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Crime Statistics Victoria Year ending 30 September 2017

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Page 1: Crime Statistics Victoria · Web viewCrime Statistics Victoria Year ending 30 September 2017 Unless indicated otherwise, content in this publication is provided under a Creative Commons

Crime Statistics VictoriaYear ending 30 September 2017

Page 2: Crime Statistics Victoria · Web viewCrime Statistics Victoria Year ending 30 September 2017 Unless indicated otherwise, content in this publication is provided under a Creative Commons

Unless indicated otherwise, content in this publication is provided under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence. To view a copy of this licence, visit creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0. It is a condition of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence that you must give credit to the original author who is the Crime Statistics Agency.

If you would like to receive this publication in an accessible format, such as large print or audio, please telephone Crime Statistics Agency on 03 8684 1808 or email [email protected].

For further information or additional copies, please contact:Crime Statistics Agency

121 Exhibition Street, Melbourne, VIC 3000

Tel 03 8684 1808

Page 3: Crime Statistics Victoria · Web viewCrime Statistics Victoria Year ending 30 September 2017 Unless indicated otherwise, content in this publication is provided under a Creative Commons

ContentsIntroduction.......................................................................................................................................................4

New incident-based statistics...............................................................................................................................................4

In this release........................................................................................................................................................................5

1. Recorded criminal incidents..........................................................................................................................6

1.1 Key movements in the number and rate of criminal incidents........................................................................................6

1.2 Number of criminal incidents by principal offence category...........................................................................................8

1.3 Regional profile...............................................................................................................................................................9

1.4 Criminal incidents arising in the context of family violence..........................................................................................10

1.5 Investigation status......................................................................................................................................................11

2. Recorded offences.......................................................................................................................................12

2.1 Key movements in the number and rate of offences.....................................................................................................12

2.2 Number of recorded offences by the type of offence....................................................................................................14

2.3 Regional profile.............................................................................................................................................................15

2.4 Family violence related offences..................................................................................................................................16

2.5 Investigation status......................................................................................................................................................17

3. Alleged offender incidents...........................................................................................................................18

3.1 Key movements in the number and rate of alleged offender incidents.........................................................................18

3.2 Sex and age of alleged offenders..................................................................................................................................19

3.3 Number of alleged offender incidents by principal offence category............................................................................20

3.4 Outcome........................................................................................................................................................................21

3.5 Key movements in the number of alleged offender incidents by Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander status................22

4. Victim reports..............................................................................................................................................23

4.1 Key movements in the number and rate of victim reports............................................................................................23

4.2 Sex and age of victims..................................................................................................................................................24

4.3 Number of victim reports by principal offence category...............................................................................................24

5. Family incidents...........................................................................................................................................25

5.1 Key movements in the number and rate of family incidents.........................................................................................25

5.2. Demographic characteristics of affected family members..........................................................................................26

5.3 Demographic characteristics of other parties...............................................................................................................27

Appendix 1. Explanatory notes........................................................................................................................29

Appendix 2. Recorded criminal incidents by principal offence – Oct 2012 to Sept 2017................................42

Appendix 3. Recorded criminal incidents by region and local government area – Oct 2012 to Sept 2017.....44

Appendix 4. Recorded offences by offence category – Oct 2012 to Sept 2017..............................................47

Appendix 5. Recorded offences by region and local government area – Oct 2012 to Sept 2017....................49

Page 4: Crime Statistics Victoria · Web viewCrime Statistics Victoria Year ending 30 September 2017 Unless indicated otherwise, content in this publication is provided under a Creative Commons
Page 5: Crime Statistics Victoria · Web viewCrime Statistics Victoria Year ending 30 September 2017 Unless indicated otherwise, content in this publication is provided under a Creative Commons

Introduction This publication presents data on crime reported to, or detected by, Victoria Police with a focus on the most recent 12 month period.

Quarterly crime statistics produced by the CSA are based on a rolling 12 month set of statistics that collate four quarters of data. As such, three quarters from the previous reference period are carried forward into the next 12 month period, with the addition of the most recent quarter. This means that changes that may occur within one quarter will be included in four different crime statistics releases.

Data was extracted from the Victoria Police Law Enforcement Assistance Program (LEAP) database on 18 th day of the month after the reference period.

New incident-based statisticsFrom this release onwards, the summary publication presents data about recorded criminal incidents. The CSA defines a recorded criminal incident as:

A criminal event that may include multiple offences, alleged offenders and/or victims, is recorded on the LEAP database on a single date and as occurring at one location.

The new incident-based statistics enhance the existing suite of crime statistics produced by the Crime Statistics Agency to inform the community’s understanding of crime in Victoria. The key advantages of an incident-based crime measure are that it:

· better reflects how the community experiences crime;· can produces more accurate information about crime trends over time than the existing measure of

offences;· may assist in improving comparability of recorded crime data across states; and· adds another view to existing statistics, increasing access to information about recorded crime.

This incident-based view of the crime rate in Victoria will provide a new headline measure for quarterly reporting within a 12 month period. The previous headline measure - recorded offences - shows the number of detected and reported offences recorded by Victoria Police. The new incident-based headline measure more accurately represents the recorded occurrence of criminal events in Victoria. This is particularly true when examining recorded crime trends over time, as the criminal incident count is more stable and less prone to fluctuation based upon legislative and policy changes than the offence count. It therefore better reflects how people experience crime in the community. An example of the counting rules for the incident-based measure is included in the example below and further information regarding how recorded criminal incidents are derived is available in the Explanatory Notes.

To ensure that all views of crime are still available to users of Victorian crime statistics, the CSA will transition to the use of recorded criminal incidents as the headline measure for recorded crime in Victoria. Offence data will continue to be produced as part of the quarterly statistical releases released through the CSA website and through customised data requests.

4 Recorded criminal incidents – year ending September 2017

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Example of the new incident-based statisticThe following scenario provides an example of how the incident count can be derived and how it relates to the existing counts of offences.

Victoria Police conduct an operation on a property known to be a house used for the cultivation of cannabis. When police officers enter the property, they find five cannabis plants being housed in a room at the back of the property. Whilst searching the rest of the property, police members find three unregistered weapons. When the alleged offender is apprehended, a scuffle occurs resulting in an officer sustaining minor injuries. When this is recorded onto the LEAP system, the following information is recorded:

· C21 Cultivate drugs (1 offence count for the cannabis plants)

· A22 Assault police, emergency services or other authorised offences (1 offence count for the assault)

· D12 Prohibited and controlled weapons offences (3 offence counts for each weapon seized)

As this event is recorded on the system at the same time, and all crimes occurred in the same place, there will be an incident count of 1, with the most serious offence represented as the cultivate drugs offence. However, after further investigation, police determine that the alleged offender had no involvement in the cultivation of the cannabis, but was in possession of the unregistered weapons. Therefore, police record charges for the assault and the prohibited and controlled weapons offences, but do not lay charges for the cultivate drugs offence. The incident will now be represented with the principal charge of Assault police, emergency services or other authorised officer.

In this releaseThe publication presents an overview of:

· Recorded criminal incidents;· Recorded offences;· Alleged offender incidents;· Victim reports; and· Family incidents.

This report highlights the incidents and offences recorded by Victoria Police, the number of times people have been recorded as alleged offenders or as having made a victim report by Victoria Police and the number of times a family incident has been recorded during the most recent reference periods.

The CSA would like to acknowledge the Victoria Police staff and officers who assisted in the provision of data and information.

Crime Statistics Victoria 5

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1. Recorded criminal incidentsThe information outlined in this section represents all criminal incidents recorded in the Victoria Police Law Enforcement Assistance Program (LEAP), where Victoria Police have recorded a crime prohibited by criminal law. These include crimes that have been reported to police as well as those identified by police. For more information about counting rules, please refer to the Explanatory Notes.

1.1 Key movements in the number and rate of criminal incidentsYear ending September

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change 5 year

% change

Criminal incidents 336,356 346,161 359,844 411,056 391,153 -4.8% 16.3%Criminal incident rate per 100,000 5,866.5 5,929.3 6,051.4 6,772.3 6,352.4 -6.2% 8.3%

Victorian criminal incident rate per 100,000 population, 10 year trend

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20170.0

1,000.0

2,000.0

3,000.0

4,000.0

5,000.0

6,000.0

7,000.0

8,000.0

6,067.85,851.3 5,729.4 5,632.1

5,895.8 5,866.5 5,929.3 6,051.4

6,772.36,352.4

6 Recorded criminal incidents – year ending September 2017

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24 month trend testingThe CSA uses a 24 month trend test on each offence subdivision and Local Government Area to highlight changes that are statistically significant. The CSA uses the Kendall’s Rank Order Correlation statistical test (or Kendall‘s tau-b) to determine whether a series is trending upwards, downwards or has been stable over the two years. For more information on the trend test please see the Explanatory notes and for the full data set, please see the recorded criminal incident data tables in Appendix 2 and Appendix 3.

Over the last 24 months, the major offence categories that showed significant upward trends were:

· Sexual offences (up 18.0% from 6,852 to 8,084)

· Robbery (up 12.6% from 2,293 to 2,581)

· Dangerous and negligent acts endangering people (up 13.7% from 3,859 to 4,388)

· Deception (up 8.5% from 19,720 to 21,403)

The major offence categories that showed significant downward trends were:

· Arson (down 24.6% from 3,910 to 2,948)

· Property damage (down 4.1% from 37,570 to 36,018)

· Burglary/Break and enter (down 9.7% from 51,683 to 46,661)

· Theft (down 11.5% from 154,447 to 136,752)

· Justice procedures (down 11.9% from 8,763 to 7,717)

All other major offence categories showed a stable trend over the last 24 months.

Crime Statistics Victoria 7

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1.2 Number of criminal incidents by principal offence categoryIn order to best represent the type of offence associated with a criminal incident involving multiple offences, the most serious offence within an incident is determined and this becomes the principal offence to represent the incident.

In the past 12 months, 62.3% of criminal incidents had a principal offence of Property and deception offences, 15.7% were Crimes against the person, and 11.6% were a Justice procedures offence. Public order and security offences made up 6.2% of all criminal incidents and Drug offences accounted for 3.9%. The remaining 0.2% consisted of Other offences not classified elsewhere.

Victorian criminal incidents recorded by principal offence category and quarter in the past 12 months

Oct – Dec 2016

Jan – Mar 2017

Apr – Jun 2017

Jul – Sept 2017

Total Oct 2016 – Sept 2017

NumberCrimes against the person 15,511 16,401 14,502 15,133 61,547 Property and deception offences 67,872 60,758 58,514 56,643 243,787 Drug offences 4,034 3,704 3,623 3,723 15,084 Public order and security offences 6,347 6,480 5,952 5,629 24,408 Justice procedures offences 11,853 11,644 10,938 11,057 45,492 Other offences 213 246 204 172 835 Total 105,830 99,233 93,733 92,357 391,153

Proportion (%)Crimes against the person 25.2% 26.6% 23.6% 24.6% 100.0% Property and deception offences 27.8% 24.9% 24.0% 23.2% 100.0% Drug offences 26.7% 24.6% 24.0% 24.7% 100.0% Public order and security offences 26.0% 26.5% 24.4% 23.1% 100.0% Justice procedures offences 26.1% 25.6% 24.0% 24.3% 100.0% Other offences 25.5% 29.5% 24.4% 20.6% 100.0% Total 27.1% 25.4% 24.0% 23.6% 100.0%

Victorian criminal incidents recorded by principal offence category, 5 year trend

8 Recorded criminal incidents – year ending September 2017

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2013 2014 2015 2016 20170%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

67.4% 66.2% 64.5% 65.0% 62.3%

14.6% 14.3% 14.3% 14.2% 15.7%

5.6% 7.6% 9.5% 11.1% 11.6%8.3% 7.5% 7.1% 5.8% 6.2%3.9% 4.1% 4.3% 3.7% 3.9%

Property and deception offences Crimes against the person Justice procedures offences

Public order and security offences Drug offences Other offences

In the last 12 months, there was an overall decrease in the number of criminal incidents with a principal offence of Property and deception offences of 23,548 incidents (8.8%). These were driven by decreases in the following subdivisions, all of which showed statistically significant downward trends; Theft by 11.5% (17,695 incidents), Arson by 24.6% (962 incidents), Burglary/Break and Enter by 9.7% (5,022 incidents) and Property Damage by 4.1% (1,552 incidents). Against this trend, Deception offences increased by 8.5% (1,683 incidents), and showed a statistically significant upward trend. The number of criminal incidents with a principal offence of Crimes against the person increased by 5.8% (3,363 incidents) compared to the previous year. This was driven by an 18.0% increase in criminal incidents with a principal offence that was a Sexual offence (1,232 incidents), a 13.7% increase in Dangerous and negligent acts endangering people (529 incidents) and a 12.6% increase in Robbery (288 incidents). All of these subdivisions had statistically significant upward trends. Assault and related offences showed an increase, up 3.0% (1,140 offences), but this was not statistically significant.

Crime Statistics Victoria 9

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Victorian criminal incidents recorded by principal offence category, 5 year trend

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

In the last 12 months, Public order and security offences remained stable with 24,408 criminal incidents. There was a statistically significant downward trend for the Justice procedures subdivision. Compared to the previous year the number of Justice procedures offence decreased by 11.9% (1,046 incidents). The number of criminal incidents with a principal offence that was a Drug offence remained stable at 15,084 incidents in the last 12 months.

1.3 Regional profileIn the last 12 months there was a decrease in the number of criminal incidents in Victoria across all police regions, by 20,280 incidents. The North West Metro and Southern Metro regions decreased by 7.8% and 5.7% respectively. The five Local Government Areas with the highest criminal incident rates were:

• Melbourne (18,334.2 incidents per 100,000 estimated resident population, down 8.6%)• Latrobe (12,945.6 incidents per 100,000 estimated resident population, down 5.2%)• Yarra (11,284.0 incidents per 100,000 estimated resident population, down 7.5%)• Mildura (9,277.2 incidents per 100,000 estimated resident population, down 1.5%)• Greater Shepparton (9,242.9 incidents per 100,000 estimated resident population, down 4.3%)

Further information on the number and types of incidents by Local Government Area is available in the Crime by location tool at www.crimestatistics.vic.gov.au.

1.4 Criminal incidents arising in the context of family violenceA criminal incident is counted as having arisen in the context of family violence when Victoria Police have completed an L17 form and a criminal offence has also been recorded. The following graph highlights the number of criminal incidents that were related to a recorded family incident and those that were not over the past five years.

Victorian criminal incidents recorded by whether family incident related, 5 year trend

10 Recorded criminal incidents – year ending September 2017

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2013 2014 2015 2016 20170

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

Non-family violence related recorded criminal incidents Family violence related recorded criminal incidents

In the last 12 months, there were 14.0% (54,634) recorded criminal incidents that related to a family incident.

Crime Statistics Victoria 11

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1.5 Investigation statusAt the time data was extracted, 26.9% of criminal incidents recorded in the past 12 months ending 30 September in the category of Crimes against the person resulted in an Arrest (16,566 incidents). There were 26.1% of criminal incidents resulting in a Summons (16,086 incidents) and 19.3% remained Unsolved (11,877 incidents). For 21.5% (13,234 incidents) an Intent to summons in the future had been recorded and the remaining 6.1% (3,784 incidents) resulted in either a Caution/Official warning, Penalty Infringement Notice or Other outcome.

Victorian criminal incidents recorded by investigation status, year ending September 2017

Arrest SummonsCaution/ Official warning

OtherIntent to

SummonsUnsolved Total

NumberCrimes against the person 16,566 16,086 511 3,273 13,234 11,877 61,547 Property and deception offences

39,992 16,325 3,113 1,334 8,280 174,743 243,787

Drug offences 7,800 2,011 4,097 19 574 583 15,084 Public order and security offences

5,358 4,383 435 12,240 867 1,125 24,408

Justice procedures offences 22,368 11,919 55 1,869 4,142 5,139 45,492 Other offences 97 385 94 21 71 167 835 Total 92,181 51,109 8,305 18,756 27,168 193,634 391,153

Proportion (%)Crimes against the person 26.9% 26.1% 0.8% 5.3% 21.5% 19.3% 100.0%Property and deception offences

16.4% 6.7% 1.3% 0.5% 3.4% 71.7% 100.0%

Drug offences 51.7% 13.3% 27.2% 0.1% 3.8% 3.9% 100.0%Public order and security offences

22.0% 18.0% 1.8% 50.1% 3.6% 4.6% 100.0%

Justice procedures offences 49.2% 26.2% 0.1% 4.1% 9.1% 11.3% 100.0%Other offences 11.6% 46.1% 11.3% 2.5% 8.5% 20.0% 100.0%Total 23.6% 13.1% 2.1% 4.8% 6.9% 49.5% 100.0%

Other includes: Penalty infringement notice, caution not authorised, complaint withdrawn, notice to appear, no offence disclosed, not authorised, offender processed, warrant issued, summons not authorised, presentment and other statuses.

12 Recorded criminal incidents – year ending September 2017

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2. Recorded offencesThe information outlined in this section represents all offences recorded in the Victoria Police Law Enforcement Assistance Program (LEAP), where Victoria Police have recorded a crime prohibited by criminal law. These include crimes that have been reported to police as well as those identified by police.

2.1 Key movements in the number and rate of offencesYear ending September

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change 5 year

% changeNumber of offences 433,387 455,565 486,887 543,986 517,118 -4.9% 19.3%

Offence rate per 100,000 7,558.8 7,803.3 8,187.8 8,962.4 8,398.1 -6.3% 11.1%

Victorian offence rate per 100,000 population, 10 year trend

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20170.0

1,000.0

2,000.0

3,000.0

4,000.0

5,000.0

6,000.0

7,000.0

8,000.0

9,000.0

10,000.0

7,435.57,090.4 6,897.6 6,942.4

7,286.5 7,558.8 7,803.38,187.8

8,962.48,398.1

Crime Statistics Victoria 13

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24 month trend testingThe CSA uses a 24 month trend test on each offence subdivision and Local Government Area to highlight changes that are statistically significant. The CSA uses the Kendall’s Rank Order Correlation statistical test (or Kendall‘s tau-b) to determine whether a series is trending upwards, downwards or has been stable over the two years. For more information on the trend test please see the Explanatory notes and for the full data set, please see the offences data tables in Appendix 4 and Appendix 5.

Over the last 24 months, the major offence categories that showed significant upward trends were:

· Sexual offences (up 17.9% from 12,351 to 14,564)

· Dangerous and negligent acts endangering people (up 7.8% from 5,539 to 5,972)

The major offence categories that showed significant downward trends were:

· Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour (down 7.0% from 12,679 to 11,788)

· Arson (down 30.3% from 4,487 to 3,127)

· Property damage (down 5.1% from 43,882 to 41,636)

· Burglary/Break and enter (down 9.6% from 54,236 to 49,042)

· Theft (down 8.6% from 187,149 to 171,059)

· Drug dealing and trafficking (down 14.7% from 4,991 to 4,257)

· Disorderly and offensive (down 1.0% from 16,581 to 16,411)

· Justice procedures (down 8.4% from 13,696 to 12,544)

All other major offence categories showed a stable trend over the last 24 months.

14 Recorded offences – year ending September 2017

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2.2 Number of recorded offences by the type of offenceIn the past 12 months, 58.1% of offences recorded were coded to the category Property and deception offences, 15.5% were in the category of Crimes against the person, and 13.5% were a Justice procedures offence. Public order and security offences made up 6.9% of all offences recorded and Drug offences accounted for 5.6%. The remaining 0.3% consisted of Other offences not classified elsewhere.

Victorian offences recorded by offence category and quarter

Oct – Dec 2016

Jan – Mar 2017

Apr – Jun 2017

Jul – Sept 2017

Total Oct 2016 – Sept 2017

NumberCrimes against the person 20,301 20,868 18,988 19,957 80,114 Property and deception offences 83,073 74,959 73,277 69,188 300,497 Drug offences 7,876 7,049 6,934 7,307 29,166 Public order and security offences 9,298 9,351 8,668 8,206 35,523 Justice procedures offences 17,302 18,008 17,303 17,453 70,066 Other offences 466 430 425 431 1,752 Total 138,316 130,665 125,595 122,542 517,118

Proportion (%)Crimes against the person 25.3% 26.0% 23.7% 24.9% 100.0%Property and deception offences 27.6% 24.9% 24.4% 23.0% 100.0%Drug offences 27.0% 24.2% 23.8% 25.1% 100.0%Public order and security offences 26.2% 26.3% 24.4% 23.1% 100.0%Justice procedures offences 24.7% 25.7% 24.7% 24.9% 100.0%Other offences 26.6% 24.5% 24.3% 24.6% 100.0%Total 26.7% 25.3% 24.3% 23.7% 100.0%

Victorian offences recorded by offence category, 5 year trend

2013 2014 2015 2016 20170%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

63.1% 60.5% 59.3% 60.0% 58.1%

15.0% 14.7% 14.5% 14.2% 15.5%

7.8% 10.7% 12.2% 13.3% 13.5%

8.6% 8.1% 7.7% 6.6% 6.9%5.1% 5.6% 6.1% 5.6% 5.6%

Property and deception offences Crimes against the person Justice procedures offences

Public order and security offences Drug offences Other offences

Crime Statistics Victoria 15

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16 Recorded offences – year ending September 2017

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In the last 12 months, the number of offences within the category of Crimes against the person increased by 3.4% (2,651 offences) compared to the previous year. This was driven by an increase in Sexual offences and Dangerous and negligent act endangering people, up 17.9% (2,213 offences) and 7.8% (433 offences) respectively. There was an overall decrease in the number of Property and deception offences of 8.0% (25,984 offences). The subdivisions that drove the decrease were Arson, down by 30.3% (1,360 offences), Property damage, down by 5.1% (2,246 offences), Burglary/Break and enter, down by 9.6% (5,194 offences), and Theft, down by 8.6% (16,090 offences).

Victorian offences recorded by offence category, 5 year trend

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

In the last 12 months, the number of offences within the category of Drug offences decreased by 4.0% (1,231 offences). Drug dealing and trafficking showed a statistically significant downward trend, and decreased by 14.7% (734 offences) compared with the previous year. The number of Public order and security offences decreased by 0.9% (338 offences) compared to the previous year, driven by a decrease in Disorderly and offensive conduct offences by 1.0% (170 offences). There was also a decrease of 8.4% (1,152 offences) in the number of offences recorded for the Justice procedures offence subdivision in the last 12 months.

2.3 Regional profileIn the last 12 months there was a 5.0% decrease in the number of offences recorded in Victoria across all police regions (27,104 offences). North West Metro decreased by 7.6%, Southern Metro region by 5.6% and the Eastern and Western regions decreased by 2.2% and 1.6% respectively. The five Local Government Areas with the highest offence rates were:

• Melbourne (24,968.6 offences per 100,000 estimated resident population, down 8.8%)• Latrobe (18,566.8 offences per 100,000 estimated resident population, down 2.5%)• Yarra (13,869.6 offences per 100,000 estimated resident population, down 11.1%)• Greater Shepparton (12,474.6 offences per 100,000 estimated resident population, down 2.6%)• Horsham (12,433.1 offences per 100,000 estimated resident population, down 13.3%)

Further information on the number and types of offences by Local Government Area is available in the Crime by location tool at www.crimestatistics.vic.gov.au.

Crime Statistics Victoria 17

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2.4 Family violence related offencesA family incident is counted each time Victoria Police complete an L17 form and may or may not involve a criminal offence. For more information on a family incident please see the Glossary located on the website. The following graph highlights the number of recorded offences that were related to a family incident and those that were not over the past five years. While a family incident may not involve any criminal offences, a single incident may also give rise to multiple offences.

Victorian offences recorded by whether family incident related, 5 year trend

2013 2014 2015 2016 20170

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

Non-family incident related offences Family incident related offences

In the last 12 months, 17.5% (90,295) of recorded offences were related to a family incident.

18 Recorded offences – year ending September 2017

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2.5 Investigation statusAt the time of data extraction, 28.8% of offences recorded in the 12 months to 30 September in the category of Crimes against the person resulted in an Arrest (23,046 offences). There were 27.1% of offences resulting in a Summons (21,706 offences) and 16.3% remained Unsolved (13,047 offences). For 18.4% (14,724 offences) an Intent to summons in the future had been recorded and the remaining 9.5% (7,591 offences) resulted in either a Caution/Official warning or Other outcome.

Victorian offences recorded by investigation status, year ending September 2017

Arrest SummonsCaution/ Official warning

OtherIntent to

SummonsUnsolved Total

NumberCrimes against the person 23,046 21,706 541 7,050 14,724 13,047 80,114 Property and deception offences

68,853 28,521 3,250 4,431 10,082 185,360 300,497

Drug offences 19,496 3,341 4,461 75 917 876 29,166 Public order and security offences

12,697 7,229 617 12,350 1,214 1,416 35,523

Justice procedures offences 36,920 19,604 65 2,459 5,180 5,838 70,066 Other offences 291 1,014 118 33 116 180 1,752 Total 161,303 81,415 9,052 26,398 32,233 206,717 517,118

Proportion (%)Crimes against the person 28.8% 27.1% 0.7% 8.8% 18.4% 16.3% 100.0%Property and deception offences

22.9% 9.5% 1.1% 1.5% 3.4% 61.7% 100.0%

Drug offences 66.8% 11.5% 15.3% 0.3% 3.1% 3.0% 100.0%Public order and security offences

35.7% 20.4% 1.7% 34.8% 3.4% 4.0% 100.0%

Justice procedures offences 52.7% 28.0% 0.1% 3.5% 7.4% 8.3% 100.0%Other offences 16.6% 57.9% 6.7% 1.9% 6.6% 10.3% 100.0%Total 31.2% 15.7% 1.8% 5.1% 6.2% 40.0% 100.0%

Other includes: Penalty infringement notice, caution not authorised, complaint withdrawn, notice to appear, no offence disclosed, not authorised, offender processed, warrant issued, summons not authorised, presentment and other statuses.

Crime Statistics Victoria 19

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3. Alleged offender incidentsAn alleged offender incident is an incident involving one or more offences to which an individual, business or organisation has been recorded as an alleged offender. An alleged offender incident represents one alleged offender but may involve multiple victims and offences. One incident may involve offences that occur over a period of time but if processed by Victoria Police as one incident, it will have a count of one in the data presented in this section.

There may be multiple incidents within the reference period that involve the same individual, business or organisation. If there are multiple alleged offenders related to a criminal event, each will have their alleged offender incident counted once in the figures.

Where there were multiple offences recorded within the one incident, the incident is assigned an offence category of the most serious offence in the incident, known as the principal offence.

3.1 Key movements in the number and rate of alleged offender incidentsYear ending September

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1 year% change

5 year% change

Alleged offender incidents 148,752 154,224 157,898 170,117 176,987 4.0% 19.0%

Offender rate per 100,000 2,594.4 2,641.7 2,655.3 2,802.8 2,874.3 2.6% 10.8%

Alleged offender incidents, 10 year trend

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 -

25,000

50,000

75,000

100,000

125,000

150,000

175,000

200,000

108,655 117,503

129,104 127,424 136,194

148,752 154,224 157,898 170,117

176,987

20 Alleged offender incidents – year ending September 2017

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3.2 Sex and age of alleged offendersOf the 176,987 alleged offender incidents recorded in the last 12 months, 176,969 incidents involved a person as the alleged offender. The remainder involved an organisation or other entity.

In the same year there were 140,851 incidents involving a male offender, making up 79.6% of all person offenders, while 35,779 incidents involved a female offender, making up 20.2% of person offenders. The remaining alleged offenders had an unknown sex.

Alleged offender incidents by sex and age, year ending September 2017

10–14

15–19

20–24

25–29

30–34

35–39

40–44

45–49

50–54

55–59

60–64

65 +

4,229

20,212

21,299

22,298

20,185

17,313

13,325

9,687

5,209

2,836

1,514

1,864

1,759

4,661

5,390

5,771

5,139

4,262

3,307

2,409

1,357

685

324

359

Females Males

The number of male offender incidents increased by 3.4% (4,655 incidents) from the previous year. Incidents involving a female offender also increased by 6.3% (2,128 incidents) from the previous year.

Male offenders between 15–29 years of age accounted for just under half of all male offenders in the year ending September 2017 (45.3% or 63,809 incidents). For female offenders, a similar proportion (45.6% or 16,300 incidents) were between 20–34 years of age.

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3.3 Number of alleged offender incidents by principal offence categoryIn order to best represent the type of offence associated with an incident involving multiple offences, the most serious offence within an incident is determined and this becomes the principal offence to represent the incident.

By principal offence, the category that made up the largest proportion of offender incidents was Property and deception offences. These offences made up 38.2% (67,535 incidents) of all offender incidents, which was a 5.9% (3,785 incidents) increase from the previous year.

Alleged offender incidents by principal offence, 5 year trend

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

In the past five years, the number of alleged offender incidents with a principal offence of Crimes against the person has been steadily increasing. In the last 12 months, Crimes against the person made up 27.1% of all offender incidents.

Alleged offender incidents with a principal offence of Drug offences have remained stable in the past year comprising 14,223 alleged offender incidents. This offence division made up 8.0% of all offender incidents.

Offender incidents with a principal offence category of Justice procedures offences decreased to 25,728 incidents. This was driven by a decrease in incidents involving Breaches of orders to 22,520 incidents, while Justice procedures rose by 3,208 offender incidents (7.7%).

22 Alleged offender incidents – year ending September 2017

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3.4 Outcome As at 18 October 2017, over a third (40.1% or 70,986) of all offender incidents recorded in the past 12 months resulted in an Arrest, while 47,024 (26.6%) resulted in a Summons and 34,821 (19.7%) in an Intent to Summons being recorded. There were 10,059 (5.7%) offender incidents where a Caution or Official warning was issued.

An Intent to Summons is an interim investigation status and is not necessarily the final outcome of an incident. As the data is captured at a point in time, the investigation status of each incident is subject to change.

Alleged offender incidents by outcome, year ending September 2017

Arrest Summons Caution/Official warning

Intent to summons Other0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

Other includes: Penalty infringement notice, not authorised, warrant issued, notice to appear, presentment and other statuses.

Crime Statistics Victoria 23

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3.5 Key movements in the number of alleged offender incidents by Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander statusAboriginal or Torres Strait Islander status for alleged offender incidents are based on the most frequent recording of the Indigenous status for each offender.

Under this counting rule, a person has either a yes or no response to the Standard Indigenous Question on their record, then the most frequently appearing response is taken as correct. If the person only has one meaningful response (‘yes’ or ‘no’), then that response stands across all records. If a person appears in the dataset two different times with a ‘yes’ and a ‘no’ in the records, a ‘yes’ response is taken over a ‘no’ response. For more information on how this counting rule operates please see the Explanatory notes. There has been a decline in the quality of reporting for Indigenous status, with the number of offender incidents with an Unknown Indigenous status increasing by 75.5% in the last five years, which may impact on trend analysis.

Alleged offender incidents by Indigenous status, 5 year trend

Year ending September

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1 year% change

5 year% change

Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander 8,290 8,765 9,577 10,411 11,101 6.6% 33.9%

Non-Indigenous 121,800 124,363 124,306 131,956 133,166 0.9% 9.3%

Unknown 18,632 21,079 23,988 27,744 32,703 17.9% 75.5%

Total 148,722 154,207 157,871 170,111 176,970 4.0% 19.0%

Alleged offender incidents by Indigenous status and age, year ending September 2017

10–14

15–19

20–24

25–29

30–34

35–39

40–44

45–49

50–54

55–59

60–64

65 +

6.9%

18.4%

15.9%

16.4%

12.9%

11.2%

8.1%

5.7%

2.5%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

2.7%

12.8%

15.2%

16.6%

15.2%

12.6%

9.6%

6.8%

3.6%

1.9%

1.0%

1.3%

Non-Indigenous Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander

The age distribution for Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander persons varies in comparison to non-Indigenous populations in Australia. On average, Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander persons tend to be younger than the non-24 Alleged offender incidents – year ending September 2017

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Indigenous population. For these statistics, the CSA has not controlled for these differing age populations.

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4. Victim reportsA victim report is counted when an individual, business or organisation reports that they have been a victim of one or more criminal offences to Victoria Police and a record is made in LEAP. A victim report involves only one victim but can involve multiple offences and alleged offenders. One report may involve offences that occur over a period of time but if processed by Victoria Police as one report it will have a count of one in the data presented in this section.

Where there were multiple offences recorded within the one victim report, the report is represented by an assigned offence category of the most serious offence, this is known as the principal offence.

4.1 Key movements in the number and rate of victim reportsYear ending September

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change 5 year

% changeVictim reports 278,580 281,996 288,757 332,849 308,680 -7.3% 10.8%Victimisation rate per 100,000 4,858.8 4,830.3 4,855.9 5,483.8 5,013.0 -8.6% 3.2%

Victim reports, 10 year trend

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20170

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

290,203280,465

266,837 265,251280,878 278,580 281,996

288,757

332,849

308,680

26 Victim reports – year ending September 2017

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4.2 Sex and age of victimsIn the last 12 months, 226,115 victims were people and 82,565 victims were businesses or organisations.

The section below outlines the demographic characteristics where the victim is a person and where this information was recorded by Victoria Police. Of the 220,451 victim reports where a sex was recorded, 55.2% (121,708 victim reports) involved a male victim, while 44.8% (98,743 victim reports) involved a female victim.

Victim reports by age group and sex, year ending September 2017

00–0910–1415–1920–2425–2930–3435–3940–4445–4950–5455–5960–6465–6970–74

75 +

1,3842,112

5,67512,588

15,34814,904

12,56811,56311,252

9,3217,764

5,7544,118

2,6372,731

1,2722,485

6,22011,575

12,71411,775

10,5489,424

9,0266,760

5,1813,551

2,5171,653

2,266

Females Males

Patterns of age are similar between men and women who made a victim report with Victoria Police, however proportionally, female victims are concentrated in the younger age groups with 21.8% of female victims below 25 years of age compared to 17.9% of males. There were slightly more male victims in the older age groups than females, with 35.8% of males aged 45 and over compared with 31.3% of women.

Victims of a Property and deception offence were more likely to be males, making up 57.5% (93,176) of the victim reports in this offence category. For the offence category Crime against the person, females were more likely than males to be victims with 52.6% (33,737) of this offence category.

4.3 Number of victim reports by principal offence categoryIn order to assign an offence type to a victim report with multiple offences, the most serious offence within a report is determined and this becomes the principal offence for the victim report.

Of the 308,680 victim reports in the last 12 months, 244,075 (79.1%) had a principal offence of Property and deception offences, 64,544 reports (20.9%) were Crimes against the person and Other offences (61 reports) made up the remainder of all victim reports.

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5. Family incidentsA family incident is an incident attended by Victoria Police where a Victoria Police Risk Assessment and Risk Management Report (also known as an L17 form) was completed and recorded on LEAP.

5.1 Key movements in the number and rate of family incidentsYear ending September

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change 5 year

% changeFamily incidents 62,447 66,010 72,375 78,814 75,374 -4.4% 20.7%Family incident rate per 100,000 1,089.2 1,130.7 1,217.1 1,298.5 1,224.1 -5.7% 12.4%

Family incidents, 5 year trend

2013 2014 2015 2016 20170

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

62,44766,010

72,375

78,81475,374

For more information on family incident rates by Local Government Area, please see the family incident data tables.

28 Family incidents – year ending September 2017

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Family incidents, 5 year trend by month

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000201320142015

Over the last 12 months, there were between 5,676 and 7,231 family incidents recorded per month. The months with the highest number of recorded family incidents were December 2016 (7,231 incidents), January 2017 (7,175 incidents), and November 2016 (6,715 incidents). This is consistent with the peak in family incidents in previous years.

5.2. Demographic characteristics of affected family membersAn ‘affected family member’ is the individual who is deemed to be affected by events occurring during the family incident. Where an affected family member has been affected by more than one other party within a family incident, they will be counted for each involvement.

For example, where a family incident involves three affected family members and one other party, each affected family member will be counted separately, making a count of three.

In the last 12 months, 74.7% (56,297) of the 75,375 affected family members were female, while 24.9% (18,800) were male.

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Affected family members by age and sex, year ending September 2017

00–0405–0910–1415–1920–2425–2930–3435–3940–4445–4950–5455–5960–64

65+

359818

1,1541,224

1,6551,7051,737

1,8141,9091,853

1,399984

6831,266

298634

1,5763,784

6,5036,994

7,5167,293

6,3245,535

3,3532,132

1,3762,137

Females Males

Of the 56,297 female affected family members, 13.4% (7,516) were aged between 30–34 years and another 13.0% (7,293) were aged between 35–39 years. Females aged between 20–44 years made up 61.5% (34,630) of female affected family members.

The largest age group of male affected family members was 40–44 years which accounted for 10.2% (1,909) of all male affected family members.

5.3 Demographic characteristics of other partiesThe other individual involved in a family incident is referred to as the ‘other party’. The other party could be a current partner, former partner or a family member. Where the other party is involved with multiple affected family members, they will be counted for each involvement.

For example, where a family incident involves one affected family member and two other parties, each other party will be counted separately, making a count of two.

In the last 12 months there were 75,376 other parties recorded, of which 76.2% (57,399) were male and 23.2% (17,522) were female.

30 Family incidents – year ending September 2017

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Other party by age and sex, year ending September 2017

00–09

10–1415–19

20–2425–29

30–3435–3940–44

45–4950–54

55–5960–64

65 +

77

1,1494,218

6,5187,960

8,2708,340

7,375

5,8943,278

1,674914

1,255

19

7051,643

2,1652,308

2,3922,344

2,070

1,717905

455244351

Females Males

Of the male other parties, 67.0% (38,463) were aged between 20–44 years. Females aged between 20–44 years made up 64.4% (11,279) of all female other parties.

For more information on the demographic characteristics of affected family members and other parties, please see the family incident data tables.

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Appendix 1. Explanatory notesThe Crime Statistics Agency (CSA) presents statistics about the characteristics of crime recorded on the Victoria Police Law Enforcement Assistance Program (LEAP). The following explanatory notes are designed to provide additional information about the data the CSA receives from Victoria Police, how it is processed and how to interpret the summary statistics.

Data sourceThe crime statistics produced by the CSA are derived from administrative information recorded by Victoria Police and extracted from the LEAP database. Victoria Police provides this information to the CSA 18 days after the reference period.

As the LEAP database is a live operational data system and updated regularly, the data presented reflects only the information in the database at the date and time of extraction. This means that as additional quarters of data are released by the CSA, the data relating to previous periods may change as data are updated in LEAP, investigations progress and cases are completed by Victoria Police.

Scope and coverageThe CSA recorded crime collection includes all offences that are reported to, and detected by, Victoria Police and recorded on the LEAP database. The scope and coverage of the data, however, is not representative of all crime that occurs in Victoria. Some crimes may not be recorded on LEAP, not be reported to police, or the responsibility for responding to certain offences may lie with another agency.

The following data are not available to the CSA and are not included in these statistics:· missing person details;· police custody information;· traffic infringements;· regulatory activity not directly undertaken by Victoria Police, including infringement issuing and

management;· Victoria Police staff and human resource management information (including financial and asset

information);· information about Victoria Police operations and taskforces;· areas of Victoria managed by federal agencies, such as crown land and Melbourne airport, which are under

the jurisdiction of the Australian Federal Police;· investigations managed by Australian Government agencies, such as the Australian Crime Commission; and· information related to prosecutions.

Data in the CSA Crime by location tool excludes offences that are recorded in LEAP but were committed at “Other locations in Victoria” such as Unincorporated Victoria or Justice institutions and immigration facilities, outside Victoria, and where an LGA is not recorded. This is because these offences cannot be meaningfully rendered on the map of Victoria.

32 Explanatory notes

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Comparisons between Victoria Police and Crime Statistics Agency statisticsThe following outlines differences in the scope and counting rules of recorded crime statistics produced by Victoria Police and the CSA. Crime statistics previously produced by Victoria Police excluded the following Penalty Infringement Notices (PINs) which are now included in CSA counts:

· 549MP - CONTRAVENE POLICE DIRECTION TO MOVE ON· 596A - DRUNK IN PUBLIC PLACE· 596B - DRUNK AND DISORDERLY IN PUBLIC PLACE· 599HC - BEHAVE IN DISORDERLY MANNER PUBLIC PLACE

Where a single offence has multiple weapons recorded against it, Victoria Police historically selected the first weapon to appear on the dataset for the particular offence. The CSA selects the most serious weapon that appears on the record (for example, a handgun will be selected over a knife, and so on).

Offence categoriesThe CSA developed an offence classification for statistical output purposes. This offence classification has been mapped to all raw offences recorded by Victoria Police. In comparison with the categories used historically by Victoria Police for statistical reporting, the CSA offence classification contains more detailed categories and reduced the number of offences mapped to Other, Missing and Unknown categories.

Due to these differences and additional changes to the calculation of rates, the CSA advises that data previously published by Victoria Police should not be compared with CSA recorded crime statistics.

Reference periodsThe reference period is the length of time that the statistics relate to. The CSA will produce three quarterly year-to-date statistical reports a year, and one annual statistical report for the financial year. Each report is based on 12 months of data with different reference periods. This is outlined in the table below:

Report title Reference period Month of release

Year ending 30 September 1 October to 30 September December

Year ending 31 December 1 January to 31 December March

Year ending 31 March 1 April to 31 March June

Annual report to 30 September 1 July to 30 September September

The ‘Latest crime data’ section of the website shows the most recently published statistics, and links to the previous three quarters. The data presented in the crime by location map covers the most recent five years of statistics.

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Composition of quarterly data for statistical reportingQuarterly crime statistics produced by the CSA are based on a rolling 12 month set of statistics that collate four quarters of data. As such, three quarters from the previous reference period are carried forward into the next 12 month period, with the addition of the most recent quarter. This means that changes that may occur within one quarter will be included in four different crime statistics releases.

The reference period will be different depending on the period of time that the rolling 12 months of data covers. For example, data for the January to December reference period refers to the 12 month period beginning on the 1st of January through to the 31st of December of that year. In the March to April reference period that directly follows the January to December period, nine months of data from the previous reference period (March to December) is used with three months of new data (January to March) to compile a 12 month time period for analysis. This is outlined in the diagram below:

 

2016 2017January –

MarchApril – June

July – September

October – December

January – March

April - JuneJuly –

SeptemberJan - Dec 2016      

Apr 2016 - Mar 2017      

Jul 2016 - Jun 2017    

Oct 2016 - Sept 2017

Reference periods based on the date records are createdThe reference periods are based on the date that information is created in LEAP, regardless of when the offence occurred or when it was reported to police. The date the record was created is used because it is the date most consistently recorded on LEAP.

Counting methodology

Offences recordedRecorded offences include any criminal act or omission by a person or organisation for which a penalty could be imposed by the Victorian legal system.

For the purposes of CSA statistics, an offence is counted and included in the data where it:• was reported to, or detected by, Victoria Police; and,• was first recorded in LEAP within the reference period.

The exception to this is those offences that are out of scope of the data collected by the CSA.

Depending on the type of offence committed and the outcomes of investigation, police may either initiate a court or non-court legal action against an offender. Non-court legal actions comprise legal actions such as informal or formal cautions or warnings and the issuing of penalty notices, which do not require an appearance in court.

Offences that are recorded but remain unsolved at the date the data was extracted are included in the CSA dataset.

34 Explanatory notes

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Date of record creation

Recorded offence data are compiled on the basis of the date that the offence was created on the LEAP database, rather than the date the offence was detected by, or reported to police. The create date may not be the date when the offence occurred, or the date when the offence came to the attention of police.

The date the record was created is used because it is the date most consistently recorded on LEAP, and cannot be edited or updated. The date the offence was reported and the date the offence was committed can both be updated and changed at any stage of an investigation.

The date the offence was reported is included on the LEAP dataset provided to the CSA, but after conducting a quality assessment, the CSA has determined that the coverage of report date information in the data is of insufficient quality to support reliable calculation of the offence population on this date. The use of report date for statistical purposes will continue and be reviewed in the future as coverage and data quality improves.

Recorded criminal incidentsA recorded criminal incident is a criminal event that may include multiple offences, alleged offenders and/or victims that is recorded on the LEAP database on a single date and at one location.

Any incidents where Victoria Police have deemed that no offence occurred, or where no further police action is required (such as warrants or summons not authorised) are excluded from the criminal incident counts. The exception to this are incidents that have occurred and been recorded by police, but where a person later withdraws their complaint. As these still represent a criminal incident, they will continue to be included in the recorded crime statistics.

Where there were multiple offences or charges recorded within one criminal incident, a single offence or charge is assigned to represent the most serious crime committed for statistical purposes, known as the principal offence (see Principal variable calculations).

Date of record creation

Recorded criminal incident data are compiled on the basis of the date that the offence was created on the LEAP database. The record creation date may not be the date when the offence occurred, or the date when the offence came to the attention of police.

Victim reportsA victim report is counted when an individual, business or organisation reports that they have been a victim of one or more criminal offences to Victoria Police and a record is subsequently made in LEAP. A victim report count involves only one victim but can involve multiple offences and alleged offenders. One report may involve offences that occur over a period of time but if processed by Victoria Police as one report it will have a count of one in the published figures. If there are multiple victims related to a criminal event, each will have their victim report counted once in the published figures.

An individual, business or organisation can be counted as a victim more than once within the reference period, if they have made more than one separate report to Victoria Police.

Where there were multiple offences recorded within the one victim report, the report is represented for statistical purposes by an assigned offence category of the most serious offence. This is known as the principal offence (see Principal variable calculations).

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36 Explanatory notes

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Date of record creation

Victim reports data are compiled on the basis of the date that the principal offence was created on the LEAP database. The record creation date may not be the date when the offence occurred, or the date when the offence came to the attention of police.

The date the record was created is used because it is the date most consistently recorded on LEAP, and cannot be edited or updated. The date the offence was reported and the date the offence was committed can both be updated and changed at any stage of an investigation.

Alleged offender incidentsAn alleged offender incident is an incident involving one or more offences to which a person, business or organisation has been linked as an alleged offender. An alleged offender incident represents one alleged offender but may involve multiple victims and offences. One incident may involve offences that occur over a period of time but if processed by Victoria Police as one incident it will have a count of one in the data presented in this section. If there are multiple alleged offenders related to a criminal event, each will have their alleged offender incident counted once in the published figures.

There may be multiple incidents within the reference period that involve the same individual, business or organisation as an offender. Where there were multiple offences recorded within the one incident, the incident is assigned an offence category of the most serious offence in the incident for statistical purposes, known as the principal offence (see Principal variable calculations).

Date of result

Alleged offender incidents are compiled on the basis of the date that a result was recorded on the LEAP database. The date of result is used because it is the most consistent date recorded on LEAP and directly corresponds to the status of investigation relating to the incident.

Family incidentsA family incident is an incident attended by Victoria Police where a Victoria Police Risk Assessment and Risk Management Report (also known as an L17 form) was completed.

A family incident can involve one or more affected family members and/or one or more other parties. For statistical purposes, these are counted as one incident but may appear multiple times in demographic counts.

The overall increase in the number of recorded family incidents in the past five years has in part been due to improved recording of incidents. Since 2011, initiatives such as the Family Violence Code of Practice have been put in place by Victoria Police to improve the recording of family incidents, the individuals involved and the offences committed.

Demographic characteristics of affected family members and other parties

An ‘affected family member’ is the individual who is deemed to be affected by events occurring during the family incident. The other individual involved in a family incident is referred to as the ‘other party’. The other party could be a current partner, former partner or a family member.

Where an affected family member has been affected by more than one other party within a family incident, they will be counted for each involvement. For example, where a family incident involves three affected family members and one other party, each affected family member will be counted separately, making a count of three.

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Where the other party is involved with multiple affected family members, they will be counted for each involvement. For example, where a family incident involves one affected family member and two other parties, each other party will be counted separately, making a count of two.

Where an individual is involved in multiple family incidents within the reference period they will be counted for each incident that they are involved in.

Date of record creation

Family incidents data are compiled on the basis of the date that the incident was created on the LEAP database. The record creation date may differ from the date when the incident occurred, or the date when the incident came to the attention of police.

The date the record was created is used because it is the date most consistently recorded on LEAP, and cannot be edited or updated.

Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander status ‘most frequent’ ruleA ‘most frequent’ rule has been adopted as the primary counting rule for the Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander status of offenders in CSA recorded crime statistics. Under this counting rule, a person has either a yes or no response to the Standard Indigenous Question (SIQ), then the most frequently appearing response is taken as correct. If the person only has one meaningful response (‘yes’ or ‘no’), then that response stands across all records. If a person appears in the dataset two different times with a ‘yes’ and a ‘no’ in the records, a ‘yes’ response is taken over a ‘no’ response. Figures 1 and 2 illustrate how this counting rule operates in two different scenarios.

A most frequent response may be less susceptible to data entry error, as a person with a number of appearances would require multiple incorrect responses in the dataset to be incorrectly assigned. The more entries a person has in the dataset, the greater the likelihood that their data is correct. The only exception to this would be where a person wishes to change the way they identify and respond to the question over time. This would not be recognised until the majority of a person’s entries in the database reflected their current status. This rule is also dependent upon the SIQ being asked and recorded on each occasion.

Figure 1. Illustrative example of the application of a ‘most frequent’ derivation rule to output from the Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander status variable relating to an offender

38 Explanatory notes

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Figure 2. Illustrative example of the application of a ‘most frequent’ derivation rule to output from the Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander status variable relating to an offender

Principal variable calculationsSome variables in the recorded crime dataset may legitimately have more than one item recorded against them. To represent this data in a summary form, the multiple responses are ordered using hierarchical classifications, which allow the CSA to select a principal response to represent each record.

Principal offenceOffence categories presented in the criminal incidents, alleged offender incidents and victim report tables refer to the principal offence representing the incident. Where there is only a single offence attached to a unique incident, that offence is the principal offence by default. Where multiple offences are recorded within the same incident, a principal offence is assigned using the CSA Offence Index.

For criminal incidents, the CSA will represent the incident by displaying the most serious charge laid. If no charges were laid, the most serious offence recorded will be presented.

CSA Offence Index

The CSA Offence Index is a tool by which the seriousness of offence types can be ranked against each other in order to calculate the most serious offence (principal offence). The CSA Offence Index was largely adapted from the Australian Bureau of Statistics National Offence Index (cat. no. 1234.0.55.001). The diagram below describes examples of how the principal offence is determined based on seriousness.

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Example Incident A: Where an incident involves one offence of Murder, one offence of Stalking and one offence of Breach of bail, the principal offence would be presented as Murder.

Example Incident B: Where an incident involves one offence of Serious assault and one offence of Offensive language, the principal offence would be presented as Serious assault.

Example Incident C: Where an incident involves only one offence of Graffiti, then the principal offence would be presented as Graffiti by default.

Location typeFor offences where more than one location type is recorded, the location type is selected based on the following hierarchy:

1. Residential location2. Community location3. Other location

For more information on the location type index, please see the location type classification.

Relationship of victim to alleged offenderFor victim reports where more than one relationship type is recorded, the relationship type is selected based on the following hierarchy:

1. Current partner2. Former partner3. Family member4. Non family member5. Not known to victim (stranger)6. Unknown or not recorded relationship

For more information on the relationship type index, please see the relationship type classification.

40 Explanatory notes

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Regional statisticsRecorded crime statistics for offences, criminal incidents, alleged offender incidents, victim reports and family incidents are presented by Police Region and Local Government Area (LGA). The CSA also presents offences and criminal incidents data by postcode and suburb in the offences and recorded incidents data visualisations. For more information on the geographic locations used in the CSA data please see the geographic location hierarchy.

Improved location information The CSA has analysed the recording of geographic data in LEAP and has found that there are some inconsistencies which impact the overall quality of location-specific information. The CSA has used a combination of different location variables received from Victoria Police to improve the quality of location data, which better represents where a specific incident occurred. This work has improved the quality of location-based information to inform the public about where crime occurs across the state, and has been implemented for offences and recorded incidents data. These changes are visible in the data published in the year ending June 2017 release onwards.

Justice and Immigration Institutional Facilities For the purposes of statistical reporting, a number of facilities are now counted separately from the LGA, postcode or locality in which they are located. These include correctional facilities, youth justice facilities and immigration detention centres, and are categorised as ‘Justice institution or immigration facility’. These facilities are counted separately in the year ending June 2017 release onwards.

The CSA has identified justice institutions or immigration facilities by using their street address, location type and location description information. If there is uncertainty about where an incident occurs, the CSA will continue to show the offence in the crime counts for the area (at LGA, postcode or suburb level).

The following are included in the ‘Justice institution or immigration facility’ category:

• Barwon Prison• Beechworth Correctional Centre• Dame Phyllis Frost Centre• Dhurringile Prison• Fulham Correctional Centre• Hopkins Correctional Centre (inc. Corrella Place)• Judy Lazarus Transition Centre• Langi Kal Kal Prison (inc. Emu Creek)• Loddon Prison (including the Middleton Annexe)

• Malmsbury Youth Justice Centre• Maribyrnong Immigration Detention Centre• Marngoneet Correctional Centre (including the

Kareenga Annexe)• Melbourne Assessment Prison• Melbourne Youth Justice Centre (Parkville)• Metropolitan Remand Centre• Port Phillip Prison• Tarrengower Prison

Incidents that occur at facilities such as Corella Place or Emu Creek are included in this category, as the CSA cannot effectively distinguish between these locations and the adjacent prison using the location recorded by Victoria Police.

The following locations have been excluded from this category:

• Melbourne Custody Centre – This centre cannot be distinguished from the courts in the data, and is not deemed a justice institution that permanently holds prisoners. However, convicted or unconvicted persons may be detained temporarily in these facilities.

• Thomas Embling Hospital – This hospital is a partially secure facility that treats patients from within the criminal justice system and the mental health system, however not all patients within this facility are serving correctional sentences.

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• Wulgunggo Ngalu Learning Place –this is a transitional facility for offenders on Community Corrections orders and is used to provide services such as employment, education and life skills.

• Police cells – as police cells are managed by Victoria Police and do not permanently hold convicted offenders, these are not considered justice institutions or immigration facilities. However, convicted or unconvicted persons may be detained for a short period of time in these facilities.

Any incidents that occur at these locations will still be included in localised crime counts.

Rates per 100,000 populationRates per 100,000 people in Victoria are calculated for offences, criminal incidents, alleged offender incidents, victim reports and family incidents.

Rates per 100,000 population are derived using the incident, report or offence count for the reference period and the most recent Estimated Resident Population (ERP) data.

Rates are calculated using the following formulae:

• Offence rate = (Offence count/ERP count) *100,000• Criminal incident rate = (Criminal incident count/ERP count) *100,000• Alleged offender rate = (Alleged offender incident count/ERP count) *100,000• Victimisation rate = (Victim report count/ERP count) *100,000• Family incident rate = (Family incident count/ERP count) *100,000

ERPs for both Victoria and Local Government Areas are based on populations provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. ERPs for the data in the current reference period are based on population projection estimates developed by the Victorian Government’s ‘Victoria in Future’ program. For years prior to the current reference period, the ERP used to calculate offence rates is the ABS ERP.

ABS ERP data comes from two publications:

• Estimated Resident Populations by age and sex are collected from the Australian Demographic Statistics (3101.0).

• Estimated Resident Populations by Local Government Area are collected from the Regional Population Growth (3218.0).

For more information about the ABS estimated resident population, refer to the ABS website. For more information about the ‘Victoria in Future’ report, refer to the Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources website.

Victorian population figures used for year ending September 2017 publication

ABS - Australian Demographic Statistics Victoria in Future

Oct – Sept 2013 Oct – Sept 2014 Oct – Sept 2015 Oct – Sept 2016 Oct – Sept 2017

5,733,545 5,838,110 5,946,505 6,069,636 6,157,538

42 Explanatory notes

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24 month trend testThe trend test presented in the data tables highlights movement in data that is of a consistent and continuing nature over the previous 24 months. The CSA uses the Kendall's Rank Order Correlation statistical test (or Kendall's tau-b) to determine whether a series is trending upwards, downwards or is stable1 over the specified time period. The procedure that the CSA uses is to conduct the Kendall’s Rank Order Correlation on the monthly total number of offences, the monthly total number of criminal incidents for each principal offence, and LGA over the previous 24 months.

From the year ending June 2017 release onwards, the CSA also applies a threshold that involves the satisfaction of one of two criteria, in order for the trend test to be conducted. If a category fails both sets of criteria, then the significance test will not be conducted.

1. Less than 30 incidents/offences in any month – This approximates to one incident/offence per day and ensures that there is sufficient data of a sufficient quality before it is analysed.

2. Percentage Proportion threshold (<0.1% of all recorded incidents/offences) – To ensure that the data for a particular category contributes a meaningful proportion of the overall before it analysed.

This two-pronged threshold, means that Offence categories and LGA’s will only be excluded if the number of incidents/offences recorded are less than 30 in any given month and the proportion of overall criminal incidents/offences is less than 0.1%. Note that in very few circumstances, the significance test will show a significant trend, even when the yearly percentage change is very low or in the opposite direction. In other cases, the test will be nonsignificant, even when the yearly percentage change is very high. This can occur in cases where there are seasonal or non-linear variations in the data, or if extreme spikes in the data are present. Kendall’s Rank Order Correlation test is not robust against these variations, and is only sensitive to generally increasing and decreasing trends.

ConfidentialisationConfidentialising data involves removing or altering information or collapsing detail (through application of statistical disclosure controls) to mitigate the risk that a person or organisation may be identified in the data (either directly or indirectly).

Alleged offender incidents, victim reports and family incidents data contain person-based variables and include demographic information. Therefore, these datasets are subject to confidentialisation to ensure the anonymity of individuals is protected where numbers are small and there is a reasonable likelihood that a person may be identified from the data published.

The CSA will confidentialise cells in a table that are between 1 and 3. This is denoted in the tables by the value “≤ 3” appearing in cells with small numbers.

For the purpose of calculating row and column totals, each cell between 1 and 3 is assigned a value of 2, regardless of the true number of that cell. This methodology allows for totals to be calculated in tables with small cells, but this does mean that totals for certain variables may not be the same across tables within a publication or set of data cubes. This process is applied prior to the release of statistical data by the CSA.

1 Stable denotes that the 24 month trend was neither significantly increasing nor significantly decreasing.44 Explanatory notes

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Legislative changes affecting recorded crime statisticsBreach of bail conditions

Amendments to the Bail Act 1997 which were introduced in December 2013 inserted the following sections into the act:

· S30A Offence to contravene certain conduct conditions· S30B Offence to commit indictable offence whilst on bail

These amendments resulted in the introduction of two new offence codes on LEAP. There has subsequently been an increase in the number of offences recorded against the category Breach of bail conditions.

Breach of family violence orders

The Justice Legislation Amendment (Family Violence and Other Matters) Act 2012 inserted the following sections into the Family Violence Protection Act 2008:

· S37A Contravention of notice intending to cause harm or fear for safety· S123A Contravention of order intending to cause harm or fear for safety· S125A Persistent contravention of notices and orders

Sections 37A and 123A make it an indictable offence to contravene a Family Violence Safety Notice or Family Violence Intervention Order where there was intention to cause harm or fear of safety to the person protected by the notice or order.

Section 125A makes it an indictable offence to persistently contravene Family Violence Safety Notices or Family Violence Intervention Orders.

The above amendments came into effect in April 2013 and resulted in the introduction of three new offence codes on LEAP. There has been a subsequent increase in the number of offences recorded against the category Breach of family violence orders.

Operational changes affecting recorded crime statisticsCommit indictable offence whilst on bail

In November 2014, Victoria Police changed their operational procedures for the recording of some breach of bail charges, affecting the way these offences are captured for recorded crime statistics. This change has impacted the number of offences recorded for ‘527Z Commit indictable offence whilst on bail’, and as a result the number of offences recorded in this category may be understated.

This change has not had any impact on the recording of other breach of bail offences in LEAP. The CSA is assessing the impact of this change for future releases.

Recording of ‘Fail to stop’ offences

From 13 July 2015, Victoria police changed their operational procedures in relation to ‘Fail to stop’ offences. These changes have led to these offences now being recorded in LEAP and included in the extract of recorded crime data provided to the CSA. This results in an increase in the number of offences recorded against the following Road Safety Act (1986) offences:

· 749AUC Fail to stop vehicle on direction

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· 749XM Fail to stop vehicle on request

As a result, there has been an increase in the CSA offence category ‘E13 Resist or hinder officer’ since October 2015. For the current reference period there were only offences recorded for ‘749AUC Fail to stop vehicle on direction’.

Abbreviations used in the dataFor ease of reading, some CSA offence terms have been abbreviated throughout this publication. The term 'and related offences' has been omitted from the following CSA offence category names:

• Homicide and related offences• Assault and related offences• Abduction and related offences

In addition, the following CSA offence terms have been abbreviated as follows:

• Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour appears as 'Stalking/harassment'• Dangerous or negligent acts endangering persons appears as 'Dangerous/negligent acts'

For further information about CSA offence classifications, refer to the CSA offence classification or the glossary and data dictionary section of the website.

RevisionsWhere required, the CSA may revise historical data in the most recent statistical releases to reflect the most up to date information recorded.

Additional dataQuarterly statistical releases are designed to provide a summary of recorded crime trends. Special tabulations may be able to be produced on request to meet individual user requirements. For further information contact the Crime Statistics Agency by email at [email protected].

46 Explanatory notes

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Appendix 2. Recorded criminal incidents by principal offence – Oct 2012 to Sept 2017

Year ending September

 

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change

Significance trend test

over 24 months1

Crimes against the personA10 Homicide and related offences 138 155 152 183 182 -0.5% -

A20 Assault and related offences 33,195 33,115 33,600 37,696 38,836 3.0% STABLEA30 Sexual offences 5,375 5,576 6,014 6,852 8,084 18.0% UPA40 Abduction and related offences 374 324 371 467 434 -7.1% STABLE

A50 Robbery 1,965 1,887 1,854 2,293 2,581 12.6% UPA60 Blackmail and extortion 118 116 147 136 130 -4.4% -A70 Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour 5,459 5,634 5,976 6,698 6,912 3.2% STABLE

A80 Dangerous and negligent acts endangering people 2,437 2,810 3,201 3,859 4,388 13.7% UP

Sub total 49,061 49,617 51,315 58,184 61,547 5.8%  Property and deception offences

B10 Arson 3,600 3,305 3,101 3,910 2,948 -24.6% DOWNB20 Property damage 40,196 37,176 35,625 37,570 36,018 -4.1% DOWNB30 Burglary/Break and enter 44,632 43,747 45,678 51,683 46,661 -9.7% DOWNB40 Theft 123,115 127,846 131,025 154,447 136,752 -11.5% DOWNB50 Deception 15,032 17,035 16,817 19,720 21,403 8.5% UPB60 Bribery 7 3 20 5 5 0.0% -Sub total 226,582 229,112 232,266 267,335 243,787 -8.8%  Drug offencesC10 Drug dealing and trafficking 2,535 2,828 3,182 3,061 2,786 -9.0% STABLEC20 Cultivate or manufacture drugs 1,091 1,121 1,227 1,129 1,084 -4.0% STABLE

C30 Drug use and possession 9,521 10,195 11,123 10,977 11,205 2.1% STABLEC90 Other drug offences 8 17 8 9 9 0.0% -Sub total 13,155 14,161 15,540 15,176 15,084 -0.6%  Public order and security offencesD10 Weapons and explosives offences 6,736 7,278 8,544 8,906 9,117 2.4% STABLE

D20 Disorderly and offensive conduct 19,692 17,387 15,561 13,158 13,312 1.2% STABLE

D30 Public nuisance offences 1,444 1,363 1,422 1,856 1,944 4.7% STABLED40 Public security offences 33 31 30 29 35 20.7% -Sub total 27,905 26,059 25,557 23,949 24,408 1.9%  

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Year ending September

 

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change

Significance trend test

over 24 months1

Justice procedures offencesE10 Justice procedures 3,079 3,016 3,687 8,763 7,717 -11.9% DOWNE20 Breaches of orders 15,673 23,339 30,619 36,818 37,775 2.6% STABLESub total 18,752 26,355 34,306 45,581 45,492 -0.2%  Other offencesF10 Regulatory driving offences 18 22 22 8 10 25.0% -F20 Transport regulation offences 206 253 238 353 376 6.5% -F30 Other government regulatory offences 416 339 320 271 234 -13.7% -

F90 Miscellaneous offences 261 243 280 199 215 8.0% -Sub total 901 857 860 831 835 0.5%   Total offences 336,356 346,161 359,844 411,056 391,153 -4.8%  

Data extracted from LEAP on 18 October 2017 and is subject to variation

1 The trend test serves as a guide to highlight changes that are statistically significant. For more information, please see the Explanatory notes.

48 Recorded criminal incidents by principal offence – October 2012 to September 2017

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Appendix 3. Recorded criminal incidents by region and local government area – Oct 2012 to Sept 2017

Year ending September

 

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change

Significance trend test

over 24 months1

North West Metro RegionBanyule 5,937 6,820 7,038 7,273 7,464 2.6% STABLEBrimbank 15,489 13,703 14,727 15,361 13,323 -13.3% DOWNDarebin 9,231 11,359 11,036 12,985 11,965 -7.9% DOWNHobsons Bay 5,561 5,610 5,299 5,490 4,943 -10.0% DOWNHume 11,733 13,299 14,355 17,034 15,467 -9.2% STABLEMaribyrnong 7,003 6,726 6,645 7,327 6,538 -10.8% DOWNMelbourne 24,618 23,797 24,732 27,362 26,734 -2.3% STABLEMelton 6,743 7,423 7,963 9,133 8,350 -8.6% DOWNMoonee Valley 6,337 6,412 6,795 7,662 6,910 -9.8% DOWNMoreland 9,029 10,092 10,814 12,150 10,811 -11.0% DOWNNillumbik 1,587 1,580 1,855 2,154 2,023 -6.1% STABLEWhittlesea 9,540 10,520 10,114 12,565 11,636 -7.4% STABLEWyndham 9,916 10,322 10,874 12,567 10,803 -14.0% DOWNYarra 8,934 10,059 9,787 11,138 10,723 -3.7% STABLESub total 131,658 137,722 142,034 160,201 147,690 -7.8%Eastern RegionAlpine 336 316 344 277 296 6.9% -Bass Coast 1,821 2,138 1,890 2,028 2,074 2.3% STABLEBaw Baw 2,210 2,273 2,397 2,894 2,769 -4.3% STABLEBenalla 815 872 734 989 982 -0.7% STABLEBoroondara 5,984 5,882 5,652 6,779 6,268 -7.5% STABLEEast Gippsland 3,037 2,932 3,075 3,185 2,937 -7.8% DOWNGreater Shepparton 5,037 5,528 5,524 6,148 5,949 -3.2% STABLEIndigo 348 348 350 348 379 8.9% -Knox 6,717 7,413 7,230 8,533 8,925 4.6% STABLELatrobe 7,640 7,622 8,780 10,104 9,555 -5.4% STABLEManningham 2,890 3,242 3,302 3,761 3,835 2.0% STABLEMansfield 288 367 320 467 527 12.8% STABLEMaroondah 5,246 5,927 5,889 6,475 6,578 1.6% STABLEMitchell 1,929 2,095 2,495 3,109 3,143 1.1% STABLEMoira 1,032 1,154 1,104 1,235 1,529 23.8% STABLEMonash 6,732 6,917 7,184 8,696 8,453 -2.8% STABLEMurrindindi 506 531 500 551 543 -1.5% STABLESouth Gippsland 939 870 927 1,043 1,089 4.4% STABLE

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Year ending September

 

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change

Significance trend test

over 24 months1

Strathbogie 377 371 321 462 446 -3.5% STABLETowong 186 187 142 190 171 -10.0% -Wangaratta 1,662 1,711 1,605 1,765 1,862 5.5% STABLEWellington 2,843 2,997 2,908 3,217 2,951 -8.3% STABLEWhitehorse 5,824 5,780 5,839 5,904 6,655 12.7% UPWodonga 2,302 2,431 2,555 2,503 2,420 -3.3% STABLEYarra Ranges 4,981 5,512 5,263 6,313 5,855 -7.3% STABLESub total 71,682 75,416 76,330 86,976 86,191 -0.9%Southern Metro RegionBayside 3,454 3,342 3,428 4,259 3,750 -12.0% DOWNCardinia 4,262 3,900 4,395 5,337 4,699 -12.0% DOWNCasey 12,151 12,675 14,628 17,341 16,322 -5.9% STABLEFrankston 10,860 10,662 10,931 11,937 11,412 -4.4% STABLEGlen Eira 4,725 4,475 4,744 5,578 5,561 -0.3% STABLEGreater Dandenong 12,514 11,939 13,166 15,138 14,233 -6.0% STABLEKingston 7,259 7,352 7,677 8,465 8,018 -5.3% STABLEMornington Peninsula 7,214 7,871 7,784 8,993 8,821 -1.9% STABLEPort Phillip 9,147 8,885 9,502 10,357 9,935 -4.1% STABLEStonnington 7,371 7,192 7,548 8,977 8,090 -9.9% DOWNSub total 78,957 78,293 83,803 96,382 90,841 -5.7%Western RegionArarat 902 816 868 895 958 7.0% STABLEBallarat 8,188 7,436 8,617 9,210 9,348 1.5% STABLEBuloke 192 173 199 170 154 -9.4% -Campaspe 2,266 2,151 2,319 2,765 2,623 -5.1% STABLECentral Goldfields 828 802 834 979 873 -10.8% STABLEColac-Otway 1,038 1,096 1,129 1,313 1,522 15.9% STABLECorangamite 446 498 458 634 812 28.1% STABLEGannawarra 420 438 416 468 507 8.3% STABLEGlenelg 1,138 1,336 1,296 1,349 1,325 -1.8% STABLEGolden Plains 393 423 535 640 523 -18.3% DOWNGreater Bendigo 5,859 6,256 6,196 7,355 7,634 3.8% STABLEGreater Geelong 13,736 14,465 14,916 19,105 17,139 -10.3% DOWNHepburn 555 499 552 677 652 -3.7% STABLEHindmarsh 202 144 147 224 275 22.8% -Horsham 1,307 1,541 1,957 1,826 1,633 -10.6% DOWNLoddon 271 232 299 378 304 -19.6% -Macedon Ranges 1,385 1,540 1,551 1,717 1,884 9.7% STABLEMildura 4,503 4,653 4,546 5,025 4,981 -0.9% STABLEMoorabool 1,496 1,420 1,564 1,888 1,880 -0.4% STABLE

50 Recorded criminal incidents by region and local government area – October 2012 to September 2017

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Year ending September

 

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change

Significance trend test

over 24 months1

Mount Alexander 643 681 684 979 828 -15.4% DOWNMoyne 410 471 416 448 514 14.7% STABLENorthern Grampians 687 670 775 920 885 -3.8% STABLEPyrenees 272 370 350 400 358 -10.5% -Queenscliffe 86 85 121 160 130 -18.8% -Southern Grampians 865 737 750 960 998 4.0% STABLESurf Coast 1,034 967 1,014 1,164 1,036 -11.0% DOWNSwan Hill 1,373 1,605 1,645 1,666 1,759 5.6% STABLEWarrnambool 1,909 1,870 2,142 2,396 2,701 12.7% UPWest Wimmera 132 102 81 112 137 22.3% -Yarriambiack 223 186 270 336 343 2.1% -Sub total 52,759 53,663 56,647 66,159 64,716 -2.2%Other locations in VictoriaUnincorporated Victoria 69 97 95 115 113 -1.7%Justice institutions and immigration facilities

944 652 582 703 1,016 44.5%

Total offences2 336,356 346,161 359,844 411,056 391,153 -4.8%

Data extracted from LEAP on 18 October 2017 and is subject to variation

1 The trend test serves as a guide to highlight changes that are statistically significant. For more information, please see the Explanatory notes.2 Total includes offences with an unknown geographic location or where the offence occurred in an area outside of Victoria.

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Appendix 4. Recorded offences by offence category – Oct 2012 to Sept 2017

Year ending September

 

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change

Significance trend test

over 24 months1

Crimes against the personA10 Homicide and related offences 152 194 177 200 241 20.5% -

A20 Assault and related offences 37,257 37,471 37,967 42,623 43,399 1.8% STABLEA30 Sexual offences 9,735 10,673 12,040 12,351 14,564 17.9% UPA40 Abduction and related offences 655 652 726 805 753 -6.5% STABLE

A50 Robbery 2,749 2,542 2,520 3,066 3,209 4.7% STABLEA60 Blackmail and extortion 183 207 231 200 188 -6.0% -A70 Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour 10,503 11,028 12,094 12,679 11,788 -7.0% DOWN

A80 Dangerous and negligent acts endangering people 3,646 4,258 4,617 5,539 5,972 7.8% UP

Sub total 64,880 67,025 70,372 77,463 80,114 3.4%Property and deception offences

B10 Arson 3,841 3,543 3,398 4,487 3,127 -30.3% DOWNB20 Property damage 45,722 43,302 42,432 43,882 41,636 -5.1% DOWNB30 Burglary/Break and enter 46,687 45,809 47,681 54,236 49,042 -9.6% DOWNB40 Theft 146,177 149,150 158,843 187,149 171,059 -8.6% DOWNB50 Deception 31,067 33,634 36,182 36,705 35,627 -2.9% STABLEB60 Bribery 14 5 46 22 6 -72.7% -Sub total 273,508 275,443 288,582 326,481 300,497 -8.0%Drug offencesC10 Drug dealing and trafficking 3,986 4,441 5,257 4,991 4,257 -14.7% DOWNC20 Cultivate or manufacture drugs 1,688 1,721 1,784 1,639 1,477 -9.9% STABLE

C30 Drug use and possession 16,541 19,273 22,535 23,746 23,411 -1.4% STABLEC90 Other drug offences 47 30 262 21 21 0.0% -Sub total 22,262 25,465 29,838 30,397 29,166 -4.0%Public order and security offencesD10 Weapons and explosives offences 11,833 13,179 15,392 15,701 15,478 -1.4% STABLE

D20 Disorderly and offensive conduct 22,673 21,087 18,853 16,581 16,411 -1.0% DOWN

D30 Public nuisance offences 2,526 2,618 2,838 3,483 3,543 1.7% STABLED40 Public security offences 303 85 189 96 91 -5.2% -Sub total 37,335 36,969 37,272 35,861 35,523 -0.9%

52 Recorded offences by offence category – October 2012 to September 2017

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Year ending September

 

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change

Significance trend test

over 24 months1

Justice procedures offencesE10 Justice procedures 5,994 6,416 7,807 13,696 12,544 -8.4% DOWNE20 Breaches of orders 27,636 42,288 51,399 58,419 57,522 -1.5% STABLESub total 33,630 48,704 59,206 72,115 70,066 -2.8%Other offencesF10 Regulatory driving offences 25 28 30 12 26 116.7% -F20 Transport regulation offences 394 495 462 674 696 3.3% STABLEF30 Other government regulatory offences 794 987 665 535 713 33.3% STABLE

F90 Miscellaneous offences 559 449 460 449 317 -29.4% -Sub total 1,772 1,959 1,617 1,670 1,752 4.9% Total offences 433,387 455,565 486,887 543,987 517,118 -4.9%

Data extracted from LEAP on 18 October 2017 and is subject to variation

1 The trend test serves as a guide to highlight changes that are statistically significant. For more information, please see the Explanatory notes.

Crime Statistics Victoria 53

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Appendix 5. Recorded offences by region and local government area – Oct 2012 to Sept 2017

Year ending September

 

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change

Significance trend test

over 24 months1

North West Metro RegionBanyule 8,860 8,809 9,485 9,806 9,727 -0.8% STABLEBrimbank 19,277 17,523 18,744 19,549 17,300 -11.5% DOWNDarebin 11,325 14,428 15,200 16,371 15,532 -5.1% STABLEHobsons Bay 6,733 7,095 6,830 6,851 6,132 -10.5% DOWNHume 15,020 17,591 19,497 23,377 20,704 -11.4% DOWNMaribyrnong 8,411 8,459 8,199 9,194 8,339 -9.3% DOWNMelbourne 34,868 31,943 34,606 37,311 36,408 -2.4% STABLEMelton 8,716 9,653 10,528 12,282 10,994 -10.5% DOWNMoonee Valley 7,750 8,406 9,395 9,731 8,630 -11.3% DOWNMoreland 11,787 12,536 13,505 14,980 13,238 -11.6% DOWNNillumbik 2,055 2,073 2,938 2,956 2,685 -9.2% STABLEWhittlesea 12,129 14,054 13,371 16,122 15,709 -2.6% STABLEWyndham 12,090 13,181 13,741 15,745 14,021 -10.9% DOWNYarra 10,836 12,782 12,500 14,250 13,180 -7.5% DOWNSub total 169,857 178,533 188,539 208,525 192,599 -7.6%Eastern RegionAlpine 447 527 465 407 396 -2.7% -Bass Coast 2,328 2,764 2,642 2,989 2,645 -11.5% STABLEBaw Baw 3,198 3,743 3,585 4,104 3,782 -7.8% STABLEBenalla 1,048 1,208 1,029 1,580 1,301 -17.7% STABLEBoroondara 7,057 7,032 6,661 8,555 7,862 -8.1% STABLEEast Gippsland 3,887 3,869 4,112 4,253 3,912 -8.0% STABLEGreater Shepparton 6,324 6,981 7,601 8,152 8,029 -1.5% STABLEIndigo 484 474 466 448 476 6.3% -Knox 8,698 10,000 10,027 11,313 11,974 5.8% STABLELatrobe 10,245 11,174 13,224 14,099 13,704 -2.8% STABLEManningham 3,857 4,142 4,249 4,828 5,022 4.0% UPMansfield 348 536 394 593 718 21.1% STABLEMaroondah 6,462 7,586 7,965 8,685 8,704 0.2% STABLEMitchell 2,759 3,180 3,891 4,423 4,725 6.8% STABLEMoira 1,300 1,488 1,539 1,742 2,071 18.9% STABLEMonash 8,757 9,009 9,493 12,504 11,209 -10.4% STABLEMurrindindi 650 705 616 721 732 1.5% STABLESouth Gippsland 1,330 1,153 1,357 1,361 1,547 13.7% STABLE

54 Recorded offences by region and local government area – October 2012 to September 2017

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Year ending September

 

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change

Significance trend test

over 24 months1

Strathbogie 529 489 511 619 616 -0.5% STABLETowong 265 246 165 267 211 -21.0% -Wangaratta 2,403 2,401 2,444 2,554 2,488 -2.6% STABLEWellington 3,908 4,146 4,259 4,590 4,117 -10.3% DOWNWhitehorse 7,127 7,525 8,292 7,666 8,338 8.8% UPWodonga 2,816 3,121 3,464 3,368 3,152 -6.4% STABLEYarra Ranges 6,292 7,338 7,428 8,877 8,347 -6.0% STABLESub total 92,519 100,837 105,879 118,698 116,078 -2.2%Southern Metro RegionBayside 4,225 4,242 4,337 5,367 4,809 -10.4% DOWNCardinia 5,879 5,592 6,867 7,520 6,250 -16.9% DOWNCasey 15,507 17,219 20,097 23,347 22,629 -3.1% STABLEFrankston 14,150 14,624 14,997 16,270 15,341 -5.7% STABLEGlen Eira 5,907 5,578 5,943 7,383 7,062 -4.3% STABLEGreater Dandenong 15,906 15,840 18,787 20,377 19,059 -6.5% DOWNKingston 9,314 9,650 10,510 11,447 10,797 -5.7% DOWNMornington Peninsula 9,117 10,400 10,731 11,949 11,466 -4.0% STABLEPort Phillip 11,517 11,668 12,198 12,883 13,205 2.5% STABLEStonnington 9,270 9,688 9,844 11,375 10,160 -10.7% STABLESub total 100,792 104,501 114,311 127,918 120,778 -5.6%Western RegionArarat 1,349 1,034 1,157 1,243 1,297 4.3% STABLEBallarat 9,893 9,925 11,146 11,955 12,028 0.6% STABLEBuloke 244 207 241 221 202 -8.6% -Campaspe 2,675 2,803 3,018 3,702 3,545 -4.2% STABLECentral Goldfields 1,046 1,090 1,177 1,515 1,233 -18.6% DOWNColac-Otway 1,311 1,560 1,560 1,867 1,963 5.1% STABLECorangamite 598 660 642 853 1,075 26.0% STABLEGannawarra 543 561 538 573 645 12.6% STABLEGlenelg 1,404 1,677 1,689 1,614 1,667 3.3% STABLEGolden Plains 479 537 679 831 728 -12.4% STABLEGreater Bendigo 8,477 8,547 8,320 10,253 10,267 0.1% STABLEGreater Geelong 16,840 17,578 20,383 23,349 22,336 -4.3% STABLEHepburn 646 610 779 850 864 1.6% STABLEHindmarsh 260 217 197 362 384 6.1% -Horsham 2,593 2,208 2,924 2,840 2,486 -12.5% DOWNLoddon 373 531 381 501 362 -27.7% -Macedon Ranges 1,812 2,133 2,162 2,569 2,570 0.0% STABLEMildura 5,517 5,798 5,989 6,498 6,638 2.2% STABLEMoorabool 1,797 1,898 2,054 2,498 2,318 -7.2% STABLEMount Alexander 900 1,074 949 1,301 1,233 -5.2% DOWN

Crime Statistics Victoria 55

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Year ending September

 

2013 2014 2015 2016 20171 year

% change

Significance trend test

over 24 months1

Moyne 513 646 592 589 686 16.5% STABLENorthern Grampians 1,977 925 1,098 1,297 1,176 -9.3% STABLEPyrenees 360 472 469 601 524 -12.8% STABLEQueenscliffe 94 102 151 175 141 -19.4% -Southern Grampians 1,075 1,034 1,047 1,305 1,292 -1.0% STABLESurf Coast 1,194 1,218 1,582 1,454 1,206 -17.1% DOWNSwan Hill 1,720 2,120 2,272 2,170 2,357 8.6% STABLEWarrnambool 2,410 2,759 2,971 3,150 3,511 11.5% UPWest Wimmera 156 162 155 199 205 3.0% -Yarriambiack 317 298 444 468 446 -4.7% -Sub total 68,573 70,384 76,766 86,803 85,385 -1.6%Other locations in VictoriaUnincorporated Victoria 73 114 118 132 127 -3.8%Justice institutions and immigration facilities 1,233 855 887 1,326 1,541 16.2%Total offences2 433,387 455,565 486,887 543,987 517,118 -4.9%

Data extracted from LEAP on 18 October 2017 and is subject to variation

1 The trend test serves as a guide to highlight changes that are statistically significant. For more information, please see the Explanatory notes.2 Total includes offences with an unknown geographic location or where the offence occurred in an area outside of Victoria.

56 Recorded offences by region and local government area – October 2012 to September 2017

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Crime Statistics Victoria 57