dach 2019-2 vf market report - business finland · •while doing the online comissions: they are...
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VF DACH Market Report GERMANY, AUSTRIA, SWITZERLANDNovember 2019
Visit Finland Country Representative
Jyrki Oksanen
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Semiannual Report – DACH GERMANY, AUSTRIA, SWITZERLAND
Summer season 2019 and outlook for winter 2019-20
CONTENTS
• Factors affecting the results of the summer season 2019
• Outlook for the winter season 2019-20
• Prospects for the summer season 2020
• Prospects for the autumn/winter season 2020
• Theme check: Food tourism
• Trends and other relevant travel related topics
• Facts and figures - Market review data
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Factors affecting the results of the summer season 2019Reasons for the increase/decrease in travelling to Finland?
Changes in demand• German market is growing as more connections link the market to destination. Especially successful have been the the
new routes with Finnair Stuttgart-Helsinki and Hanover-Helsinki. Also Easyjet and Ryanair are operating full planes to Finland
Finland’s image as a travel destination• There has been plenty of visibility since our 2017 celebration and the Grüne Woche, successful Rent a Finn campaign
linked with happiness and the EU presidency have increased our visibility on the market. This all results in additional awareness and an improved image as a travel destination. The Nordic countries and the Baltic area are becoming trendier and the Mediterranean is losing on attractivity.
Changes in distribution channel• The Thomas Cook meltdown has considerable impact in the classic distribution channels in Germany. Service providers
are also cutting the former benefits for tour operators and the volatility on the tour operators markets speed this process
Changes in accessibility• The lack Germania route Düsseldorf-Kittilä hurts us in the area with a -10 % at the moment. The overall winter still
remains in a solid plus with Lapland getting the most of it.
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Factors affecting the results of the summer season 2019Reasons for the increase/decrease in travelling to Finland?
Products that have been attractive• Touring remains number one product group. Especially touring to several countries. Here Finland has partly a
challenging location compared with other Scandinavian countries. If you take Baltic countries we are the link between the Nordics and Russia.
Regions that have been attractive• Touring is attractive in all Finland. Regional partners from Saimaa area and West Coast have been happiest with the
development.
Campaigns, joint promotions results• In DACH area we have has 32 joint promotions mainly targeting summer and autumn periods. Direct results are
increased production, promotion and sales in the partner areas.• The Absolut Slow Down campaign tactical campaign is still online and a separate report can be ordered from Visit
Finland.
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Outlook for the coming winter season 2019-20The overall outlook of travelling to Finland for the coming winter?
Increase/decrease and reasons for the increase/decrease• We could not replace some capacity in the direct connections Germany-Lapland but it seems the scheduled services
cover the loss and bookings look good. • Main issue remains availability during the winter high season.
New winter products• Soft activities are coming but the classic highlights in Lapland remain dominant. The softer or “slow” activities more
south in the Lakeland could be a nice opportunity.
New sales channels• The disruption in sales channels is speeding also as a result of the Thomas Cook crash the brand of classic tour
operators suffer and a speeding shift to online seems inevitable.• The demand remains high especially for Lapland.• Ryanair and Easyjet are becoming more active and have started their own tour operating activities.
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Outlook for the coming winter season 2019-20The overall outlook of travelling to Finland for the coming winter?
What are the trends for the winter 2019-20?• Our winter product with the USP Northern lights/special accommodation/unique activities is our main product in the
DACH area. • With the activities to lift off the autumn there is a promising echo on the market for Lapland.• We see Helsinki and also other cities become more attractive when accessibility is good and short breaks are promoted.
Which are the traveler segments?• In the winter we have a younger audience 18-35 with higher income. Nature Wonder Hunter, Activity & Comfort
Seekers are attracted by our products.• We seem to have issues profiling our winter south of Lapland. One of the key elements in Lapland is snow guaranteed.
We have seen many cases where the fear of black landscapes keep clients from booking. This is a big items in classic European winter resorts and the clients are very aware of the winter conditions in Finland.
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Prospects for the autumn/winter season 2020The overall outlook of travelling to Finland?
What trends should be considered in product development to increase the demand in the autumn/winter time?• Attractive simple combinations like Christmas: Shopping-Christmas Market-Food• Sauna-wellbeing is strong getaway proposition?• City combinations air-sea like Helsinki-Tallinn
Which present target groups should be considered to increase the demand?• To be frank all, but more bold and focused
Which new target groups should be considered to increase the demand?• The high potential is in the south and younger than we think 18-35 is our main target group age. Here we only convert
every 10th high high potential in to our client. There is room for marketing and products fitted for the young urban to discover Finland.
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Theme check: Food tourismWhat kind of demand or potential you find in the market you represent?
1. What is ”in” on your market in food tourism? Is food important for travelers on your market?- Social eating, go-creation and culinary events, specialized and high quality. Food is important and still increasing but still only coming as the main motive to travel.
2. Is there any specialized tour operators for food tourism? Are “general” tour operators promoting food experiences?- The latter is the case. We have a couple of specialists and influencers are starting to sell and host trips.
3. What kind of food tourism offerings should be developed more in Finland? E.g. food related activities in nature (like foraging/picnic in a forest), cooking classes (like baking Karelian pies), food walks, home dining, food producers tours, local/Finnish restaurants, beverage tours/tastings, sustainable food, food routes etc.?-Yes to all: important is an authentic touch and entertaining infotainment kind drive: how to make a perfect salmon on open fire etc.
4. The best benchmark and examples (destinations or products)?- Italy and France are leading destinations for foodies. Copenhagen has made fantastic work with food and hygge to profile themselves as all year experience.
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Trends and other relevant travel related topicsTrends
• Business travel in changing. Ca 70 % of business travelers say the are willing add a few days off to discover the destination, ”bleisure”. Also taking family with you is becoming more common. Maybe this is a result of AirBnB?
New distribution channels
• We have noticed that some companies go to a booking system like Bokun with a zero comission policy. The basic idea for platforms like Expedia, Tripadvisor or Booking is to earn money and generate traffic with your product. If you go there you should go all the way, not just online but give capacity and adapt pricing to the parameters given by the retailers. So much below the classic 20 % might turn off the Viators from you.
• While doing the online comissions: they are same for the classic retail, so you can have both.
Online channels
• It is important to have more visibility on the inspirational part of online channels. This is done and our pledge for the trade is to update also seasonal pictures and text to your channels to increase your attractivity
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Trends and other relevant travel related topics
Competitors’ actions
Which countries have been active, where have you seen their promotion, what was the main message/content of the communication, competitors’ new products or activities with tour operators/sales channels
• Troms and Northern Sweden are gaining a better position on the market. Finnish Lapland still has a competitive product but is behind in marketing being dependend on its retails activities and investments.
• Iceland seems also be losing its grip on the European markets as image is damaged by overtourism and overpricing.
• The Alps are adapting to older audiences and changing climate with wellbeing and all year products like hiking.
• Many popular destination are shifting strategies from growing volumes to steering volumes and quality. This happens in Finland too as income grows more than volume.
• The Nordics record very good season 2019, so the Nordic trend remain strong in Germany.
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Trends and other relevant travel related topicsFree word
The debacle of Thomas Cook (TC)• Luckily Finland is not having thousands of unhappy TC clients wondering how to get home. The Thomas Cook
bankruptcy has shaken the market widely also in Germany. Some of top brands belong to the TC and have been a part of the travel market for decades. The disruption to a more direct distribution in digital channels is one of the predicted results. Here some points to think about:
- Event the most established brands are not safe from the change. - Be sure to get your share of the sales before the client arrives. It is normal for package tour clients to pay their trip some 4 weeks before departure. - 53 % of German long holidays are package tours and on a big market the change is slow, more like a generation issue. - The market share of package tours to Finland is about 24 %, so the package tour operators still remains one of the best ways to grow your business. - The disruption seems to be due to the business model and the hard competition on the market. All the generic tour operators are suffering from low margins and tight legal regulation within EU whereas specialists can serve the needs of the more demanding consumers better.
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27/11/2019 First name Last name 12
Germany – Market Review
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Sources: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
German overnights in Finland
Share of overnights by regions 2018
36 % 19 % 18 % 27 %
Year 20182nd in country rankings
with a 9 % share of foreign overnights
Average change 2000-2018: +1 %
Change 2018 compared to 2000: +28 %-1 % 2 %
5 %4 % -1 % 0 % -2 %
7 % 1 %
-9 % -3 %6 % -1 %
-6 % -0 %
9 % -1 %
15 % 1 %
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
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334
800
346
600
372
000
377
300
371
800
365
700
354
400
373
300
375
300
335
500
330
000
355
000
337
000
311
000
309
500
336
100
325
500
380
900
366
100
2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018
Registered overnights in summer season (May-Oct)by German visitors
-4%
155
300
155
500
154
800
167
900
166
300
180
600
173
700
195
900
205
700
191
700
182
800
185
600
197
600
189
300
188
800
202
200
212
200
235
500
255
200
2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018
Registered overnights in winter season (Nov-Apr)by German visitors
Source: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
German overnights in Finland
Winter and Summer 2018
Winter 2018: 3rd in country rankings with a 8% share of foreign overnights
Average change 2000-2018: +3%
Change 2018 compared to 2000: +64%
Summer 2018: 3rd in country rankings with a 12% share of foreign overnights
Average change 2000-2018: +1%
Change 2018 compared to 2000: +9%
+8%
+17%
+11%
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Source: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
Trends for seasonal overnights in Finland German visitors
Summer is the most popular travel season among Germans. Steadygrowth in high winter season; growth also in spring and autumn travel.
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
Winter Spring Summer Autumn
German overnights by season
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Winter24 %
Spring18 %Summer
38 %
Autumn20 %
German overnights in 2018
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
German overnights by month 2017-2019
2017 2018 2019
Spring SummerWinter
+19% +8% -1%
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German overnights in Finland
Seasonal overnights in 2018
Source: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
Importance growing:• Kuusamo• Rovaniemi• Muonio• Inari (Saariselkä)
Importance growing:• Kainuu• Etelä-Savo
Importance growing:• Turku• Oulu
German overnights in Finland by season in 2018
Whole Finland No. of German overnights Seasonal YtoY change
2016 2017 2018 2019 2017 vs. 2016 2018 vs. 2017 2019 vs. 2018
Winter (Dec-Feb) 113 500 126 900 135 600 151 000 +12% +7% +11%
Spring (Mar-May) 108 400 115 000 123 800 123 700 +6% +8% 0%
Summer (Jun-Aug) 231 600 274 000 258 800 269 900 +18% -6% 4%
Autumn (Sep-Nov) 86 400 104 000 104 600 +20% +1%
Winter22 %
Spring20 %Summer
41 %
Autumn17 %
WHOLE FINLAND 2018
Winter17 %
Spring22 %
Summer38 %
Autumn23 %
HELSINKI REGION 2018
Winter16 %
Spring19 %Summer
46 %
Autumn19 %
COAST AND ARCHIPELAGO 2018
Winter12 %
Spring17 %
Summer58 %
Autumn13 %
LAKELAND 2018
Winter38 %
Spring19 %
Summer33 %
Autumn10 %
LAPLAND 2018
Importance growing:• Helsinki• Espoo
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27/11/2019 First name Last name 17
Austria – Market Review
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Sources: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
Austrian overnights in Finland
Share of overnights by regions 2018
40 % 14 % 18 % 28 %
Year 201820th in country rankings
with a 1 % share of foreign overnights
Average change 2000-2018: +4 %
Change 2018 compared to 2000: +55 %
20 %9 % 3 %
-7 %-5 %
11 % -0 % -2 % 3 % -2 %4 %
13 % 0 %
-8 % 1 %
14 % -3 %
20 % -1 %
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
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Source: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
Austrian overnights in Finland
Winter and Summer 2018
Winter 2018: 22nd in country rankings with a 1% share of foreign overnights
Average change 2000-2018: +7%
Change 2018 compared to 2000: +165%
Summer 2018: 20th in country rankings with a 1% share of foreign overnights
Average change 2000-2018: +2%
Change 2018 compared to 2000: +25%
11 4
00 19
100
14 1
00
15 0
00
16 0
00
14 1
00
14 7
00
16 6
00
15 3
00
15 7
00
16 9
00
17 9
00
18 5
00
17 6
00
21 5
00
26 0
00
25 3
00 32
100
30 1
00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Registered overnights in winter season (Nov-Apr) by Austrian visitors
+27%-6%
31 2
00
32 4
00
35 8
00
31 4
00
30 2
00
34 4
00
34 4
00
31 8
00
34 8
00
32 8
00
33 7
00
39 5
00
39 2
00
34 5
00
31 6
00
34 8
00
33 1
00
37 0
00
39 0
00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Registered overnights in summer season (May-Oct) by Austrian visitors
+12%+5%
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Source: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
Trends for seasonal overnights in Finland Austrian visitors
Summer is the most popular travel season among Austrians. Rapidgrowth in high winter season; growth also in autumn travel.
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
Winter Spring Summer Autumn
Austrian overnights by season
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Winter24 %
Spring18 %Summer
38 %
Autumn20 %
Austrian overnights in 2018
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Austrian overnights by month 2017-2019
2017 2018 2019
+5% -3%
Spring SummerWinter
+13%
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Austrian overnights in Finland
Seasonal overnights in 2018
Source: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
Importance growing:• Rovaniemi• Muonio
Importance growing:• Tampere region• Lahti region• Etelä-Savo• Pohjois-Savo• North Karelia• Lieksa
Importance growing:• Turku• Central Ostrobothnia• Kokkola region• Oulu region
Austrian overnights in Finland by season in 2018
Whole Finland No. of Austrian overnights Seasonal YtoY change
2016 2017 2018 2019 2017 vs. 2016 2018 vs. 2017 2019 vs. 2018
Winter (Dec-Feb) 14 700 18 400 16 400 19 400 +25% -11% +18%
Spring (Mar-May) 11 600 13 700 12 600 13 300 +9% -1% +7%
Summer (Jun-Aug) 22 200 24 700 26 400 27 900 +8% -4% -5%
Autumn (Sep-Nov) 10 700 13 700 14 000 +25% +5%
Winter24 %
Spring18 %Summer
38 %
Autumn20 %
WHOLE FINLAND 2018
Winter16 %
Spring20 %
Summer43 %
Autumn21 %
HELSINKI REGION 2018
Winter14 %
Spring25 %Summer
40 %
Autumn21 %
COAST AND ARCHIPELAGO 2018 Winter10 %
Spring17 %
Summer47 %
Autumn26 %
LAKELAND 2018
Winter49 %
Spring13 %
Summer23 %
Autumn15 %
LAPLAND 2018
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27/11/2019 First name Last name 22
Switzerland – Market Review
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Sources: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
Swiss overnights in Finland
Share of overnights by regions 2018
33 % 11 % 14 % 42 %
Year 201813th in country rankings
with a 3 % share of foreign overnights
Average change 2000-2018: +3 %
Change 2018 compared to 2000: +83 %
0 %
14 %-7 %
23 %-5 %
-5 % 3 %4 %
-6 % -2 % 0 %
9 %
13 %-3 % 2 %
21 %-4 %
9 % 0 %
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
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Source: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
Swiss overnights in Finland
Winter and Summer 2018
Winter 2018: 12th in country rankings with a 3% share of foreign overnights
Average change 2000-2018: +6%
Change 2018 compared to 2000: +198%
Summer 2018: 12th in country rankings with a 3% share of foreign overnights
Average change 2000-2018: +2%
Change 2018 compared to 2000: +34%
26 9
00
31 3
00
29 5
00
33 3
00
37 5
00
39 9
00
37 7
00
44 0
00
41 4
00
40 6
00
40 1
00
47 4
00
53 8
00
57 2
00
57 0
00
59 8
00
69 4
00
74 9
00
80 2
00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Registered overnights in winter season (Nov-Apr) by Swiss visitors
+8%
65 1
00
72 2
00
69 0
00 84
200
77 1
00
69 2
00
71 9
00
73 6
00
67 3
00
66 7
00
66 8
00
71 7
00
76 8
00
71 6
00
72 9
00
96 0
00
84 7
00
91 6
00
87 5
00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Registered overnights in summer season (May-Oct) by Swiss visitors
+12%-4%
+7%
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Source: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
Trends for seasonal overnights in Finland Swiss visitors
Summer is the most popular travel season among Swiss visitors. Steadygrowth in high winter season; growth also in spring and autumn travel.
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Swiss overnights by month 2017-2019
2017 2018 2019
Winter Spring Summer
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
90 000
Winter Spring Summer Autumn
Swiss overnights by season
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Winter24 %
Spring18 %Summer
38 %
Autumn20 %
Swiss overnights in 2018
+9% +5% -9%
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Swiss overnights in Finland
Seasonal overnights in 2018
Source: Visit Finland Statistics Service Rudolf, Statistics Finland
Importance growing:• Kuusamo• Rovaniemi
Importance growing:• Lahti region• North Karelia
Importance growing:• Uusimaa excl.
Metropolitan area• Turku• Oulu
Swiss overnights in Finland by season in 2018
Whole Finland No. of Swiss overnights Seasonal YtoY change
2016 2017 2018 2019 2017 vs. 2016 2018 vs. 2017 2019 vs. 2018
Winter (Dec-Feb) 44 400 47 600 51 400 51 700 +7% +8% +1%
Spring (Mar-May) 25 600 27 900 27 600 29 300 +9% -1% +7%
Summer (Jun-Aug) 65 500 70 000 68 000 64 300 +8% -4% -5%
Autumn (Sep-Nov) 18 800 21 000 19 800 +12% -6%
Winter31 %
Spring16 %
Summer41 %
Autumn12 %
WHOLE FINLAND 2018
Winter18 %
Spring18 %
Summer46 %
Autumn18 %
HELSINKI REGION 2018
Winter14 %
Spring13 %
Summer59 %
Autumn14 %
COAST AND ARCHPELAGO 2018
Winter9 %
Spring10 %
Summer72 %
Autumn9 %
LAKELAND 2018
Winter53 %
Spring19 %
Summer21 %
Autumn7 %
LAPLAND 2018
Importance growing:• Espoo• Vantaa