csd’s risk management in hft era dr. dai wenhua october 2013 china securities depository and...

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CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era www.chinaclear.cn Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

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Page 1: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era

www.chinaclear.cn

Dr. DAI Wenhua

October 2013

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

Page 2: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

Boom and Bust Brought by HFT

Clearing and Settlement Risks Brought by Trading Bust

How to Solve the Problem

Food for Thinking

CONTENTS

Page 3: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

SME Board

Main Board

Boom and Bust Brought by HFT -Boom

HFT Pushes Market Boom—Dark Pools, Flash Order, etc.

Source: TABB Group

Page 4: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

Main Board

ChiNext

Boom and Bust Brought by HFT -Boom

Favourable Factors for HFT—Modern Science& Technology and Digitalization

Securities industry takes the brunt to be dragged into digitalization by waves of HFT, programming trade, data-based automatic regulation, individual information disclosure(micro-blog, text message, etc ).

Page 5: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

SME Board

Main Board

ChiNext

Boom and Bust Brought by HFT -Boom

Favourable Factors for HFT — Push from Rules and Regulations

• The US Regulation NMS • The EU MiFID

Page 6: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

SME Board

Main Board

Boom and Bust Brought by HFT -Boom

Favourable Factors for HFT—Implications of Regulation NMS and MiFID

Improve market transparency, fairness and liquidity.

Increase market competition and promote exchanges to be allied and company-oriented.

Improve performance and connectivity of technical platforms.

Promote the connections between clearing and settlement platforms.

Encourage the promulgation of unified market standards.

Page 7: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

SME Board

Main Board

Boom and Bust Brought by HFT -Bust

HFT results in trading failures. —Case Studies

Time Incident Impact Loss

Aug.23, 2013 NASDAQ 3 1/2 hours trading shutdown loss of market confidence  

Aug.21, 2013 Goldman Sachs Erroneous Options Trades     $100 million

Aug.16,2013 China Everbright fat finger incident

a 53 % surge in volume (SHCOMP), up about 5.96% in 2 minutes

$32 million

May 25, 2012 NASDAQ Computer failure in the public debut of Facebook Two-hour halt

$500 million for dealers

May 6, 2010 Wall Street flash crash DJIA plunged by 998 points, down 9.2%, the biggest daily drop

$1 trillion

2005 Japan Mizuho J-Com fat finger error a 301-point fall on the Nikkei 225, down almost 2%

$230 million

Page 8: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

SME Board

Main Board

ChiNext

Boom and Bust Brought by HFT -Bust

New risks emerge from HFT. Unbridled science and technology will jeopardize financial market.

Technology will never be perfect. Unsupervised technology will be dangerously far from perfect and the industry will be confident its technology is safe right up until it isn’t. How many more failures do regulators need to see before they stand up and do something?

——Comment: Unsupervised technology hurts modern markets,

Financial Times ,by RT Leuchtkafer, August 23, 2013

Page 9: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

SME Board

Main Board

Clearing and Settlement Risks Brought by Trading Bust

Risk Transmission Pathway

Participant A

Participant D

Participant B

Participant CCSD/CCP

Page 10: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

SME Board

Main Board

Clearing and Settlement Risks Brought by Trading Bust

• Risk Management for CSD with the Function of CCP

• Risk Management for CSD without the Function of CCP

• Risk Management for DvP and Non-DvP

• Case study (Everbright Fat Finger incident- CCP& non-DvP )

Page 11: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

SME Board

Main Board

How to Solve the Problem

Principles for CSD in CPSS-IOSCO PFMI

Central securities depositories and exchange-of-value settlement systems Principle 11: Central securities depositories A CSD should have appropriate rules and procedures to help ensure the integrity of securities issues and minimize and manage the risks associated with the safekeeping and transfer of securities. A CSD should maintain securities in an immobilized or dematerialized form for their transfer by book entry. Principle 12: Exchange-of-value settlement systems If an FMI settles transactions that involve the settlement of two linked obligations (for example, securities or foreign exchange transactions), it should eliminate principal risk by conditioning the final settlement of one obligation upon the final settlement of the other.

Page 12: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

SME Board

Main Board

How to Solve the Problem

PFMI are not Enough.

• Different regulatory principles and conditions of different markets

• Efforts and timetables to implement PFMI can not be unified.

• No risk management mechanisms for CSDs’ new Hi-tech challenges.

Page 13: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

SME Board

Main Board

How to Solve the Problem

CSD’s

Risk Prevention Capability

• DVP• Informationized supervision and risk warning of

unsecured settlement• CCP+CSD central bank bailout mechanism

Regulatory

Authorities

• Strengthen control of trade measures: Regulations and rules for HFT, dark pool, and flash order, etc, license management, fuse mechanism and front-end trade control.

PFMI

Principl

e

• CSDs should coordinate with each other to promote the implementation of PFMI.

Page 14: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

SME Board

Main Board

Food for Thinking

CSD, with the function of CCP or at least having close connections with CCP, should serve as the firewall against risks as the final link in the securities trading chain.

PFMI are comprehensive and systemic in covering risk management system and various institutions. However, PFMI are not detailed enough for CSDs to tackle the new Hi-tech challenges.

CSDs should strengthen exchanges and cooperation. The establishment of the Fifth Task Force by CDCPL is of great necessity.

Page 15: CSD’s Risk Management in HFT Era  Dr. DAI Wenhua October 2013 China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited

Address: No. 17 Taipingqiao Street, Xicheng District, Beijing

Tel: 8610-59378818

Fax: 8610-66210938

Post Code: 100033

China Securities Depository and Clearing

Corporation Limited (CSDC)

www.chinaclear.cn