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2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014 2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014 Base: LIKELY VOTERS Q1--HOW LIKELY IS IT YOU WILL VOTE IN THE NOVEMBER GENERAL ELECTION FOR GOVERNOR, U.S. SENATE AND OTHER OFFICES? | SEX | AGE | PID Total | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% ALR Compostn 37% | 32% 42% | 34% 34% 41% | 33% 54% 28% | | | DEF Compostn 63% | 68% 58% | 66% 66% 59% | 67% 46% 72% | | | PROB Compostn | | | | | | MGT/NOT Compostn | | | | | | PROB NOT Compostn | | | | | | R/NS Compostn | | | | | |

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Full results for the Nov. 1, 2014, Iowa Poll.

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Page 1: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q1--HOW LIKELY IS IT YOU WILL VOTE IN THE NOVEMBER GENERAL ELECTION FOR GOVERNOR, U.S. SENATE AND OTHER OFFICES?

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ALR Compostn 37% | 32% 42% | 34% 34% 41% | 33% 54% 28%| | |

DEF Compostn 63% | 68% 58% | 66% 66% 59% | 67% 46% 72%| | |

PROB Compostn | | | | | |

MGT/NOT Compostn | | | | | |

PROB NOT Compostn | | | | | |

R/NS Compostn | | | | | |

Page 2: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q2A--IF THE ELECTION FOR GOVERNOR WERE HELD TODAY AND THE CANDIDATES LISTED ON THE BALLOT WERE [TERRY BRANSTAD FOR THE REPUBLICANS] AND [JACK HATCH FOR THE DEMOCRATS], FOR WHOM WOULD YOU/DID YOU VOTE?

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

BRANSTAD Compostn 59% | 63% 55% | 61% 62% 55% | 96% 16% 60%| | |

HATCH Compostn 35% | 30% 39% | 33% 33% 37% | 2% 83% 27%| | |

OTH/NOT VOTE Compostn 2% | 3% 1% | 3% 2% 2% | 1% 0% 5%| | |

NS Compostn 4% | 4% 5% | 3% 3% 6% | 1% 2% 8%| | |

Page 3: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q2B--IF THE ELECTION FOR ATTORNEY GENERAL WERE HELD TODAY AND THE CANDIDATES LISTED ON THE BALLOT WERE [ADAM GREGG FOR THE REPUBLICANS] AND [TOM MILLER FOR THE DEMOCRATS], FOR WHOM WOULD YOU/DID YOU VOTE?

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

GREGG Compostn 39% | 45% 33% | 36% 45% 35% | 78% 5% 32%| | |

MILLER Compostn 50% | 45% 55% | 47% 43% 57% | 16% 92% 47%| | |

OTH/NOT VOTE Compostn 2% | 3% 2% | 5% 3% 1% | 2% 0% 4%| | |

NS Compostn 8% | 8% 9% | 12% 8% 7% | 4% 2% 16%| | |

Page 4: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q2C--IF THE ELECTION FOR SECRETARY OF STATE WERE HELD TODAY AND THE CANDIDATES LISTED ON THE BALLOT WERE [PAUL PATE FOR THE REPUBLICANS] AND [BRAD ANDERSON FOR THE DEMOCRATS], FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

PATE Compostn 45% | 52% 37% | 42% 51% 41% | 87% 4% 41%| | |

ANDERSON Compostn 41% | 35% 46% | 42% 35% 44% | 7% 90% 31%| | |

OTH/NOT VOTE Compostn 3% | 2% 3% | 6% 1% 3% | 0% 2% 6%| | |

NS Compostn 12% | 10% 14% | 10% 13% 12% | 6% 5% 22%| | |

Page 5: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

SEN+LEAN

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

BRALEY Compostn 44% | 36% 51% | 49% 39% 46% | 5% 94% 39%| | |

ERNST Compostn 51% | 58% 44% | 42% 57% 49% | 94% 4% 51%| | |

ELSE Compostn 1% | 2% 1% | 3% 2% 1% | 1% 3%| | |

NS Compostn 4% | 4% 4% | 5% 2% 4% | 2% 0% 8%| | |

Page 6: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q3C--WOULD YOU SAY YOUR MIND IS MADE UP TO VOTE FOR (CANDIDATE NAMED IN Q3A) OR COULD YOU STILL BE PERSUADED TO VOTE FOR ANOTHER CANDIDATE?

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

MADEUP Compostn 88% | 86% 89% | 83% 89% 90% | 92% 93% 80%| | |

PERSUAD Compostn 7% | 8% 6% | 10% 8% 4% | 5% 5% 10%| | |

NS Compostn 2% | 2% 2% | 1% 2% 3% | 0% 1% 4%| | |

NO 1ST CHOICE Compostn 3% | 4% 3% | 7% 2% 3% | 2% 1% 7%| | |

Page 7: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q4A--BETTER REFLECTS IOWA VALUES: I'M GOING TO MENTION SOME WORDS/PHRASES THAT MIGHT BE USED TO DESCRIBE A CANDIDATE--SOME POSITIVE AND SOME NEGATIVE. PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU THINK IT BETTER DESCRIBES [JONI ERNST] OR [BRUCE BRALEY].

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 51% | 58% 45% | 41% 60% 48% | 92% 9% 50%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 37% | 32% 42% | 45% 31% 39% | 3% 79% 33%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 3% | 3% 2% | 1% 2% 4% | 2% 3% 3%| | |

NS Compostn 9% | 8% 11% | 13% 8% 9% | 4% 9% 14%| | |

Page 8: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q4B--CARES MORE ABOUT PEOPLE LIKE YOU: I'M GOING TO MENTION SOME WORDS/PHRASES THAT MIGHT BE USED TO DESCRIBE A CANDIDATE--SOME POSITIVE AND SOME NEGATIVE. PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU THINK IT BETTER DESCRIBES [JONI ERNST] OR [BRUCE BRALEY].

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 47% | 52% 42% | 38% 54% 45% | 86% 6% 46%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 39% | 34% 44% | 41% 35% 42% | 4% 86% 33%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 3% | 2% 3% | 5% 3% 1% | 2% 2% 4%| | |

NS Compostn 11% | 12% 10% | 16% 8% 11% | 7% 6% 18%| | |

Page 9: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q4C--TAKES THE MOST EXTREME POSITIONS ON ISSUES: I'M GOING TO MENTION SOME WORDS/PHRASES THAT MIGHT BE USED TO DESCRIBE A CANDIDATE--SOME POSITIVE AND SOME NEGATIVE. PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU THINK IT BETTER DESCRIBES [JONI ERNST] OR [BRUCE BRALEY].

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 49% | 44% 52% | 57% 48% 45% | 28% 69% 51%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 33% | 38% 28% | 21% 36% 35% | 52% 19% 26%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 4% | 6% 2% | 5% 3% 3% | 4% 1% 6%| | |

NS Compostn 15% | 12% 18% | 17% 12% 16% | 15% 11% 17%| | |

Page 10: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q4D--IS TOO INFLUENCED BY OUTSIDE INTERESTS: I'M GOING TO MENTION SOME WORDS/PHRASES THAT MIGHT BE USED TO DESCRIBE A CANDIDATE--SOME POSITIVE AND SOME NEGATIVE. PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU THINK IT BETTER DESCRIBES [JONI ERNST] OR [BRUCE BRALEY].

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 41% | 36% 45% | 45% 35% 43% | 11% 79% 37%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 35% | 41% 30% | 31% 42% 32% | 64% 7% 33%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 9% | 13% 5% | 7% 8% 10% | 10% 3% 11%| | |

NS Compostn 15% | 10% 20% | 17% 15% 15% | 16% 11% 19%| | |

Page 11: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q4E--WOULD WORK EFFECTIVELY ACROSS PARTY LINES: I'M GOING TO MENTION SOME WORDS/PHRASES THAT MIGHT BE USED TO DESCRIBE A CANDIDATE--SOME POSITIVE AND SOME NEGATIVE. PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU THINK IT BETTER DESCRIBES [JONI ERNST] OR [BRUCE BRALEY].

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 41% | 44% 38% | 30% 47% 40% | 73% 5% 41%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 40% | 39% 42% | 46% 36% 41% | 8% 81% 37%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 3% | 4% 2% | 3% 3% 3% | 3% 2% 3%| | |

NS Compostn 16% | 14% 18% | 20% 14% 15% | 15% 12% 19%| | |

Page 12: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q4F--HAS BEEN MORE NEGATIVE IN CAMPAIGN ADS: I'M GOING TO MENTION SOME WORDS/PHRASES THAT MIGHT BE USED TO DESCRIBE A CANDIDATE--SOME POSITIVE AND SOME NEGATIVE. PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU THINK IT BETTER DESCRIBES [JONI ERNST] OR [BRUCE BRALEY].

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 32% | 29% 34% | 38% 27% 33% | 7% 67% 27%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 44% | 46% 42% | 37% 52% 40% | 74% 10% 44%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 17% | 17% 16% | 19% 14% 18% | 12% 15% 21%| | |

NS Compostn 7% | 7% 7% | 6% 7% 8% | 7% 8% 7%| | |

Page 13: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q4G--HAS SHOWN A MORE CIVIL TONE: I'M GOING TO MENTION SOME WORDS/PHRASES THAT MIGHT BE USED TO DESCRIBE A CANDIDATE--SOME POSITIVE AND SOME NEGATIVE. PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU THINK IT BETTER DESCRIBES [JONI ERNST] OR [BRUCE BRALEY].

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 45% | 49% 43% | 35% 53% 43% | 81% 5% 47%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 37% | 31% 42% | 45% 32% 37% | 5% 78% 31%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 5% | 8% 3% | 9% 5% 4% | 6% 4% 5%| | |

NS Compostn 13% | 13% 12% | 11% 10% 15% | 8% 13% 16%| | |

Page 14: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q4H--IS A REGULAR, DOWN-TO-EARTH PERSON: I'M GOING TO MENTION SOME WORDS/PHRASES THAT MIGHT BE USED TO DESCRIBE A CANDIDATE--SOME POSITIVE AND SOME NEGATIVE. PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU THINK IT BETTER DESCRIBES [JONI ERNST] OR [BRUCE BRALEY].

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 49% | 53% 45% | 36% 58% 47% | 84% 11% 49%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 33% | 31% 35% | 39% 29% 35% | 5% 72% 28%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 5% | 5% 5% | 4% 3% 7% | 4% 4% 6%| | |

NS Compostn 13% | 11% 15% | 22% 10% 11% | 7% 13% 18%| | |

Page 15: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q4I--HAS MORE DEPTH ON ISSUES: I'M GOING TO MENTION SOME WORDS/PHRASES THAT MIGHT BE USED TO DESCRIBE A CANDIDATE--SOME POSITIVE AND SOME NEGATIVE. PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU THINK IT BETTER DESCRIBES [JONI ERNST] OR [BRUCE BRALEY].

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 40% | 44% 36% | 28% 51% 37% | 75% 6% 37%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 42% | 39% 44% | 44% 38% 43% | 8% 81% 39%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 4% | 4% 4% | 10% 2% 3% | 4% 2% 5%| | |

NS Compostn 14% | 13% 16% | 18% 9% 17% | 12% 11% 19%| | |

Page 16: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q5A--THE RISE OF THE ISLAMIC STATE IN THE MIDDLE EAST: THE NEXT U.S. SENATE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO DEAL WITH SOME DIFFICULT FOREGN AND DOMESTIC ISSUES. I'D LIKE YOU TO PUT ASIDE YOUR CHOICE FOR CANDIDATE AND TELL ME WHO YOU THINK WOULD BE BETTER EQUIPPED TO

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 50% | 54% 47% | 45% 58% 47% | 80% 12% 55%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 30% | 28% 32% | 32% 28% 32% | 7% 64% 25%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 3% | 3% 3% | 5% 1% 3% | 1% 4% 3%| | |

NS Compostn 17% | 14% 18% | 18% 13% 19% | 12% 20% 17%| | |

Page 17: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q5B--THE EBOLA OUTBREAK IN AFRICA: THE NEXT U.S. SENATE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO DEAL WITH SOME DIFFICULT FOREGN AND DOMESTIC ISSUES. I'D LIKE YOU TO PUT ASIDE YOUR CHOICE FOR CANDIDATE AND TELL ME WHO YOU THINK WOULD BE BETTER EQUIPPED TO

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 41% | 47% 35% | 27% 49% 40% | 70% 7% 41%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 32% | 28% 35% | 43% 28% 30% | 5% 68% 26%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 4% | 5% 4% | 7% 3% 5% | 4% 3% 6%| | |

NS Compostn 23% | 20% 27% | 24% 21% 25% | 21% 21% 26%| | |

Page 18: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q5C--THE NATIONAL DEBT OF NEARLY $17.9 TRILLION: THE NEXT U.S. SENATE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO DEAL WITH SOME DIFFICULT FOREGN AND DOMESTIC ISSUES. I'D LIKE YOU TO PUT ASIDE YOUR CHOICE FOR CANDIDATE AND TELL ME WHO YOU THINK WOULD BE BETTER EQUIPPED TO

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 51% | 59% 44% | 43% 56% 51% | 87% 11% 53%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 34% | 29% 40% | 36% 33% 35% | 5% 72% 30%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 2% | 2% 2% | 3% 1% 2% | 1% 3% 2%| | |

NS Compostn 12% | 10% 14% | 17% 10% 13% | 8% 13% 15%| | |

Page 19: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q5D--THE INCREASING COSTS OF SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE: THE NEXT U.S. SENATE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO DEAL WITH SOME DIFFICULT FOREGN AND DOMESTIC ISSUES. I'D LIKE YOU TO PUT ASIDE YOUR CHOICE FOR CANDIDATE AND TELL ME WHO YOU THINK WOULD BE BETTER EQUIPPE

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 44% | 47% 41% | 41% 47% 43% | 79% 7% 43%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 42% | 39% 45% | 40% 41% 43% | 11% 78% 40%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 1% | 2% 1% | 2% 0% 2% | 1% 1% 2%| | |

NS Compostn 13% | 12% 13% | 17% 11% 12% | 9% 14% 15%| | |

Page 20: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q5E--THE INCREASING AGGRESSIVENESS OF RUSSIA: THE NEXT U.S. SENATE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO DEAL WITH SOME DIFFICULT FOREGN AND DOMESTIC ISSUES. I'D LIKE YOU TO PUT ASIDE YOUR CHOICE FOR CANDIDATE AND TELL ME WHO YOU THINK WOULD BE BETTER EQUIPPED TO

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 48% | 56% 42% | 46% 57% 43% | 76% 13% 54%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 31% | 27% 35% | 32% 29% 32% | 8% 60% 27%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 2% | 2% 2% | 5% 1% 2% | 3% 1% 2%| | |

NS Compostn 19% | 15% 21% | 17% 13% 24% | 13% 26% 16%| | |

Page 21: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q5F--THE GRIDLOCK IN CONGRESS: THE NEXT U.S. SENATE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO DEAL WITH SOME DIFFICULT FOREGN AND DOMESTIC ISSUES. I'D LIKE YOU TO PUT ASIDE YOUR CHOICE FOR CANDIDATE AND TELL ME WHO YOU THINK WOULD BE BETTER EQUIPPED TO

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 42% | 47% 37% | 29% 46% 44% | 75% 9% 40%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 40% | 37% 42% | 42% 38% 40% | 10% 75% 38%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 3% | 3% 4% | 7% 1% 4% | 3% 4% 3%| | |

NS Compostn 15% | 13% 17% | 22% 15% 12% | 13% 12% 19%| | |

Page 22: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q5G--THE LACK OF IMPROVEMENT IN AVERAGE WAGES WORKERS EARN: THE NEXT U.S. SENATE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO DEAL WITH SOME DIFFICULT FOREGN AND DOMESTIC ISSUES. I'D LIKE YOU TO PUT ASIDE YOUR CHOICE FOR CANDIDATE AND TELL ME WHO YOU THINK WOULD BE BETTER EQUIPP

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 35% | 39% 31% | 25% 38% 36% | 60% 11% 32%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 49% | 47% 51% | 52% 47% 50% | 19% 83% 48%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 2% | 2% 2% | 5% 1% 1% | 4% 1% 1%| | |

NS Compostn 14% | 12% 16% | 19% 13% 13% | 17% 6% 18%| | |

Page 23: Crosstabs for Public Release

2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q5H--THE COMPLICATED TAX SYSTEM: THE NEXT U.S. SENATE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO DEAL WITH SOME DIFFICULT FOREGN AND DOMESTIC ISSUES. I'D LIKE YOU TO PUT ASIDE YOUR CHOICE FOR CANDIDATE AND TELL ME WHO YOU THINK WOULD BE BETTER EQUIPPED TO

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

ERNST Compostn 41% | 50% 32% | 36% 47% 38% | 73% 10% 37%| | |

BRALEY Compostn 41% | 33% 48% | 45% 37% 42% | 11% 75% 40%| | |

BOTH EQUALLY Compostn 1% | 2% 1% | 1% 0% 2% | 2% 0% 1%| | |

NS Compostn 17% | 15% 19% | 18% 16% 18% | 14% 15% 22%| | |

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2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q6--REGARDLESS OF WHICH CANDIDATE YOU SUPPORT, WHICH ONE OR TWO OF THE FOLLOWING DO YOU THINK WERE THE WORST MISTAKES BRUCE BRALEY MADE?

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

GRASSLEY UNQUALIFIED TO Compostn 45% | 46% 44% | 38% 44% 48% | 54% 39% 43%CHAIR SEN JUDICI | | | LOW ATTENDANCE @ VETERAN Compostn 27% | 26% 28% | 31% 23% 28% | 35% 24% 24%CMTE MTNGS | | | DISPUTE OVER CHICKENS Compostn 13% | 12% 14% | 12% 14% 12% | 11% 13% 14%

| | | FAILED TO START STATEWIDE Compostn 9% | 12% 7% | 10% 12% 7% | 4% 16% 10%CAMPAIGN EARLY | | | FAIL TO SEPARATE SELF FROM Compostn 24% | 25% 24% | 31% 27% 20% | 31% 10% 29%OBAMA | | | NONE OF THESE Compostn 6% | 7% 4% | 4% 5% 7% | 3% 11% 4%

| | | NS Compostn 7% | 7% 7% | 3% 4% 11% | 8% 6% 5%

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2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q7--REGARDLESS OF WHICH CANDIDATE YOU SUPPORT, WHICH ONE OR TWO OF THE FOLLOWING DO YOU THINK WERE THE WORST MISTAKES JONI ERNST MADE?

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

PERSONHOOD AMEND Compostn 21% | 18% 24% | 33% 21% 17% | 13% 29% 24%STATEMENT OF FAITH | | | PRIVATIZING SS COULD BE Compostn 27% | 26% 28% | 21% 23% 32% | 19% 34% 28%OPTION | | | RELATIONSHIP W/KOCH BROSCompostn 31% | 28% 33% | 24% 30% 33% | 22% 42% 30%

| | | WMDs IN IRAQ BEFORE U.S. Compostn 7% | 10% 5% | 12% 5% 7% | 7% 7% 8%INVASION | | | SKEPTICAL CLIMATE CHG REAL, Compostn 17% | 17% 17% | 31% 17% 12% | 15% 20% 18%MAN-MADE | | | NONE OF THESE Compostn 14% | 17% 10% | 7% 15% 15% | 26% 0% 13%

| | | NS Compostn 9% | 8% 9% | 2% 8% 12% | 11% 5% 8%

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2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q8--REGARDLESS OF WHICH CANDIDATE YOU SUPPORT, WHICH ONE OR TWO OF THE FOLLOWING WOULD YOU SAY WOULD BE THE STRONGEST REASONS TO VOTE FOR BRUCE BRALEY?

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

KEEP DEM CONTROL OF Compostn 9% | 8% 10% | 10% 5% 12% | 4% 19% 6%SENATE | | | ELECT PERSON BEST Compostn 14% | 12% 16% | 11% 18% 12% | 7% 22% 13%QUALIFIED TO REPR IOWA | | | KEEP BOTH DEM/REP IN SENATE Compostn 11% | 7% 14% | 18% 12% 6% | 11% 12% 9%FOR IOWA | | | SUPP OBAMACARE WHILE Compostn 10% | 10% 10% | 11% 11% 9% | 6% 12% 12%WORKING TO IMPROV | | | SUPP OBAMA ADMIN AGENDACompostn 20% | 16% 23% | 27% 20% 16% | 10% 30% 22%

| | | ELECT PERSON W/ Compostn 8% | 8% 7% | 14% 5% 7% | 7% 11% 6%PROGRESSIVE VALUES | | | SRVD IN CONGRESS, KNOW JOB Compostn 12% | 13% 10% | 9% 12% 12% | 13% 9% 12%ON DAY 1 | | | PRESERVE SS,MEDICARE Compostn 13% | 12% 14% | 12% 9% 17% | 12% 13% 16%BENEFITS AS ARE NOW | | | NONE OF THESE Compostn 17% | 21% 12% | 9% 19% 18% | 32% 1% 16%

| | | NS Compostn 8% | 8% 8% | 10% 5% 10% | 8% 3% 8%

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2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q9--REGARDLESS OF WHICH CANDIDATE YOU SUPPORT, WHICH ONE OR TWO OF THE FOLLOWING WOULD YOU SAY WOULD BE THE STRONGEST REASONS TO VOTE FOR JONI ERNST?

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

HELP REPS TAKE MAJORITY IN Compostn 13% | 16% 10% | 4% 17% 14% | 23% 4% 11%SENATE | | | ELECT PERSON BEST Compostn 16% | 16% 16% | 10% 19% 16% | 24% 8% 15%QUALIFIED TO REPR IOWA | | | ELECT 1ST WOMAN FROM IA TO Compostn 14% | 10% 17% | 17% 14% 12% | 6% 24% 14%CONGRESS | | | ONE STEP CLOSER TO Compostn 19% | 21% 17% | 20% 21% 16% | 33% 5% 18%REPEALING OBAMACARE | | | ONE STEP CLOSER TO FLATTER Compostn 11% | 14% 9% | 14% 11% 10% | 9% 10% 15%TAX CODE | | | ELECT PERSON W/SOC Compostn 11% | 11% 11% | 9% 12% 11% | 19% 4% 11%CONSERVATIVE VALUES | | | ELECT COMMANDING OFFICER Compostn 10% | 12% 8% | 19% 11% 6% | 7% 12% 13%IN MILITARY | | | ONE STEP CLOSER TO Compostn 15% | 16% 13% | 18% 11% 16% | 16% 10% 18%BALANCED BUDGET | | | NONE OF THESE Compostn 12% | 10% 14% | 8% 8% 17% | 3% 26% 9%

| | | NS Compostn 7% | 6% 8% | 9% 4% 9% | 4% 9% 5%

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2108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 20142108: DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL OF LIKELY VOTERS, Oct 28-31, 2014

Base: LIKELY VOTERS

Q101A--DID YOU HAPPEN TO VOTE IN THE 2010 MIDTERM ELECTIONS FOUR YEARS AGO?

| SEX | AGE | PIDTotal | M F | <35 35-54 55+ | REP DEM IND

WGT Compostn 100% | 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100% | 100% 100% 100%

YES Compostn 84% | 83% 84% | 59% 87% 91% | 89% 90% 79%| | |

NO Compostn 12% | 13% 11% | 33% 11% 5% | 10% 7% 19%| | |

R/NS Compostn 4% | 4% 5% | 8% 2% 4% | 1% 3% 2%| | |