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1
MEXICAN BOND MARKET OVERVIEW
Weekly report
February 27, 2015
Mexican Corporates in Pesos
Last issues in the local market
Source: Actinver, Valmer, BMV.
Mexican Corporates in Dollars
Source: Actinver and Bloomberg.
Last issues in the dollar market
Source: Actinver and Bloomberg. NR= Not Rated.
41,053
19,612
26,685
31,530
1,000
39,088
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb*
(MP mn)Amount Issued
Issue Vol. Matur. Rtng Coupon Str.
ACOSTA CB 200 feb-35 AA+ FIXED: 8.00% Abs
BINTER 15 1,100 feb-25 A TIIE 28 + 2.50% No
MASCB 15 300 nov-18 AAA TIIE 28 + 1.90% Abs
1,855
7,297
3,125
415
7,500
- -
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
sep-14 oct-14 nov-14 dic-14 ene-15 feb-15
(USD mn)
Amount Issued
Index (bp) As of Feb 26,
2015
vs last
week
vs last
monthYTD
Mexican EMBI 180 -1 -31 -2Mex Corp EMBI 256 2 4 7EM Corp CEMBI 270 5 4 3
Issue Vol. Matur. Rtng Coupon Str.
ELMTIA '25 425 jan-25 BB+ FIXED: 5.5% No
GRUMA '24 400 dic-24 BB+ FIXED: 4.875% No
PEMEX '20 1,500 jul-20 BBB+ FIXED: 3.5% No
PEMEX '26 1,500 Jan-26 BBB+ FIXED: 4.5% No
PEMEX '46 3,000 Jan-26 BBB+ FIXED: 5.625% No
Araceli Espinosa Elguea
Raul Marquez Pardinas
Fixed Income Research
[email protected] [email protected] +52 (55) 1103 6641 +52 (55) 1103 6600 x 4132
Actinver Corporate Headquarters Guillermo González Camarena 1200, 11th Floor, Centro de Ciudad Santa Fe México, D.F. 01210
Mexican Local Corporate Bonds
There were three new issues in the local Mexican market this week for a total of MP 4,300 million: ACOSTACB 15 for MP 200 million, under a fixed rate and a 20 year tenor; BINTER15 for MP 1,000 million under a fixed rate and a 10 year tenor and MASCB 15 for MP 300 million under a floating rate and a 5 year tenor. There are not issues scheduled for next week. We have identified the following issues scheduled for the coming weeks: HOLCIM 15 for MP 2,000 million, EXITUCB 15 for MP 450 million, PACARFM 15 for MP 1,000 million and OPI 15U for MP 4,500 million. (See page 4) The main local corporate bonds that won in price during the week due to a reduction in market spread were: LIPSBCB 14U, AMX 08, CAMSCB 13U, GANACB 11U, VWBANK 12 with contractions of 46bp, 28bp, 16bp, 6bp and 4bp, respectively. The local corporate issues with a reduction in price due to a spread expansion were: OAXCB 07U, LIVEPOL 10, LIVEPOL 12-2 with increase of 30bp, 29bp, and 29bp respectively. As of the end of February 2015, the local corporate debt market totaled MP 1.26 trillion, representing a 3.2% increase compared to the amount outstanding in January 2015. The amount issued in February was MP 39,088 million, which is 3.74 times than that registered during the same month a year ago (MP 10,444 million). There were a total of 12 issuances in the month, carried out by 8 different companies, with only one being a new issuer in the debt market. Mexican International Corporates Bonds in Dollars
The new issuances this week were by Cemex 4 3/8 03/23 in Euros and Cemex 6
1/8 05/25 in
dollars. Mexican EMBI is currently at 180bp, 1 bp lower vs. last week and 31 bps compared to last month. For its part, Mexican CEMBI reported a 256 bp spread, 2bp higher vs. last week and 4 bp higher vs. last month.
Dollar issues that showed significant decreases in YTM were HOMEX 2020. HOMEX 2019, CEMEX 2015, CEMEX 2016, AND CASITA 2018 with yield contractions of 30bp, 10bp, 3bp, 2 bp and 2bp respectively. On the other hand, the main yield increases for the week were: CORGEO 2022, URBIMM 2016, CORGEO 2020 and GEOMAQ 2021 with yield increases of 17bp, 11bp 7 bp and 5bp, respectively.
As of the end of February 2015, the outstanding amount of Mexican corporates in dollars was US 157,485 million.
What happened during the week?
Mexico's economy grew 0.7% at a quarterly rate, which averaged an annual gain of 2.6% in the 4T14. This represents the best data YoY from 4Q12. In 2014, the Mexican economy grew 2.1%, exceeding the disappointing progress of 2013 (1.4%) and reaching just above that expected by the consensus (2.0%). CEESP estimated that Mexico's gross domestic product will grow around 3.2% in 2015. Foreign direct investment amounted to US $ 22.570 million in 2014, reflecting a decrease of 35% from the amount reported in 2013. AEROMÉXICO announced the issuance of notes guaranteed by the Export-Import Bank of the United States (Ex-Im Bank), for the amount of USD 195 million with a maturity in 2027 and an annualized interest rate of 2.329%. Aeromexico will use the proceeds to refinance the payment of two Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner, whose deliveries were made in December 2014 and February 2015. Aeromexico continues its renewal plan as in the 4T14 it withdrew three planes and acquired another 5 under the scheme operating lease. Aeromexico has a structured issuance (securitization of future flows of sales originated in Mexico by credit card) with an outstanding amount of P $ 3,000 million and a maturity of December 2018. Secretaria de Hacienda, through Banco de Mexico managed to place P $ 29.990 million in long-term bonds maturing in 2020 and 2042. The placement was done through a bond swap, bidders handed instruments with maturities of one to three years for papers greater maturity.
*As of the close of February 20, 2015
2
Overview of the Mexican Local Market (as of February 2015)
As of the end of February 2015, the local corporate debt market totaled MP 1.26 trillion, representing a 4.9% increase compared to the amount outstanding in February 2014. For purposes of this report, we consider as part of the corporate debt market unsecured issues from corporates and federal agencies, quasi-sovereign bonds, bank bonds, asset-backed securities, and bonds with partial or full guarantees.
Main Characteristics
Outstanding Amount Amount Placed Per Year
Main Issuers (Amount Issued)
Distribution by Type of Structure
Local Scale Ratings
Reference Rates
Source: Actinver, Bank of Mexico, Valmer.
*As of February 20, 2015
1,164,451
1,176,344
1,241,446
1,260,506
1,100,000
1,120,000
1,140,000
1,160,000
1,180,000
1,200,000
1,220,000
1,240,000
1,260,000
1,280,000
2012 2013 2014 2015*
(MP mn)
224,973 226,299
281,823 267,615
40,088
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*
(MP mn)
277,405
135,943
95,94886,855
80,481 76,724 72,17245,940 39,426
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
PE
ME
X
CF
E
TF
OV
IS
CE
DE
VIS
AM
X
INB
UR
SA
PM
XC
B
BA
NO
RC
B
BIN
BU
R
(MP mn)Federal
Agencies 20%
Banks 13%
Development Banks 5%
CDO 3%Future Flow
16%
ABS 16%
Guarantees 1%
Unsecured 26%
AAA 75%
AA+ 6%
AA 8%
AA- 2%
A+ 1%A 4%
BBB 1%
Below 3%
CETES 1821%
CETES 912%
FIJA34%
TIIE 1820%TIIE 28
35%
TIIE 910%
UDIS28%
3
Overview of the Mexican Dollar Bond International Market (as of February 2015)
As of the end of February 2015, the outstanding amount of Mexican corporates in dollars was US 157,347 million, representing 12.6% more vs. February 2014. US 42,085 million are sovereign bonds issued by the Mexican federal government.
Main Characteristics
Outstanding Volume Amount Placed Per Month
Main Issuers (Outstanding Amount) Distribution by Sector
Global Scale Ratings Reference Rates
Source: Actinver, Bloomberg.
*As of February 20, 2015
146,557
149,596151,218 151,633
164,985
157,347
135,000
140,000
145,000
150,000
155,000
160,000
165,000
170,000
sep-14 oct-14 nov-14 dic-14 ene-15 feb-15*
(USD mn)
1,855
7,297
3,125
415
7,500
- -
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
sep-14 oct-14 nov-14 dic-14 ene-15 feb-15
(USD mn)
$4
2,0
85
$4
1,7
59
$1
3,1
22
$1
0,8
76
$5
,95
0
$3
,00
0
$3
,00
0
$2
,99
8
$2
,90
0
$2
,30
0
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
UM
S
PE
ME
X
AM
X
CE
ME
X
BB
VA
CF
EC
B
KO
F
TL
EV
ISA
BIM
BO
BS
AN
T
(USD mn)
Bank6%
Cement9%
Energy30%
Other15%
Sovereign30%
Telecom10%
BBB 22%
BBB- 5%
BB+ 2%
BB 3%
BB- 1%
B+ 6%
B 2%
B- 0%
Other 19%
A 1%
A- 12%
BBB+ 27%
FIXED96%
LIBOR2%
MIXT2%
4
New MXP bonds to be placed
According to preliminary programs registered in the Mexican Stock Exchange, the following issues are pending to be placed in the Mexican local market:
Source: Actinver, BMV. NO = Unsecured. *Local scale rating. Vol. = Volume in MXP mn. FF = Future Flow.*Retap.
Next Maturities in pesos
Instrument Vol. Date Rtng* Ref. Rate Issuer CFECB 05 3,000 6-mar-15 AAA CETE91 + 0.79% CFE FACILSA 12 500 6-mar-15 AAA TIIE28 + 0.70% FACILSA FACILSA 13 750 6-mar-15 AAA TIIE28 + 0.60% FACILSA NRF 12 2,500 12-mar-15 AAA TIIE28 + 0.50% NRF BACMEXT 11 5,000 20-mar-15 AAA TIIE28 + 0.01% BACMEXT BLADEX 12 2,000 20-mar-15 AAA TIIE28 + 0.65% BLADEX HOLCIM 12 1,500 27-mar-15 AAA TIIE28 + 0.57% HOLCIM CADU 12 300 24-apr-15 A- TIIE28 + 4.00% CADU FEFA 12 3,000 7-may-15 AAA TIIE28 + 0.25% FEFA GASN 11-2 2,540 15-may-15 AA+ TIIE28 + 0.65% GASNAT BINBUR 12-2 4,600 28-may15 AAA TIIE28 + 0.25% INBURSA
Source: Actinver, BMV. Vol.=Volume in MXP mn.
Next Maturities in dollars
Instrument Vol. Date Rtng* Ref. Rate Issuer UMS ‘15 1,226 3-mar-15 BBB FIXED: 6.63% UMS CEMEX ‘15 204 15-mar-15 B+ FIXED: 4.88% Cemex AMX ‘15 750 30-mar-15 A- FIXED: 3.63% America Movil CREAL ‘15 26 14-apr-15 BB FIXED: 10.25% Credito Real OCEANO ‘15 335 15-jul-15 NR FIXED: 11.25% Oceanografia BANORTE ‘15 300 19-jul-15 BBB FIXED: 4.38% Banorte SSISTE,AS ‘15 5 4-sep-15 NR FIXED: 12.00% Sistemas INT CMR HOMEX ‘15 250 28-sep-15 C FIXED: 7.50% Homex CEMEX ‘15 800 30-sep-15 B+ LIBOR + 0.053% Cemex
Source: Actinver, BMV. Vol.=Volume in MXP mn
Next Issuances Instrument Vol. Date Term Str. Rtng* Ref. Rate Amort. Issuer Bookrunner
HOLCIM 15 2,000 18-mar-15 5.0 NO AAA TIIE 28 + 0.30% Bullet Holcim Capital México BBVA, HSBC, Santander EXITUCB 15 450 18-mar-15 4.0 ABS AAA TIIE 28 + 1.80% Parcial Exitus Capital Scotiabank
PACARFM 15 1,000 24-mar-15 4.0 NO AAA TIIE 28 + 0.24% Parcial Paccar Financial México Accival, HSBC OPI 15U 4,500 25-mar-15 20.0 NO AA+ UDIS: * Parcial Org. Proyectos de Infraestructura Actinver, Barclays, Banorte Fuente: Actinver, BMV. Est. = Tipo de Estructura. Tipo Amort. = Amortización. ABS: Emisión respaldada por activos. * Actinver participa como colocador, por lo que no se proporciona tasa estimada.
CFE Fa
cilea
sing
Facil
easin
g NRF
Banc
omex
Blad
ex
Holci
m
Cadu
FEFA
Gas
N.
B. In
burs
a
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
6-M
ar-1
5
6-M
ar-1
5
6-M
ar-1
5
12-M
ar-1
5
20-M
ar-1
5
20-M
ar-1
5
27-M
ar-1
5
24-A
pr-1
5
7-M
ay-1
5
15-M
ay-
15
28-M
ay-
15
(MP mn)
2,180
26
635
1,055
30 690
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
mar
-15
abr-
15
jul-1
5
sep-
15
no
v-15
dic
-15
(USD mn)
5
Ownership of government securities
Ownership of government securities
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
Re
po
rto
Ban
cari
o
Gara
ntías
Ba
nx
ico
Sie
fore
s
So
c. In
v.
Seg
uro
s
Otr
os
Extr
anje
ros
(MXP mn)
Cetes Bondes Bondes D
Repo Bank Guaranty Banxico Siefores MutualF. Insurance Other Foreign Total
Sovereign Securities (MXP mn)
Cetes 30,620 32,650 11,050 - 74,517 57,951 11,315 140,020 605,083 963,207 Bondes - - - - - - - - - - Bondes D 19,342 118,225 4,192 - 44,597 420,826 16,248 464,949 2,008 1,090,387 Udibonos 5,028 23,041 25,436 - 437,120 96,833 146,659 191,712 89,706 1,015,537 Bonos M 113,288 136,566 37,122 - 333,895 102,098 64,769 240,436 1,243,546 2,281,156 Total 168,279 310,482 77,800 - 890,129 677,708 238,991 1,037,118 1,940,344 5,350,287
IPAB Securities (MXP mn)
BPAS - 149 - - - 9,284 40 2,525 2 12,000 BPAT - 130 - - - 1,524 185 3,173 - 5,012 BPA182 23,880 19,066 - 25,768 13,762 129,677 3,633 177,858 3,566 397,210 BPAG28 14,505 8,570 - - 2,392 110,133 1,766 33,748 10 171,124 BPAG91 3,779 24,865 - - 2,108 116,549 1,592 161,269 177 310,339 Total 42,165 52,780 - 25,768 18,262 367,167 7,217 378,573 3,754 895,685
Total 210,443 363,262 77,800 25,768 908,391 1,044,876 246,207 1,415,690 1,944,098 6,245,972
Source: Actinver, Bank of Mexico as of June 18, 2014.
Foreign ownership of government securities
Evolution by type of instrument
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
No
v-12
Dec-1
2
Ja
n-1
3
Feb
-13
Mar-
13
Ap
r-1
3
May-1
3
Ju
n-1
3
Ju
l-1
3
Au
g-1
3
Sep
-13
Oct-13
No
v-1
3
De
c-1
3
Jan
-14
Feb
-14
Mar-
14
Fe
b-1
5
Cetes Bonos Udibonos
MBONOS–Foreign ownership evolution UDIBONOS–Foreign ownership evolution
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
No
v-12
De
c-1
2
Ja
n-1
3
Fe
b-1
3
Mar-
13
Ap
r-1
3
Ma
y-1
3
Ju
n-1
3
Ju
l-1
3
Au
g-1
3
Se
p-1
3
Oc
t-1
3
No
v-13
De
c-1
3
Jan-1
4
Fe
b-1
4
Ma
r-1
4
Fe
b-1
5
Foreign Local
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
No
v-12
De
c-1
2
Ja
n-1
3
Fe
b-1
3
Mar-
13
Ap
r-1
3
Ma
y-1
3
Ju
n-1
3
Ju
l-1
3
Au
g-1
3
Se
p-1
3
Oc
t-1
3
No
v-13
De
c-1
3
Jan-1
4
Fe
b-1
4
Ma
r-1
4
Fe
b-1
5
Foreign Local Source: Actinver, Bank of Mexico as of June 18, 2014.
6
Sovereign Bonds in Pesos – MBONOS
Vo l. M at.
Issue P smn D ate Y-M D ur R tng. A ct. M in M ax 1wk 1mth 1q C urva A ct. M in M ax 1wk 1mth 1q
M BONO150618 89,583 Jun-15 0.3 0.0 AAA 100.9041 100.9041 101.6231 -0.0568 -0.2917 -0.7268 2.5904 3.0400 2.9200 3.1200 0 10 -3
M BONO151217 106,821 Dec-15 0.8 0.0 AAA 103.7483 103.7483 105.0251 -0.1986 -0.6119 -1.2895 3.4098 3.3000 3.0400 3.3700 13 24 12
M BONO160616 148,814 Jun-16 1.3 0.0 AAA 103.4375 103.2412 104.3005 0.1099 -0.5147 -0.8702 3.8190 3.5600 3.2300 3.7500 -12 21 14
M BONO161215 127,248 Dec-16 1.8 0.0 AAA 106.1006 105.7131 107.2699 0.1575 -0.9885 -1.1584 4.0939 3.7600 3.2800 4.0100 -12 37 16
M BONO170615 116,693 Jun-17 2.3 0.0 AAA 102.2006 101.5461 103.5056 0.3873 -1.0350 -0.5053 4.3012 4.0000 3.4700 4.3000 -18 41 11
M BONO171214 157,265 Dec-17 2.8 0.0 AAA 109.0612 108.3998 110.8300 0.4737 -1.3607 -1.1347 4.4677 4.3200 3.7900 4.5900 -19 38 12
M BONO180614 216,347 Jun-18 3.3 0.0 AAA 100.5767 99.4535 101.8594 0.4600 -0.8081 -0.3751 4.6069 4.5600 4.1600 4.9200 -15 25 10
M BONO181213 128,689 Dec-18 3.8 0.0 AAA 113.1151 112.2453 115.0602 0.3157 -1.3517 -1.4389 4.7264 4.7300 4.2900 5.0200 -10 28 16
M BONO191211 0 Dec-19 4.8 0.0 AAA 99.8222 98.6848 101.9644 0.4691 -1.5709 -0.3534 4.9240 5.0400 4.5500 5.3000 -11 36 8
M BONO200611 94,441 Jun-20 5.3 0.0 AAA 113.3024 112.2491 116.0972 0.4585 -2.0882 -0.8167 5.0085 5.1300 4.6200 5.4200 -10 37 5
M BONO210610 115,660 Jun-21 6.3 0.0 AAA 106.3007 104.0023 109.1020 0.6487 -1.9474 0.0123 5.1550 5.3200 4.8400 5.7600 -12 33 -4
M BONO220609 108,293 Jun-22 7.3 0.0 AAA 106.4305 103.3182 108.9837 0.4234 -1.8502 0.6464 5.2800 5.4300 5.0400 5.9500 -7 28 -13
M BONO231207 92,444 Dec-23 8.8 0.0 AAA 117.0180 112.7480 120.1211 0.2776 -2.1648 1.0203 5.4385 5.5500 5.1700 6.1500 -4 26 -18
M BONO241205 197,095 Dec-24 9.8 0.0 AAA 133.2964 128.4970 137.1263 0.4947 -2.7231 1.1001 5.5298 5.5800 5.1900 6.1700 -6 27 -19
M BONO270603 86,919 Jun-27 12.3 0.0 AAA 114.1417 108.5300 118.7214 0.2700 -3.6868 1.9926 5.7226 5.8800 5.4200 6.5000 -3 37 -23
M BONO290531 94,900 M ay-29 14.3 0.0 AAA 124.4890 116.7451 129.4015 0.9777 -3.9854 3.3726 5.8505 5.9500 5.5300 6.6900 -9 34 -33
M BONO310529 137,127 M ay-31 16.3 0.0 AAA 117.4514 109.4971 122.7574 0.7927 -4.3342 4.0449 5.9615 6.0600 5.6200 6.7900 -7 36 -37
M BONO341123 15,000 Nov-34 19.8 0.0 AAA 118.6548 109.4247 124.4739 0.7644 -4.7199 4.9320 6.1266 6.1200 5.6900 6.8800 -6 35 -40
M BONO361120 62,553 Nov-36 21.7 0.0 AAA 145.9566 134.2828 152.1315 1.7187 -4.8361 6.7061 6.2083 6.1600 5.7900 6.9500 -11 29 -45
M BONO381118 104,260 Nov-38 23.7 0.0 AAA 128.5479 117.9194 134.3520 1.0358 -4.5323 6.4023 6.2828 6.2000 5.8300 6.9600 -7 29 -45
M BONO421113 117,694 Nov-42 27.7 0.0 AAA 120.0351 109.1860 126.0760 1.3528 -4.5779 6.5078 6.4147 6.2300 5.8500 7.0000 -9 29 -45
Yield to M aturity (%)P rice ($ ) D P rice ($ ) D YT M (bp)
Source: Actinver, Valmer.
Relative Value Yield to Maturity Evolution
M1
50
61
8M
15
12
17
M1
60
61
6M
16
12
15
M1
71
21
4M
18
06
14
M1
81
21
3
M1
91
21
1M
200
61
1M
21
06
10
M2
20
60
9
M2
31
20
7M
24
12
05
M2
70
60
3
M2
90
53
1
M3
10
52
9
M3
41
12
3
M3
61
12
0
M3
81
11
8
M4
21
11
3
y = 0.8491ln(x) + 3.5935
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity (Years)
MBONOS
- 1 Month Actual
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
2/1
/12
2/3
/12
2/5
/12
2/7
/12
2/9
/12
2/1
1/1
2
2/1
/13
2/3
/13
2/5
/13
2/7
/13
2/9
/13
2/1
1/1
3
2/1
/14
2/3
/14
2/5
/14
2/7
/14
2/9
/14
2/1
1/1
4
2/1
/15
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
M160616 (1.3) M231207 (8.8)M310529 (16.3) M421113 (27.7)
Change in Price ($ MXN) Change in Yield to Maturity (%)
90.00
100.00
110.00
120.00
130.00
140.00
150.00
160.00
M1
50
61
8
M1
51
21
7
M1
60
61
6
M1
61
21
5
M1
70
61
5
M1
71
21
4
M1
80
61
4
M1
81
21
3
M1
91
21
1
M2
00
61
1
M2
10
61
0
M2
20
60
9
M2
31
20
7
M2
41
20
5
M2
70
60
3
M2
90
53
1
M3
10
52
9
M3
41
12
3
M3
61
12
0
M3
81
11
8
M4
21
11
3
($p
es
os
) P
ric
e
-1 Quarter -1 Month Actual
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00
M1
50
61
8
M1
51
21
7
M1
60
61
6
M1
61
21
5
M1
70
61
5
M1
71
21
4
M1
80
61
4
M1
81
21
3
M1
91
21
1
M2
00
61
1
M2
10
61
0
M2
20
60
9
M2
31
20
7
M2
41
20
5
M2
70
60
3
M2
90
53
1
M3
10
52
9
M3
41
12
3
M3
61
12
0
M3
81
11
8
M4
21
11
3
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
-1 Quarter -1 Month Actual Source: Actinver, Valmer.
7
Sovereign Bonds in Pesos - UDIBONOS
Vo l. M at.
Issue P smn D ate Y-M D ur R tng. A ct. M in M ax 1wk 1mth 1q C urva A ct. M in M ax 1wk 1mth 1q
UDIBONO160616 161,007 Jun-16 1.3 0.0 AAA 556.8027 556.0166 561.8204 -0.1064 -1.3737 -4.8980 0.9229 0.9100 0.2300 1.0800 -1 -12 69
UDIBONO171214 106,105 Dec-17 2.8 0.0 AAA 561.0643 558.6608 566.5094 -0.1360 -3.6378 -3.6841 1.5090 1.2800 0.8400 1.4100 1 14 44
UDIBONO190613 70,065 Jun-19 4.3 0.0 AAA 574.6336 572.2302 582.6851 0.2762 -4.6609 -5.2362 1.8374 1.9000 1.5100 2.0000 -1 14 38
UDIBONO201210 90,327 Dec-20 5.8 0.0 AAA 537.1466 531.7257 545.7636 -0.6808 -6.8321 -3.2929 2.0666 2.2000 1.9000 2.3100 3 21 30
UDIBONO220609 113,809 Jun-22 7.3 0.0 AAA 515.6296 505.1952 522.9479 -1.1628 -3.8567 0.1900 2.2428 2.3600 2.1600 2.5800 4 10 17
UDIBONO251204 94,057 Dec-25 10.8 0.0 AAA 623.9752 606.1835 635.2655 0.6676 -7.8861 1.3379 2.5430 2.5900 2.4100 2.8900 -1 12 7
UDIBONO351122 114,910 Nov-35 20.8 0.0 AAA 642.1587 598.9733 664.4610 2.0333 -14.9184 19.9904 3.0455 3.1000 2.8700 3.5600 -2 15 -15
UDIBONO401115 231,061 Nov-40 25.7 0.0 AAA 601.8449 554.8408 625.1556 0.2181 -19.3041 23.2597 3.2107 3.2100 2.9900 3.6700 0 18 -17
UDIBONO461108 3,000 Nov-46 31.7 0.0 AAA 612.9666 557.4026 638.6891 1.3970 -21.0316 29.3034 3.3710 3.2000 2.9900 3.6800 -1 17 -20
P rice ($ ) D P rice ($ ) Yield to M aturity (%) D YT M (bp)
Source: Actinver, Valmer.
Relative Value Yield to Maturity Evolution
S160616
S171214
S190613
S201210
S220609
S251204
S351122
S401115
S461108
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0
(%) Yield to Maturity
Maturity (Years)
UDIBONOS
- 1 Month Actual
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
2/1
/12
2/3
/12
2/5
/12
2/7
/12
2/9
/12
2/1
1/1
2
2/1
/13
2/3
/13
2/5
/13
2/7
/13
2/9
/13
2/1
1/1
3
2/1
/14
2/3
/14
2/5
/14
2/7
/14
2/9
/14
2/1
1/1
4
2/1
/15
(%)
Ye
ars
to
Ma
turi
ty
S160616 (1.3) S201210 (5.8)S251204 (10.8) S401115 (25.7)
Change in Price ($ MXN) Change in Yield to Maturity (%)
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
700.00
S1
60
61
6
S1
71
21
4
S1
90
61
3
S2
01
21
0
S2
20
60
9
S2
51
20
4
S3
51
12
2
S4
01
11
5
S4
61
10
8
($p
eso
s)
Pri
ce
-1 Quarter -1 Month Actual
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
S1
60
61
6
S1
71
21
4
S1
90
61
3
S2
01
21
0
S2
20
60
9
S2
51
20
4
S3
51
12
2
S4
01
11
5
S4
61
10
8
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
-1 Quarter -1 Month Actual Source: Actinver, Valmer.
8
Sovereign Bonds in Dollars - UMS
Outs M at.
Issue M nP s D ate Y-M A ct. M ax M in 1 wk 1 mth 1 q C rve A ct. M ax M in 1 wk 1 mth 1 q A ct. M ax M in 1 wk 1 mth 1 q
M EX 6.63% 2015 1,226 M ar-15 0.0 100.1 103.2 100.1 0.0 -0.5 -1.5 -5.36 -37.11 4.61 -37.11 -3916 -3666 -3732 -37.12 4.61 -37.12 -3619 -3368 -3435
M EX 11.38% 2016 1,586 Sep-16 1.6 116.4 122.9 116.0 -0.3 -0.9 -1.9 0.78 0.64 1.14 -0.48 -1 -4 -37 0.22 0.61 -0.91 -22 -30 -63
M EX 5.625% 2017 2,761 Jan-17 1.9 108.1 110.8 107.5 -0.3 -0.4 -0.9 1.03 1.22 1.92 1.02 7 0 -6 0.66 1.31 0.33 -14 -28 -34
M EX 5.95% 2019 1,644 M ar-19 4.1 115.0 116.1 112.8 1.0 0.5 0.3 2.02 2.07 2.75 2.07 -26 -19 -25 0.83 1.45 0.72 -38 -45 -40
M EX 8.13% 2019 1,344 Dec-19 4.8 132.8 138.1 120.8 0.5 2.3 1.1 2.25 1.13 3.69 0.72 -12 -51 -48 -0.30 2.23 -1.15 -16 -71 -52
M EX 5.125% 2020 1,923 Jan-20 4.9 112.7 113.5 109.5 1.0 0.7 0.7 2.26 2.36 3.09 2.36 -22 -17 -26 0.91 1.55 0.71 -28 -40 -32
M EX 3.5% 2021 1,000 Jan-21 5.1 104.8 104.8 100.5 1.6 0.8 1.5 2.32 2.61 3.41 2.61 -28 -15 -29 1.00 1.70 0.77 -32 -39 -31
M EX 3.625% 2022 2,559 M ar-22 7.1 104.6 104.6 100.5 1.2 1.6 1.2 2.74 2.89 3.55 2.89 -19 -26 -19 1.11 1.72 0.82 -17 -47 -14
M EX 8% 2022 611 Sep-22 7.6 134.3 135.4 129.5 1.0 0.8 1.0 2.83 2.92 3.61 2.89 -14 -14 -25 1.10 1.70 0.68 -8 -31 -14
M EX 4% 2023 3,900 Oct-23 8.6 107.1 107.1 101.8 1.8 1.4 1.7 3.00 3.05 3.75 3.05 -24 -18 -24 1.16 1.78 0.91 -24 -41 -16
M EX 11.5% 2026 321 M ay-26 11.2 167.3 168.5 158.5 1.5 1.0 0.6 3.34 3.99 4.78 3.98 -13 -11 -14 1.99 2.68 1.49 -6 -29 3
M EX 8.3% 2031 1,158 Aug-31 16.5 153.3 154.8 143.5 1.8 0.0 1.6 3.84 3.89 4.55 3.81 -11 -1 -13 1.72 2.27 1.33 -7 -24 3
M EX 7.5% 2033 787 Apr-33 18.1 143.3 144.5 133.3 1.3 0.8 4.3 3.97 4.09 4.76 4.02 -8 -6 -29 1.88 2.43 1.39 -3 -27 -10
M EX 6.75% 2034 1,807 Sep-34 19.6 135.8 136.5 125.3 3.3 1.5 5.3 4.07 4.08 4.76 4.04 -20 -10 -35 1.82 2.39 1.55 -14 -30 -14
M EX 6.05% 2040 3,317 Jan-40 24.9 125.4 128.6 116.3 2.4 0.4 3.0 4.38 4.37 4.91 4.19 -14 -2 -18 1.95 2.38 1.46 4 -14 16
M EX 4.75% 2044 4,463 M ar-44 29.0 107.3 109.4 98.0 3.6 1.4 3.8 4.58 4.31 4.88 4.19 -21 -8 -22 1.77 2.21 1.27 5 -11 23
M EX 5.55% 2045 3,000 Jan-45 29.9 119.1 121.5 109.5 3.5 1.1 3.6 4.62 4.39 4.94 4.27 -19 -6 -20 1.82 2.25 1.36 11 -7 29
M EX 5.75% 2110 2,678 Oct-10 95.7 113.1 115.5 101.0 4.1 2.1 5.5 6.12 5.08 5.69 4.97 -19 -10 -26 2.51 3.00 2.02 20 -1 32
D Spread/ T sry(bp)YT M (%)P rice ($ ) Spread/ T ry(%)D P rice ($ ) D YT M (bp)
Source: Actinver, Valmer.
Relative Value Analysis Change in Price ($ USD)
ME
X 6
.63%
201
5
ME
X
11
.38
% 2
01
6M
EX
5
.62
5%
20
17
ME
X
5.9
5%
20
19
ME
X 8
.13%
201
9M
EX
5
.12
5%
20
20
ME
X
3.5
% 2
02
1
ME
X 3
.62
5%
20
22
ME
X
8%
20
22
ME
X
5.1
25
% 2
02
0
ME
X 1
1.5
% 2
02
6
ME
X
8.3
% 2
03
1
ME
X
7.5
% 2
03
3
ME
X
6.7
5%
20
34
ME
X
6.0
5%
20
40
ME
X
4.7
5%
20
44
ME
X
5.5
5%
20
45
y = 1.298ln(x) + 0.2046
-40.00
-35.00
-30.00
-25.00
-20.00
-15.00
-10.00
-5.00
-
5.00
10.00
- 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Years to Maturity
UMS
-1 Week
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0M
EX
6.6
3%
20
15
ME
X 1
1.3
8%
201
6
ME
X 5
.625%
201
7
ME
X 5
.95
% 2
01
9
ME
X 8
.13
% 2
01
9
ME
X 5
.125
% 2
02
0
ME
X 3
.5%
2021
ME
X 3
.625
% 2
02
2
ME
X 8
% 2
02
2
ME
X 4
% 2
02
3
ME
X 1
1.5
% 2
02
6
ME
X 8
.3%
203
1
ME
X 7
.5%
203
3
ME
X 6
.75
% 2
03
4
ME
X 6
.05
% 2
04
0
ME
X 4
.75
% 2
04
4
ME
X 5
.55
% 2
04
5
ME
X 5
.75
% 2
11
0
($U
SD
) P
rice C
han
ge
1 Week 1 Month 1 Quar ter
Change in Yield to Maturity (bp) Change in Spread / Treasury (bp)
-4500
-4000
-3500
-3000
-2500
-2000
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
ME
X 6
.63
% 2
01
5
ME
X 1
1.3
8%
201
6
ME
X 5
.625
% 2
01
7
ME
X 5
.95
% 2
01
9
ME
X 8
.13
% 2
01
9
ME
X 5
.125%
202
0
ME
X 3
.5%
2021
ME
X 3
.625%
202
2
ME
X 8
% 2
02
2
ME
X 4
% 2
02
3
ME
X 1
1.5
% 2
02
6
ME
X 8
.3%
203
1
ME
X 7
.5%
203
3
ME
X 6
.75
% 2
03
4
ME
X 6
.05
% 2
04
0
ME
X 4
.75
% 2
04
4
ME
X 5
.55
% 2
04
5
ME
X 5
.75
% 2
11
0
(bp
) Y
TM
C
ha
ng
e
1 Week 1 Month 1 Quar ter
-4000
-3500
-3000
-2500
-2000
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
ME
X 6
.63
% 2
01
5
ME
X 1
1.3
8%
201
6
ME
X 5
.625
% 2
01
7
ME
X 5
.95
% 2
01
9
ME
X 8
.13
% 2
01
9
ME
X 5
.125
% 2
02
0
ME
X 3
.5%
202
1
ME
X 3
.625
% 2
02
2
ME
X 8
% 2
02
2
ME
X 4
% 2
02
3
ME
X 1
1.5
% 2
02
6
ME
X 8
.3%
203
1
ME
X 7
.5%
2033
ME
X 6
.75
% 2
03
4
ME
X 6
.05
% 2
04
0
ME
X 4
.75
% 2
04
4
ME
X 5
.55
% 2
04
5
ME
X 5
.75
% 2
11
0
(bp
) S
pre
ad
Ch
an
ge
1 Week 1 Month 1 Quar ter
Source: Actinver, Valmer.
9
Quasi-Sovereign Bonds in Dollars – PEMEX and CFE Outs M at.
Issue M nP s D ate Y-M A ct. M ax M in 1 wk 1 mth 1 q C rve A ct. M ax M in 1 wk 1 mth 1 q A ct. M ax M in 1 wk 1 mth 1 q
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A nd nd nd nd #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
PEM EX 5.75% 2015 - Dec-15 0.8 nd 109.2 100.9 nd nd nd 1.32 nd 330.87 -1.52 nd nd nd nd 330.85 -1.75 nd nd nd
PEM EX 10.61% 2017 125 Aug-17 2.5 111.8 114.4 111.0 -0.1 0.5 -1.1 2.73 5.45 5.93 4.94 1 -36 1 4.71 5.30 4.12 -379 -426 -386
PEM EX 5.75% 2018 2,484 M ar-18 3.0 109.5 112.2 107.3 0.6 1.5 -0.5 2.97 2.43 3.31 2.04 -22 -58 -9 1.45 2.27 0.81 -37 -86 -32
PEM EX 9.25% 2018 107 M ar-18 3.1 122.4 124.1 118.2 0.0 -1.0 3.0 3.01 1.76 3.39 1.58 -5 12 -132 0.76 2.26 0.57 -19 -14 -153
PEM EX 3.5% 2018 1,000 Jul-18 3.4 103.2 105.1 100.0 -0.6 1.0 -0.6 3.12 2.52 3.49 2.04 17 -33 12 1.45 2.30 0.79 2 -62 -10
PEM EX 9.15% 2018 181 Nov-18 3.7 113.7 116.1 111.4 0.0 0.5 -0.9 3.24 5.08 5.77 4.76 -1 -21 3 3.96 4.61 3.59 -295 -330 -296
PEM EX 3.125% 2019 3 Jan-19 3.9 100.8 104.2 100.6 0.0 0.1 -1.3 3.30 2.92 2.96 2.13 0 -4 31 1.72 1.98 0.63 -14 -33 12
PEM EX 8% 2019 1,937 M ay-19 4.2 120.2 124.0 116.7 1.1 1.1 -0.6 3.38 2.82 3.83 2.51 -27 -34 -11 1.55 2.47 0.95 -37 -58 -23
PEM EX 6% 2020 995 M ar-20 5.0 113.3 115.9 109.5 0.2 0.5 -0.6 3.61 3.10 3.95 2.87 -5 -14 -1 1.63 2.34 1.13 -10 -36 -6
PEM EX 5.5% 2021 2,962 Jan-21 5.9 108.4 112.8 105.7 -0.7 0.0 -2.6 3.82 3.89 4.42 3.27 11 -2 40 2.27 2.71 1.36 10 -23 40
CFELEC 4.875% 2021 1,000 M ay-21 6.2 107.7 108.3 105.1 0.3 -0.1 0.0 3.89 3.48 3.96 3.44 -5 1 -5 1.81 2.20 1.44 -6 -20 -2
PEM EX 4.875% 2022 2,091 Jan-22 6.9 105.8 109.1 101.4 0.5 1.6 0.0 4.01 3.91 4.64 3.47 -9 -28 -2 2.13 3.00 1.31 -5 -47 5
PEM EX 8.63% 2022 160 Feb-22 6.9 120.2 128.3 114.0 0.0 2.0 -5.8 4.02 5.12 6.14 4.08 -1 -34 76 3.34 4.49 1.98 7 -49 87
PEM EX 3.5% 2023 2,100 Jan-23 7.9 96.8 99.4 92.3 0.6 1.8 -0.6 4.18 3.97 4.65 3.58 -9 -27 11 2.13 2.72 1.25 -8 -50 16
PEM EX 8.63% 2023 107 Dec-23 8.8 121.5 126.0 120.0 0.0 -2.4 -3.5 4.31 5.49 5.74 5.02 -1 28 38 3.60 3.75 2.50 6 11 52
CFELEC 4.875% 2024 1,250 Jan-24 8.9 106.1 108.0 102.8 0.9 0.5 -0.1 4.33 4.05 4.49 3.85 -13 -7 -1 2.15 2.50 1.49 -11 -29 9
PEM EX 4.875% 2024 1,499 Jan-24 8.9 105.4 109.0 100.3 0.6 1.4 -1.1 4.33 4.14 4.83 3.73 -8 -18 12 2.24 2.76 1.34 -6 -40 22
PEM EX 9.5% 2027 219 Sep-27 12.6 133.8 140.3 128.0 1.4 -3.8 -1.2 4.76 5.69 6.27 5.20 -14 33 7 3.64 4.12 2.63 -8 13 23
PEM EX 6.63% 2035 2,749 Jun-35 20.3 114.6 123.7 108.8 2.1 0.0 -2.6 5.36 5.43 5.88 4.81 -16 -1 18 3.14 3.47 2.05 -6 -18 42
PEM EX 6.63% 2038 491 Jun-38 23.3 111.5 122.8 110.5 1.0 -1.5 -3.6 5.53 5.72 5.80 4.98 -7 11 25 3.35 3.58 1.99 10 -1 58
PEM EX 6.5% 2041 3,000 Jun-41 26.3 112.4 123.0 107.8 0.5 -1.1 -3.4 5.68 5.59 5.91 4.94 -4 7 22 3.13 3.47 1.95 20 2 63
CFELEC 5.75% 2042 750 Feb-42 27.0 110.3 111.3 103.4 1.2 -0.2 2.4 5.71 5.05 5.51 4.99 -8 1 -15 2.57 2.91 1.98 16 -4 26
PEM EX 5.5% 2044 2,745 Jun-44 29.4 101.0 109.0 95.8 -1.0 0.5 -1.7 5.82 5.43 5.80 4.92 7 -3 11 2.88 3.31 1.79 38 -3 61
PEM EX 6.375% 2045 0 Jan-45 29.9 112.2 121.8 109.3 1.9 -0.7 -3.3 5.84 5.54 5.73 4.98 -12 4 20 2.97 3.37 1.84 21 7 72
PEM EX 6.375% 2045 0 Jan-45 29.9 112.2 121.8 109.3 1.9 -0.7 -3.3 5.84 5.54 5.73 4.98 -12 4 20 2.97 3.37 1.84 21 7 72
P rice ($ ) D P rice ($ ) D YT M (bp)YT M (%) Spread/ T ry(%) D Spread/ T sry(bp)
Relative Value Analysis Change in Price ($ USD)
PEM
EX 5
.75
% 2
015
PEM
EX 1
0.6
1%
20
17P
EMEX
5.7
5%
201
8P
EMEX
9.2
5%
201
8
PEM
EX 3
.5%
20
18P
EMEX
9.1
5%
201
8 PEM
EX 3
.12
5%
20
19P
EMEX
8%
20
19
PEM
EX 6
% 2
02
0P
EMEX
5.5
% 2
021
CFE
LEC
4.8
75
% 2
021
PEM
EX 4
.87
5%
20
22P
EMEX
8.6
3%
202
2
PEM
EX 3
.5%
20
23
PEM
EX 8
.63
% 2
023
CFE
LEC
4.8
75
% 2
024
PEM
EX 4
.87
5%
20
24
PEM
EX 9
.5%
20
27
PEM
EX 6
.63
% 2
035
PEM
EX 6
.63
% 2
038
PEM
EX 6
.5%
20
41C
FELE
C 5
.75
% 2
042
PEM
EX 5
.5%
20
44P
EMEX
6.3
75
% 2
045
PEM
EX 6
.37
5%
20
45
y = 1.2495ln(x) + 1.5964
y = 0.0984x + 3.0274
-
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
- 4.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 20.0 24.0 28.0 32.0
(%)
Yiel
d t
o M
atu
rity
Years to Maturity
PEMEX and CFE
-1 Week Actual Lineal (PEMEX 8% 2019)
-7.0
-6.0
-5.0
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0#
N/A
PE
ME
X 5
.75
% 2
015
PE
ME
X 1
0.6
1% 2
01
7
PE
ME
X 5
.75
% 2
018
PE
ME
X 9
.25
% 2
018
PE
ME
X 3
.5%
2018
PE
ME
X 9
.15
% 2
018
PE
ME
X 3
.12
5% 2
01
9
PE
ME
X 8
% 2
019
PE
ME
X 6
% 2
020
PE
ME
X 5
.5%
2021
CF
EL
EC
4.8
75
% 2
021
PE
ME
X 4
.87
5% 2
02
2
PE
ME
X 8
.63
% 2
022
PE
ME
X 3
.5%
2023
PE
ME
X 8
.63
% 2
023
CF
EL
EC
4.8
75
% 2
024
PE
ME
X 4
.87
5% 2
02
4
PE
ME
X 9
.5%
2027
PE
ME
X 6
.63
% 2
035
PE
ME
X 6
.63
% 2
038
PE
ME
X 6
.5%
2041
CF
EL
EC
5.7
5%
20
42
PE
ME
X 5
.5%
2044
PE
ME
X 6
.37
5% 2
04
5
PE
ME
X 6
.37
5% 2
04
5
($U
SD
) P
ric
e C
ha
ng
e
1 Week 1 Month 1 Quarter
Change in Yield to Maturity (bp) Change in Spread / Treasury (bp)
10
y = 1.2043x - 24.651
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
#N
/A
PE
ME
X 5
.75
% 2
015
PE
ME
X 1
0.6
1% 2
01
7
PE
ME
X 5
.75
% 2
018
PE
ME
X 9
.25
% 2
018
PE
ME
X 3
.5%
2018
PE
ME
X 9
.15
% 2
018
PE
ME
X 3
.12
5% 2
01
9
PE
ME
X 8
% 2
019
PE
ME
X 6
% 2
020
PE
ME
X 5
.5%
2021
CF
EL
EC
4.8
75
% 2
021
PE
ME
X 4
.87
5% 2
02
2
PE
ME
X 8
.63
% 2
022
PE
ME
X 3
.5%
2023
PE
ME
X 8
.63
% 2
023
CF
EL
EC
4.8
75%
2024
PE
ME
X 4
.87
5% 2
02
4
PE
ME
X 9
.5%
2027
PE
ME
X 6
.63
% 2
035
PE
ME
X 6
.63
% 2
038
PE
ME
X 6
.5%
2041
CF
EL
EC
5.7
5%
20
42
PE
ME
X 5
.5%
2044
PE
ME
X 6
.37
5% 2
04
5
PE
ME
X 6
.37
5% 2
04
5
(bp
) YT
M C
han
ge
1 Week
y = 9.269x - 139.6
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
#N
/A
PE
ME
X 5
.75
% 2
015
PE
ME
X 1
0.6
1% 2
01
7
PE
ME
X 5
.75
% 2
018
PE
ME
X 9
.25
% 2
018
PE
ME
X 3
.5%
20
18
PE
ME
X 9
.15
% 2
018
PE
ME
X 3
.12
5% 2
01
9
PE
ME
X 8
% 2
019
PE
ME
X 6
% 2
020
PE
ME
X 5
.5%
20
21
CF
EL
EC
4.8
75%
202
1
PE
ME
X 4
.87
5% 2
02
2
PE
ME
X 8
.63
% 2
022
PE
ME
X 3
.5%
20
23
PE
ME
X 8
.63
% 2
023
CF
ELE
C 4
.875
% 2
024
PE
ME
X 4
.87
5% 2
02
4
PE
ME
X 9
.5%
20
27
PE
ME
X 6
.63
% 2
035
PE
ME
X 6
.63
% 2
038
PE
ME
X 6
.5%
20
41
CF
EL
EC
5.7
5% 2
04
2
PE
ME
X 5
.5%
20
44
PE
ME
X 6
.37
5% 2
04
5
PE
ME
X 6
.37
5% 2
04
5
(bp
) S
pre
ad
Ch
an
ge
1 Week
Source: Actinver, Valmer.
11
MXP - Bonds Detail
12
UNSECURED ISSUES – RELATIVE VALUE
AM
X10
PC
AR
FM
12
DA
IMLE
R14
HO
LC
IM12
-2B
NP
ME
X1
1
AC
11
CA
TF
IN12
KIM
BE
R07
VW
LE
AS
E1
3-2
VW
BA
NK
12
HO
LC
IM14
CA
TF
IN14
VW
LE
AS
E14
-2
VW
BA
NK
14
FU
NO
13
TO
YO
TA
14
GAP15
TLE
VIS
A14
-0.20
-0.10
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00
(%) S
pre
ad
Maturity
TIIE28 / AAA
GASN11-2
GCARSO12
BACHOCO12
y = 0.0235ln(x) + 0.23940.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00
(%)
Sp
rea
d
Maturity
TIIE28 / AA+
MOLYMET10
GBM13-3
IDEAL11-2
TCM10
MO
LY
ME
T1
2
INCARSO12
LAB13-2
GBM14-2
MO
LY
ME
T1
3-2
LA
B13
INCARSO13
HERDEZ13-2
GBM14HERDEZ14
MONTPIO14
DHIC14
LAB14
y = 0.1542ln(x) + 0.5023
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00
(%)
Sp
rea
d
Maturity
TIIE28 / AA
FORD14
MFRISCO13
FORD14-2
CULTIBA13
y = 1.1191ln(x) - 0.6918
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00
(%)
Sp
rea
d
Maturity
TIIE28 / AA-
MO
NE
X12 C
RE
AL12
KU
O10
ELE
KT
RA
14-2
EL
EK
TR
A1
4C
RE
AL13
-2
ELE
KTR
A13
INV
EX
13
CR
EA
L14
MO
NE
X14
CS
BA
NC
O14-
2
AC
TIN
VR
14
AC
TIN
VR
13
ALSEA13
INVEX13-2
KUO12
y = 0.0221ln(x) + 1.5368
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00
(%)
Sp
read
Maturity
TIIE28 / A
CSBANCO14
RCENTRO14
y = 0.9057ln(x) + 1.612
2.55
2.60
2.65
2.70
2.75
2.80
2.85
2.90
2.95
3.00
3.05
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00
(%)
Sp
rea
d
Maturity
TIIE28 / A-
GFAMSA14
CIE13
y = 0.1279ln(x) + 2.595
2.58
2.60
2.62
2.64
2.66
2.68
2.70
2.72
2.74
2.76
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00
(%)
Sp
rea
d
Maturity
TIIE28 / BBB
VALARRE11
VALARRE12
VALARRE12-2
VALARRE13
y = 2.4
2.00
2.10
2.20
2.30
2.40
2.50
2.60
2.70
2.80
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00
(%)
Sp
rea
d
Maturity
CETE182 / A+
Source: Actinver / Valmer. Maturity = Years to maturity. Information as of June 26, 2014.
13
UNSECURED ISSUES – RELATIVE VALUE
KIM
BE
R0
9-2
AR
CA
09-3
AR
CA
09
-5
AM
X0
7-3
HIC
OA
M0
7A
MX
08
TE
LM
EX
08
LIV
EP
OL
08
HO
LC
IM1
2-3
AM
X0
61
9 KIM
BE
R0
9-4
AM
X1
0-2
FA
CIL
SA
13-2
LIV
EP
OL
10
TL
EV
ISA
10
AR
CA
10
GP
RO
FU
T1
1K
OF
11
-2
AC
11-2
LIV
EP
OL
12-2
IEN
OV
A1
3A
C1
3-2
KO
F1
3
KIM
BE
R1
3
FU
NO
13
-2
FE
RR
OM
X1
4 AM
X0
62
4GA
P15
-2
y = 1.2064ln(x) + 4.1047
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00
(%) YTM
Maturity
FIXED / AAA
HERDEZ10
GASN11
IBDROLA08
SIGMA08
BIMBO12
TELFIM10
OMA14
ME
XC
HE
M1
2
MO
LY
ME
T1
3
OMA13
HE
RD
EZ
13
y = 1.5464ln(x) + 4.0582
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00
7.50
8.00
8.50
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
FIXED / AA
FEMSA07ULIVEPOL10U
AMX10U
FUNO13U
y = 1.8232ln(x) - 0.0459
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
UDIS / AAA
BIMBO09U
SIGMA08U
y = 0.8754ln(x) + 1.6139
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
UDIS / AA
Source: Actinver / Valmer. Maturity = Years to maturity. Information as of June 26, 2014.
14
SECURED ISSUES – RELATIVE VALUE
FICCB08-2
GDFCB10
GDFCB06
VTOSCB13
GDFCB07-2
EXITUCB13UNIFCB12
DALTOCB13
EDUCACB13
ARRENCB13
CLEASCB14
UNFINCB13
CREDICB14
FINAECB15
IFHGO07
ARRENCB14TIPCB14
FICCB09
y = 0.2927ln(x) + 1.0214
-0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00
(%)
Sp
read
Maturity
TIIE28 / AAAPLANFCB13
FID
EP
CB
14
PLANFCB14
VIVACB15
XIGNUX14
EDONL06TMMCB10
CHIACB07
y = -0.567ln(x) + 2.5358
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
(%)
Sp
read
Maturity
TIIE28 / AA
NEMAK07
DINEXCB12
VINTE14
IJETCB12
IJETCB13
IJETCB14
y = 1.6321ln(x) - 0.9979
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00
(%)
Sp
rea
d
Maturity
TIIE28 / AA-
VINTE11-2
CADU12
VINTE12
DOCUFOR12
GDINIZ12CIOSA12
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00
(%)
Sp
rea
d
Maturity
TIIE28 / A
FREZAC05
CPACCB04
VERACB12-2
y = 0.529ln(x) + 0.0693
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00
(%)
Sp
read
Maturity
TIIE91 / AA
TUCACCB08
VRZCB06
y = 0.0777ln(x) + 0.3719
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.61
0.61
0.61
0.61
18.50 19.00 19.50 20.00 20.50 21.00 21.50 22.00
(%)
Sp
read
Maturity
TIIE182 / AA
EDONL03 EDONL03-2
y = 0.0152ln(x) + 1.0388
0.42
0.52
0.62
0.72
0.82
0.92
1.02
1.12
0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60
(%)
Sp
rea
d
Maturity
CETE182 / AA
GD
FC
B0
5
GDFCB10-2
GD
FE
CB
13
GD
FE
CB
14
RCO12
GD
FE
CB
12
CH
IHC
B1
3
OAXACA13RCO14
PR
OIN
10
PA
SA
CB
11 PASACB12
FICCB08
y = 1.2801ln(x) + 4.0126
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
FIXED / AAA
Source: Actinver / Valmer. Maturity = Years to maturity. Information as of June 26, 2014.
15
SECURED ISSUES – RELATIVE VALUE
XIGNUX07
XIGNUX13
ACOSTCB07
VERACB12
SIPYTCB13
GHOCB14
DOIHICB13
MAYACB12
y = 1.2593ln(x) + 5.141
6.00
6.50
7.00
7.50
8.00
8.50
9.00
9.50
10.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
FIXED / AA
FICCB09U
PLANRIO05U CO
NC
EC
B06U
LPSLCB14U
PA
SA
CB
11
U
RCO12U
FICCB08U
LPSLCB14-2U
PAMMCB14U
y = 1.8168ln(x) - 0.15360.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
UDIS / AAA
MATCB05U
CHIACB07UVERACB12U
CHIHCB13UTENIXCB14U
y = 2.264ln(x) - 2.3694
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
UDIS / AA+
VIADI06UGANACB11U
PSBCB12U
ZONALCB06U
VR
ZC
B0
6U
OA
XC
B0
7U
MICHCB07U
y = 1.1026ln(x) + 1.4012
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
UDIS / AA
VRZCB06U
CAMSSCB13U
LIPSBCB14U
AMCCB13U
PAMMSCB14U
y = 4.3997ln(x) - 9.26443.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
UDIS / AA-
CARDLCB10U
MYCTA04U
ZONALCB06-2U
VRZCB08U
CASCB11U
y = 0.1148ln(x) + 4.9477
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
UDIS / A
PLANRIO05-2U
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
UDIS / BBB
Source: Actinver / Valmer. Maturity = Years to maturity. Information as of June 26, 2014.
16
QUASI-SOVEREIGN ISSUES – RELATIVE VALUE
FE
FA
12
FE
FA
12
-2
FE
FA
13
PE
ME
X1
1
FN
CO
T13
PE
ME
X11-2
FE
FA
14
FN
CO
T14
PE
ME
X12
CF
E1
3
PE
ME
X13
CFE14PEMEX14
y = 0.0569ln(x) + 0.0417
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00
(%)
Sp
read
Maturity
TIIE28 / AAA / UNSECURED
CF
EG
CB
11
CF
EC
B10
CF
EG
CB
13
IFCOTCB13
CFECB10-2
y = 0.0897ln(x) - 0.015
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00
(%)
Sp
read
Maturity
TIIE28 / AAA / SECURED
CFECB05
CF
EC
B0
6
CF
EC
B0
6-2 CFECB07
CFEHCB08
y = 0.014ln(x) + 0.4561
0.30
0.32
0.34
0.36
0.38
0.40
0.42
0.44
0.46
0.48
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50
(%)
Sp
rea
d
Maturity
CETE91 / AAA / SECURED
CF
EH
CB
07
CF
EH
CB
07-2
CF
EH
CB
07-3
y = 0.902ln(x) - 0.4218
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00
(%)
Sp
rea
d
Maturity
CETE182 / AAA / SECURED
PEMEX09-2
PE
ME
X10
-2
CF
E10
-2
PE
ME
X11
-3
PE
ME
X13-2
CF
E1
3-2
CFE14-2
PEMEX14-2
y = 1.394ln(x) + 3.849
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
FIXED / AAA / UNSECURED
CFEHCB09CFECB09
CFEHCB06
CFECB12
y = 1.1179ln(x) + 3.2532
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
FIXED / AAA / SECURED
PEMEX09U
PEMEX10U
PEMEX11U
PEMEX14U
PEMEX12U
y = 0.6576ln(x) + 1.9376
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
UDIS / AAA / UNSECURED
CFEHCB09U
CFECB09U
CFECB09-2U
y = 1.704ln(x) - 0.7781
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00
(%)
YT
M
Maturity
UDIS / AAA / SECURED
Source: Actinver / Valmer. Maturity = Years to maturity. Information as of June 26, 2014.
17
CORPORATE ISSUES – DETAILED INFORMATION
TIIE28 / AAA Local Rating / Unsecured
Source: Actinver / Valmer. Y-M = Years to maturity. Information as of June 26, 2014.
18
TIIE28 / AAA Local Rating / Secured
TIIE28 / AA+ Local Rating / Unsecured
TIIE28 / AA+ Local Rating / Secured
TIIE28 / AA Local Rating / Unsecured
Source: Actinver / Valmer. Y-M = Years to maturity. Information as of June 26, 2014.
19
TIIE28 / AA Local Rating / Secured
TIIE28 / AA- Local Rating / Unsecured
TIIE28 / AA- Local Rating / Secured
TIIE28 / A Local Rating / Unsecured
TIIE28 / A Local Rating / Secured
Source: Actinver / Valmer. Y-M = Years to maturity. Information as of June 26, 2014.
20
TIIE28 / A- Local Rating / Unsecured
TIIE28 / BBB Local Rating / Unsecured
TIIE28 / BBB Local Rating / Secured
TIIE91 / AAA Local Rating / Secured
TIIE91 / AA Local Rating / Secured
TIIE182 / AA- Local Rating / Secured
TIIE182 / A+ Local Rating / Secured
CETE182 / AA Local Rating / Unsecured
Source: Actinver / Valmer. Y-M = Years to maturity. Information as of June 26, 2014.
21
USD – Fixed Rate Bonds Detail
22
MXN CORPORATES IN DOLARS – RELATIVE VALUE
BB
VA
SM
'16
AM
XL
MM
'1
6
AM
XLM
M '
17
KO
F '1
8A
MXLM
M '19
KO
F '2
0A
MXLM
M '20
AM
XLM
M '22
KO
F '2
3
AM
XLM
M '
35
AM
XL
MM
'3
7
AM
XL
MM
'4
0
AM
XL
MM
'4
2
KO
F '4
3BB
VA
SM
'24
KCMA '24
y = 0.8534ln(x) + 1.1993
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
A- / Fixed Rate
TE
LV
IS '1
8
BS
AN
TM
'22
TE
LV
IS '2
5
TELVIS '32
TELVIS '40
BIN
BU
R '2
4
y = 1.309ln(x) + 0.8009
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
BBB+ / Fixed Rate
BA
NO
RT
'15
BIM
BO
'20
BIM
BO
'22
FRES '23
BIM
BO
A '2
4
FUNO '24SCCO '28
MEXGEN '32
FUNO '44
BIMBOA '44
y = 1.132ln(x) + 1.6062
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
BBB- / Fixed Rate
SIG
MA
'18
SIG
MA
'19
AL
PE
KA
'22
AL
PE
KA
'23
ALF
AA
'24 A
LF
AA
'44
MXC
HF
'44
y = 1.5128ln(x) + 0.8507
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
BBB- / Fixed Rate
MA
BE
MX '15
MABEMX '19
MX
CH
F '1
9
MX
CH
F '2
2
METLSA '23MXCHF '42
y = 0.8367ln(x) + 3.2549
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
BB+ / Fixed Rate
CREAL '15
CREAL '19
OFDMEX '20
KUOBMM '22
ODHGPR '20
NEMAK '23
y = 1.6186ln(x) + 4.3064
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0
(%) Y
ield
to
Matu
rity
Maturity
BB / Fixed Rate
TZA '18EKT '18
ARRUNI '19IDESA '20
TZA '20
y = 2.2302ln(x) + 3.7248
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
BB- / Fixed Rate
CE
ME
X '1
5E
ZP
W '1
5
CE
ME
X '1
6
CE
ME
X '1
8
CE
ME
X '1
9C
EM
EX
'19 C
EM
EX '1
9S
CR
IBE
'20
CE
ME
X '2
0C
EM
EX
'21 J
AV
ER
'21
CE
ME
X '2
2
FIN
DE
P '1
9
y = 1.2886ln(x) + 4.7684
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
B+ / Fixed Rate
Source: Actinver / Bloomberg as of June 26, 2014. Maturity = Years to maturity.
23
MXN CORPORATES IN DOLARS – RELATIVE VALUE
PAPPEL '16
ICA
SA
'17
PO
SA
DA
'17
AXTEL '20
GC
CA
MM
'20
FA
MS
A '2
0
ICA
SA
'21
ICA
SA
'24
y = 2.1578ln(x) + 7.8632
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
B / Fixed Rate
MIFEL '22
COBREM '18
y = -1.19ln(x) + 14.334
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0
(%) Yie
ld to
Matu
rity
Maturity
B- / Fixed Rate
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
CCC / Fixed Rate
MAXTEL '20
GEOMAQ '21
y = 1356.7ln(x) - 2249.5
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
CC / Fixed Rate
HOMEX '15
HOMEX '19
HOMEX '20
AXTEL '17 AXTEL '19
y = -705.6ln(x) + 1083.4
0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1,000.00
1,200.00
1,400.00
1,600.00
1,800.00
2,000.00
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
C / Fixed Rate
URBIMM '16
UR
BIM
M '2
0
CO
RG
EO
'20
UR
BIM
M '2
2C
OR
GE
O '2
2
y = -59.93ln(x) + 314.21
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
400.00
450.00
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0
(%)
Yie
ld t
o M
atu
rity
Maturity
D / Fixed Rate
Source: Actinver / Bloomberg as of June 26, 2014. Maturity = Years to maturity.
24
Disclaimer
Analyst Certification:
Ernesto O’Farrill
Ismael Capistrán
Araceli Espinosa
Jesús Viveros
Mauricio Arellano
Jaime Ascencio
Roberto Galván
The analyst(s) responsible for this report, certifies(y) that the opinion(s) on any of the securities or issuers mentioned in this document, as well as any views or forecasts expressed herein accurately reflect their personal view(s). No part of their compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or views contained in this document. This is a publication of Grupo Financiero Actinver and any content of the document cannot be distributed or copied without Grupo Financiero Actinver’s authorization. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but Grupo Financiero Actinver or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively Actinver) do not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All pricing is as of the close of market for the securities discussed, unless otherwise stated. The analysts mentioned will not be responsible for investment decisions taken by clients or for any legal procedures.
Any of the business units of Grupo Actinver or its affiliates may seek to do business with any company discussed in this research document. Any past or potential future compensation received by Grupo Actinver or any of its affiliates from any issuer mentioned in this report has not had and will not have any effect our analysts’ compensation. However, as for any other employee of Grupo Actinver and its affiliates, our analysts’ compensation is affected by the overall profitability of Grupo Actinver and its affiliates.
Analyst Certification for the following Analysts: Jaime Ascencio
Iñigo Cossio
Marco Montañez
Roberto Galván
Ramón Ortiz
Francisco Suárez
Eric Alexander Wilson, CFA
The analyst(s) responsible for this report, certifies(y) that the opinion(s) on any of the securities or issuers mentioned in this document, as well as any views or forecasts expressed herein accurately reflect their personal view(s). No part of their compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or views contained in this document.
Any of the business units of Grupo Actinver or its affiliates may seek to do business with any company discussed in this research document. Any past or potential future compensation received by Grupo Actinver or any of its affiliates from any issuer mentioned in this report has not had and will not have any effect our analysts’ compensation. However, as for any other employee of Grupo Actinver and its affiliates, our analysts’ compensation is affected by the overall profitability of Grupo Actinver and its affiliates.
Guide to our Rating Methodology
Total Expected Return on any security under coverage includes dividends and/or other forms of wealth distribution expected to be
implemented by the issuers, in addition to the expected stock price appreciation or depreciation over the next twelve months based on our analysts’ price targets. Analysts uses a wide variety of methods to calculate price targets that, among others, include
25
Investment, Strategy & Research
Ernesto O’Farrill Director (52) 55 1103-6645 [email protected]
Quantitative Research
Ismael Capistrán Head Quantitative Research & Economics (52) 55 1103-6600 x1487
Jaime Ascencio Economic Research (52) 55 1103-6600
x5032 [email protected]
Roberto Galván Technical Analysis (52) 55 1103 -6600 x5039 [email protected]
Santiago Hernandez Quantitative Research (52) 55 1103-6600 x4133
Fixed Income
Araceli Espinosa Head Fixed Income Research (52) 55 1103-6600 x6641
Jesús Viveros Fixed Income Research (52) 55 1103-6600 x6649
Mauricio Arellano Fixed Income Research (52) 55 1103-6600 x4132
Equity
Gustavo Terán , CFA Head Equity Research (52) 55 1103-6600 x1193 [email protected]
Martín Lara Telecoms, Media & Financials (52) 55 1103-6600
x1840 [email protected]
Carlos Hermosillo Food, Beverage & Commercial (52) 55 1103-6600
x4134 [email protected]
Ramón Ortiz Cement, Concessions & Construction (52) 55 1103-6600
x1835 [email protected]
Federico Robinson Conglomerates, Industrial & Mining (52) 55 1103-6600
x4127 [email protected]
Pablo Duarte Real Estate (52) 55 1103-6600 x4334 [email protected]
Sales & Trading
Eduardo Estrada Head, Trading Mexico (52) 55 1103-6723 [email protected]
Antonio Lau Trading US (713) 337 - 4932 [email protected]
Julie Roberts Head, Institutional Sales US (210) 298 - 5371 [email protected]
Domingo Díaz Head Institutional Sales Mexico (52) 55 1103-6797 [email protected]