crisiswatch n°111

7/31/2019 CrisisWatch N111

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Omp C{hshs @{j}y Gd{hcg K{hm o` O87" Mgs|m{o Cjo`j> Pex S|gkhbhsg|hjo Dghbml " < Jc|/ ;97;/ \em Aht}s {m`hjo jd mgs|m{o Cjo`j g`gho dgcms mscgbg|&ho` thjbmocm" hocb}lho` kx g {mkmb dj{cm gc|ho` gs g y{jux jd omhèkj}{ho`[pgolg/ \j s|jy |em {mym|h|htm cxcbm jd {mkmbbhjo gol gtjhl bg{`m&scgbm ahbbho`"

ljoj{s gol Gd{hcgo fmlhg|j{s omml |j fjtm d{jf c{hshs fgog`mfmo| |jcjo hc| {msjb}|hjo ph|e |em {hè| sm| jd y{mss}{ms jo Ah`gbh gol Ahosegsg/

[pgolg Cj}o|{x pjo ;&xmg{ Gd{hcg smg| jo ]OSC 75 Jc| lmsyh|m cjo|ho}ml ho|m{og|hjogb cjolmfog|hjo dj{ {myj{|ml s}yyj{| |j L[C {mkmbs/ ]O {j}y jd muym{|s {myj{| bmgaml fhl&Jc| gcc}sml Lmdmocm Fhohs|m{ Ngfms Agkg{mkm jd cjffgolho` L[C F;3 {mkmbs/ Jyyjsh|hjo bmglm{ Thc|jh{m Ho`gkh{m smo|mocml |j 5 xmg{s nghb 39 Jc| dj{ `mojchlm lmohgb/ Gfoms|x Ho|m{og|hjogb mg{bx Jc| {mbmgsml {myj{| gbbm`ho` jt| |j{|}{m jd lm|ghomms ho {}o&}y |j ;979 mbmc|hjo/ Jyyjsh|hjo bmglm{ smo|mocml |j 5 xmg{s ho [pgolg" GY" 39 Jc|/ ;97;/

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M{h|{mgHo ;0 Smy| bm||m{ |j ]OSC {mbmgsml 5 Jc|" jt| {mw}ms|ml ]OSC bh sgoc|hjos hfyjsml ;998 jtm{ h|s s}yyj{| |j Sjfgbhfhbh|go|s" sghl M|ehjyhg gc|htmbx mo`g`ml ho lms|gkhbhsho` M{h|{mg/ M|ehjyhg&kgsml jyyjsh|hjo [ml Smg Gdg{ Lmfjc{g|hc J{`gohsg|hjo %[SGLJ( ;9 Jc| gcc}sml Gsfg{g jt| jd dj{chkbx lhsybgcho` Gdg{ m|eohc fhoj{h|x ho @gbgbj/ ; smohj{ gh{ dj{cm j cm{s mg{bx fjo|e {myj{|mlbx lmdmc|ml |j Sg}lh G{gkhg/ Pex |pj M{h|{mgo yhbj|s pmo| {j`}m gol s|jbm |emh{ y{mshlmo|s ybgom" G|bgo|hc " 74 Jc|/ ;97;/

M|ehjyhgDjbbjpho` S}y{mfm Cj}ochb jo Hsbgfhc G gh{s mbmc&|hjos 0 Jc|" jo`jho` cj}o|{xphlm y{j|ms|s jtm{ ym{cmhtml jt| ho|m{dm{mocm ho F}sbhf g gh{s/ Lmfjos|{g|hjos |}{oml thjbmo| ;7 Jc| ho @m{kg" Gfeg{g s|g|m" g| bmgs| < ahbbml hocb}lho` 7 yjbhcm1 ;8 F}sbhfs" hocb}lho` ohom y{jfhomo| {mbh`hj}s bmglm{s" ceg{`ml ph|e |m{{j{hsf ;8 Jc|/ Ymgcm |gbas km|pmmo jt| gol J`glmo {mkmbs 7=&70 Jc| dghbml |j gcehmtm k{mga|e{j}è/ @jt| ;0 Jc| gooj}ocml 79 O@Js se}| ljpo }olm{ omp chthb sjchm|x gol ceg{h|x bgp/ @jt| 8 Jc| {mbmgsml 0= M{h|{mgo y{hsjom{s cgy|}{ml ho Fg{ce c{jss&kj{lm{ g||gca jo M{h|{mgo fhbh|g{x kgsm/ M|ehjyhgs JOBD {mkmbbhjo" H[HO" ;8 Jc|/ ;97;/

AmoxgHo pgtm jd g{{ms|s jd smyg{g|hs| Fjfkgsg [my}kbhcgo Cj}ochb %F[C( fmfkm{s" yjbhcm 7= Jc| g{{ms|ml F[C bmglm{ Jfg{ Fpgfo}gl~h gol sej| lmgl ; s}yyj{|m{s ho Apgbm" omg{ Fjfkgsg1 Fpgfo}gl~h ceg{`ml ph|e dh{m g{fs yjssmsshjo" hoch|mfmo| |j thjbmocm1 ; ahbbml ;5 Jc| hocb}lho` F}sbhf cbm{hc ho yjbhcm {ghl ho Fjfkgsg/ 3 s}symc|ml gb&Segkggk ahbbml 70 Jc| ho yjbhcm {ghls omg{ Fjfkgsg/ Y{mshlmo| Ahkgah 8 Jc| tm|jml khbb ygssml kx yg{bhgfmo| gpg{lho` FYs bg{`m kjo}s djbbjpho` y{j|ms|s ho Ogh{jkh/ HCC Y{jsmc}|j{ Kmosj}lg thsh|ml ;;&;0 Jc|" c{h|hchsml yjbh|hchgos yjbh|hchsg|hjo jd HCC |{hgb/ YF Jlho`g ;< Jc| sghl tj|m{ {m`hs|{g|hjo lmbgxs phbb oj| cego`m < Fg{ce ;973 mbmc&|hjo lg|m/ \j}sgols jd Kg{ho`j cj}o|x {mshlmo|s bg|m fjo|e ml cbgsems km|pmmo Yjaj| gol }`mo cjff}oh|hms1 73 ahbbml 39 Jc| ho {myj{|ml Sgfk}{} {ghl jo }{agog thbbg`m ho Sgfk}{} Cj}o|x/

< ahbbml ;8&39 Jc| ho Ahs}f} ho lmfjos|{g|hjos djbbjpho` ;8 Jc| ahbbho` jd bjcgb yjbh|hchgo/ S}symc|ml gb&Segkggk fhbh|go|s 7 Jc| g||gcaml @g{hssg yjbhcm yjs|" ; Jc| |j{ceml @g{hssg yjbhcm s|g|hjo1 yjbhcmfgo ahbbml" 7 hon}{ml 39 Jc| ho gfk}se jo yg|{jb ho @g{hssg/ Amoxgs cjgs|gb smyg{g|hs|s fmogcm j{ fg{|x{s:" H[HO" ;< Jc|/ ;97;/

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K}{}olh G| bmgs| 7 g{fx j cm{ ahbbml < Jc| ho cbgse ph|e K}{}olh {mkmbs omg{ ]th{g" mgs|m{o L[C1 ph|omssms gbbm`ml g{fx cjol}c|ho` njho| jym{g|hjo ph|e L[C g{fx/ G| bmgs| 8 {mkmbs {myj{|mlbx ahbbml ;;&;< Jc| ho cbgsems ph|e smc}{h|x dj{cms ho Chkh|jam y{jthocm" omg{ L[C/ [mkmb {j}y cbghfs {msyjoshkhbh|x dj{ K}{}olh g||gcas" GDY" ;= Jc|/ ;97;/

Omp C{hshs @{j}y Gd{hcg [myj{| O78;" K}{}olh> Kxm&kxm G{}seg: " ;= Jc|/;97;/ Shocm |em ;979 kjxcj||ml mbmc|hjos" K}{}olh hs s|mglhbx l{hd|ho` gpgxd{jf peg| pgs hoh|hgbbx {m`g{lml gs g ymgcmfgaho` fjlmb" gol thjbmocm d{jfkj|e |em {}bho` yg{|x gol |em jyyjsh|hjo hs |e{mg|moho` s|gkhbh|x/

Cmo|{gb Gd{hcgo [my}kbhc Y}kbhc y{jsmc}|j{ 75 Jc| sghl 3 g{{ms|ml" ceg{`ml ph|e ybgooho` cj}y/ G}|ej{h|hms km`go {myg|{hg|ho` Yjy}&bg{ D{jo| dj{ [mcjtm{x %DY[( {mkmbs |j Cegl mg{bx Jc|/ ; Cehomsm {jgl pj{am{s gkl}c|ml bg|m Smy| kx }ohlmo|h ml {mkmbs jo @g{j}g Kj}bgh&Kj}g{ {jgl {mbmgsml/ Cmo|{gb Gd{hcgo [my}kbhc sgxs djhbs goj|em{ cj}y" [m}|m{s" 75 Jc|/ ;97;/

Cegl D{moce Y{mshlmo| Ejbbgolm mg{bx Jc| {mw}ms|ml {mjymoho` jd hotms|h`g|hjo ho|j ;995 lhsgyymg{gocm jd yjbh|hcgb jyyjomo| Hkoh Fgegfg| Sgbme" 5 Jc| cgocmbbml ybgooml fmm|ho` ph|e Y{msh&lmo| Lmkx1 Lmkx lhl oj| g||mol 7< Jc| D{gocjyejohm s}ffh| ho

Ahosegsg" {myj{|mlbx ho {msyjosm/ 3&lgx |{glm }ohjo s|{ham jtm{ sgbg{hms km`go ;; Jc|/ @jt| 7; Jc| gooj}ocml muy}bshjo jd H|gb&hgo khsejy Fhcemb [}ssj djbbjpho` ehs c{h|hchsf jd jt| egolbho` jd jhb {mtmo}ms/ Gy{s bm sjffm| lm bg D{gocjyejohm" bms {mbg|hjos mo|{m bms y{shlmo|s|ceglhmo m| d{goghs smotmohfmo|" [DH" 70 Jc|/ ;97;/

Lmfjc{g|hc [my}kbhc jd Cjo`j Cbgsems km|pmmo F;3*Cjo`jbmsm [mtjb}|hjog{x G{fx {mkmbs gol DG[LC cjo|ho}ml ho mgs|/ F;3 79 gol 7< Jc| cjol}c|ml }os}ccmssd}b j moshtms |j mu|mol |m{{h|j{x ho OM/ DG[LC ;< Jc| km`go ho|m`{g|hjo jd Oxg|}{g bjcgb fhbh|hgs/ Bmgaml ]O {j}y jd muym{|s {myj{| fhl&fjo|e sghl ]`golg" [pgolg kgcaho` F;3 {mkmbbhjo1 ]OSC 78 Jc| gooj}ocml ho|mo&|hjo |j hfyjsm sgoc|hjos jo F;3 bmglm{s" goxjom pej thjbg|ml sgoc|hjos {m`hfm" g{fs mfkg{`j/ L[C 70 Jc| cgbbml dj{ sgoc|hjos g`ghos| ]`golgo gol [pgolgo j chgbs ogfml ho bmgaml {myj{|/ G| 7


3/12

3

Sjfgbhg Y{mshlmo| Semhae 4 Jc| smbmc|ml yjbh|hcgb ompcjfm{ Gklh Dg{ge Seh{ljo gs YF1 FYs 70 Jc| }ogohfj}sbx gyy{jtml gyyjho|fmo|/ Ho|m{og|hjogb cjff}oh|x hocb}lho` thsh|ho` H|gbhgo DF @h}bhj m{~h pmbcjfml gyyjho|fmo|" cjffmolml cjocb}shjo

jd |{gosh|hjo ym{hjl/ Gb&Segkggk |e{mg|moml g||gcas jo Amoxg gol ]A" kgooml ghl {j}y Hsbgfhc [mbhmd d{jf |m{{h|j{x/ Om`j|hg|hjos |j ms|gkbhse ym{fgomo| jtm{oho` s|{}c|}{m dj{ dj{fm{ gb&Segkggk s|{joèjbl Ahsfgxj jo`jho`/ Gb&Segkggk g||gcas ho Fj`glhse}" Ahsfgxj gol ompbx&bhkm{g|ml g{mgs cjo|ho}ml hocb}lho` ;5 Jc| ahbbho` jd Sjfgbh mom{gb/ Y}o|bgol smc}{h|x dj{cms fhl&fjo|e {myj{|mlbx smh~ml gb&Segkggk g{fs sehyfmo| d{jf Xmfmo ho Wgolgbg cjgs|gb |jpo/ Yjm| Pg{sgfm Seh{m Gpgbm gol dmfgbm chthbhgo sej| lmgl 39 Jc| ho Fj`glhse}1 gb&Segkggk lmdmc|j{ ahbbml ho Fj`glhse} sgfm lgx/ ]O e}fgo {hè|s cehmd Yhbbgx 39 Jc| muy{mssml gbg{f g| gssg}b|s jo fmlhg pj{am{s g m{ 3 ahbbml l}{ho` Jc|" k{ho`ho` |j|gb |j 75 ahbbml |ehs xmg{/ Sjfgbhg FYs gyy{jtm Seh{ljo gs |em omp y{hfm fhohs|m{KKC" 70 Jc|/;97;/

Omp C{hshs @{j}y Gd{hcg K{hm o` O8;" Gssmssho` \}{amxs [jbm ho Sjfgbhg "5 Jc|/ ;97;/ Gs g omp Sjfgbh jtm{ofmo| hs ms|gkbhseml" \}{amxs mo`g`m&fmo| ho |em pg{&{gtg`ml cj}o|{x f}s| km |ej}è|d}b gol cg{md}bbx cjj{lh&og|ml sj gs oj| |j bmgl |j xm| goj|em{ dghbml ho|m{og|hjogb ho|m{tmo|hjo/

Sjfgbhbgol Nj}{ogbhs| ahbbml ;3 Jc| kx }ofmo ho lhsy}|ml Sjjb {m`hjo gfhl {jpho` cjocm{os jtm{ eg{gssfmo|" g{{ms| jd nj}{ogbhs|s ho Sjfgbhbgol1 ]O S[S@ G}`}s|hom Fgeh`g cgbbml dj{ hotms|h`g|hjo/ < pj}olml ;3 Jc| kx bgolfhom ho Sjjb {m`hjo1 `jtm{oj{ sghl gb&Segkggk fhbh|go|s s}symc|ml/ Sjfgbhbgol nj}{ogbhs|s }olm{ {m" H[HO" 70 Jc|/ ;97;/

Sj}|e S}lgo Yg{bhgfmo| 74 Jc| {g|h ml kj{lm{ gol jhb lmgb ph|e S}lgo1 e}ol{mls 7= Jc| y{j|ms|ml g`ghos| lmfhbh|g{hsg|hjo jd cjo&|ms|ml kj{lm{ g{mgs/ @jt| 75 Jc| j{lm{ml jhb cjfygohms |j {ms}fm y{jl}c|hjo" molho` 8&fjo|e se}|ljpo/ @jt| ;3 Jc| muy{mssml lhsgyyjho|fmo| jtm{ G]EHY cgbb |j mu|mol Gkxmh fmlhg|hjo m j{|s" sghl mu|moshjo oj| cjoshs|mo| ph|e G] {jglfgy" ]O [msjb}|hjo ;949/ =" hocb}lho` sjblhm{" ahbbml 78 Jc| kx }oaojpo }ofmo ho Kj{ cj}o|x" Njo`bmh/ Gfoms|x Ho|m{og|hjogb 3 Jc| gcc}sml smc}{h|x dj{cms jd phlmsy{mgl gk}sms ho Njo`bmh lhsg{fgfmo| cgfyghò/ @jt| ;< Jc| gooj}ocml ybgos |j fmlhg|m M|ehjyhg&M{h|{mg kj{lm{ lhsy}|m/ TY Fgceg{ 78 Jc| lhsfhssml {}fj}{s jd cj}y ybj| djbbjp&ho` 77 Jc| g{{ms| jd smohj{ fhbh|g{x j cm{ gol thsh| kx Y{mshlmo| Ahh{ |j SYBG EW" symmce pg{oho` g`ghos| cj}ys/

S S}lgo {g|h ms kj{lm{ lmgb ph|e S}lgo lmsyh|m y{j|ms|" [m}|m{s" 74Jc|/ ;97;/

S}lgo Fhbh|g{x dgc|j{x ho Aeg{|j}f {myj{|mlbx kjfkml kx Hs{gmbh gh{c{g ;< Jc|" ; ahbbml1 jt| kbgfml Hs{gmb" |e{mg|moml {mdm{{gb |j ]OSC" sghl {msm{tml {hè| |j {mgc|1 H{gohgo pg{sehys {myj{|mlbx ljcaml g| Yj{| S}lgo ;8 Jc|/ ]O e}fgo {hè|s cehmd Yhbbgx cgbbml dj{ hotms|h`g|hjo ho|j 70 Jc| g||gca jo cjotjx |eg| ahbbml ]O ymgcmammym{" ; Jc| ahbbho` jd < ]O ymgcmammym{s ho P Lg{d}{/ [mompml {mkmb cbgsems ph|e jt| |{jjys ho Lg{d}{ bm smtm{gb lmgl ho Gk} Lgbh` fhl&fjo|e1 jt| gol sybho|m{ NMF {mkmbs ;; Jc| g`{mml |j hffmlhg|m cmgsm {m" ymgcm om`j|hg|hjos djbbjpho` sm{hms jd fmm|ho`s 70&;; Jc|1 NMF" S}lgo Bhkm{g|hjo G{fx {mkmbs ;0 Jc| {myj{|mlbx g||gcaml Mb Dgsem{" Oj{|e Lg{d}{ s|g|m cgyh|gb gol jt| s|{joèjbl/ @jt| ;< Jc| muy{mssml cjocm{o jtm{ smc}{h|x g{{go`mfmo|s" |hfmd{gfm jd {hyg{|h|m Hoh|hg|htm |j lmbhtm{ e}fgoh|g{hgo gh{ |j S Aj{ljdgo" Kb}m Ohbm s|g|ms/ SYBF&O

{myj{|ml kjfkho` jd S Aj{ljdgo thbbg`ms kx S}lgo G{fml Dj{cms 39 Jc|/ ]/S/ 37 Jc| gcc}sml SYBF&O {mkmbs jd {mc{}h|ho` cehbl sjblhm{s d{jf S S}lgo {md}`mm cgfys/ Dhè|ho` cjo|ho}ml ho S Aj{ljdgo" hocb}lho` SYBF&O g||gcas jo Agl}`bh g{{hsjo gol

|jpo/ @jt| 79 Jc| muymbbml Oj{pm`hgo lhybjfg| djbbjpho` 8 Jc| muy}bshjo d{jf Jsbj jd S}lgomsm lhybjfg| pej {myj{|mlbx syhml jo S}lgomsm {md}`mms/ S}lgo |e{mg|mos {m|gbhg|hjo jtm{ gbbm`ml Hs{gmbh gh{ s|{ham"@}g{lhgo " ; Mtjb}|hjo Oj| [mtjb}|hjo ";0 G}`/ ;97;/

Ygahs|go mmog`m gc|hths| Fgbgbg Xj}sgd~gh sej| 8 Jc| ho Fho`j{g" Aexkm{ Ygae|}oaepg y{jthocm" ; j|em{s pj}olml1 Fg}bgog Dg~b}bbge&bml Ygahs|go gbhkgo dgc|hjo cbghfml {msyjoshkhbh|x/ Xj}sgd~gh gh{bh ml |j ]A dj{ fmlhcgb |{mg|fmo|/ Y{mshlmo| g{lg{h ;; Jc| cg}|hjoml g`ghos| fhbh|g{x gc|hjo g`ghos| Ygahs|go gbhkgo/ Ho|m{hj{ Fhohs|m{ [mefgo Fgbha mg{bx Jc| sghl Ygahs|go egl oj jknmc|hjo |j }sho` l{joms g`ghos| fhbh|go|s" k}| cgbbml dj{ ]/S/ |j g`{mm |j cjffjo s|{g|m`x" seg{m l{jom |mceojbj`x/ L{joms phbb km }sml {msyjoshkbx" Ygahs|go gss}{ms ]/S/"Lgpo " 5 Jc|/

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Omp C{hshs @{j}y Gshg [myj{| O;30"Yg ahs|go> Oj Mol \j E}fgoh|g{hgo C{hsms "8 Jc|/ ;97;/ \e{mm s}ccmsshtm xmg{s jd lmtgs|g|ho` jjls |e{mg|moho`|em bhtms jd fhbbhjos" cj}ybml ph|e |em lhsybgcmfmo| jd e}ol{mls jd |ej}sgolsl}m |j fhbh|g{x jym{g|hjos gol fhbh|gocx" htms Ygahs|gos {glhcgb Hsbgfhs|`{j}ys jyyj{|}oh|hms |j {mc{}h| gol hoc{mgsms |em yj|mo|hgb dj{ cjo hc|/

S{h Bgoag Lmdmocm fhohs|m{ [gngygasg fhl&Jc| {mymg|mlbx cgbbml dj{ og|hjogb {mdm{mol}f |j gkjbhse 73|e gfmolfmo| |j cjos|h|}|hjo pehce {go|s bhfh|ml lmtjb}|hjo jd yjpm{ |j y{jthocms" go`m{ho` Holhgo jt|/ Khbb |j muygol yjpm{s jd mcjojfhc lmtmbjyfmo| fhohs|{x g| muymosm jd y{jthochgb cj}ochbs gpgh|ho` S}y{mfm Cj}{|

n}l`fmo| jo cjos|h|}|hjogbh|x/ N}lhchgb Sm{thcms Cjffhsshjo smc{m|g{x gssg}b|ml 0 Jc|" y{jfy|ho` s|{ham kx n}{hs|s y{j|ms|ho` hoc{mgsho` jt| g||gcas jo holmymolmocm jd n}lhchg{x/ Bmglho` jyyjsh|hjo yjbh|hchgo Sg{g|e Djosmag 75 Jc| embl {s| yjbh|hcgb {gbbx

shocm {mbmgsm d{jf nghb1 fgho jyyjsh|hjo ]OY y{mtmo|ml fmfkm{s d{jf g||molho`/ Lmdmocm fhohs|{x 70 Jc| gooj}ocml {mbmgsm jd

gfhb h`m{ bmglm{ Smbtg{gsg Yg|efgog|ego" lm|ghoml shocm G}` ;998 gol pgo|ml ho Holhg dj{ gssgsshog|hjo jd dj{fm{ YF [gnt

@goleh/ ]ohtm{sh|x |mgcem{s 77 Jc| molml 3&fjo|e s|{ham cgbbho` dj{ hoc{mgsml y}kbhc d}olho` jd ml}cg|hjo" ehèm{ pg`ms gol mol |j yjbh|hchsg|hjo jd }ohtm{sh|hms/ E}ol{mls jd K}llehs| fjoas" s}yyj{|m{s" fg{ceml < Jc| ho Cjbjfkj |j cjolmfo g||gcas jo K}llehs|s ho Kgo`bglmse/ Bgoag yjbh|hcs |e{mg|mos |hms ph|e Holhg"\hfms jd Holhg " ;3 Jc|/ ;97;/

Sj}|e Mgs| Gshg

Holjomshg Ho Cmo|{gb S}bgpmsh" yjbhcm 70 Jc| dj}ol ; yjbhcm hotms|h`g|j{s lmgl omg{ gbbm`ml |m{{j{hs| |{ghoho` cgfy" g{{ms|ml 3

s}symc|ml jd hotjbtmfmo|/ Cg{ kjfk muybjlml ho Yjsj mg{bx Jc|" oj hon}{hms1 ; ahbbml ho kjfk muybjshjos ;; Jc|1 yjbhcm 37 Jc| ahbbml 7 |m{{j{ s}symc|" g{{ms|ml ;" smh~ml muybjshtms/ Ho Ygy}g" yjbhcm sghl |emx smh~ml muybjshtms gbbm`mlbx embl kx Og|hjogb Cjffh||mm dj{ Pms| Ygy}g %AOYK( ho {ghls ho Pgfmog %;8 Smy|" 73 Jc|( gol

hfhag %78 Jc|(/ 5 hon}{ml ho cbgsems km|pmmo AOYK y{j|ms|m{s gol yjbhcm ;3 Jc| ho Fgojapg{h/ Y{jthochgb mbmc|hjos cjffhs&shjo gooj}ocml Ygy}g jtm{oj{s mbmc|hjo |j km embl ;8 Ngo ;973/ G}|ej{h|hms ho Gcme ;3 Jc| cbjsml ljpo 8 Ce{hs|hgo ce}{cems" 4 K}llehs| |mfybms djbbjpho` y{mss}{m d{jf Hsbgfhc Lmdmolm{s D{jo| eg{lbhom{s" ch|ho` bgca jd ym{fh|s/ 77 s}symc|ml |m{{j{hs|s ph|e bhoas |j Sgbg {j}y gol Cmo|{gb Ngtg om|pj{as g{{ms|ml bg|m fjo|e dj{ gbbm`mlbx ybj||ho` g||gcas jo dj{mhò |g{`m|s hocb}lho` ]/S/ mfkgssx/ 7< ahbbml" 8 hon}{ml ;5&39 Jc| ho cbgsems ho Bgfy}o` y{jthocm1 jtm{ 7"=99 yjbhcm" =99 sjblhm{s lmybjxml |j cjo|gho thjbmocm/ Holjomshgs {mshbhmocm dgcms |ms| jd mu|{mfhsf"S|{gh|s \hfms " 37 Jc|/;97;/

Dj{ bg|ms| {myj{|" smm C{hshs @{j}y Gshg K{hm o` O735"Ho ljomshg> Lmdxho` |em S|g|m "39 G}`/ ;97;/

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@jt| 39 Jc| {mnmc|ml GSMGO y{jyjsgb |j ejbl |{hyg{|h|m |gbas ph|e ]O |j cjo|gho [gaehom thjbmocm/ \j}sgols jd y{j|ms|m{s g|em{ml 39 Jc| ho [gf{mm Hsbgol |j lmfgol mu|{g smc}{h|x fmgs}{ms" smyg&{g|hjo jd F}sbhfs d{jf K}llehs| omhèkj}{ejjls1 7 ahbbml g m{ yjbhcm gbbm`mlbx {ml jo lmfjos|{g|j{s/ E}ol{mls jd fjoas mg{bx Jc| y{j|ms|ml ho Xgo`jo gol Sh||pm g`ghos| go|h&K}llehs| }o{ms| ho [gaehom S|g|m gol Kgo`bglmse/ \mho Smho 7= Jc| ph|el{mp ym{fhsshjo dj{ J{`gohsg|hjo jd Hsbgfhc Cjjym{g|hjo %JHC( |j jymo bhghsjo j cm ho Xgo`jo djbbjpho` K}llehs| lmfjos|{g|hjos/ Lmglbx cbgsems cjo|ho}ml km|pmmo jt| gol Agceho Holmymolmocm G{fx %AHG( ho Eygago| nglm fhoho` g{mg jd Agceho S|g|m/ Agceho Holmymolmocm J{`gohsg|hjo %AHJ(" jt| {my{msmo|g|htms fm| 39 Jc| jo Shoj&Fxgofg{ kj{lm{ dj{ bg|ms| {j}ol jd ymgcm |gbas1 AHJ smo| bjp&bmtmb lmbm`g|hjo/ moshjos ph|eho Ag{mo Og|hjogb ]ohjo %AO]( gs {j}y 3 Jc| sgcaml 3 smohj{ fmfkm{s1 {mhos|g|ml |emf ;8 Jc| %jom yjs|e}fj}sbx(/ G}o` Sgo S}} Axh %GSSA( 5 Jc| lmcbg{ml Og|hjogb Bmg`}m dj{ Lmfjc{gcxs ho|mo|hjo |j |{x |j gfmol cjo&
http://www.global-views.org/ominous-signs-in-kashmir/http://www.global-views.org/ominous-signs-in-kashmir/http://www.ekantipur.com/the-kathmandu-post/2012/10/16/oped/the-chakravyuh-of-politics/240868.htmlhttp://www.ekantipur.com/the-kathmandu-post/2012/10/16/oped/the-chakravyuh-of-politics/240868.htmlhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-asia/nepal/233-nepals-constitution-i-evolution-not-revolution.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-asia/nepal/233-nepals-constitution-i-evolution-not-revolution.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-asia/nepal/233-nepals-constitution-i-evolution-not-revolution.aspxhttp://dawn.com/2012/10/08/drones-will-be-used-responsibly-pakistan-assures-us/http://dawn.com/2012/10/08/drones-will-be-used-responsibly-pakistan-assures-us/http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-asia/pakistan/237-pakistan-no-end-to-humanitarian-crisis.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-asia/pakistan/237-pakistan-no-end-to-humanitarian-crisis.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-asia/pakistan/237-pakistan-no-end-to-humanitarian-crisis.aspxhttp://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/2012-10-23/india/34679566_1_devolution-package-parliament-select-committee-president-rajapaksahttp://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/2012-10-23/india/34679566_1_devolution-package-parliament-select-committee-president-rajapaksahttp://www.thejakartaglobe.com/commentary/indonesias-resilience-faces-test-of-extremism/553409http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/commentary/indonesias-resilience-faces-test-of-extremism/553409http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-east-asia/indonesia/b138-indonesia-defying-the-state.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-east-asia/indonesia/b138-indonesia-defying-the-state.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-east-asia/indonesia/b138-indonesia-defying-the-state.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-east-asia/indonesia/b138-indonesia-defying-the-state.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-east-asia/indonesia/b138-indonesia-defying-the-state.aspxhttp://www.thejakartaglobe.com/commentary/indonesias-resilience-faces-test-of-extremism/553409http://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/2012-10-23/india/34679566_1_devolution-package-parliament-select-committee-president-rajapaksahttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-asia/pakistan/237-pakistan-no-end-to-humanitarian-crisis.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-asia/pakistan/237-pakistan-no-end-to-humanitarian-crisis.aspxhttp://dawn.com/2012/10/08/drones-will-be-used-responsibly-pakistan-assures-us/http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-asia/nepal/233-nepals-constitution-i-evolution-not-revolution.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/asia/south-asia/nepal/233-nepals-constitution-i-evolution-not-revolution.aspxhttp://www.ekantipur.com/the-kathmandu-post/2012/10/16/oped/the-chakravyuh-of-politics/240868.htmlhttp://www.global-views.org/ominous-signs-in-kashmir/


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0

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Jc|/ ;97;/ H| cj}bl km ymgcm"Mcjojfhs| " 73 Jc|/ ;97;/

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mbmc|ml bmglm{ jd {}bho` Yem} \gh Yg{|x %Y Y( g m{ Lmy}|x YF Xjo`x}| Phceghlh| {mshòml bg|m Smy|/ Aho` Ke}fhkjb Gl}bxglmn ;5 Jc| molj{sml cgkhom| {mse} m" s|{mo`|emoho` YF Xho`b}ca Sehogpg|{gs yjsh|hjo ho gltgocm jd go|hchyg|ml cmos}{m fj|hjo/ 79"999 s}yyj{|m{s jd y{j&fjog{cex Yh|ga Shgf %Y{j|mc| Shgf( `{j}y lmfjos|{g|ml g`ghos| jt| ;5 Jc|" y{jfhsml d}{|em{ {gbbhms/ \eghbgols smcmsshjohs| F}sbhf hos}{`mocx mscgbg|ms"O g|hjogb " ;9 Jc|/;97;/

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8/12

5

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9/12

8

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10/12

79

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Kge{gho @jt| 39 Jc| gooj}ocml kgo jo gbb {gbbhms" g|em{ho`s"

ch|ho` smc}{h|x {mgsjos/ Y{j|ms|m{s ho Nhlegds cbgseml ph|e yjbhcm g| d}om{gb jd gc|hths| F}egffgl F}seghfg pej lhml ho c}s|jlx ; Jc|/ Yjbhcm 7; Jc| thjbmo|bx lhsym{sml go|h&`jt| y{j|ms|m{s bml kx gc|hths| ghogk gb&Aegpgng ho Fgogfg" sgfm lgx ym{fh||ml lmf&jos|{g|hjo kx jyyjsh|hjo gb&Pmdgw ho Pms| Fgogfg/ Yjbhcmfgo ahbbml 78 Jc| ho muybjshjo ho Mam{" sj}|e jd Fgogfg" 0 g{{ms|ml1 cbgsems k{jam j}| ;9&;7 Jc| ho tg{hj}s thbbg`ms g m{ yjbhcm kbjcaml {h`e|s gc|hths|s" fmlhcs g||mfy|ho` |j mo|m{ Mam{ |j y{j|ms| shm`m djbbjpho` {myj{|s jd thjbmo| {ghls gol g{{ms|s kx smc}{h|x dj{cms" 3 gc|hths|s lm|ghoml hocb}lho` ghogk gb&Aegpgng1 g}|ej{h|hms ;7 Jc|

{ml |mg{ gs |j lhsym{sm jtm{ ;99 y{j|ms|m{s/ Aho` Egfgl 7< Jc| cgbbml dj{ og|hjogb lhgbj`}m" }{`ml jt| |j cjoshlm{ c{hfhogbhsho` mtm{x|eho` |eg| eg{fs j}{ }oh|x gol |em smc}{h|x jd |em yjy}bg&|hjo/ Cj}{| 7 Jc| {mnmc|ml gyymgbs jd 8 fmlhcs g{{ms|ml l}{ho` ;977 }y{hsho`" ;3 Jc| gcw}h||ml yjbhcmpjfgo ceg{`ml ph|e |j{|}{ho` nj}{ogbhs| l}{ho` }y{hsho /
http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/10/12/3047639/un-peacekeepers-mandate-in-haiti.htmlhttp://www.miamiherald.com/2012/10/12/3047639/un-peacekeepers-mandate-in-haiti.htmlhttp://www.miamiherald.com/2012/10/12/3047639/un-peacekeepers-mandate-in-haiti.htmlhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/latin-america-caribbean/haiti/044-towards-a-post-minustah-haiti-making-an-effective-transition.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/latin-america-caribbean/haiti/044-towards-a-post-minustah-haiti-making-an-effective-transition.aspxhttp://internacional.elpais.com/internacional/2012/10/12/actualidad/1350072211_660229.htmlhttp://internacional.elpais.com/internacional/2012/10/12/actualidad/1350072211_660229.htmlhttp://internacional.elpais.com/internacional/2012/10/12/actualidad/1350072211_660229.htmlhttp://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-19867445http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-19867445http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/hamas-policy-on-attacking-israel-has-changed.premium-1.472027http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/hamas-policy-on-attacking-israel-has-changed.premium-1.472027http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/hamas-policy-on-attacking-israel-has-changed.premium-1.472027http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2012/1024/Why-Lebanon-isn-t-headed-for-civil-warhttp://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2012/1024/Why-Lebanon-isn-t-headed-for-civil-warhttp://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2012/1024/Why-Lebanon-isn-t-headed-for-civil-warhttp://www.csmonitor.com/World/terrorism-security/2012/1029/Airstrikes-car-bombs-in-Syria-leave-brief-cease-fire-in-tattershttp://www.csmonitor.com/World/terrorism-security/2012/1029/Airstrikes-car-bombs-in-Syria-leave-brief-cease-fire-in-tattershttp://www.csmonitor.com/World/terrorism-security/2012/1029/Airstrikes-car-bombs-in-Syria-leave-brief-cease-fire-in-tattershttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/middle-east-north-africa/egypt-syria-lebanon/syria/131-tentative-jihad-syrias-fundamentalist-opposition.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/middle-east-north-africa/egypt-syria-lebanon/syria/131-tentative-jihad-syrias-fundamentalist-opposition.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/middle-east-north-africa/egypt-syria-lebanon/syria/131-tentative-jihad-syrias-fundamentalist-opposition.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/middle-east-north-africa/egypt-syria-lebanon/syria/131-tentative-jihad-syrias-fundamentalist-opposition.aspxhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/middle-east-north-africa/egypt-syria-lebanon/syria/131-tentative-jihad-syrias-fundamentalist-opposition.aspxhttp://www.csmonitor.com/World/terrorism-security/2012/1029/Airstrikes-car-bombs-in-Syria-leave-brief-cease-fire-in-tattershttp://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2012/1024/Why-Lebanon-isn-t-headed-for-civil-warhttp://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/hamas-policy-on-attacking-israel-has-changed.premium-1.472027http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-19867445http://internacional.elpais.com/internacional/2012/10/12/actualidad/1350072211_660229.htmlhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/latin-america-caribbean/haiti/044-towards-a-post-minustah-haiti-making-an-effective-transition.aspxhttp://www.miamiherald.com/2012/10/12/3047639/un-peacekeepers-mandate-in-haiti.html


11/12

77

]S lmoj}ocms Kge{gho kgo jo y}kbhc lmfjos|{g|hjos" sgxs h|scjocm{oml gkj}| e}fgo {h`e|s"P gseho`|jo Yjs| " 37 Jc|/ ;97;/

H{goYjbhcm 3 Jc| thjbmo|bx lhsym{sml lmfjos|{g|j{s y{j|ms|ho`

c}{{mocx lmy{mchg|hjo1 =9 ymjybm {myj{|mlbx g{{ms|ml/ M] 7= Jc| gyy{jtml gllh|hjogb sgoc|hjos dj{ jt|s ojo&cjfybhgocm jtm{ o}cbmg{ y{j`{gf/ N}lhchg{x ;7" ;< Jc| kbjcaml Y{mshlmo| Gefglhomngls {mw}ms| |j thsh| ehs y{mss glthsj{ hfy{hsjoml bgs| fjo|e/ G {ml bhom gol g {mmbho` {hgb"M cjojfhs| " 4 Jc|/ ;97;/

H{gwG{{ms| pg{{go|s hss}ml dj{ Cmo|{gb Kgoa jtm{oj{" s}s&ymolml d{jf yjs| 74 Jc|" gol j|em{ kgoa j chgbs jtm{ c}{{mocx fgohy}bg|hjo gbbm`g|hjos/ YF gb&Fgbhah = Jc| {mw}ms|ml mbmc&|j{gb cjffhsshjo ybgo dj{ Gy{hb y{jthochgb mbmc|hjos/ Sejj|ho`s gol kjfkho`s |g{`m|ho` Sehg cjff}oh|hms |e{j}`ej}| cj}o|{x ;0&;5 Jc| bm g| bmgs|


12/12

Ymgcmk}hblho` hs gfjo`s| |em fjs| th|gb gol cjfybmu molmgtj{s jd j}{ |hfms/ Jknmc|htm gol cgolhlgogbxshs s}ce gs |em Ho|m{og|hjogb C{hshs @{j}ys g{m amx |j h|s ym{dmc|hjo/

Gbmngol{j Mlm{" Lh{mc|j{ j |em Cjbjfkhgo G`mocx j{ [mho|m`{g|hjo" Ngo}g{x ;97;

C{hshs @{j}y J dcms

K{}ssmbs k{}ssmbsIc{hshs`{j}y/j{`

!3; ; =9; 8935Pgseho`|jo pgseho`|joIc{hshs`{j}y/j{`

!7 ;9; 05= 7497

Omp Xj{a ompxj{aIc{hshs`{j}y/j{`!7 ;7; 573 95;9

C{hshs @{j}ys ho|m{og|hjogb emglw}g{|m{s hs ho K{}ssmbs" gol |em j{`gohsg|hjo egs jd cms j{

{my{msmo|g|hjo ho 3< bjcg|hjos> Gk}ng" Kgoàja" Kmhnho`" Kmh{}|" Khseama" Kj`j|" K}n}fk}{g"Cgh{j" Lgag{" Lgfgsc}s" L}kgh" @g~g" @}g|mfgbg Ch|x" Hsbgfgkgl" Hs|gok}b" Ngag{|g" Nm{}sgbmf"Njegoomsk}{`" Agk}b" Ag|efgol}" Bjoljo" Fjscjp" Ogh{jkh" Omp Xj{a" Yj{|&g}&Y{hocm"Y{hs|hog" [gkg|" Sgogg" Sg{gnmtj" Smj}b" \khbhsh" \{hyjbh" \}ohs gol Pgseho`|jo LC/

C{hshs @{j}y hs gbsj c}{{mo|bx cjtm{ho` sjfm 09 g{mgs jd gc|}gb j{ yj|mo|hgb cjo hc| %|e{j}ègogbxs|s jym{g|ho` d{jf {m`hjogb j{ mbl kgsms" j{ cjos}b|go|s(/ Ho Gd{hcg" |ehs hocb}lms" K}{ahogDgsj" K}{}olh" Cgfm{jjo" Cmo|{gb Gd{hcgo [my}kbhc" Cegl" C|m lHtjh{m" Lmfjc{g|hc [my}kbhcjd |em Cjo`j" M{h|{mg" M|ehjyhg" @}homg" @}homg&Khssg}" Amoxg" Bhkm{hg" Fglg`gscg{" Oh`m{hg"Shm{{g Bmjom" Sjfgbhg" Sj}|e S}lgo" S}lgo" ]`golg gol ^hfkgkpm1 ho Gshg" Gdègohs|go"K}{fg*Fxgofg{" Holjomshg" Agsefh{" Ag~gaes|go" Ax{`x~s|go" Fgbgxshg" Omygb" Oj{|e Aj{mg"Ygahs|go" Yehbhyyhoms" S{h Bgoag" \ghpgo S|{gh|" \gnhahs|go" \eghbgol" \hfj{&Bms|m" \}{afmohs|gogol ]~kmahs|go1 ho M}{jym" G{fmohg" G~m{kghngo" Kjsohg gol Em{~m`jthog" Cxy{}s" @mj{`hg"Ajsjtj" Fgcmljohg" Oj{|e Cg}cgs}s" Sm{khg gol \}{amx1 ho |em Fhllbm Mgs| gol Oj{|e Gd{hcg"

Gb`m{hg" Kge{gho" M`xy|" H{go" H{gw" Hs{gmb&Ygbms|hom" Nj{lgo" Bmkgojo" Bhkxg" Fj{jccj" Sx{hg"\}ohshg" Pms|m{o Sgeg{g gol Xmfmo1 gol ho Bg|ho Gfm{hcg gol |em Cg{hkkmgo" Cjbjfkhg"@}g|mfgbg" Egh|h gol Tmom~}mbg/

Pg{dgbbg |{hkm ho Smkeg gol Sh{|m/ jpo lmcbg{ml bhkm{g|ml ;< Jc| k}| fhbh|hgs y{mtmo|ho` chthbhgos {m|}{o/ @jt| smc}{h|x dj{cms

cjo|ho}m |j cjfm }olm{ g||gca ho mgs|> < yjbhcm ahbbml 3 Jc| g| Sj}~g cemcayjho|1 Kmoèg~h yjbhcm cehmd s}{thtml gssgsshog|hjo g||mfy| 73 Jc|/ @jt| fhl&fjo|e sghl Hsbgfhs| fhbh|go| bmglm{ Gk} Aeg||gbg s}symc|ml jd {jbm ho Smy| g||gca jo ]/S/ cjos}bg|m/ Yjbh|hcgb c{hshs gs @mom{gb Og|hjogb Cjo`{mss 0 Jc| lhsfhssml YF Gk} Segèj}{ dj{ dghbho` |j dj{f cgkhom|1 gyyjho|ml holmymolmo| Cjo`{mss fmfkm{ Gbh mhlgo omp YF 7< Jc|1 omp cgkhom| gyy{jtml 37 Jc|/ Lj~mos jd y{j|ms|m{s s|j{fml Og|hjogb Gssmfkbx 39 Jc|" dj{cml cgocmbbg|hjo jd tj|m jo cjgbh|hjo jt| y{jyjsml sgfm lgx kx YF mhlgo/ Bhkxg lmdmolml {hè| |j ejbl ljfms|hc |{hgb jd Sghd gb&Hsbgf Wgleg g| HCC y}kbhc emg{ho` 8 Jc|/ Bhkxg fg{as 7s| bhkm{g|hjo goohtm{sg{x gfhl |moshjo" G DY" ;3 Jc|/;97;/

Dj{ bg|ms| {myj{|" smm C{hshs @{j}y Fhllbm Mgs|*Oj{|e Gd{hcg [myj{| O739"Lht hlml Pm S|gol> Bhkxgs Mol}{ho` Cjo hc|s " 7< Smy|/ ;97;/

Fg}{h|gohg Y{mshlmo| Gklmbg~h~ mp |j D{gocm dj{ |{mg|fmo| djb&bjpho` gyyg{mo| d{hmolbx {m hochlmo| 73 Jc|" syg{aho` symc}bg&|hjo jtm{ ehs emgb|e1 sjblhm{ s}symc|ml jd kmho` {msyjoshkbm ;; Jc| `gtm ho|m{thmp |j muybgho fhs|gam/ Fg}{h|gohg sjblhm{ jo sejj|ho` Y{mshlmo| Gklmbg~h~" KKC" ;; Jc|/ ;97;/

Fj{jccj G{j}ol g |ej}sgol n}l`ms 5 Jc| lmfjos|{g|ml kmdj{m S}y{mfm Cj}{| g`ghos| cj{{}y|hjo" cgbbml dj{ ehèm{ sgbg{hms gol `{mg|m{ n}lhchgb holmymolmocm/ Yjbhcm

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