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CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT IN ISLAMIC BANKS
IFSB-INCEIF EXECUTIVE PROGRAM
29 April 2013
Strictly Private & Confidential
AGENDA
1. ISLAMIC BANKS AND THE FINANCIAL CRISIS
2. RISKS IN ISLAMIC BANKS
3. CREDIT RISK GOVERNANCE & CULTURE
4. CREDIT RISKS BY SHARIAH CONTRACT4. CREDIT RISKS BY SHARIAH CONTRACT
5. CREDIT RISK MITIGATION
6. CREDIT RISK MONITORING AND MEASUREMENT
7. COLLECTIONS & RECOVERY
8. INTERNAL CAPITAL ADEQUACY ASSESSMENT PROCESS
9. Q&A
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ISLAMIC BANKS AND THE FINANCIAL CRISIS
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15 TRILLION US DOLLARS LOST
More than cumulative profits of global banks in history of banking
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1 5,0 0 0,0 0 0,0 0 0,0 0 0
ISLAMIC BANKS WERE MOSTLY SPARED
Three main reasons
-No exposure to derivatives, CDO’s, MBO’s. Financing rooted in real economy
-No international exposures; mostly locally focused bank’s with high proportion of financing activity focused on retail banking
-High capital ratio’s, mostly comprising common equity
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BUT EUROZONE CRISIS CAN CONTINUE TO AFFECT
Islamic Banks could face second round effects
-Real Estate crash (Islamic banks with exposure in Europe?)
-High exposure to assets of which credit quality and liquidity are uncertain (equities, corporate finance)
-Difficult to find high yielding alternative asset classes to invest in without having to compromise on risk profile.
-High exposure to government sponsored infrastructure projects which could be affected if local economies start to feel impact of continued global risks
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EUROZONE CRISIS
From bail-out to bail-in
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BAIL-IN AKIN TO ISLAMIC BANKING MODEL?
Investment Account Holders can lose (part of) notional
-IAH’s share in profit with bank, but are liable to credit and market risk losses
- Strong relationship between IAH and underlying investment (asset). Partnership model
-Will this bail-in help or hurt Islamic Banking model?
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Loss in confidence in Bank’s have resulted in
significant inflows in physical gold and even virtual
currencies such as bitcoin
RISKS IN ISLAMIC BANKS
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RISK PROFILE OF ISLAMIC BANK
Financial Risk Business Risk Treasury Risk Governance Risk
Credit Risk Operational RiskALM RiskRoR Risk
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Market Risk
Equity Risk
Solvency Risk Hedging Risk Reputation Risk
Transprncy Risk
Shariah Risk
Fiduciary Risk
Iqbal, Mirakhor: Introduction to Islamic Finance, theory and practice
Focus of Presentation
CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT IN ISLAMIC BANKS
IFSB Guidelines based on international best practices
• Guiding Principles of Risk Management for IFS
IFSB-1
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• Capital Adequacy Standard for IFS
IFSB-2
• Guiding Principles on Governance for IFS
IFSB-6
• Guiding Principles on Conduct of Business for IFS
IFSB-9
IFSB-1 PUBLISHED STANDARD
On Credit Risk
•IIFS shall have in place a strategy for financing, using various instruments, in compliance with Shariah, whereby it recognizes the potential credit exposures that may arise at different stages of the various financing agreements
Principle 2.1
Principle 2.2
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•IIFS shall carry out a due diligence review in respect of counterparties prior to deciding on the choice of an appropriate Islamic financing instrumentPrinciple 2.2
•IIFS shall have in place appropriate methodologies for measuring and reporting the credit risk exposures arising under each Islamic financing instrumentPrinciple 2.3
•IIFS shall have in place Shariah compliant credit risk mitigating techniques appropriate for each Islamic financing instrumentPrinciple 2.4
CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT IN ISLAMIC BANKS
Based on best practices
• Risk Acceptance Risk Control
• Preventive
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• Risk Acceptance Criteria
• Risk Policies
• Application Scorecards
Underwriting Standards
• (Limit) Monitoring
• Watchlists
• Vintage/Month on Book analyses
• Segmentation
Risk Control• Preventive
management (x-days)
• Rescheduling
• Special debt collection campaigns
Credit Recovery
Feedback Loop
CREDIT RISK GOVERNANCE AND CULTURE
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CREDIT GOVERNANCE STRUCTURE AT BANK ISLAM
Board Financing
Risk Committee BoardBoard Risk
Committee
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Business Credit Risk Analysis
Financing
Committee A
Financing
Committee B
Underwriting and
Committee
Underwriting and
Investment
Committee Management
CRO
CULTURE
Most important element in a bank!
“The norms and
� Horizontal information sharing
� Vertical escalation of threats or
fears
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“The norms and
traditions of behavior of
individuals and of
groups within an
organization that
determine the way in
which they identify,
understand, discuss and
act upon the risks the
organization confronts
and the risk it takes”
� Continuous and constructive
challenging of the organization’s
actions and preconceptions
� Committed leadership
� Incentives that reward thinking
about the whole organization
CREDIT RISKS BY SHARIAH CONTRACT
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CREDIT RISKS BY SHARIAH CONTRACT
Ijarah
-In case of a non-binding Ijarah, the Bank runs the risk of having to sell the asset at a (much) lower price. Bank also runs the risk of residual vale at end of the lease.
- Normal credit risks with respect to
Asset
- Normal credit risks with respect to periodical payments of installments.
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Customer
Fund Flow
CREDIT RISKS BY SHARIAH CONTRACT
Commodity Murabahah / Tawarruq
-Exposed when Bank delivers asset to Customer but does not receive payment on time. Higher risk in non-binding MPO.
- The sequence of the ownership transfer of asset and the fact that 2 traders are involved
Customer
1 3 5 6
asset and the fact that 2 traders are involved could expose the Bank to price risk.
-Normal credit risks of non-payment or not according to contract during the life of the transaction
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Commodity
Trader 1
Commodity
Trader 1
Commodity
Trader 2
Commodity
Trader 2
Asset/Commodity Flow
Fund Flow
2 4
CREDIT RISKS BY SHARIAH CONTRACT
Mudharabah Financing
-Principal – Agent problems; Adverse selection by Customer (info asymmetry)
-Risk especially high when info asymmetry is high and in cases of low transparency (in case Bank does not have appropriate rights
PSRX% case Bank does not have appropriate rights
to monitor participate in management of project)
-In case if misconduct/negligence of customer, Bank’s share of capital is transformed into debt liability (different rules apply to recovering debt)
-Higher capital credit charge
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Customer
Business
Venture /
Project
Fund Flow
Profit Loss
PSR
X%
1-X%
CREDIT RISKS BY SHARIAH CONTRACT
Salam / Istisna
-Bank is exposed to failure of customer to supply on time or at all, or if specifications of goods/project are not according to agreement. Hence payment could not be secured by selling commodities or project.
-Bank usually enter into parallel Salam/Istisna, but contracts must not be linked. Hence if one leg falls away, the bank is still liable to perform under the other leg.
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Customer
(Today)
Customer
(delivery)
Asset/Commodity Flow
Fund Flow
CREDIT RISK MITIGATION
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CREDIT RISK MITIGATION
Techniques
-Know your Client / Enhanced Due Diligence
-Application Scoring Models
-Shariah Compliant Enforceable Collateral and Guarantees-Shariah Compliant Enforceable Collateral and Guarantees
-Clear Documentation
-Operational Considerations
-Proactive Monitoring
-Active Monitoring by Recovery Team
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CREDIT RISK MITIGATION
Shariah compliant techniques (a few examples)
• Must be Shariah Compliant and of monetary value
• May be underlying or other asset
Pledge of Asset
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• Without any consideration received from guarantor
• May or may have recourse to debtor
Third Party Guarantee
• May be wadiah or SIA/GIA
Cash
• As collateral in case of default by lessee
Leased assets under Ijarah
CREDIT RISK MITIGATION
Credit Related Operational Risks
-Higher in Islamic Banks than Conventional Banks
-Complex contracts, limited knowledge by staff, systems sometimes not accommodative
-Cancellation risks in non binding murabahah and Istisna contracts-Cancellation risks in non binding murabahah and Istisna contracts
-Difficulty in enforcing Islamic contracts (higher legal risks)
-Shariah non-compliance risks
-Commodity inventory related operational risks (in case inventory is held)
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CREDIT RISK MONITORING AND MEASUREMENT
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CREDIT RISK MONITORING
Techniques
-Watchlist
-Credit and Customer Profiling (example next slide)
-Pro active monitoring (early detection system)-Pro active monitoring (early detection system)
-Post mortem reviews
-Sector reviews
-Stress Testing
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CREDIT RISK MONITORING
Customer Segmentation (Example)
56%
44%
60%
40%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%Gender - Dec 2010
23%
19%
20%
18%15%
6%
25%
19% 19%
16%
12%9%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Age Bracket- Dec 2010TOS%
5%7%
43%
24%
13%
5%3%
25%
35%
18%
11%20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Financing Size- Dec 2010TOS%
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1% 0%0%
10%
Male FemaleTOS% NPF Rate %
6%
1% 1% 0% 0% 1%1%
0%
5% 0%2% 5%
7%5%
0% 1%1%
3%11%
3% 2% 1%1% 1% 0% 0%0%
0%
10%
2%
25%
48%
14% 11%
2%
19%
47%
14%19%
3%1% 0% 0% 0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Income Bracket- Dec 2010TOS%
0% 3% 5%
53%
38%
1%0%5% 6%
55%
33%
0%0%
0% 1% 1% 0% 4%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Tenor Bracket- Dec 2010TOS%
40%
22%
8%7% 5%
4% 3% 3% 2% 1%4%
29%30%
9% 8%
2% 3% 5% 3%1%
5%4%0% 1% 0%1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0%1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Top 10 Occupations Dec 2010TOS %
COLLECTIONS & RECOVERY
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COLLECTIONS & RECOVERY DEFINITIONS
Collection
A procedure aimed at obtaining the repayment of a
debt after the obligation payment due date. Preventing
account from being impaired or loss.
Recovery
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Recovery
A process to collect money still owed on accounts after
the financial institution has classified the account as
impaired or has written off the account as a loss.
COLLECTIONS & RECOVERY OBJECTIVES
� Maintaining delinquencies/ losses within acceptable limits
� Generate loss recoveries at desired levels
� Counsel clients who are experiencing difficulty in handling debts
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� Ensure consistency with FI’s objectives
� Manage collection and recovery costs efficiently
COLLECTION TOOLS & APPROACH
� Collection system
To assist better management of delinquent accounts
� Reminder letter
Letter to reminder customers on their overdue payment at various delinquent
stage
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� Auto Dialer
Automated dialer machine to improve contact rate
� Short Messaging System (SMS)
Short & Precise message to reminder customers on their overdue payment.
� Internet and Email
To locate customer’s contact and email reminder from the Bank to notify
customers on their overdue payment.
COLLECTION TOOLS & APPROACH
� Outsourcing to External Agency
To locate un-contactable and avoiding customers
� Legal Action
Legal proceeding to accelerate recoveries process
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� Internal Reschedule & Restructure
Risk mitigation program designed to assist customers in financial distress.
� External Arrangement (AKPK for Consumer/ SDRS for Commercial/ Corporate
Financing)
BNM initiatives to assist customer’s / Company that is in financial distress.
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ISLAMIC VS. CONVENTIONAL BANK
ISLAMIC BANKS CONVENTIONAL BANKS
The functions and operating modes of
Islamic banks are based on the principles of
Islamic Shariah.
The functions and operating modes of
conventional banks are based on fully
manmade principles (largely capitalism
theory).
Islamic banks have no provision to charge It can charge additional money (penalty
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Islamic banks have no provision to charge
any extra money from the defaulters
except for compensation (typically such
proceeds is given to charity). Rebates early
settlement at the Bank's discretion.
It can charge additional money (penalty
and compounded interest) in case of
defaulters. i.e. Later Charges
New AQAD for any change of term and
condition of a facility i.e. restructure
program
Not required
INTERNAL CAPITAL ADEQUACY ASSESSMENT
PROCESS
ICAAP
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ICAAP
Measurement of risk and required capital under BIS2
Integration of risk and capital in
strategic decisions and planningPillar 1 risks Pillar 2 risks External factors
Risk governance and control
Credit risk
data issues
Credit risk
Country &
transfer risk
Concentratio
n risk Stress tests / scenarios
Risk appetite / capital
management
Coherence of risks
and results (EL vs LLP)
Roles and
responsibilities
• Supervisory Board
• Executive
Committee
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Market Risk
Market risk
data issues
BIS1 Model risk
Legal risk
Interest rate
risk bank
book
Liquidity risk
Business risk
Strategic risks
Operational
RiskMacro-economic
risksRisk based pricing
Risk adjusted
performance
management
Active credit portfolio
and capital
management
Business planning and
budgeting
management Committee
• Internal audit
• Risk Department
• Finance
Department
• Strategic Planning
• Investor relations
• Branches
Risk governance
• Committees
• Limit system
• Reporting
• Escalations
Minimum Standards for
risk
• Independent
internal control
• Sound risk
assessment
• Risk disclosureRisk Issues Finance IssuesCorporate
Governance
ICA
AP
ICAAP
Specific Credit Risk Issues
-Adequacy of credit risk capital provided under Pillar 1 (compare standardised method with ‘pseudo’ IRB method.
-Credit Migration (PD)
-Credit Mitigation (LGD)
-Single name concentration risk (Herfindahl Hirschmann method)
-Sector concentration risk
-Geographical risk
-Credit Stress Testing (different Shariah contracts might different treatment)
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THANK YOU
www.bankislam.com.my
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THANK YOU
Jeroen P.M.M. Thijs
Chief Risk Officer