

3

0

43

012133

22010210211

6

1310

5

2020200

3

0231013

0121

4

0131210133

2201343

6

323

8

31

64

7

023

00

4

113121

4200

5

23

6

2

79

320212020102021022

11000

5

0021013122

3344

10

3122222

1

43

75765435

8

43

7

12

8

3

66

1

76

10

78

5

8

14

6

19

33

11

2

16

33

18

3735

22

26

1414

31

35

31

20

2729

3736

33

69

42

21

13

28

56

38

96

70

34

54

3534

41

46

30

47

39

19

65

2625

56

32

63

59

47

57

68

46

23

26

57

72

65

51

76

34

15

63

78

104

124

84

44

31

68

78

5958

62

44

4040

53

35

4240

25

16

49

59

38

30

38

27

16

35

1615

26

37

1515

45

1517

29

21

5

1

17

2523

16

11

34

19

68

2220

6

1

10

7

24

3

15

43

1211

18

11

16

9

2

16

11

30

24

21

14

7

42

28

23

38

32

12

9

40

19

25

22

41

18

8

30

20

27

34

31

11

6

50

26

31

28

21

2

5

39

7

28

15

24

13

6

1615

22

39

17

75

0

40

80

120

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# N

ew C

OV

ID−1

9 C

ases

COVID−19 New Cases per Day in Carbon County, PA

Data Source: PA DOH

*Please note, this is a best fit line of the current trend and does not predictfuture trends

22

2.11 Daily New Cases in Berks County

430251729

2314

3143

17323640

484050

198

108

218

104102998881

117

213

151

4937

84

170

97

7086

34

84

26

6464576963

544837

95

61

124

44313943

62523744

112417

53

17

372314

31181713

61

14

34232115

2311151318131819

12715

71415141914

30

7814131224

7

27

66484

241921161889

162619221923262221

33

55

33

152135202827

14203028242823293025273126

403230

13

38392538373132

392825

393130

14

44354237

45

223135

48

1728

86

2740

634946

3324362843332122

3551

26

494127

57

39443335

85

67827161

36

73647768

106

74

92768796

63

119107

97

128134

106948382

89

119116

86

110115

73

92

151

169

137133

166156

202

167173183

145152156

208

165

137

315

165171176

76

99

313

450

354360

266

290

393

314

379

274

389

233

369

327317

344

273

335

240

280

256

301316323

281270

192

274

392

296

314

285

189

137

462

385

333339

316

299

228

325

384

278

295

342

200

156

328

194

169

258

289

120134

179

217

738

902

211

98

139133

106

132117

157167

90

151

104

127

154

115

4650

129

110

171

68

104

677685

118

69

108101

79

44

9193

218

88

121

5867

9483

129

211

11099

65

151

129126134

327

87

56

145

282

209200

142

120

98

290

186

154169

340

128144

211

149

200204

177

124

91

564

143

223216

191

9496

263

155

215

160

191

146

111

206219

243

179163

75

29

0

250

500

750

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# N

ew C

OV

ID−1

9 C

ases

COVID−19 New Cases per Day in Berks County, PA

Data Source: PA DOH

*Please note, this is a best fit line of the current trend and does not predictfuture trends

23

2.12 Daily New Cases in Bucks County

71011182431

17

36

56

413731

59

83

56647165

83

128

9099

5744

7072

103

126

90

105938987

138

156

129

8583

64

89

170160

116119

778372

88

124

98

154

6777

48

92

6363

42

75

48

8473

4759

24211625

44493636

11172624

31

49

241722

30292625

101481528

142318

1214

38

232927

131214

39

231917

342838

19

36273333

15

3740405351

2632

81

42

19

75

483523

47

26

615053

402932

3831282325

1417

3736363935

2114

32272332

1515142514

50

2734

202934

4556

344128262933

403331

25

52

304233

48393429

3649

32

52

333035483749

27262126

4943

67

3439413628

63

423738324141

83

58

89

64

38

6453

103

8487

7371

104

90

133

165

122

148

171175

238

300303

247

308

236

216225

380

334322324

279

220

288

453

363

427

267

284

225

385

633

698

489493

548

386

330

612

544

574

378

404403

364351

461

397

270

288

423415

384

322

282

206201

511

417

394398

295

250

162

408

433

527

473

343

320320

339

291

346

318

257

224214

175

281

297

251

284

217

175

238248

288

668

268263

179

158

180

158

214217

306

138

183

221226

211

191

170

123115

187

247

123131

86

110

144

161148

202

166

135128

150

129

224

139

197

104101

158146

160

195

151

123

97

186193

177

195

362

162

108

170

333

223

343

245

261

155

396

271282278

366

227

258

283

241

261

313320

196187

433

284

261

331321

187

144

278

295

263

204

245

174

113

191179178

221

167

105

89

0

200

400

600

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# N

ew C

OV

ID−1

9 C

ases

COVID−19 New Cases per Day in Bucks County, PA

Data Source: PA DOH

*Please note, this is a best fit line of the current trend and does not predictfuture trends

24

2.13 Daily New Cases in Schuylkill County

01312343510911

79

17121112

18151515

93

1014

21

997685108

1212

53

11

26

713

83812

486

16

24

191416

6

13

4595

131510

78

1511

69

1

12

3523

0126754556

242

9

1132

1063111

633101

5145321

5463

1711

4402

610

21

1378

558486

111742

53857

334517

002343521

5301

94534

044355

1446453

7

17

6

24191517

9

172117181917

1214

25

40

17192122

39

19

33

4339

2529

46

35

79

3743

51

39

60

33

50

35

424139

3229

53

28

56

86

4954

64

71

61

99

635956

63

93

767076

155

77

122

93

73

3841

93

107

177

160

67

81

98

76

160

176

82

150

138

63

146

163

127

135

126128

153

161

96

124

157

106

54

149

162

96

154

322

111

66

115

214

153

208

162

69

103

130

110106

98

144

91

77

86

76

8482

99

54

26

96

58

67

8681

53

3434

2317

59

4146

12

48

24

3732

49

32

10

2427

37

14

28

1818212019

1618

1110

30

16

26

15

28

16

6

24

12

2219

27

1310

251922

41

302423

32

49

414539

2218

39

57

44

5557

23

12

64

49

41

61

29

45

24

65

4741

48

63

17

9

66

42

53

41

28

36

10

39

52

31

74

19

30

14

0

100

200

300

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# N

ew C

OV

ID−1

9 C

ases

COVID−19 New Cases per Day in Schuylkill County, PA

Data Source: PA DOH

*Please note, this is a best fit line of the current trend and does not predictfuture trends

25

2.14 Daily New Cases in Warren County, NJ

6

4

2

6

87

14

3

15

6

16

3

20

3333

13

20

40

34

30

18

16

42

21

2626

33

20

22

49

21

29

47

30

10

16

44

21

38

32

23

17

21

16

20

5

1111

30

6

43

14

5

2

45

1

8

5

9

11

7

2

556

9

1

77

0

5

89

4

00

33

1

4

1211

0

3

00

4

2

5

23

1212123

8

2343233

01111

2

01

4

22

4

6

9

55

343

65

0

3

0010

6

3

12122

0

5

3

5

2

6

2

0

7

0

211

3

0

332122

0

2

0

4

232

0

23

5

1100

2

432

0

2

000

3322

0

44

233

22

6

1

4

0

4

8

5

2

7

22

8

12

8

4

121110

8

14

111212

13

18

10

16

31

22

333334

30

17

29

36

4243

29

24

5

68

29

37

40

28

26

20

39

53

42

27

19

14

44

46

56

4949

37

51

45

48

37

53

38

67

35

55

53

34

4545

58

37

43

71

45

34

63

32

34

44

42

78

58

26

23

62

34

66

63

73

6868

34

75

60

5758

46

51

24

39

37

83

34

45

41

38

47

43

52

0

56

77

31313031

35

44

26

28

34

31

46

11

19

16

25

40

2021

2525

20

33

26

4344

37

32

36

38

33

31

41

49

30

22

27

33

27

48

4041

29

32

67

52

65

50

45

39

61

37

51

33

27

50

38

58

40

55

48

55

38

25

33

37

32

41

43

55

35

51

43

50

39

41

35

18

27

37

53

29

21

24

11

30

25

18

20

101110

0

20

40

60

80

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# N

ew C

OV

ID−1

9 C

ases

COVID−19 New Cases per Day in Warren County, NJ

Data Source: NJ DOH

*Please note, this is a best fit line of the current trend and does not predictfuture trends

26

2.15 Daily New Cases in Montgomery County

1620

38

1825

113

88

42

72

4647

8687

132

113

154

116

145

168

218

162170

123121

78

125

88

133

115129126

82

150144146

9810488

214

124

148

8886

64

99

48

119

77

125

80

161

29

135

87

69

113102

87

120

53

89

11310995

6350

23

143

71

9892

58

31

7263

95

66

122

3825

63

3847

80

293233253632263029

193132

506652

2843323732

44342022

4047

283840

2419

39

59

31

59

3744354457

35

715958

516246543953

22324342

3232

60

413244364941

59

41

24

47453742

574742

22

40513737

49

32

5040

61525752

41404233343230

5655

23

645540323529

363331

493432

4737445758

48

23354851

6369

4231

5344565358

38385449

747993

76

969696

140

118

148

123

84

128

155

127

201188

156

217

194

267

310314

287

361

203

242

274

362354

386

296298

262277

394

290

411

254

293

234

409

670

645

615

507

325

480

309

668

635

568

442

353

384

434

523539

416

251

327

559

466

483

454

420

298299

412

429

538

452

490

325

187

505

448

842

563

485501

297

375

323

433

407

426

382

298301

271

310

383

331

258

288

263

357351

881

310

271284

236

151

204193

237

328

190

216214221

173

193

131

93

151

232219

178181

127

144158

182

141

231

153140

109

194

138

224

148

246

106113127

149133

223

124

151

111

177176181

217

332

148

108

162

280

230

257273

241

185

329

232

213

313

377

320

258245

263

352

284

307

225

192

494

317

300

339332

235

205

337

241

272

217229

202

154

224226

243235

178

150

84

0

250

500

750

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# N

ew C

OV

ID−1

9 C

ases

COVID−19 New Cases per Day in Montgomery County, PA

Data Source: PA DOH

*Please note, this is a best fit line of the current trend and does not predictfuture trends

27

2.16 Cumulative Cases Statewide

0

300000

600000

900000

1200000

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# C

umul

ativ

e C

OVI

D−1

9 C

ases

State

Pennsylvania

NJ

COVID−19 Total Positive Cases in PA and NJ

Data Source: PA DOH,NJ DOH

28

2.17 Cumulative Deaths Statewide

0

10000

20000

Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021Time

# C

umul

ativ

e C

OVI

D−1

9 D

eath

s

State

Pennsylvania

NJ

COVID−19 Total Deaths in PA and NJ

Data Source: PA DOH,NJ DOH