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Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10 th 2017 Philip Carter, Chief Analyst, IDC Europe

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Page 1: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Dawn of the DX EconomyNew Rules, Roles and Requirements

IDC European ICT Fu tu reScape fo r 2017M a r c h 1 0 t h 2 0 1 7

Philip Carter, Chief Analyst, IDC Europe

Page 2: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Leadership Omni‐Experience Information Operating Model WorkSource

Digital Transformation is the approach by which enterprises drive changes in their business models and ecosystems by leveraging digital competencies

Key Dimensions of Digital Transformation (DX)

Page 3: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Source: IDC, Digital Transformation MaturityScape Benchmark, 2016. n=413Showing the % of organizations in the world at each stage of Digital Transformation

AD HOC

OPPORTUNISTIC

REPEATABLE

20%

34%

28% Digital Player 

Digital Explorer

Digital Resister

12% MANAGEDOPTIMIZED5% Digital Disruptor 

Digital Transformer

The Digital Divide is Developing

Page 4: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

We have hired Mike Bracken, (former

digital director of the Cabinet Office) as

our chief digital officer.

Richard PennycookCEO The Coop

‘We will lead the digital revolution

sweeping through the world’

Jes Stanley,CEO Barclays

‘We recognize that the world has

changed and we need to change with

it’

Stuart Gulliver, CEO HSBC

Digital Transformation is a CEO Priority

‘One of the 2020 targets] is to grow

the number of users in our digital

ecosystem to over 250 million’.

Kasper Rorsted, CEO Adidas

Page 5: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Kasper Rorsted,

Newly appointed CEO of Adidas

Emerging Digital Leadership

Page 6: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Emerging Digital Leadership

By 2020, one third of CEOs and COOs of European FT500 companies will have spent at least 5 years in a tech leadership role

Page 7: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Business Industry EnvironmentWhy it’s different this time.

Page 8: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

• Euro Crisis• Migration• Elections • Populism

Page 9: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

The Relentless March of Technology

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

$ Tr

illio

n

Overall 2016-2020 CAGR: 6.3%

Innovation Accelerators ICT 3rd Platform ICT 2nd Platform ICT

CAGR 19.8%

CAGR 6.6%

CAGR -6.5%

Source: IDC Worldwide Black Book, 2016

Page 10: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Average company lifespan on S&P Index (in years)

DATA: INNOSIGHT/Richard N. Foster/Standard&Poor’s

75% of S&P 500 will be replaced by 2027

61 years 18 years

1st Platform 2nd Platform 3rd Platform

Massive Digital Disruption

Page 11: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Dawn of the DX Economy

Speed of Change

Breadth & Depth

Systems Impact

By 2020, 40% of the European FT500 will see themajority of their business depend on their abilityto create digitally-enhanced products, servicesand experiences

Page 12: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Embracing the Digital Economy

Page 13: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Who is running the

DX projects?

Source: IDC European Digital Survey, 2016; n=308

Page 14: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Emerging Digital Leadership

By 2019, 70% of CIOs will recognize the limitations of traditional IT and embrace a leadership approach that embodies a virtuous cycle of innovation

Page 15: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

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Cloud Enters Phase 2.0 = New Architectures Required

By 2020, at least 45% of the European Enterprise IT Infrastructure and Software will be Cloud-centered (delivered as Cloud services or enabling Cloud services).

45%

Page 16: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Data as a Strategic Business Asset

of European IT projects will create new digital services and revenue streams that

monetize data in a ‘Privacy-by-Design’ fashion by 2019

40%

By the end of 2017, revenue growth frominformation-based products will be 2X that of therest of the portfolio for 1/3 of FT500

Page 17: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

1717

‘Relating to the Internet of Things (IoT), there’s a two‐step process: collecting data and making use of it. Once I have data, how do I make meaningful analytics out of that data so my customer has an advantage? My customer would pay me for information that makes life easier, better, less costly, or more valuable.’

Joe Kaeser, CEO Siemens

Page 18: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Artificial Intelligence, Everywhere!

Source: IDC Worldwide Cognitive Solutions Spending Guide, 2016

0 5 10

Heath:Diagnosis &Treatment

Manufacturing:Quality

Management

Retail:Automated

Service Agents

Today 2020

73%GROWTH

64%GROWTH

52%GROWTH

Cognitive/AI Spending:

Select Use Cases$ Billions

of all Digital Transformationinitiatives, and 100% of all effective

IoT efforts, will be supported bycognitive/AI capabilities by 2019

40%

Page 19: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Over 1 billion people world-wide will regularly access apps, content, and data through an AR/VR platform by 2021

Immersive Interfaces – Intensifying Customer Engagement

of Consumer-facing European FT500 companies will experiment with AR/VR as part of their marketing strategies in 2017

25%

Page 20: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Wimbledon 2016 sponsor Jaguar created a VR 

experience for tennis fans to “fly” into Centre Court and “be” Andy Murray 

walking out to the match.

Page 21: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

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By 2018, 60% of CIOs will help drive risk portfolios that enable adaptive responses to security, compliance,

business or catastrophic threats

By 2018, 34% of European security spend will be driven by EU data protection regulation and privacy

concerns.

Managing Emerging Digital Risks

Page 22: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

A bright future?

Page 23: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

R&D/Innovators stage: now – 2021Early Adopters stage: 2021-2026Early Mainstream stage: 2026 -

The Emergence of the 4th Platform

Page 24: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

Augmenting Humanity

The future of our digital senses

Augmented sensing

Embedded/Injectable TechMIT and Microsoft research made a „smart” tattoo that remotely controls your phone

Augmented Identity

The U.S. Military is developing brain implants to help restore memory

Augmented memory & cognition

3D printed guides used for complex nerve regeneration may treat spinal injuries

Augmented bio-structure

This $40,000 robotic exoskeleton lets the paralyzed walk

Augmented mobility

• Inequality, Employment• Ethics, Humanity• Security, Privacy

Page 25: Dawn of the DX Economy - Insight UK · Dawn of the DX Economy New Rules, Roles and Requirements IDC European ICT FutureScape for 2017 March 10th 2017 ... rest of the portfolio for

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Philip CarterChief Analyst, IDC Europe

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