cumulative emissions scenarios ipcc mitigation ts2001
Post on 21-Dec-2015
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Cumulative emissions scenarios
IPCC Mitigation TS2001
Emissions 2004
Energy share by economic region
Growth by
region
Emissions growth by cause IPCC 2007 Mitigation TS
Total fuel mix to 2005
Electricity production G8 Renewable Energy Taskforce 2001 report
“business as usual” “diversify + renewables scenario” ~ B
“Diversible Renewables”- breakdown
G8 Renewable Energy Taskforce 2001 report
Total system cost/year
G8 Renewable Energy Taskforce
2001 report
Making up ones mind ….
IPCC Mitigation TS2001
Stabilisation costs
“Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change” CUP 2006
CO2 prices
“Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change” CUP 2006
Longer term with trading
Induced Technology Change effect
“Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change” CUP 2006
Mitigation
“Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change” CUP 2006
11 Wedges ….
“Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change” CUP 2006
Wedges 1Potential wedges: Strategies available to: reduce the carbon emission rate in 2055 by 1 GtC/year, or to reduce carbon emissions from 2005 to 2055 by 25 GtC.
“Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change” CUP 2006
1-5 All these happening?
6-10 Current or nearly current engineering ?
“Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change” CUP 2006
11-15 Societally harder ?
“Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change” CUP 2006
IPCC 2007 Mitigation, TS.Biofuels
Evolving costs for alternatives (data of 2001)
G8 Renewable Energy Taskforce 2001 report
External costs
G8 Renewable Energy Taskforce 2001 report
Stabilisation scenarios
“Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change” CUP 2006
IPCC 2007 Mitigation, TS.
Forest management
IPCC Mitigation TS2001
When to act …
“Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change” CUP 2006
11 Wedges ….
“Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change” CUP 2006
Carbon capture and storage
