cvrd company presentation, may 2007
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TRANSCRIPT
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Companhia Vale do Rio Doce
Pursuing long-term
value growth
Pursuing long-term
value growth
Dublin, May 2007
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DisclaimerDisclaimer
”This presentation may contain statements that express management’s expectations about future events or results rather than historical facts. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements, and CVRD cannot give assurance that such statements will prove correct. These risks and uncertainties include factors: relating to the Brazilian and Canadian economies and securities markets, which exhibit volatility and can be adversely affected by developments in other countries; relating to the iron ore and nickel businesses and their dependence on the global steel industry, which is cyclical in nature; and relating to the highly competitive industries in which CVRD operates. For additional information on factors that could cause CVRD’s actual results to differ from expectations reflected in forward-looking statements, please see CVRD’s reports filed with the Brazilian Comissão de Valores Mobiliáriosand the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.”
”This presentation may contain statements that express management’s expectations about future events or results rather than historical facts. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements, and CVRD cannot give assurance that such statements will prove correct. These risks and uncertainties include factors: relating to the Brazilian and Canadian economies and securities markets, which exhibit volatility and can be adversely affected by developments in other countries; relating to the iron ore and nickel businesses and their dependence on the global steel industry, which is cyclical in nature; and relating to the highly competitive industries in which CVRD operates. For additional information on factors that could cause CVRD’s actual results to differ from expectations reflected in forward-looking statements, please see CVRD’s reports filed with the Brazilian Comissão de Valores Mobiliáriosand the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.”
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AgendaAgenda
A multilane road to value
creation
Continuous improvement
Growth outlook remains strong
A multilane road to value
creation
Continuous improvement
Growth outlook remains strong
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A multilane road to value creationA multilane road to value creation
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Over the last years we delivered 20 major projects creating new platforms of value creation
Over the last years we delivered 20 major projects creating new platforms of value creation
1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q071Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07
Funil
Alunorte 3
Carajás
70 Mtpa
Sossego
Candonga
Aimorés
Alunorte4&5
São Luís
Trombetas
CapãoXavier
Pier III PDM
Mo I Rana
FábricaNova
Taquari-Vassouras
Capim Branco I
Brucutu
Carajás 85 Mtpa
Carajás100 Mtpa
Capim Branco II
Paragominas
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Portfolio management has been an important source of value creation
Portfolio management has been an important source of value creation
Consolidation Consolidation of of iron iron ore ore leadershipleadership
DivestituresDivestitures of of nonnon--core core assetsassetsUS$ 3.6 US$ 3.6 billionbillion
2000-20062000-2006
AcquisitionsAcquisitions: US$ 25.4 : US$ 25.4 billionbillion
Becoming Becoming a a global global leaderleader
in in nickelnickel
Growth Growth plataform plataform in in
coalcoal
-- Unlocking valueUnlocking value
-- Improving capital allocationImproving capital allocation
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Coal, our newest growth platformCoal, our newest growth platform
Investment in coal is consistent with our growth and diversification strategy, supported by a strong long-term outlook on coking and thermal coal
Acquisition of AMCI Australia for US$ 656 million provides ongoing operations, experience in coal mining & marketing and diversification into one of the best geographies
Projects
– Moatize, Mozambique – to be approved
– Belvedere, Australia – pre-feasibility
JVs
– Longyu, China – anthracite coal
– Yankuang, China – coke & coking coal
Investment in coal is consistent with our growth and diversification strategy, supported by a strong long-term outlook on coking and thermal coal
Acquisition of AMCI Australia for US$ 656 million provides ongoing operations, experience in coal mining & marketing and diversification into one of the best geographies
Projects
– Moatize, Mozambique – to be approved
– Belvedere, Australia – pre-feasibility
JVs
– Longyu, China – anthracite coal
– Yankuang, China – coke & coking coal
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Redefining market boundaries in iron oreRedefining market boundaries in iron ore
We intend to become a player in the Chinese domestic market
focusing on a new customer segment
Our strategy is supported by:
A massive increase in iron ore capacity to 450 million mtpy
in 2011 from 300 million in 2007, to meet the rising
demand from current clients and the new segment
Distribution centers and blending capacity at Chinese ports
A dedicated Brazil-China shuttle line serviced by very large
ore carriers under long-term contracts of afreightment,
which will contribute to reduce average level and volatility
of freight rates
We intend to become a player in the Chinese domestic market
focusing on a new customer segment
Our strategy is supported by:
A massive increase in iron ore capacity to 450 million mtpy
in 2011 from 300 million in 2007, to meet the rising
demand from current clients and the new segment
Distribution centers and blending capacity at Chinese ports
A dedicated Brazil-China shuttle line serviced by very large
ore carriers under long-term contracts of afreightment,
which will contribute to reduce average level and volatility
of freight rates
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Continuing to develop options for profitable growth
Continuing to develop options for profitable growth
An all-time high capex budget (revised) of US$
7.4 billion for 2007
US$ 5.4 billion allocated to organic growth
US$ 4.9 billion allocated to projects
An all-time high capex budget (revised) of US$
7.4 billion for 2007
US$ 5.4 billion allocated to organic growth
US$ 4.9 billion allocated to projects
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An exciting project portfolio is under developmentAn exciting project portfolio is under development
Iron ore & pellets
Carajás
Fazendão
Itabiritos
Samarco
Bauxite & Alumina
Paragominas II
Alunorte 6 & 7Nickel
Onça Puma
Goro
Vermelho
Voisey’s Bay
Copper
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Salobo I Coal
Moatize
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A new execution strategy was developed for Goro
A new execution strategy was developed for Goro
Focus on risk management of political,
environmental, technological and operational
factors
CVRD´s proactive relationship with communities
and pollution control technology transferred to
Goro
Key technical parameters resetted to reduce risks
A new team with a focus on discipline on execution
Focus on risk management of political,
environmental, technological and operational
factors
CVRD´s proactive relationship with communities
and pollution control technology transferred to
Goro
Key technical parameters resetted to reduce risks
A new team with a focus on discipline on execution
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Goro is a long-term growth platformGoro is a long-term growth platform
One of the best nickel deposits in the world:
120 million metric tons of P&P reserves @
1.48% Ni, 0.11% Co
Strategic positioning to meet Asian demand
growth
Low cost incremental production of nickel
Capex of US$ 3.2 billion. Estimated production
of 60,000 mtpy of nickel and 4,600 mtpy of
cobalt to be commissioned in 4Q08
One of the best nickel deposits in the world:
120 million metric tons of P&P reserves @
1.48% Ni, 0.11% Co
Strategic positioning to meet Asian demand
growth
Low cost incremental production of nickel
Capex of US$ 3.2 billion. Estimated production
of 60,000 mtpy of nickel and 4,600 mtpy of
cobalt to be commissioned in 4Q08
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5.47.5
11.1
31.2
35.8
46.8%
54.7%
64.4%
54.3% 53.4%
2003 2004 2005 2006 1T07
Capital invested (US$ billion)
ROIC (%)
5.47.5
11.1
31.2
35.8
46.8%
54.7%
64.4%
54.3% 53.4%
2003 2004 2005 2006 1T07
Capital invested (US$ billion)
ROIC (%)
The pursuit of discipline in capital allocation pays off: pre-tax ROIC stays above 50%
The pursuit of discipline in capital allocation pays off: pre-tax ROIC stays above 50%
¹ PP&E + working capital + R&D2 before income taxes3 excludes effect of extraordinary inventory adjustments
¹ PP&E + working capital + R&D2 before income taxes3 excludes effect of extraordinary inventory adjustments
Return on capital investedReturn on capital invested
11
22
333333
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As a consequence we became the world’s second largest metals & mining company…
As a consequence we became the world’s second largest metals & mining company…
BH
PB
RIO
TIN
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XSTR
ATA
NO
RIL
SK
ALC
OA
FREEPO
RT
BARRIC
K
CVRD
AM
PLATS
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GLO
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CVRD
AM
PLATS
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10
20
30
40
50
60
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80
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110
120
130
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160
BH
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TIN
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ALC
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RR
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AM
PLA
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GO
LD
NEW
MO
NT
ALC
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CV
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10
20
30
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10
20
30
40Dec 31, 2001Dec 31, 2001 May 4, 2007May 4, 2007
US$ 9.2 billionUS$ 9.2 billion
US$ 101.2 billionUS$ 101.2 billion
TSR 2001-06, 42.7% p.a.TSR 2001-06, 42.7% p.a.
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… with a global base of world-class assets… with a global base of world-class assets
Brazil60%
North America27%
Asia5%
Europe3%
Australia2%
RoW3%
Brazil60%
North America27%
Asia5%
Europe3%
Australia2%
RoW3%
Asset base by geography
Asset base by geography
CoalCoal
Iron ore & pellets
Iron ore & pellets
NickelNickel
Bauxite, alumina & aluminum
Bauxite, alumina & aluminum
CopperCopper Potash & kaolin
Potash & kaolin
CVRDCVRD
Manganese &
ferroalloys
Manganese &
ferroalloys
LogisticsLogistics
Asset portfolioAsset portfolio
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… and a global footprint… and a global footprint
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Continuous improvement
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Record year to date sales underpinned by strong demand growthRecord year to date sales underpinned by strong demand growth
1Q Records
YoY
1Q07 change
Iron ore 58,626 1.1%
Pellets 7,939 34.7%
Finished nickel 71 10.8%
Copper 66 28.8%
Alumina 700 38.9%
Aluminum 134 19.6%
Potash 161 56.3%
Cobalt (tons) 580 19.3%
Railroad cargo¹ 6,035 4.4%
YoY
1Q07 change
Iron ore 58,626 1.1%
Pellets 7,939 34.7%
Finished nickel 71 10.8%
Copper 66 28.8%
Alumina 700 38.9%
Aluminum 134 19.6%
Potash 161 56.3%
Cobalt (tons) 580 19.3%
Railroad cargo¹ 6,035 4.4%
1 general cargo transportation measured in net ton kilometers (ntk)1 general cargo transportation measured in net ton kilometers (ntk)
000´metric tons000´metric tons
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High performance leveraged by asset portfolio diversificationHigh performance leveraged by asset portfolio diversification
Adjusted EBIT margin
2005 2006¹ 1Q07²
Ferrous minerals 49.7% 47.3% 50.9%
Non-ferrous minerals 23.7% 47.3% 52.2%
Aluminum 31.7% 39.5% 39.1%
Logistics 22.4% 28.9% 28.3%
Total 42.5% 43.7% 49.2%
1 pro forma and excluding extraordinary effect of inventory adjustment² excluding extraordinary effect of inventory adjustment
1 pro forma and excluding extraordinary effect of inventory adjustment² excluding extraordinary effect of inventory adjustment
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0.81.2
1.81.5 1.6 1.6
2.12.6
2.9
4.04.4
4.85.3
5.6
6.2
7.1
8.8
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06¹ 1Q07¹
0.81.2
1.81.5 1.6 1.6
2.12.6
2.9
4.04.4
4.85.3
5.6
6.2
7.1
8.8
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06¹ 1Q07¹
Net earnings remain on a strong upward trend for the fifth yearNet earnings remain on a strong upward trend for the fifth year
¹ excluding extraordinary effect of inventory adjustment¹ excluding extraordinary effect of inventory adjustment
LTM net earnings US$ billion
LTM net earnings US$ billion
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Twenty consecutive quarters of EBITDA growth
Twenty consecutive quarters of EBITDA growth
12.5
10.1
8.3
7.3 7.2 6.5
5.8
5.0
4.0 3.7 3.3
2.9 2.4
2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5
1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06¹ 1Q07¹
12.5
10.1
8.3
7.3 7.2 6.5
5.8
5.0
4.0 3.7 3.3
2.9 2.4
2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5
1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06¹ 1Q07¹
LTM adjusted EBITDAUS$ billion
LTM adjusted EBITDAUS$ billion
1 excluding extraordinary effect of inventory adjustment1 excluding extraordinary effect of inventory adjustment
Ferrous minerals42.8%
Non-ferrous minerals47.1%
Aluminum7.1%
Logistics2.9%
Ferrous minerals42.8%
Non-ferrous minerals47.1%
Aluminum7.1%
Logistics2.9%
Composition1Q071
Composition1Q071
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One of our priorities: a battle against rising costs. Winning another roundOne of our priorities: a battle against rising costs. Winning another round
3,0913,020
(72)(73)74
3,0913,020
(72)(73)74
US$ millionUS$ million
4Q064Q06 1Q071Q07
VolumeVolume
Cost reductionCost reduction
ER changeER change
Adjusted COGS1 variationAdjusted COGS1 variation
1 COGS less depreciation charges, excluding inventory adjustment1 COGS less depreciation charges, excluding inventory adjustment
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Growth outlook remains strongGrowth outlook remains strong
24 Source: IMF and CVRDSource: IMF and CVRD
4.5%4.5%
5.4%
4.9%
5.3%
4.0%
3.1%
2.5%
4.8%
2.8%
4.2%4.1%
3.6% 3.7%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2008E
4.5%4.5%
5.4%
4.9%
5.3%
4.0%
3.1%
2.5%
4.8%
2.8%
4.2%4.1%
3.6% 3.7%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2008E
Global GDP growth Global GDP growth
The global economy remains on track for continued robust growth in 2007/2008
The global economy remains on track for continued robust growth in 2007/2008
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92 112 148 208 270 320 380545360 372
389395
400405
410
465
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2011E
China RoW
92 112 148 208 270 320 380545360 372
389395
400405
410
465
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2011E
China RoW
World ChinaChina RoWCAGR 2001CAGR 2001--0606 9.9% 28.3%28.3% 2.4%CAGR 2006CAGR 2006--11E11E 6.9% 11.2%11.2% 2.8%
603603670670
725725
1,0101,010
Global seaborne demandmillion metric tons
Global seaborne demandmillion metric tons
We revised our medium-term forecast for iron ore seaborne demand: a stronger growth is expected
We revised our medium-term forecast for iron ore seaborne demand: a stronger growth is expected
537537484484452452
790790
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There is a structural change in nickel supply
There is a structural change in nickel supply
Current production depends on nickel sulphide
deposits => lower costs, well known technology
Production expansion is dependent on nickel
laterites => higher cost, technological and
operational challenges
New projects ramping up only in 2009-2011
Current production depends on nickel sulphide
deposits => lower costs, well known technology
Production expansion is dependent on nickel
laterites => higher cost, technological and
operational challenges
New projects ramping up only in 2009-2011
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Medium term view of nickel demandMedium term view of nickel demand
China will drive global stainless steel production increase
with India also growing fast
Solid demand growth from aerospace, energy
Substitution of high Ni steels (300 series) to less Ni content
(200 series) or no Ni (400 series) limited by technology,
costs of substitutes and costs for consumers to change
specifications and production equipment
NiCr pig iron production increase lessens incentives to
substitution but also faces several challenges: costs, quality,
high energy consumption and environmental problems
China will drive global stainless steel production increase
with India also growing fast
Solid demand growth from aerospace, energy
Substitution of high Ni steels (300 series) to less Ni content
(200 series) or no Ni (400 series) limited by technology,
costs of substitutes and costs for consumers to change
specifications and production equipment
NiCr pig iron production increase lessens incentives to
substitution but also faces several challenges: costs, quality,
high energy consumption and environmental problems
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We are increasing production to meet demand growth from our clients
We are increasing production to meet demand growth from our clients
2006 2007E ∆%
Iron ore 264Mt 300Mt 13.6
Nickel¹ 251kt 287kt 14.3
Alumina 3.9Mt 4.4Mt 12.8
Aluminum 550kt 550kt -
Copper 267kt 297kt 11.2
2006 2007E ∆%
Iron ore 264Mt 300Mt 13.6
Nickel¹ 251kt 287kt 14.3
Alumina 3.9Mt 4.4Mt 12.8
Aluminum 550kt 550kt -
Copper 267kt 297kt 11.2
Production Production
¹ includes volumes produced based on nickel concentrates purchased from third parties and
processed under toll smelting and refining arrangements.
¹ includes volumes produced based on nickel concentrates purchased from third parties and
processed under toll smelting and refining arrangements.
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www.cvrd.com.bre-mail: [email protected]
www.cvrd.com.bre-mail: [email protected]
CVRD – A global leader