dbaccess berlin conference...jun 05, 2019 · notwithstanding prevailing statutory provisions and...
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dbAccess Berlin Conference
Prof. Dr.-Ing. Heinz Jörg Fuhrmann, Chairman of the Executive BoardBerlin, June 5, 2019
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1 Salzgitter Group2 Market Situation3 Strategy
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SZAG
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At a glanceSalzgitter Group
Strip Steel Business Unit
Technology Business Unit
Strip products Steel Service Center
Heavy platesSections
Mannesmann Business Unit
Line pipesPrecision tubesStainless tubes
Plate / Section Steel Business Unit Trading Business Unit
Global Presence
more than 150 subsidiaries and holdings all around the globeincluding growth markets like
China and India
Key data 2018 External sales: € 9.3 billion
EBT: € 347 million – best earnings
of the past ten years
Earnings improvement potential:
€ 150 million p.a. realized for the
first time
Total workforce: 25,363
Crude steel production: 7 mt
Trading volume: 4.5 mt
Steel and Technology
Stockholding tradingInternational trading
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5%Tubes producers
13%Other
12%Food and beverage industry
6%Mechanical engineering
6%Re-rollers
3%Energy sector and utilities
15%Vehicle construction
24%Traders, Steel-Service-Centers
12%Construction industry
4%White goods,
electrical equipment
External sales 2018 by customer industriesSalzgitter Group
Broad customer base
4Only from entities within the group of consolidated companies of Salzgitter Group, excluding EUROPIPE Group
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Key data per 2019/03/31
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Annual General Meeting of Shareholders on May 23, 2019en
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Crude steel production [kt] Consolidated sales [€ million] EBT [€ million]
ROCE [%] Net financial position [€ million] Core workforce
1,774 1,740
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
-34(-2%)
2,307 2,294
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
-14(-1%)
96126
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
+30(+31%)
11.614.1
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
+2.5320
108
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
-212
23,333 23,683
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
+350
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Q1 2019 Q1 2018
Earnings before taxes € million 125.9 95.9
Strip Steel € million 46.3 62.5
Plate / Section Steel € million 1.7 9.3
Mannesmann € million 8.4 1.6
Trading € million 3.0 13.8
Technology € million 11.8 11.2
Industrial Participation / Consolidation € million 54.7 -2.4
thereof Aurubis investment* € million 50.2 7.5
Earnings development of business units
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Salzgitter Groupen
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Salzgitter Group with successful start to the year
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Salzgitter Group – GuidanceSalzgitter Group
Salzgitter AG affirmes its guidance for the financial year 2019. We continue to anticipate:
a pre-tax profit of between € 125 million and € 175 million and
a return on capital employed (ROCE) that is tangibly below the previous year’s figure.
a slight increase in sales to above the € 9.5 billion mark,
Legal Note and other remarks
We make explicit reference to the fact that imponderables, including changes in the cost of raw materials, precious metal prices and exchange rates, along with global trade policy measures and their possible impact may still exert a considerable influence over the course of the financial year.
To the extent that this presentation contains statements oriented towards or related to the future, such statements are based on our current state of knowledge and the estimates based on such knowledge made by the management of Salzgitter AG. However, as is the case with any forecasts or prognosis, such statements are also subject to uncertainties and risks. Notwithstanding prevailing statutory provisions and capital market law in particular, we are not obligated to update this data. In particular, we shall not assume liability of any kind for knowledge and statements, as well as any acts resulting on the basis of such knowledge or statements that emanate directly or indirectly from the analysis of the data, content and correlations of this document. The information and data made available do not represent an encouragement or invitation to buy, sell or conduct any other type of trade in securities. Salzgitter AG shall neither assume liability for direct nor indirect damages, including lost profits, arising as a result of the utilization of the information or data contained in this document.
For computational reasons, rounding-off differences of +/– one unit (€, % etc.) may occur in the tables. This document is also available in German language. In the event of any discrepancy, the German version shall prevail.
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Following a strong first quarter, we currently expect a pre-tax result rather more in the upper end of the aforementioned range. However,with reference to the unstable economic situation, not only in the EU, and the associated reduced forecasting reliability for the remainderof the financial year, we consider revising the forecast to be premature at present.
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1 Salzgitter Group2 Market Situation3 Strategy
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Environment: Economic development in the European UnionMarket Situation
Industrial production in selected countries of the EU (Jan. 2007 = 100)
France Italy SpainGermany GB
9
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: Eurostat, own research, last figure from February 2019
The trend of the previous years continued: Slightly improving EU industrial production, Germany despite deterioration in the second half of 2018 remains relatively strong.
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326-846
-1,863
-2,911-3,287
-3,528
382798
1,433
2,3012,879 2,707
-4,500
-3,500
-2,500
-1,500
-500
500
1,500
2,500
3,500
4,500
EU: Steel imports as collateral damageMarket Situation
EU import volumes as a result of diversionary effects on record level. Softening of the Safeguard measures risk to further decrease their effectiveness.
Import situation EU (in 1,000 t/month) Diversionary effects due to US tariffs (in 1,000 t/month)Imports into the EU vs. USA in cumulative annual comparison 2018/2017
+2.4 mt
-4.0 mt
10
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2014 2016 2018 Q1 2019
China Ukraine Russland Türkei Indien Südkorea Iran Brasilien SonstigeChina Ukraine Russia Turkey India South Korea Iran Brazil Others
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+60 %
Source: Eurofer, USITC
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Volatile raw materials markets harbor risks, but also opportunities;2019: price levels – especially for iron ore – expected to be above the average of 2018
Raw materials pricesMarket Situation
Iron ore(62% Fe CFR China, US$/dmt)
Coking coal(FOB Australia, US$/t)
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Average 2017 Average 2018
Source: Platts
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
100
150
200
250
300
350
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300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Jan 17 Jul 17 Jan 18 Jul 18 Jan 19300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Jan 17 Jul 17 Jan 18 Jul 18 Jan 19
…decline since mid-2018 with short interruptions following periods of rises; disparate trading policies result in tremendous regional price differences.
Signs indicate towards infection point in the EU.
Steel prices…Market Situation
Spot prices Northern Europe
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Hot-rolled coil prices international
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(€/t) (€/t)
Northern Europe EXW Ruhr USA EXW Indiana China SchanghaiHRC EXW Ruhr Plate EXW Ruhr Medium sections
05/19
05/19
Turning point !?
Source: Platts
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Review
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Strategy
“Salzgitter AG 2015” Other programs(since end of 2016 combined under FitStructure SZAG)
2012 – 2016€ 260 million p.a. € 350 million p.a.
> € 600 million € p.a. earnings improvement potential realized
Structural measures 2012-2018
Initial emphasis on restructuring and cost reduction measures
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Development of the portfolio towards high- and highest-strength grades: to this large-scale investments ILG and SZFG
DESMA Achim “Factory of the Future”, Expansion precision tubes group in Mexico
Acquisition SOTEP, Joint Venture Baolong Salzgitter Hydroforming, Increase of the Aurubis AG shareholding
“Salzgitter AG 2021” growth strategy Strategy
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Steel-related Less steel-related
60% 40%Start 2016
Rolled steel production and partsof the tubes production can only grow qualitatively, not quantitatively.
Quantitative growth is possible exclusively in activities apart from steel – especially in the Technology Business Unit.
External growth on a larger scale is not mandatorily necessary for the development of the business units – can, however, be desirable.
Target
2019
50% 50%
44%56%
Status implementationGoals Stipulations
Q1
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Investments into the development of the Group
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Strategy
We invest into the sustainability of our Group: € 2.5 billion since 2012!
Salzgitter FlachstahlConstruction of thepulverized coal injection plant
DESMA Schuhmaschinen„Factory of the Future“
Salzgitter FlachstahlConstruction of the RH vacuum degassing plant
Ilsenburger GrobblechNew heat treatment line
Mannesmann Precision Tubes
Expansion plant in Mexico
Salzgitter FlachstahlHot-Dip Galvanizing Line 3
2015 2017 2019 2020 2022
SZ Mannesmann HandelExpansion of the cutting line at the Plochingen site
Commissioning
“Digital Roadmap 2022”
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What we intend in the coming years – effects
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Strategy
All in all at least € 250 million in additional effects from programs of measures planned;the dynamism started in 2012 will be maintained – new initiative are in preparation to this end
€ million earnings improvement potential
FitStructure SZAG SZAG 2021 Growth Programs
€ million additional profit contribution
~40
~40
~100
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2019 2020 2021 ff.
~25
~25
~25
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2019 2020 2021 ff.
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The future of CO2-reduced and sustainable steel production – in Salzgitter!
18Source: Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft/SZAG
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– SAlzgitter Low CO2 Steelmaking
Standard DRP Use of already established(direct reduction with natural gas) and novel (hydrogen production and use) technologies
Integration into existing and optimized integrated iron-and-steel works
Gradual reduction of CO2emissions: between 25% and 95% CO2 savings!
Sustainable "Carbon Direct Avoidance" approach: Reducing instead of recycling!
Use of hydrogen (H2) instead of carbon (C) for iron ore reduction.
Direct reduced iron as energy storage
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ConclusionStrategy
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We are looking forward to the future –
with competitive structures and processes!
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dbAccess Berlin Conference
Prof. Dr.-Ing. Heinz Jörg Fuhrmann, Chairman of the Executive BoardBerlin, June 5, 2019