daily report - banca intesa beogradvodoprivredno preduzee 253,012,500 din. energoprojekt holding ad...
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Source: Daily FX
Value Previous Change YTD Value Previous Change YTD
118.1760 118.2362 -0.05% -0.25% 1.2338 1.2407 -0.56% 2.77%
95.8598 95.4827 0.39% -3.28% 1.1550 1.1527 0.19% -1.28%
102.2549 102.5110 -0.25% 0.96% 0.8816 0.8863 -0.52% 3.51%
133.9864 133.3892 0.45% 0.42% 1.3995 1.3999 -0.03% -4.76%Source: NBS 107.3300 106.5900 0.69% -0.69%
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Value Next decision Value
3.50% 8.3.2018 0.00%
Deposit facility 2.00% 1.50%
Lending facility 5.00% 0.50%
Repo operations (one week) 2.55% -0.75%
Source: NBS Source: Bloomberg
20.2.2018 19.2.2018 Change (bps) 20.2.2018 19.2.2018 Change(bps)
2.66% 2.60% 0.06 -0.369% -0.368% -0.001
2.83% 2.82% 0.01 -0.370% -0.369% -0.001
3.13% 3.12% 0.01 -0.329% -0.329% 0.000
3.24% 3.22% 0.02 -0.273% -0.274% 0.001
Source: Reuters Source: Bloomberg, EBF
Note: Values are with 1 day delay Note: Values are with 1 day delay
Value Previous Change (bps) Value Previous Change(bps)
1.596% 1.596% 0.000 0.087% 0.087% 0.000
1.904% 1.892% 0.012 0.487% 0.491% -0.004
2.129% 2.119% 0.010 1.146% 1.147% -0.001
-0.796% -0.796% 0.000 2.594% 2.597% -0.003
-0.746% -0.746% 0.000 0.000% 2.715% -2.715
-0.663% -0.663% 0.000 0.000% 2.872% -2.872
Sources: ICE, Bloomberg Sources: IBA, Bloomberg
Overall trading at the Belgrade Stock Exchange RSD18,42 mn (€0,15 mn). No bonds trading.
Serbian Public Debt Agency sold 10y T-bond in the amount of RSD18,05 bn, yield 5.29%. Realization rate 21.60%.
Evro slides against dollar. Trading at $1.232.
European stocks rose. Stoxx 600 up 0.6% at the close, FTSE 100 unchanged, DAX up 0.8%.
U.S. stocks down. Dow Jones down 1%, S&P 500 down 0.6%, Nasdaq down 0.1%.
Oil declined (Brent $64.64; WTI $61.10). Gold down ($1,327.66).
Financial Market Analysis
Treausury and ALM department
DAILY REPORT
Flash
Dinar adds against euro 0.1% (118.1760). National Bank of Serbia bought €15 mln at the forex market.
Bank of the Group
February 21, 2018
Key events
TimeCountry/
RegionEvent Period Previous Forecast
20:00 US
FX rates and money market
FX rates on domestic market International markets
Currency Currency
FOMC Meeting minutes
GBP/RSD GBP/USD
USD/JPY
National Bank of Serbia Interest rates Major interest rates
EUR/RSD EUR/USD
USD/RSD EUR/CHF
CHF/RSD EUR/GBP
United Kingdom (BOE) 22.3.2018
Switzerland (SNB) 15.3.2018
Serbia - Interbank interest rates Serbia Europe - Interbank interest rates - Europe
Next decision
Key policy rate Eurozone (ECB) 8.3.2018
US (FED) 21.3.2018
BELIBOR 6M EURIBOR6M
Libor interest rates Interest rate Swap
Libor 1M (USD) EURIBOR ISDA 3Y FIXING
BEONIA EONIA
BELIBOR1M EURIBOR1M
BELIBOR3M EURIBOR3M
Libor 3M (CHF) USD ISDA 5Y FIXING
Libor 6M (CHF) USD ISDA 10Y FIXING
Libor 3M (USD) EURIBOR ISDA 5Y FIXING
Libor 6M (USD) EURIBOR ISDA 10Y FIXING
Libor 1M (CHF) USD ISDA 3Y FIXING
1.17
1.18
1.19
1.2
1.21
1.22
1.23
1.24
1.25
1.26EUR/USD
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125EUR mio EUR/RSD
Turnover on FX market (right axis)
Date Currency
Source: Public Debt Management Agency
Moody's S&P Fitch
Ba3 BB BB
Outlook Stable Stable Stable
Date 17.3.2017 15.12.2017 15.12.2017 Sources: Bloomberg, JPMorgan
Source: Bloomberg
Date Value Previous Date Value Previous
04.02.2016 2.75% 2.79% 18.01.2018 0.47% 0.48%
02.03.2017 2.64% 2.65% 01.02.2018 0.96% 0.99%
07.02.2017 3.48% 3.49% 02.02.2018 1.29% 1.49%
24.10.2017 4.05% 4.65% 19.02.2018 1.88% 1.95%
30.01.2018 3.88% 4.29% 13.07.2017 4.00% 4.00%
13.02.2018 4.28% 4.30% 06.09.2017 4.20%
23.10.2017 5.00% 5.60% Source: Public Debt Management Agency
20.02.2018 5.29% 5.35%
23.06.2016NBS key rate +
0.25%
NBS key rate +
0.25%
Source: Public Debt Management Agency
Source: Public Debt Management Agency Source: Public debt Management Agency
Sources: Ministry of finance, Banca Intesa Sources: Ministry of finance, Banca Intesa
Vrednost Prethodna UST spred
Serbia 5y 2018 2.804% 2.846% 0.822%
Serbia 7y 2020 3.450% 3.460% 1.202%
Serbia 10y 2021 3.749% 3.726% 3.749%
Serbia 20y 2024 6.469% 6.470%Source: Bloomberg
Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Fixed income
Scheduled auctions
RSD Government securities EUR Government securities
Instrument Value
Serbia Credit rating
2 years 5 years
3 years 10 years
5 years 15 years
Maturity
3 months 53 weeks
6 months 2 years
53 weeks 3 years
Maturity
7 years
10 years
24 month amortizing
Serbian Eurobonds yields (USD)
80
130
180
230
280
330
bps JP Morgan EMBI Srbija
2.8
3.3
3.8
4.3
4.8
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
Serbian 10y Eurobond 2021
Price Yield (right axis)
1.52.53.54.55.56.57.58.59.5
10.511.512.513.514.5
Yields on RSD government securities primary auctions
3m 6m 53w 2y 3y NBS key rate 5y 7y 10y
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.0
Yields on EUR government securities primary auctions
53w 2y 3y 5y 10y 15y
2
Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange
Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange
Sourc: Bloomberg
EPEN 13,805 5,604,830 0.02% 0.03% 5.30 14.71 42.27
FITO 2,955 4,550,700 0.68% 0.75% 1.70 10.27 17.60
JESV 5,000 2,000,000 0.00% 0.00% 0.69 5.18 11.62
NIIS 710 1,828,250 0.28% -0.98% #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
VDPC 6,500 741,000 0.00% 0.00% 0.93 2.12 47.46
ENHL 700 520,100 -1.69% -14.63% 0.91 184.48 0.53
AERO 1,701 488,187 0.00% -4.55% 2.34 17.06 14.52
SJPT 283 409,784 -10.44% -13.72% #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
MTLC 2,030 203,000 -1.07% -0.34% 1.38 17.18 7.98
AVEN 1,000 195,000 0.00% 0.00% 0.53 2.82 20.81
KMBN 1,881 109,098 -0.74% 2.73% 0.45 7.59 6.61
VRFT 900 99,000 0.00% 0.00%#N/A Field Not Applicable#N/A Field Not Applicable#N/A Field Not Applicable
Sources: Belgrade Stock Exchange; Bloombeg
0.07%
-0.59%
0.34%
-0.10%
-1.08%
Source: Bloomberg
crobex sbi20
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
sofix bet-c
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
dj balkan
Source: Bloomberg
Belgrade Stock Exchange
Value Previous value Change YTD
Belex 15 754.93 757.98 -0.40% -0.24%
Belex line 1,586.04 1,594.84 -0.55% -4.07%
Ratios P / B P / EBelex15 0,82 13,53
Turnover 18,423,650 RSD 278,416,268 RSD -93.38%Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange
155,821 € 2,354,348 € -93.38%
The most traded stocks on Belgrade Stock Exchange from the previous day
Company Ticker Price RSDTurnovor
RSD
Daily
change
Weekly
change
ENERGOPROJEKT ENTEL AD BEOGR 5,832,543,475 Din.
GALENIKA FITOFARMACIJA AD 7,801,200,000 Din.
JEDINSTVO SEVOJNO AD 1,523,595,000 Din.
P/BV P/E ROE Market capitalization
AERODROM NIKOLA TESLA AD BEO 58,326,184,350 Din.
SOJAPROTEIN AD 4,215,433,292 Din.
METALAC AD GORNJI MILANOVAC 4,141,200,000 Din.
NIS AD NOVI SAD 115,772,884,000 Din.
VODOPRIVREDNO PREDUZEE 253,012,500 Din.
ENERGOPROJEKT HOLDING AD BEO 7,651,904,400 Din.
Regional stock exchanges
Index Country/Region ValueValue from the previous
dayChange YTD
AUTOVENTIL AD UZICE 150,512,000 Din.
KOMERCIJALNA BANKA AD BEOGRA 31,634,575,236 Din.
VARNOST FITEP AD ZEMUN 60,561,900 Din.
Crobex Hrvatska 1,855.43 1,854.10 0.68%
SBITOP Slovenija 818.86 823.75 1.53%
SOFIX Bugarska 694.36 692.02 2.50%
BET Rumunija 8,307.04 8,315.03 7.14%
DJ Stoxx Balkan 50 Balkan 479.89 485.13 1.92%
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300
CROBEX
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
SOFIX
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
9,000
BET
300
400
500
600DJ Stoxx Balkan 50
500
550
600
650
700
750
800 Belex 15
-10.44%
-1.69% -1.07% -0.74%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.15% 0.28% 0.68%
SJPT ENHL MTLC KMBN AERO JESV ALFA TGAS NIIS FITO
Daily change of Belex 15 members
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800Belex line
600
650
700
750
800
850
SBITOP
3
Source: Bloomberg
dow jones s&p
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
nasdaq dax
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
nikkei dj stoxx
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Snežana Topalović 201-1400 Snežana Spasojević 201-3621Vladimir Gavović 201-1263 Dragomir Milin [email protected] Biljana Radosavljević 201-3610
Darko Karanović 201-3624 Vitomir Marić 201-1315Boban Todorović 201-3627 Olivera Glišić 201-1314Dragan Ignja 201-3626 [email protected]
Index Country/Region Value Previous value Change YTD
World stock exchanges
S&P 500 US 2,716.26 2,732.22 -0.58% 1.60%
Dow Jones Industrial US 24,964.75 25,219.38 -1.01% 0.99%
DAX Germany 12,487.90 12,385.60 0.83% -3.33%
NASDAQ US 7,234.31 7,239.47 -0.07% 4.79%
Dow Jones Stoxx 600 EU 380.51 378.24 0.60% -2.23%
FTSE UK 7,246.77 7,247.66 -0.01% -5.74%
ContactFinancial Market analysis Customer execution office (fixed income)
Dealing Custody
Disclaimer
This overview is written to inform and does not represent a call for making business decisions and buying or selling mentioned financial instruments. Banca Intesa ad Beograd does not guarantee exactness of summoned data.
Information, opinions and commentaries in this overview are given with the best intention according to available data provided from relevant sources and as a result of professional attitudes and orientations of analytical team working in
Banca Intesa ad Beograd. Banca Intesa ad Beograd does not assume responsibility for possible loss and damage caused by business activities according to any element and contents of the overview. This document may only be
reproduced in whole or in part together with the name of Banca Intesa Beograd.
Nikkei 225 Japan 21,925.10 22,149.21 -1.01% -3.69%
14,00015,00016,00017,00018,00019,00020,00021,00022,00023,00024,00025,00026,00027,00028,000
Dow Jones Industrial
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300
2,400
2,500
2,600
2,700
2,800
2,900
3,000
S&P 500
4,0004,2004,4004,6004,8005,0005,2005,4005,6005,8006,0006,2006,4006,6006,8007,0007,2007,4007,6007,800
NASDAQ Composite
260
280
300
320
340
360
380
400
420DJ Stoxx 600
9,000
11,000
13,000
15,000
17,000
19,000
21,000
23,000
25,000
Nikkei 225
\
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000DAX
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75Oil Brent (USD/bbl)
1,050
1,100
1,150
1,200
1,250
1,300
1,350
1,400Gold
\
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40 Vix Index
4