csptower_final_061214_masterthesis
TRANSCRIPT
Exergy & Economic Analyses for CSP Tower Plant in Egypt
Institut für Energietechnik Prof. Dr. Ing. G. Tsatsaronis Prof. Dr. T. Morozyuk
Master Thesis by: Mohamed Bahaa Noaman
Berlin- Winter Semester ’14/’15 December 5th, 2014
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
1. Energy Sector in Egypt
• Egypt must cut its food and fuel subsidies
• Energy accounts for 80% of total Egypt’s subsidies
• Egypt is now a net importer of oil and gas
• Private companies should take part in developing energy sector in Egypt
• Feasibility study for Solar Tower Project by TAQA Arabia
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http://www.iesc.org/Data/Sites/1/SharedFiles/egyptforward/presentations/Energy_ZaghloulMr.AkmalM.Presentation.pdf
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
2. Research Topic Significance
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CSP Tower Tech
• Dispatchable Electricity
• Tower High concentration ratio
Power Block Cycle
• High-Efficiency Thermodynamic Cycles can enhance efficiency by 13%[1]
• Reduce LCOE up-to 2 cents/kWh[2]
Exergo-economic
Optimization
• R&D goal? reduce uncertainties increase tech competitiveness
Bench-marking
• Comparing our study to help in taking investment decisions
[1] NREL, 2012, “Tradeoffs and Synergies between CSP and PV at High Grid Penetration” [2] http://www.ezklein.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/TowerRoadmap-track-changes-EZKleins-contribution.pdf
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
1. CSP Tower Technology
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Receiver Type Advantage Disadvantage
Water/Steam Receivers
• Mature Technology
•Difficult Thermal Storage setup
Reliable
Molten-salt Receivers
•Cheapest for pure solar plants
•Temperature limited to 600 °C
Storage Capability
Volumetric air Receivers
•Good option for Hybrid Systems (ISCC)
•Air has low Specific Heat Capacity •Difficult thermal storage
High Temperatures
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
2. Second Generation Technology Molten Salt
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http://prod.sandia.gov/techlib/access-control.cgi/2001/013674.pdf
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
3. Technology Developments in 10 countries globally
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Solar Two (99 to 2009) Demo for 2nd Generation PS10 2007 11MW
Steam/Rankine 1st Commercial plant
Ivanpah 370MW Steam/Rankine by Google in 2013
GemaSolar 2011 20MW – Molten Salt/Rankine
24h operation Solar only
Subcritical Rankine Cycles
http://www.nrel.gov/csp/solarpaces/power_tower.cfm
Solar One operated successfully within 82-88
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
4. Latest Developments USA/Australia/Spain/Israel/Germany at DLR
• S-CO2 Closed Brayton cycle higher system efficiencies lower-cost
• Modular Supercritical-CO2 receiver (10 MW)
• Unlike water/steam Rankine cycles;
1. No phase change &
2. Easily matched to current molten-salt TES
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http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy11osti/50787.pdf
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
4. What’s special about Supercritical-CO2 !
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1. Wilkes, C. J. (2014, June 16). Fundamentals of Supercritical CO2. Retrieved November 2014, from Southwest Research Institute: http://www.swri.org/4org/d18/sCO2/papers2014/tutorials/wilkes.pdf 2. Dostal, V., Driscoll, M. J., & Hejzlar, P. (March 2004). A Supercritical Carbon Dioxide Cycle for Next Generation Nuclear Reactors. The MIT Center for Advanced Nuclear Energy Systems
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
4. Modular Tower
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Zhiwen, M., & Turchi, C. S. (May 2011). Advanced Supercritical Carbon Dioxide Power Cycle Configurations for Use in Concentrating Solar Power Systems. Supercritical CO2 Power Cycle Symposium. Boulder, Colorado
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
1. Overview of Activities
• Literature review
• Design & Simulation
• Exergy Analysis
• Economic Analysis
• Benchmarking
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Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
2. High-Efficiency Thermodynamic Cycles
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Dunham, M. T., & Iverson, B. D.
(2014). High-
Efficiency Thermodynamic Power Cycles for Concentrated Solar Power Systems. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews (30), 758-770.
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
3. Baseload Power Plant
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Parameters Assumptions Additional Comments
Reflective area 2 km2 Calculated using
EbsilonProfessional 10
HTF Molten-salt
Capability 15 hours To insure a 70% capacity factor
Plant Setup Baseload –
24h operation
Capacity Factor 70% Lowest LCOE occurs
@ (3 Solar-Multiple)
Power Rating 125 MWe
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
3. Rankine cycle Simulation – 125 MWe
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2nd Generation Technology Molten-salt as HTF
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
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Modular Tower Direct cycle TIT 700°C
4. S-CO2 Closed Brayton cycle Simulation – 10 MWe
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
4. S-CO2 Simulation Results
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Design Parameter
Indirect 550 °C
Central Tower
S-CO2
Direct 700 °C
Modular
S-CO2
Direct 900 °C
Modular
S-CO2
Thermal Efficiency (%) 41 48.4 50.8
Net Electric Power (MWe) 125 9.5 10
Compressor Outlet Pressure (bar) 200 200 200
Pressure Ratio 1.9 2.6 2.6
Turbine Inlet Temperature (°C) 550 700 900
Mass Flow Rate (Kg/Sec) 2300 107 93
Total Heat Exchanger Volume (m3) 27.3 1.8 2.1
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
Exergy Analysis
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Modular cycle at 900 °C TIT Exergetic Efficiency = 71%
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
Exergy Destruction
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40%
7%
11% 7%
12%
9%
7% 7%
Exergy Destruction Rate yD* (%)
Pre-cooler
Compressor
LT Recuperator
Re-compressor
HT Recuperator
Compressor Turbine
HP Power Turbine
LP Power Turbine
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
Economic Analysis
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Category Unit Rankine Cycle
(Central Tower)
S-CO2 Cycle
(Central Tower)
S-CO2
(Solar Park)
Turbine Output (net) MWe 125 125 (10) 125
Power Block M$ 68.5 63.7 160.7
Total Capital Investment M$ 830 810 960
O&M Costs M$ 35 20 25
Capacity Factor % 0.7 0.7 0.7
LCOE $/kWhe 0.110 0.105 0.125
Mature Cycle Promising Cycles
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
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8.5
9
9.5
10
10.5
11
11.5
12
12.5
13
Start (2019)
After 5 years
After 10 years
After 15 years (2034)
After 20 years
After 25 years
After 30 years (2049)
LCO
E -
($¢/
kWh
e)
Project lifetime in years
Rankine cycle S-CO2 Central Tower
S-CO2 Modular Tower (Solar Park) CCGT @ 0.5% Escalation rate of natural-Gas
CCGT @ 1% Escalation rate of natural-Gas CCGT @ 1.5% Escalation rate of natural-Gas
Benchmark
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Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
Tariffs
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Tariffs in Egypt
New Gov’ Decree in July 2014
98 EGP cents/kWhe in 2019
11 $¢/kWhe (On average)
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
Future Work!
• Exergoeconomic Analysis and Optimization
• The operation and control schemes for the S-CO2 closed Brayton Cycle
• Uncertainty analysis
• Economic Assessment for S-CO2 modular towers vs. PV systems for Distributed Generation
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Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
HEATRIC – PCHE Technology
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Case Heat
Exchanger Q (MW) ∆T (K) U (W/m2K)* Area (m2) Comments
1st Case
(125 MWe -
550 °C)
LT
Recuperator 190 9.6 3,000 6,500
The area is
relatively
larger than
the other
two cases
because of
the higher
capacity
HT
Recuperator 840 17.7 3,000 15,800
Pre-cooler 188 3.1 7,000 8,600
2nd Case
(10 Mwe -
700 °C)
LT
Recuperator 8 20 3,000 130
The area
here is
larger than
the 3rd case
due to the
higher TIT
HT
Recuperator 43 4.8 3,000 3,000
Pre-cooler 10 4 7,000 350
3rd Case
(10 Mwe -
900 °C)
LT
Recuperator 9 27.9 3,000 100
As the TIT
increases
the area
decreases
and the
system is
more
compact
HT
Recuperator 54 8.8 3,000 2,000
Pre-cooler 9 6.5 7,000 200
Master Thesis – Noaman, December 2014
TAQA Project details
• The goal of the TAQA CSP Plant is to develop, construct, operate and maintain a 250-MW CSP plant as a renewable energy solution in an area of Egypt where electricity demand is expected to increase significantly. The Grantee requires an FS to determine the economic viability of CSP technology in Egypt. Specifically, the FS will evaluate the viability of using a CSP tower system with molten salt storage technology, as well as alternative CSP technologies. Upon successful implementation of the TAQA CSP plant, the Grantee plans to develop three additional CSP plants in two implementation phases, with a total capacity of 1,000 MW. They are to be connected to the Egyptian grid and operated under a proposed feed-in tariff regime. Total implementation cost of the project is $1.23 billion with an estimated $478 million in potential U.S. exports.
• Key aspects of the FS will include the determination of costs of local labor and materials sourced in Egypt; an analysis of unique financial structuring aspects such as sovereign guarantees, accelerated depreciation, carbon financing, and feed-in tariff rates; selection of the most appropriate CSP technology for Egypt; and quantification of the social and local economic benefits of CSP for Egypt.
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http://www.csp-world.com/cspworldmap/taqa-concentrated-solar-power-plant