currency futures- ppt prensentation

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  • 7/30/2019 Currency Futures- Ppt Prensentation

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    Name - KARAN NAHAR

    Roll No. - 682Room No. - 34

    Semester VI

    Project Presentation

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    INTRODUCTION

    FEATURES AND TECHNICAL TERMINOLOGY

    HEDGING

    CASE STUDY

    CONCLUSION

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    Currency Futures is a type ofDerivative Instrument

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    Derivative Instrument:

    Derivatives are financial contracts whosevalue/price is dependent on the behavior ofthe price of one or more basic underlying

    assets.

    Financial derivatives are those assetswhose values are determined by the valueof some other assets, called as theunderlying assets.

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    Derivative Instrument:

    Several types of Derivative Contracts like

    Forwards

    Futures

    SwapsOptions, etc.

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    Futures:

    A futures contract is a standardizedcontract, traded on an exchange, to buy orsell a certain underlying asset or aninstrument at a certain date in the future,at a specified price.

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    Futures:

    When the underlying asset is a commodity,e.g. Oil or Wheat, the contract is termed acommodity futures contract.

    When the underlying asset is an foreigncurrency exchange rate, the contract istermed a currency futurescontract

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    Currency Futures:

    It is a type of standardized futurescontract, traded on a exchange, to buy orsell a certain underlying asset or aninstrument at a certain date in the future,at a specified price, the underlying asset

    being the foreign currency exchange rate.

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    Currency Futures:

    In other words, it is a contract toexchange one currency for anothercurrency at a specified date and a specifiedrate in the future.

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    Standardized Forward Contracts

    Underlying asset is the Currency Exchange Rate

    Traded on an exchange

    Daily Marked-to-Market Feature (M to M)

    Stringent Margin Requirements

    High Liquidity

    Heavy Regulations

    Virtually no counter-party default risk

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    Long Position (F+)

    Contract to Buy Upside Betting

    Buyer thinks theprices will rise in

    future

    Short Position (F-)

    Contract to Sell Downside Betting

    Seller thinks thatprices will fall in

    future

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    When a firm is affected by Exchange RateChanges, it is said to be facing ForeignExchange Exposure.

    Most important type of Foreign ExchangeExposure is Transaction Exposure.

    It arises when a firm has known amount ofFC payable/receivable, the HC equivalentof which is not known.

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    A Transaction Exposure can be hedged viaCurrency Futures.

    The Steps to be followed are:

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    US Company -

    Receivable

    Afraid of Falling

    Futures $ Futures

    SELL BUY

    US Company -

    Payable

    Afraid of Rising

    Futures $ Futures

    BUY SELL

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    No. of Contracts = FC Exposure/Lot Size

    For Example, suppose a US Firm has125,000 Receivable 3 months from now.Standard size of 1 contract is 12,500.

    No. of Contracts = 125,000/12,500

    = 10 Contracts

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    The Settlement on the date of Exposure takes 2 forms:

    1. Profit/Loss arising on squaring off Futures

    2. Settling the Payable/Receivable in the Spot Market

    Finally after these 2 settlements, we determine whetherwe have been able to hedge ourselves or not.

    Hence, Futures is considered as an IMPERFECT HEDGE.

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    Company Name: McLeod Russel India Ltd. (MRIL)

    Company Profile: Worlds Largest Tea Manufacturerand Exporter. Being an Exporter, it has large amounts

    of FC Receivable.

    The Company uses Currency Futures to speculate andhedge on its Foreign Currency Receivable.

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    Scenario: On 10/01/2011, MRIL exported 80,000 Kgsof Tea to Swansea Tea Limited in USA. It had $700,000receivable on 10/04/2011. The spot rate prevailing inthe market on 10/01/2011 was INR 45.3818/$. Thedollar futures maturing in April end are trading at INR45.5300/$.

    On 10/04/2011 the spot rate prevailing in the marketis INR 44.0747/$ whereas the dollars futures quote atINR 45.0400/$. The standard size of one futurescontact is INR 250,000.

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    If Company goes for Futures Cover:

    Since the company is afraid of $ falling, it should sell$ Futures @ INR 45.5300 / $ [F-].

    This is basically a downside betting.

    The company has to short- sell 135 Contracts.

    Now when 10/04/11 arrives, it has made a gain onFutures selling.

    The gain = (45.5300-45.0400)*135*250000

    = INR 16,537,500.

    Moreover it will sell $740,000 spot @ INR 44.0747 / $getting INR 32,615,278.

    Thus overall receipt on 10/04/11 = INR 49,152,778.

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    If Company does not go for Futures Cover:

    The Co. would have have to sell $740,000 spot @ INR

    44.0747/$ getting INR 32,615,278.

    Hence, MRILs overall gain as a result of entering intofutures contract = INR 16,537,500.

    Thus, Currency Futures helps a company to hedgeagainst currency exchange fluctuations.

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